جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai. Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai. Price increase bhi ab 1.3144 zone ke pass hai jo buying interest ke dominance ko indicate karta hai.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka analysis karenge. Maine hourly chart ko dekh kar yeh identify kiya ke koi aise formation hai jo decline ka signal de raha ho. Chart pe dekha gaya ke maheene ka aakhri din aik large body wali candle ke sath close hua jo dono sides pe shadows bhi show kar raha hai. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ke trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kiya jo bears ke liye hopeful hai jo aage price drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui hai aur support level 1.3131 ko break kar diya. Lekin, agar yeh false breakout hai to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. Meri expectation hai ke September mein price decline karegi aur 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech aayegi. Hourly chart par resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 tak gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh show karta hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo suggest karti hain ke currency pair ka downward movement continue ho sakta hai. Jab 4-hour timeframe se GBP/USD market ka observation kiya gaya, to yeh nazar aata hai ke buyers ka trend dominate kar raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se price uptrend side ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Market ka journey pichle hafte se sellers ke downward correction ke bawajood bullish trend ko delay kar raha hai. Aaj market ko monitor karne se yeh lagta hai ke trend bullish side ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mere hisaab se agla price journey shayad upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai taake current position se door ho sake. Pichle do hafton ke trading period mein fairly bullish conditions dekhne ko mili hain jo price ko upar laane mein madad kar sakti hain aur 1.3264 area tak pahunch sakti hain, halankeh market phir se correction down dekhti hai. Aaj subah market ki opening par price ko barhane ki koshish ki gayi, aur candlestick 1.3126 ke zone ke around hai. Agar 100-period ke simple moving average ka analysis kiya jaye, to signal line upar jaati hui nazar aati hai jo pichle hafton ke trend ko show karti hai. Overall, candlestick simple moving average zone of period 100 ko cross kar chuki hai jo ke bullish zone mein movement ka indication hai. Price increase bhi ab 1.3144 zone ke pass hai jo buying interest ke dominance ko indicate karta hai.

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai.
Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain

ستمبر 12 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، یوکے نے تجارت، جی ڈی پی، تعمیرات، اور پیداوار سے متعلق بہت سے معاشی اشاریے جاری کیے... اور سب توقع سے زیادہ خراب نکلے۔ نتیجتاً، پاؤنڈ میں 38 پِپس کی کمی ہوئی، اور روزانہ کی کم ترین سطح تقریباً 1.2994 تکنیکی معاونت کی سطح کو چھو گئی۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں داخل ہو گئی ہے۔ قیمت کے پاس ابھی بھی 1.2994 سپورٹ کو توڑنے اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن (1.2952) کے خلاف اپنی پوزیشن کو مضبوط کرنے کے لیے اس کے نیچے مضبوط ہونے کی کم از کم ایک اور کوشش باقی ہے۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے نیچے گرتی رہتی ہے، اور ایک الٹ عنصر ابھرا ہے کیونکہ سگنل لائن ترقی کے علاقے کے ساتھ باؤنڈری سے ہٹ جاتی ہے۔ قیمت مزید نیچے کی طرف بڑھ سکتی ہے۔ بینک آف انگلینڈ کی متوقع شرح میں کمی سے پہلے، سرمایہ کاروں کو یورپی مرکزی بینک اور فیڈرل ریزرو کی جانب سے شرح میں کمی کو برداشت کرنا ہوگا۔ پاؤنڈ پر دباؤ واضح ہے۔



*تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں

GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.3219 ka level touch kiya aur phir hourly chart pe is level ke neeche position secure ki. Lekin trend abhi poora bearish nahi hai, is liye selling ka option itna safe nahi lagta. Kal aap ne kaha tha ke 1.3189 level aik acha selling point ho sakta hai, lekin agar kisi ko thoda risk lena ho toh 1.3239 resistance level ke qareeb ek signal mil sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafte ka high tha. Is waqt lagta hai ke pound 1.3189 ke qareeb close karega. Halat abhi thori unclear hai, aur subah tak hi pata chalega ke market kis taraf jaayegi. Trading ke liye yeh mera approach hai shaam mein aksar mein thak jata hoon aur cheezein dhundhli lagne lagti hain, lekin subah price action ko dekh ke trading plan bana leta hoon.
Asia session ke baad GBP/USD ne girna shuru kiya, 1.3269 se shuruaat ki. Sellers ne local trend ko tor diya hai aur 1.3174 ka early support level test kar rahe hain. Agar sellers is 1.3174 mark ko tor dete hain (aur hourly candle neeche close hoti hai), toh mein sochta hoon ke yeh girawat 1.3089 tak jaari rahegi. Dusri taraf, agar price upar 1.3249 tak chali jati hai, toh wahan se girawat wapas aa sakti hai. D1 time frame ke analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke aaj ki D1 candle kal ke high ko cross nahi kar saki aur ab neeche aagayi hai, jo ke kal ke opening ke qareeb hai. Lekin abhi kaafi waqt baaqi hai D1 candle ke close hone ka, is liye predict karna mushkil hai ke yeh candle kis shakal mein close hogi. Mere khayal mein yeh bearish overlap ke saath close hogi. Yeh pattern ek poora reversal nahi lagta, lekin upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aik temporary pause ka indication de raha hai.
Neeche diye gaye graph ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke candlestick abhi bhi 1.3200 ke price level ke upar comfortably trade kar rahi hai. Mere nazar mein, yeh aik bullish potential ka indication ho sakta hai. Sellers ka pressure zaroor hai, lekin yeh condition temporary lagti hai, aur girawat ka silsila khatam ho sakta hai. Agle trading session mein lagta hai ke bullish trend ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo shayad kal Friday ke session tak chalta rahe.

Gbp/usd pair ne wednesday ko US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hua jab US inflation data release hui, jis ne yeh suggest kiya ke Federal Reserve ab sooch samajh kar interest rate cuts karegi. CPI overall expectation ke mutabiq barhi, lekin core CPI, jo ke food aur energy ke ilawa hoti hai, thodi ziada barhi jo anticipate ki gayi thi. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke mehngai ke pressure abhi bhi zyada hai, jo ke Fed ki ability ko aggressively rates cut karne se rok sakti hai. Iss data ke nateeje mein, Fed ki aane wali meeting mein 50 basis point rate cut ki probability kam ho gayi hai, jab ke 25 basis point cut puri tarah se priced in hai. Iss shift ne US dollar ko support diya, jis ne strength hasil ki jab investors ne kam dovish Fed ke umeed rakhi. GBP/USD ne apna downward trend resume kar liya early European trade mein, aur ek key support level ko tod diya. Ager girawat jaari rahi, toh selling pressure April-July ke uptrend ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement aur 20-day simple moving average ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar downside momentum jaari raha, toh bearish cycle lower support levels tak barh sakti hai, jin mein 38.2% Fibonacci level aur 50-day moving average bhi shamil hai.
Technically, GBP/USD ka short-term outlook bearish hai. RSI aur Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf muft rahe hain, jab ke MACD red signal line ke neeche break kar chuki hai. Lekin moving averages ki upward slope yeh suggest karti hai ke current bearish wave larger uptrend ka hissa ho sakti hai. Yeh factors ke ilawa bhi kai aur factors hain jo GBP/USD ko near term mein influence kar sakte hain. In sab complex factors ki waja se, short-term mein GBP/USD ka move predict karna mushkil hai. Lekin current bearish trend se yeh risk pata chalta hai ke near future mein aur girawat ho sakti hai. Lekin doosre events aur factors bhi bulls ko dubara support kar sakte hain. Market behavior ya sentiment ko analyze karte rehna chahiye taake galtiyon se bacha ja sake aur usko puri tarah samjha ja sake. Market sentiment aksar price movements ko drive karta hai, aur usko samajhne se participants ko edge mil sakti hai. Sentiment analysis ka ek important hissa yeh hai ke samjha jaye ke doosre participants kis tarah position liye hue hain aur woh mukhtalif price levels par kis tarah react kar sakte hain. Jab bulls resistance ko test karne ki koshish karenge, toh yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke market mein strong consensus hai ya phir indecision ke signs hain. In factors ka analysis karne se mehngi galtiyon se bacha ja sakta hai aur movements se opportunities lene ka advantage hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Market sentiment ko samajhna potential reversals ya trend ke continuations ko identify karne mein bhi madad karta hai, jo informed decisions lene ke liye zaroori insight deti hai.

**Market Review and Outlook:**

**Market Sentiment:**

Budh ke din, currency pair ne uchi hadon ko test kiya lekin aakhir mein 1.3055 ke aas-paas settle ho gaya, jahan se din ki shuruat hui thi. Market ab ek bade downside shock se guzra hai jo pichle hafte ke aakhir mein saamne aaya. Yeh shock US ke kuch bekaar economic data ke nateeje mein aya, jisne US mein severe recession ke potential ke baare mein dobara chinta ko jagaa diya hai.

**Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook:**

Halaat ka tajziya, ek ehtiyaat se bhari hui optimism ko dikhata hai, jo ke recent economic uncertainties se tempered hai. Traders aur analysts US aur UK ke economic indicators ko closely dekh rahe hain taake future movements ko samjha ja sake. Agar kisi bhi economic data mein significant deviation hoti hai, toh market expectations aur currency pair ke trajectory par asar pad sakta hai.

**Current Economic Landscape:**

Recent economic figures US central bank ke latest meeting ke expectations ke sath align karti hain. Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ne projection di thi ke CPI inflation is saal ke doosre hisson mein takreeban 2.75% tak barhegi. Yeh increase pichle saal ke energy price declines ke base effect ko reflect karta hai, jo ab domestic inflationary pressures ko zyada clearly highlight karta hai. Private sector ke regular average weekly earnings growth May ke mawaqe par 5.6% tak gir gayi hai, jabke services consumer price inflation June mein 5.7% tak gir gaya hai.

**Implications for the UK Economy:**

Aane wale UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data par skepticism barqarar hai. Annual inflation figures ki anticipated rise se immediate policy shifts hone ki umeed nahi. Lekin agar data expectations se zyada aati hai, toh Bank of England (BoE) ke zyada aggressive stance ke baare mein speculation ho sakti hai aur next interest rate cut ko 2025 tak ke liye delay kiya ja sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, Pound Sterling apne major counterparts ke muqablay mein barh sakta hai.

London trading hours ke dauran, GBP/USD pair mein volatility dekhne ko mili, jo 1.3060 level se upar gaya aur phir 1.2998 ke low tak gir gaya. Yeh recent movement yeh darshata hai ke downside risk abhi bhi barqarar hai. Key support levels jo dekhne hain, wo hain 1.3045 aur 1.3010, jahan se aakhri support milta hai. Downside risk tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak 1.3088 level barqarar hai. 1.3050 mark ko do baar test karne aur rebound karne ke bawajood, downward momentum dheema hota hua lag raha hai, jo ke 1.3000 ke niche sustained drop ki probability ko kam kar raha hai.

**Conversely, agar pair 1.3100 ke upar levels ko maintain karta hai aur 50-day moving average (DMA) ki taraf badhta hai, toh yeh 1.3110 level ko test kar sakta hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke GBP 1.3150 ko paar kar jaye, kyunke pichle hafte trading ke doran yeh 1.3234 ke high tak pahuncha tha. Yeh potential upside movement bullish momentum ke aane ki nishani ho sakti hai agar key resistance levels breach ho jayein.**

GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. - Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. - Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

GBP/USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai.
Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai.
GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai.
Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho sakta hai, jisme kuch mahine ya usse zyada lag sakta hai complete hone ke liye

GBP/USD
Assalam-o-Alaikum. Main GBP/USD market mein ek mazid taiz correction ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jismein EMA20 ka test 1.3070 par ho sakta hai. Agar price wahan se rebound karti hai, toh aap sales ko catch karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.3105 ke upar chali jati hai, toh sales ko cancel kar dena chahiye. Aur agar EMA200 ke neeche 1.3015 par consolidation hoti hai, toh sales ko barhaya ja sakta hai. Filhal, trading range 1.3070 aur 1.3015 ke darmiyan hai. Mein ek ideal signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke ab lagta hai ke mil sakta hai, kyun ke bulls abhi attack karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Kal ka inflation ka data batata hai ke mahana inflation barh gaya hai, aur yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke inflation agle quarter mein bhi barh sakta hai. Yeh baat Federal Reserve (Fed) ke liye sochne ka sabab ban sakti hai, ke wo interest rates ke baray mein faisla karain, kyun ke non-farm payroll report ne labor market mein growth dikhayi thi. Agar rate kam kiya gaya, toh bohat hi thoda hoga. Har surat mein yeh dollar ki taqat mein izafa karne ke liye ek moqa hai. ECB rate ke ilawa, America mein initial unemployment benefits aur producer price index ke data ka bhi intezaar hai, jo agle consumer price index ka ishara dega.

Half-hour timeframe ko upar dekha gaya tha, aur ab main chah raha hoon ke four-hour chart ka tajziya karoon. Ismein, pehle 1.3265 ke high se rebound hone ke baad pound/dollar pair neeche chala gaya tha, jahan ek downward price channel bana. Abhi British pound 1.3048 par trade kar raha hai. Kal technically neeche ke border se rebound hua (false breakout ke sath), jis ke baad pound corrective growth ki taraf gaya. Is waqt buyers ka target resistance line hai, jo 1.3150 par hai.

Yeh samajh nahi aa raha ke filhal entry ka clear signal kya hai. Half-hour chart 1.3060 se sell ka signal de raha hai, lekin four-hour chart buy ka signal 1.3150 tak de raha hai.

GBP/USD Analysis
Yahan hamari umeedein alag hain. Main GBP/USD currency pair mein kisi tez growth ki umeed nahi kar raha hoon. Main sirf decline ki expect kar raha hoon. Mere paas 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se open sales hain, aur abhi yeh transactions thodi si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Yeh dikhata hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikal gaya tha, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ke decline ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mere liye yeh kam mumkin hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko top se bottom tak break karega aur profitable purchases ke zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak chala jayega. Magar meri trading idea ke liye zaroori hai ke price channel ke lower border se bahar nikal jaye. Uske baad main ek northern correction aur continued decline ki umeed karta hoon.

Pound GBP/USD ki baat karein, toh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke kareeb trade kar raha hai aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche hai. Main indicators southern direction ko dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level se upar jata hai, toh pair ke growth ki umeed kar sakte hain, levels 1.3107 tak, aur shayad 1.3130 tak bhi. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche jata hai, toh mera khayal hai ke pair 1.3056 tak neeche ja sakta hai, aur shayad 1.3019 tak bhi.

Pound monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehla 1.2837) ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehla 1.3167) aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche hai, jo humein pair ke liye ek strong southern correctional mood ke baare mein batata hai. Agar weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar jata hai, toh pair north ki taraf jayega, lekin daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche jayega toh pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jayega. North ka pehla resistance level 1.3107 par hai, jabke south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jaana zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai

GBP/USD
Assalam-o-Alaikum. Main GBP/USD market mein ek mazid taiz correction ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jismein EMA20 ka test 1.3070 par ho sakta hai. Agar price wahan se rebound karti hai, toh aap sales ko catch karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.3105 ke upar chali jati hai, toh sales ko cancel kar dena chahiye. Aur agar EMA200 ke neeche 1.3015 par consolidation hoti hai, toh sales ko barhaya ja sakta hai. Filhal, trading range 1.3070 aur 1.3015 ke darmiyan hai. Mein ek ideal signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke ab lagta hai ke mil sakta hai, kyun ke bulls abhi attack karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Kal ka inflation ka data batata hai ke mahana inflation barh gaya hai, aur yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke inflation agle quarter mein bhi barh sakta hai. Yeh baat Federal Reserve (Fed) ke liye sochne ka sabab ban sakti hai, ke wo interest rates ke baray mein faisla karain, kyun ke non-farm payroll report ne labor market mein growth dikhayi thi. Agar rate kam kiya gaya, toh bohat hi thoda hoga. Har surat mein yeh dollar ki taqat mein izafa karne ke liye ek moqa hai. ECB rate ke ilawa, America mein initial unemployment benefits aur producer price index ke data ka bhi intezaar hai, jo agle consumer price index ka ishara dega.

Half-hour timeframe ko upar dekha gaya tha, aur ab main chah raha hoon ke four-hour chart ka tajziya karoon. Ismein, pehle 1.3265 ke high se rebound hone ke baad pound/dollar pair neeche chala gaya tha, jahan ek downward price channel bana. Abhi British pound 1.3048 par trade kar raha hai. Kal technically neeche ke border se rebound hua (false breakout ke sath), jis ke baad pound corrective growth ki taraf gaya. Is waqt buyers ka target resistance line hai, jo 1.3150 par hai.

Yeh samajh nahi aa raha ke filhal entry ka clear signal kya hai. Half-hour chart 1.3060 se sell ka signal de raha hai, lekin four-hour chart buy ka signal 1.3150 tak de raha hai.

GBP/USD
Budh ke din, spot price ne ek aham recovery dekhi, jismein daily aur weekly lows se bounce karte hue 1.3105 ka mark cross kiya. Yeh behtari Bank of England ke ek official ke bayan ke baad aayi. BoE ne tasalli di ke woh market ki instability ke dauran interest rates nahi barhaye ga, jisse risk appetite mein izafa hua aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko ek temporary boost mila. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha tha jab ke pehle yeh 1.2998 ke low tak gir gaya tha.

Haal ke market sentiment aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein abhi limited corrections ho sakti hain, aur har girawat ko buying ka moqa samjha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Federal Reserve ke anticipated interest rate cuts bhi pair ke movements ko asar andaz karte rahenge. Tajir ko aanay wale economic data aur central bank ke bayanaat par ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye, kyun ke yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke future direction ke liye intehai ahem honge.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi mein UK ke economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Data ne unexpected taur par unemployment rate mein kami dikhayi, jo doosray kamzor indicators ko overshadow kar gayi. Khaas tor par, unemployment-related benefits claim karne walay afrad ki tadaad July mein 135,000 barh gayi thi. Mazeed, wage growth bhi significant taur par slow ho gayi, jo ke 5.7% year-over-year se gir ke 4.5% par agayi June ke teen mahine ke data mein. Yeh figures mixed tasveer paish karte hain, lekin unemployment ki overall kami GBP ke liye ek positive factor rahi.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar pressure mein hai, kyun ke market ab Federal Reserve se mazid interest rate cuts ki umeed laga raha hai. Yeh sentiment softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report se mazid reinforce hua jo Tuesday ko release hui thi. Yeh sab aur market mein generally positive risk tone ne USD bulls ko defensive position mein rakha hua hai. Is waja se GBP/USD pair ko in conditions ne support diya hai, aur har girawat ko investors buying ka moqa samajh sakte hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh pair neutral se le kar bearish bias dikhata hai. Haal hi mein 20-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche girna, jo ke 1.3109 par hai, buyers mein concerns ko barhawa de raha hai. Jab pair 1.3050 ke neeche gaya, toh sellers ne control le liya, halaan ke Greenback ki strength ne GBP/USD ko back foot par rakha. Agar pair 1.2900 ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh 6 August ke low 1.2671 ko test kar sakta hai, aur mazeed losses ho sakte hain agar yeh 100-DMA 1.2856 ke neeche slip kare.

Filhal, Pound stabilize kar raha hai, lekin August ke peak se jo broader short-term downtrend hai, woh ab bhi wazeh hai. GBP ko 1.2900 ke high range ke qareeb support mil raha hai, jahan 50-day aur 100-day moving averages 1.2962 aur 1.2856 par converge ho rahe hain. Lekin resistance abhi door hai 1.3264 par, jo suggest karta hai ke qareebi arsay mein Pound ko mazid faiday milna mushkil ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD
Budh ke din, spot price ne ek aham recovery dekhi, jismein daily aur weekly lows se bounce karte hue 1.3105 ka mark cross kiya. Yeh behtari Bank of England ke ek official ke bayan ke baad aayi. BoE ne tasalli di ke woh market ki instability ke dauran interest rates nahi barhaye ga, jisse risk appetite mein izafa hua aur GBP/USD exchange rate ko ek temporary boost mila. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 1.3043 par trade kar raha tha jab ke pehle yeh 1.2998 ke low tak gir gaya tha.

Haal ke market sentiment aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair mein abhi limited corrections ho sakti hain, aur har girawat ko buying ka moqa samjha ja sakta hai. Improved risk appetite aur Federal Reserve ke anticipated interest rate cuts bhi pair ke movements ko asar andaz karte rahenge. Tajir ko aanay wale economic data aur central bank ke bayanaat par ghair mamooli tawajjo deni chahiye, kyun ke yeh GBP/USD exchange rate ke future direction ke liye intehai ahem honge.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Haal hi mein UK ke economic data ne Pound ko kuch support diya hai. Data ne unexpected taur par unemployment rate mein kami dikhayi, jo doosray kamzor indicators ko overshadow kar gayi. Khaas tor par, unemployment-related benefits claim karne walay afrad ki tadaad July mein 135,000 barh gayi thi. Mazeed, wage growth bhi significant taur par slow ho gayi, jo ke 5.7% year-over-year se gir ke 4.5% par agayi June ke teen mahine ke data mein. Yeh figures mixed tasveer paish karte hain, lekin unemployment ki overall kami GBP ke liye ek positive factor rahi.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar pressure mein hai, kyun ke market ab Federal Reserve se mazid interest rate cuts ki umeed laga raha hai. Yeh sentiment softer-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report se mazid reinforce hua jo Tuesday ko release hui thi. Yeh sab aur market mein generally positive risk tone ne USD bulls ko defensive position mein rakha hua hai. Is waja se GBP/USD pair ko in conditions ne support diya hai, aur har girawat ko investors buying ka moqa samajh sakte hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh pair neutral se le kar bearish bias dikhata hai. Haal hi mein 20-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche girna, jo ke 1.3109 par hai, buyers mein concerns ko barhawa de raha hai. Jab pair 1.3050 ke neeche gaya, toh sellers ne control le liya, halaan ke Greenback ki strength ne GBP/USD ko back foot par rakha. Agar pair 1.2900 ke neeche jata hai, toh yeh 6 August ke low 1.2671 ko test kar sakta hai, aur mazeed losses ho sakte hain agar yeh 100-DMA 1.2856 ke neeche slip kare.

Filhal, Pound stabilize kar raha hai, lekin August ke peak se jo broader short-term downtrend hai, woh ab bhi wazeh hai. GBP ko 1.2900 ke high range ke qareeb support mil raha hai, jahan 50-day aur 100-day moving averages 1.2962 aur 1.2856 par converge ho rahe hain. Lekin resistance abhi door hai 1.3264 par, jo suggest karta hai ke qareebi arsay mein Pound ko mazid faiday milna mushkil ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ANALYSIS

Currency pair GBPUSD - chart D1. Iss haftay mein price ne pichle haftay ka minimum update kar liya aur expected target - support level 1.3008 tak pohnch gaya. Is senior period pe wave structure ab bhi ascending order mein hai. MACD indicator, halankeh ye upper purchase zone mein hai, signal line ke neeche gir raha hai, jo correction phase ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal se, girawat shayad khatam ho gayi hai, price ne apne target ko mushkil se achieve kiya, jabke growth asaan thi, jaise yeast ki tarah upar gayi. Sabse nazdeek aur main target horizontal support level 1.3008 hai jo candles ke closing prices par bana hai, ye target achieve ho chuka hai aur lagta hai yahan se thoda growth ho sakta hai, jo shuru bhi ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ab lower overheating zone mein hai aur upar ki taraf nikalne ke liye tayar hai, jo yahan se growth ke bade probability ko indicate karta hai. Resistance level 1.3103 ka pichle din test kiya gaya tha aur ye resist hua, shayad dobara test ho. General mein, price yahan ab clamp ho gayi hai, do strong levels ke beech mein hai, upar aur neeche. Aaj ke important news: 15:15 Moscow time: Eurozone Deposit Funds Rate, Eurozone Margin Lending Rate, European Central Bank Monetary Policy Statement, ECB Interest Rate Decision. 15:30 - US Initial Jobless Claims, US PPI, US Total Jobless Claims, US Core PPI. Trading kaafi mushkil ho sakta hai in news ki wajah se, ye prices ko 1.3103 tak ucha le ja sakte hain, ya kal ke minimum se neeche gira sakte hain, aur accumulation poore din chal sakti hai news se pehle.