gbp/usd

ستمبر 6 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل کے تجارتی سیشن کے دوران، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے 34 پِپس کا اضافہ کیا، اگست کے لیے نجی شعبے کی نئی ملازمتوں کے بارے میں اے. ڈی. پی. کے اعداد و شمار سے خوش ہوا، جس نے متوقع 144,000 کے مقابلے میں 99,000 نئی ملازمتیں ظاہر کیں اور جولائی کے اعداد و شمار میں 11,000 کی کمی دیکھی۔ تاہم، نان فارم سیکٹر کی نئی ملازمتوں اور بے روزگاری کی شرح سے متعلق مزید اہم اعداد و شمار آج سامنے لائے جائیں گے۔ نان فارم پے رولز جولائی کے 97,000 کے مقابلے میں 139,000 ہونے کی توقع ہے، اور بے روزگاری کی شرح 4.3% سے کم ہو کر 4.2% ہو سکتی ہے۔



اگر اعداد و شمار توقع کے مطابق اچھے ہیں، تو سرمایہ کار فیڈرل ریزرو کی طرف سے دوہری شرح میں کٹوتی کے امکان کو تیزی سے کم کر دیں گے، اور پاؤنڈ 1.3090-1.3120 کی سپورٹ رینج کو توڑ کر 1.2994 کی طرف بڑھ سکتا ہے۔ یہ ہمارا مرکزی منظر نامہ ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر، جو نیچے کی طرف مڑ رہا ہے، اس منظر نامے کی طرف جھکتا ہے۔ متبادل میں 1.3254 پر قیمت چینل کی بالائی حد کو عبور کرنے اور مزید 1.3300 تک بڑھنے کی کوشش شامل ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر سمٹی ہوئی ہے۔ تاہم، مارلن کمزور دکھائی دیتا ہے، اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن اونچی ہے، 1.3254 پر قیمت چینل کی باؤنڈری کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ قیمت کمزور امریکی روزگار کے اعداد و شمار کے ساتھ اس طرح کی مضبوط مزاحمت پر قابو پانے کے قابل ہو جائے گا.



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain. Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja

Maine ek pending order lagaya hai sell ke liye 1.3190 par. Umeed karta hoon ke yeh kaam karega. Abhi tak market mein ek upward trend hai, aur do din se yeh trend chal raha hai. Do bullish candles lagatar do din tak banti rahi hain. Lekin mere liye yeh sab ek northern correction hai. Agar hum 4-hour chart ko dekhein to price ne purchase zone ko test kiya hai 1.3095-1.3075 par. Uske baad, downward trend ne upward trend mein tabdeel ho kar northern movement ko trade karna shuru kiya.
Moving average ka test jo abhi 3165 par hai, achi tarah se guzar gaya, price ne isko break kar diya aur ab profitable sales zone ko 1.3207-1.3230 par test karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Main yeh maan raha hoon ke price upper limit 1.3230 ko bhi test karegi, ya ho sakta hai ke us se bhi aage chali jaye. Lekin, mere nazar mein asli movement downward hi hai, aur agar price ne 1.3082 ka minimum tod diya, to yeh ek confirmation hogi. Abhi tak pound-dollar pair mein bulls ne achi taqat hasil ki hai. Agar pehle pound correction mein gaya tha aur 1.3080 ke qeemat tak pohanch gaya tha, ab usne upward figure ko cross kar diya hai aur filhal 1.3180 par hai. Yeh sab is wajah se ho raha hai kyunki US dollar ne haal hi mein kafi zyada weakness dikhai hai, khaaskar euro aur pound ke pairs mein. Aur yeh sab US labor market ki kharab khabron ki wajah se hai.

Aaj US mein job vacancies ke data ka izhar hua, jo ke July mein kafi zyada kam ho gayi hain. Layoffs bhi barh gaye hain, aur nayi job vacancies ka number bhi bohot zyada kam ho gaya hai. Jobs ki growth slow ho rahi hai, berozgaari barh rahi hai, aur recession door nahi lagta. Aur kal August ke employment data ki khabrein aane wali hain. Agar wo bhi kharab hue, to pound-dollar pair northern movement mein aur bhi zyada active ho jayegi, aur kal tak yeh us point tak pohanch sakti hai jahan se southern correction shuru hui thi, yani 1.3260.

**GBP/USD H4 Analysis**

Hello doston, aaj dopahar ko main GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 time frame par analysis karne ki koshish karunga. GBP/USD currency pair pichle kuch dinon se H1 time frame par pressure mein hai aur market ke close hone tak yeh pair upar ya neeche trading kar raha hai. Iske baraks, isme izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai, kyunki jab market contact hoti hai to achi movement hoti hai.

Hum technical analysis method se GBP/USD currency pair ka analysis karenge. Main moving average indicator ka istemal karunga jo 21 aur 34 period ke hain H1 time frame par trend direction padhne ke liye. Filhal, price apni moving average indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD currency pair bullish trend mein hai aur next resistance level 1.3264 par aa sakta hai.

Agar trend bullish hai to hume GBP/USD pair mein BUY opportunities par focus karna chahiye, kyunki jo method main use kar raha hoon wo trend ke sath chalti hai. Stochastic indicator filhal neeche ja raha hai, isliye hum wait karenge jab tak Stochastic indicator upar nahi jata, kyunki jab yeh indicator neeche hota hai to price correction ka possibility hoti hai uske baad upar jane ki.

Stop loss aur take profit ke liye hum support aur resistance areas ka istemal kar sakte hain. Stop loss area ko hum support level 1.3135 par rakhenge aur take profit target ko resistance area 1.3264 par set karenge. Niche image attach ki gayi hai jo meri analysis ko guide karne ke liye hai, aur yeh meri brief analysis hai GBP/USD currency pair ke baare mein. Yeh doston ke liye useful ho sakta hai.

**Note:**
- **Order Position:** BUY 1.3175
- **Support (Stop Loss):** 1.3135
- **Resistance (Take Profit):** 1.3264

**GBP-USD H4 Analysis Chart**

Waqai mein, lagta hai ke temporary employment he woh ek factor tha jo employment mein kami ka sabab bana. Dekho ab kya hua, unhone oil ke price ko neecha kar diya aur experts ne 60 dollars ke baare mein baat karni shuru kar di. Halankeh aaj bhi aise predictions maujood hain, lekin price ab bhi pressure mein hai. Filhaal ke standpoint se, US economy ko recession ki taraf le jaane ke liye kuch nahi hai. Abhi bhi main is revelation par hans raha hoon. Halankeh S&P 500 abhi tak poora drop nahi hui hai, lekin ek distinct trend kaam kar raha hai: jab tak yeh poori tarah se drop nahi hoti, currencies ke perspective se yeh ab bhi rising hai. Mere hisaab se, aaj hum shayad euro aur pound ke liye statistical growth boundaries ke andar hi khatam karenge. Yeh pakka nahi hai, lekin shayad upper ya lower point pe thoda break aa sakta hai. Main abhi bhi 31st number par focus kar raha hoon, meri primary plan wahi hai, lekin daily aur 4-hour charts abhi rebuild ho rahe hain.

Upar aur neeche ke movement ke baare mein, channels ek ladder ki tarah follow karte hain; matlab ek bada player na to upar charge karta hai aur na neeche. Hi there. Yeh publishing investors mein kuch confusion le aayi hai, lekin yeh euro aur pound ke liye maximum value ko update karne ka ek mauka bhi hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke unemployment rate 4.2% pe aa gaya jaisa ke predict kiya gaya tha, lekin wages zyada badh gayi hain aur change 0.4% hua jo ke predicted 0.3% se zyada hai.

Phir bhi, employment significantly increase hui hai aur yeh pichle aur ADP ke figures ko surpass kar gayi hai. Halankeh analysts ne thoda higher rate ki expectation ki thi, isliye pound briefly 1.3230 tak surge hui thi, phir candle ke opening pe wapas aayi aur 1.3140 ke neeche consolidate karne ki koshish ki gayi. Revenue ko barhane ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke wahan tak pahunchna ho.

Yeh analysis charts aur employment data ke movements ko samajhna zaroori hai taake sahi decisions liye ja sakein.

Technical analysis of the GBPUSD pair

1-ghante ke chart par, aaj qeemat buy zone mein trading shuru hui, kyunke qeemat uchaai ki price channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai jo pichle do dino ke dauran price movement ka direction dikhati hain. Qeemat weekly pivot level aur lower channel lines ke upar trade kar rahi thi, lekin jab qeemat channels ke middle line tak pohnchi to phir neeche wapas aayi.

Ab qeemat phir se weekly pivot level par trade kar rahi hai, jo is level ko break karne ki koshish hai. Agar yeh successful hota hai, to qeemat niche girti rahegi.

Trading advice yeh hai ke jab qeemat weekly pivot level ke niche ek ghante ke liye stabilize ho jaye, to sell karna chahiye. Aur jab qeemat current candle ke highest price ke upar trade kar rahi ho, to buy karna chahiye.

Economic side se, British data ab bhi kaafi favorable hai, lekin adverse risk conditions currency ko nuqsan pohcha sakti hain, khaaskar jab long sterling positions barh rahi hain. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq… August ke liye Britain ke services sector ka final Purchasing Managers' Index 53.7 revise kiya gaya hai, jo ke pehle ke 53.3 se zyada hai aur July ke 52.5 se bhi behtar hai, aur ye expansion zone mein dusra consecutive reading hai. Is par aur pound ke reaction par, Alex Gykov, BNP Paribas ke forex market analyst, kehte hain; “Hum maante hain ke pound upar ja sakta hai lekin zyada downside risk ke sath, jo positions ke extension ke extent ki wajah se hai.” Saath hi, Brad Bechtel, Jefferies ke forex analyst, ummed karte hain ke aaj ke US jobs data se US dollar mein tez movements dekhne ko milenge. Unhone add kiya, “Friday ke print ke baad, hum dollar index mein ya to 100 ya usse kam ya 104 ya usse zyada honge, mere hisaab se.” Latest US JOLTS data ne July mein job openings ko 7.67 million record kiya, jo ke June ke downwardly revised 7.91 million se kam hai, jo pehle 8.18 million report kiya gaya tha. Yeh consensus forecast ke 8.09 million se bhi neeche hai aur April 2021 ke baad ka lowest reading hai.

GBP/USD pair mujhe badhati hui drawdown mein le ja rahi hai. Dekhna hoga ke bulls kab tak control mein reh sakte hain, khaas kar FOMC minutes ke aanay se pehle jo ke aakhri meeting ke hain.
Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Summary:
- Current Price Action: GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 1.3050 ka local high maara hai aur 1.30 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko mazboot karta hai.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour chart recent move ke top par indecision dikha raha hai, aur indicators ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain.
- Support Level: Dekhna hai ke pullback 1.2947 ke support level par hota hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh ek gehri girawat ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2831 ko target kare.
- Resistance Level: Agar price 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar rehti hai, toh mazeed upward movement aur naye highs ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.
GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko

chala gaya. Yeh reversal un bullish momentum se mukhtalif tha jo pichle kuch hafton se market mein dekhne ko mil raha tha. UK se kisi significant economic data ka na hona aur US ke mazboot economic indicators ne dollar ke haq mein balance ko jhuka diya hai. Filhal, pair 1.3151 par trade kar raha hai aur downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke July 17 ko set kiya gaya session high 1.3043 ke level tak further decline ho sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level se neeche aa gaya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls ka momentum kam ho raha hai. Bearish trend ko continue karne ke liye, sellers ko 1.3100 aur 1.3050 support levels ko torhna hoga. Agar yeh levels successfully break ho jaate hain, toh price March 8 ka daily high 1.2893 ko target kar sakta hai.
Salam subhu ka waqt mubarak ho! Jabke wahan growth par ek objective weekly scale par baat ki gayi hai, aaj ka focus decline par hai, aur yeh ziata likely hai ke aaj yeh hi hoga. Dekhna yeh hai ke aaj kya hota hai. GBP/USD ka situation mukhtalif charts par apni alag tasveer de raha hai, bilkul aise jaise different websites par weather forecast mukhtalif hota hai. Lekin 4-hour chart ek reference point ka kaam kar raha hai. Yahaan volumes bearish sales zone mein decline karna shuru hue hain, lekin growth index—jo movement ke direction ka primary indication hai—wo downside ki taraf ek slight correction ko show kar raha hai jabke kal ke bullish highs se decline hua tha. Aur yeh wazeh taur par aage further consolidation aur stabilization ko point karta hai, yesterday ke highs ke qareeb, jo 1.31500/1.32200 ke aas paas hain. Yeh steady ya sideways decline ka imkaan day raha hai pound sterling ke value mein. GBP/USD ne kal apni direction di thi; aaj ka focus southward movement par hai jo 1.31275 ke daily resistance zone mein hai, lekin usse pehle price 1.31900 tak upar jaane ke baad wapas 1.32190 tak barh sakta hai. Asal mein, daily volumes ek downward correction ko show kar rahe hain jo ek fall mein tabdeel ho sakti hai

chart par, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke din apni girawat jaari rakhi jab ke usne 161.8% corrective level par 1.3258 se rebound karte hue 127.2% corrective level par 1.3054 ki taraf move kiya. Yeh pair abhi bhi ek upward trend channel ke andar hai, jo ke market sentiment ko "bullish" rakhta hai. Agar yeh pair channel ke neeche wali line se rebound karta hai, to yeh pound ko support karega aur 1.3258 level ki taraf dobara growth shuru hogi. Agar pair channel ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh ek "bearish" trend ke formation ka signal hoga. Wave structure bilkul clear hai. Aakhri complete hone wali wave ne pichli wave ke low ko break nahi kiya, jab ke aakhri wave up ne pichli wave ke peak ko break kar diya. Is tarah, hum filhal "bullish" trend ka samna kar rahe hain baghair kisi shak ke, lekin sari waves itni bari hain ke trend reversal ka pata lagana sirf ek significant delay ke sath hi mumkin hai. Main kisi choti wave patterns ko nahi dekh raha jo ke trend change ka indication dein. Halanki, upward trend channel abhi bhi intact hai jo ke pair ke liye support provide kar raha hai.

Thursday ke news ne U.S. dollar ko mazid mazbooti di, kyun ke U.S. economy ne traders ke expectations se zyada growth ki second quarter mein. Bears abhi bhi kaafi kamzor hain. Pair ko channel ke neeche wali line tak pohanchane mein bhi kafi waqt lag sakta hai. Har nayi report jo ke September ya saal ke aakhir tak Fed ki monetary policy ko ease karne ka ishara deti hai, wo dollar par bojh dal sakti hai. Aaj PCE index release hoga, aur agar yeh slow down karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke U.S. inflation kam hoti ja rahi hai. Inflation ke slow down hone se Fed ke rate cut ki chances agle chand mahino mein barh jaengi. Filhal, FOMC ke members ko year ke aakhir tak har meeting par easing ki zaroorat ke bare mein yaqeen nahi hai, lekin unki raye tabdeel ho sakti hai agar inflation kam hoti rahi aur labor market weak results ke sath aur badhti hui unemployment ke sath show karta raha.

4-hour chart par, yeh pair 1.3044 level ke upar settle ho chuki hai. CCI indicator ne ek hafte se zyada "bearish" divergence ka warning di hui hai, aur RSI indicator ne ek hafte se overbought territory mein rehna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke aik rare occurrence hai. Aane wale dinon mein pair ki girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Halanki, filhal pair ka 1.3044 level ke upar settle hone se agla Fibonacci level 76.4% par 1.3314 tak growth jaari rehne ka ishara milta hai. Hourly chart par sirf ek signal pound ki girawat ka hai

GBP-USD H4 Analysis Chart

Yeh baat bilkul sahi hai ke temporary employment hi woh factor tha jis ne employment mein kami ki wajah bani. Dekho ab woh log ne tel ki qeemat ko neeche le aaya, aur tez tar mahireen saath hi saath saath dollar ki baat karne lage hain. Yeh baat wazeh hai ke yeh abhi bhi sirf andaaze hain, lekin qeemat abhi bhi dabao mein hai. Filhaal ke mawaqe mein, aam taur par Amreeki maeshat ke paas koi khaas wajah nahi hai ke woh mandi mein dakhil ho jaye. Main abhi bhi is inkishaaf par hans raha hoon. Halanke paanch sauwa index abhi tak poori tarah se nahi gira hai, lekin ek wazeh rujhan kaam kar raha hai: jab ke woh poori tarah se nahi gira, lekin abhi bhi currencies ke lehaz se barh raha hai
Mansuba ke mutabiq, aaj ke din hum euro aur pound dono ke liye statistical growth ki hadon mein hi khatam karenge. Yeh haqeeqat nahi hai, lekin mumkin hai ke upar ya neeche ki taraf halka sa break ho jaye. Teesray rang ke point par tawajjoh dete hue, mera asal mansuba abhi bhi maujood hai, lekin rozana aur 4 ghante ke charts ko abhi dobara se tarteeb diya ja raha hai Upar aur neeche ki taraf movement ke hawale se, channels ek seedhi ki tarah hain; yani ke koi bara player na to upar charge karta hai na neeche. Yeh publishing investers mein kuch uljhan paida ki hai, lekin saath hi saath euro aur pound dono ke liye maximum value ko update karne ka ek moka bhi diya hai. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke jabke be-rozgari ki sharah 4.2% tak kam hui jaisa ke pehle se paishgoyi ki gayi thi, tankhwaah mein izafa mawaqay se zyada hua, aur tabdili 0.4% thi bajaye ke 0.3% ki Iske bawajood, employment mein khaasa izafa hua hai aur woh pehle ke aur ADP ke figures ko bhi paar kar gaya hai. Iske bawajood, mahireen ki tawaqo thi ke rate thoda zyada ho ga, jis wajah se pound thodi dair ke liye 1.3230 tak chadh gaya lekin phir candle ke opening par wapas aa gaya aur neeche 1.3140 se niche konsolidate karne ki koshish hui. Revenue barhane ke liye, zaroori hai ke

**GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**

GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre hisson mein expect kiye ja sakte hain

GBP/USD Ka Tajziya Aur Trading Ke Liye Raahnamai:**
GBP/USD jori ne Wednesday ko U.S. JOLTs report ke base par upar trading ki. July mein job openings ka number market ke expectations se kaafi kam tha, aur jab July mein unemployment rate bhi barh gaya, toh aur bhi kuch ummeed nahi thi. Market ko phir se weak US data ne disappoint kiya, jo ke market aur experts dono ki expectations se kam tha. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market participants ke liye actual value nahi balki forecast important hota hai. Agar forecast baar-baar zyada high set kiya jata hai, toh wo kabhi bhi meet nahi hota, aur US dollar aur kuch saalon tak girta rah sakta hai. Yeh currency market ki halat hai aaj kal. Haftay ke do din abhi baaki hain aur abhi bhi kai important macroeconomic data release honi hai. GBP/USD jori apne last local high se sirf thoda hi upar gayi hai. Agar baaki reports, jo ke labor, business activity, aur unemployment par hain, bhi weak hoti hain, toh pound is haftay 1.3250 ke level par wapas aa sakta hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par do buy signals ban gaye. Price ne 1.3102-1.3107 ke area se do baar rebound kiya aur phir 1.3145-1.3167 ke area tak uthi, jahan se bhi rebound hua. Is tarah se, long positions ne novice traders ko kuch dozen pips ka profit dilaya. 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound bhi kiya ja sakta tha, lekin aaj pair ko phir se rise continue karna chahiye agar US reports forecast se kamzor nikli toh.

**Thursday Ko Trading Karne Ka Tareeqa:**

Hourly time frame par GBP/USD ko global downward trend resume karne ya kam se kam kuch decline ka achha chance hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauke ko British currency ko buy karne aur dollar ko sell karne ke liye use kar rahi hai. Filhal, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai, aur full-fledged downtrend ke bare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai.

Thursday ko, pair ke niche move karne ki umeed hai kyun ke trend line breach ho chuki hai. Kal, price 1.3145-1.3167 ke area se rebound hui thi. Lekin aaj dollar rate bhi US macro data par depend karega.

5-minute timeframe par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko UK business activity in the construction sector ka secondary report release hoga, jo ke August ke liye second estimate hai. Zyada important reports, jaise ADP aur ISM services sector mein, US mein release hongi. Major movements phir se din ke dusre

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Market ki suratehal kafi ghair yaqini hai. Yah yaqini taur par kahna mushkil hai keh pound/dollar ki jodi kis taraf jayegi. Bartanwi currency filhal istehkam ke marhale me hai, lehaza don ikhteyarat mumkin hai.

Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ka joda 100% Fibonacci level (1.3173) par sideways me karobar kar raha hai. Is se yah ishara mil sakta hai keh qimat is satah se ooper jane ki taiyari kar rahi hai, lekin yah haqiqat keh Stochastic indicator ne zyadah kharidari ka ilaqah chor diya hai, ek aane wali rally ke khayal ki himayat nahin karta hai.
Meri nazar me, suratehal ke wazeh hone ke liye intezar karna behtar hoga. Agar qimat 1.3173 ke nishan ko tod deti hai to, pound sterling mumkena taur par pichle hafte ke muqami buland satah 1.2364 ka test karegi.
Agar qimta 1.3173 ki satah se ooper jane me nakam rahti hai to, is jodi ke pichle hafte ke muqami nichli satah ki taraf jane ki ummid hai.