gbp/usd

**Present Market Analysis - GBP/USD**
*Aaj ke market analysis mein GBP/USD currency pair ki performance par focus kiya gaya hai. British pound (GBP) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein aaj remarkable gains dikhayi hain. Khas tor par, price ne ek downward trend ko tor diya hai aur steadily barh rahi hai, bina kisi unexpected fluctuations ke, jo ke ek nayi upward trend ke aagaz ka ishara kar sakti hai. Is waqt, set targets ab tak hasil nahi hue hain. Agar GBPUSD pair support level 1.2789 tak girta hai, jo ke ninety-ninth Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai, toh long positions consider karna faydemand ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein target 160th level hoga, jo ke 1.2869 par hai, aur hum is target ke kareeb hain.*

*Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pound apni pehli downward movement ke muqable mein, jo takreeban chaar hafton tak chali thi, ab mazid strong upward momentum dikhara hai. Agar yeh momentum barqarar rehta hai, toh price asani se apne recent peak 1.3042 ko paar kar sakti hai. GBPUSD pair ne daily aur hourly charts par wave-like patterns dikhaye hain, jo clearly ascending channel ke lower aur upper boundaries ko torte hue false breakouts ke areas banate hain. British pound ke fundamental strengthening aur US dollar ke weakening ke madde nazar, pair 1.2841 level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo historically ek significant resistance zone hai.*

*Technical standpoint se dekha jaye toh asset ne Bollinger Bands ki average line ko paar kar liya hai, jo yeh ishaara deta hai ke upward trend barqarar reh sakta hai aur pair higher price area ki taraf barh raha hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke upward momentum jari rahega aur potentially Bollinger Bands ke upper limit tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke 29th figure level ke kareeb hai, agar resistance levels 1.2890 ya 1.2899 par milte hain aur price in points ke upar rehti hai.*Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pound apni pehli downward movement ke muqable mein, jo takreeban chaar hafton tak chali thi, ab mazid strong upward momentum dikhara hai. Agar yeh momentum barqarar rehta hai, toh price asani se apne recent peak 1.3042 ko paar kar sakti hai. GBPUSD pair ne daily aur hourly charts par wave-like patterns dikhaye hain, jo clearly ascending channel ke lower aur upper boundaries ko torte hue false breakouts ke areas banate hain. British pound ke fundamental strengthening aur US dollar ke weakening ke madde

**Technical Analysis - GBP/USD**
*Subah bakhair, umeed hai ke yahan kaam karne wale mere tamam doston ki zindagi mein khushi ho. Main GBP/USD ki price movement ka technical aur fundamental nuqta-e-nazar se tajziya karna chahta hoon. Likhnay ke waqt GBP/USD 1.2827 par trade kar raha hai. Filhaal, GBP/USD US dollar ke pressure mein hai. Agar US dollar mazid mazboot hota hai, toh GBP/USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur mazeed neeche gir sakta hai. Agar US dollar kamzor rehta hai, toh GBP/USD mein mazeed taqat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Priceon ka girna humein agle waqt ke baare mein yeh batata hai ke bearish direction mein jhukao ho sakta hai, kyunki kuch trading dinon se sell trend dekha gaya hai. Aisa lagta hai ke yeh silsila jari rahega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.2478 par hai, jo ke current market cap mein strong supply aur ongoing selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Is chart mein moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi GBP/USD ke liye further sell signal de raha hai. 20 aur 50 EMA indicators ke mutabiq, correction ka signal mil raha hai aur price 20 aur 50 EMA line ke neeche hai.*


*Pichlay kuch dino mein maine mazeed mutalia kiya hai aur is natije par pohcha hoon. GBP/USD ke liye initial aur second resistance levels 1.2837 aur 1.2872 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2837 ke baad 1.2872 level ko todta hai, toh GBP/USD 1.3121 ya 1.3543 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th resistance levels hain, aur hum mazeed bullish movement dekh sakte hain. Dosri taraf, GBP/USD ke liye initial aur second support levels 1.2811 aur 1.2777 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2811 ke baad 1.2777 level ko todta hai, toh GBP/USD 1.2746 ya 1.2234 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th support levels hain, aur hum mazeed bearish movement dekh sakte hain. Technical tools ka istemal karte hue, hum aaj successful trading karenge. Magar trading se pehle hum ek achi entry lene ki koshish karenge.*

**Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:**
- *MACD indicator*
- *RSI indicator period 14*
- *50-day exponential moving average (rang: Orange)*
- *20-day exponential moving average (rang: Magenta)*

**GBP/USD Analysis Updates - 15 August 2024**
*"Barhti hui opportunities ab bhi barqarar hain"*

*Kal raat ke trading period tak, sellers ke efforts price ko neeche le jane ke liye jari the, bilkul pichlay haftay ke market trend ki tarah, jaise ke previous candlestick ke safar se zahir hota hai, jo ke 1.2664 area tak drastic tor par gir gaya tha. Last week ke trading period mein GbpUsd pair ka market situation ek moderate bearish situation ke sath close hua tha kyunki hafte ke aakhir mein price mein izafa dekhne ko mila. Is haftay ke aaghaz mein price dheere dheere upar jata hua nazar aya, magar selling pressure ka flow ab bhi mojood tha, isliye yeh pair ab tak apna izafa jari rakhne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka.*

*Jaise ke 4-hour time frame mein mapping se zahir hota hai, lagta hai ke upward trend ab bhi barqarar rehne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Ab price lagta hai ke 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar chal raha hai, meri rai mein yeh ek signal hai ke Uptrend ko jari rakhne ki koshish hai. Pichle weekend ka market trend bullish side ki taraf chalna shuru hua. Toh, ab ki market conditions ke madde nazar, meri prediction ke mutabiq GbpUsd pair mein buyer ab bhi kaafi strong hai market ko control karne ke liye. Market mein downward correction ab bhi dekhi ja sakti hai jaise ke Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ke safar se zahir hota hai jo 20 zone ko chho raha hai, jo ke seller control ka ishara hai isliye Buy signal dekhne ke liye thoda waqt lagega.*

*Agar hum pichle maheene ke market trend ko dekhain, toh market ab bhi bullish lagta hai, isliye meri prediction yeh hai ke price ke Uptrend side ki taraf chalne ka ab bhi imkaan hai agle kuch dino tak ya shayad hafte ke aakhir tak. Pichle haftay mein buyers ki kamiyabi jo ke sellers ke price ko neeche le jane ke efforts ko naakam banane mein kamiyab rahe, lagta hai ke ab bhi barqarar reh sakti hai. Lagta hai ke candlestick ko upar ki taraf uthaya jana chahta hai, ek higher zone ki taraf. Candlestick ki position lowest zone se door chali gayi hai, meri rai mein yeh ek nishani ho sakti hai ke market ke bullish side mein chalne ka bara imkaan hai. Price increase ka target shayad 1.2892 zone ke aas paas ho sakta hai.*

**Trading Recommendation:** *BUY (4 Hour Chart)*

**Position Opening Strategy:**

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Chart image se kuch areas hain jinpar tawajjo deni chahiye taake early bullish rally ka signal mil sake isse pehle ke market mazeed upar chala jaye aur position open karne ka waqt miss ho jaye, isliye Buy moment ka intezar karte waqt sabr se kaam lein. Toh agle market situation ke liye meri prediction ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke price ke upar jane ka imkaan hai. Buyers consistent tor par candlestick ko Uptrend side ki taraf lane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Buy position open karne ke liye ideal area 1.2843 price zone mein hai. Mera tajziya hai ke possible bullish journey ka target shayad 1.2894 position ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jabke doosre buyers ke liye price increase ko support karne ke mauqe bhi hain. Stoploss ka istemal karein taake loss ka risk 1.2811 area mein limit ho sake.*

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kar rahe hain. Aaj currency pair upward move kar raha hai, jese ke daily chart par dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh upward trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Sabse ahem sawal yeh hai ke yeh upward movement jaari rahegi ya phir doosri possibilities samne aa sakti hain? Chaliye, technical analysis ka mutaala karte hain taake outlook ka pata chal sake. Moving averages ek strong buy signal de rahe hain; technical indicators bhi ek bara purchase recommend karte hain, aur overall outlook yeh hai ke buying continue rahegi. Humein mazeed upward movement ka intezar karna chahiye, lekin ek faisla karna zaroori hai. Ab, chaliye is pair ke liye critical news ka jaiza lete hain. UK ne unemployment rate par data publish kiya hai, jo ek positive indicator hai. UK se doosri koi significant news nahi hai. Pair is resistance level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai; agar yeh level surpass kar leta hai aur iske upar hold karne me kamyab hota hai, toh buying target kal ke liye 1.29303 ka resistance level ho sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, US se aane wali news negative rahi hai, aur weekly US crude oil inventories release hone wali hain. Aaj ke liye, mera primary focus bullish trend par hoga, aur umeed hai ke price 1.2849 ke resistance level tak pohanch jayegi. Lekin sales ka possibility support level 1.2819 tak ho sakta hai, jise dekha jaye toh bullish trend jaari rehne ke imkanaat hain.

Thursday ko, pound-dollar pair ne hourly chart par range ke andar din ka aghaz kiya. Pehle yeh rise hui, phir drop karke 1.26534 ke support level tak pohanchi. Is support ke qareeb price ne rebound karte hue 1.27541 ke resistance level ki taraf move kiya, jise Friday ko falsely break kiya gaya. Ek false buy signal 1.28376 ke resistance level par emerge hua, jis ke baad ek sell signal aaya resistance ke breakdown ke wajah se, jo ke bhi untrue tha. Is level ke upar pair phir move kar gaya, aur doosra buy signal target kiya 1.28376 ke resistance ko.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko two-week high par rally ki, session peak 1.2873 tak barh gayi jab market sentiment ne buy button dhoond liya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation expected se zyada cool-off hui, jis ne Federal Reserve (Fed) se September mein rate cuts ke liye bets mein izafa kar diya, jab ke Cable traders ne UK unemployment claims ke multi-year peak ko nazar andaz kar diya.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures Wednesday ko dono taraf, Atlantic ke is paar bhi, release honay wali hain. Core UK CPI inflation ki umeed hai ke July mein YoY 3.4% tak neeche aayegi, jo pehle 3.5% thi. US side par, markets umeed kar rahe hain ke US inflation figures mein cool-off jaari rahega, aur July mein core US CPI 3.2% tak ease karne ki forecast hai, jo pehle 3.3% thi

GBP/USD pair apni upward movement ko Wednesday ko sustain nahi kar saka, jo ke thora hairan kun hai. British pound aam tor par kisi bhi mouqa ka faida uthata hai apni growth dikhane ke liye. Lekin, kal ka UK ka inflation report expectations se neeche raha. Dosray alfaz mein, Consumer Price Index increase hua, lekin market ke mutabiq jitna umeed thi utna nahi. Iska nateeja yeh hua ke Bank of England ke agle meeting mein rate cut ke chances thode barh gaye, jo British currency ke liye achi baat nahi hai. Doosri taraf, U.S. inflation report dopehar mein release hui, jisme 3% se 2.9% ka slowdown dikhaya gaya. Hamari nazar mein, 2.9% rate 3% se ziada farq nahi rakhta. Dono figures Federal Reserve ko monetary policy ko ease karne ka koi sabab nahi deti. Phir bhi, market ne dobara U.S. dollar ko bechna shuru kar diya, aur sirf mushkil se price ko 1.2860 ke upar close hone se bachaya.

5-minute time frame mein, Wednesday ko do sell signals generate hue, lekin dono bohot vague the. Din ki volatility sirf 49 pips thi, aur itni kam volatility ke sath, achi signals aur profit ki umeed karna unrealistic hai. Price ne do martaba 1.2848-1.2860 area se bounce kiya. Pehla bounce ke baad pair mein paanch minute ka drop dekha gaya, is liye us signal par market mein enter karne ka mouqa nahi mila. Doosra signal shaam mein form hua jab market se nikalne ka waqt tha, na ke enter karne ka.

Trading tips Thursday ke liye:
Hourly time frame mein, GBP/USD ke paas downtrend ko sustain karne ka acha mouqa hai lekin filhal yeh ek upward correction se guzar raha hai. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, jabke dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mouqa ka faida utha raha hai British currency ko kharidne ka. Market koi bhi unfavorable reports ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Kal ek naye dollar collapse ki umeed thi, jo kisi tarah se nahi hua.

Thursday ko, novice traders 1.2848-1.2860 ya 1.2791-1.2798 area se trade kar sakte hain. UK aur U.S. mein macroeconomic background mojood hoga, is liye in reports par tawajju dena zaroori hai.

5M timeframe par key levels jo consider karne chahiye wo hain: 1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145. Thursday ko, UK GDP aur industrial production reports release karega, jabke US retail sales, industrial production, aur unemployment claims ke reports dega. Halanki yeh reports sab se crucial nahi hain, lekin yeh paanch hain, is liye yeh GBP/USD pair ki movement par asar daal sakti hain puray din ke dauran.

GBPUSD Analysis:

Tuesday ko GBPUSD pair mein bohot bara bullish movement dekha gaya. Wednesday ko pair ne phir se downward movement banane ki koshish ki. Kal GBPUSD asani se mid Bollinger Band (BB) ko H1 time frame pe penetrate kar gaya, aur ab EMA50 ko H1 pe penetrate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Abhi tak, GBPUSD ko is important area ko penetrate karne mein thodi mushkil ho rahi hai. Agar EMA50 penetrate kar gaya, to selling ka mauka aur bhi strong ho sakta hai.

Agar GBPUSD 1.280 area ko penetrate kar leta hai aur H1 candle iske niche close hoti hai, to selling ke chances aur bhi dominant ho sakte hain. Ideal target ho sakta hai 1.2750 jo ki Tuesday ke big bullish movement ke pehle ka support area hai.

Filhal GBPUSD pair 1.2850 resistance ko test kar raha hai. Yeh area Thursday ke daily open ke sab se nazdeek hai, jo 1.2824 pe open hua tha. Kal ki price correction ne EMA12 aur EMA36 ko narrow kar diya. Abhi bhi price EMA200 H1 ke upar move kar rahi hai, isliye trend bullish hai. Asian session mein buyer support dubara se nazar aa raha hai aur price daily open se upar ki taraf ja rahi hai.

EMA12 aur EMA36 H1 ka upward cross bana raha hai. Agar yeh resistance break hota hai, to buy options prepare kiye ja sakte hain, jahan bullish move 1.2890 tak ja sakta hai. Agar price resistance ko penetrate nahi karti aur 1.2799 support ko break karti hai, to sell prepare kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price EMA633 H1 aur EMA200 H1 ke niche move karti hai aur EMA12 aur EMA36 H1 ka downside crossover banta hai, to weakening ka target 1.2762 tak calculate kiya ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Pair ki Tashkeel: Uplift aur Aanewale Data

Currency pair ke upward trajectory par rehne ki wajah se, recent peak 1.2780 ke aas-paas dekha gaya hai, jo Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report ke summary ke baad umeedon ke saath barh gaya hai. UK ke data sirf mid-tier Industrial Production figures tak mehdood hai, aur sabki nazar ab US ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par hai, jo Thursday ke American market session mein ahamiyat rakhte hue, investor attention ko attract karegi.

Market Sentiment Mein Tabdeeli: September Mein Fed Rate Cut ke Odds Barh Gaye Aur Aanewale CPI Data Par Nazar

Market sentiment ab GBP/USD pair ke liye kaafi behtar ho gaya hai, jo zyada tar Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke imkaan se driven hai, jo September mein kabhi bhi ho sakta hai. CME FedWatch tool ab 77% probability dikhata hai ke September mein rate reduction ho sakta hai, jo pichle hafte ke 65.6% se kafi zyada hai. Yeh upward shift largely June ke US Nonfarm Payrolls report ke underwhelming results ke wajah se hai, jo labor market ke deceleration ko signal karta hai.

September rate cut ke imkaan ke barhne ke saath, investors ki nazar US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par hai, jo Thursday ko release hogi. Core inflation, jo food aur energy components ko exclude karti hai, expected hai ke 0.2% monthly increase aur 3.4% annual rise ke saath steady rahegi. Overall inflation thodi si moderate hone ki ummeed hai, May ke 3.3% se 3.1% tak, aur monthly change bhi minimal hone ki ummeed hai.

H1 Chart GBP/USD ke Key Levels Aur Indicators Potential Bullish Breakout Ki Nishani Dikhate Hain:

US Dollar ke muqablay mein key 1.2800 level ko maintain karna crucial hai. Pair Inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) formation se breakout ke liye momentum gain kar raha hai, jiska neckline 1.2750 ke aas-paas hai. Agar is pattern se successful breakout hota hai, to yeh bullish reversal ko signal karega, jo pair ko upar le ja sakta hai.

Supporting This Bullish Outlook: 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.2742 ke aas-paas hai, nears-term trend ko positive suggest karta hai. Additionally, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein enter kar chuki hai. In levels ke upar sustained move upward momentum ko reinforce karega GBP/USD pair ke liye.

Good evening, dear forum fellows aur visitors jo ke duniya ke har kone se hain. Aap sab kaise hain aaj? Umeed hai ke aap theek hain aur apne trading activities ka maza le rahe hain. Aaj main GBPUSD pair ka analysis karne ki koshish karunga, jo ke filhal trend line ke neeche hai. Zyada maloomat ke liye, chaliye attached chart of GBPUSD par nazar daal lete hain.

H4 timeframe analysis:

Agar hum current price movement dekhein, toh dekh sakte hain ke aaj GBPUSD currency pair ke quotes girne mein jaldi nahi kar rahe, aur iska bilkul ulta, yeh apni girawat ko buy back kar rahe hain jab ke 1.2860 ka level is growth ko rok raha hai. Lekin jaise hi quotes is level ke upar consolidate karenge, growth continue hogi aur kam se kam kal ke highs ko update karegi. Mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.2890-1.2900 tak upar jaa sakti hai, yeh kaafi possible lagta hai. Filhal price trendline ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, isliye main aapko suggest karunga ke aap clear signal ka intezar karein. Agar aaj price trendline 1.1261 ko break karti hai, toh yeh upar ki taraf aur barhegi, jo ke upar mention kiya gaya level tak jaa sakti hai. Lekin agar price trendline ko break nahi karti, toh yeh decline continue karegi. Mere khayal se, decline ka signal tab aayega jab pair 1.2754 ko break karega. Is waqt, hum sirf intezar kar sakte hain. Bas itna hi aaj ke liye, umeed hai ke yeh information aapke liye faida mand hogi aur apne opinions hum se share karna na bhoolain.

GBP/USD forex market ke liye price action techniques ka istemal karte hue, abhi hum GBP/USD currency pair ki ongoing price assessment kar rahe hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke 1.2799 level ko surpass karne ke baad upward trend ne momentum hasil kar liya hai. Is waqt primary resistance 1.2899 par maujood hai, lekin GBP/USD price ek critical juncture par hai. Waqt batayega ke yeh kis tarah unfold hota hai. United States se aane wale negative fundamental data ke bais bullish trend ka faida nazar aa raha hai. Ab key yeh hai ke GBP/USD ki demand steady rahe, jo ke jaldi se pair ko 1.2899 mark tak push kar sakti hai. Selling ke hawale se, outlook unchanged hai. Agar price ne 1.2799 se neeche ka thaos move banaya, to yeh 1.2699 tak gir sakta hai.

Ek ascending channel form ho raha hai, aur price is waqt uske andar hai. Aaj ke din pair rise kar raha hai aur jaldi se channel ke upper limit tak pohonch sakta hai, jo ke mumkin hai 1.2864 ke level par ho. Lekin, kyun ke price ne is target ko thora miss kiya, to ek chhoti upward move abhi bhi mumkin hai towards channel ki upper boundary. Is level ko hit karne ke baad, ek reversal price ko channel ke lower border tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.2808 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, yeh wazeh hai ke bulls ne uptrend ko push kiya hai, halan ke kuch factors temporarily bullish momentum ko slow kar sakte hain. Price abhi 25% resistance level 1.2856 ke just neeche hai. Yeh woh jagah hai jahan bulls hain, aur bears yahan control lene ki koshish kar sakte hain. Lekin, yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke bears is waqt kamyab hoon, aur bullish direction intact rehne ke chances hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka evaluation kar rahe hain. Daily aur hourly chart pe GBP/USD ki current situation precarious hai, kyun ke yeh asset ab resistance zones ke kareeb hai jinhon ne pehle bhi is pair ko bearish direction mein drive kiya tha. Jo log aaj ke bullish trend ka faida uthana chahte the, shayad unke liye abhi dair ho gayi hai, kyun ke abhi ka scenario risky hai. Yeh instrument pull back kar sakta hai, jo ke aaj ke daily candle ko Bollinger Band ki moving average ka ek false breakout bana sakta hai, jo asset ke average price range ko reflect karta hai. Kal ka din aaj ke anomalous candle ko correct kar sakta hai, aur yeh kal ke candle ke upper tail ke sath align kar sakta hai. Yeh situation 80% retracement Fibonacci scale pe la sakti hai, aur 1.2799 level ek prime zone ban sakta hai bearish trend-based correction ke liye, uske baad further growth ki potential ho sakti hai.

Pound shayad is growth ko drive na kare, halaan ke GBP/USD ka upward movement hai. Broader market sentiment zyadatar US dollar ko sell karne par focused lagti hai. Ek critical observation jo main aksar consider karta hoon yeh hai ke agar trading ke liye ek benchmark—jaise ke kisi level ko pehli dafa test karne ke baad rebound—agar likely na ho, aur price apne movement ko resume karne se pehle khud ko correct kar le, toh woh benchmark apni reliability kho deta hai. Yeh hi kuch aaj GBP/USD ke sath hua. Main ne sell entry level 1.2813 pe identify kiya tha, magar pair ne pehle local maximum 1.28115 ko touch kiya phir decline kar ke 1.2777 tak aa gaya. Yeh move complete pullback suggest karta hai, jo ke bullish direction mein ek zigzag pattern ka stage set kar raha hai, jo ke 1.28115 ke top break hone se confirm hua.

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karengay. GBP/USD mein recent growth ka sabab ek kamzor US dollar tha, jo ke producer price index ke ek fundamental report ke neeche-se-umeed natayij ke zariye aaya. Yeh currency pair bullish trend mein move kar raha hai, aur ascending channel ki lower boundary ko cross karke, daily hourly chart par moving average se upar chala gaya hai, isliye yeh upward movement ka silsila shayad jaari rahega. Halanki, thode bohat corrections ho sakte hain, lekin agla target psychological level 1.2909 hai, aur qareebi future mein significant resistance 1.3001 par approach kar sakta hai, jo ke Bollinger indicator ki upper band se indicate hota hai. Aaj humne pound/dollar pair mein substantial growth dekhi, jo ke daily time frame par ek prominent green candle se zahir hoti hai. H4 chart par focus karein to, price ne pehle ek descending channel se breakout kar liya tha, aur iski upper boundary 1.2769 par cross ki thi.


Yeh breakout ek mazboot signal bana buyers ke liye, jisne pair ko bullish trend mein 1.2879 tak push kiya, jahan yeh is waqt trade ho raha hai. Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, chahe current level se ho ya thode pullback ke baad, indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke upward trend continue hoga, aur shayad local maximum 1.3049 ka retest bhi ho. Daily chart par pound/dollar pair abhi bhi ascending price channel ke andar hai, aur British pound ne apna local maximum 1.3049 ko update kiya hai, jo ke further buying ka ek aur strong signal hai. Filhal, British pound 1.2879 par trade ho raha hai, aur given ke ek teesri growth wave bullish channel ke andar form ho rahi hai, upward trend channel ki upper boundary 1.3109 tak jaane ke imkaanaat hain. Aaj ke din ki substantial growth weak economic data se fuel hui hai jo ke US se aayi, jo ke GBP/USD ke bullish outlook ko reinforce kar rahi hai.

GBP/USD currency pair din ke session ke doran moderate decline ke sath trade hua. British pound phir se pressure mein aa gaya hai, aur morning mein UK se mixed statistics saamne aayi. Yeh statistics zyada tar expectations ke mutabiq thi, lekin iske bawajood currency pair ne downward movement dikhayi. Iska sabab US dollar ki strength hai, jo apni khoyi hui positions ko wapas hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai. US se positive data ke bawajood, dollar apni value ko barhane mein kaamyab ho raha hai, jiski wajah se GBP/USD pair neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke is instrument ke liye downward correction aage bhi continue karegi, lekin overall trend ka resume hona bhi expected hai. Pair abhi bulls ke control mein hai, aur ek potential reversal point 1.2765 ke level par dekhne ko milta hai. Agar price is level ke upar chali jaye, to main is level ke upar buy karunga, jiske targets 1.2865 aur 1.2915 honge. Yeh levels mujhe future mein price ke upward movement ki taraf ishara dete hain.

Lekin, ek aur scenario bhi possible hai, jahan pair continue karke 1.2765 mark ke neeche break kar sakta hai aur consolidate ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, to 1.2745 aur 1.2715 levels tak price move karne ka raasta khul jayega. In levels ke baad, main phir se long positions ke liye entry consider karunga. Yeh levels mujhe future mein price ki upward movement ke liye potential support points lagte hain, jo mujhe long positions ke liye plan banane mein madad karenge.

GBP/USD Pair
M5 Chart Analysis:

1 - Pound 4-hour chart par abhi upper band ke sath movement banane ki koshish kar raha hai. Ek touch ho chuka hai aur dono bands outward expand ho rahe hain, jo ke price ke upar jane ki continuation ka signal de raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke market mein momentum barh raha hai aur agar yeh trend continue hota hai, to price upar ja sakti hai. Ab humein dekhna hoga ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi, kyunki yeh market ke short-term direction ko determine karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Is waqt, market ka trend aur indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

2 - Awesome Oscillator abhi positive zone mein weakening dikha raha hai. Agar yeh indicator soon zero ke neeche cross kare aur negative zone mein active growth show kare, to yeh price decrease ke liye ek strong signal ban sakta hai. Lekin agar positive zone mein naya increase hota hai, to yeh quotes ke badhne ka signal ho sakta hai. Oscillator ki movement aur signals ko dekhna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh price trends aur reversals ko identify karne mein madad karte hain.

3 - Is situation mein buying ka entry point 1.28676 level par rakha ja sakta hai. Agar price is level par active breakthrough aur consolidation show karti hai, to humein price ke 1.28722 level tak badhne ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Yeh level price ke upar jane ki confirmation dega aur long positions ke liye favourable condition banayega.

4 - Selling ka entry point 1.28588 level par rakha ja sakta hai. Agar price is level par girti hai, to 1.28517 level tak decrease ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Yeh level price ke niche girne ka signal dega aur short positions ke liye potential entry point banayega.

Yeh analysis M5 time frame ke liye hai, jahan trend aur indicators ke base par buying aur selling points ko identify kiya gaya hai. Accurate decisions lene ke liye market movement aur indicators ko closely dekhna zaroori hai.

Recent trading mein, GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ke US session ke doran kuch fluctuations dekhe. Teen din ki notable rally ke baad, jo pair ko 1.2870 level tak le gayi, jo July 2023 ke baad se highest point hai, ab lagta hai ke momentum thoda kam ho gaya hai. Filhal, pair 1.2860 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo din ke liye 0.05% se thoda decline reflect karta hai. Yeh slight dip US Dollar (USD) ki strength ki minor resurgence ko dikhata hai, lekin is stage par significant depreciation ka koi indication nahi hai.
Fed Officials ke Statements aur September Rate Cut ke Market Expectations:

Is hafte market ki nazar Federal Reserve officials ke statements par hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne inflation ke recent progress ke bare mein kuch reassurance diya, jo San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne bhi support kiya. Dono officials ne kaha ke future rate cuts ke decisions meeting-by-meeting basis par liye jayenge aur timing ke bare mein koi definitive guidance nahi di. Yeh cautious stance market expectations aur trading patterns ko affect kar raha hai.

CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, traders ab September mein rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Market ne Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke 18 September ko meeting ke liye federal funds rate mein kam se kam 25 basis points ki reduction ki 100% chance price ki hai. Yeh expectation monetary easing ki zaroorat aur economic stability support karne ke broader belief ko reflect karti hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ko kuch key resistance levels ka samna hai jo iski trajectory ko influence kar sakte hain. Immediate resistance 1.2991 par hai. Is level par breakthrough hone par July 19, 2023 ke high 1.3042 aur potentially July 18, 2023 ke peak 1.3127 ko test kiya ja sakta hai. Inke aage, next significant hurdle last year's high 1.3143 hai. Agar selling pressure prevail karta hai, to pair ko July 12 low 1.2902 ke neeche girna padega jo reversal ka signal dega. Aise scenario mein, pair June 12 ke peak 1.2861 ko support ke roop mein test kar sakta hai aur phir July 10 ke low 1.2777 tak gir sakta hai.

Robust three-day advance ke baad, pair ab 1.3000 mark ko target kar raha hai. Halankeh pair 12-month high ke kareeb hai, lekin July 27, 2023 ke high 1.2994 ke neeche hai. Current bullish momentum strong hai, lekin overbought hone ke signs bhi dikhai de rahe hain. Overall strength of the uptrend ke madde nazar, kuch traders 80-level momentum indicators ko extreme threshold ke roop mein consider kar rahe hain.

GBP/USD Analysis: Aur Ahem Data Ka Dekhna

Budhwaar ko subah trading mein, pound $1.28 tak gir gaya, jo ke is mahine ke shuruat mein hit kiye gaye teen haftay ke high se door hai. UK inflation data ke baad Bank of England ke rate cut ke ummeed mein izafa hua. Saalana inflation 2.2% thi, jo ke umeed ke mutabiq thi magar expectations se kam thi. Services inflation bhi 5.2% tak gir gayi, jo ke central bank ke forecast 5.6% se kam hai. Core inflation bhi zyada dheere hui. September mein ek aur 25 basis point rate cut ki probability 36% se barh kar 47% ho gayi hai.

Traders ab saal ke end tak do aur quarter-point rate cuts par ghoor kar rahe hain. Is dauran, is hafte ki shuruat mein aayi economic data ne British labor market ki mazbooti ko dikhaya. June tak teen mahine mein unemployment rate 4.2% tak gir gaya, jo ke umeed se kam tha, aur wage growth 5.8% se 5.4% tak dheere hui, magar Bank of England ke forecast se thodi zyada thi.

US session mein, bulls ne GBP/USD ko 1.2868 ke resistance level tak push karne ka mauka paaya, jabke Thursday ko aane wale important US aur dollar packages ki intezar hai. British economic data ne jald hi 1.2820 ke level ke aas paas stabilize kar diya. Dusri taraf, Bank of England ke representatives ne UK ke market interests ki abnormal paralysis ko zaroori samjha aur kehna tha ke market

developments ka reversal ab bhi valid hai.

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair downtrend se bahar nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke resistance levels 1.2890 aur 1.3000 tak pohanch kar ho sakta hai. Wahi, bearish forces ke trend ko regain karne ke liye 1.2750 support level ki taraf move karna crucial hai. Aaj, GBP/USD exchange rate UK economic growth data release se affect hoga.

US dollar ka trend US retail sales data, US weekly initial jobless claims, aur Philadelphia Industrial Index release se affect hoga. Isse pehle, global central bank officials ne future mein policies ko tighten karne ka signal diya hai.