Brittish Pound/US dollar:
1-hour time chart:
The currency pair GBP/USD is trading in the 1.2611-1.2787 range, and it is expected to remain in that range. Dusre alfaz mein, hum rozana dekhte thay ke yeh pair apni range ke upper ya lower hadood ko imtehan de raha hai (jo ke is range ke andar trade karne ki ijaazat deta tha), lekin ab is tarah ki koi koshish nazar nahi aati. Keemat ek hafta se zyada se zyada waqt tak is range ke darmiyan reh rahi hai aur isko ise koi gilah nahi hai.
Peer ko, harkat mein GBP/USD pair koi tabdili nahi hui. Koi bunyadi ya macroeconomic background nahi tha, aur bazaar ko Federal Reserve and Bank of England ki mulaqat ka intezar tha, sath hi sath US labor market statistics aur ISM index ka intezar tha. Is dauran, bazaar (shayad ek cup of coffee ke sath) Federal Reserve ki March mein wali faislay par batain banata raha hai. January ki Federal Reserve and Bank of England ki mulaqatain par koi sawal nahi hai; bazaar ke hissadara yeh mukhlis hain ke darjat baqi rahenge.
March's mulaqat is split 50/50. Yaad rahe ke shuruwat mein (aik mahine pehle), bazaar ko yeh khyal tha ke pehla monetary policy easing March mein hoga (halaat us waqt khas nahi the). Phir iske baad, iska imkan aik hafta pehle 40% tak kam ho gaya. According to the FedWatch tool, girane ka imkan is 48.6%, and barqarar rakhne ka imkan is 50.4%. Dosray 1% ke mutabiq, experts mein se kuch log samjhte hain ke darjaat ko foran 0.5% kam kar diyayega.
Is tarah, wahi jagah hai, jahan Fed aik hairat laya sakta hai. Hum is raaste par lean karte hain ke pehla cut May ya is ka baad hoga. Amreki maeeshat tezi se grow karti ja rahi hai, maeeshat mein koi masla nahi hai, and overall macroeconomic statistics are respectable. Phir tak halat maeeshat ko khatra nahi hai (khas kar ek tanazzuli ke liye), kyun jaldi kare?
Beshak, January and February ke end tak, iska tez ho jana mumkin hai, aur March mein pehla cut ho sakti hai. Lekin logon ko 2024 ke liye tanazzuli ke data ko muqarrar kar hoga. Yahan puri manfi raftar hai; jo ke consumer price index ke ghate ke rukh ko judge karta hai. Aur trend yeh hai ke pichle ki mahinon mein koi rukh nahi hua hai. Phir se, if maeeshat ko koi khatra nahi hai (khaas kar recessions ka), then how can US regulators intervene?
Yeh baat to hai ke bazaar kis tarah se Fed ki koi bhi faisla tasawwur karega, is liye traders ko Jerome Powell ke statements ko samajhna zarori hai. If unhein pehle kamzori ka koi ishara nazar aaye, then dollar naye dabaav mein aa sakta. On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce its decision, and the GBP/USD pair will be impacted.
4-hour time chart:
GBPUSD waqtanwi chart dikhata hai ki is aalaat 1.26945 ke aas paas mojood hai, jo ke FIBO grid ke darmiyan 100% (1.27196) aur 50% (1.26792) ke fib levels mein aata hai. Fibo area ko kal ke daily candle par Fibonacci grid lagane par shuda parameters se banaya gaya. Is it HIGH=100% (1.27196) or LOW=0% (1.26388)? Agar haalat 1.26945 iss fibo area ke neeche hoti, toh meri tawajju bikri mein. Mein khareedne ke liye dakhla karne ka moqa talash kar raha hoon 50% (1.26792), 61.8% (1.26887), and 76.4% (1.27005) ke levels. Mein umeed karta hoon ke baazoo mein izafa hoga, and mera munafa 123.6% (1.27387) - 138.2% (1.27505) ke levels tak pohanchega. In aik zone mein shaamil kar sakte hain, jise munafa zone keh sakte hain. Mein position ko muqarar karda, ilaqa mein band karta hoon. How does 1.27387-138.2% (1.27505) affect the market?
GBP/USD ke daily time frame par tajaweez hai, yeh pair 1.2695 ke aas paas taqat rakhta hai, halki manfi lehja ke saath. According to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), 5.25% or 5.50% ke darmiyan qaim rakhne ka imkaan hai, so mustaqbil ki istiqamat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ek saath, Bank of England (BoE) se ye ummed hai ke apni saal ki pehli mulaqat mein sood mein tabdili na hone par mustamil rahegi, jisse maliyat mein musteqil pan ka izhar hai. Is haftay ki markazi nazarain FOMC aur BOE ke faisle par mabni hain, jo asal karobar mein mazeed afkar ka intezar karte hain aur nuksan dene walay monetary policy ke faislay ki umeed hai
Subah bakhair, mera qabil ehtram Pak forum ke members. Hum umeed karte hain Allah pak se, wo forum ke members ko hamesha sukoon aur achi sehat se nawaazain. Aaj ke mauqa par mein is haftay GBPUSD currency pair ka tajzia faraham karne ki koshish karoon ga, jesa ke GBPUSD currency pair ne fi al haal budh ko musalsal dosray session ke liye apni kami ko badhaya hai, asiayi session ke douran 1.2658 ke qareeb inch kam. In khatray se bachney ke jazbaat, traders ko Amrici dollar (USD) ki taraf dhakel diya, jis ke nateejay mein, GBPUSD pair kamzor hogayi. Amrici saddar jo bidon ne kaha hai ke jorden, aur shaam ki sarhad ke qareeb Amrici fojion par honay walay, mohlik drone hamlay ke baad America makhsoos halaat mein aik darjay ki hikmat e amli ke sath jawab day ga.
According to CME's Fedwatch tool, 43% of federal reserves are expected to increase in March. Is ke ilawa, May mein Sharah Sood mein 25 basis points ki katoti ka 53 feesad imkaan hai. Sarmaya Karon se tawaqqa ki jati hai ke woh budh ko jari honay walay you s ae d pi employment change data par poori tawajah denge. Is data ko aksar Amrici nan form pay rules ki ziyada jame report ke paish khaima ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo is haftay ke aakhir mein jari ki jaye.
In the case of the pound sterling and the dollar pair, 1.2665 ki satah ka tajurbah kya aur is ke oopar istehkaam ko barqarar rakha, lehaza taizi ka rujhan anay walay arsay ke liye durust rehta hai, 1.2836 ki taraf sarrak ke khilnay ki tasdeeq ke liye 1.2760 ki sat Aaj ki mutawaqqa tijarti takhmeenah support 1.2652 muzahmat 1.2718 ke darmiyan hai.
1-hour time chart:
The currency pair GBP/USD is trading in the 1.2611-1.2787 range, and it is expected to remain in that range. Dusre alfaz mein, hum rozana dekhte thay ke yeh pair apni range ke upper ya lower hadood ko imtehan de raha hai (jo ke is range ke andar trade karne ki ijaazat deta tha), lekin ab is tarah ki koi koshish nazar nahi aati. Keemat ek hafta se zyada se zyada waqt tak is range ke darmiyan reh rahi hai aur isko ise koi gilah nahi hai.
Peer ko, harkat mein GBP/USD pair koi tabdili nahi hui. Koi bunyadi ya macroeconomic background nahi tha, aur bazaar ko Federal Reserve and Bank of England ki mulaqat ka intezar tha, sath hi sath US labor market statistics aur ISM index ka intezar tha. Is dauran, bazaar (shayad ek cup of coffee ke sath) Federal Reserve ki March mein wali faislay par batain banata raha hai. January ki Federal Reserve and Bank of England ki mulaqatain par koi sawal nahi hai; bazaar ke hissadara yeh mukhlis hain ke darjat baqi rahenge.
March's mulaqat is split 50/50. Yaad rahe ke shuruwat mein (aik mahine pehle), bazaar ko yeh khyal tha ke pehla monetary policy easing March mein hoga (halaat us waqt khas nahi the). Phir iske baad, iska imkan aik hafta pehle 40% tak kam ho gaya. According to the FedWatch tool, girane ka imkan is 48.6%, and barqarar rakhne ka imkan is 50.4%. Dosray 1% ke mutabiq, experts mein se kuch log samjhte hain ke darjaat ko foran 0.5% kam kar diyayega.
Is tarah, wahi jagah hai, jahan Fed aik hairat laya sakta hai. Hum is raaste par lean karte hain ke pehla cut May ya is ka baad hoga. Amreki maeeshat tezi se grow karti ja rahi hai, maeeshat mein koi masla nahi hai, and overall macroeconomic statistics are respectable. Phir tak halat maeeshat ko khatra nahi hai (khas kar ek tanazzuli ke liye), kyun jaldi kare?
Beshak, January and February ke end tak, iska tez ho jana mumkin hai, aur March mein pehla cut ho sakti hai. Lekin logon ko 2024 ke liye tanazzuli ke data ko muqarrar kar hoga. Yahan puri manfi raftar hai; jo ke consumer price index ke ghate ke rukh ko judge karta hai. Aur trend yeh hai ke pichle ki mahinon mein koi rukh nahi hua hai. Phir se, if maeeshat ko koi khatra nahi hai (khaas kar recessions ka), then how can US regulators intervene?
Yeh baat to hai ke bazaar kis tarah se Fed ki koi bhi faisla tasawwur karega, is liye traders ko Jerome Powell ke statements ko samajhna zarori hai. If unhein pehle kamzori ka koi ishara nazar aaye, then dollar naye dabaav mein aa sakta. On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce its decision, and the GBP/USD pair will be impacted.
4-hour time chart:
GBPUSD waqtanwi chart dikhata hai ki is aalaat 1.26945 ke aas paas mojood hai, jo ke FIBO grid ke darmiyan 100% (1.27196) aur 50% (1.26792) ke fib levels mein aata hai. Fibo area ko kal ke daily candle par Fibonacci grid lagane par shuda parameters se banaya gaya. Is it HIGH=100% (1.27196) or LOW=0% (1.26388)? Agar haalat 1.26945 iss fibo area ke neeche hoti, toh meri tawajju bikri mein. Mein khareedne ke liye dakhla karne ka moqa talash kar raha hoon 50% (1.26792), 61.8% (1.26887), and 76.4% (1.27005) ke levels. Mein umeed karta hoon ke baazoo mein izafa hoga, and mera munafa 123.6% (1.27387) - 138.2% (1.27505) ke levels tak pohanchega. In aik zone mein shaamil kar sakte hain, jise munafa zone keh sakte hain. Mein position ko muqarar karda, ilaqa mein band karta hoon. How does 1.27387-138.2% (1.27505) affect the market?
GBP/USD ke daily time frame par tajaweez hai, yeh pair 1.2695 ke aas paas taqat rakhta hai, halki manfi lehja ke saath. According to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), 5.25% or 5.50% ke darmiyan qaim rakhne ka imkaan hai, so mustaqbil ki istiqamat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ek saath, Bank of England (BoE) se ye ummed hai ke apni saal ki pehli mulaqat mein sood mein tabdili na hone par mustamil rahegi, jisse maliyat mein musteqil pan ka izhar hai. Is haftay ki markazi nazarain FOMC aur BOE ke faisle par mabni hain, jo asal karobar mein mazeed afkar ka intezar karte hain aur nuksan dene walay monetary policy ke faislay ki umeed hai
Subah bakhair, mera qabil ehtram Pak forum ke members. Hum umeed karte hain Allah pak se, wo forum ke members ko hamesha sukoon aur achi sehat se nawaazain. Aaj ke mauqa par mein is haftay GBPUSD currency pair ka tajzia faraham karne ki koshish karoon ga, jesa ke GBPUSD currency pair ne fi al haal budh ko musalsal dosray session ke liye apni kami ko badhaya hai, asiayi session ke douran 1.2658 ke qareeb inch kam. In khatray se bachney ke jazbaat, traders ko Amrici dollar (USD) ki taraf dhakel diya, jis ke nateejay mein, GBPUSD pair kamzor hogayi. Amrici saddar jo bidon ne kaha hai ke jorden, aur shaam ki sarhad ke qareeb Amrici fojion par honay walay, mohlik drone hamlay ke baad America makhsoos halaat mein aik darjay ki hikmat e amli ke sath jawab day ga.
According to CME's Fedwatch tool, 43% of federal reserves are expected to increase in March. Is ke ilawa, May mein Sharah Sood mein 25 basis points ki katoti ka 53 feesad imkaan hai. Sarmaya Karon se tawaqqa ki jati hai ke woh budh ko jari honay walay you s ae d pi employment change data par poori tawajah denge. Is data ko aksar Amrici nan form pay rules ki ziyada jame report ke paish khaima ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo is haftay ke aakhir mein jari ki jaye.
In the case of the pound sterling and the dollar pair, 1.2665 ki satah ka tajurbah kya aur is ke oopar istehkaam ko barqarar rakha, lehaza taizi ka rujhan anay walay arsay ke liye durust rehta hai, 1.2836 ki taraf sarrak ke khilnay ki tasdeeq ke liye 1.2760 ki sat Aaj ki mutawaqqa tijarti takhmeenah support 1.2652 muzahmat 1.2718 ke darmiyan hai.
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