gbp/usd

Great British MPC Official Bank Vote aur CPI rate ne buyers ke liye kaafi faida diya. Is wajah se, GBP/USD ne kal 1.3313 zone ko cross kiya. Is ke ilawa, pichhla haftha US economy ke liye mushkil raha, kyunki kai economic data aur events ne US dollar par negative asar daala. Hafte ke shuru se, key financial indicators jaise US Consumer Price Index (CPI), Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki monetary policy decisions, aur FOMC Press Conference ne US dollar ke liye zaroori stability faraham nahi ki. Yeh turbulence poor hafte chali, jisse currency apni taqat banaye rakhne mein mushkil mehsoos kar rahi thi. Is liye, GBP/USD ka market ab buyers ke haq mein rahega, aur wo jaldi ya baad mein 1.3365 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. US dollar par asar dalne wale aham events mein se ek Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ka release tha. CPI, jo inflation ka key indicator hai, investors aur policymakers ke liye closely monitored hai. Is hafte ka CPI data inflationary pressures mein koi khaas relief nahi dikhata, special core inflation mein, jo volatile categories jaise food aur energy ko exclude karta hai. Is data ne market participants ko Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke agle move ke bare mein pareshan kar diya. Aam tor par, high inflation yeh darshata hai ke Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten kar sakta hai, jo interest rates ko barha sakta hai aur currency ko support de sakta hai. Magar, is hafte ka data market ko Federal Reserve ke agle move ke bare mein unsure chhod gaya, jo US dollar ki kamzori ko aur barhata hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ne federal funds rate ko kam karne ka elan kiya, jo economic activity ko stimulate karne ke liye tha. Aam tor par, jab interest rates girte hain, to ye borrowing aur investment ko barhawa dete hain kyunki loans afford karna asaan hota hai. Lekin, is action ne US dollar par ulta asar dala

According to the daily chart, market structure ne 1.3410 par ek higher high banaya hai. Is liye, market ke paas bullish trend ko continue karne ki potential hai. Green base area, jo daily limit flag hai, abhi stuck hai, is wajah se price upar nahi jaa payi hai. Yeh bhi possibility hai ke price correction kare. Correction yellow 1.3350 demand area tak jaari rahegi, jiski wajah se sideways trend banega. Nisa ka plan hai ke wo yellow area mein buy setup ke liye wait karein taake primary plan buying par focus ho. Short-term outlook bearish hai, is liye pehle sell karne par focus karna chahiye.

H4 timeframe par candle zyada tar daily Moving Average ke upar hai, jo ek uptrend ko zahir karta hai. H4 par ek bearish candle ke zahir hone ki wajah se pehle correction ho sakti hai, takay 50 MA level ko dobara test kiya ja sake. A lower low 1.3330 par downward signal deta hai, is wajah se 1.3280 par sell ka mauqa hai, jo ke MA 50 ke line mein hai. Correction ka faida uthate hue 1.3440 par sell karen. Stop Loss (SL) ko 1.3455 ke aas-paas rakhen. Demand area ka target 1.3305 hai. Jab price demand area 1.03430 mein enter ho jaye, to buy karen, SL 1.3380, aur Take Profit (TP) supply area 1.3550 par rakhen.
Aaj ke analysis ke mutabiq, hum aglay hafte market movements ko apni predictions ke mutabiq dekh sakte hain. Aapki active participation aur trading plan ke sath commitment humare liye maximum profits hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek positive note par khatam hota hai, aur mein humari mustaqbil ki kamyabi ka intezaar kar raha hoon. Aapka din acha guzray aur aapko holiday season mubarak ho.

GBP/USD ke liye bullish potential abhi bhi achi halat mein hai, kyun ke Pound ne Bank of Britain (BoE) aur US Central Bank (Fed) ke darmiyan maali policy ke farq ka faida uthaya, jo ke national banks ki meeting ke dauran zahir hua.

Fed ne Wednesday ko 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jis se Fed funds rate 4.75%-5.0% ke daira mein aa gaya. Economic Projections ki list, jo ke Spot Plot chart kehlati hai, ne is saal aur agle saal mein kul 100 basis points ke rate cuts ka izhar kiya.

Is ke muqabil, BoE ne Thursday ko apne policy rate ko 5.0% par rakha, jab ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne warn kiya ke policymakers ko "bohot jaldi ya zyada na kaatne" ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

Dono national banks ke darmiyan ke is farq ne GBP/USD pair mein zyada udaan di, jo ke Thursday ko 1.3315 par 30-maheene ka naya uncha point bana. Khareedne walay haftay ke aakhir mein bhi in control rahe, jab ke China ke maali slowdown ke hawale se khauf tha.

Haftay ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.3200 ke aas-paas apne recovery mode ko pakar ke rakha, kyun ke traders ne national banks ke faisle se pehle kisi bhi major bet se door rehne ka faisla kiya.

US Retail Sales ka data Tuesday ko aaya, jo kaafi strong tha aur is ne USD ke liye 'soft landing' ki umeed ko kuch waqt ke liye behtar kiya, lekin ye optimism jaldi khatam ho gaya jab Fed ka faisla aaya. Retail Sales pichle mahine 0.1% barh gayi, jab ke July mein 1.1% ka izafa dekha gaya, ye US Trade Department ke Census Bureau ne bataya.

Is beech, UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne Friday ko data publish kiya, jis ne dikhaya ke UK mein Retail Sales August mein 1.0% tak barh gayi, jab ke July mein 0.5% ka izafa hua tha. Ye data expected 0.4% growth se behtar raha, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke UK ki economy bhi kuch acha kar rahi hai.

Is tarah, GBP/USD ka trend bullish rahne ki umeed hai, lekin market ki halat aur globa

GBP/USD ke liye bullish potential abhi bhi achi halat mein hai, kyun ke Pound ne Bank of Britain (BoE) aur US Central Bank (Fed) ke darmiyan maali policy ke farq ka faida uthaya, jo ke national banks ki meeting ke dauran zahir hua.

Fed ne Wednesday ko 50 basis points ka interest rate cut kiya, jis se Fed funds rate 4.75%-5.0% ke daira mein aa gaya. Economic Projections ki list, jo ke Spot Plot chart kehlati hai, ne is saal aur agle saal mein kul 100 basis points ke rate cuts ka izhar kiya.

Is ke muqabil, BoE ne Thursday ko apne policy rate ko 5.0% par rakha, jab ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne warn kiya ke policymakers ko "bohot jaldi ya zyada na kaatne" ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

Dono national banks ke darmiyan ke is farq ne GBP/USD pair mein zyada udaan di, jo ke Thursday ko 1.3315 par 30-maheene ka naya uncha point bana. Khareedne walay haftay ke aakhir mein bhi in control rahe, jab ke China ke maali slowdown ke hawale se khauf tha.

Haftay ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.3200 ke aas-paas apne recovery mode ko pakar ke rakha, kyun ke traders ne national banks ke faisle se pehle kisi bhi major bet se door rehne ka faisla kiya.

US Retail Sales ka data Tuesday ko aaya, jo kaafi strong tha aur is ne USD ke liye 'soft landing' ki umeed ko kuch waqt ke liye behtar kiya, lekin ye optimism jaldi khatam ho gaya jab Fed ka faisla aaya. Retail Sales pichle mahine 0.1% barh gayi, jab ke July mein 1.1% ka izafa dekha gaya, ye US Trade Department ke Census Bureau ne bataya.

Is beech, UK ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne Friday ko data publish kiya, jis ne dikhaya ke UK mein Retail Sales August mein 1.0% tak barh gayi, jab ke July mein 0.5% ka izafa hua tha. Ye data expected 0.4% growth se behtar raha, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke UK ki economy bhi kuch acha kar rahi hai.

Is tarah, GBP/USD ka trend bullish rahne ki umeed hai, lekin market ki halat aur globa

Recent market movements in the currency pair reflect significant shifts influenced by central bank decisions and economic indicators. Bank of England (BoE) ke recent policy adjustments ke baad, GBP/USD ek 'hammer' candlestick pattern banata nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 2.21% ki kami ke baad aaya. Yeh technical formation potential upward momentum ko signal kar sakti hai, jisse price 1.3120 level ke upar chadh sakti hai aur 1.3100 mark ko dobara dekh sakti hai. BoE ke borrowing costs ko kam karne ke bawajood, unki policy restrictive hi rahi hai, largely inflation expectations ke 2.25% tak barhane ki wajah se. Current market dynamics central bank policies aur economic data ke beech ek tug-of-war ko reflect karte hain. Jaise BoE aur Fed apne respective policy paths ko navigate kar rahe hain, GBP/USD traders ko inflation trends aur interest rate adjustments ke further clues ke liye alert rehna chahiye. In developments ke results future market movements aur trading strategies ko impact karenge. Central Bank Moves: Powell Hints at Rate Cut, Bailey Defends Policy
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne rate cut ke potential ke bare mein hint diya hai agar inflation expectations ke sath align hoti hai, economic growth robust rehta hai, aur labor market apne current trend par rehta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye hain, jo suggest karte hain ke aisa move Fed ke September meeting ke doran consider kiya ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, yeh apne gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai, ek weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report ke wajah se. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko chay bade currencies ke khilaf naapta hai, ab tak 101.89 par aa gaya hai jo intraday low 100.48 se upar hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ki decision ko defend kiya hai jo policy rate ko 5% par kam kiya gaya. Bailey ne media inquiries ko address karte hue bataya ke minimum wage ka barhna unke perspective se detrimental nahi hai. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karti hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress karti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory, including potential risks, ab 2% target ke nazdeek hai jo ke pehle ke forecasts ke muqablay mein.

GBP/USD currency pair, jo forex market mein sab se zyada trade kiya jata hai, is waqt dynamic pricing behavior dikha raha hai, jismein ek noticeable upward movement hai. Traders aur market participants is pair ke uthal puthal ko bariki se dekh rahe hain, aur iske recent performance ne kafi dilchaspi aur tawajju ko barhaya hai. Kal GBP/USD ne apna local maximum 1.3360 par update kiya, aur apni recent uptrend aur key levels ke trend ko jaari rakha.
GBP/USD pair mein jo izafa ho raha hai, yeh aik wasee uptrend ka hissa hai jo pichlay chand trading sessions se momentum hasil kar raha hai. Kal ka move 1.3360 tak aik naya local maximum mark kar raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market ko control kar rahe hain. Yeh level technical traders ke liye ahem hai, kyun ke yeh latest resistance level ko highlight karta hai, jo ke price ko apne upward path ko continue karne ke liye break karna hoga.

Agar upward trend jaari rehti hai, toh traders agle resistance ko 1.3400 par dekhenge, jo ek ahem psychological level hai. Lekin yeh levels ke qareeb price ko kuch rukawat ka samna ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh ahem resistance zones ke ird gird volatility aur profit-taking barh jati hai. Agar price 1.3360 se barh kar sustain kar le, toh yeh mazeed buying interest ko trigger kar sakti hai, aur price ko 1.3450 ya is se bhi upar push kar sakti hai.

Factors Jo Upward Movement Ko Drive Kar Rahe Hain

Kayi factors ne GBP/USD ke recent upward momentum ko contribute kiya hai. Ek ahem driver British pound ka U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein relative strength hai. UK mein chal rahi kuch economic challenges, jaise ke inflation concerns aur slower growth ke bawajood, Bank of England ka tightening monetary policy ka stance pound ko support provide kar raha hai. Investors yeh bet laga rahe hain ke Bank of England zyada hawkish stance le sakta hai, ya toh higher interest rates ke through ya quantitative tightening measures ke zariye. Isne pound ko recent sessions mein U.S. dollar par edge diya hai.

Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar kuch kamzori dikhata nazar aaya hai, kyun ke Federal Reserve ka interest rates ke baray mein stance relatively dovish raha hai. Jab ke Fed ne yeh signal diya hai ke woh rates barhata rahega, lekin recent data ne yeh indicate kiya hai ke yeh pace slow ho sakta hai, jis se greenback ki demand kam hui hai. Natija tan GBP/USD pair ko monetary policy outlooks ke is divergence se faida hua hai.

Technical Perspective

Technical analysis ke point of view se dekha jaye toh, 1.3360 level short-term traders ke liye bohot important hai. Agle chand trading sessions yeh tay karenge ke yeh level further gains ke liye springboard banega ya price lower levels par retrace karega. Agar pullback hota hai, toh pehla support level jo dekhne layak hoga wo 1.3300 ke qareeb hai, jahan buying interest barh sakta hai. 1.3300analysis ke point of view se dekha jaye toh, 1.3360 level short-term traders ke liye bohot important hai. Agle chand trading sessions yeh tay karenge ke yeh level further gains ke liye se neeche break karne se deeper correction ho sakta hai jo 1.3250 tak ja sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, market sentiment bhi yeh tay karne mein aik aham kirdar ada karega ke upward movement mein kitni jaan hai. Traders aney walay economic data ko qareebi se monitor karenge, jaise employment figures, inflation rates, aur central bank statements, taake pair ke future direction ko andaza lagaya ja sake.

GBP/USD ke price trend ka tajziya is waqt discuss kiya ja raha hai. Natija umeed ke khilaf tha. Bank of England ka rates kam na karne ka faisla mujhe hairan karne wala tha, jab ke Federal Reserve ne bohot zyada rates kam kiye, halan ke UK ka GDP balance negative hai aur U.S. economy mazboot ho rahi hai. Ye na-munasib decisions ab pichay reh gaye hain, aur ab waqt hai ke mustaqbil par tawajju di jaye. Khul kar kahun toh, British economy ki naazuk surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, mujhe nahi lagta ke pound mein koi khaas buying interest aaega. Jab ke dollar rising stock market ke pressure mein hai, ye upward trend hamesha ke liye jaari nahi reh sakta. Kisi na kisi waqt, stock market ko ek sharp downturn ka samna ho sakta hai, halan ke ye qareebi mustaqbil mein mushkil hai. Phir bhi, mujhe hairani hoti hai ke Middle East mein jo geopolitical tensions chal rahi hain, khaaskar Israel ke actions, unhe kitni dair tak nazarandaz kiya ja sakta hai, aur yeh tensions kisi baray conflict ka sabab ban sakti hain.
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GBP/USD pair ne phir se Monday ko izafa dikhaya, aur aik naya local high banaya. Euro ki tarah, din ka aaghaz ek decline se hua jo ke UK mein macroeconomic data release hone se aik ghanta pehle shuru hua. British pound ka girna samajh mein aata hai kyun ke services aur manufacturing sectors ke business activity indices umeed se kamzor aaye. Lekin uske baad ek aur be buniyad growth ka silsila shuru ho gaya. Asal mein, agar abhi bhi koi traders hain jo current movement ke illogical nature par yaqeen nahi karte, toh Monday ka din aik roshan misaal hai ke kaise pound barh raha hai. UK mein kamzor data samne aya – pound 65 pips gir gaya. Phir woh 80 pips barh gaya bina kisi wajah ke, aur phir 30 pips aur kho diye U.S. ke kamzor business activity indices par.

Iss tarah, traders “bare” technical analysis ya kisi aur trading systems aur indicators ka istemal kar ke current upward movement ka faida utha sakte hain, lekin iska, traders “bare” technical analysis ya kisi aur trading systems aur indicators ka istemal kar ke current upward movement ka faida utha sakte hain, lekin iska ye matlab nahi ke yeh movement logical ya reasonable hai. Isliye, humare liye yeh mushkil hai ke hum kisi ko is waqt pound khareedne ka mashwara dein, halan ke yeh barhta hi ja raha hai. British currency apni momentum par mazeed arsa barh sakti hai. Agar market abhi is pair ko bechne ke ye matlab nahi ke yeh movement logical ya reasonable hai. Isliye, humare liye yeh mushkil hai ke hum kisi ko is waqt

pound khareedne ka mashwara dein, halan ke yeh barhta hi ja raha hai. British currency apni momentum par mazeed arsa barh sakti hai. Agar market abhi is pair k
o bechne ke bare mein nahi soch raha, toh koi cheez inhein mazeed ek do maheenay ke liye khareedne se nahi rok sakti. Hum umeed karte hain ke yeh relentless buying agle maheenay tak khatam ho jaegi, kyun ke Federal Reserve ne key rate ko kam karna shuru kar diya hai. Market ne is event ko do saal pehle hi price in karna shuru kar diya tha.

Humari guftagu mein, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 chart par, maine pehle bearish sell level 1.31703 par hit kiya, lekin breakdown false sabit hua kyunki koi decline nahi hua. Baad mein, ek bullish buy level 1.32829 par breach hua, jo growth ka signal de raha tha aur H1 chart ke liye bullish priority set kar raha tha. Maine apni losing sell trade ko close kiya aur 1.32829 par ek buy trade enter kiya, jo mein ne 1.33329 par close kiya. Halan ke ab mazeed buy karne ka irada nahi, lekin bullish trend ab bhi dominant hai, jo 1.34639–1.34949 resistance levels tak mazeed growth ko suggest karta hai. Pound ne apna upward trend jaari rakha, sirf kuch choti corrective dips se interrupt hua jo bearish traders ko short-term movements se faida uthane ka mauqa diya. 1.3269 level ek potential correction point tha GBP/USD ke liye, jo 1.309 tak dip hua, jahan bearish consolidation ruk gaya. Is correction ke baad, buyers ne phir se positions banana shuru kar diya, jo pair ko wapas 1.3269 tak le aya aur isko successfully surpass kar gaya.
Wednesday - GBP/USD currency pair. Aaj girne ki koshish ab tak kamyab nahi hui, wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein bana hua hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai aur apni signal line se ooper hai. Pichla trading hafta multidirectional raha, lekin akhir mein buyers jeet gaye. Girne ki koshish hui, lekin price 1.3150 ke horizontal support level se neeche break nahi kar saki. Yeh level four-hour chart par behtar dekha ja sakta hai, price ne pichle hafte do martaba is level ko hit kiya aur dono dafa bohot zyada ooper chali gayi. MACD indicator par bearish divergence hai jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. Waisa hi, MACD par H4-H1 par bhi bearish divergence mojood hai. CCI indicator jaldi upper overheating zone se nikalne ke liye tayar hai. Pichle hafte pound ke liye sabse badi news yeh thi ke Bank of England ne interest rate ko unchanged rakha, jis ke nateejay mein pound ne apne highs ko update kiya. Upward trend ke bawajood, general surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, mera andaza hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein price neechay press hona shuru hogi ascending line tak jo ke purani daily waves ke bottoms par bani hui hai aur level 1.3150 tak. Agar yeh line aur level hold nahi karte, toh ek descent expected hai 1.3008 ke main horizontal support level tak, jahan se price ne haali mein touch karne ke baad tezi se ooper ki taraf move kiya, yeh level September ka minimum hai. Abhi ke liye, is height par buy karne ka koi faida nahi, lekin aap bechne par gaur kar sakte hain jab ek corresponding formation kisi chhoti time period par ban jaye. Aaj ki main news 17-00 par release hogi - US Consumer Confidence Index from CB.

Dosto, D1 chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ascending trend line se rebound kar ke upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Kai martaba, neeche se upar jaate hue, price ne 60% Fibonacci level 1.3350 ko break kiya, magar uspe consolidate nahi kar saka. Abhi ye pair 1.3425 par trade ho raha hai. Technical indicators aur moving averages sell signals de rahe hain. Gold Bands indicator ke nateejay mein, short positions kholne ka bhi mauqa hai. Bollinger Bands aur TMA mein bhi downward trend hai. Price abhi upar move kar rahi hai, lekin 1.3430-1.3465 ke levels par ye neeche ki taraf turn ho sakti hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price aaj ascending channel ko top se neeche breach kar jaye. Abhi tak, ascending wave continue kar rahi hai, jisme pair 1.3390 tak ja channel ko top se neeche breach kar jaye. Abhi tak, ascending wave continue kar rahi hai, jisme pair 1.3390 tak ja sakti hai. Kabhi kabhi market wave failure bhi dikhata hai. Price abhi trend line se thoda


neeche trade kar rahi hai. Lekin 1.3430 ke aas-paas ek resistance level abhi tak break nahi hua. Neeche ke time frames par resistance 1.3355 par hai. Jab tak price pair is level ko breach nahi karta, upside limited hai. Iske baraks, candles par ghoor se nazar rakhni chahiye. Price ek wedge form kar rahi hai. Agar pair 1.3430 tak pahunchti hai hai. Kabhi kabhi market wave failure bhi dikhata hai. Price abhi trend line se thoda neeche trade kar rahi hai. Lekin 1.3430 ke aas-paas ek resistance level abhi tak break nahi hua. Neeche ke time frames par resistance 1.3355 par hai. Jab tak price pair is level ko breach nahi karta, upside limited hai. Iske baraks, candles par ghoor se nazar rakhni chahiye. Price ek wedge form kar rahi hai. Agar pair 1.3430 tak pahunchti hai aur pichli candle ke neeche drop hone ke baghair wahaan rehti hai, toh pair increase kar sakti hai aur teesri ascending wave create kar sakti hai. Filhal, price resistance ke neeche hai, toh short trades mumkin hain agar stop-loss order ko entry point ke kareeb adjust kiya jaye, jahan price resistance se neeche ho. Jab main 1.3290 tak pahunchun, toh short position kholne ki koshish karunga, jisme stop-loss thoda upar hoga. Aur haan, long positions ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye.

GBP/USD pair ne Friday ko teesre din bhi positive bias ke saath trade kiya, aur Asian session ke dauran 1.3300 mark ke aas paas raha, jo March 2022 ke baad se apni sabse unchi level ke qareeb hai, jo ek din pehle touch hui thi. 4-hour chart par relative strength index (RSI) 70 se thoda upar hai, lekin investors filhal overbought conditions ko ignore kar sakte hain. Agar price upar jata hai, toh1.3300 pehli resistance hogi, uske baad 1.3340 (jo March 2022 se static level hai) aur 1.3400(round level) tak pohanch sakti hai.
Agar GBP/USD pullback karta hai aur 1.3260(stable level, pehle resistance) se neeche aata hai, toh technical sellers shayad action lein. Iske neeche, 1.3200 (constant level) agla support ban sakta hai, uske baad 1.3150 (100-period simple moving average) support ka role ada karegi. Halanki din ke aakhri hisse mein thoda pullback dekha gaya, pair ne positive territory mein close kiya.
Bank of England (BoE) ke monetary policy announcements se pehle, GBP/USD ne bullish momentum ikattha kiya aur aaram se 1.3250 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ne apni September meeting ke baad policy rate ko 50 basis points ka cut diya, jisse range 4.75%-5%tak aagai. Market ki foran reaction ne US Dollar ko zabardast selling pressure mein daal diya, jis se GBP/USD mein rally trigger hui. Baad mein, market ke ehtiyaati sentiment ne USD ke losses ko limit kiya aur GBP/USD ko thoda pullback karne mein madad di.
Post-meeting press conference mein, Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye explain kiya ke agar economy stable rehti hai, toh woh rate cuts ke pace ko kam karne par ghoor karenge. Iske ilawa, unhone kaha ke job losses ke risks badh gaye hain.
BoE ka intezaar hai ke woh apna Bank Rate 5% par qaim rakhega. Press conference nahi hogi, isliye investors statement ki language aur votes ka taqseem dekh kar analysis karenge. August mein, BoE ke policymakers ne 5-4 ke ratio mein 25 bps cut ke haq mein vote diya tha. Agar is dafa zyada majority, matlab 7 ya zyada policymakers interest rates ko waisi hi rakhnay ke haq mein vote dete hain, toh pound apni strength qaim rakh sakta hai. Lekin agar phir se ye faisla kareebi rehta hai, jaise August mein hua tha, toh GBP/USD ko upar jane mein mushkilat ho sakti hai aur ek foran reaction dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair is trading above today's opening level of 1.3310 and daily Pivot level of 1.3250, jo is baat ka izhaar karta hai ke market mein bullish momentum maujood hai. Key indicators bhi bullish sentiment ko support kar rahe hain, aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke upar hai, jahan aksar volume distribution hoti hai. Agar price 1.3333 ke level ke upar jata hai, to hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke pair 1.3340 tak aur phir 1.3374 tak barh sakta hai.

Lekin agar price 1.3310 ke level se neeche girta hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.3259 ke level tak decline karega aur ho sakta hai ke 1.3247 tak bhi pohanch jaye. GBP is waqt monthly Pivot level of 1.3019 (jo ke pehle 1.2837 tha), weekly Pivot level of 1.3259 (pehle 1.3093), aur daily Pivot level of 1.3250 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko mazid confirm karta hai.

Weekly Pivot level of 1.3259 ke upar pair north ki taraf move kar raha hai, lekin agar price is level se neeche girta hai, to pair mein correction expected hai aur yeh 1.3247 ke level tak ja sakta hai. Aaj ke session ke dauran, 1.3333 ka level resistance ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is resistance ko successfully break kar leta hai, to hum further upside movement ki umeed kar sakte hain.

Is waqt GBP/USD ka overall trend bullish nazar aa raha hai, kyun ke price important Pivot levels ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur 72-period Moving Average bhi pair ko support de raha hai. Agar pair 1.3333 ke upar close karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh buyers ke liye ek strong signal hoga ke aur barhna mumkin hai. Lekin agar price wapas 1.3310 se neeche aata hai, to sellers ke liye ek moka ho sakta hai ke pair ko lower levels tak le jayen.






Jis tarah se current market conditions dikhai de rahi hain, traders ko 1.3259 aur 1.3333 ke key levels par nazar rakhni hogi. Yeh levels critical hain kyun ke yeh decide karenge ke pair bullish trend ko follow karta hai ya phir neeche correction hoti hai. Aaj ke liye, 1.3333 ek strong resistance hoga, jabke 1.3259 ek important support level hoga.

Pehla target Fibonacci grid ke 161.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3172 ke value par hai. Doosra target 261.8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3212 ke value par hai. Teesra target 423.6 level par hai aur yeh bullish structure ko darshata hai. Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator jo market ki balance of power ko dikhata hai, chart par noise ko smooth karta hai aur technical analysis ko aasaan banaata hai, is se trading decisions ki accuracy bhi barh jati hai. TMA channel indicator (laal, neela, aur peela rang) support aur resistance lines ko twice smoothed moving averages par build karta hai aur instrument ke movement ki current boundaries ko darshata hai, jo market ke sath dynamically change hoti hain.

Hamare guftagu ka mawad GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka evaluation hai. US mein, GBP/USD pair abhi bhi mumkin hai kyunki kal Britain ka GDP release hone wala hai. Technically, hum "Descending Triangle" pattern ka retest dekh rahe hain. Is level se bounce hona selling opportunity ka signal ho sakta hai, pehla target EMA200 ho sakta hai jo ab 1.3019 par aa gaya hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD ne downward reversal shuru kar diya hai. Market news ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo shayad pehle se hi mumkin hai, isliye dollar ke against negative response robust nahi ho sakta. Long term mein, pair ka decline zyada mumkin lagta hai. Lekin, aaj Britain ka employment data bilkul unexpected tha.

Pound-dollar pair ke bare mein, H1 chart par, price ne din ke low 1.3049 se teen ghante pehle reversal kiya aur upward movement shuru ki. Yeh bearish Bollinger Bands zone mein 1.3068 par hai, CCI mid line ke neeche hai aur MACD histogram zero ke neeche hai. Jaldi reversal hua, aur pair wapas 1.3024 par chala gaya. Ab, chaliye price action ko sirf Fibonacci grid ka istemal karke dekhein. Dekhein price kis tarah se move kar rahi hai. April 22, 2024 se wave trend ne sub-wave ko break kiya aur saal ki high 1.3044 ko update kiya pehle retracing se second wave par, jo ke 1.2669 se bounce hua—a textbook 50% Fibonacci retracement of the first wave's trend. Abhi third wave chal rahi hai. Aam taur par, 138 aur 161 levels Fibonacci grid par classic correction ke doran aate hain. 138 level abhi tak mumkin nahi hua, aur price usay hit karne ki ummed hai

Hello doston, GBP/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.3400 ke aas-paas battle kar raha hai, jo ke 30-mahinon ki high 1.3430 se reverse kar gaya. Traders ne profit-booking ki, jabke US dollar weak hone ke bawajood aur market ke risk-holding ke bawajood pound sterling longs ko unwind karna shuru kar diya. GBP/USD pair ne apni recent gains ko maintain kiya jo ke pichle do hafton mein register hui thi, aur Wednesday ke Asian session mein March 2022 ke baad se apne highest level 1.3430 ke kareeb pohch gaya.Fundamental backdrop ke mutabiq, spot prices ke liye sab se kam resistance ka raasta upar hai, lekin daily chart par slightly overbought conditions dekh kar bullish traders ko kuch ehtiyaat karna chahiye. England mein rate cuts ki speed United States se slow hone ka imkaan hai. Darhaqeekat, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates ka raasta downward hoga, lekin progress dheema hoga aur ultra-low levels par wapas aane ke imkaan kum hain jab tak koi major shocks na ho.Iske baraks, markets Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive policy easing price kar rahe hain, jo ke US Dollar ko is saal YTD lower rakha hua hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam kar raha hai. Markets abhi 75% se zyada chance price kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve November mein interest rates ko aur 50 basis points tak cut karega, CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq.Tuesday ka weak US macro data aur prevailing risk-on environment ne safe havens ko undermine kiya hai aur GBP/USD pair ke positive near-term outlook ko validate kiya hai. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 mark se upar chala gaya hai, jo ek minor pullback ya near-term consolidation ka signal de raha hai.Wednesday ko UK se koi relevant market-moving economic data release hone ka intezar hai, jisme BoE MPC member Megan Green ka scheduled speech GBP ko effect kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko thoda impetus de sakta hai. North American session ke shuru mein, US se new home sales data short-term trading opportunities ko create karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Lekin traders thoda ehtiyaat karenge aur koi aggressive bets place karne se pehle influential FOMC members, jisme Fed Chair Jerome Powell Thursday ko aur US PCE price index Friday ko speech karenge, ka intezar karenge.

Trading Signals Through GBP/USD Prices

GBP/USD ka price behavior analyze karte huay, daily chart pe ye dekha gaya ke pehle ye pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha jab tak yeh likelihood tha ke UK apni monetary policy ko tight karna rok dega. Jab ye baat aam hui, toh pair ne girawat dekhi aur support level 1.23040 tak pohanch gaya. Is ke baad, jab interest rates barhne ke imkaanaat samne aaye, toh pair ne dobara apne previous highs ko touch kiya jo ke unexpected tha. Jab US ka unemployment data aana shuru hua, toh pair phir se barhne laga, shayad is umeed pe ke US mein inflation kaafi had tak slow ho jayegi – lekin ye nahi hua. Federal Reserve ne 51 basis points se rates cut kar diye, magar mere khayal mein, GBP/USD ka ye upward movement zyada dair nahi chalega. Mera andaza hai ke ye pair ab overbought hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye 1.29651 ke support level tak gir sakta hai. Ye downward trend tab tak jari reh sakta hai jab tak US inflation data mein koi meaningful girawat nazaar nahi aati.





Pichlay Jumay ko ek koshish hui ke is downward trend ko reverse kiya jaye, magar US mein ek unexpected event ke wajah se stock market mein zabardast barhawa dekhne ko mila, aur trading 1.329 se upar close hui. Magar phir bhi, GBP/USD ek expanding triangle mein hai jo ke ascending wedge ki shakal ka hai. Is wedge se break tab hoga jab price EMA20 ke neeche giray, jo ke iss waqt 1.3251 pe hai. Sab se qareeb support fast EMA8 level pe hai, jo ke 1.3294 pe situated hai. Halanki mein transatlantic logistics ke hawalay se koi insight nahi de sakta, lekin ye zaroor hai ke US economy apni energy self-sufficiency ke wajah se UK economy par faida le rahi hai. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair mein girawat jari rahegi, magar har waqt ghalat hone ka imkaan bhi hota hai. Humein is haftay ke dauran dekhnay ki zarurat hai ke GBP/USD kis tarah react karta hai, kyun ke aksar aham news events ho chuki hain, jo ke correction ke signals de rahe hain.

Forum ke doston, jo khush hain ke kal trading holiday hai, mein aap sab ka shukriya ada karna chahta hoon jo mere analysis ko visit karte hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ab tak nahi aaya, ho sakta hai ke kisi ne rules ka violation kiya ho aur is wajah se bonus pay nahi ho raha. Is surat mein, sabko asar pohnchta hai jab koi rules violate karta hai. Friday ki trading ke doran GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.
Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai.