جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBPUSD

Yahan hamari umeedein mukhtalif hain. Main GBPUSD currency pair ke mazeed tez izafa ki tawakku nahi karta. Mera sirf ye hi maan na hai ke ab girawat hogi. Mere paas open sales 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se hain. Abhi ye transactions chhoti si plus mein hain. Main daily chart par tawajjo de raha hoon. Yeh dikhata hai ke price channel ki upper boundary se bahar nikal chuki hai, jo us waqt 1.3170 par thi. Ab mein asset ki girawat ki tawakku karta hoon kam az kam daily period ki moving line tak, jo abhi 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kamyab hoti hai, toh hum maximum 1.3262 par update ke saath izafa dekhain ge. Lekin mere liye yeh mumkin nahi lagta. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko ooper se neeche tod kar munafa bakhsh khareedari ki zone mein 1.2832-1.2764 par pohanch jayegi. Lekin meri trading ki soch yeh hai ke price channel ki neeche ki boundary se bahar nikalay. Uske baad mein shumali correction aur girawat jaari rahne ki tawakku karta hoon

Pound GBP/USD par. Yeh pair kholne ke level 1.3070 ke qareeb aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 se neeche trade kar raha hai. Ahem indicators south dikha rahe hain aur price trend line MA72 se neeche hai, jahan aam tor par volume unloading hoti hai. Agar price level 1.3093 se ooper hoti hai, toh hum pair ke izafa ki tawakku kar sakte hain, levels 1.3107 tak aur mumkin hai 1.3130 tak. Agar price level 1.3070 se neeche hoti hai, toh mein tawakku karta hoon ke pair 1.3056 ke level tak neeche jayegi aur mumkin hai 1.3019 tak. Pound maahwari Pivot level 1.3019 (pehle 1.2837) se ooper, haftaywar Pivot level 1.3151 (pehle 1.3167) se neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek mazboot southern correctional mood ke baray mein batata hai. Haftaywar Pivot level 1.3151 se ooper pair shumal ki taraf jayega, aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 se neeche pair maahwari Pivot par chali gayi. Shumal mein pehla resistance level 1.3107 hai. Janub mein 1.3056 se neeche afzaliyat hai

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kiya gaya hai. Kal bullish buy level ke upar ka breakout misleading sabit hua, kyun ke uske baad koi barhawa dekhne ko nahi mila; balkay bearish sell level 1.31285 par breach hogaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jiss wajah se mujhe selling ki taraf shift karna para. Ab mein umeed kar raha hoon ke price kam az kam 1.30859 tak giray gi. Yeh price aur bhi neeche ja sakti hai, ya to bearish channel ke lower boundary tak ya phir support level 1.29384 tak. Dobara buying ka sochna us waqt ho ga jab bullish buy level ka breakout hoga. Abhi mera alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 par hai. Agar bulls is level ko tod dete hain, tou mein foran buying ki taraf shift ho jaoonga, aur kam az kam 1.31849-1.32089 ke resistance levels tak ka izafa dekhne ki umeed hai. Pehle ke high tak bhi growth ka potential hai. Main abhi tak upward move ko mumkin samajh raha hoon, is liye apna buy position close karne mein hichkichahat hai. 1.3049 ke qareeb, ek full-scale upward movement meri profit target 1.3407 tak ja sakti hai, halan ke mein isay confirm nahi kar sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, tou mein shayad apna buy position manually close kar doon, kyun ke us waqt bullish move ke chances kaafi kam ho jaayenge. Maine pehle 1.3099-1.3049 tak ke drop ki tawaqo ki thi aur ab bhi uska intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke abhi pair overbought lag raha hai. Euro ne to apne gains ko lagbhag erase kar diya, lekin pound ne sirf 29% ka retrace kiya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% pe aata hai aur significant drop show karta hai, jisse ECB rates cut kare Fed ki tarah, tou UK ka inflation data abhi pending hai. Jab yeh release hoga, tou umeed hai ke market realize karegi ke Bank of England rates ko kam karta rahega. Kul mila ke, is hafte ke liye mera GBP/USD ka outlook bearish hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh 1.3141 se upar jaayeg
Lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein foran 1.3199 ya usse zyada ka izafa Friday ke close ke baad mushkil hai, kyunke dollar fundamentals ki wajah se mazid mazboot ho gaya hai. H1 chart par downward pressure mazid barh raha hai, aur momentum bhi kaafi strong lag raha hai. Iss waqt selling buying se zyada mufeed lagta hai, kyunke long positions ke liye mazeed favorable prices abhi aanay ka imkaan hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 ke range mein selling opportunities dekhi ja sakti hain jo ke 1.3074 support ke niche break ko target karengi. Kai buyers ne apne stops yahan rakhe hain, aur market wahan ja sakta hai, is liye abhi buying ke liye waqt jaldi hai. Haan, agar 1.3074 support ke niche stops toot jaate hain, toh buying transactions mazid favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move dekha jaye, for example 1.3182 tak, toh ye 50 points ka izafa ho ga, jo ke proportionally zyada profitab le hai. Local low lagbhag 101 points door hai; agar ye toot jaye aur barqarar rahe, toh agla target 161.8 level tak jaa sakta hai, lagbhag 1.2992, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce aata hai toh mazeed points bhi ho sakte hain.

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.
GBP/USD price oversold level par pahunch gaya hai, isliye possibility hai ke price bounce back kare. Aur agar subah dekhun, toh ek achha bullish candle form hona shuru ho gaya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke ek confirmation mile ke price little by little upar jana shuru ho gaya hai, lekin kyunke abhi jaldi hai, toh acha hai ke position enter karne mein jaldbazi na ki jaye, shayad thoda wait karun agar momentum zyada bullish ho jaye, toh buy option recommended choice ho sakti hai. Bade timeframe se dekha jaye, toh lagta hai ke ek strong bullish trend hai, lekin yeh bhi notice karna chahiye ke Wednesday ko GBP/USD price mein weakness aani shuru hui thi aur 80 pips neeche move hua tha, yeh ek sign ho sakta hai ke seller sentiment dheere dheere resist kar raha hai. Agar valid candlestick pattern ke saath ek aur decline hota hai, toh trend bearish ho sakta hai, aur uss case mein seller scenario ready karunga. Lekin agar price wapas upar jata hai, toh buyer scenario apply karega, isliye position enter karne ke decision mein jaldbazi nahi karni chahiye. Abhi tak mujhe lag raha hai ke GBP/USD market mein price movements ek achhe upward trend mein move kar rahe hain, dominant bullish trend ke saath, toh buy opportunities par focus rehna sahi hai, lekin agar gaur se dekhen, toh lagta hai ke Wednesday ko 80 pips ka decline hua tha, jisse ek bearish candlestick form hui thi lambi body ke saath. Ho sakta hai yeh decline correction phase ka hissa ho before continuing the higher trend, lekin agar yeh aur neeche jata hai, toh trend bearish bhi turn ho sakta hai.

GBPUSD currency pair ke kisi tez growth ki tawakku nahi karta. Main sirf girawat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Maine 1.3190 aur 1.3220 se sales open ki hui hain. Abhi yeh trades chhoti si profit mein hain. Main daily chart par focus kar raha hoon. Is chart se yeh pata chal raha hai ke price channel ke upper border se bahar nikli, jo us waqt 1.3170 par tha. Ab main asset ki girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon, kam az kam daily period ki average moving line tak, jo ab 1.2899 par hai. Agar price moving average se rebound karne mein kaamiyab hoti hai, toh hum 1.3262 par maximum ka update dekh sakte hain. Lekin mujhe lagta hai yeh mushkil hai. Mera khayal hai ke price moving average ko upar se neeche tak tor dega aur phir profitable purchase zone 1.2832-1.2764 tak jaega. Magar meri trading idea tabhi kaam karegi jab price channel ke lower border se bahar nikle. Uske baad main northern correction aur girawat ke silsile ko jari dekh raha hoon.
Pound GBP/USD ke hawale se, yeh pair 1.3070 ke opening level ke qareeb aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main indicators southern direction dikhate hain aur price trend line MA72 ke neeche hai, jahan volume unloading aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.3093 ke level ke upar hoti hai, toh hum pair ki growth ki umeed kar sakte hain jo ke 1.3107 aur shayad 1.3130 tak ja sakti hai. Agar price 1.3070 ke neeche chali jati hai, toh main pair ke 1.3056 aur shayad 1.3019 tak jaane ki umeed karta hoon.
Pound ab monthly Pivot level 1.3019 (pehle 1.2837) ke upar, weekly Pivot level 1.3151 (pehle 1.3167) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo humein pair ke strong southern correctional mood ke bare mein batata hai. Weekly Pivot level 1.3151 ke upar pair north ki taraf jaega, jab ke daily Pivot level 1.3093 ke neeche pair monthly Pivot ki taraf chala jaega. Pehla resistance level north mein 1.3107 par hai, aur south mein 1.3056 ke neeche jana ziada ahem hai.
GBP/USD ko 31 figure ke niche push karte hue aur quotes ne 1.3141 level ko break kiya. Downward movement chart par continue hui, jahan sellers ne Friday ke downtrend ka faida uthaya. H4 time frame ka tajziya bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai, aur pullback ke chances ko limited batata hai, kyunki downward trend shayad tab tak chale ga jab tak yeh 1.2796 tak nahi pohanchta. Agar pair 1.2793 ke niche stabilize hota hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke price zigzag pattern mein niche jaati rahegi. Primary chart ke neeche do indicators, jo ke price fluctuations ko track karte hain, buy positions mein kami dikhate hain, lekin RSI thoda upar tick kar raha hai, jo ke H4 chart par last candle ke temporary upward pull ke wajah se hai. Main pehle se upper resistance levels ke through kaam kar chuka hoon, aur kyunki koi naye levels nahi bane, main zyada pronounced price drop ki ummeed rakhta hoon.

Aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD kisi bhi major pair se zyada alag nahi hai. (Yahan humein ek musalsal sideway trend nazar aa raha hai, jo ke upar jane ki koshish ke element bhi shamil hain). Maine aaj is instrument ko dekha. Filhal, sirf soch mein hoon ke pullback khareedun ya sale signals ka intezar karun.
Wave technique ke mutabiq GBP/USD par, humare paas abhi do moving averages ke sath ek kaafi clear pattern form hua hai: price na sirf local MA18 ke neeche dive kar payi, balke wahan niche theek se consolidate bhi ho gayi hai. Natije mein, ab yeh kaafi legitimate expectation hai ke jab se woh MA100 se bounce hue hain, ab neeche jana zaruri hai - MA100 ko test karne ke liye. Aur lagta hai ke woh decline ko debug karna shuru kar chuke hain. Lekin woh kyun ruk gaye? Aur aaj bhi, lagta hai ke growth ke haqq mein ek reversal shuru ho chuka hai. Kisi wajah se, is growth ko nazarandaaz karna mushkil ho raha hai.

Sada wajah yeh hai ke mukhtalif tareekon se set kiye hue moving averages is waqt apne tapes ko twenty degrees ke trend angle par north ki taraf move hone ko favor kar rahe hain. Ichimoku Cloud bullish rangon mein rang gayi hai, aur woh bhi rise ko support kar rahi hai, trend angle thirty degrees par. Oscillators bhi teesri bullish wave mein trade kar rahe hain, lekin abhi tak koi sale signal nazar nahi aaya hai.

Chaar ghanton ke chart ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke hum abhi bhi purchases ke liye ja rahe hain: market, of course, yahan kaafi sell-off mode mein sett ho gayi thi: dono MA18 ne MA100 ko ooper se neeche cross kiya hai, dead cross form karte hue, aur Ichimoku Cloud bhi bears ki side par chali gayi, lekin phir bhi light stochastic ne buy signal diya hai. Kam se kam, unhe MA100 test tak 1.3130 par hold karna chahiye.

Kal, Mangal ko, maine dekha ke GBP/USD ka trading itna busy nahi tha kyun ke range sirf 40 pips ke aas paas thi. Jab Asia session open hui, GBP/USD mein pehle izafa dekha gaya. Us waqt GBP/USD 1.3100 ke aas paas tak barh gaya. Magar jab candle 1.3106 ke price par SBR area ko cross nahi kar payi, to GBP/USD ki movement wapis neeche gir gayi. Is girawat ke baad, is ka qareebi support zone break hua aur GBP/USD 1.3060 ke price tak gir gaya.
Agar h1 timeframe se analysis karein, to support area mein ek doji candle banti nazar aayi. Mere khayal mein, yeh ek tasdeeq hai ke market ab ulta chalne wali hai. Saboot ye hai ke jab price us point par pohanchi, GBP/USD ki movement phir se barhna shuru hui. Abhi tak GBP/USD 1.3081 par trade ho raha hai. H1 support jo 1.3060 par hai, ab test hoga ke kitna mazboot hai. Agar yeh support break ho gaya, to pair neeche gir sakta hai, warna agar break nahi hota, to movement upar ja sakti hai. Agar support break hua, to yeh GBP/USD ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai.
Agar ichimoku indicator se analysis karein, to h1 timeframe mein candle position ne blue kijun sen line ko cross kar liya hai. Yeh cross tab hua jab GBP/USD strong hone laga. Halankeh candle ne kijun sen line ko cross kar diya hai, lekin abhi tak dono lines ne aik dosray ko cross nahi kiya. Main yeh prefer karta hoon ke dono lines ka cross hona ka intizaar kiya jaye taa ke upward signal ka confirmation mil jaye. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke candle jo demand area mein stuck hai, jaldi hi intersection dekhne ko milega. Stochastic indicator se agar analysis karein, to stochastic line level 60 ke darmiyan hai. Uski direction upar ki taraf hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward signal abhi bhi wahan hai. Lekin jab yeh line level 80 ko touch kar ke wapis neeche ki taraf chaley, to ehtiyaat karna zaroori hai kyun ke yeh GBP/USD ke girne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair ke barhne ke chances ab bhi hain. Wajah yeh hai ke support area mein doji candle appear hui hai aur demand area jo 1.3051 ke price par hai, abhi tak break nahi hui. Isliye meri tajwez yeh hai ke jo log iss pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo sirf buy positions par focus karein. Take profit target 1.3204 ke aas paas rakha ja sakta hai, aur stop loss ko 1.2981 par set karna chahiye.

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par currency pair ka behavior kafi interesting hai, utasalar subah ke session se. GBPUSD ne upar ki taraf breakout karne ki koshish ki hai, jo bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai. Aakhri ghanton mein, pair ne diagonal resistance level ko successfully breach kiya hai, jo ke upar movement ke liye ek significant barrier tha. Yeh breakout ek shuruati indication ho sakta hai ke market sentiment buying ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke naye upward trend ke establishment ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Magar, in positive signs ke bawajood, caution zaroori hai isse pehle ke puri tarah se uptrend ko embrace kiya jaye aur long positions commit ki jayein. Diagonal resistance ka breach ek positive technical development hai, jo traders ke liye bullish signal ke taur par interpret kiya jata hai. Aise resistance level ko break karna yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers jo pehle market ko control kar rahe the, unki grip kamzor ho rahi hai, aur buyers ko upper hand mil raha hai. Yeh control ka shift kabhi kabhi naye upward trend ko lead kar sakta hai, jab zyada traders long positions lena shuru karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke pair aage bhi upar jayegi. Lekin, is potential breakout ko measured perspective se dekhna zaroori hai. Diagonal resistance ka breach hone se sirf yeh confirm nahi hota ke bullish trend sustainable hai. Financial markets mein false breakouts aam hote hain, jahan price temporarily resistance levels ke upar move karti hai aur phir tez reversal ke saath pehle ke trend par wapas aa jati hai. Isliye, additional confirmations dekhna zaroori hai before confidently naye upward trend ko declare karne se.sell limit position open karunga 1.2800 area mein aur agar us area mein rejection ho jata hai toh bearish validation GBP/USD pair pe create ho chuki hai aur phir price apne lowest zone ki taraf girti rahegi H4 timeframe pe. Aur hum TP target 1.2650 area mein set kar sakte hain TP1 ke liye aur agar price aur neeche jati hai toh 1.2600 area TP2 kaam karega. Phir worst case scenario ko anticipate karte hue, agar price white box area ke upar breakout kar jata hai, toh bullish reversal ka confirmation achi tarah se realize ho chuka hoga, aur phir hume buy position open karni hogi target increase ke sath resistance level 1.2900 pe TP1 aur 1.3050 pe TP2 ke tor pe

**GBP/USD ke technical analysis: 1-hour chart**

Aane wale ghanton aur kal ke liye price trend ke likely upward trend hone ki umeed hai. Price ne aaj trading shuru ki hai ek achi support area mein jab price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize ho gayi, aur price ascending price channels ke lower lines par hai.

Aaj ke trading advice ke liye, current level se buy karne ka moka dekhna chahiye, aur stop loss level price channels ke niche set karna chahiye. Sell karne ka moka tab available hoga jab price channels ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jaye. Iske ilawa, ek retest pattern ke formation ka intizar karna bhi mumkin hai, jab price channel lines ke saath ek price peak banaye after breaking them, taake sell ke liye enter kiya ja sake level 1.2691 tak.

Economic side par dekha jaye to, US dollar ki price decline hui hai jab ek weekly survey ne dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits seek karne walon ki tadad barh gayi hai, lekin selling ka rujhan apni peak tak pahunch gaya hai jab ISM services sector ka survey unexpectedly sharp slowdown dikhaya activity mein. Iske nateeje mein, GBP/USD price jump hui towards the 1.2780 resistance level, jo ke iski highest level thi in more than two weeks, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat mein around 1.2740 level settle hui, ek American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke anticipation ke beech.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Decline expectations se kafi significant tha kyunki consensus 52.5% reading ke liye prepared thi. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bada sector constitute karti hain. Markets loss ki size par react kar rahi hain aur betting kar rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ke liye confident mehsoos karega. Iske response mein, US bond yields gire, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.

**Analysis of GBPUSD Trends and Technical Indicators**

Today, the GBPUSD currency pair seems to be exhibiting characteristics similar to other major pairs, with a predominantly sideways trend. Despite this, there are nuances in the price action that could guide trading decisions. At present, the market shows a trend that fluctuates between signs of upward movement and a persistent sideways drift. This presents a challenge for traders who are trying to determine whether to enter a position on a pullback or wait for clearer sell signals.

**Wave Analysis and Moving Averages**

According to wave analysis, GBPUSD appears to be forming a coherent pattern with the interaction of two key moving averages: the MA18 and MA100. Currently, the price has not only dipped below the MA18 but has also managed to consolidate under it. This consolidation under MA18 indicates a potential bearish phase. However, the price bouncing off the MA100 suggests that a downward movement towards testing the MA100 might be expected. Despite this bearish outlook, recent price action hints at a possible reversal, as the market shows signs of starting an upward trajectory.

**Ichimoku Cloud and Oscillators**

When evaluating the broader market trend, the Ichimoku Cloud presents a bullish outlook. The cloud’s color has shifted to bullish tones, supporting the idea of a potential rise in the GBPUSD pair. The cloud is functioning at a trend angle of thirty degrees, which reinforces the bullish perspective. Additionally, oscillators are currently in a bullish third wave phase, with no significant sell signals emerging. This indicates that the momentum is still in favor of the bulls, and the market might continue its upward movement.

**Four-Hour Chart Insights**

On the four-hour chart, there are mixed signals. The chart shows that MA18 has crossed below MA100, forming a death cross—a pattern typically associated with bearish trends. Additionally, the Ichimoku Cloud has shifted to bearish territory, reinforcing the notion of a potential downward move. However, the stochastic oscillator has provided a buy signal, suggesting that there may still be some upward momentum before a significant bearish trend sets in.

**Trading Strategy**

Given these mixed signals, the current strategy might be to consider purchasing on pullbacks. The market seems to be in a temporary sell-off phase but may hold up until it tests the MA100 around the 1.3130 level. Traders should be cautious and monitor the evolving patterns closely. The key is to balance between the potential for a short-term upward movement and the underlying bearish indicators. As always, staying flexible and adjusting to new information is crucial for effective trading.

GBP/USD karansi joṛ (GBP-USD)
GBP/USD joṛ ne kal maṛket ke iftitahi rukh mein harkat ki. Iftitah par qeemat MA indicators ke neeche thi, aur ooper break karna mumkin nahi ho saka. Agar hum chart par qeemat ki haalat ka jaiza lein, to joṛ pivot support level 1.30689 par kaam kar raha hai; is se qeemat ke khareedari ki janib jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin hamen dekhna hoga ke qeemat kaise react karti hai. Maine resistance ka nishan lagaya hai, jahan se qeemat dobara sales ki taraf ja sakti hai, aur us ke baad agle target ke liye support 1.29397 par kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin koi ye bhi nahi keh sakta ke qeemat ooper break kar ke jaane ka imkaan nahi hai.

Subah bakhair! Kal GBP/USD joṛ ne downward movement ka silsila jari rakha, lekin aaj lagta hai ke correction ka imkaan hai north ki taraf, 61.8% ya 50% Fibonacci se is downward impulse ke liye, jo 4-hour timeframe mein tha. Magar, tasdeeq ke liye qeemat ka level 1.3100 se break kar ke ooper consolidate hona zaroori hai. Abhi ke liye behtar hai ke maṛket se door raha jaye aur current prices par kisi bhi trade mein nahi ghusna chahiye. Neeche trade karna mumkin hoga jab rollback 61.8% aur 50% Fibonacci grid tak ho, aur phir buyers ke platform 1.3010 ke breakout ka target karna hoga. Kyun ke pehle platform 1.3075 ko kal expected tor diya gaya tha, aur agar level 1.3100 par qaboo raha, to aaj buyers ke platform 1.3075 ke peechay se girawat shuru ho sakti hai.


indicators ke neeche thi, aur ooper break karna mumkin nahi ho saka. Agar hum chart par qeemat ki haalat ka jaiza lein, to joṛ pivot support level 1.30689 par kaam kar raha hai; is se qeemat ke khareedari ki janib jaane ka imkaan hai, lekin hamen dekhna hoga ke qeemat kaise react karti hai. Maine resistance ka nishan lagaya hai, jahan se qeemat dobara sales ki taraf ja sakti hai, aur us ke baad agle target ke liye support 1.29397 par kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin koi ye bhi nahi keh sakta ke qeemat ooper break kar ke

GBP/USD joṛ ne Tuesday ko US trading hours ke dauran girawat ka samna kiya, aur 1.3050 tak wapas aa gaya. Halankeh UK ke strong employment data ne shuru mein kuch himayat di, lekin broader market ka jazba ehtiyaati raha, jis ne joṛ ke faiday ko mehdood rakha. Office for Nationaltechnical perspective se dekhein to GBP/USD joṛ abhi bhi ek positive uptrend mein hai, jo ke 100 aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) se support pa raha hai. Magar, relative strength index (RSI) aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is waqt neutral ya thoda negative hain, jo yeh darsha raha hai ke joṛ par downward pressure barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar RSI 50 level ke qareeb ghoomta raha, aur stochastic indicator oversold zone mein rahe, to market ka jazba downside bias rakhega. Is soorat mein, 50-day SMA jo ke 1.2940 par hai, pehla support de sakta hai, us ke baad 38.2% Fibonacci level jo ke 1.2900 par hai. Agar girawat zyada hui, to 50.0% Fibonacci level 1.2780 ko test kiya ja sakta hai, jo market ke pessimist outlook ko barha sakta hai aur ek aur zyada neeche ki taraf girawat ka raasta khol Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya ke UK ka teen maheenay ka berozgari ka rate thoda kam ho kar July mein 4.1% par aa gaya, jo ke market ke tawaqoat ke mutabiq tha. Is ke ilawa, is dauran mulazim afrad ki tadaad mein 265,000 ka significant izafa dekha gaya. Magar, bonus earnings growth mein kami hui, jo yeh darsha rahi hai ke wages par pressure kam ho raha hai. Aane wala US ka inflation data, jisme Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) shamil hai, se ummed hai ke mehngai ke ikhlati rates mein kami dekhne ko milegi. Ye data releases Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy ke faislon ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Market is waqt 20-25% ke imkaan ka izhar kar raha hai ke September mein Fed 50 basis points ka rate hike karega, jabke saal ke akhir tak total 100-1 Agar hum technical perspective se dekhein to GBP/USD joṛ abhi bhi ek positive uptrend mein hai, jo ke 100 aur 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) se support pa raha hai. Magar, relative strength index (RSI) aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is waqt neutral ya thoda negative hain, jo yeh darsha raha hai ke joṛ par downward pressure barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar RSI 50 level ke qareeb ghoomta raha, aur stochastic indicator oversold zone mein rahe, to market ka jazba downside bias rakhega. Is soorat mein, 50-day SMA jo ke 1.2940 par hai, pehla support de sakta hai, us ke baad 38.2% Fibonacci level jo ke 1.2900 par hai. Agar girawat zyada hui, to 50.0% Fibonacci level 1.2780 ko test kiya ja sakta hai, jo market ke pessimist outlook ko ne joṛ ke faiday ko mehdood rakha. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne report kiya ke UK ka teen maheenay ka berozgari ka


rate thoda kam ho kar July mein 4.1% par aa gaya, jo ke market ke tawaqoat ke mutabiq tha. Is ke ilawa, is dauran mulazim afrad ki tadaad mein 265,000 ka significant izafa dekha gaya. Magar, bonus earnings growth mein kami hui, jo yeh darsha rahi hai ke wages par pressure kam ho raha hai. Aane wala US ka inflation data, jisme Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price sakta hai aur ek aur zyada neeche ki taraf girawat ka raasta khol sakta hai.

GBP-USD ka D1 analysis yeh dikha raha hai ke hum is waqt ek bullish atmosphere mein hain, aur yeh kaafi interesting situation hai. Bohat shukriya aap ke shafqat bhare jumlon ke liye, weekend bas do din door hai, lekin is waqt GBP-USD par faisla lena thoda mushkil lag raha hai. Aam taur par mai yeh instrument sell karna chahta hoon, lekin market ka trend abhi growth mode mein nazar aa raha hai.
Indicators ka agar dekha jaye to:

- **MA100** abhi ek 10-degree trend angle dikha raha hai jo expansion yani growth ko support kar raha hai.
- GBP/USD joṛ ka **bullish atmosphere** barqarar hai, aur candles abhi MA100 ke upar ban rahi hain, jo ke mazid bullish momentum ka saboot hai.
- **Bollinger bands**


bhi ab MA100 ke upar shift ho chuke hain, aur yeh bhi bulls ka momentum barhne ka ishara karte hain. Magar, ek chhoti si shift ho rahi hai jisme southern yani bearish side ke haq mein kuch signals aa rahe hain: upper band jo pehle chart se door tha, wapas chart body ke andar aa gaya hai.
breakout hua tha, lekin hum ne bears ko cross nahi kiya. Hafte ka nateeja yeh tha ke price kaafi upar close hui, jo ek ongoing upward correction ko indicate karta hai.

Meri pichle hafte yeh expectation thi ke 1.3111 ka level break hoga aur phir ek dip aayega. Lekin is waqt aisa lagta hai ke quotes wapas upar ke range ko test karenge, jo ke 1.3290 hai. Agar blue moving average ko cross kiya gaya, to
Is waqt jo dikh raha hai wo ek **expanding triangle** hai jo yeh batata hai ke resistance dynamically badal raha hai candles ke formation ke mutabiq. Pichle hafte ek breakout hua tha, lekin hum ne bears ko cross nahi kiya. Hafte ka nateeja yeh tha ke price kaafi upar close hui, jo ek ongoing upward correction ko indicate karta hai.

Meri pichle hafte yeh expectation thi ke 1.3111 ka level break hoga aur phir ek dip aayega. Lekin is waqt aisa lagta hai ke quotes wapas upar ke range ko test karenge, jo ke 1.3290 hai. Agar blue moving average ko cross kiya gaya, to upward trend wapas shuru ho sakta hai.

Ek different scenario mein mai sirf tab sochunga jab 1.3111 ka level zabardast tor diya jaye, jo ke ek lambe time tak upar ki taraf jaane wale move ko start karne ka ishara hoga.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum filhal GBP/USD karansi joṛay ke qiymat ki harkat ka tajzia kar rahay hain. Bazaar mein is baat ka intezar buhat arsay se ho raha tha ke sab kuch pehlay hi tasleem kar liya gaya hai. Bailey ke taqreer ke dauran jab unhon ne rate ko kam karne ka zikar kiya, to ek achanak upar ki taraf harkat hui, jo ke Fed ke rate faislay se mutasir thi. Ab kahani ka rukh is taraf ja raha hai ke September ke baad rate ko na badhaya jaye aur uske bajae naye Fed-rate-hike ka silsila aglay saal shuru ho sakta hai. Halankeh bazaar kuch ghumrah lagta hai, magar GBP/USD par bears ka abhi bhi qabza hai aur ye wazeh hai ke bullish momentum zyada dair tak barqarar nahi raha. Aane wala trading session nihayat ahmiyat ka hoga. Agar koi upar ki taraf palta nahi aata, to neechay ka rukh mumkin hai. 1.3052 ka support level buhat ahmiyat ka haamil hai aur iske tootne se ek zabardast bearish trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Ye level filhal bears ko poori tarah qaboo paane se roak raha hai, jis se GBP/USD ke neechay ke rukh mein rukawat aayi hui hai.

Jo pound-dollar ka joṛa hai, H1 chart par, qeemat ne din ke neechey ke point 1.3049 se teen ghante pehle upar ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya aur upar ki taraf harkat kar raha hai. Ye filhal bearish Bollinger Bands zone ke andar 1.3068 par hai, CCI mid line ke neechey hai aur MACD histogram bhi zero se neechey hai. Chand waqt ke baad, ek palta aya aur joṛa dobara neechey 1.3024 par chala gaya. Ab, hum qeemat ki harkat ko indicators ke baghair dekhein, sirf Fibonacci grid ka istemal karte hue. Dekhiye ke qeemat kis tarah se harkat kar rahi hai. April 22, 2024 se wave trend ne sub-wave ko tor diya aur saal ka nai high 1.3044 par update kiya, phir doosri wave par retrace kiya, 1.2669 par bounce karte hue – jo pehli wave ke trend ka textbook 50% Fibonacci retracement tha. Filhal, teesri wave chal rahi hai. Aam tor par, ek classic correction mein 138 aur 161 levels Fibonacci grid par hote hain. 138 level abhi tak nahi pohcha, mein is baat ka intezar buhat arsay se ho raha tha ke sab kuch pehlay hi tasleem kar liya gaya hai. Bailey ke taqreer ke dauran jab unhon ne rate ko kam karne ka zikar kiya, to ek achanak upar ki taraf harkat hui, jo ke Fed ke rate faislay se mutasir thi. Ab kahani ka rukh is taraf ja raha hai ke September ke baad rate ko na badhaya jaye aur uske bajae naye Fed-rate-hike ka silsila aglay saal shuru ho sakta hai. Halankeh bazaar kuch ghumrah lagta hai, magar GBP/USD par bears ka abhi bhi qabza hai aur ye wazeh hai ke bullish momentum zyada dair tak qeemat ka isko hit karna mumkin hai.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke against paanch din ki bulandi ko dobara 1.3200 ke qareeb choa, jab ke US NFP report par sab ki nazar thi. Kamzor US JOLTS job openings aur ADP Employment Change data ne is baat ka ishara diya ke US ka labor market kamzor ho raha hai.
Bank of England (BoE) se umeed hai ke baqi saal mein sirf ek dafa interest rate mein kami karega. Pound Sterling (GBP) thoda dheela para jab ke Friday ki European session mein naya paanch din ka high 1.3200 ke qareeb post kiya. GBP/USD pair US Dollar (USD) ke against zabardast consolidation kar raha hai jab ke United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke intezar mein hai, jo ke August ka data hai aur 12:30 GMT par publish hoga.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki qeemat ko chhey baray currencies ke against track karta hai, zara si neeche gira aur crucial support 101.00 ke neechay aaya.

Maashiyat ke maahiron ka andaza hai ke US employers ne August mein 160,000 naye workers hire kiye, jo ke July ke 114,000 se zyada hai. Isi doran, Unemployment Rate umeed hai ke 4.3% se ghat kar 4.2% tak aaya hoga. Sarmayadaron ka dihan Average Hourly Earnings data par bhi hoga, jo ke wages ke barhtay huay dor ka ahem meyar hai aur consumer spending aur mehngai ko barhawa deta hai. Salana tor par wage growth ka andaza hai ke yeh 3.7% tak barh gaya hoga, jo ke pehle ke 3.6% se zyada hai. Mahana tor par, Average Hourly Earnings mein 0.3% ka izafa dekha gaya hai, jo ke July ke 0.2% ke baraks zyada hai.

US ka official employment data Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policy ka faisla is mahine mein tay karega. Job data ki ahmiyat bohat zyada barh gayi hai jab ke Fed ne yeh kaha hai ke ab woh labor market ki sehat par ziyata dihan de raha hai, kyun ke inflation wapas bank ke 2% target par aane ke qareeb hai.

Fed se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke September ki meeting se interest rates kam karna shuru karega. Magar traders is baat par ikhtilaf karte hain ke interest rate cut ka size kitna hoga. Fed ke ek bara interest rate cut karne ka imkaan is hafte barh gaya hai jab ke kamzor US JOLTS Job Openings aur ADP Employment Change data ne labor market mein kamzoriyon ko ujagar kiya. Technical Analysis: Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke qareeb aagaya Pound Sterling thoda dheela para jab ke lagbhag 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke against barh gaya. GBP/USD ne strong buying interest daryaft kiya, jo ke ek upward-sloping trendline ke breakout region ke paas tha, jo December 28, 2023 ka daily time frame ka high 1.2828 se plot hua tha. Upward-sloping short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) yeh suggest karti

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Filhal, pound/dollar ke jode me bullish reversal ka imkan hai. Chunkeh qimat abhi bhi MA indicators se niche hai, is se pata chalta hai keh Bartanwi pound ke nuqsanat me tausie ka imkan hai. Qimat ki maujudah suratehal ko dekhte hue, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh pound/dollar ka joda maujudah satahon se fisal jayega aur mumkena taur par wapas ucchalne se pahle nichli trend line aur 1.30092 ki support satah ki taraf badhega.