جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair mein kuch notable movements dekhi gayi jo recent economic data se mutasir hui. 15 August ko GBP weak hua jab UK inflation data forecast se zyada aya, jisme Consumer Price Index 3.5% par bara, jabke 3.2% ka forecast tha. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke Bank of England future mein tightening kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US retail sales ke unexpected strong data, jo month-over-month 0.8% barhe, ne USD ko boost kiya. 16 August ko GBP ne pressure mehsoos kiya jab UK unemployment rate 5.2% par bara, jo UK labor market aur economic growth par concerns raise karta hai. Halanke US jobless claims mein slight uptick 220,000 tak dekhne ko mili, lekin USD relatively stable raha. In mixed economic signals ke wajah se USD ne GBP ke muqable mein strength hasil ki.
Closing day par, GBP/USD ne bullish trend show kiya. Mene is pair par kal discuss kiya tha, noting ki price ne 1.2678 par support dhoondi aur double bottoms form karne ke baad rebound kiya. Pehle ke price action ko dekhte hue, sellers ne effectively market ko control kiya, bearish pattern create kiya, support tak pahunchne se pehle. Jab price support par aya, toh sellers ne apne positions close kiye, jisse buyers market mein significant force ke sath enter kar paye.Downside lagging map ko dekhte hue, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke upar extended period tak raha, momentum gather karta hua. Recently, yeh 50.00 aur phir 60.00 ke upar gaya, yeh indicate karta hai ke British pound US dollar ke muqable mein strong strength show kar raha hai. Kal yeh volatile pair daily support level 1.2800 par retrace hua aur phir tezi se upar reverse hua, level ko respect karte hue. GBP/USD ne lower time frames par lower low banaya, jisse retail traders ke stop-loss orders trigger hue. Bullish scenario ke base par, mein expect karta hoon ke GBP/USD upward move karta rahega, aur potentially bearish pattern target 1.3030 ya isse zyada tak pohanch sakta hai.Kal raat ke market close tak pound dobara strong hua aur 1.2940 par ya opening price se upar close hua, D1 time frame par candle ab MA 24 aur MA 200 line ke upar hai, aur stochastic indicator 5.3.3 bhi level 80 line ke upar hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke agle hafte GBP/USD currency pair bullish

Trading Opportunities with GBP/USD
Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Daily chart par, jab GBP/USD ne local low 1.2309 se bounce kiya, to isne ek upward trend pakra aur ek steady price channel bana liya. British Pound ab 1.2935 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jahan Friday ke session ka closure hua. Ab growth ka third wave shuru ho gaya hai jo takriban 1.3199 par resistance face karega. Is nazariye se, market opening par buy trades lena mehfooz lagta hai, aur medium-term strategy mein pound buying ko pasand kiya gaya hai. Jabke bullish momentum wazeh hai, aap GBP/USD ke girne ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Selling opportunities ab zyada appealing lagti hain, kyunki bearish scenario relevant hai. Mere dekhe gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, downward trend expected hai, aur medium-term target recent low 1.2033 par set hai. Ideal scenario yeh hai ke market actual data ke basis par is forecast ko follow kare, jisse short positions ek viable trading option ban jaati hai.




Pichle Hafte ka Analysis

Pichle hafte, British Pound ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein kafi izafa kiya jab isne downward channel se break kiya. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke price pehle se zyada tez uthi, jo strong momentum dikhata hai aur further growth ke liye space chhodta hai. Lekin, potential buy entries 1.2869 ke support level se honi chahiye, jo pichle Tuesday ka high tha. Halankeh price ne hafte ko upar close kiya, lekin yeh level tak wapas aane ki ummeed hai, aur current levels par long positions lena shayad der ho jaye. Targets ke liye, 161st Fibonacci level 1.2949 tak pahunch gaya hai, isliye agla logical target 200th Fibonacci level 1.3029 ke aas-paas hai. Ye upward movement ek opportunity present karti hai, lekin is stage par positions enter karte waqt ehtiyaat zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Wave Pattern Analysis
GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi kafi complex aur ambiguous hai. Thodi dair ke liye, wave structure kaafi convincing nazar aa raha tha aur downward wave set ki formation ki baat ki gayi thi jo 1.2300 figure ke neeche levels ko target karta. Lekin, practically, U.S. dollar ke demand itni badh gayi ke yeh scenario play out nahi ho saka.

Filhal, wave pattern bilkul unreadable ho gaya hai. Mere analysis mein, main simple structures use karne ki koshish karta hoon, kyunki complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguities hoti hain. Jo ab hum dekh rahe hain woh ek upward wave hai jo ek downward wave ko override kar rahi hai, jo ke pehle ke upward wave ko override kar rahi thi, jo ke pehle ke downward wave ko override kar rahi thi (yeh sab waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Sirf ek assumption banayi ja sakti hai: ek expanding triangle jiska upper point lagbhag 1.3000 level par hai aur balancing line lagbhag 1.2600 level par hai. Triangle ki upper line tak pohnch gayi thi, aur is line ko break karne ki naakam koshish ne market ki downward waves ka formation dikhaya, jismein se pehli wave already complete ho chuki hai.

Friday ke session mein GBP/USD exchange rate 60 basis points tak barh gaya, lekin phir peaks se retreat hone laga. Na toh pehla movement aur na hi doosra puri tarah logical hai, kyunki dono waqt par news thi: subah aur dopahar mein. Mere readers ko reasonable expectation thi ke ye news events market mein reflect honge. Subah, UK mein retail sales ka report release hua, jo 0.5% month-on-month aur July mein 1.4% year-on-year increase dikhata hai. Dono values market expectations ke mutabiq thi. Lekin, pound raat bhar upar chadh raha tha aur subah tak gain karta raha. Agar expectations reality se match karti thi, to kyun? Is baar market ne dekha ke June ka figure revise karke upar kiya gaya. Pichle mahine 1.2% decline record hua tha, jo revise karke -0.9% kar diya gaya. Market ko bas ek nayi wajah chahiye thi instrument ko buy karne ke liye.

U.S. session ke dauran, U.S. mein July ke liye building permits ke number ka report release hua. Number market expectations se kam tha, lekin jaise humne dekha, dollar ne U.S. session ki shuruaat strong ke saath ki. Mere khayal se, current wave b new downward structure mein already kaafi strong hai, isliye main downward wave c ke formation ki umeed kar raha hoon. U.S. dollar ke paas last 5-6 ghanton mein girne ke reasons the, lekin yeh nahi hua. Ab wave b ne wave a ka 61.8% retrace kiya hai. Mere nazariye se, yeh sales entry ke liye achha point hai. Lekin, main yeh bhi consider karta hoon ke instrument 1.2953 tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level ke barabar hai.

GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ki taraf indicate karta hai. Agar upward segment trend ne April 22 ko shuru hua tha, to yeh already five-wave form le chuka hai. Isliye, kam se kam ek three-wave correction ab expect ki jani chahiye. Mere khayal se, aane wale waqt mein instrument ko sell karna advisable hai, with targets around 1.2627 mark, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke barabar hai, aur lower.

Badi wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum complex aur extended upward corrective structure ke formation ki assumption laga sakte hain. Filhal, yeh ek three-wave pattern hai, lekin yeh evolve hokar ek five-wave structure ban sakta hai, jo complete hone mein kuch aur mahine ya usse bhi zyada lag sakte hain.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Analysis
GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein ek mazboot upward movement dikhayi hai. Kuch waqt sideways range mein rehne ke baad, price ne apni bullish trend ko dobara shuru kiya hai, aur Friday ke trading session ne bhi is buying momentum ko reflect kiya. Halankeh price 1.19469 ke resistance level ke kareeb pohnch gayi thi, lekin thoda kam reh gayi. Mera andaza hai ke market ke open hone par, price is resistance level ko zaroor touch karegi.

Jab price is resistance level ko test karegi, to mujhe umeed hai ke ek correction aayegi. Yeh correction bohot badi nahi hogi, lekin itni significant hogi ke buying ka ek achha mauka milega. Jaise hi price is correction ke dauran support level ke paas pohnchegi, traders ke liye yeh ek favorable entry point banega. Is initial dip ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke price rebound karegi aur apni upward trend ko continue karegi.

Current scenario mein, immediate focus resistance level 1.19469 par hai. Yeh level price ke liye ek significant barrier raha hai, aur isse test karna agle steps determine karne mein crucial hoga. Agar price is resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh strong bullish momentum ko indicate karega aur further gains ki possibility ko open karega.

Anticipated correction ke baad, jo shayad ek minor adjustment hoga na ke major downturn, price apni bullish trajectory ko dobara resume karne ki umeed hai. Yeh rebound confirm karega ke upward trend abhi bhi intact hai. Traders ko is potential correction ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye aur support levels ko test karte waqt buying opportunities dhoondni chahiye.

GBP/USD pair ke key resistance targets 1.29927 aur 1.30418 par set hain. Yeh levels woh points hain jahan price ko further resistance ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Agar price in targets ko successfully cross kar deti hai, to yeh strong bullish trend ko confirm karega aur suggest karega ke pair higher levels ki taraf clear path par hai.

Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur price action ke hisaab se apni strategies adjust karni chahiye. Correction ke potential ka matlab hai ke buying opportunities arise ho sakti hain jab price lower support levels ko test karegi. Jab price stabilize ho kar phir se upar ki taraf move karegi, to focus resistance targets par shift karna chahiye.

Summary mein, GBP/USD pair ka resistance level 1.19469 tak pohnchne ki umeed hai, jiske baad ek minor correction hone ki sambhavnayein hain. Yeh correction buying opportunity offer karegi jab price support levels ko test karegi. Correction ke baad, price ke upward movement resume karne ki umeed hai, aur resistance targets 1.29927 aur 1.30418 ke liye aim karegi. Traders ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market ke development ke hisaab se strategies adjust karni chahiye.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Haal aur Aage Ka Nazariya
Umeed hai ke aapka weekend acha guzar raha hoga.

GBP/USD pair ke recent performance ko dekhte hue, pichle hafte British pound ne apne upward northern channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb pohnch gaya tha. Yeh boundary, jo ke resistance zone 1.2460 ke aas-paas hai, upper Bollinger Band ke sath align karti hai. Technical analysis ke nazariye se, yeh suggest karta hai ke currency pair ek critical juncture par hai.

Aane wale haftay ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein ek corrective pullback dekhne ko milega. Yeh correction price ko takriban 1.2900 level tak le aayegi, jo Friday ke daily candle ke Fibonacci grid par 50% retracement ke barabar hai. Aise pullback technical analysis mein common hote hain aur traders ko ek behtar entry level par positions lene ka mauka de sakte hain.

Expected southward correction ke baad, primary outlook yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair apni upward trajectory ko resume karega. Current positioning aur overarching trend ko dekhte hue, mujhe bullish movement continue karne ki umeed hai jo resistance zone 1.3040 ki taraf hai. Yeh level daily chart par significant hai aur medium-term perspective mein ek key target hai.

GBP/USD pair filhal upper range mein middle aur upper moving averages ke beech trade kar raha hai. Yeh positioning continued northward movement ke liye favorable setup provide karti hai. Upper moving average, khas taur par, ek dynamic resistance level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai jisse price ko overcome karna padega taake bullish trend sustain ho sake. Agar pair middle moving average ke upar apni position maintain kar sakti hai, to yeh further gains ke chances ko strengthen karega.

Global upward trend GBP/USD pair ke liye intact hai, jo ke recent performance aur technical indicators se supported hai. Strong upward northern channel ke honay se market sentiment bullish nazar aata hai, aur koi bhi corrections temporary hone ki sambhavnayein hain. Isliye, jab price apna expected retracement complete karke 1.2900 level tak pohnchti hai, to yeh 1.3040 resistance zone ki taraf continue karne ke liye well-positioned hogi.

Traders ko in key levels ke aas-paas price action par nazar rakhni chahiye. Anticipated correction to 1.2900 level ek mauka provide karti hai positions ko reassess karne aur subsequent rally ke liye prepare hone ka. Agar price waqai mein is level tak retrace hoti hai aur support ke signs dikhati hai, to yeh ongoing upward trend ko capitalize karne ke liye ek achha entry point ho sakta hai.

Summary mein, GBP/USD pair ne recently apne upward northern channel ke upper boundary ke kareeb 1.2460 resistance zone ke paas pohnch gaya hai. Aage dekhte hue, 1.2900 ke aas-paas short-term correction ki umeed hai, jo Friday ke daily candle ka 50% retracement hai. Yeh correction ke baad bullish trend continue hone ki umeed hai, aur agla target 1.3040 hai. Middle aur upper moving averages ke beech current position further upward movement ke chances ko support karti hai. Traders ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye aur market movements ka faida uthane ke liye strategies adjust karni chahiye.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD
Hello aur Good Morning! Bina waqt zaya kiye, hum apne topic ki taraf barhte hain. Sabse pehle, hum GBP/USD ka technical analysis discuss karte hain. Is waqt GBP/USD 1.2941 par trade kar raha hai. Is time frame par ek bullish engulfing candle ban rahi hai, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke GBP/USD kal upar ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Is chart par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ab strong bullish signal dikhata hai. Sath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi northward march dikhata hai, lekin MACD mein ek sizable bullish divergence hone ki sambhavnayein hain. Ab, pair moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo downward weakness ko suggest karta hai. GBP/USD ne is time frame mein kai resistance aur support levels banaye hain.




GBP/USD ne 1.4198 area mein ek strong resistance level identify kiya hai. Agar price 1.4198 ko break karti hai, to yeh 1.7178 tak move karegi, jo ke 2nd level ka resistance hai. Is time frame mein, 2.1120 par important resistance hai jo 3rd line of hurdle ke tor par kaam aa sakta hai. Dusri taraf, GBP/USD ne 1.2212 area mein ek strong support level identify kiya hai. Agar price 1.2212 ko break karti hai, to yeh 1.0380 tak neeche aayegi, jo ke 2nd level ka support hai. Is time frame mein, 1.0100 par important support hai jo third line of defense ke tor par kaam aa sakta hai. Umeed hai ke aap sab is analysis ko asaani aur rahat se samajh paenge.

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD ne Friday ko US session mein teen hafton ki bulandiyon par, lagbhag 1.2900 ke aas paas trade kiya. Wall Street par dekhe gaye bearish onset ne risk sentiment mein negative tilt ko zahir kiya aur is wajah se pair ke liye mazeed bullish momentum ikattha karna mushkil bana diya. Upar ki taraf, pehla muqabla 1.2950 (static level) aur 1.3000 (psychological level, static level) par hai. Neeche ki taraf, pehla support 1.2850-1.2840 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, 200-period Simple Moving Average) ke aas paas hai, jo 1.2800 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) se pehle aata hai. GBP/USD ne apna bullish momentum barqarar rakha aur Friday ko European session mein teen hafton ki bulandiyon par, lagbhag 1.2900 ke zara neeche trade kiya. High-impact data releases ki ghair mojoodgi mein, risk perception ka pair ki action par asar par sakta hai din ke doosre hissa mein. Thursday ko, US data ne dikhaya ke weekly initial jobless claims 7,000 ki kami ke saath 227,000 tak gir gaye. Iske ilawa, retail sales July mein 1% barh gayi, jo ke market expectations (0.3% increase) se zyada thi. Yeh upbeat data release USD ko support karte hue GBP/USD ko 1.2800 tak neeche le aya.

Lekin, jab Thursday ko Wall Street ke opening bell ke baad risk flow ne financial markets par dominate karna shuru kiya, to GBP/USD ne dobara apni position sambhali aur din ko positive territory mein band kiya. University of Michigan ka preliminary index of consumer sentiment for August bhi aya. Investors ke mutabiq, yeh figures ko nazarandaz karte hue, risk perception par zyada tawajju di ja sakti hai. Is waqt, US stock index futures 0.15% aur 0.3% ke darmiyan barh rahi hain. Wall Street ka bullish start USD ko nuqsan pohancha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko mazeed barhne ka moqa de sakta hai. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke weekend market ke taaluqat profit taking aur weekend flows ke sabab se kamzor ho sakte hain. Daily chart par British Pound mazboot uptrend dikha raha hai. Filhal, iske quotes ne 1.29 level ko cross kar liya hai aur qareebi weekly high of 1.3043 saamne hai, jo ke pair ke current price increase ka target hai. Daily timeframe par GBP/USD currency pair ki technical picture bullish sentiment ko support kar rahi hai. MACD indicator ka histogram positive zone mein hai. Pair ke quotes MA100 indicator ki midline se ooper trade kar rahe hain. RSI indicator overbought conditions ko zahir nahi kar raha. Isliye, sab kuch pair ke quotes mein mazeed growth ke haq mein hai.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Jabt tak pound/dollar ka joda 1.2938 se ooper karobar kar raha hai, tab tak ooper ka rujhan tarjih hai. Halankeh, mujhe ooper ki taraf koi hadaf nazar nahin aata hai. Agar H1 candlestick aaj 1.2938 ki satah se niche band ho jata hai to, yah tin aham time frames yani, one-hour, four-hour, aur yaumiyah charts ke isharon ki buniyad par short positions kholne ka ek shandar mauqa hoga, jis par mai amal karta hun. Mujhe yaqin hai keh 1.2938 ke nishan se niche short positions kholna ek danishmandana fasils hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni rally ko Friday ke din dusre consecutive din ke liye extend kiya, aur Asian session ke doran 1.2870 level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Yeh upward movement zyada tar improved risk sentiment ki wajah se tha, jo ke stronger-than-expected US retail sales data se fuel hua. Is ne US recession ke hawale se fears ko kam kiya aur risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke pound sterling, ko support diya. Iske ilawa, British pound ko positive domestic economic data se bhi support mila, jo ke Thursday ko release hui thi. UK's GDP second quarter mein 0.6% expand hui, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq thi. Furthermore, annualized GDP growth rate 0.9% tak pohanch gayi, jo ke estimates aur previous quarter ke figure se zyada thi.
Market participants eagerly UK retail sales data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Friday ko release hone wali hai. July ke liye 0.5% monthly increase ki expectation hai, jabke pehle month mein 1.2% decline dekha gaya tha. Annual retail sales growth ka estimation hai ke 1.4% tak rise karegi, pehle ke 0.2% contraction se recover karte hue.

Wahin doosri taraf, US Dollar weak ho gaya hai kyun ke traders increasingly September mein Federal Reserve ki taraf se 25 basis point interest rate cut ko price kar rahe hain. Lekin, ek aggressive 50 basis point reduction ka bhi possibility hai, jise CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 26% probability mili hai. Iske bawajood, Dollar ko Thursday ko release hone wale robust US economic data se support mila, jisme stronger-than-expected retail sales aur initial jobless claims ka decline shamil hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne August 8 ko 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar break hone ke baad upward trend kiya hai. Immediate resistance December 2023 high 1.2826 par located hai. Agar prices rise karti hain, to June high 1.2859 next obstacle ban sakti hai. Agar yeh level successfully break hota hai, to March high 1.2892 tak move hone ka rasta khul sakta hai. Downside par, initial support 1.2710 level par dekha ja sakta hai, jo pehle resistance act karta tha lekin ab support provide kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level breakdown hota hai, to August low 1.2663 ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo ke 200-day SMA ke sath coincide karta hai. Aage ki losses pair ko June aur March ke lows tak push kar sakti hain, jo ke 1.2620 aur 1.2598 ke darmiyan situated hain.

Overall, GBP/USD pair bullish bias exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke positive economic data aur weakening US Dollar se supported hai. Lekin upward momentum ko multiple levels par resistance face karna par sakta hai, jabke downside risks bhi hain agar pair apni current strength ko maintain nahi kar pata.

GBPUSD currency pair ke M15 chart ko dekh rahe hain, usme aapne dekha ke linear regression channel ka upward slope hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Aapke trading plan ke mutabiq, aap ne niche wale channel border par purchase ki opportunity identify ki hai, jo ke 1.27575 par hai. Aapka plan hai ke jab market is level tak aaye, to aap purchases consider karenge. Phir aap market ke 1.27797 level tak grow karne ka wait karenge, jahan correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar correction lower border tak aaye, to aap wahan se phir se purchase karenge. Lekin agar lower border break ho jaye, to aapko purchases cancel kar deni chahiye aur further fall ko consider karna chahiye.
Aap M15 chart ke signals ko dekh kar purchases karna chahte hain, jab market lower border se bounce kare aur grow ho. Upper border par sales bhi consider ki ja sakti hain, lekin aapke liye zyada important entry lower border se hai. Aapke H1 chart ka analysis bhi bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, jo ke aapke M15 chart ke purchases ke signal ko support karta hai. Isliye, aap lower border 1.27472 se buy karna chahte hain aur target 1.28112 set karna chahte hain. Agar price 1.28112 tak pahunchti hai, to aapko correction hone ki ummeed hai. Agar lower border 1.27472 ko downward break kar diya jata hai, to ye bearish signal hoga, aur aapko apne trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko phir se evaluate karna padega. Aaj United States producer prices ke statistics publish honge, jo ke currencies ke movements ko influence kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap consumer prices ke statistics ki announcement se pehle market me enter karna chahte hain. Lekin, asliyat main fluctuations kal American

Good afternoon! Aaj GBP/USD pair ne 1.2982 ke level tak girne ke baad ek impressive growth dikhayi hai, aur pivot H1 5/8 (1.3000) tak pohonch gaya hai. Is breakthrough se M15 timeframe bearish se bullish hogaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke agle pivot H1 6/8 (1.3061) tak growth continue hogi, jise H1 timeframe ka bullish trend support karega. Agar price 1.3000 ke level se rebound karke neeche aata hai, toh M15 ka bullish trend dobara bearish mein convert ho sakta hai, aur agar 1.2052 ka level break hota hai, toh price neeche gir kar H1 timeframe ke bullish trend zone tak ja sakti hai, aur phir growth ke liye rebound kar sakti hai.

H4 timeframe par analysis karne se pata chalta hai ke pair ka overall trend ascending hai. H4 par bullish deuces signals mil rahe hain, jo blue color mein show ho rahe hain. Pehla signal already apna target achieve kar chuka hai, aur second signal American session ke baad sideways movement mein shift ho gaya hai. Fibonacci grid ke range 100 – 161.8 – 261.8 par ek acchi workout nazar aati hai. Tuesday ke liye intraday pivots ka target 1.3012 aur 1.3036 hai, jabke bears ka target 1.2972 aur 1.2949 hai.

Fundamental analysis ke liye economic calendar par depend karna mushkil hai kyunki UK aur USA se koi significant news nahi hai. Har cheez ko apni trading strategy ke mutabiq double-check karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein interesting dynamics dikhayi hain, khaaskar hourly chart par. 50-day moving average (MA50) ke downward pressure ko break karne ke baad, ab yeh pair 100-day moving average (MA100) se potential resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Yeh resistance kisi bhi short-term mein significant upward movement ko rok sakta hai, khaaskar jab ke stochastic indicator abhi bhi upward momentum dikhara hai.

Haalan ke current uptrend nazar arahi hai, lekin recent rally ka steep incline yeh suggest karta hai ke yeh momentum shayad sustainable na ho. Market filhal ek uncertainty ki state mein hai aur apni next move ko carefully weigh kar raha hai. Is situation ne ek complex trading environment create kar diya hai jahan yeh pair shayad thodi si southern correction undergo kare, us ke baad shayad apni upward trajectory resume kare. Key resistance level jo dekhne wali hai wo 1.2645 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke pair ke liye ek critical turning point ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD ke liye Potential Scenarios

**1. Reversal aur Downward Movement:**

Pehli scenario yeh consider karna hai ke agar 1.2580 resistance level par ek reversal hoti hai. Agar is point par reversal candle form hoti hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein shift indicate kar sakta hai, jo shayad downward trend ki resumption ki taraf le jaye. Is scenario mein pair shayad lower support levels ko test kare, khaaskar agar current rally apna momentum sustain karne mein naakam hoti hai.

**2. Upward Movement ka Continuation:**

Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair resistance level 1.2780 ko break karne mein kaamyaab ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm karega. Aisi move market ke pair ko further upward push karne ke liye ready hone ka signal de sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko sustained buying pressure ko dekhna chahiye jo ke pair ko naye highs ki taraf drive kar sakta hai.

### Key Levels Jo Monitor Karni Chahiye

Kal ke price action par nazar daalain, toh pair ne apne kuch gains wapas de diye, jo suggest karta hai ke 1.2689 ke aas-paas resistance abhi bhi ek significant hurdle hai. Agar yeh level dobara test hota hai, toh yeh potential pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, 1.2600 ke aas-paas local Bollinger Band ke qareeb support bhi significant hai. Agar yeh pair is support level ke upar hold karne mein naakam hota hai aur is ke neeche break karta hai, toh market mein further downside potential nazar aa sakti hai, jahan targets lower rail 1.2705 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain.

### Conclusion

Haal ke market conditions ko dekhte hue, shayad wait-and-see approach apnaana behtar rahe. GBP/USD pair filhal ek crossroads par hai, jahan dono bullish aur bearish scenarios possible hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke market conditions ko closely monitor karain aur unke mutabiq apni strategies ko adapt karain. Key levels ko closely monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur apni strategies ko broader market trends ke sath align kar sakte hain.

اگست 20 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

پیر کو، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.2995 کے پہلے ہدف تک پہنچ گیا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نے اس آخری علاقے میں تیزی سے ترقی دکھائی، لہذا اگر قیمت 1.3080 کی سطح تک پہنچ جاتی ہے، تو اس میں کوئی فرق نہیں ہو سکتا- آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن 12-17 جولائی (0.0198) کے درمیان چوٹی کو عبور کر سکتی ہے۔



انحراف کی عدم موجودگی قیمت کو موجودہ سطحوں سے مؤثر طریقے سے تبدیل ہونے سے نہیں روکے گی، کیونکہ مئی سے جولائی تک کمزور انحراف دیکھا گیا تھا۔ اگر قیمت حاصل شدہ سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو جاتی ہے اور 1.3080 کی طرف بڑھ جاتی ہے، تو اس سطح پر ایک مختلف تکنیکی پیٹرن کی شکل میں تبدیلی واقع ہو سکتی ہے۔ متبادل طور پر، اضافہ 1.3160 تک جاری رہ سکتا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں انحراف آج قیمت کے الٹ جانے کی بنیاد ہے۔ تاہم، اس سگنل میں تصدیق کرنے والے عنصر کی کمی ہے، اس لیے قیمت کے لیے آج اضافی الٹ سگنلز بنانا شروع کرنے کے بجائے بڑھنا جاری رکھنا آسان ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ke zariye monitor karne par, price ya candle ab bhi MA MA 50 Red area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.2785-1.2787 ke daira-e-amal mein hai. Is se lagta hai ke price dobara upar ki taraf ja sakti hai aur bullish candlestick ki formation bhi iska support hai. Filhal buyers ke paas jo faida hai, aaj trading ke doran zyada tar bullish action ki umeed hai jo ke buyers ke liye hai, target unka bullish area hoga jo ke Supply resistance seller area 1.2958-1.2960 ke daira-e-amal mein hai.

Aaj Friday subah trading ke doran, buyers ne apni dominance ko barqarar rakha hai, market mein zyada taqat aur quantity ke saath wapas aaye hain, jo ke buyers ko bullish rising prices ko control karne ki ijazat de raha hai. Buyers ka bullish target lagta hai ke seller's resistance area 1.2887-1.2890 ki taraf ja raha hai aur agar ye strong penetration ke saath clear hota hai, to GBPUSD pair price ko upar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka moka mil sakta hai, agla target strong seller's supply resistance area 1.2957-1.2960 hoga. GBPUSD price movement resistance area 1.28690 ke nazdeek aa rahi hai, jo ke pehle bhi kai baar test kiya gaya hai lekin break nahi ho saka. Ye level strong selling pressure ko darshata hai, jahan sellers prices ko upar jane se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Dusri taraf, support area 1.28073 ke aas paas hai, jo ke kai baar test kiya gaya hai aur price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha hai. Ye level buyers ke buying interest ko darshata hai, jahan buyers price ko niche girne se rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Stochastic Oscillator indicator dikhata hai ke ab market overbought condition mein hai, jahan indicator line 80 level ke upar hai. Ye condition aam taur par yeh darshati hai ke prices ab bohot high level par hain aur future mein correction ya downward reversal ho sakta hai. Buy trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending buy stop order ko 1.2887-1.2890 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2957-1.2960 par ho.

Sell trading options ko tab kiya ja sakta hai agar price buyers' support area ko successfully penetrate kare aur pending sell stop order ko 1.2843-1.2840 ke daira-e-amal mein rakha jaye aur TP area 1.2815-1.2813 par ho.

GBP/USD Wave Pattern Analysis
GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi kafi complex aur ambiguous hai. Thodi dair ke liye, wave structure kaafi convincing nazar aa raha tha aur downward wave set ki formation ki baat ki gayi thi jo 1.2300 figure ke neeche levels ko target karta. Lekin, practically, U.S. dollar ke demand itni badh gayi ke yeh scenario play out nahi ho saka.

Filhal, wave pattern bilkul unreadable ho gaya hai. Mere analysis mein, main simple structures use karne ki koshish karta hoon, kyunki complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguities hoti hain. Jo ab hum dekh rahe hain woh ek upward wave hai jo ek downward wave ko override kar rahi hai, jo ke pehle ke upward wave ko override kar rahi thi, jo ke pehle ke downward wave ko override kar rahi thi (yeh sab waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Sirf ek assumption banayi ja sakti hai: ek expanding triangle jiska upper point lagbhag 1.3000 level par hai aur balancing line lagbhag 1.2600 level par hai. Triangle ki upper line tak pohnch gayi thi, aur is line ko break karne ki naakam koshish ne market ki downward waves ka formation dikhaya, jismein se pehli wave already complete ho chuki hai.

Friday ke session mein GBP/USD exchange rate 60 basis points tak barh gaya, lekin phir peaks se retreat hone laga. Na toh pehla movement aur na hi doosra puri tarah logical hai, kyunki dono waqt par news thi: subah aur dopahar mein. Mere readers ko reasonable expectation thi ke ye news events market mein reflect honge. Subah, UK mein retail sales ka report release hua, jo 0.5% month-on-month aur July mein 1.4% year-on-year increase dikhata hai. Dono values market expectations ke mutabiq thi. Lekin, pound raat bhar upar chadh raha tha aur subah tak gain karta raha. Agar expectations reality se match karti thi, to kyun? Is baar market ne dekha ke June ka figure revise karke upar kiya gaya. Pichle mahine 1.2% decline record hua tha, jo revise karke -0.9% kar diya gaya. Market ko bas ek nayi wajah chahiye thi instrument ko buy karne ke liye.

U.S. session ke dauran, U.S. mein July ke liye building permits ke number ka report release hua. Number market expectations se kam tha, lekin jaise humne dekha, dollar ne U.S. session ki shuruaat strong ke saath ki. Mere khayal se, current wave b new downward structure mein already kaafi strong hai, isliye main downward wave c ke formation ki umeed kar raha hoon. U.S. dollar ke paas last 5-6 ghanton mein girne ke reasons the, lekin yeh nahi hua. Ab wave b ne wave a ka 61.8% retrace kiya hai. Mere nazariye se, yeh sales entry ke liye achha point hai. Lekin, main yeh bhi consider karta hoon ke instrument 1.2953 tak rise kar sakta hai, jo 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level ke barabar hai.

GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ki taraf indicate karta hai. Agar upward segment trend ne April 22 ko shuru hua tha, to yeh already five-wave form le chuka hai. Isliye, kam se kam ek three-wave correction ab expect ki jani chahiye. Mere khayal se, aane wale waqt mein instrument ko sell karna advisable hai, with targets around 1.2627 mark, jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke barabar hai, aur lower.

Badi wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum complex aur extended upward corrective structure ke formation ki assumption laga sakte hain. Filhal, yeh ek three-wave pattern hai, lekin yeh evolve hokar ek five-wave structure ban sakta hai, jo complete hone mein kuch aur mahine ya usse bhi zyada lag sakte hain.