جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Technical tor par dekha jaye to GBP/USD ne April se ek mustaqil uptrend barqarar rakha hai, jo 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se consistently support hota raha hai. Yeh pair haal hi mein 1.3434 ka high tak pohoncha, jo 2.5 saal ka peak tha, magar 1.3427 ke aas paas substantial resistance ka samna karna pada. 25th September ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin kamiyaab nahi ho paye, aur result mein price 34-day EMA tak retrace ho gaya. Kayee dafa higher push karne ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna hai, jahan se unhein rejection mila. Filhal, price EMA ke kareeb hover kar raha hai, aur jab tak yeh is level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Lekin caution zaroori hai kyunke technical indicators potential weakness ka ishara de rahe hain. Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se bounce hone ke baad downward trend kar raha hai, jo market ke exhaustion ka signal deta hai. Sath hi, 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) apna positive momentum kho raha hai, jo downward pressure ka ishara hai.Agar pair EMA ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek deeper correction ka sabab ban sakta hai, jahan next support levels 1.3265 aur 1.3170 par hain. Agar price aur neeche jata hai, to 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.3113 par aa sakta hai, aur yeh drop 1.3000 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar bulls strength regain karte hain aur price ko 1.3429 ke upar push karte hain, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal hoga, aur agle targets higher honge.

GBP/USD ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility dikhayi hai, jo dono UK aur US ke economic factors ki wajah se driven hai. Ek important factor jo pair ki upward trajectory ko support kar raha hai, wo US dollar ki weakness hai. US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne abhi report kiya hai ke US GDP second quarter of 2024 mein 3.0% grow hui, jo market expectations ke mutabiq thi. Ye data positive hai, lekin isne dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi momentum provide nahi kiya. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 tak gir gaye, jo labor market ki resilience ko show karta hai. Lekin Federal Reserve ke officials, jaise Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks, jo 50 basis point rate cut ki baat kar rahe hain, dollar ke mixed outlook mein contribute karte hain. Cook ne "downside risks" ka zikr kiya, jo employment ke hawale se tha, aur yeh signal diya ke Fed ki monetary policy ziada aggressive nahi hogi. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weaken karta hai, jo GBP/USD pair mein British pound ke faida mein jata hai.Doosri taraf, UK ne apni resilience dikhayi hai, Bank of England ki monetary policy ke hawale se concerns ke bawajood. British pound ne recent mein strength gain ki hai, kyunke expectations hain ke BoE inflationary pressures ke sabab se apna rate-tightening approach lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhega. Pair ki upward momentum mein market mein public participation ka izafa bhi ek key factor raha hai, jo buying interest ko drive kar raha hai. Magar, markets abhi bhi cautious hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke intezaar mein. Yeh fundamental uncertainty aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks ke saath GBP/USD pair mein aage bhi volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

Aaj GBPUSD ki harakat ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke bullish candle resistance 1.3428 ko torhne mein nakam rahi. Yeh ek nishani hai ke bullish momentum mein kamzori ho rahi hai, halan ke harga upar ki taraf koshish ki. Yeh level ek ahm psychological barrier hai; agar yeh nahi toota, toh harga ka girna mumkin hai. Yeh mazboot resistance GBPUSD ki short-term upar ki taraf chalne mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Aane wale hafte ke liye trading ka plan yeh hai ke GBPUSD ka girna aur Moving Average (MA) 200 ki taraf aana dekha jaye. Jo trend hai, us se yeh lagta hai ke girawat ki sambhavana zyada hai, khaaskar agar koi fundamental factors GBP ko dabao dalte hain. Is liye, sell strategy ko tarjeeh deni chahiye, MA 200 ko support target ke tor par rakhte hue. Filhal harga MA 200 ke upar hai, lekin yeh us taraf aa sakta hai. MA 200 ek mazboot support hai jo girawat ko rokne ki koshish karega. Lekin, harga abhi tak khaafi landa hai aur trendline ko aggressively nahi toor raha. Yeh market mein uncertainty ko dikhata hai, jahan buyers aur sellers apni direction dhoondh rahe hain. Agar girawat ka momentum kafi nahi hua, toh harga sideways move karega. MA ke beech crossing jo ke bullish trend ko dikhati hai, woh bhi ab zyada taqat nahi rakh rahi. Yeh yeh bhi dikhata hai ke GBPUSD upar jaane ki taqat khatam hoti ja rahi hai, aur selling pressure barh raha hai. Aaj tak ki GBPUSD ki harakat yeh dikhati hai ke yeh resistance 1.3425 aur support 1.3365 ke beech sideway/ranging hai. Resistance 1.3425 ko baar baar test kiya gaya hai, aur ab yeh fresh nahi hai, is liye asani se toota ja sakta hai. Waisa hi support 1.3365 bhi ab fresh nahi hai, aur agar harga neeche ki taraf jaata hai, toh support 1.3313 tak pahunch sakta hai. Is waqt trend ab bhi bullish hai aur harga upar jaane ki sambhavana rakh raha hai. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke harga pehle thoda correction dekhe kyunke six weeks tak continuous rally hui hai. Stochastic indicator bhi bullish movement ko support kar raha hai, lekin oversold zone tak nahi pahunch raha. Yeh sab milkar yeh dikhata hai ke GBPUSD abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, lekin cautious rehna zaroori hai.

hai lekin GBP/USD pair ab tak apne range me trade kar raha hai. Market ke close hone ke qareeb, GBP/USD ka price ya to upar ya neeche ho sakta hai. Yeh bhi ehtimal hai ke yeh increase karega kyun ke jab market khulta hai toh kaafi baray movements hote hain. Hum technical analysis method se GBP/USD pair ko analyze karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is analysis me hum moving average indicator ka period 21 aur period 34 istemal kar rahe hain H1 time frame par taake hum trend ki direction dekh saken. Filhaal price apne moving averages se upar move kar raha hai, jo ke ek bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Aane wale waqt me GBP/USD pair ka agla resistance level 1.3264 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Guzishta haftay ke doran pound ne apna uptrend resume karnemarket khulta hai toh kaafi baray movements hote hain. Hum technical analysis method se GBP/USD pair ko analyze karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Is analysis me hum moving average indicator ka period 21 aur period 34 istemal kar rahe hain H1 time frame par taake hum trend ki direction dekh saken.

Filhaal price apne moving averages se upar move kar raha hai, jo ke ek bullish trend ko zahir karta hai. Aane wale waqt me GBP/USD pair ka agla resistance level 1.3264 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.


Aam tor par, high inflation is baat ka ishara hota hai ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten kar sakta hai, jo ke interest rates ko barhata hai aur currency ko support karta hai. Magar is hafta ka data market mein Federal Reserve ke aglay qadam ke hawalay se adam-e-yaqeeni paida kar gaya, jo US dollar ki kamzori ka sabab bana.

Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ne federal funds rate mein kami ka elan bhi kiya, jise economic activity ko barhawa dene ke liye kiya gaya tha. Aam tor par, jab interest rates kam hote hain, toh is se borrowing aur investment ko farogh milta hai kyun ke loans saste ho jate hain. Magar, is action ka US dollar par ulta asar hua.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai.

Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki umeed hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate ne achi movement dikhayi hai aur 0.14% ka izafa hasil kiya hai, jab ke yeh critical 1.3400 level ke upar barqarar hai. Yeh upward momentum strong UK GDP data ki wajah se support hota dikhayi diya hai, jo investors ka confidence mazid barhata hai. Magar, in gains ke bawajood, bulls 1.3400 level ke upar prices ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe, jis ki wajah se yeh pair 1.3387 mark ke ird gird hover kar raha hai.

GBP/USD pair ke liye overall outlook bullish lag raha hai, aur market sentiment mazeed gains ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Magar, pair ko kuch resistance ka samna hai, khaaskar 1.3434 level par, jo ke annual high ko mark karta hai. Agar bulls is important level ke upar price ko push karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, toh mazeed upside potential ka ishara milega, jo pair ko mazeed bulandi ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar pair is level ko break karne mein nakam rehta hai, toh bullish momentum mein kami aasakti hai, jo downside pressure ko janam de sakta hai.

1.3400 level GBP/USD pair ke liye short term mein ek key resistance area hai. Yeh psychological threshold barqarar rakhna mushkil sabit hua hai, aur agar is level ke upar upward movement hoti hai, toh yeh rally ko trigger kar sakti hai, aur pair ko monthly peak 1.3434 tak le ja sakti hai. Agar yeh peak, aur daily high 1.3422 bhi break hota hai, toh yeh continued bullishness ka strong indicator hoga. Traders isay ek clear signal samjhenge ke upward momentum intact hai, jo mazeed buying activity ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur pair ko aur bhi buland kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar bears control hasil kar lete hain aur price ko 1.3400 level se neeche push karte hain, toh GBP/USD pair ko increased selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein initial support level aaj ka low 1.3359 par hoga. Agar yeh level barqarar nahi rehta, toh agla support area September 25 ka cycle low 1.3312 par hoga. Yeh level recent trading sessions mein significant support ka point sabit hua hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair mein mazeed losses hone ka imkaan hai.

Agar pair 1.3312 support level ko chhor deta hai, toh agla downside target September 23 ka low 1.3248 hoga. Yeh level is liye ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh is mahine ka ek key low hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, toh yeh bearish momentum ko mazid mazboot banane ka ishara hoga. Aise scenario mein, GBP/USD pair ke liye path of least resistance downward shift ho jayega, jo ek gehri correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, jab ke GBP/USD pair ka current bias bullish hai, kuch key levels hain jin par traders ko ghoor se nazar rakhni chahiye. 1.3400 level ek critical resistance area hai, aur iske upar ek sustainable break mazeed gains ka rasta bana sakta hai. Magar, agar yeh level barqarar nahi rehta, toh reversal hone ka imkaan hai, jahan support levels 1.3359, 1.3312, aur 1.3248 par focus hoga. Strong UK GDP data ne pair ko kuch support diya hai, magar market participants mazeed economic indicators ka intezar karenge taake GBP/USD exchange rate ke aglay dinon mein direction ka pata chal sake.

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown

GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.

MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, chalu rahegi

Monday ke din significant price action dekha, jisme market mai ek wazeh upward trend tha. Trading session ke aghaz par, price dheere dheere barhti rahi aur 1.3183 ke key trading level ko break karne mai kamiyab rahi. Yeh breakout 1.3183 ke upar bohot ahem tha, kyun ke isne market sentiment mai ek tabdeeli ko zahir kiya aur traders ke liye ek buy signal generate kiya. Aam tor par is breakout ke baad umeed yeh hoti hai ke price barhti rahegi aur agle major resistance level 1.3261 ko target karegi. Pura Monday ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne apni position 1.3183 ke level ke upar barqarar rakhi, jo ke market mai bullish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha tha. Jab price consistently aik significant support ya resistance level ke upar rahti hai, to yeh current trend ki strength ko zahir karti hai. Is case mai, price ka 1.3183 ke upar rehna yeh dikhata hai ke buyers market mai control mai hain aur pair ko aglay target ki taraf, yani 1.3261 resistance, push kar rahe hain. Jese ke anticipated tha, upward momentum Tuesday tak qaim raha, lekin GBP/USD pair ne session ke aghaz mai ek narrow range mai move kiya. Yeh range-bound movement aksar is wajah se hoti hai kyun ke market apni agle significant move se pehle consolidate karti hai. Consolidation ke baad, price phir se momentum gain karke pehle se identified resistance level, 1.3261, tak barhne lagi. Yeh movement Monday ke initial buy signal ko confirm karti hai, kyun ke price successfully anticipated resistance level tak pohanch gayi thi.

Lekin, jese hi GBP/USD pair 1.3261 resistance level ke qareeb pohancha, price action mai shift dekha gaya. Resistance levels aksar psychological barriers ke tor par kaam karte hain, jahan sellers aksar market mai shamil hote hain, jo ke market mai reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is case mai, price ne 1.3261 ke resistance ke qareeb reverse karna shuru kiya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur market ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Significant resistance levels par reversal aksar trend ke tabdeel hone ka ishara dete hain, aur traders in levels ko closely monitor karte hain taake bullish momentum ke kamzor hone ke asraat ko dekh sakein

GBP/USD exchange rate ne positive movement dikhaya hai, 0.14% ka izafa karte hue ye ahem 1.3400 level ke upar barh raha hai. Ye upward momentum pehle din ke strong UK GDP data se support hasil kar raha hai, jisne investor confidence ko mazid barhaya hai. Lekin in gains ke bawajood, bulls 1.3400 level ke upar alternate prices ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe, jis wajah se pair 1.3387 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai.

GBP/USD pair ka overall outlook bullish hai, aur market sentiment aage ke izafay ki taraf jhuka hua hai. Lekin, pair ko kuch rukawat ka samna hai, khaaskar 1.3434 level ke aas paas, jo ke annual high ko darshata hai. Agar bulls is ahem level ke upar price ko push karne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh ye aage ke izafay ki sambhavnayein khol dega, aur pair ko aur upar le jane ka rasta de sakta hai. Is ke muqabil, agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam raha, toh bullish momentum kamzor pad sakta hai, jo neeche ke pressure ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

1.3400 level GBP/USD pair ke liye short term mein ek key resistance area hai. Ye psychological threshold ko barqarar rakhna mushkil raha hai, aur agar is level ke upar koi movement hoti hai, toh ye next resistance ki taraf rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo monthly peak 1.3434 par hai. Is peak ka todna, saath hi daily high 1.3422 ka todna, continued bullishness ka strong indicator hoga. Traders isay upward momentum ke barqarar hone ka saaf signal samjhenge, aur ye market mein zyada buying activity ko provoke kar sakta hai, jo pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar bears control hasil kar lein aur price ko 1.3400 level ke neeche push kar dein, toh GBP/USD pair ko zyada selling pressure ka samna karna par sakta hai. Is scenario mein pehla support level aaj ka low 1.3359 hoga. Agar ye level barqarar nahi rahta, toh next area of support September 25 cycle low 1.3312 hoga. Ye level recent trading sessions mein ek significant support point bana raha hai, aur is level ka todna pair ke liye mazeed losses ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Agar pair 1.3312 support level ko chhod deta hai, toh next downside target September 23 low 1.3248 hoga. Ye level is mahine ke pehle ka key low hai, aur is se neeche jaana bearish momentum ke barhne ka ishara de sakta hai. Aise mein, GBP/USD pair ke liye sabse asan rasta neeche ki taraf shift ho jayega, jo ek gehri correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Overall, jabke GBP/USD pair ka current bias bullish hai, traders ko kuch key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. 1.3400 level ek critical resistance area hai, aur agar is par barqarar break hota hai, toh ye mazeed gains ki taraf rasta khol sakta hai. Lekin agar is level ko barqarar nahi rakha gaya, toh reversal ho sakta hai, jahan support levels 1.3359, 1.3312, aur 1.3248 traders ke liye agle focal points honge. Strong UK GDP data ne pair ko kuch support diya hai, lekin market participants aane wale dino mein GBP/USD exchange rate ki direction confirm karne ke liye mazeed economic indicators ka intezar karenge.

Aaj ke GBP/USD analysis ke mutabiq, pair ko global economic uncertainty ke darmiyan volatility ka samna hai. UK se aayi latest PMI data release manufacturing sector mein contraction ko dikhati hai, jaise ke S&P Global Survey ka figure bhi 50 se neeche aaya hai, jo ke economic slowdown ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh figure British pound par pressure dalta hai, khaaskar jab UK ki economic resilience ke hawale se concerns barh rahe hain. Doosri taraf, USD ke liye market participants Federal Reserve officials, jaise ke Raphael Bostic aur Austan Goolsbee, ke speeches ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo future monetary policy aur interest rate adjustments ke hawale se insight provide karenge. Key economic indicators, jaise ke inflation aur PMI, aaj ke GBP/USD forecast ko influence kar rahe hain, is liye traders ko upcoming GBP/USD fundamental releases par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo UK aur US mein economic recovery ya contraction ke signs denge.

**Price Action:**

GBP/USD ka H4 chart ek clear upward channel dikhata hai, jise "cable" bhi kehte hain, jisme price action ne higher highs aur higher lows record kiye hain. Pair is waqt key resistance levels, jo 1.3290 aur 1.3326 ke aas-paas hain, ke qareeb hai. Yeh sustained uptrend early September se dekhne ko mil raha hai. Pair ki candles strong buying interest ko reflect karti hain, aur market mein bullish sentiment price ko upar le ja raha hai. Magar agar price established resistance ko break karne mein nakam hoti hai, toh ek possible reversal par nazar rakhna zaroori hoga.

**Key Technical Indicators:**

- **Ichimoku Cloud:** Price abhi Ichimoku Cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ek strong bullish trend ko zahir karti hai. Cloud patli hai, jo limited resistance ko indicate karti hai, magar agar price cloud ki taraf girta hai, toh reversal ka mumkinah imkaan ho sakta hai.
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** RSI 67.67 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair overbought area ke qareeb hai. Yeh pullback ya consolidation ka imkaan paida karta hai jab tak ke market mazeed barh jaye.
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** Stochastic bhi overbought territory mein hai, 75.25 par, jo ke short-term correction ka signal deta hai jab market resistance levels ke qareeb hoti hai.

**Support aur Resistance:**

- **Support Levels:** Immediate support 1.3261 par hai, jo upper channel ki lower limit ke saath align karta hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, toh agla support 1.3180 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
- **Resistance Levels:** Pair ko key resistance 1.3290 par face hai, jo ke strong resistance level 1.3326 par hai. Agar yeh levels break ho jate hain, toh pair higher highs ki taraf barh sakta hai.

**Conclusion aur Consideration:**

GBP/USD ka technical outlook aaj ke H4 chart par strong bullishness dikhata hai, jise favorable technical indicators support kar rahe hain. Magar RSI aur Stochastic yeh suggest karte hain ke pair overbought conditions ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek brief correction ya consolidation ka sabab ban sakta hai. GBP/USD ke fundamental factors, jaise ke UK aur US ke liye aane wale PMI data aur Federal Reserve ki speeches, pair ki future direction ka tayyun karenge. Traders ko khaas ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, khaaskar jab cable volatility key economic releases ke ird gird ho. Solid risk management strategies, jaise ke support levels ke qareeb stop-loss orders lagana, is volatile trading environment mein risk ko kam karne mein madadgar hoga.

**Technical Analysis of GBP/USD**

Hello traders! Umeed hai sab trading mein accha perform kar rahe honge. Aaj trading week ka teesra din hai aur is moka par, main GBP/USD market ka analysis karunga. GBP/USD iss waqt 1.2685 par trade kar raha hai. Niche diye gaye chart ko dekh kar, GBP/USD iss time frame par bullish lag raha hai. Agar aap time frame dekhein, GBP/USD pair ka price bullish trend display kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 level ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke buyers achi position mein hain aur RSI abhi 61.6636 par hai. Doosri taraf, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator positive trading dikha raha hai aur zero line ya midline ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ke liye acchi baat hai. GBP/USD sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, 50-day exponential moving average bhi current GBP/USD price se neeche hai.


GBP/USD ka price abhi 1.2707 par minor resistance face kar raha hai. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pehle resistance level par apni bullish movement nahi rokega aur iska price aur zyada increase karega, aur GBP/USD ka naya upper resistance level 1.3123 par banega. Uske baad, GBP/USD aur aage 1.3654 resistance level ki taraf move karega jo teesra resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, GBP/USD ka price abhi 1.2649 par minor support face kar raha hai. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pehle support level par apni bearish movement nahi rokega aur iska price aur zyada drop karega, aur GBP/USD ka naya lower support level 1.2586 par banega. Uske baad, GBP/USD aur neeche 1.2540 support level ki taraf decline karega jo teesra support level hai. GBP/USD par bull pressure mazboot lag raha hai. Aap sab ke liye meri best wishes hain.

Indicators used in the chart: RSI, MACD, 20-day EMA, 50-day EMA

GBP/USD exchange rate ne achi harkat dikhayi hai, 0.14% ki gain ke sath ye 1.3400 ki ahm level se upar barh raha hai. Ye upar ki taraf ka josh strong UK GDP data ke wajah se hai jo din ke shuruat mein aaya, jisne investor ka bharosa barhaya. Lekin, in gains ke bawajood, bulls 1.3400 level ke upar alternative prices ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe, jis wajah se pair 1.3387 mark ke aas paas ghoom raha hai.

GBP/USD pair ka overall outlook bullish hai, aur market sentiment aage ke gains ki taraf jhuka hua hai. Lekin, pair kuch resistance ka samna kar raha hai, khaas tor par 1.3434 level ke aas paas, jo ke annual high hai. Agar bulls is crucial level ko paar karne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh ye aage ke upside potential ka signal dega, aur pair ko aur ooncha jaane ka mauqa dega. Iske baraks, agar pair is level ko todne mein nakam rahta hai, toh bullish momentum mein kami aa sakti hai, jo downside pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai.

1.3400 level short term ke liye GBP/USD pair ke liye ek key resistance area hai. Ye psychological threshold itni aasani se barqarar nahi ho pa raha, aur agar is level se upar koi movement hota hai toh ye rally ko trigger kar sakta hai agle resistance, jo monthly peak 1.3434 hai. Is peak ke upar breakout aur daily high 1.3422 ke upar jana bullishness ka ek strong indicator hoga. Traders isay clear signal samjhenge ke upward momentum barqarar hai, aur ye market mein zyada buying activity ko janam de sakta hai, jo pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar bears control hasil kar lein aur price ko 1.3400 level ke neeche le jaen, toh GBP/USD pair ko zyada selling pressure ka samna karna par sakta hai. Is scenario mein pehla support level aaj ka low 1.3359 hoga. Agar ye level barqarar nahi rehta, toh agla support area 25 September ka cycle low 1.3312 hoga. Ye level recent trading sessions mein ek significant support point raha hai, aur agar is level se neeche girta hai, toh isse pair ke liye mazeed nuqsan ho sakta hai.

Agar pair 1.3312 support level ko chhor deta hai, toh agla downside target 23 September ka low 1.3248 hoga. Ye level is mahine ka ek key low hai, aur is se neeche girne se bearish momentum ke barhne ka signal mil sakta hai. Aise mein, GBP/USD pair ke liye kam se kam resistance ka raasta neeche ki taraf shift ho jayega, jo deeper correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Overall, jab ke GBP/USD pair ka current bias bullish hai, traders ko kuch key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. 1.3400 level ek critical resistance area hai, aur iske upar barqarar break hone par aage ke gains ke liye raasta khul jayega. Lekin, agar is level ko barqarar nahi rakha gaya, toh ye reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai, jahan support levels 1.3359, 1.3312, aur 1.3248 traders ke liye agle focal points honge. Strong UK GDP data ne pair ko kuch support diya hai, lekin market participants aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD exchange rate ki direction confirm karne ke liye mazeed economic indicators ki talash karenge.

اکتوبر 1 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کے روز، برطانوی پاؤنڈ کو روزانہ چارٹ پر ویج کی بالائی باؤنڈری اور پرائس چینل لائن سے بننے والے مقناطیسی نقطہ تک بڑھنے کی کوشش کے دوران تیزی سے گرا دیا گیا۔ تاہم، قیمت کو 1.3360 سپورٹ سے نیچے نہیں دھکیلا گیا۔ اس کا مطلب ہے کہ اٹھنے کی کوششیں جاری رہ سکتی ہیں لیکن اسٹریٹجک کھلاڑیوں کے لیے زیادہ آسان وقت پر۔ ہدف قدرے بڑھ کر 1.3478 ہو گیا ہے۔



ہم اب بھی توقع کرتے ہیں کہ مارکیٹ 1.3525 کی سطح سے فیصلہ کن طور پر نیچے کی طرف مڑ جائے گی۔ چونکہ یہ سطح صرف 150 پپس کے فاصلے پر ہے، اس لیے قیمت ایک اور مہینے کے لیے آزادانہ طور پر گھوم سکتی ہے۔ اس کے علاوہ، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن کو پچر کی شکل کی شکل چھوڑنے کی کوئی جلدی نہیں ہے۔ جتنی دیر تک یہ اس میں رہتا ہے، اس کی طرف سے حرکت کرنے کا امکان اتنا ہی زیادہ ہوتا ہے (ممکنہ طور پر ایک حد کے اندر)، پچر کو منسوخ کر دیتا ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.3360 سپورٹ لیول سے اوپر ایک تنگ کنسولیڈیشن بنانا شروع کر رہی ہے۔ مارلن قدرے افسردہ دکھائی دیتی ہے، جس نے 1.3300 اور 1.3360 کی سطحوں کے درمیان واقع ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر حملے کے لیے ایک بنیاد بنائی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD Daily Technical Analysis

GBP/USD Currency Pair Overview


Is waqt, GBP/USD currency pair mein pound upar ki taraf jaanay ki koshish kar raha hai. Pichle ek hafte se buyers aur sellers ke beech me bhari takraav dekhne ko mila hai. Lekin aakhir kar, is hafte ki shuruaat high khul gayi, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers ne behtar kaam kiya hai.
Support Level Analysis


Pichle haftay ke darmiyan jab daam gira, tou yeh 1.3327 ke horizontal support level par rukaawat ka samna kar raha tha, jisne prices ko dobara upar ki taraf push kiya. Yeh support level chaar ghante ki chart par nazar aata hai, lekin daily chart par itna nahi.
Candlestick Pattern Interpretation


Sellers ne apna tricks use kiya. Unhone bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bna kar price ko neeche ki taraf drive kiya, lekin baad mein price ko phir se una udhar ki taraf push kiya jahan stops chhupaye gaye the. Jab stop market se khichha gaya, tou isne prices ko aur neeche gira diya.
Wave Structure and Indicators


Wave structure abhi bhi bullish hai. MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai, lekin isme bearish divergence dekhne ko mil raha hai jo strong sell signal hai. Dusri taraf, CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai aur isme bhi bearish divergence hai.
US Dollar Position


US dollar ki current position bhi market mein mazid taqat pakarne ki umeed hai. Euro, Australian Dollar aur New Zealand Dollar jaise pairs bhi apni uchi movements par hain aur isi tarah ke indicators ke saath downward correction ka samna kar rahe hain.
Intraday Trading Recommendations


Intraday trading ke liye abhi ka priority selling transactions par zyada hai, halan ke upward pressure abhi bhi mehsoos kiya ja raha hai. Asal mein, mujhe lagta hai ke jald hi price ko purane daily waves ke neeche push kiya jayega aur ye 1.3257 ke ascending line tak ponch jayegi. Agar ye level bhi nahi sambhalti, tou medium term mein aur giraawat dekhne ki umeed hai, shayad 1.3008 ke support level tak, jahan price pehle haftay ke hisson mein rise hui thi aur ye minimum September ka level hai.
Conclusion


Yani ke, halankeh current momentum buyers ke saath hai, lekin technical indicators aur overall market context ke madde nazar, sellers ke liye chicken buy signals dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Isliye, watch out for the selling opportunities and watch the critical levels closely.

GBP-USD ka movement bullish hai, USD GBP/USD karansi pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran positive territory mein trade kiya, jo ke US dollar ki lagataar kamzori ki wajah se supported tha. Market participants ab eagerly August ke US non-farm payrolls data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision ke expectations ko baray had tak mutasir karega. Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report, jo pehle hafte mein release hui thi, ne August mein private sector job growth mein kami ko dikhaya, jo Fed ke taraf se rate cut ki potential ka ishara deti hai. Filhal, markets September 17-18 ke aane wale meeting mein rate cut ki expectations ko price kar rahe hain. Pound bhi Bank of England (BoE) se potential rate cut ki expectations ki wajah se supported hai. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne ye toh kaha hai ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, lekin unhone rate cut karne mein jaldbazi se bhi mana kiya hai. Investors ne BoE se 25% chance of rate cut ko price kar liya hai, lekin November tak rate cut ki possibility ko puri tarah se price kiya ja chuka hai.
GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko kam volatility ke saath aur upar ki taraf movement ki. Market mein British currency kharidne ki koi wazeh wajah nahi thi. Thursday ka rise quotes mein ek correction ke tor par samjha jaa sakta hai, lekin abhi tak US currency ke ird gird koi excitement nahi hai, jo ke do saal se girti ja rahi hai. Aur agar hum dekhein, to jo movement hum abhi dekh rahe hain, wo kisi naye downward trend ke aaghaz ki tarah nahi lagti jo kam az kam ek saal tak chalega. Lagta hai ke market thoda correct hua hai aur ab ek naye wave ke liye tayaar hai, jo ke be-bunyad kharidari ki hai. Magar market ke nazar mein yeh kharidari justified hai. Agar hum fundamentals aur macroeconomics ki baat karein, toh British currency ke growth mein koi logic nahi hai.
Downward trend tab tak qaim hai jab tak price Ichimoku indicator lines aur descending trend line ke neeche rahta hai. Shayad yeh hi waqt mein US dollar ka ek hope hai. Jab se yeh maloom hua hai ke America mein inflation 2.5% tak kam ho gaya hai, toh Federal Reserve har agle meeting mein rate ko kam kar sakta hai. Agar market ne waqai monetary policy easing ko price kar liya hai, jaise hum samajhte hain, to phir yeh acha hai—dollar ko bachaya ja sakega. Agar nahi, toh US dollar ko ek lambi girawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Issi dauran, European Central Bank aur Bank of England ki monetary policies market participants ko filhal koi

GBPUSD ka H4 timeframe pe acha signal dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur ab analysis karne ka waqt hai. GBPUSD ki qeemat resistance se ooper chali gayi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ne market mein dominance hasil kar li hai. Current lowest price 1.30007 hai jo pehle ke lowest price 1.26636 se zyada hai, aur aisi movement yeh batati hai ke GBPUSD uptrend mein hai. Yani ab buying opportunities talash karne ka waqt hai. Filhal GBPUSD ki qeemat upper Bollinger bands ke aas-paas chal rahi hai, is liye ab yeh middle Bollinger bands ki taraf move kar sakti hai. GBPUSD ki price ke significant aur consistent strength se yeh overbought ho chuka hai, jaisa ke stochastic oscillator level 80 ko touch kar chuka hai, is liye ab yeh level 20 ki taraf jaane ka waqt hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator ke indicators ko dekhte hue, GBPUSD ki price mein correction ke liye girawat hone ki umeed hai. Analysis ke results ke mutabiq, GBPUSD ki price trend ke mutabiq phir se upar ja sakti hai. Lekin, agar aap ko is baat ka yaqeen hai ke price aur strong hogi, toh bhi foran buy ka transaction na karein. Sabar karein aur dekhte rahein ke GBPUSD ki price base demand tak gire, taake aap sahi price pe entry le sakein. Purchase tab kiya ja sakta hai jab bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle ka confirmation mile, jiska candle body base demand ke ooper ho, aur price loss limit 1.30006 ho jo base demand ke neeche ho, jab ke take profit ka target price 1.34851 ho jo base supply ke neeche ho. Agar GBPUSD ki qeemat base demand se neeche girti hai, toh purchase signal expire ho gaya hai, kyunki trend reversal ho chuka hai. Agar GBPUSD ki qeemat base demand ko touch karne se pehle hi upar chalne lagti hai, toh zabardasti purchase ka transaction na karein, kyunki technical requirements abhi puri nahi hui hain. Transaction pending order sell limit pe 1.34851 base supply ke neeche kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki GBPUSD ab overbought hai, jiska price loss limit 1.36422 ho jo base supply ke ooper ho, aur take profit ka target price 1.31563 ho jo base demand ke ooper ho.