gbp/usd

GBPUSD
British pound ne Budh ko US dollar ke khilaf izafa kiya aur char hafton ki unchi tak pohanch gaya. Is izafay ka asar Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke Congress ke samne gawahi dene ke baad hua jo ke investors ne aane wale mein interest rates mein kami ka ishara samjha. Powell ki maaliyat policy par stand ne market ki umeedon ko September se pehle rate cut hone ki taraf mazboot kiya. Jabke UK mein Thursday ko maaliyat data kamzor tha, sirf chote business data ke saath jari kiya gaya tha, sab nigahein US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par thin. Investors jo rate cut ki umeed mein hain, unka umeed hai ke June mein core inflation saal ke liye expected 3.4% se kam ho ga. Yeh itminan Powell ki bayanat se aata hai, jise kuch log muwafiq samjhte hain. Lekin Jumeraat ko US currency par mazeed data jari hone ke baad yeh umeedon ko khatra ho sakta hai. June ke core consumer price index (PPI) ki umeed hai ke saalana basis par 2.3% se 2.5% tak barh sakta hai. Yeh barhne wala index puri market ki rate cut ki khwahish ko rok sakta hai.



Technically, British pound ka Budh ko izafa kayi areas mein rukawat ka samna kar raha tha. Agar izafay qaim na ho saken, to keemat 200-day EMA (moving average) ke aas paas 1.2600 tak laut sakti hai. Is par bharey hue bulls (investors jo keemat mein izafa hone ki umeed rakhte hain) par hai ke woh mazboot support level qaim karain taake is ko roken. Dusray janib, agar ooper ki taraf taraqqi jari rahe, to keemat 1.2816-1.2859 ke upar ja sakti hai, jo ke 2024 ke 1.2892 ke high ki taraf rasta ho sakta hai. Is resistance area se bahar nikalna dollar ko pound ki taraf bhej sakta hai aur July 2023 ke 1.2994 ke resistance ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

British pound ne Budh ko US dollar ke khilaf izafa kiya aur char hafton ki unchi tak pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke Congress ke samne gawahi dene ke baad hua, jise investors ne mustaqbil mein interest rate mein kami ka ishara samjha. Powell ki mahtaat inflation ke barhne par mabni stance ne market ki umeedon ko September tak rate kam hone ki taraf mazboot kiya. Jabke Thursday ko UK ki maaliyat data halka tha, jahan sirf medium-sized industrial production figures jari kiye gaye, sab nigahein US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par thin. Investors jo rate cut ki umeed mein hain, unka umeed hai ke June mein core inflation rate expected 3.4% saalana izafa se kam ho ga. Yeh umeed Powell ke bayanat se aati hai, jise kuch log naram samjhte hain. Lekin Jumeraat ko jari hone wale mazeed US inflation data ne in umeedon par paani pher sakta hai. June ke core Producer Price Index (PPI) ki umeed hai ke saalana basis par 2.3% se 2.5% tak izafa ho sakta hai. Yeh barhta hua index bazaar ke puri khwahishon ko rokne ka imkaan hai.



Technically, British pound ka bullish izafa Budh ko unchi ke zones mein rukawat ka samna kar raha tha. Agar yeh izafay qaim nahin ho sakte, to keemat 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ke aas paas 1.2600 tak gir sakti hai. Is par bulls (investors jo keemat mein izafa hone ki umeed rakhte hain) par hai ke woh mazboot support levels qaim karain taake giravat ko roken. Ulta, agar ooper ki taraf momentum jari rahe, to keemat 1.2816-1.2859 range ko paar kar sakti hai, jo ke 2024 ke 1.2892 ke high ki taraf rasta bana sakta hai. Is resistance area ko toorna British pound-dollar pair ko July 2023 ke 1.2994 resistance level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Pehle se hi U.S. dollar ki CPI US ne jari ki hai. Is haftay tak dollar weak data ke baad so raha tha jo pichle haftay ke weak dollar ke baad gir gaya tha. Pichle haftay ke weak dollar ne mostly GBP/USD ko 1.28 tak barhaya aur haftay ko mazbooti se khatam kiya, is haftay cable aage barh raha hai, busy week ke liye.

Aane wale US inflation data ke release se September mein rate cut ki umeed ko achanak badal sakti hai, GBP/USD ko dekhne ka nazar barha sakta hai, jab ke investors ne Keir Starmer ke pehle haftay mein UK PM ke taur par tezi se badhaya hai. US dollar mein saaf trend is haftay mumkin hai, jabke kuch UK data bhi intezaar karna hoga.

Is se GBP/USD is haftay mein dekhne ke liye ek ahem bunyadi hai. Naye UK PM ke pehle impressions ne market ko impress kiya hai, FTSE aur GBP/USD ke tezi se reaksiyon ke mutabiq, siyasi mustaqil pan UK investors ke liye mukhtasar hai.

Starmer ne kaha "tabdeeli ka kaam turant shuru hota hai", wada karte hue ke "mulk ko dobara tameer karenge" jis ke douran rah e hawar infrastructure ke saath, qoumi sehat aur social care system ke saath aam logon ke dilchasp masaail ka halat aur rehnumai ke liye maiyad se parhez kar raha hai, let's dekhte hain ke unhein is tarah ke tabdeel kaise karne ka irada hai aur market unhein kharidta hai ya nahin.

Is haftay ke liye mukhtasir UK data: GDP aur industrial output, mukhtalif baat hai ke May ke figures aur yeh Starmer aur unke management team ke kehne ke baad kuch nahin hai, GDP ke maamle mein May ke monthly figures ki tasveer phela raha hai, jo ke April ke flat ke baad 0.2% izafa hai. Agar GDP ya dusre UK data is haftay ke expectations se behtar nikalte hain, aur Labour ka jeet mumkin hai toh pound phir se tezi se badh sakta hai, GBP/USD ko ooper le ja sakte hain.



Daily time chart ke liye technical analysis:
Pair ne 1.2845 ke price par bohat mazboot resistance ka saamna kiya hai, yeh third top pattern hai aur hum is area se girne ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur humara stop loss is pattern ke ooper daily candle ko band karne ka hai.

GBP/USD Ke Keemat Kaa Gehra Jaiza

Hum Gehri Tehqeeq Kar Rahe Hain GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ki dynamics ko jo keh girne ki raah dikha rahi hai. Technical indicators ishaarat dete hain ek mumkin giravat ki taraf, jo keh ager neechi raah jari rahe toh is se numayan ho sakti hai. Jabke pair kal apne pichle oonchi ke qareeb tha, magar koi mazboot ishaarat ooper ki raah ke liye mojood nahin hain, jo keh is waqt bechne ke liye faidemand bana sakte hain. Bunyadi maali background bechne walon ko favor karta hai. Mashwara: bechain, umeed ki jaati hai keh 1.2604-1.2619 ke range mein giravat aaye gi. GBP/USD pair ke liye, daily chart par numayan ooper ki movement hai. Ek neeche ko toorna ke baad, pound ne ek faisla mand raah uthaya. Daily chart par pehla rukawat 1.2892 par hai.



Buyers mumkin hai ke is rukawat level ko darmiyani marhalay mein toorna chahein, jo keh mazeed izafa ko barhane ki taraf jaye. Lekin yeh ho sakta hai keh ek neechay koorna ke baad jo takhfeef daily chart ne dikhaya hai. Joda becha par kal ek bearish pin bar ke saath band hua. Pair din ke pehle nisf mein izafa hoa, lekin American traders ne sab izafa ko mita diya, jo keh ek mukhtalif rukh ke ishaarat ke lehaz se bearish ko ek neechay koorna ke liye bechara hai. Hourly chart par, keemat ek ooper ki channel ke andar hai. Aaj, is channel ke neeche ke qareeb, 1.2793 ke level ke aas paas, ek halki giravat thi. Is giravat ke baad, keemat palat gayi aur izafa karne lagi. Pair izafa karta rahe ga, jo keh mazeed 1.2850 ke price channel ke urooj tak pohanch sakte hain. Is had tak pohanchne ke baad, ek palatawar ho sakti hai, keemat neechay is channel ke neeche ki taraf chali jaye gi, jo keh 1.2805 ke level ke aas paas ho sakta hai.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair price assessment ka real-time analysis karte hain. H4 chart par current GBP/USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai.

Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Is haftay ke 4-hour chart par darj white triangle ke andar price trade ho raha tha, jo keh do channels ke milne ki natija hai, jin mein se ek red mein bearish hai, jo pichle haftay ke price movement ki taraf ishara karta hai. Ek blue channel pichle do hafto se price movement ko ooper ki taraf dikhata hai. Is haftay trading ke ibtida mein weekly pivot level 1.2830 ke neeche hone ke saath, umeed thi keh price ke tareeqe ki rawani is haftay ke douran tay ki jayegi. Is natije mein, jab price ne neeche triangle line se support paya aur izafa karne laga, triangle ooper toot gaya aur weekly pivot level tak pohancha, is ne ishara diya keh uroojati trend mein control hai.



Jab price ne weekly resistance 1.2770 tak pohanch kar giravat shuru ki, to is ko ek correction samjha ja sakta hai, kyun keh broken triangle line se support milne ke baad, umeed hai keh price phir se izafa kare ga. Red mein dikhaya gaya pehla mumkinat yeh hai keh price broken triangle line tak giray aur phir weekly pivot level se support milne ke baad 1.2665 ke second weekly resistance level tak pohanchay. Jab green line 1.2610 ke ooper extend hoti hai takay 1.2840 ke resistance level tak seedha izafa ka imkaan ho, yeh haalat mojood level se seedha izafa ka imkaan ho. Doosri soorat mein, 4-hour candle ko kharid sakte hain jab woh 1.2890 ke level se ooper band hota hai, jahan par stop loss entry candle ke lowest price ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai, aur target level 1.2765 ke level ke neeche set kiya ja sakta hai.

Briton pond abhi US dollar ke khilaaf ooper trade kar raha hai aur mazeed taraqqi ke liye chahiye keh Thursday ko kamzor US inflation report aaye. Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound aur US dollar (GBP/USD) ke exchange rate ne pichle haftay 1.35% izafa kiya hai, September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeed ke bais se. US ki maaliyat se mutalliq data, jis mein Jumeraat ke rozana ka report bhi shamil hai, ek kamzor economy ko dikhata hai jo neechay ke interest rates ki madad ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Pound ki keemat dollar ke muqablay mein likhne ke waqt 1.2840 resistance level tak pohanch chuki hai. Is ke ilawa, Britain ki ummumi elections mein saaf natija, mulk mein siyasi mushtabahat ka ikhtitam darshaata hai. Currency pair aur asar andaz hone wale factors par tajziya karte hue Kathleen Brooks, XTB ki analyst, ne kaha, "GBP/USD pichle haftay 1.29% izafa kiya, jis se maloom hota hai keh pound siyasi risk premium kam hone ki wajah se barhta ho sakta hai." Pair ke agle ahem level ka umeed hai $1.30 ka psychological resistance level hai. "Dekhne mein dilchaspi ki baat hai keh British pound ki keemat barh rahi hai, Bank of England ke agle mahine rate cut ki umeedon ke bawajood, jahan tak OIS market ke mutabiq 66% ke chance hain." Dusri taraf, MUFG Bank Ltd ke foreign exchange research ke head Derek Halfpenny ne kaha, "Humne siyasi mustaqil pan aur arzi maali taraqqi ke kuch behtar hone par sterling forecasts mein tabdeeli ki hai, jo keh pehle nazar nahin aayi."



Currency pair ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.

Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par asar andaz hoga.

GBP/USD:

Pichle do mahino mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne ek dynamic aur intriguing price trend dikhaya hai, jo significant fluctuations aur key support aur resistance levels se mark hui hai. Jaise hi hafta khatam hone ko aata hai, lagta hai ke price daily chart par bearish price channels ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo prevailing downtrend ko disrupt karne ki ek strategic move ka signal hai.

Mahine ke shuruat mein, GBP/USD price ne ek notable rise experience kiya, jo strong support se buoyed thi. Yeh initial upward movement sentiment shift ka potential dikhati thi. Lekin, jab price 1.2763-1.2738 range ke resistance par pohanchi, to significant resistance ka saamna karna pada. Yeh resistance zone formidable sabit hua, aur price in levels se bounce down hui, jo downward trend ka initiation indicate karti hai.

Jab price girti rahi, to ek crucial monthly support level ke qareeb pohanchi jo 1.27370 aur 1.27973 ke darmiyan tha. Yeh support zone price ke liye foundation provide ki, further declines ko rokne aur potential reversal ke liye base offer ki. Is support zone mein price movement sideways trend dikhati thi, jo consolidation aur traders mein uncertainty ka period indicate karti hai regarding agla directional move.



Haal hi mein hafton mein, price ne daily chart par bearish price channels ko break karne ki kai koshish ki hain. Is haftay mein khaas taur par, is channel ko breach karne ke liye ek concerted effort dekha gaya hai. Price ke channel ko break karne ki koshish H1 chart par pivot level se aur channel line se resistance mili. Yeh resistance levels ka confluence price ke liye challenging environment create kiya hai apne upward momentum ko sustain karne ke liye.

Is period mein ek notable technical pattern jo observe kiya gaya tha, woh ek pin candle ka formation tha, jo ek potential breakout ke liye perfect setup dikhata tha. Ek pin candle typically ek reversal ya fir kisi significant level of support ya resistance ko indicate karta hai. Is case mein, pin candle ka formation suggest karta tha ke price channel ko break karne ke liye momentum ho sakta hai. Lekin, despite this promising setup, price ne ultimately retreat kiya, breakout sustain karne mein nakam raha.

Subah bakhair. Ji haan, walaayat bechne walay Pound ke liye sudhar ka aaghaz karne mein kamyab rahe, lekin abhi tak yeh amal asar andaz nahin hua hai. Aap ne jo support level note kiya hai, woh qaim hai, aur ek mumkinat hai keh aagey izafa karne ke liye ek naya koshish kiya jaye. Is ke liye, kharidaron ko 1.28245 level ko toorna aur is ke peeche mazbooti se qaim hona hoga, jahan tak keemat ke izafa ke pehle target 1.28452 level ho ga, aur phir hum umeed kar sakte hain keh keemat 1.28599 tak pohanch sakti hai. Walaayat, ek zyada qabil-e-zikar neechay ki taraf movement tashkeel dene ke liye, 1.27773 level ko toorna aur is ke peeche mazbooti se qaim hona hoga, ager unhen is mein kamyabi milti hai, to hum 1.27401 level ki taraf giravat ki umeed kar sakte hain.

Pair GBP/USD M5:

1 - 5-minute chart par taapu ke darmiyanay ilaqe mein hai, aur taapu khud andar ki taraf mutawajjah hone lagi hain. Aur keemat ke izafa ya giravat ke liye ek naya signal hasil karne ke liye, humein taapu ke upper ya lower band ke bahar active nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhte hain keh band baahar khulte hain ya nahin.

2 - AO indicator musbat ilaqe mein kamzor hota ja raha hai, ager hum zero ke through ek transition aur qareeb mustaqbil mein manfi ilaqe mein izafa dekhte hain, to hum keemat mein giravat ke liye ek zyada taqatwar signal hasil kar sakte hain. Musbat ilaqe mein naya izafa keemat ke izafa ke liye ek signal dega.

3 - Kharidaron ke liye dakhli point 1.27943 par ho sakta hai, breakout aur is ke mazboot hone par keemat ka izafa 1.28018 tak pohanchne ka imkaan ho sakta hai.



4 - Walaayat 1.27835 par ho sakti hain, breakout aur is ke mazboot hone par keemat ka giravat 1.27773 tak pohanchne ka imkaan ho sakta hai.

Hello, kaise hain aap. GBP/USD Budh ke European trading mein 1.2800 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jabke US dollar ki dobao se bachne aur barhavat se rahat rakhne se yeh pair ek tang range mein tair raha hai. Ab sab nazrein Fed Chair Powell ke doosre din ki bayanat aur kai dusre Fed policymakers ke taqreeron par hain. Relative strength index late Tuesday ko 50 ke qareeb girne ke baad 60 tak pohanch gaya hai, jo keh darasl ek bullish bias ko zahir karta hai bina kisi momentum ke. Agar GBP/USD 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) ko support ke tor par istemal karta raha, to phir 1.2850-1.2860 (static level, June 12 high) agle resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, phir 1.2900 (psychological level, static level). Agar 1.2800 support nakam ho gaya, to 1.2750 (static level) aur 1.2710 (20-day simple moving average) ki taraf barhne ki mumkinat hai. GBP/USD ne US trading hours ke dauran Mangal ko thoda neeche kiya aur din ko nakami ke sath band kiya. Pair Budh ke European session mein 1.2800 ke aas paas qayam raha jabke investors agli bunyadi driving force ka intezar karte rahe aur bari positions se bachte rahe.



Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Maheena Waraqi monetary policy report pesh kiya aur Senate Banking Committee ke samne sawalat ka jawab diya tha, jo unki congressional testimony ki pehli din thi. Powell ne dobara bayan diya keh policy rate ko cut karna munasib nahin hoga jab tak keh unhe yakeen na ho keh mahangai 2 percent ki taraf ja rahi hai. Rozgar market ke tajarbat ko tashkeel dete hue, "latest labor market data ne wazahat ki hai keh rozgar market mein izafa barah hai," Powell ne kaha. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, ab 25% ke qareeb rate cut ke imkaanat hain. Powell din ke baad House Financial Services Committee ke samne bhi bayanat denge. Magar investors ke liye sab se zyada ahem Thursday ke June Consumer Price Index data ka intezar hai, jo keh GBP/USD ke agle rukh ka faisla karne mein madad faraham karega.

GBP/USD Tafseeli Jaiza: Bulls Nafaz Talash Kar Rahe Hain

GBP/USD ke haal hilaa ke faiz 1.2845 ke resistance par rok gaye, jabke likhne ke waqt yeh joda taqreeban 1.2785 ke aas paas gira hua hai, jabke bulls jari rehte hain. Bharosemand trading platform ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ko UK general election ke musbat natijon ne support kiya hai, jo keh maqami maeeshat ke liye ek naye siyasi dor ka aghaz karta hai. Traders bhi ummeed rakhte hain keh Labour Party apne election promises par qaim rahegi maqami maeeshat ko support karne ke liye, magar yeh bhi hosakta hai keh Bank of England par jald hi interest rates ko cut karne ki dabao barhe.

Agar yeh mamla hai, to GBP/USD apne bulandiyon se aur gir sakta hai jab tak keh BoE ke August mein rate cut hone ki ummeed hai, khas tor par jab Fed easing par khatra mein rukawat dikha raha hai. Aam tor par, Fed Chairman Powell ke Senate aur Congress ke samne is hafte ke bayanat naye insights faraham kar sakte hain unke policy timeline ke hawale se, magar baad mein jaari hone wale US consumer price index ke natijon se akhirkaar yeh tay hoga keh kya September mein rate cut mumkin hai ya nahin.

Maeeshati calendar ke natijon par munhasar hai. Mazboot US consumer price data darasl rate cuts ko mazeed palat sakta hai, dollar ke liye mazeed mazbooti ka sabab ban sakta hai, jabke kamzor mahangai data bearish trend ko bhi le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD chaar ghante ke chart par naye range ki tashkeel nazar aa rahi hai, jo June ke high se 1.2800 ke aham psychological level ko test kar rahi hai. Resistance ke taur par milawat ke tor par joda ke keemat phir se 1.2650 ke aas paas wapis aa sakti hai. Is dauran, 100 SMA 200 SMA ke neechay qaim hai, jo keh mazeed taaqatwar rukh ko darshata hai, ya top ko todne ke bajaye qaim rakhta hai. Magar keemat dono simple moving averages ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Yeh moving averages 1.2700 ilaqe mein bhi support ke taur par kaam kar sakte hain.



Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone mein waqt guzarne ke baad ab nichay ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo keh darata hai keh ab sellers control mein hain jabke thak gaye buyers aaram kar rahe hain. Isi dauran, RSI bhi nichay ki taraf trend kar raha hai, isliye agar bearish pressure shuru ho gaya to GBP/USD bhi nichay ja sakta hai. Dono oscillators ko oversold zone tak chalne ke liye bohot jagah hai, jo seller exhaustion ko reflect karte hain.

Kal, GBP/USD currency pair ne ek dynamic trading session ka samna kiya jisme shuruati upar ki taraf movement thi, lekin baad mein significant downward reversal hua. Din shuru hua ek modest pullback ke saath uttar ki taraf, jisse traders ne keemat ko ooncha kiya. Magar yeh uttari movement thori der ke liye hi qaim rahi.

Din ke dauran, market sentiment badal gaya aur keemat ka direction reverse hone laga. Is hesitation aur ant mein south ki taraf push hone se yeh zahir hota hai ke traders ke darmiyan shuruati umeed ne bearish sentiment ko jagah diya. Is shift ke peeche kai wajohat ho sakti hain, jaise ke maeeshati data releases, market speculation, ya investors ke sentiment mein British pound ya US dollar ke hawaale se changes.

Is intraday reversal ka natija yeh hua ke daily chart par ek relatively small bearish candle ban gaya. Ek bearish candle aam tor par yeh darshata hai ke band hone wali keemat opening price se kam thi, jisse trading period mein net loss signal hota hai. Candle ke chote size ka matlab hai keh jabke bearish move saaf nazar aaya, woh kisi had tak strong nahi tha. Is ko market cautious ya uncertain samjha ja sakta hai, jahan na to bulls aur na hi bears poori tarah se trading session ko dominate kar sake.

Is price action ke peeche kai factors ho sakte hain. Pehle toh, economic data releases currency pairs par bada asar dalte hain. Maan lijiye, agar UK se kisi bhi unfavorable economic report jaise ke kam thane wala GDP growth, badhte hue berozgari, ya nirasha janak retail sales figures aaye hote, toh yeh GBP ko kamzor kar sakta tha. Ulta, US se strong economic indicators jaise ke mazboot job growth, barhne wala consumer spending, ya zyada inflation rates, USD ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jisse GBP/USD pair mein bearish movement aaya.

Dusra, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment currency movements mein ahem role ada karte hain. UK mein kisi bhi siyasi be-tukkia, jaise ke Brexit negotiations ya sarkari policies ke ird gird uncertainty, GBP ko nakaraatmak taur par asar daal sakta hai. Aam tor par, US ki siyasi manzar nama mein kisi bhi taraqqi ya investor confidence ki behtar hoti hui tashveesh, USD ko majboot kar sakti hai.

Technical factors bhi rozana ke price movements par asar daalte hain. Shuruati uttari pullback traders ke short positions ko band karne ya pehle ke bearish trades se munafa lena ke natije mein ho sakta hai, jisse temporary upward spike aaya. Jab yeh buying pressure kam hui, tab prevailing bearish sentiment ne keemat ko neeche daba diya. Chota bearish candle ishara deta hai ke sellers maujood the, lekin woh itne taqatwar nahi the keh ek significant price drop ho, jo market mein consolidation ya uncertainty ko darshata hai.



Akhiri mein, GBP/USD pair ka kal ka performance shuruati uttari pullback ke baad ek hesitant lekin consistent south ki taraf push se marked tha, jisse ek chota bearish candle bana. Yeh movement traders ke darmiyan mixed sentiment aur uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Economic data, geopolitical developments, aur technical factors sab is price action ko shape karne mein madadgar sabit hue. Chota bearish candle ishara karta hai keh jabke bears ko upper hand tha, lekin strong movement ki kami caution aur uncertainty ko darshata hai, jo future mein aur consolidation ya volatility ke liye stage set kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ab hourly chart par ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai. Subah se price ne neeche ki taraf movement ki hai, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ke downward trend jari rehne ka izhaar hai. Traders ne lower boundary ko target kiya hai aur further downward movement ki umeed hai. Subah ke price action ne yeh idea mazboot kiya hai keh selling pressure ab bhi strong hai. Yeh trading chart foreign exchange market mein currency ki price action ko dikhata hai. Price levels aur trends chart par nazar aate hain, jo traders ke liye analysis ke liye ahem hai. Chart par vertical aur horizontal lines time aur price levels ko represent karte hain.

Is chart par pehli cheez jo nazar aati hai, woh ek significant price drop hai. Price shuru mein relatively stable tha, lekin phir ek tezi se giravat nazar aati hai. Yeh ishara karta hai ke market mein shayad kisi important event ne is price movement ko lead kiya ho. Ek sharp drop se pehle ek high peak bhi visible hai, jisse yeh zahir hota hai keh kuch traders ne profits book kiye honge ya phir ek spike ho saka hai, shayad economic news ke asar se.

Chart ke neeche, price recovery ki koshish bhi nazar aati hai. Magar yeh recovery sustainable nahi lagti jab price dobara girne lagta hai. Yeh ishara karta hai keh bearish sentiment ab bhi market mein high hai. Traders ka confidence kamzor hai aur selling pressure predominant hai.

Zyada nazdeek se dekhte hue, yeh chart ek short to medium-term trading scenario ko represent kar raha hai. Alag alag resistance aur support levels clear taur par identify kiye ja sakte hain. Drawn horizontal lines alag alag price points ko show karte hain jahan price ne thori der stability dikhayi.

Is chart ko dekhte hue yeh bhi kaha ja sakta hai keh trading period mein zyada volatility thi. Aise charts aam tor par active trading periods mein dekhe jaate hain jahan market news ya events ke asar se significant price movements hoti hain.

Yeh chart traders ke liye ek valuable tool hai. Is ke zariye woh apni trading strategies adjust kar sakte hain aur informed decisions le sakte hain. Maslan, agar ek trader ne ek support level identify kar liya hai, toh woh us level par buy positions open kar sakte hain aur resistance level par sell positions. Is chart ke zariye market trend aur price action ko analyze karke traders apne trading decisions plan karte hain.



GBP/USD currency pair early Asian session mein Tuesday ko 1.2730 level ke aas paas trade kar raha tha ek slight decline ke saath. Traders UK ki economic condition ke baare mein significant insights dene wale labor market report ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Is data ko wage growth, berozgari dar aur overall job market health ke liye closely scrutinized kiya jaayega, jo Bank of England ki future monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai. Broader market sentiments aur global economic factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko shape karte hain.

Subah bakhair. Kal shukrwar ko market ne tezi se girayi thi, lekin jald hi sab kuch khareed liya gaya. Aam toor par, guzishta saal mein aisi bunyadi data jaise ghair-khandani mulazmat ki taraf dekha ja raha hai, jismain tajziyati tor par kaam ho raha hai, koi darmiyani muddati ek rukh nahi hai, 2-3 ghanton ke andar keemat dono simat chali jati hai aur bas yahi hai. Aur kal, haan, ant mein girne lage, shayad Powell sach mein aisa kuch kaha ho, woh bhi aaj bol rahe hain, shayad kai mukhtalif meetings ho rahi hain, dekhtay hain kya aaj phir se koi reaction hoga ya nahi. Aur aage badhne ke liye Pound ke liye, isay 1.27773 ke level ko toorna aur jamana zaroori hai, taake mark 1.27401 ki taraf jaane ka mauqa mil sake.

GBPUSD pair H4:

1- 4 ghanton ke chart par Pound tapes ke central area tak palat gaya, aur tapes khud andar ki taraf zyada aktively ghoom rahi hain aur ek dusre ki taraf chal rahi hain. Yahan se movement kisi bhi taraf jaari ho sakti hai, aur is situation mein humein keemat ke barhne ya girne ke liye ek aala signal ka intezaar karna chahiye, jab takke upper ya lower band se bahar aktive nikalne ka intezar karein, phir dekhein ke bands ke kholne ya koi reaction na hone ka muaamla ho. Agar hum fractals ke hawale se baat karein, to naye fractals up aur down mein ban gaye hain, nazdeeki fractal ko toorna keemat ko July 4 ke fractal 1.27401 ki taraf le jane ki ejazat dega. Nazdeeki fractal ko toorna upar keemat ko July 8 ke fractal 1.28452 ki taraf le jane ki ejazat dega.



2- AO indicator musbat area mein active tor par fade ho raha hai, aur keemat is par girne ka reaction de rahi hai. Agar aane wale dino mein hum zero ke zariye transition aur musbat area mein active barhne ka nazara dekhein, to yeh keemat ke girne ke liye ek zyada taqatwar signal dega. Musbat zone mein nayi tezi Pound ke dobara barhne ka signal dega.

جولائی 11 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ آگے بڑھا اور 1.2847 کی ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچ گیا۔ مزید بڑھنے کے لیے، 1.2975 تک توسیع کرتے ہوئے، قیمت کو حاصل شدہ سطح سے اوپر کو مستحکم ہونا چاہیے، جو کہ صرف سازگار حالات میں ہی ممکن ہے، جیسا کہ آج، برطانیہ جی. ڈی. پی. اور صنعتی پیداوار پر رپورٹس شائع کرے گا، جبکہ امریکی افراط زر کے اہم اعداد و شمار جاری کرے گا۔



ہم اس بات پر یقین کرنے پر مائل ہیں کہ متوقع خبروں کا مجموعی نتیجہ ڈالر کے حق میں ہوگا، اس لیے ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ پاؤنڈ 1.2755 کی سپورٹ لیول تک گر جائے گا اور مزید نیچے 1.2633 کے ہدف کی سطح پر آ جائے گا۔ ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت، مارلن آسکیلیٹر کے ساتھ، ایک ڈائیورژن بنا ہوا ہے۔

اہم اقتصادی اعداد و شمار کے قریب آنے سے پہلے، تکنیکی سگنل غلط سگنل دے سکتے ہیں، لیکن اس کے باوجود، پاؤنڈ جمع شدہ تھکاوٹ دکھا رہا ہے۔ 1.2755 کی سپورٹ لیول کو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے تقویت ملتی ہے، جو یہاں ایک جدوجہد کی نشاندہی کرتی ہے۔ تاہم، حقیقت یہ ہے کہ قیمت ایک اعداد و شمار سے گر جائے گی، پہلے سے ہی اس جدوجہد کے نتائج کی نشاندہی کرے گی.



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