gbp/usd

As traders, hum rozana market ka analysis karte hain taake ache entry points dhund sakein jo aaj ke trading plans ke sath align karte hain. Bolang relaxed rehta hai jab posting karta hai, jo usay consistent aur increasing bonuses earn karne mein madad karta hai har hafte. Magar pichla hafta us ke liye mushkil tha due to some floating losses in market trading, aur woh umeed karta hai ke is hafte acha munafa kama sake taake withdrawal (WD) kar sake. Ise waja se, hum trend confirmation pattern ka intezar kar rahe hain. Hum jaise chhote traders ne 1.2645 par buy kiya, aur kuch pehle ke buyers ne bhi is level par entry li thi, apni stop losses ko 1.2715 par rakhte hue. Kuch traders bohot zyada confident the aur apni stop losses is level se neeche set ki.

Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke market ka 80% market makers se bana hai. Is scenario mein, market makers chhote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein by hitting their stop losses. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne yeh kiya, jis ne direction ko sideways se downtrend mein badal diya. Fundamentally, GBP/USD pair, aur doosre pairs, ongoing war in Ukraine aur a potential Fed rate hike ke concerns ki wajah se vulnerable hain. Is ne GBP/USD pairs ke movement ko aur bhi depress kiya hai. Ise ke saath, scheduled news ya high-impact fundamental events significant volatility cause kar sakti hain GBP/USD market pairs mein. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne identify kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals, jaise ke JOLTS Opening, aane wali hain. Agar results favorable hote hain, to yeh US dollar ke strength mein izafa kar sakte hain, jis se GBP/USD pair weaken ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD ka primary trend upward hai, magar M15 chart pe sellers ne high of 1.2992 se downward move initiate kiya, jo ke bearish start line pe 1.2949 pe pohanchi. Aaj, is level ne ek aur breakdown dekha, aur agar sellers iske niche consolidate karte hain, toh woh downward momentum ko extend kar sakte hain pehle impulse zones 1.2934 aur 1.2906 tak, aur in levels se potential growth attempts ho sakti hain. GBP/USD ke liye sabse qareebi significant resistance 1.2964 hai, jo ke sellers ke liye critical nahi hai. Bulls sirf tabhi upward movement ki resumption anticipate kar sakte hain agar GBP/USD descending fan ke last corner aur resistance 1.2983 ke upar stabilize hoti hai. Sellers ke liye sabse favorable conditions mein, British pound ke liye 29th figure se quick exit unlikely hai. Magar, hafta abhi shuru hua hai, aur market dynamics shift kar sakti hain.
Aaj subah, price ne upward move karne ki koshish ki, jo ke ascending channel ke upper border tak pohanchne ka signal de raha tha. Magar, price reverse hui aur upward ke bajaye downward chalti rahi. Yeh cost decline karti rahegi, aur shayad ascending channel ke lower border pe 1.2919 tak pohanch jayegi. Jab yeh lower level tak pohanchegi, toh pair apna decline rok sakti hai, reverse kar sakti hai, aur upper limit of the ascending channel 1.3060 ko target karte hue upward movement shuru kar sakti hai. Pehle, maine British pound ke four-hour chart ko discuss kiya tha, aur ab main M30 chart ko analyse karna chahta hoon. Ascending price channel half an hour mein break hui thi, jo ke local maximum 1.2989 se rebound kar gayi thi. Uske baad, British pound ek corrective decline mein chali gayi, aur jab main yeh analysis likh raha hoon, pound/dollar pair 1.2952 pe trade ho rahi thi. Ek rebound support line se hua hai, aur technically, yeh corrective growth indicate karta hai.
GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar). Sab ko salaam! Main H1 time frame pe instrument forecast use karke paisa banane ka ek bohot acha mauka dekhta hoon. Iske liye, hum market movement ko determine karne ki koshish karenge aur market mein entry lekar maximum profit kamaenge. Sab se pehle, yeh important hai ke hum preferred direction ka sahi taayun karein (long ya short transactions open karna), isliye hum apne instrument ka chart 4-hour time frame ke sath kholenge aur dekhenge ke humara current trend kya hai. Humein lagta hai ke market aaj humein long buy transaction mein enter karne ka ek acha mauka de raha hai.
Next, hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators apne kaam mein implement karenge. H1 time frame pe Huma aur RSI trend indicators bhi bullish mode mein hain - dono indicators blue aur green hain aur market mein dominating buyers ko dikhate hain. Isliye, hum purchase transactions confidence ke sath open karenge. Hum position se exit magnetic level indicator ke sign par karenge. Aaj ideal levels kaam karne ke liye yeh hain - 1.30410. Aur phir hum price behavior ko chart par magnetic level tak reach karte hue observe karenge aur decide karenge ke market mein further profit increase karne ka aim lena zyada appropriate hai, ya already earned profit ko lena zyada munasib hai. Aap trailing stop tool (sliding stop order, trolling) use kar sakte hain, jo MT4 trading terminal mein available hai.

GBP/USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai.
Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.
GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.
Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par asar andaz hoga.

GBP/USD ne Thursday ko ek choti si bearish correction face ki aur ascending trendline ko test kiya. Halanki, current situation aisi hai ke price trendline ke around kisi bhi tarah react kar sakti hai, lekin sab se zyada mumkinat yeh hai ke British currency mein ek nayi udaan dekhne ko mile. Yeh note karne ki baat hai ke pichle kuch mahino mein, hourly timeframe par paanch ya chhe ascending trendlines bani hain. Har baar jab price aise kisi line ke neeche settle hui, ek downward trend follow nahi hui. Isliye, ab trendline ke neeche consolidation ka matlab yeh nahi ke downtrend shuru hoga.
Kal, UK mein unemployment aur wages ke data publish hue. Lagbhag saare reports forecast values se match kar rahe the, isliye market ka reaction in reports par chhota tha, aur din ki overall volatility bhi lagbhag 50 pips thi. British pound achi positions par bana hua hai, aur abhi yeh kehna mushkil hai ke kya market ko pound bechne ke liye provoke kar sakta hai. Saath hi, pound ki girawat sab se zyada logical development hai. Trend change ke clear signals zaroori hain. Price ne 5-minute timeframe par koi trading signals form nahi kiye. Lagbhag chhe ya saat ghante tak, pair 1.2980-1.2993 ke support area ke around niche chal raha tha. Price ne is area ko overcome kiya, to din ke end tak, novice traders ko ek sell signal mila. Traders is signal ko late hour ke bawajood execute kar sakte hain, kyunki ab signal par rely karna ya pair ke ek din mein pehle target tak pahunchne ki umeed karna mushkil hai.
Trading Tips on Friday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD downtrend form karne ke promising signs dikhata hai, lekin local upward trend ab bhi intact hai. Pair bullish bias dikhata hai aur illogical movements continue kar raha hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ne apne latest local high ko paar kar liya hai aur fundamental backdrop ko ignore karta rehta hai. Market bhi almost kisi bhi report ko British currency kharidne ke excuse ke tor par use karta hai.
Friday ko, pound sterling apni downward movement extend karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, kyunki pair ne 1.2980-1.2993 area ko overcome kiya hai. Halanki, pound se ek tez girawat ki umeed nahi hai.
GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal tashkeel kiya. Euro ki tarah, keemat ne 1.2748 ke darje ko paar karne ki koshish 5-6 ghanton tak ki, jab yeh kamiyab hui, pair tezi se nahi badha kyun keh volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Magar aap long position raat bhar tak rakh sakte the, kyun keh pair kamzor harkat dikhata hai aur ek din ke andar signal ko anjam dene ka aitmaad na karna na mumkin tha

Good afternoon. Currently, there is little of interest happening on the GBP/USD chart. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the release of inflation data from the UK, which is expected to have a significant impact on the currency pair. Following this, attention will shift to key economic news from the United States, particularly regarding the dollar. This sequence of events is likely to trigger notable movements in the GBP/USD price. For now, however, the British pound is trading within a narrow sideways price range of 1.29640-1.2990. There is a strong likelihood that this range will be broken today, initiating more dynamic price action. The current trend for the GBP/USD pair remains upward, suggesting that there could be further growth for the pound. This upward momentum has been driven by a combination of factors, including market sentiment and economic indicators favoring the pound. However, predicting precise movements in the forex market is always challenging due to the multitude of influencing variables. The upcoming UK inflation data is particularly critical, as it will provide insights into the health of the British economy and could influence the Bank of England's monetary policy decisions. Should the inflation data come in higher than expected, it might bolster the pound further, reinforcing the upward trend. Conversely, lower-than-expected inflation figures could dampen the bullish sentiment and lead to a reversal.

In the context of the broader market, the upcoming US dollar news will also play a crucial role. Key indicators such as employment data, consumer confidence, and other economic reports can significantly impact the dollar's strength. If the dollar shows signs of strengthening, it could cap the potential gains of the GBP/USD pair or even reverse its current upward trajectory. On the other hand, any signs of economic weakness in the US could weaken the dollar, providing further support for the pound. Traders are therefore advised to keep a close watch on these economic releases. The interplay between UK inflation data and US dollar news will likely dictate the near-term direction of the GBP/USD pair. Until these data points are released, the currency pair is expected to continue trading within its current range, albeit with the potential for breakout movements. It is essential for traders to remain vigilant and responsive to these developments, as they could present both opportunities and risks. As always, sound risk management and staying informed about economic indicators will be crucial for navigating the upcoming market movements in the GBP/USD currency pair.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis: Monday Focus

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karain ge. Friday ko yeh pair bearish movement mein tha aur week ka end ek bearish correction ke sath kiya. Forex pe Pound ka exchange rate US Dollar ke against 1.2918 par tha. Daily chart pe dekha jaye to kuch dinon ke liye sideways trend ka andaza hai. Monday ke liye technical analysis suggest karta hai ke bullish trend dominate kar sakta hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators buying recommend kar rahe hain aur overall output bhi ek solid buy indicate karta hai. Significant news US ya UK se expected nahi hai, isliye sideways movement ke chances zyada hain. Buy positions 1.2929 ke resistance level tak pohanch sakti hain, jabke sell positions 1.2879 ke support level tak ja sakti hain. Week ke end pe prices 1.2918 par thi aur moving averages indicate karte hain ke short-term sideways trend ho sakta hai. Prices ne week ke seller pressure se rebound liya. Weekly forecast ke mutabiq, British Pound US Dollar ke against grow karne ki koshish karega aur 1.2979 ke resistance ko test karega. Yeh potential rise British Pound ke liye market mein positive turn ka hope deti hai. Agar British Pound US Dollar ke against 1.2999 area ko cross kar leta hai to yeh continued rise ko indicate karega aur potential target 1.3099 levels ho sakta hai. Lekin agar quotes wapas down bounce hoti hain, to decline ka target 1.2859 ke around ho sakta hai. Is tarah lateral movement ke strong chances hain, jab tak koi significant news nahi aati.

GBP/USD Ka Tadbeer: Mazeed Kamzi Ka Intezar


Jab ke kuch analysts ne GBP/USD jodi ke liye aik bullish trend ki sambhavna ka izhar kiya hai, mai ehtiyat se kaam lena pasand karta hoon. Mojudah market conditions aur haal hi ki keemat ke action ke aitebaar se, aik mustaqil tezi ke mustaqbil ko tasdeeq karna jaldi lagta hai. Balkay, humein aaj ke U.S. session ka intezar karna chahiye mazeed wazehai ke liye. Yahaan aane waale hafte ke liye aik jhalak dikhata hoon char ghante ke chart ke matabeq.


Takneeki Tahlil




Mojudah Keemat Ka Action:

GBP/USD jodi ne upar ki hesiyat ko barqarar rakhne mein kathinai ka samna kiya hai. Haal ki koshishen ke darj mein, buland honay ki ka shiddat se muaqqaf mila hai, jo keemat ko ko peeche le gaya hai. Yeh batata hai ke market mein taqatwar bullish yaqeen ki kami hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

Char ghante ke chart par, jodi ab aik ahem support level ko 1.2850 ke aas paas test kar raha hai. Yeh level pehle istemal mein darusti faraham ki hai, lekin muttayyan tests isay kamzor kar sakte hain. Agar yeh support toot jata hai, to agla ahem level 1.2750 ke aas paas hai, aik mazeed mazboot support zone. Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.3000 ke aas paas note ki gayi hai, jo aik saharki level hai jo torne mein mushkil sabit hui hai.

Moving Averages:

Char ghante ke chart par 50-period aur 200-period moving averages ahem indicators hain. Mojudah main jodi dono moving averages ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ki taraf ishara karti hai. Agar 50-period MA 200-period MA ke neeche se guzar jata hai, yeh bearish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq karega.

Relative Strength Index (RSI):

Char ghante ke chart par RSI 40 ke qareeb ho raha hai, is batata hai ke jodi ab tak oversold territory mein nahi hai. Yeh case karta hai mazeed giravat ke liye jagah bina foran ulte hone ke khatre se.


Bunyadi Tahlil


UK Ki Ma'aashyati Nazar:

British pound ko UK se mila misal maashi daleel ke sabab se dabaav mein daal diya gaya hai. Inflation, dheeli growth aur Brexit ke ird gird shakook continue kar rahe hain. Haal ki data releases ne GBP mein aik mustaqil rally ke liye moazzam sahara faraham nahi kiya.

US Dollar Ki Taqat:

US dollar ma'zool meghwar sabit raha hai, mazbot maashi indicators aur Federal Reserve ke qaayem monetary policy se himayat hasil kar raha hai. Jab tak US ki maashi halat mazboot dikhate rahenge, dollar taqat mehfooz rahega, jo GBP/USD jodi par dabaav daalega.

Tadbeer aur Strategy


Chand Din Ka Mansoobah:


Mojudah takneeki aur bunyadi manzar ke peesh e nazar, mai mazeed giravat ki tasdeeq karta hoon GBP/USD jodi ke liye. Fori target 1.2750 ke aas paas support level hai. Agar yeh support tor jata hai, to ghareeb giravat ke dawar ko khool sakta hai, taqreeban 1.2600 tak.

Trading Strategy:


Traders ko short positions ka tajziyah karna chahiye, khaaskar barqarar hone ki koshishon par jo key resistance levels ke neeche girti hain. Daakhil honay ke points 1.2900 se 1.2950 ke range mein ho sakte hain, sath hi stop-loss order 1.3000 resistance level ke just upar set karne se risk ko kya behtar manage kar sakte hain.

Risk Management:


Anqareeb aane waale maashi releases aur news events ko muntazim tor par monitor karna zaroori hai, khaaskar US se. Non-farm payrolls, inflation reports aur Federal Reserve ke announcements jaise ahem data USD par asar dal sakte hain, jis se GBP/USD jodi par asar pad sakta hai. Mazboot risk management strategies ka amal kar ke, jese ke munasib stop-loss aur take-profit levels set karne se market ke zor se palatav ke darmiyan chalne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai.

Nihayat


Jabke kuch market me umeed hai aik bullish trend ke liye GBP/USD jodi ke liye, mojudah takneeki aur bunyadi tajziyah is ke khilaf hai. Jodi ko mazeed giravat ka samna karna parega, ahem support levels ko qareeb se test kiya jayega aas paas. Traders ko short positions ka tajziyah karna chahiye, mukhtalif maashi indicators ko nazar andaaz karte hue aur potential market volatility ko kam karne ke liye moaafiq risk management strategies istemal kar ke.

Aaj ke U.S. session ka intezar karna aur market ke tazad ko qaraar dena, tajziyah karne ke liye shara'ee hoga. Yeh ihtiyaati taur par tajziyah karne se traders ko GBP/USD market mein zyada taweel siyaasi ko samait kar, fursat ka mawadat hasil karne mein madad milegi.

Price Action Signals: GBP/ USD

GBP/USD currency pair ki price action hamari analysis aur guftagu ka mawad hoga. Dono pound aur dollar similar behavior dikha rahe hain. Zaroori khabron ki kami ke bawajood, zyada active movement ab bhi range ke andar honi chahiye. Abhi volatility kam hai support tak slide ke baad. Level ka ahmiyat ke baraks, main kal 1.2890 todne ka shak kar raha tha; agar yeh toot jata hai to sellers ko majboot kar deta hai aur ek palat confirm karta hai. Shayad thoda aur neeche ho sakta hai, aur main 20 points ya usse kam par Friday ke low ko update karne ki sambhavna ko taal sakte hain Monday subah. Agar yeh ho gaya, serious buying ho sakti hai, giravat ko band karke ek growth pattern banati hai. Is scenario ki sambhavna zyada hai kyunki sellers ne hilte nahi the haal hi mein hue nichle movement ke doran.

Agar pound 1.2959 ke upar chadhta hai, to giravat ko dobara draw karna padega, jisse buyers ko price ko dobara maximum ki taraf badhane ki ijazat milegi. Market band hone par kal, bulls 29 figure ke shuruvat mein laut sakte hain. Chalte hue trading week ki shuruat dekhte hain, khas kar market opening par gaps sambhav hain. Main ab bhi vartaman halat mein buying ko support karta hoon. Shayad wo upar 1.2889 tak chale jaye, lekin main ab bhi ek upar ki chal ko ummidwar hoon jisme minimum target 1.2659 hai, jo mere trading tactics ke sath milti hai. Main is goal ko nazar andaaz karunga dekhne ke liye ki bulls price ko round 1.2999 mark tak badha sakte hain. Bullish trend ab tak gayab nahi hua hai, aur vartaman giravat sirf ek correction thi. Downside reversal abhi tak confirmed nahi hai, isliye main buyers ko jaldi se nahi kharij kar raha hoon. Agli week, ham sideways movement dekhenge, vartaman price apne lower limit par hai.

GBP/USD Ki Tafseeri Tehqeeq Aur Maqsood Faraar Jaane Wale Azlaat

GBP/USD Ka Moa'ashiyati Hal


Ab tak, GBP/USD currency pair 1.2909 par trade kar raha hai, apni bearish trend jaari rakh raha hai. Pichle kuch hafton se, jodi mein halki halki girawat nazar aa rahi hai, jo market kaafi tarqeeb se US dollar ki taqat ya British pound ki nisbat kamzor halat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is trend mein kaafi factors shaamil hain, jin mein ma'ashi data releases, saeriyati tajziyaat aur markazi bank policies shamil hain.
Bearish Trend Ko Mutassir Karne Wale Factors

1. Ma'ashi Isharat:

• UK Ki Ma'ashi Performance: Haal hi mein aaye ma'ashi data jese GDP growth, bay rozgari dar, aur mehengai ke figures UK se mushkil se hota raha hai. Lahaq ma'ashi martaba aksar ek kamzor currency ko paida karta hai jabke investors mazboot ma'ashiyo mein mustaqil pan talash karte hain.
• US Ki Ma'ashi Taqat: Mukhaalif tor par, US ki ma'ashi mein mazbooti dikhayi gai hai, jese job growth, consumer spending, aur industrial production waghaira. Yeh ma'ashi performance ka farq US dollar ko British pound ke muqablaye mein taqatwar banaata hai.

1. Markazi Bank Policies:

• Bank of England (BoE): BoE ki interest rates aur ma'ashi policy ki stance GBP/USD par bohot gehra asar daalti hai. Agar BoE ki koi raqabay mein rukawat ya interest rates ko mazeed barhane mein kisi kisam ka shak ho, to pound ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
• Federal Reserve (Fed): Fed ki policy karkardagiyan, khaaskar taight ya zyada interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ki kisi ishaare ki tasir ko dollar ko mazboot kar sakti hai. Future mein interest rates mein izafa ya kami ke market ki tawqayat currency pair ki raah ko shape karne mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain.

1. Saeriyati Factors:

• Brexit Ke Baadbari: UK ko Brexit se mutaliq mukhtalif challenges ka samna karna parta hai, jese trade mein rukawat, aur regulations ki tabdeeliyan. Yeh chalte phirte masail British pound mein investor confidence ko mutasir kar sakte hain.
• US Siyasi Hawa: US mein siyasi istehkaam ya istability dollar par asar andaz hoti hai. Saath hi saath, abhi US siyasi mahol nisbatan mustaqil hai, jo dollar ko support karta hai.

Mazkoorah Big Movement Ki Aham Wajahain


Mawjooda bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch factors ese hain jo qareeb aane wale dino mein GBP/USD pair mein intehai harkat ko trigger kar sakte hain:

1. Ma'ashi Data Releases:

• Anay wale ma'ashi reports jo UK aur US se aane wale hain, jese mehengai ke dar, rozgar data, aur GDP figures, market mein shor macha sakte hain. In reports mein surprise hone par aksar tezi se market ke reaction hoti hai.

1. Markazi Bank Ki Ilanat:

• BoE ya Fed se kisi bhi naumeedi intekhabat ya bayanaat ko gehra asar ho sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, BoE se koi raqabay mein rukawat ka izhaar ya Fed se kisi intebahi stance ko dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

1. Saeriyati Tawqyat:

• Trade mua'ahidaat, siyasi hulchulay ya bari policy tabdeeliyan jese waqiyat tazad e qadam ka sabab ban sakti hain. Investors tawjohi tor par mua'ashiati mustaqbil aur grow prospects ko mutasir karne wali khabron ke liye jaldi react karte hain.

1. Market Sentiment:

• Investor sentiment ki tabdeeliyan, jo aam tor par global ma'ashi halat ya risk appetite se mutasir hoti hain, harkaton ko peda kar sakti hain. Risk-on sentiment ki taraf ka mor se pound ko faida pohancha sakta hai, jabke risk-off sentiment generally dollar ko faida pohanchati hai.

Technical Analysis Ke Nukaat Nazar


Technical analysis ke nazariye se, GBP/USD pair abhi bearish trend mein hai, jahan ahem support aur resistance levels ko dekha ja sakta hai:

1. Support Levels:

• Fori support taqreeban 1.2850 level ke qareeb hai. Is ke neeche girne ke baad, jodi ko 1.2800 psychological level par test karna mumkin hai.

1. Resistance Levels:

• Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.2950 level ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar ka breakout 1.3000 numaindi manzar tak ja sakta hai, jo aik ahem psychological barrier hai.

1. Moving Averages aur Indicators:

• Jodi apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Indicators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) aik aur signal de sakte hain potential reversal ya continuation ke liye.

Musar Conclusion


Halaanki mojooda trend GBP/USD ke liye bearish hai, lekin qareeb aane wale dino mein pair mein bari harkat hone ki mumkinat buland hai. Market participants ko ma'ashi data releases, markazi bank communications, aur saeriyati tawqyat ko nazdeek se nazar andaz karna chahiye. Technical analysis bhi breakout ya breakdown scenarios ke liye dekhnay ke liye ahem levels faraham karta hai. In factors ke mufawiq, traders ko barhti hui volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banane ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni musbat trading barha di, jo ke is ke pichle performace mein nazar aane wali tezi ko jari rakhti hai. Halankeh trading din ke end tak kisi khas izafa mein nahi pohanchi, lekin pair ne kisi bhi numainda pechide se bach gaya, jo market ke British pound mein mazid ghor ke dikhane ka saboot hai. Subah ke session mein thora neeche ki taraf kuch dabaav tha, lekin market mein kharidari ki dabavat ne is par kamyabi se jawab diya, is se pair is upward trajectory par raha.

Ye pound mein market ke persistant interest ka saboot hai, jo kuch fundamental aur technical factors ke zariye kiya ja sakta hai. Fundamentally, British economy ne global economic uncertainties ke bawajood resistance ki alamat dikhayi hain. Mukhtalif key economic indicators jese ke rozgar ke figures, mahangai ke dar aur GDP ki growth generally musbat rahe hain, jo paisa maqami investor ka sarmaya barhai mein izafa karta hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ka monetary policy stance bhi ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Mukabila mein dusre central banks ke nisbat relatively hawkish stance rakhne se Bank of England ne pound ko support karne mein madad ki hai, kyunke uch unwaan dar reates foreign sarmaya ko attract karne ka amal karte hain.

Technical side par, GBP/USD pair ek favorable chart pattern se faida utha raha hai. Technical analysts ne is par trading ke key moving averages ke upar trading hone ki nisbat ki hai, jo aksar bullish signal ke tor par dekha jata hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne bhi higher highs aur higher lows banane ka amal kiya hai, jo ek uptrend ka classic indication hai. Ye technical strength market ke willingness ko support karta hai ke dip mein invest karein, jisse koi bhi significant pullback na ho.

GBP/USD dynamics. Market ka shoq riskier assets ke liye aam tor par strong raha hai, jo currency jese ke pound ko faida deta hai. Doosri taraf, US dollar kuch sakhtiyaan face kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ka cautious approach interest rates ko barhane ki taraf aur US ki economic outlook ke baare mein shakayat ne dollar par bojh dala hai. Is monetary policy expectations ke mukhtalif honay se USA aur UK ke darmiyan ikhtilaf ne GBP/USD pair ko additional support diya hai.

Ek aur cheese jo ghoorni chahiye wo geo-political landscape hai. UK ka political environment relatively stable raha hai, jo pound ke liye acha background provide karta hai. Mukhtalif dunia ke doosre hisson mein geo-political tensions ne kuch der tak dollar ke safe-haven currency ke feyz ko khatam kiya hai. Stability aur growth potential talash karne wale investors ne is wajah se pound ko aik attractice option paya hai.

Ikhtesari tor par, GBP/USD currency pair ke performance on Monday, aur iski baraay mein upward trend, resilient UK economic fundamentals, supportive technical factors, favorable global risk sentiment, aur relatively stable geoplolitical environment ki combination ki taraf se attributed kiya ja sakta hai. Pair ne din ke end tak kisi significant rise ko haasil nahi kiya, lekin kisi bhi pechide se bach gaya, jo market ke confidence ko underline karta hai. Jab tak ye supportive factors barkarar rahenge, GBP/USD pair apni musbat trajectory ko jari rakhega, jisse market ke participants British currency ke ongoing strength ko capitalize karne mein dilchaspi lenge.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD currency pair tezi se barh kar 1.3043 tak pohancha, phir wapas aaya. Is hafte, pehli bias abhi bhi neutral hai, iska matlab hai ke pair zyada tar consolidation ka phase guzarega. Is consolidation ke doran, 1.2859 level se niche ki taraf jana manzoor hai, jo ab resistance se support ban gaya hai. Is support level ka tasdeeq se hona umeed hai aur ek aur tezi se upar ka raily shuru karega.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level ko tode, to yeh ek mazeed tezi ki nishani hogi jo 1.2298 se shuru hui hai. Yeh breakout 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ka 100% projection hai, jo 1.2612 se shuru hota hai, 1.3173 par. Yeh target thora upar hai key medium-term resistance level 1.3141 se. Is projection ka paikar hona ek mazboot bullish trend ki taraf ishara hoga, kyunki 1.3141 resistance ko par karne se aur mazeed faiday mil sakte hain.

Magar, agar GBP/USD mazbooti se 1.2859 support level ko tode, to bias niche ki taraf mudega. Aisa action ek gehri girawat ko darshayega, kyunke yeh support todna bullish outlook ko kamzor kar dega aur bechnay ki dabao ko zyada indicate karega. Yeh manzar, GBP/USD ke qareebi direction ki dobara jaaiz ka mauqa dega, potential target ko kam karne se mukhatif hongay mojooda market dynamics ke doran.

GBP/USD pair ka movement mukhtalif factors se influence hota hai, jaise economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Pichle haftay ki 1.3043 tak barhne ki wajah positive economic data ya market sentiment ka shift tha jo British pound ki taraf mayil tha. Umooman, aane wale hatmoun-dakhal ke doran munaafi lena ya UK ya global economy ke mutaliq umeedon mein izafa aboor se jhoot kar sakti hai.

Concentration ke phases ke doran, traders aksar breakout ya breakdown points ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem levels of support aur resistance talash karte hain. 1.2859 level, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, is maamle mein ahem hota hai. Iska yeh ke is level ka consolidation ke doran hold karna pair ke agle qadam ki ahem nishani hogi. Agar yeh level pakka taur par is maame me maddad karta hai, to bullish case ko support karega, jabke agar isse neeche gir jaye to yeh bearish shift ka ishara dega.

Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD bhi GBP/USD pair ke potential direction ke baray mein insight dete hain. Traders aksar in tools ka istemal overbought ya oversold conditions, divergence patterns, aur momentum shifts ka pata lagane ke liye karte hain. Halqi mauqe mein, dekhna ke yeh indicators 1.2859 aur 1.3043 levels ke aas paas price action ke saath kis tarah se align hote hain, bahut ahem ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD abhi neutral phase mein hai jisme consolidation ki taraf bias hai. Ahem levels jo dekhne chahiye hain, 1.2859 neeche aur 1.3043 upar. Agar 1.3043 ko toda jaye, to bullish trend dobara shuru hoga, jiska target 1.3173 hoga, jabke 1.2859 ko mazbooti se toda jaye, to bias neeche ki taraf mod jayega, gehri girawat ka nishaan dekhne ke liye. Traders savdhan rahen aur apne analysis mein technical aur fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhen.

Is liye, sirf channel ke upper hisse tak. Main apka khayal janna chahta hoon ke pound ke anay wale barhne ke baray mein. Shayad hum ek chadhav ke liye tayari kar rahe hain; trend ko follow karke, hum shayad ek izafa se khatega. Aaj, hum 1.3047 ke level tak pahunch sakte hain, jo ek haqeeqati izafa ka target hai, aur is tarah hum shayad vartman movement ko poora karenge, shayad is level par pratirodh se ek sudhar shuru hoga.

Agar ek bearish trend ho to hum 1.2979 ke level tak slide kar sakte hain aur 1.2948 ke nichle sima tak bhi ja sakte hain. Mukaam ki disha shayad aise hi hogi, lekin bazaar mein achanak se aane wale taza khabron ka asar asaani se bhaavishya par pad sakta hai, mahine ke sabse mahatvapurna ghatnaon ka pratikriya dekar. Pound ne chunaav ke natije aane se pahle hi upar ki taraf badhna shuru kiya tha. Mujhe naye mantriyo ke baare mein achcha sujha, is baare mein aapka kya khayal hai?

Pound ne bhi mega-tezi se udaan bhari, lekin unhone bas bina sanket ke galat faisla kachre mein daal diya. Yeh achche taur par vyaktigat GDP ne acha prakat kiya, lekin mujhe lagta hai sab milakar, takneekan, kharidar bas sach mein uth gaye hain. Is waqt yeh khelne ki zarurat thi ke American fund ke uchaiyon ka fayda uthaya jaaye; dollar us samay is par sabse zyada dabav dal raha tha, aur fund global uchit maqam par tha. Main ne bahut baar likha hai, jab tak fund ko dabane nahi lagte, tab tak hum mudra mein koi serious utaar chadhav nahi dekhenge. Upar, mujhe 1.3100 ke kharish ke sath bhi wahi level hai, lekin mujhe yeh movement lena bilkul pasand nahi; anyatha, yeh bahut der ho jayegi. Lekin abhi, din ke dauran, yadi pichhla uncha pura nahi hota hai to 1.3000 ke upar uchhal ayega, jo kaafi achcha hoga, phir charts ko neeche banane ke liye. Hum shayad jaldi hi aise ek vikalp prapt kar sakte hain, agar pichhla uncha poora nahi hota hai.

H4 timeframe par, ek valid downtrend movement dekhne ko milta hai jab Lower Low (LL) ka breakout hua 1.2939 price par aur price ne weaken hoke ek naya Lower Low (LL) banaya 1.2900 price par. Yeh area bhi ek key level ya psychological level hai jo ke current price weakening ko rok sakta hai. Yeh mujhe GBPUSD market mein enter karne ka mauqa deta hai. Hamein sirf kuch areas par dhyaan dena hai. Pehla area key level hai 1.2900 price par. Agar H4 candlestick is area ko break nahi karti, toh hum buy entry le sakte hain aur second target area jo consider karna padega wo hai 1.2994 price par jo naya SBR area hai. Agar yeh area breakout hota hai, toh price tezi se teesre area 1.3100 price par jayegi aur naya Lower High (LH) create karegi.



Aage, Relative Strength Index indicator jo period 5 ke liye level 30 se neeche hai, yeh signal hai ke market conditions abhi bhi downtrend mein hain jab tak pichle Friday tak. Simple Moving Average 100 indicator jo abhi bhi downwards move kar raha hai, yeh signal hai ke trend bearish direction mein ja raha hai. Toh yeh kaha jaa sakta hai ke H4 timeframe indicators mostly yeh clues dete hain ke market ek downward phase mein shuru ho raha hai jaise ke Simple Moving Average 200 indicator jo neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai. Pehle jo kuch din pehle hua tha usse dekh kar, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle ek price correction upwards hoga 20 se 25 pips ke aas paas, phir market dobara bearish phase mein enter karega. Is H1 chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke ek supply area hai jo price correction ko hold karne ka potential rakhta hai taake naya Lower High create ho sake. In teeno areas mein se, main zyada focus kar raha hoon doosre supply area par jo ke 1.2994 price par hai aur QMTR pattern ke sath ek supply area hai. Halankeh, tisra area bhi upar hai jo naya Lower High banane ke liye potential rakhta hai, lekin meri rai mein yeh doosra area behtar hai kyunki yeh SSR ke saath bohot parallel hai aur aksar bade movements hotay hain jab price is area ko touch karti hai.

GBP/USD near 1.30 psychological resistance barrier par temporarily ruk gaya, US retail sales numbers ke release ke baad, jo consensus se zyada thi. Profit taking operations ka silsila barh sakta hai agar Britain mein kal ke inflation numbers desired level se kam hain. British pound apni recent highs se US dollar ke muqablay mein gir gaya US retail sales report ke baad jo consensus se zyada thi. Reliable trading companies' platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/USD pair 0.20% gir gayi din ke doran aur 1.2940 par aa gayi, retail sales ne monthly basis par flat reading 0% dikhayi June mein, jabke expectations -0.3% ki reading ko indicate kar rahi thi. Core retail sales 0.4% barhi. Yeh estimates ko 0.1% se beat karti hain aur US dollar ke liye aik supportive surprise represent karti hain. Overall data dikhata hai ke exchange rate appreciation 1.30 psychological resistance level se sirf chhe pips pehle ruk gaya, jo ke consistent hai sell orders ke place hone se pehle bade mark par. July 2023 mein highest level 1.3142 par tha, lekin British pound in levels ko bohot deer tak maintain nahi kar saka.
Dar haqeeqat, is peak ke baad aik three-month decline dekha gaya jisne pair ko 1.2037 par wapas le gaya. Apni taraf se, Dukascopy ke technical analysis note kehta hai: "The 1.3000 level resistance ka kaam karta hai aur GBP/USD pair ko niche rakhta hai."
Aage dekhte hue, GBP/USD mein agle moves ka inhasar UK data par ho sakta hai. Pound ke liye risks bhi asymmetric hain: aik strong rally ke baad, hum note karte hain ke GBP aur doosri GBP-based exchange rates ab overbought consider ki ja rahi hain kyunke markets dekh rahe hain ke BoE rate cut ka chance August is saal kam hai pehle se.
Overall, agar Britain mein inflation expectations se kam hota hai, tou 1 August ko cut ke odds phir se barh jayenge, sterling ki rise ko thanda karte hue. Filhal, hum expect karte hain ke weakness relatively contained rahegi aur easing overbought conditions ke consistent rahegi.

British pound ne haal hi mein major currencies ke against pressure face kiya hai, khaaskar US Federal Reserve ki key meeting se pehle. Yeh weakness UK services sector mein inflation concerns se paida hui hai, jo ki stronger-than-expected wage growth se fueled hai. Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke data ne dikhaya ke UK mein average annual earnings, including bonuses, May ke teen mahino mein 5.7% badh gaye. Yeh pichle mahine ke mukable thoda slowdown hai, lekin phir bhi Bank of England ke price stability target se zyada hai. Isse kuch logon ka manna hai ke Bank August ki upcoming meeting mein interest rates cut karne ke liye kam likely hai, ek faisla jo pehle kuch investors anticipate kar rahe the.

Pound par aur pressure core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke recent rise ne dala hai. Core CPI, jo volatile items jaise food aur energy ko exclude karta hai, June mein 3.5% badh gaya, jo services sector mein inflation se driven tha. Yeh further strengthen karta hai Bank of England ke current stance ko interest rates par maintain karne ke liye.Haal ke decline ke bawajood, pound US dollar ke against relatively stable hai, aur currently $1.30 ke around trade kar raha hai. Analysts ka maanna hai ke GBP/USD pair apna upward trend resume kar sakta hai, potentially do saal ke highest level $1.3140 tak pahunch sakta hai. Lekin, data releases ne kuch logon ko interest rate cuts ke expectations reconsider karne par majboor kiya hai, jo pound par downward pressure daal sakta hai. Agar pound aur weaken hota hai, to key support levels jo dekhne wale hain unmein March 8th ka high $1.2900 aur April ka resistance level $1.2708 shamil hain. Further declines mein pound June aur March ke lows $1.26 area tak ya phir February low $1.2517 tak gir sakta hai.Overall, British pound ka outlook thoda uncertain hai. Recent economic data ne imminent interest rate cuts ke possibility par doubt cast kiya hai, lekin underlying trend pound ke liye positive ho sakta hai. Aane wale din aur hafte British currency ke future direction ko determine karne mein crucial honge.