gbp/usd

GBP/USD

Kal ke decline ke natije mein daily chart par ek bearish candle form hui hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke Tuesday ko banne wali uncertainty Doji candle ke baad reversal ki possibility confirm nahi hui. Iske baraks, downward movement ke continuation ka chance barqaraar raha, aur support level 1.2974 tak pohanchne ke imkaan zyada ho gaye hain.

Kal ki US statistics market participants ki expectations ke mutabiq thi, lekin inhone US dollar ke attitude ko zyada badalne mein kamiyaabi hasil nahi ki. Bas core inflation mein thoda izafa huwa, jo ke US dollar ke liye moderate demand ko barqaraar rakhta hai. GBP/USD pair ke downward slope ke bawajood, hum ek alternative scenario ko bilkul rad nahi kar sakte, khaaskar jab aaj US Producer Price Index ki publication discuss ki ja rahi hai.

Agar prices blue moving average ke upar wapas aati hain, toh mai bhi market ke trend ke sath adjust ho jaunga. Is scenario mein bulls ke paas achi opportunity hogi ke woh upar barh sakein, aur current local maximum 1.3264 ko update kar sakein. Humne 1.3090 level ko actively test kiya, lekin rebound nahi kar paye, aur hum is value ke neeche gir gaye, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke liye downward continuation ka rasta khol gaya.




Zyada chances hain ke ek chhoti consolidation ke baad hum current level 1.3037 se neeche ki taraf 1.2930 ke price value tak move karen. Abhi ke liye rasta kaafi clear hai, aur hum exclusively southern direction mein kaam kar rahe hain, price ko declared level tak le jaate hue. Jab moving line test hogi, toh mai price reaction ko closely dekhunga. Agar moving line se rebound hota hai, toh hum GBP/USD ko zyada sell karenge, aur target hoga lower limit ko update karna 1.3046 par, aur phir neeche 1.3000 tak jana.

British Pound/US Dollar ke hourly timeframe ka price action dekhte hue, main buying positions ke liye market mein enter karna kafi logical samajhta hoon. Yeh conclusion mere kuch key points par adharit hai: price 200-period moving average (MA200) ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai; pichle din ke dusre hisson mein pair ne opening level se upar jaakar din ko higher close kiya; din ke dauran price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb aa gayi, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai aur price ke aage badhne ki high probability ko dikhata hai; RSI indicator bhi buying positions ke liye rokawat nahi kar raha, kyunki yeh acceptable range mein hai. Take profit ko 211% Fibonacci level par set karne ke baad, position ko breakeven par move karne aur stop loss ko distant Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ka plan hai. Halanki, GBP/USD ne Thursday ko significant reversal dekha aur 1.3100 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo stronger-than-expected US economic data ke kaaran hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) 101.60 tak ucha gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se US dollar ki outlook uncertain hai. Recent data aur employment decline ne recession ke concerns ko barhaya aur rate cut ki umeed ko fuel kiya. Aaj ke din pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hai. 1.2680 ka support key role ada kar sakta hai; agar is support ko todna possible hota hai, to pair downward impulse continue kar sakta hai aur 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Yahan se shayad ek rollback shuru hoga aur phir 1.2447 tak downward movement ho sakti hai, lekin is hafte tak yeh possible nahi lagta. Agar 1.2680 ke neeche consolidation nahi hoti, to 1.2750 tak phir se growth ho sakti hai, jahan is resistance ko todna zaroori hoga taake 1.2860 tak ek aur impulse ban sake. Yeh upward trend 1.3065 tak lead kar sakta hai, lekin is hafte aisa growth unlikely hai. Agar 1.2750 ki resistance todna possible hota hai, to shayad 1.2860 tak pahucha ja sakta hai, lekin 1.300 se upar ke levels par expect nahi kiya jana chahiye. Maximum 1.2970 tak pahunchna possible hai, aur yahan tak bhi chances zyada nahi lagte.

GBP/USD Price Outlook

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya karenge. Aaj dopahar ke waqt, British pound (GBP) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.3111 ka resistance level tod diya aur apne pehle ke low ko update kiya. Bears ko sales ke liye ek acha entry point mila hai, lekin yeh afsos ki baat hai ke yeh level itna clear nahi tha aur kuch traders shayad pending orders miss kar gaye. Is ke bawajood, abhi bhi sell positions mein enter karne ka mauqa hai, kyun ke hamare paas ek aur resistance level 1.3091 hai. Yeh level pichle Tuesday ke low aur meri chart par Fibonacci grid ke 100th level ke barabar hai. Mera target 161st Fibonacci level par hai, jo ke key round number 1.301 ke saath align karta hai. Jab GBP/USD gir raha hai, to orders ko ideally bina kisi unnecessary volatility ke smoothly process hona chahiye, jo traders ko unsettle na kare. Agar aap market ko corrective growth se pehle observe karein, toh pichle teen waves significant pullbacks ke bina move hui thi. Lekin is phase mein yeh shift ho gaya hai.




Traders ke Liye Ahm Tips

Ab traders jo bina stop-loss orders ke trade karte hain, unhe cautious rehna chahiye. Yeh trend kam se kam winter tak chalega aur shayad agle saal tak bhi. Hum kuch impulses aur deeper pullbacks ki umeed kar sakte hain, lekin koi significant shifts nahi dekhne ko milengi. Mere expectations wahi hain jo kal thi. Ideally, hum ek downward zigzag pattern dekhna chahenge bina 1.3107 ke upar break kiye. Agar yeh level high hota hai, to yeh weak selling pressure ko signal karega, jo stop aur upward reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai. Growth ka potential 1.3131 ki taraf bhi hai, kyunki us level ke aas paas ek gap chhoda gaya hai, aur aise gaps lagbhag 90% cases mein fill hote hain. Phir bhi, overall bearish sentiment barqarar hai. Mera primary goal aaj ka low hai, lekin selling opportunities market ke play ke hisaab se depend karengi, jahan stop 1.3107 ke aas paas hoga.

H-4 Chart Technical Outlook GBP/USD

Syria mein USA ke inflation data ke baad, sellers ne decline ko continue rakha aur 1.30103 level tak pohanch gaye. Lekin, woh is level ko break nahi kar paye. Iska breakout ek aur breakdown ko signal kar raha hai, jo ke price decline ko continue karega. Ab sellers ke liye 1.30013 level sabse nazdeek downside target hai. Agar woh is level ko break kar dete hain aur iske niche consolidate karte hain, toh price aage 1.29736 level tak gir sakti hai.

Agar hum yeh option consider karein ke buyers senior time frame par upward movement resume karenge, toh unhe 1.30767 level ko break karna aur uske upar consolidate karna padega. Agar yeh possible hota hai, toh pehla target 1.31426 hoga.

GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis

1–4 ghante ke chart par, pound ne lower tape se nikal kar main area of tapes mein wapas aagaya hai. Is situation mein, humein lower band se active alternative exit ka intezaar karna chahiye, aur phir bands ke outward open hone ki prediction karni chahiye, taake price ke girne ke liye ek naye quality signal mil sake.




Agar hum developing situation ko fractals ke zariye dekhein, toh naye close fractals upar aur neeche form hue hain. Possible bearish target sabse nazdeek fractal down hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation price ko August 20 ke fractal 1.29736 tak le ja sakti hai. Upper target sabse nazdeek fractal up hai. Iska breakout aur consolidation price ko 1.31426 ke fractal tak le ja sakti hai.

September 9 ko AO indicator negative territory mein move kar raha hai. Pehla peak kab form hoga yeh abhi clear nahi hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price decline continue kar sakti hai. Quality signal ke liye zero mark ki taraf active focus ka intezaar karna chahiye, taake price ke upar jane ke liye signal mil sake.

British Pound/US Dollar ke hourly timeframe ka price action dekhte hue, main buying positions ke liye market mein enter karna kafi logical samajhta hoon. Yeh conclusion mere kuch key points par adharit hai: price 200-period moving average (MA200) ke upar hai, jo bullish trend ko darshata hai; pichle din ke dusre hisson mein pair ne opening level se upar jaakar din ko higher close kiya; din ke dauran price upper Bollinger Band ke kareeb aa gayi, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai aur price ke aage badhne ki high probability ko dikhata hai; RSI indicator bhi buying positions ke liye rokawat nahi kar raha, kyunki yeh acceptable range mein hai. Take profit ko 211% Fibonacci level par set karne ke baad, position ko breakeven par move karne aur stop loss ko distant Fibonacci levels tak trail karne ka plan hai. Halanki, GBP/USD ne Thursday ko significant reversal dekha aur 1.3100 level ke neeche gir gaya, jo stronger-than-expected US economic data ke kaaran hua. US Dollar Index (DXY) 101.60 tak ucha gaya, lekin Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se US dollar ki outlook uncertain hai. Recent data aur employment decline ne recession ke concerns ko barhaya aur rate cut ki umeed ko fuel kiya. Aaj ke din pair ke conditions mein zyada tabdeeli nahi hai. 1.2680 ka support key role ada kar sakta hai; agar is support ko todna possible hota hai, to pair downward impulse continue kar sakta hai aur 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Yahan se shayad ek rollback shuru hoga aur phir 1.2447 tak downward movement ho sakti hai, lekin is hafte tak yeh possible nahi lagta. Agar 1.2680 ke neeche consolidation nahi hoti, to 1.2750 tak phir se growth ho sakti hai, jahan is resistance ko todna zaroori hoga taake 1.2860 tak ek aur impulse ban sake. Yeh upward trend 1.3065 tak lead kar sakta hai, lekin is hafte aisa growth unlikely hai. Agar 1.2750 ki resistance todna possible hota hai, to shayad 1.2860 tak pahucha ja sakta hai, lekin 1.300 se upar ke levels par expect nahi kiya jana chahiye. Maximum 1.2970 tak pahunchna possible hai, aur yahan tak bhi chances zyada nahi lagte.

GBP/USD Price Analysis

Wednesday ko GBP/USD pair ne apni decline ko barqarar rakha, halan ke yeh decline modest tha. Aur jo log yaad nahi rakhte, unke liye yeh kehna zaroori hai ke 2024 mein British currency ki decline ka hona bohot rare hai, khaaskar jab U.S. macroeconomic data dollar ko support nahi kar rahe. Humne kabhi nahi dekha ke dollar kamzor data ke bawajood barha ho. Lekin, humne baar baar warning di hai ke market, kam se kam 2024 ke pure saal ke liye (agar usse zyada bhi), Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ki future easing ko consider kar raha hai, aur baaki sab factors ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Aakhirat, woh waqt aana hi tha jab market ne future rate cuts ko poori tarah factor in kar liya. Uske baad, dollar ko girne ki koi wajah nahi hogi. Hum yeh nahi keh rahe ke yeh waqt aa gaya hai, lekin iske hone ki probability zaroor hai. Agar aisa hai, toh dollar ab ek lambi muddat ke liye strengthen ho sakta hai.

Wednesday ko British reports, Tuesday ki tarah, pair ke movement par koi khaas asar nahi dal rahi thi. 5-minute time frame par kuch achi signals generate hui. European trading session ke shuru mein, price 1.3102-1.3107 area se bounce hui, phir 1.3043 level tak gir gayi, is level ko break kiya, aur 1.2993 level ko narrowly miss kiya. Is tarah, novice traders ke paas subah short positions open karne ka reason tha, jo ke U.S. session ke dauran kabhi bhi close kiye ja sakte the aur profits hasil kiye ja sakte the.

Thursday Trading Strategy:

Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD ko global downtrend resume karne ya kam se kam significant correction dekhne ka achha mauqa hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market dollar ko bechne ki taraf zyada inclined hai, khareedne ki taraf nahi. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikha raha hai. Full-fledged downtrend ke baare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai. Agle hafte anticipated Fed meeting hone wali hai, uske baad medium-term direction of dollar ke baare mein conclusions nikalne ki sambhavnayein hain.




Agar Thursday ko pair 1.3043 level ke neeche rehta hai, toh yeh apni decline ko barqarar rakh sakta hai.

5-minute time frame ke key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Thursday ko UK mein koi significant events schedule nahi hain, lekin humne dekha ke Tuesday aur Wednesday ke British data ka pair ke movement par koi khaas asar nahi tha. U.S. mein Producer Price Index aur unemployment claims release honge, lekin yeh secondary indicators hain.

GBP/USD Price Movement Analysis

Wednesday ko British pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzori dikhayi, jab US inflation data release hui. Data ne ye darshaya ke Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ke hawale se zyada cautious approach rakh sakta hai. Overall CPI expectations ke mutabiq barh gayi, lekin core CPI, jo food aur energy ko exclude karta hai, thoda zyada barh gayi, jo ye indicate karta hai ke underlying inflation pressures ab bhi barqarar hain. Is wajah se, Fed ke agle meeting mein 50 basis points ke rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jabke 25 basis points ka cut ab bhi fully priced in hai. Is shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jisse dollar ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ka andaza lagaya. GBP/USD ne European trade ke shuru mein apni downward trend resume ki, aur ek key support level ko break kar diya. Aage ki decline se 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ke taraf selling pressure barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum continue hota hai, toh bearish cycle lower support levels, including 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average tak extend ho sakta hai.




Technical Outlook

Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf ja rahe hain, jabke MACD ne red signal line ko break kar diya hai. Lekin, moving averages ka upward slope yeh suggest karta hai ke current bearish wave ek larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. In sab factors ke ilawa, kuch aur factors bhi hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In factors ke complex interplay ke madde nazar, ye predict karna mushkil hai ke GBP/USD short term mein kaise move karega. Lekin, current bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke near future mein aur declines ka risk hai.

GBP/USD Price Assessment

Hamari guftagu ka mubahisa GBP/USD ke current price movement ki assessment par hai. Filhal, lagta hai ke GBP/USD market mein achi downward trend chal rahi hai. Kal, maine dekha ke price lagbhag 92 pips gir gayi thi, jo ke ye darshata hai ke ab bhi strong seller sentiment hai, aur ye sell option future trading strategies ke liye ek viable option banata hai. Baad mein, main mukhtalif time periods ka analysis karke achi entry zone identify karunga. Filhal mujhe GBP/USD market mein positive trend nazar aa raha hai. Jaise ke main ne light blue mein indicate kiya, mujhe ek aisa zone dikhai de raha hai jo pehle resistance tha aur ab support ban gaya hai. Ab jab GBP/USD price RBS level tak pahunch gayi hai, main market ke reaction ka intezar karunga. Kya price niche break hogi ya phir upar bounce back hoga? Agar doosra option hota hai aur legitimate confirmation milta hai, toh main sirf buy orders ko concentrate karna chahta hoon.





D1 Chart Analysis

D1 chart par, ye zaroori hai ke agar downward breakout hota hai toh buying situation ko consider kiya ja sakta hai. Jaise ke pehle kaha, price phir se barh sakti hai kyunki ye area resistance aur support ka milan hai. Agar upward bounce hota hai, toh take profit ka objective resistance area mein hoga, jo ke H4 timeframe ke observations ke mutabiq, lagbhag 1.32030 ke aas-paas hai. Aaj subah koi bara movement nahi hui, isliye filhal main wait aur watch karunga aur shayad thoda aur intezar karunga jab tak koi legitimate movement nahi hoti.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair dheere-dheere gir raha hai, lekin ye girawat gradual hai aur patience test kar rahi hai. Market indecisive lagti hai, aur pair significant movement nahi dikha raha. Recent low 1.3049 tha, jo ke ek halki upward rebound se pehle ka tha. Agle U.S. inflation data se market mein volatility barh sakti hai. Halanki upward trend ab bhi bana hua hai, analyst ab bhi ummid karte hain ke GBP/USD aakhirkar apne target 1.2781 tak gir sakta hai. Pair ne choti si pullback ke baad phir se girawat shuru ki hai, jahan bears ne ise naye lows tak push kiya. 4-hour chart par Ichimoku cloud ke neeche price action bearish momentum ko darshata hai, jo ke sell position ko consider karne ke liye suggest karta hai. Filhal price 1.3069 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke bears ke liye pehla support level hai. Pivot support levels bhi current intraday sales targets ke sath match karte hain. Downward movement jaari hai, aur pehle support level ko break karne se naya decline phase shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko 1.3001 ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar buyers active hote hain, to wo resistance level 1.3212 par focus kar sakte hain.




GBP/USD Exchange Rate Update

GBP/USD exchange rate ne Wednesday ko ek notable recovery dekhi, daily aur weekly lows se bounce karke 1.3105 mark ko surpass kiya. Ye increase Bank of England ke ek official ke statement ke baad improved market sentiment ke wajah se hua. BoE ke assurance ke wajah se ke wo interest rates nahi barhaye ga amid market instability, risk appetite barh gaya, jis se GBP/USD rate temporarily barh gaya. Lekin pair ab bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha hai, jab ke pehle 1.2998 ka low dekh chuka tha. Current market sentiment aur technical indicators suggest karte hain ke pair limited corrective declines experience kar sakta hai, jahan dips ko buy opportunities ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Fed ke anticipated interest rate cuts pair ke movements ko continue influence karenge. Traders ko agle economic data aur central bank statements ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ye future direction of GBP/USD exchange rate ke liye crucial honge. Recent UK economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai, jahan unemployment rate unexpected drop dikhata hai, jo ke dusre less favorable indicators, jaise ke July mein unemployment benefits claim karne walon ki badhati hui ginti, ko overshadow karta hai.

UK ka unemployment rate June ke mahine ke 3 mahine ke dauran 5.7% se 4.5% tak gir gaya, halanki overall picture mixed hai. Ye decline British pound ke liye ek positive factor hai. Is ke muqablay, US dollar ko Federal Reserve ke zyada substantial interest rate cuts ke market expectations ke wajah se pressure face karna pad raha hai, jo ke weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index report se reinforce hua hai. Additionally, generally positive market sentiment ne US dollar bulls ko defensive position mein rakha hai. Is wajah se, GBP/USD pair ko in conditions se support mila hai, aur iski value mein kisi bhi potential declines ko investors buying opportunities ke taur par dekhenge.

GBP/USD Pair Review

Filhaal, GBP/USD ki price position abhi bhi Fibonacci retracement ke 423% projection ki taraf gir rahi hai. Lekin, iska matlab yeh nahi ke price yahin ruk jayegi; agar abhi tak is projection level tak pohnch gayi hai, to bhi price aage bhi gir sakti hai. Halat dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke price movement ab consolidation phase mein hai, jo ke EMA200 H4 ka dynamic resistance bhi hai. Price pichle 16 ghanton yaani 4 candlesticks ke liye puri tarah se 200-period moving average ke neeche rahi hai, isliye buyers ke liye current bearish trend ko badalna mushkil ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, sell trading option ek acha option ho sakta hai.




Agar sellers lagatar bechne ka silsila barqarar rakhte hain, to bearish pressure 1.2950 ke naye demand area tak pohnch sakta hai. Teen bearish candles jo is girawat ke peeche hain, dekhte hue, price ke paas 1.2950 ki taraf girne ka achha mauka hai bina kisi significant resistance ke, jab tak US unemployment claims ka data aaj raat 227,000 claims se zyada nahi hota. Agar unemployed logon ki ginti barh jaati hai aur PPI data estimate se kam aata hai, to GBP/USD mein tezi se correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Isliye, bearish opportunity ko banaye rakhne ke liye, seller ko price ko 1.30000 ke support level ke neeche lana hoga. Magar aaj USD ka kamzor hone ka bhi possibility hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, to major currency pair GBP/USD ko wapas bullish path par le aane ka mauka mil sakta hai, yani EMA200 TF H1 orange line ke resistance target 1.31000 ko test karne ka.

Trading Setup:
Instant Sell GBP/USD with TP1 1.2980 - TP2 1.2930 and SL 1.3065

GBP/USD Pair Forecast

Filhaal GBP/USD pair ki price movement RBS area 1.3031 ko test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai taake apni downward rally ko continue kar sake. US inflation ke results, jo forecast ke 2.5% ke saath milte hain aur pehle ke 2.9% se flatter hain, dollar index ko support karte hain. GBP/USD pair ki bearish trend bhi kamzor ho rahi hai kyunki price consistently EMA 50 ke upar nahi reh paayi hai lekin SMA 200 ke paas aa rahi hai. Halankeh dono Moving Average lines ne death cross signal nahi diya hai, agar price neeche move karti rahi to death cross signal valid ho sakta hai. Volume histogram jo ke abhi bhi wide aur red hai, level 0 yaani negative area ke neeche, downtrend momentum ko strengthen kar raha hai. Yeh price ko SMA 200 ya usse bhi niche RBS area 1.2862 ki taraf girne mein support karta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo abhi levels 50 aur 20 ke beech hain, jaldi oversold zone mein enter kar sakte hain. Lekin, downward rally ko move karne ke liye abhi bhi kaafi room hai kyunki selling saturation point par pohnchne ka koi indication nahi hai. Aaj US economic data mein PPI aur Unemployment Claims important hain.




Short-term trading plans ke liye, zaroori hoga ke price certainty ka intezar karein SMA 200 ko dynamic resistance ke tor par test karne ke baad. Agar price SMA 200 ke neeche close hoti hai, to turant SELL entry position place ki ja sakti hai. Confirmation tab milega jab Stochastic indicator ke parameters level 50 ke aas-paas cross karenge aur AO indicator histogram volume negative area ya level 0 ke neeche wide rahega. Take profit target RBS area 1.2862 ke aas-paas hai aur stop loss resistance 1.3031 par rakha jaayega, jo pehle RBS area tha jab price upar thi.

GBP/USD Outlook

Salaam aur Shaam bakhair sab ko! Main wapas aaya hoon aur umeed hai ke aap meri analysis se phir se faida uthaenge.

Market abhi 1.3070 zone ke aas-paas ghoom rahi hai aur buyers apni value kho rahe hain. Is liye, main sell-side position ko prefer karta hoon, jiska short-term target 1.3052 hai. Fundamental analysis mein economic indicators, news events, aur financial statements ko scrutinize kiya jata hai jo currency values ko affect karte hain. GBP/USD ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke UK aur US ke key economic indicators, jaise GDP growth, employment data, inflation rates, aur central bank announcements ko monitor kiya jaye. In analyses ko combine karke traders market ka holistic view gain karte hain, jo unhein informed trading decisions lene mein madad karta hai. Umeed hai aaj GBP/USD ka market sellers ke favor mein rahega. US ke news events bhi buyers ko madad de sakte hain.




Current market environment jo buyers ke liye favorable hai, mein buy order execute karna jiska profit target 20-30 pips hai, ek strategic approach hai. Lekin, vigilance maintain karna aur news events ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai jo market dynamics ko influence kar sakte hain, khas taur par US news events jo volatility ke liye jaane jaate hain. In developments ke baare mein informed rehkar, traders apne strategies ko swiftly adapt kar sakte hain taake opportunities capitalize aur risks mitigate kiye ja sakein. Umeed hai ke aane wale news data sellers ke liye madadgar sabit honge aur technical analysis ko follow karna zaroori hai, kyunki market conditions rapidly evolve hoti hain. Regularly charts aur patterns ko monitor karke, traders potential entry aur exit points ko precision ke sath identify kar sakte hain. Jaise hi GBP/USD resistance level ke nazdeek pohnchta hai, traders breakout ka intezar kar sakte hain buy order initiate karne se pehle. Wahi, support level ke nazdeek pohnchne par buy karna ek opportune moment signal kar sakta hai, jab prices rebound karne ki ummeed hoti hai.

Khush raho aur mehfooz raho!

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare. - Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain

Meri subah ki forecast mein, maine 1.3083 ke level par tawajjo di thi aur usi par trading decisions lene ka plan banaya tha. Ab 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analysis karte hain ke kya hua. Is level par girawat aur ek jhooti breakout ke baad pound ke liye ek buying opportunity mili, jis se sirf 15 points ka upar ki taraf movement dekha gaya. Technical outlook ko din ke doosre hisse ke liye revise kiya gaya.

GBP/USD par long positions kholne ke liye:
UK ke GDP growth mein kami ka zahanat, khaaskar July is saal mein positive dynamics ki kami, pound par pressure daal rahi hai, is liye 1.3083 ke aas paas buyers zyada active nahi the. Din ke doosre hisse mein, U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August expected hai, jo volatility trigger kar sakti hai. Agar inflation sharp decline dekhe, to pound ko momentum mil sakta hai, jo dollar ko girane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar inflation economists ke forecasts ke mutabiq hai, ya barh jati hai, to GBP/USD par pressure badh sakta hai. Agar statistics par negative market reaction hoti hai, to main sirf ek decline aur naye interim support 1.3073 ke aas paas ek jhooti breakout banne ke baad hi long positions kholunga. Yeh correction aur 1.3108 tak recovery ka mauka dega. Agar is range ke upar breakout aur consolidation hoti hai aur U.S. inflation girti hai, to intraday uptrend ke chances barh jayenge. Yeh sellers ke stop orders ko hata dega aur long positions ke liye ek acha entry point dega, jiska target 1.3140 hoga. Final target 1.3168 ke aas paas hoga, jahan main profits book karunga. Agar GBP/USD girta hai aur buyers 1.3073 par zyada active nahi hote din ke doosre hisse mein, to pair par pressure barhega. Yeh 1.3049 tak ke next support ko retest karne ke liye le jayega, jo buyers ke plans ko khatam kar dega. Sirf ek jhooti breakout is level par long positions kholne ka acha mauka dega. Main GBP/USD ko 1.3012 ke low se rebound par 30-35 point intraday correction ke target ke saath buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon.




GBP/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:

Sellers ne koshish ki hai lekin abhi tak market ko puri tarah se control nahi kiya. American statistics aur 1.3108 ke nearest resistance ki defense is mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Is level par ek jhooti breakout, pehle zikr kiye gaye scenario ki tarah, naye short positions kholne ka acha mauka degi, trend ko continue karte hue aur support 1.3073 tak targeting karegi, jahan moving averages abhi bullish momentum ko support kar rahe hain. Is range se niche se upar ki taraf breakout aur retest buyers ke positions ko hit karega, stop orders ko hata dega aur 1.3049 tak raasta khol dega, jahan main major players se zyada active action ki ummeed karunga. Final target 1.3012 ke aas paas hoga, jahan main profits book karunga. Agar GBP/USD barhta hai aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.3108 par significant activity nahi hoti, to buyers pair ko sideways channel mein consolidate karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Bears ko 1.3140 ke resistance area tak pull back karna padega. Wahan main sirf ek jhooti breakout par sell karunga. Agar wahan se downward movement nahi hoti, to main 1.3168 ke aas paas rebound par short positions dhundunga, pair ke 30-35 points downward correction ki ummeed karte hue.

GBP/USD liquidity wale regions ko target karte hue. Agar mere assumptions sahi hain, to mere analysis ke mutabiq yeh scenario unfold ho sakta hai: shuru mein, pair ki price 1.3172 tak barh sakti hai, jahan accumulation hone ki ummeed hai, uske baad phir volume-heavy zone 1.3026 ki taraf gir sakti hai . Agar 1.3026 par bullish signal emerge hota hai aur substantial volumes ke saath hota hai, to price zone ke lower boundary 1.3230 ki taraf surge kar sakti hai for a test. Agar price 1.3230 ko breach nahi kar pati, to yeh retrace ho sakti hai volume level 1.2944 ki taraf. Non-farm payrolls report ke mutabiq, pichle kuch saalon ke data ke muqablay mein employment growth overall dheema ho gaya hai, unemployment rate expected ke mutabiq gir gayi hai, aur wage growth tez ho gayi hai. Halankeh labor market ke dheema hone ke saboot barh rahe hain, lekin naye data ke madad se US economy recession mein girne se bach sakti hai. Labor market ke strong hone ke assessment ne Federal Reserve ke sharp rate cut ke expectations ko kam kar diya hai, jo dollar ko boost kar raha hai. Agar 1.3100 ke niche break hota hai, to ye further selling ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo April-July uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement 1.3040 aur 20-day SMA 1.3000 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar downside ko pakra gaya, to bearish cycle 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 aur 50-day SMA tak extend ho sakti hai. Further declines se 2022 se uptrend line ka continuation confirm ho sakta hai, jo 50% Fibonacci level aur 1.2775 level ke aas paas ho sakta hai. RSI aur Stochastic ke lower hone aur MACD ke red signal line ke neeche cross karne se, selling interest abhi ke liye unchanged reh sakta hai. Lekin, moving averages ke upward slope ka matlab hai ke ongoing bearish wave shayad ek larger uptrend ka hissa ho