جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

Pound Sterling 1.3200 ke qareeb US Dollar ke muqable mein sideway trade kar raha hai, jabke investors July ke US core PCE inflation data par focus kar rahe hain. Fed ki Mary Daly ne agar US labor market kharab hoti hai tou aggressive policy easing ke darwazay khulay rakhe hain. British shop price inflation August mein kaafi slow ho gayi.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Tuesday ki London session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein 1.3200 ke qareeb apne gains ko qaboo mein rakha hai. GBP/USD pair pichlay haftay ke tezi se hone wale izafay ke baad thoda aram kar raha hai, jabke investors Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate cut ke September mein hone ke baray mein naye isharaat ka intezar kar rahe hain.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Federal Funds Futures pricing data dikhata hai ke September mein 50-basis-points (bps) interest-rate cut ki probability 28.5% hai, jabke baaqi ka zyada rujhan chhoti cut 25 bps par hai. Yeh tool waazeh taur par dikhata hai ke Fed ka policy normalization par wapsi market mein fully price in ho chuki hai, jis se US Dollar pichlay aik haftay se pressure mein hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ke value ko chhe major currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, 101.00 ke immediate resistance se neeche subdued performance dikhata hai.

Monday ko San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly ne September mein interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat par zor diya. Daly ne 25 bps interest rate cut ki support ki lekin sath hi agar labor market kharab hota hai tou aik badi cut ke liye bhi darwazay khulay rakhe, Bloomberg par interview ke doran kaha.

Investors ka yakeen barh gaya hai ke Fed September se interest rates kam karna shuru kar dega jabke Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apni Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein kaha ke ab waqt hai ke policy ko adjust kiya jaye. Jerome Powell ne easing labor market conditions par bhi fikr ka izhar kiya aur isay support karne ka irada kiya.

Is haftay investors United States (US) ke core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data ke baray mein bohat ghoor se dekh rahe hain jo Friday ko publish hoga. Annual core PCE 2.7% tak barhne ka andaza hai pehle ke 2.6% release se, jabke mahwari figures mein stable growth 0.2% tak dekhne ko milegi. Is se pehle, US economic calendar Tuesday ko S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for June aur The Conference Board’s gauge of Consumer Confidence for August release karega.

Pound Sterling apni major peers ke muqable mein, Asia-Pacific currencies ke ilawa, Tuesday ko mazbooti dikhata hai. British currency apni upbeat market sentiment aur United Kingdom (UK) mein behtar hoti hui economic outlook se faida utha raha hai. Economic prospects behtar hue jab flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI ne dikhaya ke manufacturing aur service sectors dono mein August mein tez taraqi hui.

Bank of England (BoE) ke September mein interest-rate cut ke khilaf kam hoti hui betting ne bhi Pound Sterling ke attractiveness mein izafa kiya hai. Is scenario ka possibility kam hai kyun ke BoE ke officials expect kar rahe hain ke inflation dobara barh sakti hai, halan ke pipeline mein price pressures abate ho rahe hain.

British shop prices August mein October 2021 ke baad pehli baar kam hui, British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data ne Tuesday ko report kiya. Non-food goods ke prices 1.5% tak ghat gaye summer clothes ki slow sales ki wajah se, jo teen saalon mein sab se bara fall hai. Food prices ne bhi dheere pace par barhna shuru kiya, 2.0% tak, jo ke November 2021 ke baad se sab se chhoti rise hai, July ke 2.3% se neeche.

Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqable mein naya do-an-a-half saal ka high 1.3200 par banaya. GBP/USD pair strong ho gaya jab weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ka breakout deliver kiya. Agar bullish momentum dobara start hota hai tou Cable ke February 4, 2022 ke high 1.3640 tak barh sakne ka chance hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 1.2766 ke qareeb hai, strong upside trend ka ishara deti hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 par overbought levels tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke corrective pullback ke chances barhata hai. Neeche ki taraf, psychological level 1.3000 Pound Sterling bulls ke liye crucial support hoga.

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko two-week high par rally ki, session peak 1.2873 tak barh gayi jab market sentiment ne buy button dhoond liya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation expected se zyada cool-off hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate cuts ke liye bets mein izafa kar diya, jab ke Cable traders ne UK unemployment claims ke multi-year peak ko nazar andaz kar diya.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures Wednesday ko dono taraf, Atlantic ke is paar bhi, release honay wali hain. Core UK CPI inflation ki umeed hai ke July mein YoY 3.4% tak neeche aayegi, jo pehle 3.5% thi. US side par, market

اگست 28 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ نے 1.3220 کی مزاحمتی سطح کو 1.3300 کی سطح (ایک طویل مدتی اوسط) کے مقصد کے لیے واضح ارادے کے ساتھ توڑا۔ 1.3360 کا ہدف 1.3300 کی سطح سے اوپر ہے، لیکن بیرونی منڈیوں کے تعاون کے بغیر، انتہائی غیر مستحکم پاؤنڈ کو بھی اس سطح تک پہنچنا بہت مشکل ہوگا۔



سونا کل 20 اگست کی چوٹی پر مضبوط مزاحمت کے قریب پہنچا۔ امریکی اور یورپی اسٹاک انڈیکس کل ملا جلا بند ہوا، اور آج، ایشیائی انڈیکس پہلے ہی ریڈ زون میں ہیں۔ روزنامہ مارلن آسیلیٹر اوور بوٹ زون سے ریورس کرنے کا ارادہ ظاہر کرتا ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت سے متاثر مارلن آسیلیٹر، اپنی رینج میں واپس آ گیا ہے لیکن اس نے قیمت کے ساتھ اختلاف بھی پیدا کر دیا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.3300 کی ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ جاتی ہے تو یہ انحراف برقرار رہے گا، لیکن ہم 70% کے امکان کے ساتھ گہری اصلاح میں الٹ جانے کی توقع کرتے ہیں۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj M1 timeframe par bears ne bearish engulfing signal ko bearish range mein tabdeel kar diya hai, lekin M5 timeframe par yeh process abhi tak bearish engulfing signal generate nahi kar paayi hai. Yeh ideal nahi hai, kyunki is situation mein bulls price ko reversal ke zariye wapas upar le ja sakte hain. Is waqt zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke trading kaise aage chalti hai aur kya trends emerge hote hain.

H4 timeframe par downward retracement signal mil raha hai, lekin iska confirmation abhi tak nahi mila hai. Confirmation ke liye hume MA10 ke neeche close hona zaroori hai, jo ke filhal missing hai. Is wajah se outcome abhi bhi wahi hai ke bulls situation ko alter kar sakte hain aur bearish trend ko roknay ki koshish kar sakte hain. Main MA10 ke neeche close hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke H4 timeframe par 1.3224 hai.

Trading ke liye yeh important hai ke hum in technical indicators ka dhyan rakhein aur kisi bhi trading decision se pehle confirmation ka intezar karein. Agar price MA10 ke neeche close hoti hai, to downward trend ki confirmation mil jayegi aur bearish sentiment ko zyada support mil sakti hai. Lekin, jab tak yeh confirmation nahi milti, market mein reversal ki possibilities barqarar hain aur bulls price ko upar le ja sakte hain.

In scenarios ko dekhte hue, trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Jab tak price MA10 ke neeche close nahi hoti, selling ke decisions lene se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Is waqt, price movements aur technical indicators ka closely monitoring zaroori hai taake timely aur informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

**GBP/USD Analysis: H1 Chart**
GBP/USD pair ne trading ka aghaz 1.26350 level se kiya aur phir H1 support level C: 1.26268 tak gir gaya. Yeh level break karne ke baad, price M30 support level C: 1.26222 tak pohnchi, jahan se upar aayi aur daily pivot ki taraf barhne ki umeed hai. Agar yeh H1 resistance level: 1.2637 ko break kar leti hai, to daily pivot level FPV: 1.26387 tak pohnchne ke chances hain. Agar price is level ko push nahi karti aur upar ki taraf expand hoti hai, to next target H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ho sakta hai.

Agar price yahan se niche aati hai aur din ka low yLow: 1.26116 break karti hai, to agla support level S3: 1.25810 dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh level D1 support level: 1.26175 aur H4 support level: 1.26133 ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke niche koi significant support ya resistance levels nahi hain, S4: 1.25453 tak. Agar price support level ko break karti hai aur kal ke level ko nahi jeet paati, to volatility ke sath hum definitely 1.25453 tak ke drop ki ummeed rakh sakte hain, agar aur niche nahi chali jaye.

Agar price daily pivot level ko break karti hai aur H4 resistance level C: 1.26540 ko bhi break karti hai, to major move north tak pohnchne ki umeed hai, jahan High: 1.26693 tak target ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf target D1 resistance level: 1.26815 ya resistance level R3: 1.26964 ho sakta hai, jo 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai.

ZUP indicator bullish formation ke baad yeh values leta hai: 786 * AB = CD. Bullish method tab effective ho sakti hai jab price 1.26169 ke niche na jaye. Slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 se 29.8 signal line higher territory mein move karti nazar aa rahi hai. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke values 28.7 aur 27.6 hain, jo sell zone ya higher move ka crossroads dikhati hain. Shayad price 61.8: 1.26515 Fibonacci level tak pohnchti hai, jo H4 resistance level C: 1.2654 ke qareeb hai, aur uske baad recovery aur further targets ki taraf girti rahegi.

Daily chart par price action consolidate ho raha hai aur aaj bhi trading ranging lag rahi hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators bearish signal de rahe hain, isliye bearish movement sabse zyada mumkin lagti hai. UK se positive news aur US se negative news aayi hai, aur agle important news releases bhi neutral forecast ke sath hain. Aaj ke liye pair ke ranging movement ki umeed hai, aur support level 1.2620 ke towards selling opportunities dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Resistance level 1.2650 ke towards buying opportunities bhi mil sakti hain. Yehi trading plan hai baqi trading time ke liye

**British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) Analysis in Roman Urdu**

Jumeraat ke din British Pound (GBP) ne thori si rahat hasil ki aur New York trading session mein key level 1.2600 ke thoda upar support mil gaya. Yeh development us waqt hui jab US Dollar (USD) mein thori si pullback nazar ayi, halan ke US Dollar Index (DXY) ne nai 8-week high ko touch kiya tha jo 1.0610 ke qareeb tha. Lekin, investors mein ehtiyaat ab bhi barqarar hai kyun ke Jummah ke din crucial US inflation data release hone wala hai. Federal Reserve Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) ko inflation ke tor par apni pasandeeda gauge ke tor par dekhta hai. Yeh data Jummah ko release hone ki umeed hai, aur ye shayad dikhaye ke May mein price increases April ke muqablay mein slow ho gayi hain. Agar inflation ka reading cool aata hai, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur GBP ko faida mil sakta hai. Lekin, US se aanewali positive economic signals ki wajah se GBP ka upside ab bhi limited lagta hai.

Taza data ke mutabiq, unemployment claims ke numbers expectations se kam aaye hain aur durable goods orders mein bhi unexpected uptick hui hai. Yeh numbers US economy ki underlying strength ko zahir karte hain, jis se investor sentiment USD par ab bhi bullish hai.

Agar GBP/USD apni ground kho deta hai aur immediate support level 1.2655 ke neeche gir jata hai, to shayad ye ek martaba phir one-month low 1.2620 ko retest kare. Agar mazeed decline hoti hai, to significant support level 1.2598 bhi play mein aa sakta hai, jo ke iss saal ke pehle half mein kaafi mazboot tha. Dusri taraf, agar GBP rally karta hai to shayad resistance zone 1.2771 ko challenge kare, jo ke 2024 ke pehle do mahine mein establish hua tha. Agar yeh area decisively break hota hai, to shayad 1.2816-1.2859 range ka test ho sakta hai. Yeh zone three-month high ke liye represent karta hai aur December 2023 ke peak ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh range break hoti hai, to shayad GBP/USD wapas 2024 ke high 1.2892 ki taraf laut jaye.

Overall, GBP/USD ne apne recent decline ko 50-day moving average ke qareeb roka, lekin sustained reversal ke liye outlook ab bhi uncertain hai. GBP ko apne recent downtrend se clear break dikhana hoga taake positive trajectory establish ho sake. Aane wale Jummah ko release hone wala US inflation data is situation mein aik key turning point ban sakta hai. Agar inflation ka reading expectations se thanda ata hai, to yeh GBP ko zaroori tailwind provide kar sakta hai taake woh momentum gain kar sake

Pound Sterling ne dollar ke kamzor hone se faida uthataya, jiske natije mein GBPUSD pair ne pichle haftay se June last year ki highest price ko break kar diya. Yeh halat Fed Chairman ke dovish statement ke baad market ke expectations ke barhne ki wajah se aayi hai, jo keh raha tha ke is saal Fed ke interest rate cut ki magnitude zyada ho sakti hai. Iske mukable mein, Bank of England (BoE) ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Jackson Hole event mein kaha ke inflation ko control karna abhi bhi itna clear nahi hai, isliye aur interest rate cuts jaldi nahi kiye jayenge.

Isliye, is saal Fed aur BoE ke darmiyan interest rate cuts mein ek disparity hone ki sambhavana hai. Market players ka expectation hai ke Fed is saal significant interest rate cut karega, jabke BoE se kum rate cuts ki ummeed hai. Is wajah se pound sterling dollar aur doosri currencies ke muqablay mein zyada attractive ban sakta hai. Lekin, market ko future interest rate cuts ke prospects ke liye aane wale data par nazar rakhni hogi.

**Technical Analysis**

Technical perspective se, GBPUSD ki price movement ne symmetrical triangle pattern ke upper line area ko penetrate kar diya hai, jo daily time frame se upar ki taraf subjective observation kiya ja sakta hai. Is se upward trend continue karne ka mauka milta hai aur price pattern ke projection ke range mein 1.38047 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh tab possible hai agar price baseline ke upar rahe, jo ke June last year ki highest price ke aas-paas bana hai. Filhaal ki position daily time frame mein naye inside bar pattern ka third projection aur purane inside bar pattern ka fourth projection test kar rahi hai, jo prices 1.32249 aur 1.32633 par hain.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke zariye monitor karne par, price ya candle ab bhi MA MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.2785-1.2787 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Is se lagta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai aur bullish candlestick ki formation bhi iska support hai. Filhal buyers ke paas jo faida hai, aaj trading ke doran zyada tar bullish action ki umeed hai jo ke buyers ke liye hai, target unka bullish area hoga jo ke Supply resistance Seller area 1.2958-1.2960 ke daira-e-amal mein hai . control karne ki ijazat de raha hai. Buyers ka bullish target lagta hai ke seller's resistance area 1.2887-1.2890 ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar ye strong penetration ke saath clear hota hai, to GBPUSD pair price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka moka mil sakta hai, agla target strong seller's supply resistance area 1.2957-1.2960 hoga. GBPUSD price movement resistance area 1.28690 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai, jo ke pehle bhi kai baar test kiya gaya hai lekin break nahi ho saka. Ye level strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jahan sellers prices ko upar jane se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Dusri taraf, support area 1.28073 ke aas paas hai, jo ke kai baar test kiya gaya hai aur price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha hai. Ye level buyers ke buying interest ko darshata hai, jahan buyers price ko niche girne se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Stochastic Oscillator indicator dikhata hai ke ab market overbought condition mein hai, jahan indicator line 80 level ke upar hai. Ye condition aam taur par yeh darshati hai ke prices ab bohot high level par hain aur future mein correction ya downward reversal ho sakta hai. Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending buy stop order ko 1.2887-1.2890 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2957-1.2960 par ho.

Sell trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyers' support area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending sell stop order ko 1.2843-1.2840 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2815-1.2813 par ho

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein interesting dynamics dikhayi hain, khaaskar hourly chart par. 50-day moving average (MA50) ke downward pressure ko break karne ke baad, ab yeh pair 100-day moving average (MA100) se potential resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Yeh resistance kisi bhi short-term mein significant upward movement ko rok sakta hai, khaaskar jab ke stochastic indicator abhi bhi upward momentum dikhara hai.

Haalan ke current uptrend nazar arahi hai, lekin recent rally ka steep incline yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh momentum shayad sustainable na ho. Market filhal ek uncertainty ki state mein hai aur apni next move ko carefully weigh kar raha hai. Is situation ne ek complex trading environment create kar diya hai jahan yeh pair shayad thodi si southern correction undergo kare, us ke baad shayad apni upward trajectory resume kare. Key resistance level jo dekhne wali hai wo 1.2645 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek critical turning point ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD ke liye Potential Scenarios

**1. Reversal aur Downward Movement:**

Pehli scenario yeh consider karna hai ke agar 1.2580 resistance level par ek reversal hoti hai. Agar is point par reversal candle form hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai, jo shayad downward trend ki resumption ki taraf le jaye. Is scenario mein pair shayad lower support levels ko test kare, khaaskar agar current rally apna momentum sustain karne mein naakam hoti hai.

**2. Upward Movement ka Continuation:**

Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair resistance level 1.2780 ko break karne mein kaamyaab ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm karega. Aisi move market ke pair ko further upward push karne ke liye ready hone ka signal de sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko sustained buying pressure ko dekhna chahiye jo ke pair ko naye highs ki taraf drive kar sakta hai.

### Key Levels Jo Monitor Karni Chahiye

Kal ke price action par nazar daalain, toh pair ne apne kuch gains wapas de diye, jo suggest karta hai ke 1.2689 ke aas-paas resistance abhi bhi ek significant hurdle hai. Agar yeh level dobara test hota hai, toh yeh potential pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, 1.2600 ke aas-paas local Bollinger Band ke qareeb support bhi significant hai. Agar yeh pair is support level ke upar hold karne mein naakam hota hai aur is ke neeche break karta hai, toh market mein further downside potential nazar aa sakti hai, jahan targets lower rail 1.2705 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain.

### Conclusion

Haal ke market conditions ko dekhte hue, shayad wait-and-see approach apnaana behtar rahe. GBP/USD pair filhal ek crossroads par hai, jahan dono bullish aur bearish scenarios possible

Jor dosray musalsal session ke liye ooper ki taraf rujhan par hai, aur somwaar ko Asian trading hours ke dauran yeh takreeban 1.3192 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Char ghantay ke chart ke tajziye se maloom hota hai ke yeh jor ek upar chaltay hue channel mein majmua hai, jo iske price movements ke liye bullish nazar aata hai.
Markazi Bank Ke Faislay Aur Mazboot US Ki Tarraqi Ne GBP/USD Ke Tajaweez Ko Shakal Di:

Agla hafta markazi bankon ke liye aham hoga kyunke Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) dono apne rate ke faislay sunayenge. Tawwaqo ki ja rahi hai ke Fed apna mawjooda rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, jab ke BoE ke liye ek chothai point rate cut ki umeed hai. Money markets ki tawaqo hai ke BoE ka benchmark rate 5.25% se kam hokar 5.0% ho jayega. Is imkaan ke chalte ke faizan rate ka faraq kam hoga, Pound Sterling par neeche ka dabao paida ho raha hai.

Amreeki maeeshat ke tajaweez karne walay data se maeeshat ki mazboot tarraqi saamne aayi hai, jaisa ke US Department of Commerce ne report kiya. Q2 GDP ke advance estimate mein saal dar saal 2.8% ki tarraqi dikhayi gayi hai, jo Q1 ke 1.4% se zyada hai aur 2% ke pehle se mawjud tahmeel se bhi zyada hai. Yeh tawwaqo se zyada mazboot economic performance mustaqbil mein Fed ki policies ko mutasir kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD ke trading par asar انداز ڈال سکتی ہے۔

GBP/USD Ki Technical Analysis:

Filhaal, spot prices August ke swing low se hal recent rally ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level se zara ooper trade ho rahi hain, jo 1.2663 ke ilaqay ke paas hai. Agar yeh level tod diya gaya, toh mazeed bechne ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jiss se jor 1.3111 ke ilaqay tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 50% Fibonacci level ke saath hum-ahang hai. Agla aham support level 1.3147 ke qareeb hai, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci level ke samne 1.3077 ke paas hai. In levels ke nichay ek wazeh break mazeed nuksaan ki nishani ho sakti hai.

Buland technical nazar ke bawajood, jor ab tak zyadah tara stagnant raha hai, aur chaar din se lagataar 1.3200 ke aas paas hi ghoom raha hai. UK ke PMI data ke tawwaqo se zyada mazboot hone ke bawajood, isne mutawaqqa izafa nahi diya, aur jabke farokht karne walon ne kai dafa jor ko 1.3200 se ooper dhakilne mein kamiyaabi haasil ki, lekin rozana close is key level se neeche rehne ka imkaan hai ke ek gehri retracement ki ibtida ho.

M1 timeframe par bears ne bearish engulfing signal ko bearish range mein tabdeel kar diya hai, lekin M5 timeframe par yeh process abhi tak bearish engulfing signal generate nahi kar paayi hai. Yeh ideal nahi hai, kyunki is situation mein bulls price ko reversal ke zariye wapas upar le ja sakte hain. Is waqt zaroori hai ke hum dekhein ke trading kaise aage chalti hai aur kya trends emerge hote hain.

H4 timeframe par downward retracement signal mil raha hai, lekin iska confirmation abhi tak nahi mila hai. Confirmation ke liye hume MA10 ke neeche close hona zaroori hai, jo ke filhal missing hai. Is wajah se outcome abhi bhi wahi hai ke bulls situation ko alter kar sakte hain aur bearish trend ko roknay ki koshish kar sakte hain. Main MA10 ke neeche close hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ke H4 timeframe par 1.3224 hai.

Trading ke liye yeh important hai ke hum in technical indicators ka dhyan rakhein aur kisi bhi trading decision se pehle confirmation ka intezar karein. Agar price MA10 ke neeche close hoti hai, to downward trend ki confirmation mil jayegi aur bearish sentiment ko zyada support mil sakti hai. Lekin, jab tak yeh confirmation nahi milti, market mein reversal ki possibilities barqarar hain aur bulls price ko upar le ja sakte hain.

In scenarios ko dekhte hue, trading strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai. Jab tak price MA10 ke neeche close nahi hoti, selling ke decisions lene se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Is waqt, price movements aur technical indicators ka closely monitoring zaroori hai taake timely aur informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis
Hello, sabko. Kaise hain aap? Pichle haftay, sterling ne apni positive growth continue rakhi aur naye highs achieve kiye. Price ne steady upward momentum develop kiya with kuch significant pullbacks, aur 1.3170 ke upar area mein enter kiya, phir slow down hona shuru kiya. Pichle scenario ke mutabiq, isne target area ko approach karke fully capture kar liya. Price chart bhi super-trend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ke market control ko indicate karta hai.

Sterling ne record high hit kiya, weak dollar se benefit hua, aur rate cut expectations Federal Reserve ke next meeting ke liye increase ho gayi. Statements ne September mein rate cut trend ko indicate kiya, aur FOMC member Mary Daly ke statement ne help kiya ke committee apni next meeting mein rates cut karegi. GBP/USD 1.3260 tak ucha, jo ke previous day's close se 1.3185 tha. Pair 1.3179 tak gir gayi, jo ke Tuesday ko high 1.3266 se neeche hai.



Pair abhi sharp higher trade kar raha hai weekly highs ke qareeb. Important support areas abhi test nahi hue aur apni integrity retain ki hai, jo upside ki importance ko indicate karta hai. Price ko gains extend karne ke liye, 1.3082 ke upar consolidate karna hoga short term mein, jahan major support area hai. Is area ke upar bounce hone ke baad, further gains ka opportunity milega, targeting area between 1.3427 aur 1.3500.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.2994 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD D1 chart

Sterling ne zyadah tar major currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor perform kiya hai, Australian Dollar (AUD) aur New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke siwa. Yeh kamzori GBP par barhtay huay pressure ko reflect karti hai, jahan market analysts yeh tawako kar rahe hain ke BoE August mein policy normalization ki taraf ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, tawako yeh hai ke US Federal Reserve apni July meeting mein current rates ko barqarar rakhay ga, lekin September mein apni monetary policy ko ease karne ka aaghaaz kar sakta hai, jiss se Federal Funds Rate 5.00%-5.25% range tak girne ke imkaan hain. Inflationary pressures ke signs ke bawajood, market ne in concerns ko largely dismiss kiya hai aur risk-on sentiment ko prefer kiya hai. Yeh shift un umeedon se driven hai jo rate cut ke aane ki hai. CME FedWatch Tool yeh indicate karta hai ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) 31 July ko rates ko steady rakhne ke liye 100% ka imkaan hai. Lekin, markets mein FOMC ke taraf se 18 September ko kam az kam 25-basis-point ka rate cut price ho raha hai, jabke kuch logon ke liye zyada optimistic ho kar 50-bps reduction ka 12% chance bhi hai
GBP/USD D1 chart par, aaj ki market activity UK mein chutti ke sabab se relatively stagnant hai. Guzishta trading week mein bearish success ke liye zyada mauqay nahi mile; chotay intraday corrections ko bhi kafi mehnat lagi. Pair ne jack ki tarah upar chadha, lekin aisa laga ke ab niche girne wala hai. Thursday ki candle ne, jo ke inverted hammer jaisi thi, potential decline ki taraf ishaara kiya. Market poore din flat raha, shayad upar se niche correction ke liye sellers ka ek group accumulate kar raha tha. Lekin, yeh expectation mukhtasar arsay ke liye thi kyun ke United States se Friday ko significant news ayi thi. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke address aur US mein new home sales ke announcement ne price mein sharply surge kar diya, jiss se kayi stop losses trigger hue aur kayi accounts ko impact kiya. Yeh movement pound ki taraf nahi thi; balki, US dollar market mein kafi kamzor ho gaya

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

Hello, sab ko kaise hain? Pichle hafte, sterling ne apni positive growth continue ki aur naye highs tak pohnch gaya. Price ne steady upward momentum develop kiya, jismein kuch significant pullbacks bhi dekhe gaye, aur 1.3170 ke level se upar chala gaya. Isse pehle ke scenario ki base par, isne target area ko fully capture kar liya. Price chart ab bhi super-trend green zone mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers control mein hain.

Sterling ne record high touch kiya, jo ke dollar ke kamzor hone ka faida hai. Yeh ek combination of factors ke wajah se hai jo Federal Reserve ke agle meeting mein rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa de raha hai. Statements ne September mein rate cut trend ka izhaar kiya hai, aur FOMC member Mary Daly ke bayan se madad mili hai ke committee agle meeting mein rates cut karegi. GBP/USD ne 1.3260 tak pohnch gaya, jo ke pichle din ki close price 1.3185 se upar hai. Yeh pair Tuesday ko high of 1.3266 se low of 1.3179 tak gir gaya.

Ab yeh pair sharply higher trade kar raha hai weekly highs ke qareeb. Important support areas abhi tak test nahi hue hain aur apni integrity banaye rakhi hai, jo ke upside ke importance ko indicate karta hai. Price ko apne gains ko extend karne ke liye, use short term mein 1.3082 ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jahan ek major support area maujood hai. Is area ke upar bounce hone se further gains ka mauka milega, with a target area between 1.3427 aur 1.3500.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.2994 ke pivot level se niche girti hai, to...

GBP/USD D1 chart

Sterling ne zyada tar bade currencies ke muqablay mein kam zori dikhayi hai, sirf Australian Dollar (AUD) aur New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ke muqablay mein nahi. Yeh kamzori GBP par badhta pressure dikhati hai, kyunki bazar ke tajziya karon ka kehna hai ke BoE August mein policy normalization ki taraf rukh kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, yeh bhi ummeed hai ke US Federal Reserve apni July ki meeting mein rates ko barqarar rakhe ga, lekin September mein monetary policy ko dheere dheere narm karne lag sakta hai, jo ke Federal Funds Rate ko 5.00%-5.25% ke daira kar sakta hai. Halankeh kuch inflationary pressures ka izhar hai, bazar ne in concerns ko ignore kar diya hai aur risk-on sentiment ko zyada ahmiyat di hai. Yeh shift ek aane wale rate cut ke umeed ke saath hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 31 July ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke rates ko steady rakne ki 100% possibility hai. Magar bazar September 18 ko FOMC se kam se kam 25-basis-point rate cut ki ummeed rakhta hai, aur jo log zyada optimistic hain, unke liye 50-bps reduction ka 12% chance bhi hai.

GBP/USD D1 chart par, aaj ka bazar ka amal UK ki chutti ke sabab se relatively stagnant hai. Pichle trading week ne bearish success ka koi zyada mauka nahi diya; choti choti intraday corrections bhi mushkil se mili. Yeh pair jack ki tarah utha, aur downturn ke liye poocha gaya. Thursday ka candle, jo ke inverted hammer jaisa tha, ek potential decline ka izhar tha. Bazar poore din flat raha, shayad sellers ka group accumulate ho raha tha jo itni uchi levels se downward correction ki taraf move kar raha tha. Magar yeh umeed chand din ke liye thi kyunki Friday ko United States se ahem news aayi. Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman ka address aur US mein naye gharon ki sales ke announcement ne price ko tezi se barha diya, jo ke shayad kai stop losses ko trigger kar raha tha aur kai accounts ko impact kar raha tha. Yeh movement pound ke liye nahi thi; US dollar puri market mein kamzor ho gaya.