جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye: UK ke GDP growth ke slow hone ka data, khas kar July ke mahine mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal raha hai, isliye 1.3083 ke aas-paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke dusre half mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Inflation ke sharply decline hone se pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jisse dollar gir sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke saath match karta hai, ya badhta hai, toh GBP/USD par pressure barhne ke chances hain. Negative market reaction ki surat mein, main sirf long positions ko tab open karunga jab 1.3073 ke new interim support ke aas-paas girawat aur false breakout ho. Isse correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka chance milega. Agar U.S. inflation ke ghatne ke bawajood breakout aur consolidation upar hoti hai, toh intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3140 tak long positions ke liye accha entry point provide karega. Final target 1.3168 ke aas-paas hoga, jahan main profits loonga. GBP/USD ki girawat aur din ke dusre half mein 1.3073 par buyers ki kami ki surat mein, pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 ke next support ki taraf decline aur retest ko bhi lead karega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam karega. Sirf is level par false breakout long positions kholne ka accha mauka provide karega. Main 1.3012 ke low se rebound par GBP/USD ko 30-35 point ke intraday correction ke target ke saath kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon. GBP/USD currency pair ke price mein ek zabardast izafa dekha gaya. Filhal, price pivot point level 1.3182 se ooper hai aur trend bullish hai kyun ke price MA period 50 se bhi uper hai. Is waqt ke price movement pattern ko dekhte hue aur available analysis ko madde nazar rakhte hue, humein kai trading options ko sochna chahiye. Sabse profitable strategy BUY karna hai, lekin ek behtareen entry ke liye humein price correction ka intezaar karna chahiye jo pivot point 1.3182 par aaye. Phir profit ka objective resistance level 1.3246 par set kiya ja sakta hai. Door ka target 1.3377 ke price par hai, jo aaj ka resistance level three hai. Agar price is level ke ooper close karti hai, toh yeh aglay resistance level two, 1.3280, tak move karegi. Agar price neeche girti hai aur pivot point 1.2085 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh SELL karna doosra option hoga. Short target ka projection first support level 1.3149 par hai. Ek aur mumkin trade tab hai jab price resistance levels ko reject karte hue opposite direction mein move kare.
Yeh sab kuch is waqt ki analysis hai. Agar aap koi radd-e-amal ya suggestions dena chahte hain, toh zaroor contribute karein. Aap sab ke liye kamiyabi ki dua hai

Hamara focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ki live analysis par hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD negative pressure mein hai aur price 1.337 ke support level ke kareeb hover kar rahi hai. Yeh ek ahem barrier hai jo mazid decline ko rok raha hai, aur descending channel ke saath align karta hai, jo sellers ke liye ek potential entry signal day raha hai. Main short positions tab open karne ka soch raha hoon agar price 1.335 se neechey break karti hai aur us level ke neechey stable rehti hai. Moving average ko main best market entry point signal karne ke liye use karunga. Main stop-loss order ko aakhri impulse high par place karne ka plan kar raha hoon taake potential losses se bacha ja sake.

Agar yeh trade loss mein jata hai, tou meri strategy buying ki taraf shift ho jayegi. Mera khayal hai ke agar yeh level break hota hai, tou decline mazid gehra ho sakta hai, jo sellers ke liye liquidity gather karne ka mauqa faraham karega. Abhi ke liye, main four-hour GBP/USD chart par selling ko tarjeeh de raha hoon, lekin is waqt ke price par selling ideal nahi hai. Main intezar kar raha hoon ke price retrace kar ke resistance level 1.34239 tak pohonche, jahan maine ek pending sell order set kiya hai. Yeh level downturn shuru karne ke liye sabse promising lag raha hai. Mera profit target 1.33331 par set hai, jahan agle wave mein downward momentum hone ki umeed hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price is level tak zarur pohonchegi, jo mujhe apna profit secure karne ka mauqa de gi.

GBP/USD ka critical liquidity level 1.3369 ke aas paas hai, lekin yeh meri trading strategy mein secondary importance rakhta hai. Phir bhi, is level par ek reaction ka imkaan hai, lekin yeh zyada expected nahi hai. Key point yeh hai ke wave ke highest point ki movement ko follow kiya jaye. Is pattern ke mutabiq, 1.3350 level bohot ahemiyat rakhta hai. Meray nazdeek, yeh ek crucial point hai jahan main price reaction ki umeed karta hoon, jo ya to upward movement continue karegi ya phir ek downward correction ka aghaz karegi.

Iss haftay, investors ka focus kuch important US economic data points par hoga, jisme ISM manufacturing aur services indices, ADP employment data, non-farm payrolls (NFP), aur JOLTS job openings shaamil hain. Yeh data points current economic situation ke bare mein valuable insights faraham karenge aur market sentiment ko asar karenge.

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye, GBP/USD pair abhi bhi bullish uptrend mein hai. 20-day EMA, jo ke 1.3250 ke aas paas hai, ek significant support level ka kaam kar rahi hai. August 21 ka high break karna pound ke liye strong bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai, aur agla resistance level psychological 1.3500 mark par hai. Downside par, 20-day EMA jo ke 1.3235 ke kareeb hai, pound ke liye ek crucial support level hai.





Traders ko is haftay key fundamentals jaise ke NFP ko qareebi tor par dekhna chahiye aur unke mutabiq faislay karne chahiye taake market movements ko capture karke profits secure kiye ja sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ka abhi live pricing ke liye analysis ho raha hai. GBP/USD H4 chart ke mutabiq, pair ne daily channel ka bullish side pe breakout kiya hai. Bullish boundary jo ke 1.3299-1.3309 ke aas paas hai, mazboot support ka kaam karegi, aur lagta hai ke pound is level se neeche nahi jaayega. Aakhri US inflation data ke mutabiq, market sentiment US dollar ko sell karne ka hai. Traders ne apna stance dollar par dobara dekha hai, aur lagta hai ke November mein Fed ka ek tezi se rate cut ka chance barh raha hai, jo ke ek bullish week ko indicate karta hai, aur mazeed upside movement ki umeed hai jaise jaise daily channel upar jaata hai. Lekin kuch concerns hain ke yeh momentum US labor market data ke release hone tak slow ho sakta hai jo week ke aakhir mein aayega.

Trader is waqt GBP/USD ke four-hour chart pe selling ko tarjeeh de raha hai, lekin is waqt ke price par sell karna faidemand nahi hai. Trader intizaar kar raha hai ke price wapas resistance level 1.34239 par aaye, jahan ek pending sell order lagaya gaya hai, kyun ke yeh level ziada promising lagta hai decline shuru hone ke liye. Trader ka tajziya hai ke price mazeed neeche jaa sakta hai current level 1.33331 se. Trader plan kar raha hai ke profits ko accordingly le jab price is level tak pohnch jaaye. GBP/USD ke liye ek critical liquidity level 1.3369 ke aas paas hai, lekin trader ke system ke liye yeh level primary focus nahi hai. Is level par ek reaction possible hai, lekin trader ko yeh kam ummed lagta hai. Bunyadi cheez hai highest point of wave se movement ko track karna, jo ke 1.3350 ka level significant banaata hai. Trader ummed karta hai ke is level par price ka reaction hoga, ya to upward continue karega ya downward correct hoga. Ek horizontal resistance level 1.3424 aur 1.3429 ke beech mein hai, jo ke mazeed upward movement ke liye break hona zaroori hai. Agar buyers price ko ek zigzag pattern mein upward push karte hain, to Monday ya Tuesday tak ek breakout hona chahiye. Ek correction ke baad, ek chhota pullback ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.3000 ke low se uptrend line ko test karega. Ideally, price ko is uptrend line ke andar rehna chahiye.

Daily chart pe, ek dip 1.3264 tak possible hai, jo ke ek chhota zigzag pattern banayega ek ascending wedge ya channel ke andar, zyada likely ek ascending wedge lagta hai jo ke 1.2663 ke low se ban raha hai. CCI indicator 30-minute chart pe ek neutral market sentiment show karta hai, sell side ki taraf thoda jhuka hua, aur thoda downward trend bhi dikha raha hai. Yeh chart pe bhi reflected lagta hai, jahan sellers pehle ke price movement ka control le chuke hain. Aagey jaane ke liye key level jo monitor karna hoga, wo 1.3359 ka price level hoga, jahan market ka behavior dekhna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya
GBP/USD pair ke liye agle marahil mein 1.3288 ka level gir sakta hai, lekin isse pehle southern support line ko 1.3153 ke level par torhna hoga, kyun ke yeh woh level hai jahan bears apna qabza rakhna chahenge. Southward move ka target 1.3280 ka level ho sakta hai, aur is level ko haasil karne ke baad bullish direction mein harkat shuru karna zaroori hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum is plan ko hotay hue dekhein aur GBP/USD is option ke mutabiq upar ki taraf badhe. Is marhale par range mein wasee lagti hai, jo neeche 1.3220 se lekar upar 1.3450 tak ja sakti hai. Sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh harkat ke baad interest rates kis taraf jate hain. Meri raye yeh hai ke yeh 1.3200 ke level ko tor kar neeche ki taraf jaayegi. Main is soorat-e-haal ko fundamentals ke release ke waqt se jorhunga, jo ke volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Yahan yeh kehna zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke faislay ne resistance levels ko tor kar naye heights ko haasil karne ka moqa diya. Iske ilawa, Bank of England bhi aise halat paida kar raha hai jahan central bank debt ko nahi bech raha, jo ke growth momentum ko barhawa de raha hai. To, ab hum natija nikalte hain. Bulls ke liye zaroori hoga ke bullish trend ko tor kar 1.3400 ke level ke upar jaayein, lekin yeh fundamentals ke kumzor hone ki wajah se thoda weak lag raha hai. Halat to realistic lag rahi hai, lekin yeh plan kitni dair mein poora hoga yeh kehna mushkil hai, khaaskar jab 1.3520 ke level tak pahunchna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh nahi hota, to bulls shayad 1.3182 ke level ko tor nahi sakein, jabke sellers pair ko neeche 1.3234 ke support tak dhakel dein. Agar bears is level par consolidation karte hain, to downward trend mazid mazboot hoga aur downtrend ke jaari rehne ke asraat paida honge.

Lekin mere liye ab bhi northward jaane ki gunjaish hai. Mera khayal hai ke overall fundamentals ne GBP/USD ke girawat ko rok diya hai aur hum wapas bullish potential ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jo ke zaroori tha. To hamesha ki tarah, dono directions mein ### GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya (Roman Urdu)

GBP/USD pair ke liye agle marahil mein 1.3288 ka level gir sakta hai, lekin isse pehle southern support line ko 1.3153 ke level par torhna hoga, kyun ke yeh woh level hai jahan bears apna qabza rakhna chahenge. Southward move ka target 1.3280 ka level ho sakta hai, aur is level ko haasil karne ke baad bullish direction mein harkat shuru karna zaroori hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum is plan ko hotay hue dekhein aur GBP/USD is option ke mutabiq upar ki taraf badhe. Is marhale par range mein wasee lagti hai, jo neeche 1.3220 se lekar upar 1.3450 tak ja sakti hai. Sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh harkat ke baad interest rates kis taraf jate hain. Meri raye yeh hai ke yeh 1.3200 ke level ko tor kar neeche ki taraf jaayegi. Main is soorat-e-haal ko fundamentals ke release ke waqt se jorhunga, jo ke volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai.

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Yahan yeh kehna zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke faislay ne resistance levels ko tor kar naye heights ko haasil karne ka moqa diya. Iske ilawa, Bank of England bhi aise halat paida kar raha hai jahan central bank debt ko nahi bech raha, jo ke growth momentum ko barhawa de raha hai. To, ab hum natija nikalte hain. Bulls ke liye zaroori hoga ke bullish trend ko tor kar 1.3400 ke level ke upar jaayein, lekin yeh fundamentals ke kumzor hone ki wajah se thoda weak lag raha hai. Halat to realistic lag rahi hai, lekin yeh plan kitni dair mein poora hoga yeh kehna mushkil hai, khaaskar jab 1.3520 ke level tak pahunchna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh nahi hota, to bulls shayad 1.3182 ke level ko tor nahi sakein, jabke sellers pair ko neeche 1.3234 ke support tak dhakel dein. Agar bears is level par consolidation karte hain, to downward trend mazid mazboot hoga aur downtrend ke jaari rehne ke asraat paida honge.

Lekin mere liye ab bhi northward jaane ki gunjaish hai. Mera khayal hai ke overall fundamentals ne GBP/USD ke girawat ko rok diya hai aur hum wapas bullish potential ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jo ke zaroori tha. To hamesha ki tarah, dono directions mein movement ke liye jagah hai. ke liye jagah hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya
GBP/USD pair ke liye agle marahil mein 1.3288 ka level gir sakta hai, lekin isse pehle southern support line ko 1.3153 ke level par torhna hoga, kyun ke yeh woh level hai jahan bears apna qabza rakhna chahenge. Southward move ka target 1.3280 ka level ho sakta hai, aur is level ko haasil karne ke baad bullish direction mein harkat shuru karna zaroori hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum is plan ko hotay hue dekhein aur GBP/USD is option ke mutabiq upar ki taraf badhe. Is marhale par range mein wasee lagti hai, jo neeche 1.3220 se lekar upar 1.3450 tak ja sakti hai. Sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh harkat ke baad interest rates kis taraf jate hain. Meri raye yeh hai ke yeh 1.3200 ke level ko tor kar neeche ki taraf jaayegi. Main is soorat-e-haal ko fundamentals ke release ke waqt se jorhunga, jo ke volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Yahan yeh kehna zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke faislay ne resistance levels ko tor kar naye heights ko haasil karne ka moqa diya. Iske ilawa, Bank of England bhi aise halat paida kar raha hai jahan central bank debt ko nahi bech raha, jo ke growth momentum ko barhawa de raha hai. To, ab hum natija nikalte hain. Bulls ke liye zaroori hoga ke bullish trend ko tor kar 1.3400 ke level ke upar jaayein, lekin yeh fundamentals ke kumzor hone ki wajah se thoda weak lag raha hai. Halat to realistic lag rahi hai, lekin yeh plan kitni dair mein poora hoga yeh kehna mushkil hai, khaaskar jab 1.3520 ke level tak pahunchna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh nahi hota, to bulls shayad 1.3182 ke level ko tor nahi sakein, jabke sellers pair ko neeche 1.3234 ke support tak dhakel dein. Agar bears is level par consolidation karte hain, to downward trend mazid mazboot hoga aur downtrend ke jaari rehne ke asraat paida honge.

Lekin mere liye ab bhi northward jaane ki gunjaish hai. Mera khayal hai ke overall fundamentals ne GBP/USD ke girawat ko rok diya hai aur hum wapas bullish potential ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jo ke zaroori tha. To hamesha ki tarah, dono directions mein ### GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya (Roman Urdu)

GBP/USD pair ke liye agle marahil mein 1.3288 ka level gir sakta hai, lekin isse pehle southern support line ko 1.3153 ke level par torhna hoga, kyun ke yeh woh level hai jahan bears apna qabza rakhna chahenge. Southward move ka target 1.3280 ka level ho sakta hai, aur is level ko haasil karne ke baad bullish direction mein harkat shuru karna zaroori hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum is plan ko hotay hue dekhein aur GBP/USD is option ke mutabiq upar ki taraf badhe. Is marhale par range mein wasee lagti hai, jo neeche 1.3220 se lekar upar 1.3450 tak ja sakti hai. Sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh harkat ke baad interest rates kis taraf jate hain. Meri raye yeh hai ke yeh 1.3200 ke level ko tor kar neeche ki taraf jaayegi. Main is soorat-e-haal ko fundamentals ke release ke waqt se jorhunga, jo ke volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai.

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**Name:** 1727691973494.jpg
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**Size:** 150.7 KB
**ID:** 18497526

Yahan yeh kehna zaroori hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke faislay ne resistance levels ko tor kar naye heights ko haasil karne ka moqa diya. Iske ilawa, Bank of England bhi aise halat paida kar raha hai jahan central bank debt ko nahi bech raha, jo ke growth momentum ko barhawa de raha hai. To, ab hum natija nikalte hain. Bulls ke liye zaroori hoga ke bullish trend ko tor kar 1.3400 ke level ke upar jaayein, lekin yeh fundamentals ke kumzor hone ki wajah se thoda weak lag raha hai. Halat to realistic lag rahi hai, lekin yeh plan kitni dair mein poora hoga yeh kehna mushkil hai, khaaskar jab 1.3520 ke level tak pahunchna zaroori hoga. Agar yeh nahi hota, to bulls shayad 1.3182 ke level ko tor nahi sakein, jabke sellers pair ko neeche 1.3234 ke support tak dhakel dein. Agar bears is level par consolidation karte hain, to downward trend mazid mazboot hoga aur downtrend ke jaari rehne ke asraat paida honge.

Lekin mere liye ab bhi northward jaane ki gunjaish hai. Mera khayal hai ke overall fundamentals ne GBP/USD ke girawat ko rok diya hai aur hum wapas bullish potential ki taraf jaa rahe hain, jo ke zaroori tha. To hamesha ki tarah, dono directions mein movement ke liye jagah hai. ke liye jagah hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya
GBP/USD ne ek martaba phir se U.S. dollar ke muqable mein apni taqat barhayi hai, aur yeh ek ahem trend hai jise monitor karna chahiye. GBP/USD ka chaar-ghante ka chart dekhne par yeh maloom hota hai ke upward movement puri tara se chali hui hai, aur buying opportunities achi lagti hain. Maine long positions ke liye kuch signals ko pehchana hai. MACD histogram ne negative zone se cross kar ke zero level ko paar kar liya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh halfway se zyada move karta hai aur open long position profit mein jati hai, to stop-loss ko breakeven par shift karna samajhdari hogi. Halanke, order book mein selling ki wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin ab bhi ye dekhna baqi hai ke price kitni door tak ja sakti hai. Zyada volume ke chances mukammal ho chuke hain, jisse aage mazeed development ke liye kam jagah bachti hai. Buying ka joosh thanda ho raha hai, aur lagta hai ke price mazeed kharidari ke liye kaafi upar hai. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke jald hi is pair ka reversal hoga.

Technically, agar resistance line break hoti hai, to mazeed buying opportunities ka ishara mil sakta hai, lekin main is baat par zyada zor de raha hoon ke ek aur rebound ho sakta hai jo ke corrective decline ko shuru kar sake, jo mumkinan 1.3320 tak ja sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ne American session ke doosray hissay mein bina kisi rukawat ke growth ko continue kiya. Yeh doosri martaba hai ke mera analysis ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke maine 1.3480 level se rebound aur uske baad ek corrective decline ki tawaqo ki thi. Iske bajaye, maine ek sell trade enter kiya lekin upward momentum jari raha. Agar hourly chart ko dekha jaye to hume yeh steady growth dekhne ko milti hai jo ke pehle se banay gaye ascending channel ke andar hai. Halanke, mujhe yeh maloom nahi ke aakhri harkat ka sabab kya hai, lekin yeh waazeh hai ke ek ahem player H4 chart par northern channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, 1.3510 ke kareeb, buying kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya
GBP/USD ne ek martaba phir se U.S. dollar ke muqable mein apni taqat barhayi hai, aur yeh ek ahem trend hai jise monitor karna chahiye. GBP/USD ka chaar-ghante ka chart dekhne par yeh maloom hota hai ke upward movement puri tara se chali hui hai, aur buying opportunities achi lagti hain. Maine long positions ke liye kuch signals ko pehchana hai. MACD histogram ne negative zone se cross kar ke zero level ko paar kar liya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh halfway se zyada move karta hai aur open long position profit mein jati hai, to stop-loss ko breakeven par shift karna samajhdari hogi. Halanke, order book mein selling ki wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin ab bhi ye dekhna baqi hai ke price kitni door tak ja sakti hai. Zyada volume ke chances mukammal ho chuke hain, jisse aage mazeed development ke liye kam jagah bachti hai. Buying ka joosh thanda ho raha hai, aur lagta hai ke price mazeed kharidari ke liye kaafi upar hai. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke jald hi is pair ka reversal hoga.

Technically, agar resistance line break hoti hai, to mazeed buying opportunities ka ishara mil sakta hai, lekin main is baat par zyada zor de raha hoon ke ek aur rebound ho sakta hai jo ke corrective decline ko shuru kar sake, jo mumkinan 1.3320 tak ja sakta hai. GBP/USD pair ne American session ke doosray hissay mein bina kisi rukawat ke growth ko continue kiya. Yeh doosri martaba hai ke mera analysis ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke maine 1.3480 level se rebound aur uske baad ek corrective decline ki tawaqo ki thi. Iske bajaye, maine ek sell trade enter kiya lekin upward momentum jari raha. Agar hourly chart ko dekha jaye to hume yeh steady growth dekhne ko milti hai jo ke pehle se banay gaye ascending channel ke andar hai. Halanke, mujhe yeh maloom nahi ke aakhri harkat ka sabab kya hai, lekin yeh waazeh hai ke ek ahem player H4 chart par northern channel ke upper boundary ke aas-paas, 1.3510 ke kareeb, buying kar raha hai.

gbpusd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai. Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai.



Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

Pound ki recent kamzori euro ke muqablay mein zyadatar UK ke post-Brexit taluqaat mein chalay aanay walay ghair yaqeeni halat ki wajah se hai, khaaskar fishing rights aur Northern Ireland Protocol ke hal na hone walay masail. Yeh siyasi tensions un factors ko peeche chorr deti hain jo asarandaaz ho sakte thay, jaise ke Bank of England ka rate hike ka expectation. Central bank ke hawkish stance ke bawajood, yeh tashweesh barqarar hai ke ek rate increase bhi pound par padne wale neechey ke dabao ko door karne ke liye kaafi nahi hoga.

**Technical Perspective**

Agar hum technical analysis ki baat karein, tou GBP/EUR pair is waqt aik ahem resistance aur support zones ke darmiyan chal raha hai. Fibonacci retracement aur extension levels bohot zaroori indicators hain jo traders ko is cheez ka andaza lagane mein madad deti hain ke price action kahan ruk sakta hai ya phir break out kar sakta hai. Pound ka resistance ke kareeb pohonchna yeh zahir karta hai ke yeh ek critical mor par hai. Aur agar UK ke EU ke sath negoshiations mein koi naye developments hoti hain, ya phir Bank of England ki policy mein koi tabdeeli aati hai, tou yeh currency ki agle move ko tay karne mein aik badi kirdar ada kar sakti hain.

**Fundamental Drivers**

Pound ki girawat ka aik bara sabab UK-EU negoshiations ke hawalay se paaye jaane wali ghair yaqeeni halat hai, khaaskar fishing rights ke masle ke hawalay se. Yeh masla post-Brexit challenges ka aik symbol ban gaya hai, aur siyasi be impasse is issue ke hawalay se market sentiment par bhi bhari hai. Traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke koi bhi aise developments jo dono tarafon ke darmiyan tension ko barhawa dein, wo pound ke liye mazeed pressure laa sakti hain. Saath hi, Bank of England ka rate hike ka imkaan jo aam tor par aik bullish factor samjha jata hai, ab tak pound ko zyada support nahi de raha hai. Iski waja zyadatar political risks hain jo market ko overshadow kar rahe hain.

Agar hum fundamental aur technical factors ko saath mila kar dekhein, tou GBP/EUR pair ke liye aglay din bohot ahem sabit ho sakte hain. Jaise hi UK aur EU ke darmiyan negoshiations ke hawalay se koi news aati hai, ya phir Bank of England koi further actions leta hai, is cheez ka asar asaani se pound ke aglay move par dekha ja sakta hai. Is waqt, investors aur traders ko yeh advice ki ja rahi hai ke wo in developments par karibi nazar rakhein aur market ke hawalay se apne decisions ko timely banaayein.

GBP/USD ka 1-day chart ek mazboot uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price iss waqt 1.33754 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ka izhaar karti hai. Yehi sentiment pair ko pichle resistance levels torhne par majboor kar raha hai. Haal hi ki price action ne displaced liquidity (DLiq) zones ko 1.25000 aur 1.30000 par retest kiya tha, jiske baad price ooper gayi. Ye areas ab crucial support levels ka kaam kar rahe hain. Uptrend ke dauran milne wale fair value gaps (FVGs) abhi tak unmitigated zones hain jo ke future pullbacks ke liye price magnets ka kaam kar sakte hain. Major resistance zone chart ke upper liquidity clusters ke paas hai, jo ke 1.35000 ke qareeb hai. Ye psychological level abhi tak breach nahi hui hai, aur traders yeh dekh rahe hain ke kya is level par rejection ya breakthrough hoga. Agar price is resistance se ooper nikalti hai, toh agla significant target takreeban 1.36500 ho sakta hai, jahan aur liquidity mojood hai. Yeh wo level hai jo 2024 ke shuruat mein dekha gaya tha. Agar downside movement hota hai, toh price phir se recently tested DLiq zones ko, khaaskar 1.30000 aur 1.25000 ke qareeb, revisit kar sakti hai. Ye zones bullish momentum ko support karne mein historically significant rahe hain. In levels ke darmiyan kuch FVGs ki maujoodgi ye baat aur mazid emphasize karti hai ke corrective movements ke baad ek aur upward leg aa sakti hai. Fundamental perspective se dekha jaye, toh spot prices ka rasta abhi bhi ooper ki taraf hai, magar daily chart par overbought conditions ki waja se bullish traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. British Pound ko Bank of England ke rate cuts ke expectations ka support hai jo ke US ke compare mein dheere dheere hote rahenge. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates ka rukh downward hoga, magar ye progress dheere hogi aur bina kisi major shocks ke ultra-low levels par wapis nahi aayegi. Doosri taraf, markets zyada aggressive policy easing ki expectations rakh rahi hain Federal Reserve (Fed) se, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ko YTD levels ke paas neeche rakh raha hai

## GBP/USD Currency Pair Price Action Breakdown
GBP/USD apne aakhri waqt mein U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai, jo ek aham rukh hai dekhne ke liye. GBP/USD ke four-hour chart par yeh upward movement puri tarah se chal rahi hai, aur buying opportunities kaafi favorable lag rahi hain. Maine kuch signals identify kiye hain jo long positions ke liye positive hain.

MACD histogram ne negative zone se shift hotey hue zero level ko cross kiya hai aur ab positive territory mein hai. Agar yeh movement 50% se zyada hoti hai aur open long position profitable ban jaati hai, toh stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajdari hai. Halankeh order book mein dekhi gayi selling wave is growth ko support karti hai, lekin yeh abhi tak clear nahi hai ke price kitna upar ja sakta hai. Zyada volumes dekhne ko mile hain, jo aage ke development ke liye zyada space nahi chhodte. Buying momentum ab dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, aur price ab aise lag raha hai ke additional purchases ke liye bohot high hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh pair jald hi reversal karega.

Market ke nazar mein, traders ko British pound ke liye koi achhe entry points nahi dikh rahe hain, lekin unka rukh bearish correction ki taraf hai. Asset price is waqt ek significant weekly liquidity level 1.3401 ke aas-paas test kar raha hai, jo shayad Asian trading session ke doran ho raha hai. Trader ko umeed hai ke correction opposite liquidity areas 1.3238 aur 1.3222 ke aas-paas aayegi, jinko unhoon ne pehle highlight kiya tha. Ab wo market close ka intezar kar rahe hain taake dekhein ke Asian traders kaise respond karte hain.

Maujooda growth speculative lagti hai, jo Britain mein economic decline aur U.S. ki economic strength se driven hai. Technically, agar resistance line tooti hai toh ye further buying opportunities ka signal ho sakta hai, lekin trader ka rukh ab bhi ek aur rebound ki taraf hai jo corrective decline ko trigger kar sakta hai, shayad 1.3366 tak.

GBP/USD pair ne American session ke dusre hise mein lagataar growth dekhi hai, jo trader ki analysis ko galat sabit karti hai. Unhoon ne 1.3401 level se rebound aur baad mein corrective decline ki tawaqqo ki thi, lekin asal mein unhoon ne sell trade mein entry ki aur phir bhi upward momentum dekha. Price steady rise par hai, jo upward-trending channel bana raha hai. Yeh recent movement ka exact sabab clear nahi hai, lekin lagta hai ke ek major player choti dips par asset ko khareed raha hai, jo price ko upar le ja raha hai. Yeh growth jo 6:31 PM Moscow time se shuru hui, shayad northward channel ke upper limit tak, jo 1.3431 ke aas-paas hai, chalu rahegi

BP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitable hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain

Technical Analysis:

Yeh pair apne haal ke gains ka kuch hissa wapas le aaya hai, naya trading haftha shuru hone par 1.3400 ke mark ke neeche gir gaya hai. Yeh girawat ek mazboot saat din ki rally ke baad hui, jisne pair ko 1.3429 ke 29-month high par pohanchaya. Jab ke British Pound ki taqat is dauran 3% se zyada badhi, somwar ka yeh slip currency ki upward trajectory mein ek rukawat darshata hai.

Pound ki haal ki taqat ke bawajood, aise nishan hain ke pair agle waqt mein minor correction ka samna kar sakta hai. Raat bhar ke gains ne pair ko mid-1.3450 range tak pohanchaya, lekin ab yeh neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo intraday declines ki sambhavana ko barhata hai. Agar yeh corrective phase jari raha, to pair key support levels 1.3300 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break hone par 1.3325 par additional support dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Market Speculation Around BoE Rate Cuts:

Pound Sterling ki agle harkat par market ki speculation ka asar hoga jo Bank of England (BoE) se potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se hai. UK se koi ahem economic data nahi aa raha, is liye sabka dhyan BoE ke agle policy move par hai. Market participants ko umeed hai ke BoE saal ke aakhir tak ek aur interest rate cut implement karega, jo September mein Monetary Policy Committee ke members ke darmiyan 5-4 ka close split ke baad hai. Pehle ke umeedon ke bawajood, kuch mazboot economic reports, jaise ke August ka behtar-than-expected flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI data, ne further monetary easing ki sambhavana par sawal uthaye hain.

Impact of US Federal Reserve Rate Expectations:

Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki umeed US Dollar par bhaari hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko support de raha hai. Rabobank ke analysts ka andaza hai ke US labor market agle mahine mein aur behtar nahi hoga, jo Federal Reserve ko chaar musalsal 25 basis points ke rate cuts implement karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo September se shuru hote hue November, December, aur January tak jari rahega. Yeh umeedain Greenback ki kamzori ka sabab ban rahi hain, jo British Pound ke liye tailwind bana rahi hain.

Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch:

Spot price haal hi mein US Dollar ke khilaf 1.3430 ke do aur aadha saal ke high tak pohanch gaya, jo weekly chart par Rising Channel pattern se breakout ke bawajood tha. Agar bullish momentum jari rahta hai, to pair apne gains ko barha sakta hai aur agla major resistance level 1.3641 ko target kar sakta hai, jo 4 February 2022 ko dekha gaya tha. Magar is target tak pohanchne ki salahiyat broader market dynamics aur aane wale economic data par depend karegi.

Immediate Support and Resistance Levels:

Is pair ka foran ka support level 1.3300 par hai, jabke resistance recent high 1.3430 ke aas paas hai. Agar pair 1.3300 ke upar rehne mein kaamyab hota hai, to yeh apni upward trend ko dobara shuru kar sakta hai aur uncha resistance levels target kar sakta hai, jahan 1.3641 agla potential upside target hai. Magar agar yeh 1.3300 ke neeche sustained move karta hai, to yeh gehri correction ki shuruaat ka signal de sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka jo jorha hai, wo Monday ke Asian trading session mein dheere dheere upar ki taraf gaya, ab 1.3398 ke aas-paas trading kar raha hai, kyunki Middle East mein kisi bara conflict ke khauf mein kami nazar aayi. Ye tab hua jab US General C.Q. Brown ne Reuters ko bataya ke Israel aur Hezbollah ke darmiyan fire exchange ke baad escalation ka khauf kam ho gaya hai. Ye jorha, jo global risk sentiment ke liye sensitive hai, in geopolitical developments ke beech support hasil kar raha hai.

Investors ko aage ke dinon mein geopolitical risks aur economic data releases par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye jorha par gehra asar dal sakte hain. Middle East ki ongoing situation, saath hi US aur UK ki monetary policy ke developments, market sentiment ko banane mein important factors honge. BoE ka rate cuts par ehtiyaat bhara rawayya aur Fed ki future policy direction ki unclearity, GBP/USD pair ko mazeed volatility ka shikaar kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole Symposium mein kaha ke "policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai." Magar, Powell ne ye nahi bataya ke rate cuts kab shuru honge ya kitne bade honge. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ab Fed ke agle September meeting mein kam se kam 25 basis point rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Fed ki policy ke aspaas ki uncertainty ne USD mein volatility ko janam diya hai, jo GBP/USD ko kuch support de raha hai.

Jackson Hole Symposium mein Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne future interest rate cuts ke liye ehtiyaat bhara approach dikhaya. Unhone ye bhi kaha ke inflation ke doosre dauraan ke asraat shayad utne chhote hon jitne expect kiye ja rahe hain, lekin unhone warned kiya ke rates ko bohot jaldi ya bohot zyada nahi katna chahiye. Bailey ke ye comments, jo Reuters ne report kiye, BoE ki careful balancing act ko highlight karte hain jab wo post-pandemic inflationary pressures ke beech UK ki economic recovery ko support karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Ye jorha aakhri 14 trading days mein se sirf do din ke alawa gains hasil kar chuka hai, jab bullish sentiment isko upar le ja raha hai. Magar, traders ko ek potential pullback ke liye ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, khaas taur par jab market mein overbought conditions hain. Iske bawajood, ye jorha abhi bhi 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3096 ke upar hai, jo dikhata hai ke kisi bearish trend reversal ke asar abhi door hain. Agar koi significant drop nahi hota, to bearish signal charts par nazar nahi aayega.

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3435 ka naya do saal aur paanch maheenon ka high chhoo liya, lekin iske baad thodi si correction dekhne ko mili. Halankeh, qareebi nazar mein outlook ab bhi positive hai kyunki ye jorha weekly chart par Rising Channel formation ke breakout ke upar qaim hai. Agar bullish momentum phir se shuru hota hai, to ye jorha agle key resistance level 1.3641 ki taraf aage barhne ki umeed rakhta hai, jo ke 4 February 2022 ka high hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ka girna 1.3288 ke level tak ho sakta hai, lekin is se pehle, 1.3153 ke level par southern support line tootni zaroori hai, kyunki ye wahi level hai jahan bears rukne ki koshish karenge. Neeche ki taraf chalne ka target 1.3280 ka level hoga, jahan tak pahuncha to bullish vector ke mutabiq move shuru karna zaroori hoga. Shayad, hum ye plan amal mein dekhein aur GBP/USD is option par upar barh sakta hai. Is marahil par, hum range ko widen hote dekh rahe hain, jo 1.3220 se neeche aur 1.3450 se upar tak ho sakta hai. Yahan sab se ahem baat ye hai keh interest rates is move ke baad kahan jayengi. Meri hypothesis ye hai keh ye 1.3200 ke level ko tod dega aur neeche ki taraf jayega. Main is situation ko fundamentals release hone se jorhta hoon, jo potential volatility create karta hai.

Mujhe yahan kehna hai keh Fed ka faisla ne resistance levels ko todne aur naye bulandiyon tak pahunchnay ki sambhavnayein faraham ki. Bank of England bhi aisi surat-e-haal bana raha hai jahan wo central bank ke qarzay nahi bech raha, jo growth momentum ko barhata hai.

Toh aayiye nateeja nikaalain. Bulls ke liye bullish trend ko merge karne ke liye 1.3400 ke level par break zaroori hai, lekin ye kamzor fundamentals ki wajah se kamzor lagta hai. Halankeh ye activity haqeeqat lagti hai, lekin ye wazeh nahi keh ye plan kitna waqt lega, khaaskar 1.3520 ke level tak pahunchnay ki zarurat ko dekhte hue. Agar ye nahi hota, to bulls 1.3182 ke level ko todne mein nakam ho sakte hain, jab keh sellers pair ko 1.3234 par support tak le ja sakte hain. Is level par bears ka consolidation downward trend ko mazid taqat dega aur downtrend ke jari rehne ki sambhavnayein khol dega.

Lekin mere liye, ab bhi upar ki taraf jane ki sambhavnayein hain. Mujhe lagta hai keh overall fundamentals ne GBP/USD ki girawat ko khatam kar diya hai aur hum ab bullish potential par wapas aa gaye hain, jo yahan hona chahiye. Toh, jaise hamesha, dono taraf movement ke liye jagah hai.