gbp/usd

GBP/USD currency pair, ab tak, 1.2909 par hai aur ek bearish trend ka aks dikha raha hai. Ye darshata hai ke British pound US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai. Magar, halat ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ke aane wale dino mein kisi ahem movement ka samna ho sakta hai. Is potential ko samajhne ke liye, aik silsile ke factors ko ghor karna zaroori hai jin mein arthik indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shamil hain.
Arthik Indicators


Arthik data currency movements par asar dalne mein aham hota hai. GBP/USD pair ke case mein, kuch ahem indicators hain jo dekhne ke lie hain:

1. UK Arthik Data: UK ki arthik sehat British pound par gehra asar dal sakta hai. GDP growth, inflation rates, berozgari ke figures, aur retail sales data jese ahem indicators traders dwara closely monitor kiye jate hain. Positive arthik data pound ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jabke negative data aur takheer ko le ja sakta hai.
2. US Arthik Data: Isi tarah, US ki arthik halaat US dollar ko asar andaz hoti hain. Non-farm payrolls, CPI inflation data, aur GDP growth jese indicators khaas ahem hote hain. US se strong arthik data dollar ko taqwiyat de sakta hai, GBP/USD pair par dabao dalte hue.
3. Central Bank Policies: Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve ke policies ahem hain. Interest rates, quantitative easing programs, ya forward guidance mein kisi bhi tabdiliyan agar ho, to ye GBP/USD pair mein wazeh movements ka sabab ban sakti hain.

Geopolitical Events


Geopolitical developments currency pairs par gehra asar dal sakti hain, aur GBP/USD is mein farq nahi hai. Kuch events jo dekhne chahiye include:

1. Brexit Developments: UK ne officially EU se alag ho gaya hai, lekin negotiations aur trade agreements jari hain jo pound par asar dal rahe hain. Kisi bhi khabar ke mutabiq trade deals, regulatory changes, ya Brexit se related siyasi instability GBP/USD pair mein volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain.
2. US Political Climate: US mein siyasi halaat, jese administration policies ke tabdiliyan, fiscal stimulus measures, aur geopolitical tensions dollar ko asar andaz karte hain. Kisi bhi unexpected siyasi waqiya dollar mein sakht movement ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Market Sentiment


Market sentiment aksar currency pairs mein short-term movements ko drive karta hai. Sentiment ko kai factors, jese:

1. Risk Appetite: jab global investors zyada risk uthane ko tayyar hote hain, to woh safe-haven currencies jese US dollar se dur hote hain, aur zyada yield wali assets ko pasand karte hain. Jabke risk se bachne ke doran dollar mazboot hota hai jab investors safety ki taraf rukhta hain.
2. Speculative Positioning: Traders ke futures aur options markets mein positioning market sentiment ke bare mein insights provide kar sakti hai. Agar pound par kisi khas short position ki sanad hai, to kisi bhi positive khabar se achanak movement ho sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair mein tezi ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Technical Analysis


Technical analysis potential market movements ke liye bohot ahem insights provide karta hai. GBP/USD pair mein key levels ke include:

1. Support and Resistance Levels: Key support aur resistance levels pehchanna traders ko potential reversal points ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Agar pair ek strong support level ke qareeb pohnchta hai, to wahan buying interest mil sakti hai, jo bearish trend ko palat sakti hai.
2. Chart Patterns: Chart patterns jese head and shoulders, double tops, ya triangles ki analysis future price movements ke bare mein clues de sakti hai. Example ke tor par, agar aik bullish reversal pattern ban raha hai, to ye current bearish trend mein potential shift ka sabab ban sakta hai.
3. Moving Averages aur Indicators: Technical indicators jese moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) trend ki strength aur direction ke bare mein signals provide kar sakte hain. Maslan, agar RSI oversold conditions dikhata hai, to ye indicate kar sakta hai ke bearish trend momentum gawara kar raha hai.

Conclusion


Jabke GBP/USD pair abhi bearish trend mein hai, kai factors aane wale dino mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakte hain. Arthik data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab currency pair ke mansoobay ko shape karne mein ahem hote hain. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur in factors ko qareeb se nazarandaz karne chahiye taake GBP/USD market mein potential opportunities ya risks ka imkan pehchan saken. Bearish trend ke bawajood, currency market ka dynamic nature ye darshata hai ke achanak aur significant movements hamesha mumkin hote hain, isliye inform rehna aur tayyar rehna zaruri hai.

GBPUSD TAAQAT JULY 20, 2024

GBPUSD currency pair is ne is haftay ke start mein bearish trend ki taraf movement ka samna kya, mojooda price decline mere khyal se peechle haftay ke trend ke ulte hai. Price jo 1.2900 ke level ke qareeb aa rahi hai, yeh ek SELL trading transaction ke liye reference ban sakti hai. Asal mein, peechle hafte ke shuruaat mein kharidar ke faujon ki taraf se upar ki taraf dabaav banaya gaya tha jo ke price ko 1.3042 ke level tak bharne mein kamiyab raha, lekin yeh pata chala ke is increase ko jaari nahi kiya ja sakta kyunki kharidar ke faujon se zyada dabaav tha jo market ko dobara bearish trend ki taraf le gaya hafte ke end tak trading session mein.
Agar hum market ki conditions ko bhi madde nazar rakhte hain jo peechle hafte ke darmiyan abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf thi, toh GBPUSD currency pair ke price ka neeche ki taraf girne ka mauqa ab bhi bana rehta hai. Agar dobara giravat ho sakti hai, to bearish target 1.2850 ke level ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Agar market mein ek bearish trend tendency ka formation ho raha hai, toh ye agle haftay ke liye ek SELL trading order ke liye reference ban sakti hai. Agar hum agle haftay ke bearish potential ko dhyan se dekhte hain, toh yeh ab bhi mumkin hai. Trend ke saath trading activities karne ka faida uthana jo bullish path ki taraf jata hai, yeh ek samajhdar faisla hai taake hum jitne wale raaste par bane rahein, halaanki profit abhi tak yaqeeni nahi hai, lekin kam se kam pehle se hi profit ka potential ban gaya hai.

Technical Reference: Jab tak 1.29670 ke neeche rahe, SELL karein.

Resistance 1: 1.29670
Resistance 2: 1.29820
Support 1: 1.29045
Support 2: 1.28850

GBPUSD TAJZIA 20 JULY 2024
Gbpusd ne market movement mein apni girawat ko jari rakha Jumma ko. Dabti hui dollar ne gbpusd ko phir se girane mein madad ki aur market band hone tak gbpusd ab bhi bechne wale dabav ke neeche tha. Keemat ne 1.2903 ke support line tak girna tha. Jumma ko gbpusd ka bearish movement najdiki support line aur SMA 50 line se bahar nikal gaya. Anay wale gbpusd movement/Peer ka tajziya:
Keemat jo phir se gir gayi aur 1.2935 ke support line aur SMA 50 line se bahar nikal gayi, gbpusd ka agla movement bhi phir se bearish hone ki sambhavna hai. Lekin, SMA 50 aur 200 ke sthiti se dekha jaye to jo bearish movement hone wala hai, woh sirf SMA 200 line tak pahunch sakta hai jo 1.2780 ke support line ke sath milta hai aur fir se bullish ki taraf laut sakta hai. Candle ka structure jo abhi tak bechne walon dawariyon dvara niyantrit hai, to gbpusd ka agla movement bhi barqarar bearish hone ki sambhavna hai. Lekin, keemat jo abhi tak 1.2903 ke support line ko bahar nikalne mein asafal hai, isliye keemat phir se badhne ki sambhavna hai agle movement ke liye. Lekin, jo bullish movement hone wala hai, woh sabse sujha hua daman hoga aur fir daman 1.2999 line tak upar chadhkar fir gir jayega.

Upar diye gaye tajziya aur tajziya ke mutabiq, agle gbpusd movement/Peer ke liye abhi bhi bearish hone ki sambhavna hai lekin dhyan dena chahiye ke keemat correction kar sakti hai phir se apne bearish par nirbhar ho sakti hai. Yahan trading opportunities hain jo hum agle gbpusd ke liye upar di gayi numaindagiyo par mabni trading kar sakte hain:

Bechnay ki opportunities
Hum bechnay ki opportunities le sakte hain keemat ko girne ka intezaar karke aur support line 1.2903 ko bahar nikal ne se. Hum faida ka nishan support line ya SMA 200 par 1.2780 pe rakh sakte hain. Stop loss support line 1.2903 ke kuch pips upar rakha ja sakta hai.
Agli bechnay ki opportunity hum le sakte hain keemat ko badhne ka intezaar karke aur 1.2935 aur 1.2999 line par rejection banate hue. Hum faida ka nishan support line 1.2780 par rakh sakte hain. Stop loss 1.2935 aur 1.2999 line kuch pips upar rakha ja sakta hai.

Kharidnay ki opportunities
Hum kharidnay ki opportunities le sakte hain keemat ko badhne ke intezaar aur 1.2935 line ko bahar nikalne se. Hum faida ka nishan resistance line 1.2999 par rakh sakte hain. Stop loss 1.2935 line ke kuch pips niche rakha ja sakta hai.
Agli kharidnay ki opportunity, hum le sakte hain keemat ko girne ka intezaar aur keemat ka rejection banane ka saiya 1.2780 par jo SMA 200 line hai. Hum faida ka nishan 1.2935 aur resistance line 1.2999 par rakh sakte hain. Stop loss 1.2780 line ke kuch pips niche rakha ja sakta hai.

GBPUSD H4



Pichle hafte ke trading mein, Canadian dollar apne pehle range mein tha. Hafte ke shuru mein, keemat 1.3735 ke upper border par thi, jahan se isne rebound kiya aur tezi se gira 1.3616 ke lower border tak, signal zone se bahar nikal kar reversal level mein gaya. Yahan rukawat ho jati hai aur dheere se ek u-turn leta hai. Is tarah, currency pair ka expected development nahi hua. Ab, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo bechnay ki dabavat ki nishani hai. Takneeki nazar se aaj, 4-H chart dekhne par hum dekhte hain ke index temporary roop se resistance par 1.3720 ke upar move kar raha hai, jahan simple moving average positive dabavat de raha hai, 14-day high hai. Harkat positve signs ke saath mazboot ho rahi hai. Isliye, hum day ke trade ke liye positive hain lekin savdhan bhi hain pichle tod di gayi resistance level 1.3830 ke upar, jo ab support ban chuka hai, ke alawa, hum believe karte hain ke 1.3790 ke neeche ek break zaroori hai takay target 1.3778 tak pahuncha jaye. Break zaroori hai. Hum yaad dilate hain ke 1.3753 ke neeche minimum hourly candle ka band hona assumed uptrend functionality ko khatam kar dega aur index ke price par strong negative pressure dal dega jahan 1.3940 aur 1.3910 ke targets honge.
Aur isi dauraan, key support area strong pressure ke neeche hai lekin abhi tak price ko break hone nahi diya gaya hai, pichle upward vector ko relevant rakh kar. Ye tab confirm hoga jab price 1.3664 level ko break karega aur further consolidation ki possibility hoti hai jahan main support area borders karte hain. Dobara testing aur subsequent rebound naye up move ko trigger karegi jahan 1.3793 aur 1.3862 ke target area honge.

Agar price akhir mein 1.3616 reversal level ko tod deta hai, to ye current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal payega.


1.2650 ka secondary psychological level hai. Saath hi, 100 SMA abhi bhi 200 SMA ke neeche hai jo ye dikhate hain ke zyada rasta neeche ki taraf hai ya chhat todne ki jagah todne ke barabar hai. Magar price dono simple moving averages ke upar move kar raha hai jo upar ki momentum dikhane ke liye hai. Ye moving averages 1.2700 area ke aas paas support ban sakti hain bhi.

Stochastic indicator overbought zone mein thoda time bitane ke baad neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, iska matlab hai ke sellers control mein aane lage hain jab exhausted buyers ek break le rahe hain. Saath hi, RSI bhi neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, isliye GBPUSD bhi waise hi kar sakta hai jab downward pressure hai. Dono oscillators ko oversold zone tak pahuchne se pehle badi area cover karna hoga exhaustion reflect karne ke liye sellers mein.

GBP/USD pair ka intehai movazna mein ek upward zigzag banane ke liye tayar hai, jis se pichli levels par dobarah test (retest) ki sambhavna hai jo 1.0936 aur 1.09190 hain. Is test ke baad, agley haftay mein hum ek doosra downward zigzag unfold hone ki sambhavna hai dekh sakte hain. In harkaton ko samajhna traders ke liye ahem hai jo GBP/USD pair mein shifts ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Upward Zigzag aur Levels ke Retest

Haal ki tajzia ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ke chances hain ki pichli support/resistance zone 1.0936-1.09190 ki taraf retrace kare. Market mein aise harkate common hoti hain, kyunke prices aksar apne initial trend mein wapas jaane se pehle key levels ko retest karte hain. 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke darmiyan area historical ahemiyat rakhta hai kyunke ye pehle strong support ke taur par kaam kiya tha phele se. Is zone ko retest karna traders ke liye ek confirmation point ban sakta hai jahan wo assess kar sakte hain ke ab ye level resistance ke tor par kaam karega.

Potential Downward Zigzag

1.0936-1.09190 zone ki retest ke baad, GBP/USD pair reverse course karne ka possibility hai aur doosra downward zigzag banane ka. Ye alternate movement overall bearish trend ke saath milta hai jo abhi tay hai. Traders ko is area mein key technical indicators aur price action signals ke liye dekhte rehna chahiye taki wo assess kar sake ke bearish momentum ab continue hone wala hai ya nahi.

Intraday Levels aur Confirmations

Intraday trading ke liye, level 1.3011 sab se ahem hai. Agar prices is level ko breach kar lein, to ye downward movement invalid kar dega. Ye level ek pivotal point hai intraday traders ke liye short-term direction gauge karne ke liye. Agar prices 1.3011 se upar nahi uthte, to bearish sentiment maintain rahegi.

Neeche jaane ki taraf, downward momentum ka confirmation 1.2938 level ko breach karne par chahiye. Ye level pehle se breach ho chuka hai, iska matlab hai ke downward movement abhi chal raha hai. 1.2938 ke neeche jaane ke baad traders ko fir se reaffirm hoga ke bearish trend jari rahega.

Technical Analysis aur Strategy

In harkaton ka samna karne ke liye, traders ko moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ka istemal karna chahiye. Moving averages overall trend ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain, jabki Fibonacci retracement levels zigzag movements ke dauran potential support aur resistance zones ki insights provide kar sakte hain.

Iske alawa, momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) current trend ka strength aur potential reversals ke insights offer kar sakte hain. Traders ko key levels jaise 1.0936-1.09190 aur 1.2938 ke aas paas in indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taki informed trading decisions le sakein.

Fundamental Factors

GBP/USD pair ko influence karne wale fundamental factors ko consider karna bhi zaruri hai. UK aur US se major economic data releases, Bank of England ya Federal Reserve se policy changes, aur geopolitical events currency movements par asar daal sakte hain. Traders ko UK aur US se major economic reports, Bank of England ya Federal Reserve ke kisi bhi policy changes, aur geopolitical events ke baare mein inform rehna chahiye jo pair ko influence kar sakte hain.

Conclusion

To conclude, GBP/USD pair ka expected hai ek upward zigzag form karne ke liye, jisme ek retest of levels at 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke baad ek potential downward zigzag hone ki sambhavna hai agley haftay mein. Intraday traders ko 1.3011 level par nazar rakhni chahiye signs ke liye upward movement invalidate hone ki aur 1.2938 level ko dekhna chahiye downward momentum ka confirmation ke liye. Technical analysis ko fundamental factors ke saath combine karna zaroori hai taake ye expected movements mein effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD pair ab ek upward zigzag movement ke liye mojood hai, jo ke shayad 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke darmiyan tootay hue level ko test karega. Is test ke baad, hum doosra downward zigzag dekh sakte hain, jo ke agle haftay mein unfold hone ki tawaqo ki jati hai. In movements ko samajhna traders ke liye zaroori hai jo GBP/USD pair ke shifts ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Upward Zigzag aur Broken Levels ka Test

Muntazim upward zigzag se yeh nazar aata hai ke GBP/USD pair pehle se tootay hue support/resistance zone 1.0936-1.09190 ki taraf retrace karega. Yeh tarah ki movement markets mein aam hai kyunke prices aksar pehle tootay hue levels ko retest karte hain pehle ke trend ko wapas lete hue. 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke darmiyan ka area historical ahmiyat rakhta hai kyunke yeh shayad taqatwar support kaam karta tha pehle ke toot jane se pehle. Is zone ko retest karna traders ke liye ek confirmation point ka kam karta hai jaha wo assess karte hain ke level ab resistance ke tor par kaam karega.

Agle Downward Zigzag

1.0936-1.09190 zone ko test karne ke baad, GBP/USD pair ka muda ooper ki taraf badalne ki umeed hai aur ek aur downward zigzag form hone ki tawaqo hai. Is muda ke baad mein chalne wala movement overall bearish trend ka continuation signal kar sakta hai jo pair ne follow kiya hai. Traders ko is area ke aas pass key technical indicators aur price action signals ka dehan rakhna chahiye ke bearish momentum phir se shuru hoga ya nahi.

Intraday Levels aur Confirmation

Intraday trading ke liye, 1.3011 level ahem hai. Agar price is level ko update karti hai, to yeh downward movement ko cancel kar degi. Yeh level traders ke liye ek pivotal point ka kaam karta hai short-term direction ka gauge karne ke liye. Agar price 1.3011 ke upar nahi jaati, to bearish sentiment barkarar rahegi.

Niche, downward movement ki continuation ko confirm karne ke liye, GBP/USD pair ko 1.2938 level ko update karna hoga. Yeh level pehle se hi update ho chuka hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke downward movement abhi chal raha hai. Yeh 1.2938 ke neeche break traders ke liye ek confirmation ka kaam karta hai ke bearish trend barqarar rahega.

Technical Analysis aur Strategy

Traders ko in movements ko navigate karne ke liye moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur momentum indicators jaise tools ka istemal karna chahiye. Maslan, moving averages trend ko identify karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain, jabke Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones ke bare mein insights provide kar sakte hain zigzag movements ke doran.

Iske alawa, momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) current trend ki strength aur potential reversals ke bare mein clues offer kar sakte hain. Traders ko in indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye 1.0936-1.09190 aur 1.2938 ke key levels ke aas pass trading decisions ko enhance karne ke liye.

Fundamental Factors

GBP/USD pair ko influence karne wale fundamental factors ko bhi ghor karna zaroori hai. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events currency movements par asar dal sakte hain. Traders ko UK aur US ki major economic reports, sath hi Bank of England ya Federal Reserve ke policy changes ke bare mein inform rehna chahiye.

Conclusion

Sarasar, GBP/USD pair ka taqaza hai ke ek upward zigzag form ho kar pehle se tootay hue 1.0936 aur 1.09190 ke level ko test karega, phir shayad agle haftay mein ek aur downward zigzag mein reverse ho jayega. Intraday traders ko 1.3011 level par nazar rakhni chahiye taki downward movement ka cancellation ka pata lag sake aur 1.2938 level par confirmation ki liye idhar udhar dekhein. Technical analysis ko fundamental factors ke saath mila kar istemal karna in anticipated movements ko effectively navigate karne ke liye zaroori hai.

GBP/USD currency pair analysis:
GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.29380 ke star tak numayan giravat dekha, aur is subah yeh apne is naye kam star par 1.2926 tak gir gaya hai. Is harkat se market mein jari bearish jazbaat ka izhar hota hai. Lekin mumkin hai ki aaj humein bechne ki ashti ki taraf ek halki upar ki sudhar dekhne ko mile, jo bechne ki ashti ke ilaake mein hoti hai, jo 1.29189 se 1.29367 ke range mein sthit hai.

1.2926 par ek naye kam star ka banavat yeh darshata hai ki GBP/USD par neeche ki dabav abhi bhi maujood hai. Yeh star waqtanhaar sahayak ke roop mein kaam kar sakta hai, lekin adhik vistrit market trend bearish lag raha hai. Vyapari is kshetra ko kisi ulte chaal ya vartman trend ke jaari rehne ke sambhaavna ke liye khaas taur par gahri nazar se dekh rahe hain.

Bechne ki ashti ke tajziya ka tanazur asaare bechne ki tabaadlaat se judda hota hai, jahaan kisi nishchit keemat range mein sell order buy order se zyaada the. Yeh asaare vyapariyon ke liye ek prakriti ki taraf se prarabdha sthal ke roop mein kaam karte hain, kyonki yeh aksar keemat kriya ke liye akarshan shakti ke roop mein kaam karte hain, jisse aksar ek samayik punarvas ya sudhar ke liye badhaata hai. 1.29189 se 1.29367 ke range ko aise ek kshetra ke roop mein pehchana gaya hai, aur yeh sambhav hai ki hum is range ki taraf kuch upar ki gati dekhein, jab tak ki market pehle bechne ke zyada order ki sambhaavna ko santulit karne ki koshish na kare.

Tantrik tajziye ke context mein, is upar ki sudhar ko pehle ke sahayak staron ki jaanch ke roop mein dekha ja sakta hai, jo ab samarthan ki taraf palat chuke hain. Vyapari jo GBP/USD pair ko bechne ki soch rahe hain, woh is zone ko ek uchit pravesh bindu maan sakte hain, ummeed karte hue ki jab keemat bechne ki ashti kshetra tak pahunchegi, tab bechne ki dabav dobara shuru ho jayega.

Mool bhautik factors bhi currency pair ki gati mein mahatvapurna bhumika nibhaate hain. Haal hi mein arthik data release, raajneetik ghatnaayein aur central bank policies sabhi GBP/USD pair par prabhav daal sakte hain. Jaise ki, UK ki arthik pradarshan se sambandhit koi khabar, Brexit vikas, ya Bank of England ya Federal Reserve dwara nivesh dar ke parivartan, yeh sab pair ke disha par prabhav daal sakte hain.

Umeed hai ke choti upar ki harkat bechne ki ashti ke ilaake ki taraf ishaarat nahi karti, yeh zyada tar ek bade neeche ki raftar ke andar ek samayik sudhar hai. Vyapariyon ko sambhal ke rahna chahiye aur anjaane market ki gati se apne positions ko bachaane ke liye stop-loss orders ka istemaal karne ka vichar karna chahiye.

GBP/USD pair ne 1.2926 par ek naye kam star banaya hai, aur aaj bechne ki ashti ke range 1.29189 se 1.29367 tak ke taraf ek halki upar ki gati sambhav hai. Is kshetra ko gahri nazar se dekhna zaroori hai, kyonki yeh ek sthiti ka bindu pradaan kar sakta hai jahan bechne ki dabav dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Vyapariyon ko mool bhautik vikas ko lekar jaankari rakhni chahiye aur is saikid market mahaul mein uchit pravesh aur nikaas binduon ko pehchaanne ke liye tantrik tajziye ke upkaran ka istemaal karna chahiye.

GBP/USD apni doosri musalsal session ke liye ooper ki taraf rukh barqarar rakhta raha aur Thursday ke Asian trading hours mein 1.2960 ke qareeb apni jaga barqarar rakhta raha. Rozana chart ka tafseeli jaaiza ye zahir karta hai ke currency pair abhi ek ascendin channel ke andar urooj par hai, jis se uski keemat mein buland tar raaye ki jari hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek ahem technical indicator hai, ne 60 tak pohanch kar ek izafa kiya hai. Ye 50 ke qareeb girne ke baad dekha gaya tha jo ke Tuesday ke akhri hisse mein tha, jis se pair ki trading fa'aliyat mein mojood bullish bias ko mazbooti milti hai. GBP/USD ke haal ki chadhai ne tawaja sey traders aur analysts ko mila hai. Is trend ki wazahat yeh karti hai ke taraqqi seer par hai aur 1.2960 ke qareeb musbat aur mazeed izafa ke liye sinyat deta hai.
Technicai nazar se, daily chart par dekha gaya ascending channel pair ki keemat ke rawaiye ko samajhne mein madadgar hota hai. Aisi surate haal mein, ye patterns aksar uptrend ke asar ko darshate hain, jahan ziada buland unchaiyan aur ziada neechayiyan keemat ke action ko characterize karte hain. Is maqsad mein, GBP/USD ke abhi is channel ke andar hone se nazaraat is baat ko taqat dete hain ke nazdeeki muddat mein mazeed bullish momentum ki ummid hai.Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki tafseeli jaanch bhi market ke jazbat aur mahaul ke aas paas ki tashkeel mein madad deti hai. RSI ka 50 se 60 tak pohanch jana aur iske baad izafa buying pressure mein izhar karta hai, jis se sasta karne walay ki taraf se barhte hue prices ki taraf ishara hota hai.

Agar h1 time frame se jaye toh, agar sab se ooncha h1 resistance ko guzar diya jaye, toh mujhe zaroorat hai ke mein ihtiyat se kaam loon kyun ke ye gbpusd ko mazeed ooncha kar sakta hai. Lekin, aaj mein haqeeqatan dekhta hoon ke upar uthne ke bajaye, neechay jaane ka zyada moqa hai. Pehli wajah ye hai ke mumkinat ke dauran candle ne abhi tak 1.3040 ke supply area ko guzar na paya hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd ko mustaqil taqat mein rehne mein mushkil hogi. Dusra sabab ye hai ke bara time frame mein, ek evening star shakl mein tasdeeqi mumkinat ki shakal mein aaya hai. Aam taur par jab ek pattern aata hai, market rukh badal deta hai, jo pehle oopar uth raha tha aur ab neeche jaane ki taraf badal raha hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaaye toh, candle ka maqam abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper hai. Jab tak candle Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper rahega, gbpusd ki harkat oopar ki taraf rahegi. Abhi, candle ka maqam khud neele Kijun Sen line ko chhua hai, jo kehta hai ke agar gbpusd kuch pips gir jaye, toh naye intersection ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, stochastic indicator se, uska maqam oversold area mein hai. Iska saboot hai ke line ne level 20 ko guzarna shuru kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ke kal jo giravat hui thi, wo

overbought thi. Mujhe ihtiyat se kaam karna hai kyun ke gbpusd phir se oopar uth sakta hai kyun ke abhi tak candle ne 1.2991 ke RBS area ko guzar na paya hai. Mein umeed karta hoon ke ye area jald tor diya jaye taake gbpusd jaldi neeche ja sake.

Toh aaj ki tanqeed ka ikhtitam ye hai ke gbpusd jori abhi tak 1.3044 ke supply area ko guzar na paayi hai. Jab tak ye area guzarna na paye, gbpusd future mein neeche jaayegi. Iske ilawa, bara time frame mein ek evening star pattern bhi mojood hai. Isi liye mein doston ko mashwarah deta hoon ke agar is jori mein trade karte hain, toh pehle sell positions par tawajjo den. Aap target ko 1.2901 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.3049 ke qareebi resistance par rakh sakte hain.

Pair ne DXY ke muqablay mein achi taqat dikhayi hai, aur Friday ko lagbhag 0.06% gain kiya hai. Yeh performance zyadatar European siyasi ghair yaqeeniat aur Bank of England ki aanay wali monetary policy ke natayej ki waja se hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.2810 par trade kar rahi hai, jabke daily high 1.2819 tak pohanchi thi.



DXY par dabao weak retail sales data ki waja se hai, jisne uski value ko niche gira diya hai. European trading hours ke dauran rebound hone ke bawajood, DXY jo greenback ko six major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 105.30 par aa gaya. Yeh intraday decline traders ke cautious sentiment ko highlight karta hai.

USD ki resilience Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ki taraf se interest rate cuts ke hawalay se cautious approach ke advocate karne ki waja se hai. Fed ne sirf iss saal rates kam karne ko prefer kiya hai, wo bhi tab jab inflation mein musalsal kami aaye. Premature rate cuts se inflationary pressures ke phir se barh ne ke concerns ne Fed ki policies ko mazbooti se jari rakha hai, pehle quarter mein stall hone ke bawajood disinflation ke wapis aane ke bawajood.



Jab pair 1.2700 mark se niche gir gaya, to further losses ka rasta khul gaya. Key support levels mein shamil hain pichle haftay ka low 1.2616, 100-day Moving Average (DMA) 1.2700 par, aur 50-day DMA 1.2685 par. In levels ka breach 200-DMA 1.2717 ko expose kar sakta hai. Bullish continuation ke liye, traders ko GBP/USD ko broken support trendline ke upar push karna hoga, jo ab resistance hai, around 1.2900, pehle 1.2850 ko test karne se pehle.



Pair ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein crucial resistance level 1.2800 ke near recovery ki hai. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke niche trade kar rahi hai near 1.2742, jo near-term trend mein uncertainty ko indicate kar raha hai. 50-day EMA near 1.2670 significant support level serve karta hai Pound Sterling bulls ke liye.

Pair ne Friday ko DXY ke muqablay mein lagataar paanchwin din gain hasil kiya. Yeh recent performance pair ko monthly high ke near 1.2810 par hover karti hui dikhati hai. Consistent gains ka background Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance par hai regarding interest rates, jo US Dollar ke appeal ko mazid barhati hai.


US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko major currencies ke basket ke against measure karta hai, ab tak mazboot hai. Yeh apne highest level par pohanch gaya hai since early May following Fed's unexpected hawkish outlook last week. "Dot plot" ne reveal kiya ke policymakers ab sirf ek interest rate cut expect karte hain 2024 mein, jo pehle projected three cuts se kaafi kam hai. Yeh forecast elevated US Treasury bond yields ko support karta hai, providing a tailwind for the Dollar aur validating a negative outlook for the GBP/USD pair.

UK mein, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data due hai, jis mein forecasts predict kar rahe hain ek increase to 0.4% month-over-month in May, up from the previous month's 0.3%. Additionally, Bank of England (BoE) ek nayi vote hold karne wala hai interest rates par. BoE broadly expect karta hai ke interest rates ko 5.25% par maintain kiya jaye in June, with the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) likely to vote seven-to-two in favor of keeping rates unchanged, mirroring the outcome of the previous meeting.

Recent headways ke bawajood, pair firm resistance face karta hai around the upper 1.26 range. Pair ne struggled kiya sustain karne mein levels above 1.2818 after last week’s bullish close. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Pound ko stable base establish karne ke liye abhi bhi kaam karna padega, ya to upper 1.2800 range mein hold karke ya high 1.2500 range mein foothold dhoondh ke pehle ke stabilize aur improve kar sake.



Currently, pair 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support ko hold karta hai, plotted from the March 8 high of 1.2900 to the April 22 low of 1.2301. 14-CCI indicator wapis 40.00-60.00 range mein fall kar gaya hai, indicating ke recent upside momentum diminish ho gaya hai.

Hamari discussion mein, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price changes ka analysis karenge. Agle trading week ke liye mere plans hain ke GBP/USD pair mein ek minor pullback aayega uske baad price growth continue hogi. Pullback ab 1.2774 tak limited hai. Agar trading is level ke neeche close nahi hoti, to downward trend ke chances kam ho jate hain, aur 1.2774 par wapas aana consolidation confirm karega is resistance ke upar. Support level 1.2774 se, hum agle price increase wave ki expectation kar sakte hain, jo resistance 1.2901 ko target karegi. Upward movement ke potential hain. Market activity ke upcoming trends upwards hain, kyunke bullish potential evident hai. Lekin, GBP/USD pair ek possible decline indicate karta hai; prudent ye hoga ke 1.2762 level tak intezar karein GBP/USD ko buy karne se pehle.



Mojooda conditions ke tehat, ek further decline unlikely lagta hai, aur ye level ek pivotal point ban sakta hai uptrend ke liye, to further decline ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye. Ye waqt hai liquidity create karne ka aur trend mein enter karne ka, critical daily interval levels par focus karte hue, jaise ke 1.2889. Channel ke liye, higher goals set karna logical hai, given ke growth probabilities channel mein hain. Friday ka closure ek aur modest increase ke sath hua strong resistance 1.2816 (8/7) ke neeche. Ab, current positions se ek correction shuru ho sakti hai. Ya phir ye phir se rise kar sakti hai resistance zone 1.2816-1.0847 ya even 1.2847-1.2877 tak, followed by attempts to reduce and reverse. Current positions se, logical ye hai ke ya to rollback ka intezar karein buy karne ke liye, ya phir new highs par sell karein.

Pair Friday ke thode se recovery gain ko maintain karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Mid-1.2810 range se recovery ne nearly one-month low mark kiya tha. Week ke pehle trading din par, spot prices 1.2820 mark se neeche hover kar rahi hain, jo potential further declines ka signal de rahi hain, kyunke US Dollar (USD) bullish sentiment ko exhibit kar raha hai.



Market participants anticipate kar rahe hain ke persistent price pressures UK mein Bank of England (BoE) ko majboor kar sakti hain ke current interest rates ko extended period tak maintain karein. Ye expectation bearish traders ko deter kar sakti hai British Pound (GBP) ke against aggressive betting se, is week ke UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) report release ke pehle. Iske ilawa, upcoming UK general election 4 July ko bhi caution add kar raha hai, traders ko significant positions lene se rok raha hai GBP/USD pair ke against.

Federal Reserve (Fed) ke indications ke muqable mein ke interest rates sirf ek baar reduce kiye jayenge is saal, financial markets do rate cuts speculate kar rahe hain Fed ke through. Unka anticipation hai ke September meeting se policy unwind start hogi, followed by additional cuts November ya December mein. Ye speculation US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) reports ke May ke liye subdued hone se fueled hui hai, jo earlier rate reductions ke expectations ko badhati hai.


Pair Friday ke low 1.2751 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo UK inflation data aur BoE ke monetary policy meeting ke pehle caution ko reflect kar raha hai. Pair ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support, jo March 8 ke high 1.2900 se April 22 ke low 1.2300 tak span karta hai, ke upar maintain na rehna currency ki vulnerability ko highlight karta hai.



Iske ilawa, GBP/USD pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo around 1.2661 hai, ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Ye proximity near-term market sentiment mein potential shift indicate karti hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 40.00-60.00 range mein retreat kar gaya hai, jo pair ke liye waning upside momentum ko reflect karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price action hamari analysis aur discussion ka subject hogi. GBP/USD pair 1-hour chart par buying consider karna acha time hai. Yahan kuch reasons hain:

1. **Moving Average**: Price MA199 moving average ke upar hai, jo upward momentum signal karta hai.
2. **Previous Day's Performance**: Pichle din ke second half mein, pair din ke opening se upar trade kar raha tha aur higher close kiya.
3. **Bollinger Band**: Quotes upper Bollinger band ke qareeb hain, jo potential upward trend continuation ko indicate karta hai.
4. **RSI Indicator**: 21-period RSI use karte hue, main overbought (69 se upar) aur oversold (29 se neeche) conditions ko avoid karta hoon. Filhal, RSI ek acha buying opportunity suggest kar raha hai.
Mera target Fibonacci take profit 210% par hai, jo 1.28528 ke corresponding hai. Agar main zyada profit banana chahta hoon, to main next Fibonacci targets follow karunga.


Working week ne vigorous buyer activity dikhai hai. Despite pehle 1.2779 ko surpass na karte hue, price week's end tak 1.2809 tak pahunch gayi aur yahi level par close hui. Next resistance 1.2856 hai. Is level ko break karna ek naye maximum 1.2909 ko lead kar sakta hai. Kuch experts argue karte hain ke pair weak hai due to poor statistics, lekin Middle East mein conflict GBP/USD price ko influence kar raha hai, jo participants ko positions adjust karne par majboor kar raha hai favoring growth.

Ek definitive signal fundamental factors se, jaise ke kingdom ke authorities ke actions, uptrend ko fully confirm karne ke liye zaroori hai. Mulk EU aur US sanctions ke pressure mein hai, jo economy par negative impact dal raha hai. News ko monitor karna aur buying opportunities ke liye prepare rehna crucial hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Sunday ko market close par ek significant reversal dikhaya, jo 4-hour chart par double top pattern banane ke sath hua. Yeh pattern ek classic bearish reversal signal hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke recent uptrend shayad apne aap ko exhaust kar chuka hai aur ek downward move aney wali hai.

Double top pattern ko do peaks characterize karte hain jo roughly same price level par hoti hain, aur ek trough se separated hoti hain. Yeh formation yeh indicate karti hai ke currency pair ne do martaba resistance level ko touch kiya aur fail ho gaya, jo market sentiment ko bullish se bearish shift hone ka signal deti hai. Pattern us waqt confirm hota hai jab price do peaks ke beech wale trough se neeche girta hai, jo zyada selling pressure ko le kar aata hai jab traders reversal signal ko pehchan lete hain.

GBP/USD ke case mein, double top pattern ek strong uptrend ke baad emerge hua, jo pair ke key resistance level ko surpass karne ki struggle ko reflect karta hai. Pehla peak tab bana jab pair ek high tak pohoncha, followed by ek pullback jo trough ko banata hai. Dusra peak tab hua jab pair ne high ko retest karne ki koshish ki lekin isme fail ho gaya, jo dusra top banata hai. Yeh pattern us waqt confirm hoga jab price trough se neeche break hoga, jo bearish trend ki taraf shift ko indicate karta hai.

Kai technical indicators aur factors is bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek momentum oscillator hai, ek bearish divergence dikha sakta hai jahan price higher highs banati hai jabke RSI lower highs banata hai. Yeh divergence aksar ek reversal se pehle aata hai. Iske ilawa, moving averages further confirmation provide kar sakti hain; agar shorter-term moving average longer-term moving average ke neeche cross karti hai, toh yeh bearish sentiment ko reinforce karega.

Fundamental factors bhi is potential reversal mein crucial role play karte hain. Economic data releases, jaise ke UK employment figures, GDP growth, aur inflation reports, GBP/USD pair ko significantly impact kar sakte hain. Agar data UK mein economic weakness ya US mein strength ko point karta hai, toh yeh pair par downward pressure ko badha sakta hai. Iske ilawa, central bank policies, khaaskar Bank of England (BoE) ki interest rates par stance compared to Federal Reserve, bhi critical hain. Ek dovish BoE face of a hawkish Fed further declines ko GBP/USD pair mein lead kar sakta hai.

Conclusion mein, GBP/USD currency pair ke 4-hour chart par double top pattern ka formation ek strong bearish reversal signal hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke recent uptrend shayad apne course ko complete kar chuka hai aur ek downward move may imminent hai. Traders ko is pattern ki confirmation ke liye trough ke neeche break dekhna chahiye aur technical indicators aur fundamental factors ka impact consider karna chahiye taake is potential reversal ko effectively navigate kar saken.