جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Dusray janib, chhotay time frame, yani H1, se wazeh hai ke market 100 muddat sada moata moving average ki lakeer ke oopar jam raha hai, shayad abhi tak mazboot momentum ka intezar hai takay haftay ke safar ko Uptrend taraf jaari rakha ja sake. Upar diye gaye wazahat ke bunyad par, ham trading ke lehaz se haftay ke akhir tak aakhri nateeja nikal sakte hain, lagta hai ke market ko bullish safar par wapas jaane ka moqa hai jo ke 1.2702 kshetr ke aas paas ke uchit zone ko nishana banakar hai . Agar yeh zone ghusa to, kharidne walon ka intezar hai ke keemat ko 1.2746 kshetr ko test karne ke liye barhaya jaye. Jab tak kharidne walay keemat ko 1.2630 kshetr ke oopar rakh sakte hain, tab mere khayal mein izafa ka moqa Downtrend ki taraf safar se zyada hai. Market ki manfiyat ya muskilat ko dekh kar, ham trading ke liye maqboliyat ko tabah kar sakte hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum market ki sahi samajh ko madde nazar rakhen. Market ke chhotay time frame, jaise ke H1, par nazar daal kar, hum dekh sakte hain ke market ka intekhab moata moving average line ke oopar jam gaya hai. Yeh aik aham technical indicator hai jo ke market ke trend ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Is ke sath hi, is se maloom hota hai ke market ka taqreebanan kis taraf ja raha hai. Haftay ke akhir tak ka soch kar,

haamare paas do raaste hain. Agar market 1.2702 kshetr ke oopar ja sakta hai, to yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai aur traders ko bullish trend ke saath trading karne ka moqa mil sakta hai. Magar agar market 1.2702 kshetr ko tor nahi paata, aur 1.2630 kshetr ke oopar rehta hai, to is ka matlab hai ke market ne abhi tak apne bullish safar ko jaari rakha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke is wakt, market ka bullish bias zyada mazboot hai, lekin traders ko hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye ke market ke tabdeel hone ka imkaan hai. Is liye, stop-loss orders ka istemal karna zaroori hai takay traders apne nuqsaanat ko control mein rakh saken. Market mein trading karte waqt, humein market ke technical aur fundamental factors ko dono ke dono madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Sirf ek hi taraf ki soch se kaam nahi chal sakta, balkay hamen market ke har pehlu ko samajhna hoga taake hum apne trading decisions ko sahi taur par le saken. Aakhir mein, trading ek mahirana dawat hai jahan hosla aur sabr dono ki zaroorat hoti hai. Market ke halaat ko samajhna aur un par amal karna traders ke liye zaroori hai taake wo kamiyabi haasil kar sakein. Allah Hafiz!

Market dynamics mein GBP/USD ka jaiza lene mein hum ne kuch ahem factors ko dekha jo keemat mein tabdeeli laa rahe hain. Shuru mein, N1 candle ne uptrend ka jaari rehne ka ishaara diya, jo traders ke darmiyan potential bullish sentiment ko darust karti thi. Magar, H4 timeframe ka tafteeshi jaiza dikhata hai ke selling pressure mein mustaqil izafa ho raha hai. 1.2800 ka crucial level aik ahem point samne aaya, jahan buyers ko naye investors ko attract karne aur market mein confidence bharne ke liye quwat dikhani thi. Naqis hoti rahi us uptrend ko barqarar rakhne ki darkhwast, jiski wajah se 1.2800 level se naye nadir tak ka zyada girao hua. Halanki, ab quotes taqreeban 1.2600 ke qareeb aagaye hain, jo haal ki bulandiyon se badi girao darust karti hai. Market sentiment mein yeh tabdeeli, buyers ke saamne uthne wale challenges ko numayan karti hai jo bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein muzir hain.
Hum mojooda surat-e-haal ka jaiza lete hue, selling positions ki zaroorat ko dobara muta’arif karne ka ahem hai. Pehle jo bullish sentiment thi jo market ko 1.2800 tak le ja rahi thi, woh kaafi kamzor ho gayi hai, jo ke market dynamics mein tabdeeli ki nishani hai. Is waqt, sirf selling positions par mabni rehne ka silsila mehrban nahi hai, mukhtalif market conditions ko madrak mein rakhte hue.

1.2800 se downtrend woh selling pressure ka barhta hua asar hai aur buyers ke zyada unchayi waale levels par shamil hone ki na razi hone ki nishaani hai. Buyers mein yeh dubi hui rawaiyaat ek hoshyar qareeb nahi hai, khaaskar jab market key support levels se guzarti hai. Aage dekhte hue, aboori hai ke quotes jo mojooda levels ke ird gird barqarar rahen aur consolidation ya reversal ke nishaniyan dikhayein, yeh woh temporary rok laga sakti hai downtrend ko. Lekin agar selling pressure mazid barqarar rahe aur price key crucial support levels ko guzarti hai, toh yeh aur girao darust karti hai GBP/USD ke liye.

Is maqam mein risk management ka ma’amooli hissaa hai, traders ko stop-loss orders lagane ko mashwara diya gaya hai aur market sentiment mein koi tabdeeliyon ko tafteesh karne ke liye price movements ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhni chahiye. Trading strategies mein flexibility bhi zaroori hai, jo traders ko changing market conditions mein adjust karne aur apne positions ko mutabiq karte hue tayyar rakhta hai.

Akhri mein, hal hi mein dekhi gayi downtrend mein, strictly selling-oriented approach mein hoshyar rahne ki darkhwast hai. Key levels ki nigrani, market sentiment ka jaiza, aur effective risk management strategies ko tafteesh karne ki zaroorat hai takay mojooda market environment mein behtareen tarike se chalne ka tajurba ho sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ko technical analysis ke zariye jaanchte hue, hume ek mazboot price action ki kahani nazar aati hai ek ascending channel pattern ke context mein. Pichle haftay mein, market ne ek taqatwar bullish candle ki formation dekhi, jo buying pressure mein izafa darust karti hai. Magar, yeh bullish momentum rukawat ka samna karte hue upper trend line se takra gaya jab ascending channel ka. Yeh subsequent price decline ka sabab bana. Is haftay mein, shuruati girao ke bawajood, ab kuch signs hain ek potential reversal ke jaise ke price ab barh raha hai. Yeh dobala utthaan bullish sentiment mein mazbooti ko zahir karta hai. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, yeh kehna ke GBP/USD shayad ascending channel ka upper trend line tor de aur apni upward trajectory mein jari rahe, bilkul mumkin hai. Ascending channels aam tor par ek bullish trend ko darust karte hain jo higher highs aur higher lows ke sath paaya jata hai. Is tarah, upper trend line ko tor dena is trend ka jari rehna ko darust karta hai, jo market mein bullish bias ko dobara tajawuz de ga. Traders aur investors aksar aise breakout ko ek signal ke taur par lete hain long positions mein dakhil hone ke liye, mazeed upside potential ki tawakul karte hue.
Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke tajawuz ko ehtiyaat ke sath approach kiya jaye aur potential risk factors ko mad e nazar rakha jaye. Halanki mojooda price action bullish outlook ko support karta hai, lekin anjaan events jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical tensions, ya market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan, GBP/USD pair ki trajectory ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, technical analysis ko fundamental analysis ke saath complement kiya jana chahiye takay market dynamics ka mukammal samajh mil sake. Interest rate decisions, monetary policy outlook, aur macroeconomic indicators jaise factors currency movements ko gehra asar andaz kar sakte hain.

Akhri mein, jabke analysis ek bullish bias ko darust karti hai GBP/USD pair ke liye aur ascending channel ka upper trend line ko torne ki possibility ko, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur kisi bhi development ka dhar asalat samajhne ke liye hamesha tayar rehna chahiye jo market ki direction ko badal sakti hai.

Kal ki GBP/USD ki taqreeban nighdaar tajziya mein, jab price ne aik chhote se mujarrad rujhaan ke baad southern mein tajziya kia aur qareebi support level par mukammal test kiya jis ka darja 1.26836 tha, tou price ne mazeed buland khareedaron ki taraf se taqatwar uthao shuru kar dia jis mein aik mukammal bullish candle ban gaya, jis ne 1.27722 darja pehchana gaya resistance level ko paar kar lia. Aaj ke momentum ko tasleem karte hue, main khareedaron se mazeed upri dabao ka tasavur rakhta hoon, jo ke 1.28938 darja par resistance level par nazar rakh rahe hain. Iss darja ke qareeb, do manazir sabit ho sakte hain: upar consolidation, jo ke musalsal shumali harkat ki taraf le ja sakti hai 1.29956 tak, jahan main aik trading setup ki tasdeeq ka intizar karoonga, ya phir door north resistance 1.31424 ki taraf aik potential dhamaka, jo ke mosam ke dynamics aur price ka rawaiya dhamakay ke barhne par mabni hai. Agar aik murna candle signal 1.28938 resistance ke qareeb nikalta hai, jo ke aik mumkinat rujhaan ko dikhata hai, tou main price action ke liye taawon mein jaoonga ya 1.27722 ya 1.26836 support levels tak.
Jumla tor par, aaj ka manzar sustained northward momentum ki taraf rukh karta hai, prevailing uptrend ke andar bullish signals ko ehmiyat di jati hai, jo ke market ke mukhtalif halat par mabni hai.

Bullish sentiment ko technical analysis ne mazeed mazbooti di hai, kyun ke key indicators kooperatively buyers ko favour karne wali potential momentum shift ko dikhate hain. Oscillators aur moving averages ikhatti ho rahe hain, aik qareebi upar ki harkat ko dikhate hue, jo traders ko faidaymand opportunities faraham kar rahi hai favourably market conditions mein. Fundamental analysis market drivers ko mukhtasir karta hai, jin mein economic indicators, corporate earnings, aur geopolitical events shaamil hain, jo investor sentiment ko shape karte hain aur price movements par asar andaz hote hain. Iss dynamics ke darmiyan, traders ko ehtiyaati lekin mauqa bhari approach apnaani chahiye, taake woh mumkin catalysts ke liye nazar rakhein jo market mein significant shifts ko trigger kar sakti hain. Mazid news aur events ke baare mein waqar mein rehna traders ko yeh fursat faraham karta hai ke emerging opportunities par capitalise kar sakein jabke risks ko kam kar sakein.

Ek mukhtalif assest classes aur sectors mein risk ko spread karna crucial hai, jo ke investors ko downside risks se bachata hai aur mukhtalif market segments mein opportunities ka faida uthane deta hai. Jumla tor par, chhotay arse ke fluctuations aur volatility ke bawajood, overall bullish trend barkarar hai, jo ke technical aur fundamental factors ki amad aurat ke sath mazboot hai. Comprehensive analysis aur strategic insights ke sath armed, traders market ke maqam ko samajh sakte hain, aur upcoming week aur us ke baad ke expected upward surge ko capitalise karne ke liye taiyar ho sakte hain.

Market dynamics ka jayeza lete hue GBP/USD ke baray mein, hum ne kuch ahem factors ka nazar andaaz kiya jo daam mein harkat ko mutasir kar rahe hain Shuru mein, N1 candle ne uptrend ka jari rakhne ki ishaarat di, jo ke traders ke darmiyan potential bullish jazbaat ka andaza deti hai Magar, H4 timeframe ka qareebi jaiza saabit karta hai ke bechne ka dabao jari hai Ahem level 1.2800 aik mabain noqta samne aya, jahan kharidarein ko taaqat dikhani thi taake naye investors ko khench sakein aur market mein itminan paida kar sakein Bad qismati se, uptrend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye darkhwast ki kami thi, jo ke 1.2800 level se aik numaya girawat ka sabab bani Ab, daam kareen kareeb 1.2600 ke qareeb pohanch chuke hain, jo ke hali ke buland intehaai se aik numaya girawat ko darust karta hai Market ke is tabdeeli mein kharidarein ke samne mubtila mushkilat ko izhar karta hai jo bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein rukawat paida kar rahi hain

Halat ko tajziya karne ke doran, bechnay ke positions ki faihmi ka dobara jayeza lena zaroori hai Pichli bullish jazbat jo market ko 1.2800 ke qareeb le gaye the, unki wus'at kaafi kamzor ho chuki hai, jo market dynamics mein aik mumkinah tabdeeli ka ishara hai Is waqt, sirf bechnay ke positions par mabni rehna shayed zyada munasib na ho, mukhtalif market conditions ko madde nazar rakhte hue

1.2800 se utrne ka trend bechnay ka dabao ka barhne wale asar aur kharidarein ka buland daam dar buland daam par shamil hone ki sakhti ko roshni mein laata hai Kharidarein ke darmiyan ye hichkichahat ye dikhata hai ke ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, khaaskar jab market ahem support levels se guzar rahi hoti hai Aage dekhte hue, zaroori hai ke daam ke amal ko abhi ke levels ke aas paas kaise evolve hota hai, isko monitor karna. Agar daam mojooda halat mein mustaqil hota hai aur is mein thikana ya murooriat ka aasar dikhai deta hai, to ye aik temporary rukawat ka ishara ho sakta hai Magar agar bechnay ka dabao mukammal rehta hai aur daam ahem support levels ko paar kar deta hai, to ye GBP/USD ke liye mazeed downside potential ko darust kar sakta hai Is manzar-e-am par risk management bunyadi tor par ahem hai, traders ko stop-loss orders ka istemal karne aur daam ki harkat ko nazdeek se monitor karne ki hidayat di jati hai kisi bhi market sentiment ke tabdeel hone ki soorat mein Trading strategies mein lachari bhi zaroori hai, jo ke traders ko mukhtalif market conditions mein mukhtalif positions ke mutabiq adjust karne ki ijaazat deta hai Aakhri mein, hal ke dowr mein, haal hi mein hone wala GBP/USD ka downtrend ahem hai, lekin ehtiyaat bechnay par mabni yaksaan rehna chahiye Ahem levels ka nigrani, market sentiment ka tajziya karna, aur kargar risk management strategies ko amal mein laana, hali market environment mein kamyabi ke liye zaroori hai

Gbpusd ab market ke harkaton ke natayej mein dobara gir gaya hai, jo ke iss Jumme ki wajah se hua. Dollar ki mazeed taqat barhne se gbpusd ka bearish trend dobara shuru ho gaya hai. Aaj raat ka price demand area 1.2600 mein hai. Agar hum price ko dekhen jo dobara gir gaya hai aur nazdeek ki demand ko tor diya gaya hai, to gbpusd ka agla harkat phir girne ki taraf hai. Farokht ki taqat ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai aur price demand nishana ke qareeb ja rahi hai 1.2539 - 1.2500 jo ke phir se girne ko support karta hai aur demand 1.2539 agla bearish maqsood hai. Magar aaj raat kharidar farokht karnewalon ke harkaton ka mukabla kar rahe hain jab price demand area 1.2600 tak pohanch gayi hai.

Dollar jo aaj raat correct hua hai, agle gbpusd ka harkat ko phir se barhne ki izn deta hai. Lekin yeh bullishness jo dekhi jaa sakti hai woh sirf price correction ho sakti hai aur phir price dobara giraygi. Line 1.2665 ko correction ka maqsood mana ja sakta hai. Ahtiyaat baratna agar price line 1.2665 ko tor sakta hai. Kyun ke agar price is line ko tor sakta hai, to gbpusd ka potential hai ke wapas supply area 1.2787 mein ja sakta hai.



Upar di gayi peshanashio ke mutabiq, agle GBPUSD ke harkat ke liye girne ka imkan hai, lekin pehle price islaah karne ka imkan hai bearish hone se pehle. Is liye aaj ke GBPUSD par trade karne ke liye, hum bechnay ke mauqe dhundh sakte hain price ka intezar karte hue pehle islaah karne ke liye. Line 1.2665 is waqt gbpusd ke harkat ke liye islaah hadood ke qareeb mutawaqqa hai. Hum ab bhi bechnay ke mauqe talash kar sakte hain, munafa nishana support line par 1.2500 par hai, phir hum support line par price ke reaction ka intezar karte hain. Agar price dobara gir jaata hai aur support line ko tor deta hai, to phir hum dobara bechnay ke liye dakhil ho sakte hain aur agar support line 1.2578 par price ka inkar hota hai to hum kharidne ke mauqe talash kar sakte hain.

1-D Timeframe Analysis

Price ne daily timeframe par 200 SMA ka istemal karke ek support level ko todha nahi. Upar ki taraf jaate hue, 1.2160 level ke retests ne area ke andar mukhya resistance ko tasdeeq kiya bade paimane par hone ke baad. Is baat par bhi, jab kshamata karne ki koshish ki gayi aur todne ki koshish ki gayi. Magar, vartaman upar ka bounce yeh dikhata hai ki price agle retest ke liye 1.2160 level par lautne ki sambhavna hai. Isliye, agar yeh rukawat ko saaf karne mein asafal hota hai, toh ek agla rally ka daur taiyar ho jaata hai, jo negetive momentum banata hai 1.1865-1.1741 ke beech ka area ka target banate hue. Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal tab mil jaayega jab resistance level enter hoga aur reversal level 1.2258 ko paar kiya jayega.



4-H Timeframe Analysis

Sterling ne pichle hafte ko 1.2160 ke status se shuru kiya ek hissa badhav ke saath, pehli baar 1.2160 se bounce hone ke baad apne vridhhi ko punah shuru kiya. Price local maximum ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo is area mein sthit mukhya resistance zone ko tod diya. Isey bade paimane par taraqqi ke bawajood, bulls mein kafi quwwat nahi thi ki woh sakriya ho. Unhone rebound kiya aur apne girawat ko punah shuru kiya, jisse naye local levels 1.1931 ke aaspaas badi madad di bina giraye. Yeh 61.8% Fibonacci se reverse hua. Aaj, FOMC ke dauran price girayegi. Isi dauraan, price chart super trend ke red zone mein hai. Yeh bechne walon ki initiatives ko dikhata hai.

GBP/USD H1


Pound/dollar pair mein taiz giravat dekhi gayi, jo European trading session ke khulne se pehle shuru hui, aur khulne ke baad barhti rahi, aur momentum mein izafa hua. Ham rozana ka chart pound/dollar pair ke liye kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle se ek wide sideways price channel ban gaya tha, jismein pair December se trade kar raha hai. Upper border se bounce hone ke baad level 1.2900 se southern wave shuru hui aur jab hum is post ko likh rahe hain toh yeh niche ki taraf ka rukh jaari hai aur is downward wave ka maqsad bear ke liye support line tak giravat hogi, jiska intersection lagbhag level 1.2550 par nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke haftay ka trading 1.2601 par khatam hua, lekin Monday ko main giravat ka silsila jaari rehne ka intezar karta hoon aur bear ke liye maqsad sahi level 1.2550 ho ga.Bank of England ke monetary policy committee ne mukhtalif asbabon ki wajah se arzi tor par maeeshat ki mustehkamiyat ke ird gird pareshaniyon mein izafa kiya. GBP/USD pair ab ek ahem point par hai, jahan mojooda qeemat lagbhag 1.25907 ke aas paas hai. Analysts is pair ko tafteeshi nazar se nigrani mein rakhte hain, maamoolan qadron ke karkardagiyon ka intezar karte hain aur ahem support aur resistance levels







ko pehchanne ka koshish karte hain. Ek ahem level jo analysts tawajjo se dekhte hain woh hai . Yeh level taarikh mein is pair ke liye support ka kaam kiya hai, khaaskar December mein. Bohat se traders umeed karte hain ke pair phir se is level ke ird gird arzi support payega, uski pehli qeemat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Khas tor par mukhtalif qeemat levels ke ilawa, traders technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko bhi tafteesh karte hain. RSI qeemat ke harkat ki taqat aur mawqe ki mukhalif o taluqat ke bare mein qeemati idraak faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein RSI readings GBP/USD pair ki tafteesh mein madadfar hai. Analysts RSI ke rawayye ko tajziyat karne ke liye dekhte hain ke pair overbought ya oversold hai, jo trading ke faislon par asar daal sakta hai. Traders mukhtalif factors ko wazan dete hain, jaise ke maeeshati data, geopoliitical events aur market ki jazbat, pair ka agla qadam paish karte hue. Duniya bhar ki maeeshat mein aur maali asbaat mein naqisat ki musalsal shakhsiyat ke sath, sahi tafteesh successful trading strategies ke liye ahem hai. Iske ilawa, GBP/USD pair ke harkat amooman forex market mein bareek trends ko darust karti hain aur dosri currency pairs ko asar andaz karti hain. Is liye traders sirf individual price levels par hi nahi, balki forex market ke andar pair ki overall manzil par bhi tawajjo dete hain.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis.

GBP/USD downtrend ager humein thora sa kam momentum phir se milay ga to jari rahega. 1.2673 area ko tor kar, rally jari rahegi. Thori si neeche ki correction ke baad jari rahegi. Agar hum 1.2722 area ko tor kar bahar nikal jayen, to khareedne ka acha faisla hoga. Humain 1.2673 ke neeche girne ki umeed hai, lekin downtrend jari rahega. Main mustaqbil mein ek growth option ko bhi nahi rad karta, lekin abhi ke liye, main khareedne ka aage bhi faisla loonga. 1.2722 ke upar nikalne ka ek acha sabab hoga ke khareedna jari rahe. Main khareedna jari rakhunga agar keemat 1.2755 area ko tor kar bahar nikalti hai aur is ke oopar consolidate hoti hai. Market ki ghairat mutaharik rehti hai. Pair mazeed mazboot hoga aur jaldi hi 1.2722 tak pohanchega. 1.2722 area mein ek false breakout ke baad mazeed mazbooti jari rahegi. Agar hum 1.2755 local high ko tor kar aur is ke oopar mazboot hote hain, to khareedna aik acha option hoga. Hum UK session mein manfi momentum hasil kar sakte hain aur 1.2720 local low ko tor kar neeche gir sakte hain, jisse humein bechne ka mauqa milay ga. Keemat mazeed US session mein bahar nikalne ka aur 1.2700 range ke oopar mazboot hone ka, jo aik acha khareedne ka mauqa hoga. Girawat ke baad, hum 1.2755 area ki taraf badh sakte hain aur phir oopar chale jayenge.



Daily low. In tarraqiyan ke bawajood, meri trading plans asar andaz hone tak wahi rahengi jab tak qareebi support level 1.26836 ke qareeb ke price action ka intezar rahega. Is qareebi support level ke qareeb, do scenarios samne aa sakti hain. Pehla scenario ek reversal candle ka ban jana hai, jo upward trend ka jari rehne ka signal de ga. Yahan, main umeed karoonga ke price resistance level 1.27722 ki retest karega. Is resistance level ko tor kar bahar nikalne ke baad, main mazeed upward movement ki umeed karoonga jo agle resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf le jaega. Phir main trading setup ke liye nazar rakhoonga taake agle trading direction ko tay kar sakoon. Halankeh, main tasleem karta hoon ke price 1.29956 ke resistance level ki taraf barh sakta hai, developing news aur price reaction ke asar mein. Agar price support level 1.26836 ke neeche merge hoti hai, to main mazeed downward movement ki umeed karoonga jo support levels 1.25996 ya 1.25180 ki taraf le jaega.

Retail Sales report ek ahem peghambar hai consumer spending ka, jo ke maeeshati faa'liyat ka ek bunyadi sutoon hai. Halanki halqi shumarat se ishaaraat deti hain ke retail establishments mein farokht mein halki izafa hua hai, lekin ye mawqoof khatre se bachne wali jazbat mein kamiyabi nahi hai jo global markets mein phaili hui hai. Halankeh Retail Sales ki giravat mein thori rukawat aayi hai, lekin is ka asar Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cuts ko August mein shuru karne ke liye barh raha hai. Magar, mazbooti se increase hone wali wazehat ne in muzir maeeshati shorat mein ek roshni ki chamak dikhayi hai.
Federal Reserve ke tasleem hone ke bawajood ke US economy aur jobs market ki mazbooti aur tanqeed, sath hi maeeshati shorat mein izafa ki alamaat, halqi waqiyat ne markazi bank ki ehtiyaat bhari stance par roshni daali hai. Yeh ehtiyaat bhari approach maeeshati itmenan aur maeeshati tabdeeli ke manzar ko hasil karne ke liye jaari maeeshati faa'liyat ko barqarar rakhne ke douran aya hai. Investors ne is stance ko dovish samjha hai, aane wale tadaadon ka intezar karte hue ke economy ko mazeed support karne ke liye mazeed imdad hogi.

Federal Reserve ki US maeeshat aur jobs market ki mazbooti ko tasleem karne se mulahiza hota hai ke mamlakat ki maeeshati bunyadiyat ki mazbooti hai. Halanki shakhsiyaton aur challenges hain, maeeshat mein ajeeb istiqamat ka muzahira hua hai, jise mazboot consumer spending, mazboot business investment aur aik mazboot labor market jese asraat ne taraqqi mein madad ki hai. Yeh factors Fed ke maeeshati manzar par itmenan ke sath neeti ka bharosa dete hain.

Is ke ilawa,Federal Reserve ne maeeshati shorat mein kuch taraqqi ka tasawwur zahir kiya hai, lekin tasleem ke sath ke mazid qadam uthane ki zaroorat hai taake mustaqil qeemat ki istiqamat hasil ki ja sake. Inflationary pressures ne policy makers ke liye ek masla bana raha hai, haal hi mein qeemat mein izafa ke saath aane wale maheenon mein inflation ke rukh par sawalat uth gaye hain. Halanki kuch inflationary pressures mojood hain jo waqtan-fa-waqtan hotay hain, lekin Fed maeeshati itmenan ko barqarar rakhne ke liye taraqqiyat ko nazar andaaz karne mein muhafiz hai aur kisi bhi qeemat ki istiqamat ke khatron ko kam karne ke liye munasib action uthane mein wakif hai.

Isi douran, Federal Reserve ki haali communications ne maeeshat ko support karne aur us ke dual mandate of maximum employment aur stable prices ko hasil karne ki ongoing koshishon ki ahmiyat ko zahir kiya hai. Markazi bank ne apne full range of tools ka istemal maeeshat ko support karne ke liye karne ka wada kiya hai, jo ke accommodative monetary policy ko barqarar rakhna aur market expectations ko guide karne ke liye forward guidance dena shamil hai.

technical analysis:



Fed ki ehtiyaat bhari stance maeeshati behbood aur financial stability ke potential risks ke khilaf muhafizat mein ek mawazna hai. Halanki maeeshat ne haal hi mein khas tor par aham qadam uthaya hai, lekin uncertainties mojood hain, jin mein COVID-19 pandemic ka rukh, saiyasi tensions, aur supply chain disruptions shamil hain. Ye factors monetary policy ke liye aik hoshiyar aur data-driven approach ki zaroorat ko zahir karte hain.Investors ne future monetary policy ke rukh ke baray mein clues ke liye Federal Reserve ki communications ko tawajjo se dekha hai. Markazi bank ki dovish stance, jis ne ongoing support ki zaroorat ko zahir kiya hai, ko investors ne pasand kiya hai, jo ke ise aik signal samjhte hain ke Fed zaroorat par agar zaroorat pesh karega to mazeed stimulus faraham karne ke liye tayar hai. Is ne haal mein market sentiment ko mazboot kiya aur asset prices ko support kiya hai.
Aage dekhte hue, Federal Reserve ke saamne aik mushkil ka samna hai ke complex economic landscape mein safar karna aur us ke dual mandate ki taraf apni commitment ko barqarar rakhna. Markazi bank maeeshati itmenan aur inflation ke liye maamooli data ko nazar andaaz karte hue maeeshati taraqqiyat aur qeemat ki istiqamat ke liye apni policy stance ko adjust karega.

Aakhri tor par, halqi waqiyat ne Federal Reserve ki ehtiyaat bhari stance ko zahir kiya hai, lekin markazi bank maeeshati behbood ko support karne aur apni policy objectives ko hasil karne ki commitment mein barqarar hai. Investors Fed ki communications ko future monetary policy ke rukh ke baray mein samajhne ke liye tawajjo se dekhte rahenge aur us ke financial markets par kya asar hoga is ka andaza karenge.

GBPUSD pair ki h4 timeframe par tajziyah. Mujhe lagta hai ke bohot se log RSI indicator ka istemal karte hain, ya kam az kam suna bhi hoga. Period jo istemal hota hai wo chaudah hai. Ye indicator trading mein mera wafadar saathi hai. Main ek din ke andar chhote transactions ko pasand karta hoon. RSI madad karta hai ke bazari halat ko ache se dekha ja sake. RSI 30 zone mein dakhil hota hai, jo batata hai ke bearish trend jald hi kamzor hoga; yeh waqia hota hai jab price: 1.2578 hoti hai. Agla kadam, dakhil hone ka faisla karna hai. Waqt barbaad na karte hue, mujhe foran mojood waqt frame par dakhil karne ki taraf tawajjo deni pasand hai, jahan hum market ke mutabiq khareedte hain. Minimum take profits 1 se 2 hain. Agar price meri taraf se lambay arsay tak na chalay, toh bas main apni haath bandh leta hoon aur jo kuch bhi pehle se hasil kiya hai, woh le leta hoon.
Ek chhoti dair ke liye, paond sterling ke qeemat currencies, US dollar aur euro ke muqablay mein izafa hua, jab ke purchase managers' indicators ne barhte hue inflational pressures ko zahir kiya, aur Bank of England ki policy sab se numaya thi. Bank ki izhar ke pehle, paond sterling currency pair ka US dollar ke muqablay, GBP/USD, fauri tor par izafay ke sath wapas aaya, jo ke 1.2803 ke resistance level tak barh gaya, jab ke US Central Bank ne 2024 mein mukhtalif interest rate cuts ka ishara kiya, lekin paond sterling dollar ke faiday Bank of England ke aaj ke izhar ke baad jald hi ghayab ho gaye, jin mein nuqsan 1.2500 ke support level tak pohancha, jo ke ab tak ki tajziyat likhne ke waqt ke doraan barqarar hai. Doosri taraf, ishi doraan, 1.2775 ke resistance level ko bulls ke liye qaboo mein rakhna sab se ahem rahega, aur amoomi nazar andaz ko mazid taqwiyat hasil hogi agar kisi ne zehni resistance level 1.3000 ki taraf koi kadam uthaya.

GBP/USD H1 TIME FRAME

Kal, GBP/USD ne ek chhote utaar ka samna kiya jise ek ulte pan ki taraf le gaya, jisse dakhal ke liye mahaul paida hua, jisme se ek anishchit mom-batti ban gayi. Is mom-batti ko uske dakhal ki sahayak jhalak ne peechle din ke low ko update kiya. In tamaam halaat ke bawajood, meri trading plans be tabdeel hain jab tak ke qareebi support level 1.26836 ke nazdeeki keemat ke intezar mein hoon. Is support level ke qareeb, do manazir zaahir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar aik palatne wali mombatti ki shakal banane ka hai, jo ke upri trend ka mumkin jari rahne ki ishara karta hai. Yahan, main umeed karta hoon ke keemat resistance level 1.27722 ko dobara test karegi. Is resistance level ke ooper ek mustawi bandish hone par, mujhe mazeed shumali harkat ki umeed hogi agle resistance level 1.28938 ke taraf. Phir main trading setup ka monito karoonga agle trading ka rukh tay karne ke liye. Magar, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ke mukhtalif shumali maqsadon tak pohanchne par, 1.29956 ke resistance level ke qareeb, news ke tajurbaat aur keemat ka door door ke shumali maqsadon par rad-e-amal par munhasir hai. Agar keemat support level 1.26836 ke neeche mil jaati hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke mazeed janubi harkat hogi support levels 1.25996 ya 1.25180 ke taraf. Har surat mein, main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ke liye chaukasi rakhoonga, upar ki trend ki mumkin raahat ki umeed ke saath. Ikhtisar mein, jabke main tasleem karta hoon ke qareebi support level ki taraf mukammal janubi sudhar ki mumkinat ko, mera overall rukh bullish hai, jis ko tawafur mein global shumali trend ke saath rakhta hoon jabke main naye izaafat ki mumkin rahein dhoondhta hoon. Ham ne dekha ke pound/dollar pair mein kaafi taqatwar giraavat hui, jo European trading session ke opening se pehle shuru hui, aur opening se jaari rahi, aur raftar mein izafa hua. Hum pound/dollar pair ke daily chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke ek wide sideways price channel pehle se bana hua tha, jisme se pair pichle saal ke December se trade kar raha tha. Channel ke ooper se bounce hone ke baad level 1.2900 se, janubi lehar shuru hui aur is post ko likhte waqt hum dekhte hain ke yeh neechay ki lehar jaari hai aur bearon ke liye maqsad support line tak girna hai, jiska intersection lagbhag level 1.2550 par nazar aata hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke haftay ki trading level 1.2601 par band hui, lekin Monday ko giravat ka jari rahega aur bearon ke liye maqsad sahi level 1.2550 hoga.

GBP/USD ne 1.2700 ke par paar kiya aur ab mojooda waqt mein 1.2735 ke aas-paas trade ho raha hai. Kamzor US dollar aur mazeed UK spring budget ne GBP/USD ko taraqqi di. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Budh ko House lawmakers ko bataaya ke is saal se interest rates girne shuru ho sakti hain, lekin usne bhi ye kaha ke central bank inflation apne 2% target ki taraf sustained taur par barh rahi hai is par zyada bharosa hone Tak apna waqt le legi. Powell ki taqreer ne dikhaya ke Fed officials mehtat mein mushkil ko harane mein hoshiyar hain aur faislay mustaqbil mein jaari hone wale data par mabni honge. Data ke hawale se, US JOLTs job vacancies 8.863 million par gir gaye, pehle ke 9.026 million ke value se kam, jo ke 8.9 million ki expected value se bhi kam thi. February mein US ADP employment mein 140,000 ki izafah hui, pehle ke 111,000 se, lekin 150,000 ki expected value se kam thi. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt ne House of Commons ko spring budget pesh kiya. Hunt ne kaha ke British economy ne financial crisis, coronavirus pandemic, aur Europe mein jang ke bais hawale crisis ka muqablah kiya hai, jabke isne ye bhi kaha ke Bank of England inflation ko kam karne ki koshish karte hue interest rates ko buland rakhegi.

Is ke alawa, Hunt ne kaha ke mutabiq British economy ka intihaai 0.8% aur 2024 aur 2025 mein 1.9% tak barhna tawun hai, jo ke November mein Office for Budget Responsibility ki taraf se tajaweez ki gayi 0.7% aur 1.4% ki growth rates se Behtar hai. Ye positive remarks aur ye khayal ke UK lambay arsay tak buland interest rates ko banaye rakhega, ne pound (GBP) aur GBP/USD ko mazeed izafa diya. Thursday ko US initial jobless claims aur trade balance release kiye jayenge. Investors ko din ke doosre hisse mein bhi Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki doosri taqreer aur Fed official Mester ki taqreer se mazeed signals milenge. Friday mein focus US non-farm employment data par hoga, jo February mein 200,000 ke izafay ki umeed se hai pehle mahine ke 353,000 ke baad. Tijaratnigar technically, upri exchange rate ke liye ibtidaati resistance 1.2765 par hai, mazeed resistance 1.2799 par hai, aur key resistance 1.2836 par hai; Neeche exchange rate ke liye ibtidaati support 1.2694 par hai, mazeed support 1.2657 par hai, aur zyada critical support 1.2623 par hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

H1 timeframe ki tafseel se jhankte hue, ek wafir giravat ke baad, 1.2669 ke h1 support level ko tor diya gaya hai, jo ek jaari mazboot bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Magar is ke bawajood, ek rukh peecha hone ki mumkinat bhi hai. Khaas tor par, neeche ki taraf ka koi bhi numaya islaah hone ke bawajood, yeh ishaara karta hai ke upar ki taraf ka rukh barh sakta hai. Mojooda candlestick, jis ne 1.2599 ke shoulder area ke aas paas apni jaga bana rakhi hai, shayad currency pair ke rukh ko ulta karne ka moqa ho sakta hai. Yeh ummeed ki jaati hai ke ek naya support level qaim kiya jayega, jo GBP/USD ko buland hone ke liye ek bunyadi bunyad faraham karega.


H1 timeframe

Kal, GBP/USD pair ne aik maqool izafa dekha, jise ek mukhalif mudaar ke baad ghalti ki taraf chalna barhane wala tha, jis ne ek mumkin downward movement ko janam diya jo aik shadow ke zariye darust nahi ho saka, jo janoobi taraf ishaara karta tha, jo pichle din ke neeche se guzarna tha. In tamashayiyo ke bawajood, meri trading strategy be tabdeel hai, kyunke main qareebi support level 1.26836 ke qareeb mazeed qeemat ki action ki umeed rakhta hoon. Iss support level ke ird gird, do mumkin manazir saamne aa sakte hain. Pehla manzar aik mukhalfat candle banane ka shamil hai, jo uptrend ka jaari rehna dikhata hai. Yahan, main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat ko 1.27722 ke resistance level ki taraf dobara test kiya jayega. Iske baad is resistance level ke upar guzar jaane se mazeed upward movement ki umeed hoti hai jis taraf ke baad ke resistance level 1.28938 hai. Main phir trading signals ka nigrani karta rahunga taake agle trading direction ka pata lag sake. Magar, main tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat 1.26836 ke support ke neeche mil jaane ki imkaanat hain, jahan main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat ko mazeed niche girne ki taraf jaayegi 1.25996 ya 1.25180 ke support levels tak. Main in support levels ke aas paas bullish signals ke liye chokas hoon, umeed karte hue ke uptrend ka naya shuruaat ho sakta hai. Aam taur par, jabke main qareebi support level ki taraf aik mukhtalif downward movement ke liye mumkinah tajziya rakhta hoon, mera buniyadi nazariey bullish rehta hai, jo sahulat se bhartiye trend ke saath milta hai, kyunke main phir se growth shuru karne ke mauqay ki talash mein hoon.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD jodi ka tajziya karte hue, hamara tawajjo 1.2780 ke ahem resistance level par hai. Yeh darja wazehi itni ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunki yeh daily chart par SMA-50 ke saath milta hai. Halanke haal ki data yeh dikhata hai ke jodi ne is darja ko ek lamha ke liye toora phir piche hat gaya, lekin is ke oopar mustaqil bandish ka dawam nahi tha kafi arsay tak. Agar jodi ko 1.2780 ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti hai aur din ke oopar band hoti hai, to yeh ek mumkin uptrend ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo mukhtalif hafton tak barh sakta hai. Yeh tawil ke waqt ka ek layeha hai ke mojooda flat phase panchwein wave ki daily time frame par ek theek karne wali surat-e-haal ka charwaheez darja hai, jismein mumkin upside momentum ka nishana 1.2800 hai. Magar, bazar ka rad-e-amal ghair yaqeeni hai, aur hum ihtiyaat se kaam karne ka imkan samajhte hain. 1.2750 se peechay hatne se 1.2760 ki taraf ek pullback ho sakta hai, jisse 1.2790 ke par qeemat ka price action nigrani karna zaroori hai. Khaas taur par, aaj ke dynamics ko US dollar ka mazboot hona gehri asar daal raha hai, jo tajziya ko aur bhi mushkil bana raha hai.

Daily time frame ka gehri mulaahiza karta hai to yeh batata hai ke 1.2780 ke oopar mustaqil bandish ki kami hai. Magar, agar jodi is resistance level ko paar kar leti hai aur din ke oopar band hoti hai, to yeh ek potential bullish momentum ka ishara ho sakta hai. Aise halat mein, ek tajziya hosakta hai ke daily chart par barhne ki paanchwein wave ko rasta mil sakta hai. Mojooda theek karne wali surat-e-haal yeh dikhata hai ke chal rahe flat correction ko chaarwaheez wave ke taur par samjha ja sakta hai, jo ek mumkin uparward movement ki bunyad bana sakta hai. Is maamlay mein, ek umeedwar nazar ek qareebi dor mein jodi ka nishana 1.2800 mark ho sakta hai. Magar, bazaar dynamics pani jaise hain, aur dekha jayega ke aane wale sessions mein jodi kaise pesh aati hai.