gbp/usd

GBP-USD Pair Review
Haal mein GBP-USD ki price position ab bhi girawat ka shikar hai aur 423% ke aakhri projection ki taraf ja rahi hai Fibonacci retracement mein. Magar iska yeh matlab nahi ke price iss projection level par aane ke baad mazeed nahi gir sakti. Agar haali halat dekhein toh yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price movement consolidate karti rahegi uss area mein, jo EMA200 H4 ka dynamic resistance bhi hai. Kyon ke price aakhri 16 ghanton (ya 4 candlesticks) se bilkul EMA200 ke neeche hai, is liye buyers ke liye iss bearish trend ko badalna aasaan nahi hoga. Is surat mein sell trading option ek behtareen choice ho sakti hai.

Agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.2950 ke fresh demand area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar hum teen bearish candles ko dekhein jo is girawat ki wajah hain, toh abhi bhi price ke paas 1.2950 tak girne ka pura chance hai, bina kisi significant resistance ke, jab tak US unemployment claims data aaj raat ko expected 227,000 claims se bohat zyada nahi hota. Yeh unemployment ke izafay ko dikhayega, aur agar PPI data estimate se bohat neeche hota hai, toh producer purchasing index mein kamzori ka pata chalega, jisse GBP-USD ek tezi se correction kar sakti hai.

Is liye, apni bearish opportunity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, seller ko zaroor price ko neeche le kar jaana hoga aur 1.30000 ke support ko torhna hoga jo kal ke daily trading arena ka lower support tha. Magar lagta hai ke aaj US dollar yaani USD ke kamzor hone ka moqa hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, toh GBP-USD ko apni bullish raah par wapas laane ka ek moqa milega, aur price EMA200 TF H1 orange line ko test karegi jo ke 1.31000 ke price level par hai.

Trading Setup:
Instant Sell GBP-USD with TP1 1.2980 - TP2 1.2930 aur SL 1.3065.

GBP-USD Pair Review
Haal mein GBP-USD ki price position ab bhi girawat ka shikar hai aur 423% ke aakhri projection ki taraf ja rahi hai Fibonacci retracement mein. Magar iska yeh matlab nahi ke price iss projection level par aane ke baad mazeed nahi gir sakti. Agar haali halat dekhein toh yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price movement consolidate karti rahegi uss area mein, jo EMA200 H4 ka dynamic resistance bhi hai. Kyon ke price aakhri 16 ghanton (ya 4 candlesticks) se bilkul EMA200 ke neeche hai, is liye buyers ke liye iss bearish trend ko badalna aasaan nahi hoga. Is surat mein sell trading option ek behtareen choice ho sakti hai.

Agar bearish pressure barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh price ko 1.2950 ke fresh demand area tak le ja sakta hai. Agar hum teen bearish candles ko dekhein jo is girawat ki wajah hain, toh abhi bhi price ke paas 1.2950 tak girne ka pura chance hai, bina kisi significant resistance ke, jab tak US unemployment claims data aaj raat ko expected 227,000 claims se bohat zyada nahi hota. Yeh unemployment ke izafay ko dikhayega, aur agar PPI data estimate se bohat neeche hota hai, toh producer purchasing index mein kamzori ka pata chalega, jisse GBP-USD ek tezi se correction kar sakti hai.

Is liye, apni bearish opportunity ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, seller ko zaroor price ko neeche le kar jaana hoga aur 1.30000 ke support ko torhna hoga jo kal ke daily trading arena ka lower support tha. Magar lagta hai ke aaj US dollar yaani USD ke kamzor hone ka moqa hai. Agar USD kamzor hota hai, toh GBP-USD ko apni bullish raah par wapas laane ka ek moqa milega, aur price EMA200 TF H1 orange line ko test karegi jo ke 1.31000 ke price level par hai.

Trading Setup:
Instant Sell GBP-USD with TP1 1.2980 - TP2 1.2930 aur SL 1.3065.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya

Pichlay kaam ke haftay mein pound ne uptrend ko dobara shuru karne ki koshish ki, lekin apni position ko barqarar nahi rakh saka aur local highs banane ke baad girawat ka shikar ho gaya. Pehlay, price 1.3170 ke level ke upar gayi, magar wahan ek wazeh rukawat ka samna karna pada, jis ki wajah se price sari positions kho kar wapis 1.3082 ke qareebi level par aa gayi. Is liye, jo expected growth thi woh hasil nahi ho saki, magar target ka area ab bhi workable hai. Is ke sath sath, price chart supertrend red zone mein move karna shuru ho gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko barqarar rakhe hue hain.

Aaj ke technical front par, agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar dalain, toh negative pressure simple moving averages par dikhai de raha hai, jo ke daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Yeh chart par ek bearish technical structure ka izhar karta hai. Iss liye, aaj ke trading session ke dauran downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jahan 1.3050 agla ahem level hoga, aur target mazeed gir ke 1.3000 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Aam tor par, jab tak trading 1.3130 ke neeche stable rehti hai, hum overall bearish trend ke hawale se optimistic rahain ge. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh bearish scenario khatam ho jaye ga, aur pair 1.3170 ki taraf move karega. Yeh dobara retest ko trigger karega, aur mazeed izafa kar ke 1.3200 ke level tak jaane ka imkaan hai.

Is waqt, pair mixed trading kar raha hai aur har hafte mein thori si tabdeeli dekh raha hai. Ahem support areas test ho rahe hain aur stable hain, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke upside vector ab bhi important hai. Agar price ko near-term mein barqarar rakhna hai, toh zaroori hai ke yeh 1.3082 ke level ke upar consolidate kare, jo ke ek major support area hoga. Agar is area ka retest hota hai aur wahan se price rebound karti hai, toh yeh sustainable advance ka ek acha moqa ho ga, aur target area 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke beech mein ho ga.

Maujooda scenario us waqt cancel ho jaye ga jab support break hoga aur price pivot level 1.2994 ke neeche gir jaye gi.

GBP/USD ka Technical Tajziya
Pichlay kaam ke haftay mein pound ne uptrend ko dobara shuru karne ki koshish ki, lekin apni position ko barqarar nahi rakh saka aur local highs banane ke baad girawat ka shikar ho gaya. Pehlay, price 1.3170 ke level ke upar gayi, magar wahan ek wazeh rukawat ka samna karna pada, jis ki wajah se price sari positions kho kar wapis 1.3082 ke qareebi level par aa gayi. Is liye, jo expected growth thi woh hasil nahi ho saki, magar target ka area ab bhi workable hai. Is ke sath sath, price chart supertrend red zone mein move karna shuru ho gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko barqarar rakhe hue hain.

Aaj ke technical front par, agar hum 4-hour chart par nazar dalain, toh negative pressure simple moving averages par dikhai de raha hai, jo ke daily downward price curve ko support kar raha hai. Yeh chart par ek bearish technical structure ka izhar karta hai. Iss liye, aaj ke trading session ke dauran downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jahan 1.3050 agla ahem level hoga, aur target mazeed gir ke 1.3000 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Aam tor par, jab tak trading 1.3130 ke neeche stable rehti hai, hum overall bearish trend ke hawale se optimistic rahain ge. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh bearish scenario khatam ho jaye ga, aur pair 1.3170 ki taraf move karega. Yeh dobara retest ko trigger karega, aur mazeed izafa kar ke 1.3200 ke level tak jaane ka imkaan hai.

Is waqt, pair mixed trading kar raha hai aur har hafte mein thori si tabdeeli dekh raha hai. Ahem support areas test ho rahe hain aur stable hain, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke upside vector ab bhi important hai. Agar price ko near-term mein barqarar rakhna hai, toh zaroori hai ke yeh 1.3082 ke level ke upar consolidate kare, jo ke ek major support area hoga. Agar is area ka retest hota hai aur wahan se price rebound karti hai, toh yeh sustainable advance ka ek acha moqa ho ga, aur target area 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke beech mein ho ga.

Maujooda scenario us waqt cancel ho jaye ga jab support break hoga aur price pivot level 1.2994 ke neeche gir jaye gi.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai. Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai. Price increase bhi ab 1.3144 zone ke pass hai jo buying interest ke dominance ko indicate karta hai

**GBP/USD Analysis**

Currency pair GBPUSD - chart D1. Is haftay price ne pichlay haftay ka minimum update kar liya hai aur expected target, jo ke support level 1.3008 tha, tak pahunch gayi hai. Is senior period par wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein build ho raha hai. MACD indicator, jo ke upper purchase zone mein hai, apni signal line ke neeche ja rahi hai, jo ke correction phase ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal se, decline shayad khatam ho chuki hai, price ne target ko mushkil se achieve kiya hai, jab ke growth aasani se, jaise ke yeast upar chali gayi thi. Nearest aur main target horizontal support level 1.3008 hai jo ke candles ke closing prices par build hua hai, isay kaam mein laaya gaya hai aur lagta hai ke is se kuch growth planned hai, jo ke shuru ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ab lower overheating zone mein hai aur upar ki taraf nikalne ke liye tayaar hai, jo ke yahan se growth ke barhne ki high probability ko hint karta hai. Resistance level 1.3103 pehle test kiya gaya tha aur ye withstand kar gaya tha, shayad is ka repeat test ho. General, price ab yahan clamped lag rahi hai, upar aur neeche dono strong levels hain. Aaj ke liye important news: 15:15 Moscow time: Eurozone Deposit Funds Rate, Eurozone Margin Lending Rate, European Central Bank Monetary Policy Statement, ECB Interest Rate Decision. 15:30 - US Initial Jobless Claims, US PPI, US Total Jobless Claims, US Core PPI. In news items ke chalte trading mushkil ho sakti hai, ye prices ko 1.3103 tak upar le ja sakti hain ya prices ko kal ke minimum ke neeche le ja sakti hain, aur accumulation poore din tak news se pehle chal sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair mein kuch buying opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Yeh is liye bhi important hai kyun ke aaj US Fed Chair Powell ka speech hai, jo market sentiment ko badal sakta hai. Is liye mujhe umeed hai ke market sellers ke favor mein rahegi, aur yeh 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wali news bhi market sentiment ko bara asar de sakti hai aur trading results ko significant taur par influence kar sakti hai. Traders ko mashwara hai ke woh informed rahain aur apni strategies ko market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karein. Market sentiment mein aanay wali shifts ko anticipate karte hue, agar traders strategically position lein, to yeh unki ability ko enhance karega ke woh uncertainties ko navigate kar sakein aur favorable trading conditions ka fayda utha sakein.
Aaj ka market ek behtareen buying opportunity paish kar raha hai, jahan buyer sentiment mazboot hai aur upward momentum ka potential hai. Agar traders prevailing market sentiment ke sath align karein aur well-defined buy strategies ko implement karein, to unke profitable outcomes ke chances barh jate hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dena aur fundamental insights ka leverage lena traders ko market ke complexities mein confidently navigate karne mein madad deta hai. Agar woh market developments se well-informed rahain aur evolving conditions par adeptly respond karein, to woh apni trading strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur financial markets ke dynamic landscape mein opportunities ka fayda utha sakte hain.



GBP/USD pair us waqt barh gaya jab US Dollar (USD) Wednesday ko strong bounce ke baad thoda gir gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chay major currencies ke muqabley track karta hai, immediate resistance 101.20 ke upar recovery extend karne ki koshish kar raha hai.
Greenback ko apni recent rebound ko maintain karna mushkil hoga kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke almost sure hone ke bawajood ke September meeting se interest rates ko reduce karna shuru kar diya jayega. Jabke traders divided hain ke Fed policy-easing spell ko 25 ya 50-basis-points (bps) cut se start karega, rate reduction already priced in hai.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish commentary ne jo last week Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein diya tha, Fed ke September se interest rates cut karne ke speculation ko mazbooti di hai. Powell ne kaha ke “policy ko adjust karne ka waqt aa gaya hai,” jo ke yeh highlight karta hai ke US central bank ab labor market ke downside risks ko lekar zyada concerned hai jab inflation 2% ke desired rate par wapas aati nazar aayi hai .
GBP/USD pair consolidation area mein hai aur buyers price ko aage le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar hum 1.26702, 1.27018, aur 1.27334 ke levels par foothold bana lete hain, to upward movement ki umeed hai. Wahi, downward movement ke liye sellers ko 1.26120 ko break karna zaroori hai. Technical indicators aur fractals ke analysis se, price movements ke liye key levels ko monitor karna aur market signals ko samajhna important hai.

**Market Review and Outlook:**

**Market Sentiment:**

Budh ke din, currency pair ne uchi hadon ko test kiya lekin aakhir mein 1.3055 ke aas-paas settle ho gaya, jahan se din ki shuruat hui thi. Market ab ek bade downside shock se guzra hai jo pichle hafte ke aakhir mein saamne aaya. Yeh shock US ke kuch bekaar economic data ke nateeje mein aya, jisne US mein severe recession ke potential ke baare mein dobara chinta ko jagaa diya hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook:**

Halaat ka tajziya, ek ehtiyaat se bhari hui optimism ko dikhata hai, jo ke recent economic uncertainties se tempered hai. Traders aur analysts US aur UK ke economic indicators ko closely dekh rahe hain taake future movements ko samjha ja sake. Agar kisi bhi economic data mein significant deviation hoti hai, toh market expectations aur currency pair ke trajectory par asar pad sakta hai.

**Current Economic Landscape:**

Recent economic figures US central bank ke latest meeting ke expectations ke sath align karti hain. Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ne projection di thi ke CPI inflation is saal ke doosre hisson mein takreeban 2.75% tak barhegi. Yeh increase pichle saal ke energy price declines ke base effect ko reflect karta hai, jo ab domestic inflationary pressures ko zyada clearly highlight karta hai. Private sector ke regular average weekly earnings growth May ke mawaqe par 5.6% tak gir gayi hai, jabke services consumer price inflation June mein 5.7% tak gir gaya hai.

**Implications for the UK Economy:**

Aane wale UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data par skepticism barqarar hai. Annual inflation figures ki anticipated rise se immediate policy shifts hone ki umeed nahi. Lekin agar data expectations se zyada aati hai, toh Bank of England (BoE) ke zyada aggressive stance ke baare mein speculation ho sakti hai aur next interest rate cut ko 2025 tak ke liye delay kiya ja sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, Pound Sterling apne major counterparts ke muqablay mein barh sakta hai.

London trading hours ke dauran, GBP/USD pair mein volatility dekhne ko mili, jo 1.3060 level se upar gaya aur phir 1.2998 ke low tak gir gaya. Yeh recent movement yeh darshata hai ke downside risk abhi bhi barqarar hai. Key support levels jo dekhne hain, wo hain 1.3045 aur 1.3010, jahan se aakhri support milta hai. Downside risk tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak 1.3088 level barqarar hai. 1.3050 mark ko do baar test karne aur rebound karne ke bawajood, downward momentum dheema hota hua lag raha hai, jo ke 1.3000 ke niche sustained drop ki probability ko kam kar raha hai.

**Conversely, agar pair 1.3100 ke upar levels ko maintain karta hai aur 50-day moving average (DMA) ki taraf badhta hai, toh yeh 1.3110 level ko test kar sakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke GBP 1.3150 ko paar kar jaye, kyunke pichle hafte trading ke doran yeh 1.3234 ke high tak pahuncha tha. Yeh potential upside movement bullish momentum ke aane ki nishani ho sakti hai agar key resistance levels breach ho jayein.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke Dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga

GBP/USD Analysis

Yahan hamari umeedein alag hain. Main GBP/USD currency pair mein kisi tez growth ki umeed nahi kar raha hoon. Main sirf decline ki expect kar raha hoon. Mere paas 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se open sales hain, aur abhi yeh transactions thodi si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Yeh dikhata hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikal gaya tha, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ke decline ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mere liye yeh kam mumkin hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko top se bottom tak break karega aur profitable purchases ke zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak chala jayega. Magar meri trading idea ke liye zaroori hai ke price channel ke lower border se bahar nikal jaye. Uske baad main ek northern correction aur continued decline ki umeed karta hoon.

Pound GBP/USD ki baat karein, toh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke kareeb trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche hai. Main indicators southern direction ko dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level se upar jata hai, toh pair ke growth ki umeed kar sakte hain, levels 1.3107 tak, aur shayad 1.3130 tak bhi. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche jata hai, toh mera khayal hai ke pair 1.3056 tak neeche ja sakta hai, aur shayad 1.3019 tak bhi.

Pound monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehla 1.2837) ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehla 1.3167) aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche hai, jo humein pair ke liye ek strong southern correctional mood ke baare mein batata hai. Agar weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar jata hai, toh pair north ki taraf jayega, lekin daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche jayega toh pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jayega. North ka pehla resistance level 1.3107 par hai, jabke south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jaana zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis discuss karte hain. H1 chart par GBP/USD ko monitor karte hue, dekhte hain ke current exchange rate 1.3103 hai. Aaj ke US trading session mein bulls ko 1.3143 level ke upar le jaanay mein mushkil hui. MACD indicator abhi bhi negative zone mein hai, jabke Envelopes indicator downward trend ko suggest kar raha hai. Mera andaza hai ke price 1.2999 tak giray gi. US dollar ki mazid taqat ko dekhte hue, main selling positions ko ab bhi prefer karta hoon. 4-hour chart par GBP/USD ne recently 1.3141 ke resistance level se rebound kiya hai aur ab 1.3099 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Short term mein, exchange rate apni girawat jaari rakhe gi, aur nearest target 1.3049 ke aas paas hai, jabke key psychological level 1.2999 bhi focus mein hai. British pound ke mutabiq, US dollar ke muqable mein is ka general decline jaari rahega, lekin Bank of England ke aanay walay meeting ke qareeb yeh rebound kar sakta hai, ho sakta hai ke 1.329 se upar bhi pohanch jaye. Week ke end mein ayaan walay Nonfarm Payrolls data ka market par asar abhi dekhna baqi hai. Agar price 1.2999 se neeche clear drop karti hai, tou mazid selling pressure barh sakta hai. GBP/USD ne 1.3218 ka resistance break kiya aur 1.3261 tak barh gaya. Lekin Tuesday ko GBP/USD mein aik significant decline dekha gaya, jo 80 pips tak move kar gaya. H1 timeframe par candle ne H1 support 1.3181 ko break kar diya. Candle ki position ab resistance ke upar nahi hai, isliye GBP/USD ka dobara upar jaana mushkil hai. H1 timeframe par analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD gir gaya kyunke candle 1.3255 ke supply area ko breach nahi kar saka. Jab tak yeh area breach nahi hota, GBP/USD ko upar jaane mein mushkilat ka samna rahega. H1 support 1.3181 ka break is baat ki nishani hai ke mazid girawat ka potential zyada hai. Aam tor par, aise support break ke baad rate pehle correction ke liye upar jata hai. Prediction yeh hai ke GBP/USD pehle 1.3245 tak barhega, lekin us ke baad phir se girawat ka samna karega

GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**
GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke Dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50

Jumeraat ke din, Asian trading session ke dauran, currency pair ne teen din ke girawat ke baad rebound kiya, aur takreeban 1.3046 par trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement zyada tar USD ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jab ke market mein umeedain barh rahi hain ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein zyada agressive rate cut karega.
Ab tawajjo services inflation par hai, jo June mein 5.7% year-over-year (YoY) par barqarar rahi, jab ke pichlay do mahino mein umeed se zyada izafa dekha gaya tha. Stable services inflation ko musbat nazar se dekha ja raha hai aur yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke Bank of England (BoE) November mein rate cut kar sakta hai. Lekin, agar inflation ke numbers barhte hain, to iska foran interest rate hike ka matlab nahi hoga, kyun ke policymakers ab bhi maashi gheir yaqini surat-e-haal ka idraak karte hain. Bar-aks, qareebi waqt mein rate cut ka imkaan kam hai, jab ke officials ne kaha ke “monetary policy ko tab tak sakht rehna hoga jab tak inflation ke risks 2% ke target par wapas aney ke khatar kam na ho jayein.”

Service sector ke price pressures ka asar wages ke izafa se hota hai, jo ke June ke ikhtitam tak pichlay teen mahino mein apni do saal ki sab se kam satah par aa gayi hain. Aakhri Employment report yeh zahir karti hai ke Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses 5.4% ki raftar se barhti rahi, jo pichlay quarter ke 5.7% se kam hai. Wages ke izafa mein yeh raftar kehte hue, BoE policymakers ke liye kuch tasalli ho sakti hai, jo short term mein wage pressures ko manage karne par fikrmand rahe hain.

Kal GBP mein tezi se girawat ke baad jo psychological 1.3000 mark ke qareeb thi, humari analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke naye momentum ke bawajood downside risk barqarar hai. 1.3000 ka level, jo ke June ke lowest level ke saath align karta hai, ne mazboot support diya hai. Hum bearish outlook barqarar rakhte hain jab tak GBP/USD 1.3109 ke strong resistance level ko break nahi karta. Jab tak price 1.3120 ke neeche rehti hai, mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai, lekin 1.3145 ke neeche girna imkaan se bahar lagta hai.


asar wages ke izafa se hota hai, jo ke June ke ikhtitam tak pichlay teen mahino mein apni do saal ki sab se kam satah par aa gayi hain. Aakhri Employment report yeh zahir karti hai ke Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses 5.4% ki raftar se barhti rahi, jo pichlay quarter ke 5.7% se kam hai. Wages ke izafa mein yeh raftar kehte hue, BoE policymakers ke liye kuch tasalli ho sakti hai, jo short term mein wage pressures ko manage karne par fikrmand rahe hain.
Kal GBP mein tezi se girawat ke baad jo psychological 1.3000 mark ke qa
Pair ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche 1.3078 par resilience dikhayi hai, aur dip-buyers ne isko is haftay ke one-month low ke qareeb dekha. Is ke bawajood, spot prices recent uptick par mazid build karne mein nakam nazar aa rahe hain, aur sirf halki intraday gains dikhate hue 1.3100 mark ke qareeb hain.