جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

### GBP/USD Pair Analysis

GBP/USD pair ko dekhte huye, shaam ki positions mein recent recovery relatively modest value dikhati hai, jo ke bears mein full confidence ki kami ko indicate karti hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke price apne pehle ke high levels pe wapas nahi aayegi lekin 1.2650 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai.

#### Historical Context
2023 ke end pe, pound ka growth shuru hua, initially driven by the weakening of the US dollar. Yeh dollar weakness ne sab currencies, including pound, ko impact kiya. Iske ilawa, UK's approach to COVID-19 restrictions under Prime Minister Boris Johnson ne bhi pound ki strength ko influence kiya.

#### Impact of COVID-19 Policies
Prime Minister Johnson ke announcement ke UK Christmas tak restrictions impose nahi karega aur subsequently rules ka slow implementation ek significant role play kiya. Despite infections ke barhane ke bawajood, Johnson ka Christmas message active vaccination ki importance ko emphasize karta tha taake restrictions se bacha ja sake. Unhone public, khas tor pe vaccination ke opposed logon, ko urge kiya ke wo vaccination karwayen, stating that UK's ability virus ko manage karne mein heavily widespread immunization pe rely karti hai.

#### Current Outlook
Is historical context aur current market sentiment ko dekhte huye, GBP/USD pair 1.2650 ke upar stability find kar sakti hai. Shaam ki recovery suggest karti hai ke bears maujood hain, lekin unki influence price ko significantly lower push karne ke liye strong nahi hai. Pound ka previous growth, driven by dollar weakness aur UK's COVID-19 policies, is stabilization ka foundation provide karta hai.

### Conclusion
Near term mein, GBP/USD pair 1.2650 ke upar stabilize hone ki likely hai. Historical factors, jese ke UK's response to COVID-19 aur dollar ka weakening, pair ke dynamics ko influence karte hain. Lekin, strong bearish confidence ki kami limited downside potential suggest karti hai.

### GBP/USD: Price Study

American session mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne achanak se kaafi zyada rise kiya. Agar isko calculate karun, to yeh around 90 pips ka rise tha. Iska natija yeh hua ke ab highest H4 resistance jo ke price 1.2893 pe tha, wo break ho chuka hai. CPI release ka impact aisa lagta hai ke US dollar ko pound sterling ke against weaken kar gaya. Ab dekhta hoon ke movement dheere dheere decline kar rahi hai, halaan ke abhi thodi si hi. Kal GBP/USD trading 1.2914 pe open hui thi. Aapka opening position waqai zyada higher thi. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze karun to jab se candle ne resistance price 1.2843 ko break kiya, GBP/USD movement barhti gayi.

Aksar aisa hota hai ke resistance break hone ke baad pehle ek downward correction hoti hai. For example, agar yeh waqai hota hai, to GBP/USD kam az kam 1.2840 area tak gir sakta hai. Is area mein ek pattern banne ke chances hain jo GBP/USD ko dobara rise karwa sakta hai. Magar dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD is area ko bhi break kar deta hai, to aur zyada neeche girne ke chances hain.

H1 timeframe mein evening star candle pattern ka emergence is baat ka confirmation hai ke market ab jaldi reversal mode mein move karega. Ab GBP/USD neeche girne laga hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze karun, to candle position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo yeh batata hai ke GBP/USD trend abhi bhi strongly bullish hai. Lekin, candle ab Kijun Sen line ke paas aa rahi hai. For example, agar GBP/USD thoda aur neeche gir jata hai, to ek nayi intersection create ho sakti hai jo GBP/USD ko aur neeche le ja sakti hai.

Stochastic indicator bhi yeh show karta hai ke GBP/USD ke fall hone ke chances hain kyunke line ka direction abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Current stochastic position abhi bhi middle mein hai, isliye overbought ya oversold nahi kaha ja sakta. Magar agar market ko dekha jaye, to clearly condition overbought zone mein enter kar chuki hai.

### Conclusion
American session mein GBP/USD ka significant rise aur H4 resistance ka break hona market sentiment aur CPI release ka impact show karta hai. Technical analysis se yeh lagta hai ke GBP/USD mein ek downward correction hone ke chances hain. Ichimoku aur Stochastic indicators bhi price movement ke further decline ke indications dete hain. Magar abhi bhi market condition ko dekhte hue cautious approach adopt karni chahiye.

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Jumay ke din, British Pound ka recent surge disappointing retail sales data ke baad ruk gaya. Pehle toh Pound ne zyada currencies ke against gains kiye, lekin Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke report ke baad Pound significant tor pe weaken ho gaya. Data ne yeh reveal kiya ke June mein monthly retail sales ki girawat anticipated se zyada thi, contracting by 1.2%. Yeh expected 0.4% dip se bohot zyada tha aur pichle mahine ke 2.9% growth ke contrast mein tha. Annual figures bhi concern wali picture paint karti hain, retail store revenue 0.2% gir gaya jab ke similar growth ki expectations thi. Noticeable baat yeh thi ke motor fuel bechne wale retailers ke ilawa, sabhi retailers ki sales revenue sharply drop hui. Yeh data, jo consumer spending ka key indicator hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke British households recent interest rate hikes ke weight ko struggle kar rahe hain jo Bank of England ne implement kiye hain.

### Economic Context
Yeh situation aur complicate hoti hai kyun ke ongoing uncertainty hai ke August mein rate cut hoga ya nahi. Individuals relief chahte hain high interest rates se, lekin Bank of England officials apni policy ko loosen karne se hesitant hain. Unka yeh stance is cheez se influence hota hai ke inflation pe abhi tak progress nahi hui, especially US services sector mein jahan core CPI flat hai despite efforts to control it.

### Wage Growth and Inflation
Bank of England ke dilemma mein recent average earnings data bhi hai for the May quarter. Yeh figure, jo wage growth ka crucial measure hai aur services sector mein inflation ko fuel karta hai, usne higher-than-expected growth show ki despite slowdown ke forecasts. Yeh persistent wage growth suggest karta hai ke inflation stubbornly high rahegi, aur continued policy normalization ki zarurat hai taake price pressures ko check rakha ja sake.

### GBP/USD Exchange Rate Analysis
GBP/USD exchange rate bhi Pound ke decline ko mirror karta hai, sharply gir ke around 1.2920 pe aagaya. Yeh dip tab aayi jab pair ne Wednesday ko new yearly high of 1.3044 touch kiya, signaling a potential pause in the uptrend. Daily candlestick chart pe bearish belt pattern ka formation bhi ek possible reversal hint karta hai. Lekin definitive shift in trend abhi tak unconfirmed hai kyun ke 20-day EMA ka upward trajectory near 1.2850 suggest karta hai ke uptrend abhi bhi intact hai.

### Technical Indicators
14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) expected hai ke support find karega around 60.00 pe after dropping from slightly overbought levels. Upar ki taraf, GBP/USD ko resistance face karna padega two-year highs near 1.3140. Conversely, bulls ko support milega March 8th high of 1.2900 pe. Agle kuch din crucial honge determine karne ke liye ke kya Pound apna climb resume kar sakta hai ya weak consumer spending aur ongoing inflation concerns ke pressures ko succumb karega.

### Conclusion
Recent economic data aur technical indicators GBP/USD pair ke movement ko shape kar rahe hain. Retail sales data ne market sentiment ko jarur affect kiya hai, lekin fundamental aur technical analysis dono suggest karte hain ke potential upside abhi bhi hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur economic developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

### GBP/USD Pair Review

British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan currency pair ne do din tak downward correction ka rukh apnaya, aur 1.2923 ke support level tak losses ko extend kiya. Analysis likhne ke waqt yeh support level par tha. Is week ke trading ke dauran, yeh 1.3044 ke resistance level tak jump kar gaya, jo ke ek saal ka highest level tha. Us waqt direct trading recommendations page par maine sales ke liye wait karne ko recommend kiya tha taake profits bana sakein. Sterling Dollar ke recent gains is wajah se aaye ke traders ne Bank of England se August mein interest rates cut ki expectations ko kam kar diya after latest economic data.

### Economic Calendar Ke Natayej
Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, inflation rate June mein 2% par stabilized raha, jo expectations ke mutabiq 1.9% slow hone se zyada tha. Services inflation bhi decline nahi hui aur 5.7% par stabilized rahi, jo Bank of England ki expectations 5.1% se zyada thi. Central bank ke rate cut ke bets August mein around 33% par gir gaye, jo CPI release se pehle 49% the. Wage growth 5.7% tak slow hui, jo 2022 se lowest level hai, lekin ab bhi high level par hai. Unemployment rate 2021 ke highest level 4.4% par stabilized raha. Bank of England ke chief economist Hugh Bell ne confirm kiya ke service price inflation aur wage growth strong hain.

### Forex Market Trading
Forex market trading ke mutabiq, recent wage data conclusive evidence nahi hai interest rate cut ka August mein, lekin pound sterling ka upward trend euro aur dollar ke against consolidation phase mein shuru ho sakta hai. GBP/EUR exchange rate news ke baad 1.19 ke level ke neeche gir gaya jab ke Britain mein wage figures high aur unemployment rates low rahe. GBP/USD exchange rate recent gains ko pare karke slightly above 1.30 stabilized raha.

### British Office for National Statistics
British Office for National Statistics ne kaha ke employees ke annual average regular income (excluding bonuses) 5.7% tak pohonch gayi, jo expectations ke mutabiq thi. Jab bonuses include kiye gaye, number bhi 5.7% tak tha, jo expected tha. Forex market ka reaction weak tha kyun ke data market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Hum believe karte hain ke expectations ka significant beat pound ko new highs tak push kar sakta tha due to already overbought condition of the pound's rally.

### Sterling Dollar Forecast
Sterling ke risks downside ki taraf the before the report, aur slight miss bhi July rally mein profit-taking lead kar sakti thi. Employment rate Britain mein 19,000 tak rise hui May ke three months mein, jo market ke expected 18,000 se slightly zyada thi. Is wajah se unemployment rate 4.4% par stabilized raha, jo expected thi.

Labor market se clear message hai: labor market tight hai, aur wages Bank of England ke 2% target ko sustainably meet karne ke liye zyada high hain. Do mahine tak headline inflation 2.0% tak rahi, lekin economists agree karte hain ke inflation phir se rise karegi as wages business margins aur demand ko steady rakhti hain.

### GBP/USD Exchange Rates
GBP/USD pair RSI 70 exceed hone ke bawajood overbought territory mein hai, aur pullback ya consolidation likely hai. Office for National Statistics ne kaha ke UK job vacancies economy mein 3.3% tak last quarter mein gir gayi. Job vacancies do saal se decline ho rahi hain, lekin pre-pandemic levels se ab bhi well above hain.

Bank of England ka heading hai interest rates cut August 1 ko without needing “irrefutable evidence” to pull the trigger: services sector inflation bohot high hai, labor market strong hai aur wages high hain. Reducing interest rates aise circumstances mein strange hoga aur bank ki credibility par questions uthayega. Market prices ab show karti hain ke investors believe karte hain ke September zyada credible start date hai rate cutting cycle ke liye, lekin is ke liye August data ko zarurat slowing conditions show karni padegi.

### Conclusion
Overall, pound high interest rates ke support se sustain rahega jo investors ko zyada returns ke liye attract karta hai compared to elsewhere. Psychological resistance of 1.3000 sabse important rahegi bulls ke liye GBP/USD currency pair ka direction control karne ke liye, aur current upward channel ka formation support level 1.2820 break hone se affected hoga. Aaj sterling British retail sales numbers announce hone se react karega, aur koi important American data nahi hai.

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Is waqt GBP/USD pair 1.3004 par trade kar raha hai aur yeh lagataar bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh downtrend kai trading sessions se barqarar hai jo ke pair par sustained selling pressure ko zahir karta hai. Aayiye dekhte hain ke kin technical aspects ne is bearish sentiment ko drive kiya aur key levels aur indicators ko pehchante hain jin par nazar rakhni chahiye.

#### Moving Averages

**MA100 (100-day Moving Average)**:
- MA100 ne downward slope liya hua hai, jo ke bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh long-term moving average ka consistent decline market sentiment ke negative hone ko extended period tak zahir karta hai. Traders aksar MA100 ko longer-term trend gauge karne ke liye dekhte hain aur is waqt is ka trajectory continued bearishness ka signal de raha hai.

**MA50 (50-day Moving Average)**:
- MA50 bhi downward trend kar raha hai aur MA100 ke neeche position mein hai, jo ke bearish crossover ko confirm karta hai. Yeh alignment medium-term trend ko long-term downtrend ke sath sync mein hone ko zahir karta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko aur zyada weight deta hai.

#### Relative Strength Index (RSI)

- RSI 30 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo aksar oversold territory consider kiya jata hai. Jab ke yeh short-term bounce ya consolidation ke liye suggest karta hai, yeh prevailing bearish momentum ko bhi confirm karta hai. Traders ko RSI aur price action ke darmiyan kisi bhi divergence par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

#### Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Recent downtrend par Fibonacci retracement levels apply karte hue potential support aur resistance levels ko identify kar sakte hain:
- 23.6% retracement level 1.3060 ke aas-paas hai, jo current price ke qareeb hai aur immediate resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai.
- 38.2% retracement level 1.3150 par hai aur 50% retracement level 1.3250 par hai. Yeh levels corrective bounce ke waqt dekhne layak hain.

#### Ichimoku Cloud

Ichimoku Cloud ek comprehensive view deta hai support aur resistance zones ka:
- Price cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Leading span lines (Senkou Span A aur B) bhi decline kar rahi hain, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce karti hain.
- Cloud apne aap ko narrow kar raha hai, jo potential consolidation period ko suggest karta hai. Lekin jab tak price cloud ke upar break nahi karti, bearish sentiment barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai.

#### Support aur Resistance Levels

**Support Levels**:
- Immediate support 1.2980 par hai, jo ke recent mein multiple times test hua hai. Is level ke neeche break karne par pair next major support 1.2900 ko target kar sakta hai.
- Aage ki support 1.2800 par hai, jo ke ek significant historical level ke sath coincide karti hai.

**Resistance Levels**:
- Immediate resistance 1.3060 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level) par hai.
- Additional resistance levels 1.3150 aur 1.3250 par hain, jo ke 38.2% aur 50% Fibonacci retracement levels ke mutabiq hain.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein phansa hua hai, jahan multiple technical indicators sustained selling pressure ko confirm karte hain:
- Downward-sloping MA100 aur MA50 long-term aur medium-term bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain.
- RSI oversold territory mein strong bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai lekin short-term bounce ka bhi imkaan suggest karta hai.
- Fibonacci retracement levels key resistance points provide karte hain jo corrective moves ke liye dekhne layak hain.
- Ichimoku Cloud analysis bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai, jahan price cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur cloud apne aap ko narrow kar raha hai.

Current technical setup ko dekhte hue traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur potential reversal signals par nazar rakhni chahiye. Immediate support 1.2980 aur resistance 1.3060 crucial levels honge dekhne ke liye. Agar 1.2980 ke neeche break hota hai to downtrend accelerate ho sakta hai, jab ke 1.3060 ke upar move corrective phase ka aghaz signal kar sakta hai.

### GBP/USD H1 Analysis

Agar GBP/USD pair 1.2950 ka level break kar ke iske upar stable hoti hai, to yeh ek buy signal hoga. H1 timeframe mein stochastic indicator already oversold zone mein hai aur yeh aur zyada strong ho sakta hai. Agar hum 1.2990 ka level breakout karte hain to yeh buying ka mauka hoga. Agar 1.3010 ka range break hota hai aur price iske upar settle hoti hai, to consolidation continue hogi aur buying ka imkaan hoga.

Ek chhota sa false breakout 1.2900 ka bana aur uske baad consolidation continue ho sakti hai. Badi buyers ke firm pressure ke saath, jo din ba din aur strong hota ja raha hai, post-correction growth continue ho sakti hai aur yeh abhi horizon par hai. Jab market Monday ko open hogi, hum buying entries ke liye dekh rahe honge.

Mujhe yeh baat thodi hairani hui ke aaj GBP/USD pair grow nahi kar payi. Kam az kam, yahan ek rollback expected hai. Hum dekhte hain ke bears weaken ho rahe hain. Aaj decline itna bold nahi tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke Monday ko growth hogi. Morning distribution 1.2937-1.2949 ka Monday ko complete ho jayega. Isliye, jo aaj ke decline ke liye ready nahi the, unko apna paisa wapas mil jayega.

### GBP/USD H4 Analysis

Main apna raaye different rakhne ki ijaazat doonga. Haan, agar hum 1 ka level break karte hain to yeh discuss karna jaldi hoga ke agle kya expect karna chahiye. Aaj ke US session ka intezaar karte hain, magar yeh agle hafte ke GBP/USD pair aur four-hour chart ke liye ek rough forecast hai. Hum clearly dekhte hain ke British pound 1.29400 level ke neeche merge ho raha hai, jo ke next level 1.28400 ke liye rasta khol raha hai. Isliye humara target neeche hai.

GBP/USD pair ab is forecast ko agle hafte ke liye implement kar rahi hai, halan ke main ise accurate samajhta hoon considering current week ke end ko. Aur yeh dekhte hue ke main Euro/USD pair par short hoon, to main dollar ki strength consider kar raha hoon.

### GBP/USD Pair Review

Thursday ko GBP/USD ne ek minor bearish correction face ki aur ascending trendline ko test kiya. Ab yeh dekhna padega ke price is trendline ke aas-paas kaisa react karti hai, magar zyada imkaan yeh hai ke British currency ek nayi rise show karegi. Yeh bhi noteworthy hai ke pichle chand mahino mein hourly timeframe par paanch ya chhay ascending trendlines form hui hain. Har baar jab price in lines ke neeche settle hui, toh downward trend follow nahi hua. Isliye, iss waqt trendline ke neeche consolidation ek downtrend guarantee nahi karti.

Kal UK mein unemployment aur wages ke data publish hue. Lagbhag saare reports forecast values se match kiye, isliye market ka reaction chhota raha aur poore din ki volatility approximately 50 pips thi. British pound apni excellent position maintain kar raha hai, aur yeh kehna kaafi mushkil hai ke aisa kya ho sakta hai jo market ko pound ko sell karne par majboor kare. Saath hi, pound ka decline logical development hai. Trend change ke clear signals zaroori hain.

5-minute timeframe par price ne koi trading signal form nahi kiya. Lagbhag chhay ya saat ghanton tak pair support area 1.2980-1.2993 ke aas-paas edge lower hui. Aakhir mein price ne is area ko overcome kiya, toh din ke end tak novice traders ko sell signal mil gaya. Traders is signal ko execute kar sakte the despite the late hour, kyunki ab signal par rely karna ya expect karna ke pair pehle target ko ek din mein reach kare, mumkin nahi hai.

### Trading Tips for Friday

Hourly chart par GBP/USD promising signs show kar raha hai downtrend form karne ke liye, magar local upward trend abhi bhi intact hai. Pair bullish bias show kar raha hai aur illogical movements exhibit kar raha hai. Iss waqt pound sterling apne latest local high ko surpass kar chuka hai aur fundamental backdrop ko ignore kar raha hai. Market almost har report ko British currency kharidne ka bahana bana raha hai.

Friday ko pound sterling apni downward movement extend karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, kyunki pair 1.2980-1.2993 area ko overcome kar chuka hai. Magar hum pound se sharp fall expect nahi kar rahe hain.

5M chart par key levels hain:
- 1.2605-1.2633
- 1.2684-1.2693
- 1.2748
- 1.2791-1.2798
- 1.2848-1.2860
- 1.2913
- 1.2980-1.2993
- 1.3043
- 1.3102-1.3107
- 1.3145

Aaj UK retail sales report publish karega, jo ke din ka ahem event hoga. Agar humne pichle kuch dinon mein strong movements nahi dekhi, jab macroeconomic background zyada strong tha, toh Friday ko aisi movements dekhne ka bhi zyada imkaan nahi hai.

### GBP/USD Pair Review

Monday ko GBP/USD currency pair ne apne positive trading ko resume kiya, jo ke iske upward trend ko continue kar raha hai. Din ke aakhir tak significant rise secure nahi kar paya, magar pair ne koi pullback avoid kar lia, jo market ke persistent interest ko showcase karta hai. Din bhar ke trading activity strong underlying demand for GBP ko indicate karti hai, jo ke various technical aur fundamental factors se buoyed hai.

Morning session mein thoda downward movement attempt hua, magar market ke buying pressure ne isko counter kar dia. Yeh early dip aksar traders ke profit-taking se attributed hoti hai jo recent gains ko capitalize karna chahte hain. Magar GBP/USD pair ki resilience overall market sentiment ko bullish rakhti hai. Yeh resilience traders ke liye crucial indicator hai, kyunki yeh signify karta hai ke koi bhi downward movement buying interest se mil sakti hai, jo long positions hold karne walon ke liye safety net provide karti hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis GBP/USD ke bullish outlook ko support karti hai. Key indicators, jaise ke relative strength index (RSI), dikhate hain ke pair abhi overbought territory mein nahi hai, jo ke upward movement ke liye ab bhi room indicate karta hai. Additionally, moving averages aligned hain jo upward trend continuation ko support karte hain. 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke upar hai, jo ek classic bullish signal hai, jise "golden cross" kehte hain. Yeh alignment suggest karta hai ke long-term trend ab bhi positive hai aur short-term fluctuations temporary hain.

### Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental side par, kuch factors pound ki strength ko contribute kar rahe hain. UK's economic data relatively robust hai, jisme GDP growth, employment rates aur consumer spending jaise positive indicators shamil hain. Yeh factors pound ke liye strong foundation provide karte hain, kyunki yeh ek healthy aur growing economy ko reflect karte hain. Bank of England ki monetary policy stance bhi pound ke liye supportive rahi hai, inflationary pressures ke response mein potential interest rate hikes ke hints ke sath. Higher interest rates aksar foreign investment attract karte hain, jo currency ki demand ko increase karte hain.

### Geopolitical Factors

Geopolitical factors bhi GBP/USD dynamics mein role play karte hain. UK ke relative political stability doosre regions ke muqablay mein pound ko investors ke liye zyada attractive option banati hai jo safer assets dhoond rahe hain. Post-Brexit ongoing trade negotiations aur agreements ne uncertainty ko gradually reduce kiya hai, jo UK ke economic relationships ke outlook ko clearer banati hai. Yeh reduction in uncertainty investor confidence ko bolster karne mein madad karti hai.

### USD Performance

U.S. dollar ka performance bhi GBP/USD pair ko impact karta hai. Recently, dollar ne weakness dikhayi hai due to various factors, including mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ka cautious stance regarding future interest rate hikes. Ek weaker dollar generally GBP/USD pair ko stronger banata hai, kyunki pound ki relative value increase hoti hai.

### Conclusion

In conclusion, GBP/USD currency pair ka Monday ko positive trading ko resume karna, despite significant rise achieve nahi karna, market ke ongoing bullish sentiment ko highlight karta hai towards the pound. Technical indicators, robust economic data from the UK, supportive monetary policy from the Bank of England aur geopolitical stability sab is positive outlook ko contribute karte hain. Jabke short-term fluctuations aur profit-taking attempts ho sakte hain, overall trend upward hi rahega, supported by strong buying pressure aur favorable fundamentals. Traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein is dynamic market environment mein.

### GBP/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart Analysis

GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) ka H1 time frame chart par analysis dikhata hai ke is instrument ke liye ek profitable sales contract banane ki high probability hai. Market entry point ko select karne ka process kuch criteria involve karta hai. Sabse zaroori cheez yeh hai ke trend direction ko senior H4 time frame par establish kiya jaye, taake market sentiment ko sahi se samjha ja sake. Iske liye, apne instrument ka chart 4-hour time frame par open karein aur fundamental rule ko check karein - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movements match karni chahiye.

Pehle principle ko fulfill karne ke baad, hum yeh maante hain ke aaj ka market humein short position open karne ka ek behtareen mauka de raha hai. Phir, analytics mein hum teen indicator signals par focus karte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum Hama aur RSI trend indicators ke red hone ka wait karte hain, jo yeh key evidence hai ke sellers buyers se zyada strong hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum sell order open karte hain. Transaction ka exit magnetic surface indicator ke sign ke mutabiq hota hai.

Aaj ke din, signal action ke liye sabse likely levels 1.28631 hain. Ab yeh dekhna baqi hai ke jab magnetic level reach hota hai to price kaise behave karti hai, aur yeh tough decision lena hota hai ke market mein position ko agle magnetic level tak maintain karna hai ya profit ko lena hai. Potential earnings ko miss na karne ke liye, trolls ke sath engage ho sakte hain. Aur phir, jab hum upward zigzag follow karte hain, downward trend continue hone ka wait karna sirf waqt ka sawaal hai, yeh 3 se 2 weeks tak lag sakta hai, yeh sab is baat par depend karta hai ke Abbas aur America ke sath kya ho raha hai. Agar America Abyss mein gir gaya to downward march cancel ho sakta hai.

### Entry Points aur Indicators

Market entry point ko select karte waqt kuch basic principles ko follow karna zaroori hai. HamaSystem aur RSI Trend indicators ka red hona sell signal ko confirm karta hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke sellers dominate kar rahe hain aur buyers weak hain. Jaise hi yeh confirmation milta hai, hum sell order ko execute karte hain. Magnetic_Levels_Color indicator se exit point ko decide karte hain, jo profit taking ke liye best time ko indicate karta hai.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD ka H1 time frame chart ek clear strategy propose karta hai jo profitable sales contract banane ki high probability rakhta hai. Is strategy ko follow karte waqt trend direction ko H4 time frame par establish karna zaroori hai aur HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Yeh approach long-term aur short-term trades dono ke liye useful hai, aur market sentiment ko sahi se samajhne mein madad karti hai.

### Risk Management

Risk management bhi zaroori hai. Position ko agle magnetic level tak maintain karte waqt yeh dekhna hota hai ke market kis tarah behave kar raha hai. Agar market ke trends aur signals change hote hain, to timely exit karna zaroori hai taake losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Trading decisions ko informed aur strategic rakhna success ke liye essential hai.

### GBP/USD Pair Ka Technical Analysis

Doosre din bhi, British pound aur US dollar ka GBP/USD pair ek downward correction path mein chal raha hai. Yeh losses support level 1.2923 tak pohanch gaye hain, jab ke analysis likhte waqt yeh haalat thi. Is hafte ke trading mein, yeh resistance level 1.3044 tak jump kar gaya tha, jo ke ek saal ka sabse ucha level hai. Us waqt, direct trading recommendations page par maine selling ki advice di thi. Sales operations ka wait karke profit banane ki strategy thi. Sterling dollar ki recent gains traders ke Bank of England ke interest rate cut ko August mein kam expect karne ki wajah se aayi hain, jo ke latest economic data ke baad hua.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, June mein inflation rate 2% par stabilize hua, jab ke expectations thi ke yeh 1.9% tak slow ho jayega. Services inflation decline nahi hui aur 5.7% par stabilize rahi, jo ke Bank of England ke 5.1% expectation se zyada thi. Central bank ke rate cut bets August mein CPI release se pehle 49% se kam hoke 33% par aa gaye. Meanwhile, wage growth 5.7% tak slow hui, jo ke 2022 ke baad se lowest level hai, magar phir bhi high level par hai. Unemployment rate 2021 ke highest level 4.4% par stabilize hui. Pichle hafte, Bank of England ke chief economist Hugh Bell ne confirm kiya ke service price inflation aur wage growth strong hain.

Haqeeqat yeh hai ke sterling ke risks downside par the report se pehle, aur ek slight miss bhi July rally mein kuch profit-taking ka sabab ban sakti thi. Ad ke mutabiq, Britain mein employment rate May tak ke teen mahine mein 19 hazaar se badh gaya, jo ke market ke 18 hazaar expectation se thoda zyada tha. Yeh unemployment rate 4.4% par stabilize hone ka sabab bana, jo expected tha.

Labor market se message clear hai: labor market tight hai, aur wages bohot zyada hain ke Bank of England apne 2% target ko sustainably meet kar sake. Do mahine lagatar headline inflation 2.0% tak pohanchi, magar economists yeh maante hain ke inflation ab wapas badhne lagegi kyunki wages business margins par pressure bana rahi hain aur economy mein demand steady hai.

### GBP/USD Forecast Aaj:

Jaise ke pehle mention kiya tha, 1.3000 ki psychological resistance bulls ke liye sabse important rahegi ke woh GBP/USD currency pair ke direction ko control kar sakein, aur current upward channel ki formation support level 1.2820 ke break hone par affect hogi. Aaj, sterling British retail sales numbers announce hone par react karega, aur koi important American data nahi hai.

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Yeh analysis GBP/USD pair ki current situation aur uske potential movements par roshni daalta hai, jo traders ko informed trading decisions lene mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis: A New Defeat for the Bulls

GBP/USD ne doosre din bhi downside correction face ki, aur writing ke waqt support level 1.2923 tak gir gaya. Is hafte ke trading mein, yeh 1.3044 ki resistance level tak jump kar gaya, jo ke is saal ka sabse uncha level hai. Us waqt maine direct trade suggestion page par selling ki advice di thi aur profit-taking ke liye wait karne ka kaha tha. Pound ki recent rise is wajah se aayi kyunki traders ne Bank of England se August mein rate cut ki expectations ko kam kar diya tha latest economic data ke baad.

Economic calendar ke mutabiq, June mein inflation rate 2% par steady rahi, jab ke expectations thi ke yeh 1.9% tak slow ho jayegi. CPI release se pehle Bank of England ke August mein rate cut ki bets 49% se gir kar 33% par aagayi. Wage growth 5.7% tak slow hui, jo ke 2022 se sabse lowest level hai, lekin phir bhi high hai. Unemployment rate ne 2021 ka naya high 4.4% touch kiya. Pichle hafte, Bank of England ke chief economist Hugh Bell ne confirm kiya ke service price inflation aur wage growth strong hain.

Forex Market Trading ne kaha ke non-farm payrolls data jo abhi release hua hai, yeh August rate cut ka irrefutable evidence nahi hai, lekin pound ka euro aur dollar ke against upward trend consolidation period mein jaa sakta hai. British wages ke high rehne aur unemployment ke low rehne ki news ke baad pound-to-euro exchange rate 1.19 se neeche gir gaya. GBP/USD exchange rate ne recent gains ko give up kar diya aur slightly above 1.30 tha.

Jaisa ke maine pehle mention kiya tha, 1.3000 ki psychological resistance bulls ke liye sabse important level hai ke woh GBP/USD pair ke direction ko dominate kar sakein, jab ke pair ka current bullish channel formation 1.2820 support break ke saath underway hai. Aaj British pound UK retail sales data release hone par react karega, jab ke US se koi important data nahi aaraha.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD pair ki recent movement aur trading dynamics market ki current sentiment aur economic indicators ko reflect karti hain. Trading strategies ko yeh dekh kar adjust karna chahiye ke market kaise react kar raha hai aur key support aur resistance levels par kaise behave karta hai. Fundamental data aur economic releases ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

### GBP/USD Pair Ki Technical Analysis:

June se GBP/USD currency pair ko closely monitor kar raha hoon, jisme initially bearish trend dekha gaya. Yeh downward movement tab tak rehti jab tak pair ne 100-period simple moving average (SMA) zone ko break nahi kiya. July ke shuruat mein, market dynamics shift hui, buyers ne control lena shuru kiya aur prices gradually rise karne lagi.

#### Market Overview:

Shuruati bearish trend mein consistent selling pressure tha, jo price ko lower drive kar raha tha. Yeh trend tab tak continue hui jab tak ek significant technical milestone achieve nahi kiya gaya - 100-period SMA ka breakthrough. Yeh moving average aksar dynamic support ya resistance level ka kaam karta hai, aur iski breach se market sentiment mein shift ka indication milta hai.

#### Technical Analysis:

1. **100-Period SMA Breakthrough:** 100-period SMA ka breakthrough ek critical event tha. Yeh moving average, jo pehle resistance level ka kaam kar raha tha, convincingly breach kiya gaya, jo bearish trend ke end ka signal tha. Yeh break aksar market behavior ko change kar deta hai, traders isse bearish se bullish sentiment mein shift ke tor par interpret karte hain.

2. **Price Action in July:** July ke shuruat se GBP/USD pair recovery ke signs dikhane lagi. Buyers gradually control le rahe hain, aur price ko higher push kar rahe hain. Yeh shift market participants ke behtareen confidence ko indicate karta hai, jo favorable economic data ya British pound ke improving sentiment se driven hai.

3. **Support and Resistance Levels:** Next key resistance level jo monitor karna hai woh 1.3100 ke around hai, jo ek psychological aur technical barrier hai. Agar price is level ke upar break kar le, toh yeh further bullish momentum ka signal ho sakta hai, jo higher resistance zones ko target kar sakta hai. Downside pe, 100-period SMA, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, crucial hoga. Agar price is level ke niche drop karta hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko negate kar sakta hai aur bearish sentiment ki return indicate kar sakta hai.

#### Fundamental Factors:

1. **Economic Data:** Recent economic data from the UK, jaise improved GDP figures, positive employment reports, aur stable inflation rates, ne pound ko support kiya hai. Yeh indicators robust economic recovery ko suggest karte hain, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye bullish backdrop provide karte hain.

2. **Monetary Policy:** Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy stance pair ko influence karte rahegi. Agar rate hikes ya tightening measures ka hint milta hai, toh yeh pound ko aur support kar sakta hai. Conversely, BoE ke dovish signals pair ki upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain.

3. **US Dollar Dynamics:** US dollar ka performance, jo Federal Reserve policy aur economic data se influenced hota hai, bhi crucial role play karta hai. Weaker US dollar, jo aksar dovish Fed policies ya negative economic data ki wajah se hota hai, GBP/USD pair ke rise ko support kar sakta hai.

#### Conclusion:

GBP/USD currency pair ek bearish trend se bullish outlook mein transition kar chuki hai, following the breakthrough of the 100-period SMA. Yeh technical shift, coupled with positive economic indicators from the UK, ne prices mein gradual rise lead kiya hai. Key resistance levels, jaise 1.3100, aur 100-period SMA se support ko monitor karna essential hoga future price movements anticipate karne ke liye. Traders ko economic data releases aur central bank communications pe nazar rakhni chahiye, jo market sentiment ko drive karenge aur pair ki direction ko influence karenge.

### Fundamental Analysis

Friday ke London session mein, pound sterling (GBP) apne zyadatar rivals ke muqablay mein decline hoti rahi. United Kingdom (UK) ke Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne June ke liye lower-than-expected Retail Sales statistics release ki, jiski wajah se British pound aur zyada decline hui. Data ke mutabiq, monthly retail sales 1.2% ke tezi se decrease hui. Analysts ne 0.4% decrease predict ki thi, jabke May mein 2.9% rise dekha gaya tha. Retail shop revenues annual basis pe 0.2% decrease hui, jo ke projected growth rate ke barabar thi. Sales revenues dramatically har merchant ke liye gir gayi siwaye unke jo gasoline sell karte hain.

Retail sales mein significant drop, jo ke consumer spending ka ek crucial indicator hai, yeh indicate kar sakti hai ke log Bank of England (BoE) ke increased interest rates ke saath adjust karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar rahe hain. BoE ke August rate reductions ke uncertainties ke madde nazar, logon ko apne increased interest payments se nijat milna mushkil hai.

Service sector mein persistent inflation aur sticky US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki wajah se BoE policymakers policy normalization ki taraf move karne mein hesitate kar rahe hain. Aise mein, BoE rate reduction ke expectations August mein nahi barh rahi hain, jo ke Average Earnings data ke anticipated slowdown ki wajah se hai, jo ke pay growth aur service inflation ko drive karta hai. Yeh development isliye hai kyunki present pace of growth abhi bhi zyada hai jitna ke price pressures ko contain karne ke liye zaroori hai.

### Technical Analysis

Pound sterling rapidly correct hui, US dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2930 tak pohanchi. GBP/USD pair mein decline dekha gaya jab upward momentum Wednesday ke new yearly high 1.3044 ke baad falter hui. Daily basis pe, Cable ne ek bearish Belt Hold candlestick pattern create kiya, jo ke often ek substantial advance ke baad hota hai. Lekin yeh akela bearish reversal prove nahi karta.

Uptrend intact hai based on 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upward slope ke near 1.2850. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) somewhat overbought hone ke baad drop hui aur predict ki gayi hai ke 60.00 ke around support milega. Positive side pe, Cable ka crucial resistance zone two-year high ke close, jo ke 1.3140 ke around hai, hoga. March 8 ke high at 1.2900 pe pehle ka resistance level bulls ke liye crucial support hoga pound sterling mein.

### Conclusion

Overall, GBP/USD pair ka recent decline retail sales data aur economic indicators ki wajah se hai jo BoE ke interest rate policy ko influence karte hain. Technical indicators show karte hain ke uptrend abhi intact hai lekin price ke movements closely monitor karni zaroori hai for informed trading decisions.

### GBP/USD Analysis in Roman Urdu

GBP/USD ke liye, kal mujhe umeed thi ke yeh 1.3065 se gir kar support level 1.2970 tak jayegi. Maine breakout ka andaza lagaya tha, lekin yeh bhi mana tha ke pehli koshish mein yeh support tod nahi payegi. Dheere dheere, magar woh is support ko push karke todne mein kamyab hogaye aur pair 1.2970 ke niche consolidate kar gayi, jiski wajah se 1.2860 support level tak girne ke chances barh gaye. Pehle, mujhe umeed thi ke yeh pair 1.3065 tak dobara grow kar payegi, aur breakout ke baad 1.3150 tak pohnchegi. Ab tak sirf girawat dekhne mein aayi hai aur yeh 1.2860 tak continue kar rahi hai. Shayad aaj northward reversal na ho, kyunki correction pe kafi waqt lag chuka hai aur jo goals kal set kiye the, woh achieve nahi hue.

Aaj hum subah ke waqt 1.2970 resistance level ke niche hain. Main decline ke continuation ko exclude nahi karta, lekin dekhte hue ke downward impulse slow hai aur kafi time se chal raha hai, agar hum choti time frames ko dekhein, toh rollback ka waqt hai. Rollback kam az kam 1.2970 resistance tak ho sakta hai, aur agar woh isse tod nahi paate, toh din ke dauran further decline 1.2860 tak ho sakta hai. Agar woh 1.2970 resistance ko tod lete hain, toh yeh wapas growth 1.3065 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Lekin yeh mumkin hai ke aaj woh 1.3065 tak na pohnch payen. Zyada chances hain ke 1.3065 ka breakout aur growth 1.3150 tak naye week mein dekhi jaye. Isi tarah, agar decline 1.2860 tak hoti hai, toh mujhe naye week se reversal ki bhi umeed hai.

Aaj ya toh 1.2970 resistance ka breakout hoga aur growth 1.3065 tak hogi, ya hum 1.2970 resistance ke niche rehte hue 1.2860 tak pohnchne ki koshish karenge, jo zyada mumkin hai.


#### Technical Indicators

- **Support Level**: 1.2970 (key level for a potential rollback)
- **Resistance Level**: 1.3065 (key level for potential growth)
- **Downward Target**: 1.2860 (potential continuation of decline)
- **Potential Growth Target**: 1.3150 (subject to breakout)

Aaj ka trading din crucial hai. Agar price 1.2970 ko todti hai, toh growth expected hai. Agar nahi, toh decline 1.2860 tak continue karegi. Market ka sentiment aur upcoming economic data closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

### GBP/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart Analysis in Roman Urdu

**H1 Time Frame Chart:**

Market mein bearish correction ho rahi hai aur uptrend uske baad continue karega. Agar 1.2950 range ka breakout hota hai, to aap buy kar sakte hain. Iske baad agar 1.2800 ka breakout hota hai, to bhi uptrend continue karega. 1.2948 range ka break hona mushkil hai, lekin agar price is level ke upar strong hoti hai, to yeh buying signal hoga.

Sellers ne 1.2897 range tak price ko niche kiya hai aur agar is range ka breakout hota hai, to yeh selling signal hoga. Shayad 1.2895 ka test hoga aur yeh buy signal banega. Agar 1.2930 range ka breakout hota hai aur price iske upar strong hoti hai, to yeh buying ko continue karne ka signal hoga. 1.2775 ka false breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur uptrend continue karega.


**Key Levels for H1:**

- **Support Levels:** 1.2950, 1.2800
- **Resistance Levels:** 1.2948, 1.2897
- **Buy Signals:** Breakout and strengthening above 1.2950, false breakout at 1.2775
- **Sell Signals:** Breakout below 1.2897

**H4 Time Frame Chart:**


**H4 Time Frame Chart Analysis:**

Mujhe pound mein kuch unexpected nahi laga kyunki kafi targets the aur hum uptrend mein move continue kar rahe hain. 1.2895 ko remove kiya gaya aur 1.2790 ka false breakout hua, uske baad uptrend continue raha. Hum 1.2950 ke kareeb pohanch gaye hain aur keh sakte hain ke aglay targets 30 mein hain, khaaskar jab hum north ki taraf pressure bana rahe hain.

Lekin zaroori hai ke ek acha rollback dekha jaye, aur yeh US ke sath trading ke liye important hai kyunki aaj sirf week ka end nahi, balki PPI bhi mil rahi hai. Main ab bhi north ki taraf dekh raha hoon aur agar price 1.2820 area tak jati hai, to main wahan buy karne ki opportunity dekhta hoon.

**Key Levels for H4:**

- **Support Levels:** 1.2950, 1.2820
- **Resistance Levels:** 1.2895, 1.2790
- **Buy Signals:** Reaching 1.2950, pressure towards north, opportunities at 1.2820

In dono time frames ke analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke market mein uptrend ki direction hai aur buying opportunities ka wait karna chahiye. Fundamental factors aur key levels ko monitor karna trading decisions mein madadgar hoga.