gbp/usd

GBP/USD Price Activity

Hamari guftagu live GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing ko samajhne par hai. Market ki expectations technical analysis se muttahid nahi hain, kyunki yeh shayad Jumme ki khabron ki taraf dekh rahi thi, jo ke girawat ki taraf nahi gayi. Is waqt, medium-term girawat ke liye koi technical indicators nahi hain. Isliye, humein ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur unrealistic assumptions par amal karne se bachna chahiye. Is ke bawajood, Jumme ki close ne D1 chart par ek internal bar bana diya. Yeh setup potential sell ka ishara de sakta hai, khaas taur par agar Jumme ka low 1.3358 ke aas-paas ho. Yeh mera pasandi da approach nahi hai, lekin yeh ek option hai. Ab bhi price ke 1.3311 tak girne ka mauqa hai, lekin Jumme ka setup is waqt likely hai, aur naya entry point shayad sirf Monday ko nazar aaye. Agar price gire, to sales 1.3249 ke support level tak pohanch sakti hain. Lekin, mujhe upar ki taraf movement ka zyada potential nazar aata hai, jo mere trading plan ka buniyadi pehlu hai agle hafte ke liye.




Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ka closing price 1.3369 hai. Is point se price ya to barh sakti hai ya gir sakti hai. Agar 1.3424 ka level likely hai, to price 1.3499 tak barh sakti hai. Hamein dekhna hoga ke agle hafte market kaise react karta hai. Pichle hafte kuch purchases hui thi, aur weekly chart ek recent upward trend ka ishara de raha hai. Main yeh predict karne ki koshish karunga ke kya yeh upward movement agle hafte bhi jari rahegi ya tabdeeli ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Pair ke technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages active buy ka ishara dete hain, aur dusre technical indicators bhi. Is waqt kharidari jari rakhne ki sifarish hai. Agle hafte ki taraf barhte hue, zaroori economic reports par nazar rakhna bohot ahem hai. Neutral forecast ke sath, United States Jumme ko 15:29 par aham khabrein faraham karega. Yeh pair upar ki taraf chalti rahegi aur 1.3509 ke resistance level tak pahunch sakti hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ka daira 1.3288 level tak girne ka hai, lekin is se pehle, 1.3153 level par jo southern support line hai, usay todna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh wahi level hai jahan bears apni position banaye rakhna chahein ge. Niche ki taraf move ka target 1.3280 level hoga, jahan pohanch kar bullish vector ke along movement shuru karna zaroori hoga. Shayad hum is plan ko dekhein aur GBP/USD is option ki buniyad par barh jaaye. Is marahil par, hum dekhenge ke daira expand hota hai, jo ke 1.3220 se 1.3450 tak ho sakta hai. Sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke is movement ke baad interest rates kis taraf jaayengi. Mera khayal hai ke yeh 1.3200 level ke upar break karega aur niche ki taraf jaayega. Main is halat ko fundamentals ke release hone se jorhta hoon, jo potential volatility paida karti hai.




Yeh kehna zaroori hai ke Fed ka faisla resistance levels ko todne aur naye unchaiyon tak pohanchne ka mauqa faraham karta hai. Bank of England bhi aisi situation bana raha hai jahan yeh central bank debt bech raha hai, jo growth momentum ko barhata hai. Toh chaliye kuch natija nikaalte hain. Bulls ko bullish trend ko merge karne ke liye 1.3400 level ke upar break karna hoga, lekin yeh weak fundamentals ki wajah se kamzor nazar aata hai. Jab ke yeh activity realistic lagti hai, lekin yeh unclear hai ke plan ko kitna waqt lagega, khaaskar jab 1.3520 level tak pohanchne ki zaroorat hai. Agar aisa nahi hota, to bulls 1.3182 level ke upar nahi ja payenge jabke sellers pair ko 1.3234 ke support tak le ja sakte hain. Bears ka is level par consolidation downward trend ko mazid mazboot karegi aur downtrend ke jaari rehne ke liye prospects khol degi. Lekin mere liye, ab bhi north ki taraf jane ki sambhavnayein hain. Mera khayal hai ke overall fundamentals ne GBP/USD mein girawat khatam kar di hai aur hum bullish potential ki taraf wapas aa gaye hain, jo ke yahan hona chahiye. Toh, jaise ke hamesha, dono taraf movement ki jagah hai.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Jaiza

GBP/USD pair ne Monday ki Asian trading session mein halki si upar ki taraf qadam rakha, jo 1.3398 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jab ke Middle East mein kisi broader conflict ki chinta kum hoti nazar aayi. Yeh tab hua jab US General C.Q. Brown ne Reuters ko bataya ke Israel aur Hezbollah ke darmiyan weekend par hui gunfire ke baad escalation ka khatara kum ho gaya hai. Yeh pair, jo global risk sentiment ke liye sensitive hai, in geopolitical developments ke darmiyan support hasil karta raha.

Investors ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyunki geopolitical risks aur economic data releases agle dinon mein pair par khaas asar daal sakte hain. Middle East ki chalti hui surat-e-haal ke sath, US aur UK ki monetary policy ki developments bhi market sentiment ko prabhavit karne wale ahem pehlu honge. BoE ke rate cuts par ehtiyaat bhara rukh rakhne aur Fed ki future policy direction ke unclear hone se, GBP/USD pair mein mazeed volatility ka samna ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ke Fundamentals

US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole Symposium mein bhi kaha ke "policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Lekin, unhone yeh nahi bataya ke rate cuts kab shuru honge ya inki size kya hogi. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets abhi se Fed ke agle September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis point ki rate cut ko price in kar rahe hain. Fed policy ke ird gird ki uncertainty ne USD mein is waqt ki volatility ko janam diya hai, jo GBP/USD ko kuch support faraham kar raha hai.

Jackson Hole Symposium mein Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne future interest rate cuts par ehtiyaati rukh ka izhar kiya. Unhone yeh suggest kiya ke inflation ke second-round effects umeed se chhote ho sakte hain, lekin rate cuts ko bohot tezi se ya bohot zyada na karne ka warning diya. Bailey ke comments, jo Reuters ne report kiye, BoE ke careful balancing act ko highlight karte hain jab yeh post-pandemic inflationary pressures ko navigate karte hain, sath hi UK ki economic recovery ko support karne ki koshish karte hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook

Pichle 14 trading dinon mein se sirf do dinon ko pair ne gains hasil kiye hain, kyunki bullish sentiment is pair ko upar le ja raha hai. Lekin, traders ko potential pullback ke liye ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, khaas taur par market mein overbought conditions ko dekhte hue. Is ke bawajood, pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3096 se khaas taur par upar hai, jo dikhata hai ke bearish trend reversal ka koi bhi nishan abhi door hai. Koi khaas girawat ki zaroorat hai tabhi bearish signal charts par nazar aayega.




Future Outlook

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.3435 par naye do saal ke high ko haasil kiya, lekin pair ne halki si correction dekhi. Lekin, nazdeek ki outlook positive hai kyunki pair abhi bhi weekly chart par Rising Channel formation ke breakout ke upar bana hua hai. Agar bullish momentum dobara shuru hota hai, to pair agle key resistance level 1.3641 ki taraf aur barh sakta hai, jo ke 4 February 2022 ka high hai.

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain. MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai

GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai.
Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.
Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai,
GBP/USD mazeed upar jaane ke liye tayar lagtahai, jise usne Federal Reserve ke achanak rate hike ke baad barqarar rakha hai. Bank of England ka faiz daron ka faisla agle aham event ke tor par samnay aa raha hai, aur pair filhal August ke level 1.3265 ke qareeb hai. Risk downside ki taraf hai positive oscillator readings ki wajah se, magar improvement ka scope limited hai kyun ke Stochastic pullback karne ki tayari mein hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3265 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh rally karte hue May ke resistance level, jo filhal 1.3350 hai, tak ja sakta hai. Psychological level 1.3400 bhi ek challenge ho sakta hai, lekin agar pair isko cross kar leta hai to mazeed hai aur 1.3365 area ko target kar raha hai, jahan se 1.3400 level ko challenge kar sakta hai aur March 2022 ke swing highs ko bhi touch kar sakta hai. Pair ko 1.3200 ka support bhi hasil hai, jise usne Federal Reserve ke achanak rate hike ke baad barqarar rakha hai. Bank of England ka faiz daron ka faisla agle aham event ke tor par samnay aa raha hai, aur pair filhal August ke level 1.3265 ke qareeb hai. Risk downside ki taraf hai positive oscillator readings ki wajah se, magar improvement ka scope limited hai kyun ke Stochastic pullback karne ki tayari mein hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3265 ke upar break kar sakta hai, to yeh rally karte hue May ke resistance level, jo filhal 1.3350 hai, tak ja sakta hai. Psychological level 1.3400 bhi ek challenge ho sakta hai, lekin agar pair isko cross kar leta hai to mazeed gains 1.3600 tak possible hain.