gbp/usd

GBP/USD ki hourly chart par, yeh nazar aata hai ke pair downtrend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh ye nahi kehne ka matlab hai ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Yeh pair mukhtalif hafto se side movement dikha raha hai aur pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka hai. Isi tarah, British currency phir se buland ho rahi hai aur overall, yeh behtareen aur aksar gair mantiki harkatein dikha rahi hai.

Aaj, is haftay ki trading ki aakhri din par, hum GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.

Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.

Kal, GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal tashkeel kiya. Euro ki tarah, keemat ne 1.2748 ke darje ko paar karne ki koshish 5-6 ghanton tak ki, jab yeh kamiyab hui, pair tezi se nahi badha kyun keh volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Magar aap long position raat bhar tak rakh sakte the, kyun keh pair kamzor harkat dikhata hai aur ek din ke andar signal ko anjam dene ka aitmaad na karna na mumkin tha.

GBP/USD ke hawalay se kal, ek halki thodi si wapis lene ke baad, keemat ne ulta rukh liya aur aglay rukh ki taraf barhna jari rakha, jis ki wajah se ek bullish mumkin candle ban gaya, jo pehle din ke range ke andar band hua, aur maine 1.27399 par nishan lagaya hua resistance level tor diya. Mausam ke halat ke mutabiq, aaj bhi main uttar ki taraf dekh raha hoon aur ummeed hai ke keemat aglay bullish maqsad tak pohanchay gi, jo 1.28604 par hai, ya phir resistance level jo 1.28938 par hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke keemat in levels ke upar consolidate ho aur mazeed ooper ki taraf jaye. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab ho to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 1.29956 ke resistance level ki taraf barhne lagegi. Is resistance level ko tor kar, mazeed ooper ki taraf jaari rukh ki umeed hai, jis mein 1.31424 ke resistance level tak pohanchna mumkin hai. Is resistance level ke aas paas, main ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga, aglay trading rukh ka faisla karne ke liye. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke jab keemat aglay uttar maqsad ki taraf rukh badhay gi, to qareebi support levels se southern pullbacks aa sakte hain, jin se main ummeed karta hoon ke nazdeek ke bullish signals ko talash karne mein madad milegi, uttar rukh ki taraf jari rakhne ke liye, global bullish trend ke dauran.

Agar keemat 1.28604 ya 1.28938 par resistance level ko test karne ke baad ulta rukh leti hai aur ek reversal candle banti hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 1.27399 ke support level tak lautay gi. Is support level ke qareeb, keemat ke nazdeek mein bullish signals ko talash karte hue, main keemat mein izafa ki umeed rakhta hoon. Yahan tak keemat ke mazeed door southern maqsad bhi mumkin hain, lekin is waqt unhein tezi se haqiqi hone ki ummeed nahi hai.

Mukhtasir taur par, aaj ke taur par, main yeh tasleem karta hoon ke keemat aglay ki taraf barhne ka rukh jari rakh sakti hai, magar aaj ke dollar ke strong news background ke bais, sab kuch badal sakta hai, is liye waqai ke halaat ke aadhar par sitaution ka jaiza lene ki zaroorat hogi.

Fundamental Analysis
Budh (Friday) ko, British pound (GBP) ne apni urooj trend ko barqarar rakha. Jab ke UK election ke natayaj announce kiye jaa rahe hain, exit polls ke mutabiq Keir Starmer ki Labour Party aasaani se jeetne wali nazar aa rahi hai, jinhe 650 seat wale House of Commons mein 410 seats milne ki tawaqo hai, jab ke Conservatives ko 131 seats milne ki tawaqo hai. Jaldi Budh ke subah tak, election ke natayej jaanne ki ummeed hai.

Mehngi US data ke bina par US dollar (USD) ko nuqsan ho raha hai, jis se afraad mein ye khayal hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) 2024 mein interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Friday ka sab se ahem waqia US employment statistics hoga, jis mein Jun mein job growth mein kami ka ishaara hone ki tawaqo hai. US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) mein naye jobs ki tadad 190,000 ki umeed hai, pehle ke 272,000 ke mukablay mein.


Jumeraat ko, GBP/USD pair 1.2760 par trade ho raha hai. Daily chart ki tajziya ke mutabiq, pair aik girte hue channel ke andar jaari hai, jo ek bearish nazariya ko zahir karta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50-point barrier ko paar kar chuka hai, jis se mazeed izafa is naqabil-e-umeedi nazariye ko kam kar sakta hai.

Girte hue channel ke ooperi hadood qareeb 1.2780 mark tak GBP/USD pair ke liye ek imtehan pesh kar sakta hai. Agar pair is rokawat ko paar kar le, to woh June ke high, jo qareeban 1.2860 hai, ko challenge kar sakta hai. 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo 1.2701 ke aas paas hai, neeche ki taraf aik ahem sahara darja hai. Agar yeh darja toot jaye, to yeh GBP/USD pair par neeche ki taraf dabao daal sakta hai girte hue channel ke niche ke simt, jo qareeban 1.2612 hai.

Aaj, is hafte ke aakhri trading din par, hum GBPUSD currency pair ki baat karenge - H4 chart par. Budhwar ke trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taizi se oonchaal shuru kiya, aur takneeky tasawwur bhi jari tha. Din bhar market mein chand news release ne pound ki qeemat ko mazeed buland kar diya, jabki America ke tamam indicators apne tajaweez se behtar sabit hue, jo ke bazaar mein qeemti ki raftar ko barha diya. Muddat ki yeh kamzori sirf pound ke sath nahi thi, balki ye amuman market ke har spectrum mein dikhai de rahi thi. Lahoo ki tarkeeb ab apni tarteeb ko oonchi taraf barha rahi hai, MACD indicator apne signal line ke upar buland kar raha hai. Tezi se izafa hone ke baad, kal unhone ek chota sa correctional rollback kiya tha 1.2732 ke qareeb ke qareeb ke support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere, qeemat ne kal aur aaj is rollback ko poori tarah se kha liya hai. Agar pehle wave par target Fibonacci grid lagaya jaye, toh dekha jaa sakta hai ke qeemat ne mazeed tezi ke dauran minimum target ko work-out kiya hai - 161.8 level par. Is grid par 200 level tak bhi tezi ka izafa mumkin hai, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh sirf thori si bulandi ke baad neeche ki taraf muqarar ho jaye, phir girawat ho. Daily period par CCI indicator oonche zone se mudaawamat shuru kar raha hai, jo ke correction ka ishara hai. 1.2700 level tak girna aam baat hai, phir soch sakte hain ke kharidna sahi hai ya nahi. Aaj 15-30 Moscow waqt par asli khabar package jaari hogi: America mein average hourly earnings, non-agricultural sector mein employed shakhsiyat mein tabdeeli, economically active population ki share, private non-agricultural sector mein employed shakhsiyat mein tabdeeli, aur America mein berozgaari dar. 18-00 par America Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report jaari hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair ki live pricing ke tashreeh ke hawale se hamari guftagu yeh hai. British pound ne medium-term support line se aik mazboot recovery dekha, jis se wo 1.2631 level tak pohanch gaya. Is ke baad, trend puri tarah se palat gaya hai aur ab pair confident bullish growth dikha raha hai, jis ke khilaf trading abhi salah nahi hai. Pair ne 1.2671 level par mazboot horizontal resistance ko tor diya hai, jis se buyers ka itmenan barh gaya hai aur mazeed izafa ke liye raste khul gaye hain, jis mein haftay ke 1.2739 peak tak pohanchne ka imkan hai. Is raste mein abhi koi ahem rukawat nahi hai. Main kharid ya farokht ke baray mein nahi soch raha kyunki dollar tamam currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hai. GBP/USD currency pair uptrend mein hai, jo heavy moving average se tasdeeq ho chuki hai, jis par qeemat baar baar takraati hai. Abhi hum 1.2631 level par hain. Supply zone pehle trading session mein thi. Qeemat yahan se aksar takraati hai, lekin 1.2661 resistance ko tor kar bullish rally jari rakhna zaroori hai.

Umooman, 1.2691 ke ooper izafa aur aik candle bandi pair ko 1.280 tak le ja sakta hai aur haftay ke triangle ke urooj ko test kar sakta hai. Britain mein rate situation kuch khas hai. Inflation 2% tak gir gayi hai, lekin Central Bank aisa nahi samajh rahi jaise ke gir gayi ho, aur action ko aane wale intekhabaat ka zikar kar ke rok rahi hai. Central Bank Conservative representatives se mushtaq hai, jinhain Labour Party ko fawaid nahi dena chahti. Yeh rawaiya mumkin hai ke halaat ko mazeed bigar de. Lekin phir bhi, pound aaj bhi izafa kar raha hai. GBP/USD ke liye upar aur neechay ki movement mumkin hai, jo critical levels aur market ke reaction par munhasir hai. Traders ko 1.2701 aur 1.2691 levels ko qareeb se dekhna chahiye, kyunki yeh agle ahem harkat ko batayenge.

BP/USD pair ke Asian session mein Friday ko ek khas range mein trade karne ki umeed hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) meeting ke baad peechlay din ki girawat ko jari rakhegi. Yeh harkat pair ko iske mahana lows ke qareeb le aayi hai. Filhal, spot price mid-1.2600s ke thoda upar hai aur lagta hai ke yeh multi-month high jo ke pichle hafte 1.2860 ke qareeb tha, se correction jari rakhega. Technical tor par, woh traders jo mazeed girawat par bet lagana chahte hain, unhe naye trades karne se pehle support level jo ke 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai, ke neeche break ka intezar karna chahiye. Daily chart ke indicators abhi negative momentum dikhana shuru kar rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD 1.2600 level tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh downward trend jari rehta hai, to yeh 1.2560-1.2555 ko tor sakta hai, aur psychological level 1.2500 aur May ke low point ke qareeb, yani 1.2445 ki taraf ja sakta hai. GBP/USD pair mein kamzor upward correction dikh rahi hai, jo yeh darshaati hai ke agar sellers control mein rehte hain to mazeed girawat ke imkanaat hain. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2642, jo ke ek potential support ban sakta hai, aur 1.2891, jo ke target ban sakta hai agar pound phir se mazboot hota hai.
Doosri taraf, agar recovery ki koshish hoti hai to pehla resistance 1.2685 ke qareeb hoga, phir 1.2700 level par, aur 1.2715-1.2720 supply zone par. Agar pair weekly high 1.2740 ke qareeb ko cross kar leta hai, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko 1.2800 mark ki taraf push karega. Jari rakhi gayi taqat monthly high 1.2860 ke qareeb ka retest aur mumkin hai ke is saal ke peak 1.2900, jo ke March mein aya tha, tak le ja sakti hai. RSI ka 50 ke neeche hona bearish outlook darshaata hai. Trading mein bhalaai ho.
GBP/USD ke maqsadgeer zahiri ahmiyat jo 1.2730$ par resistance aur 1.2700$ par support ke zariye darshaye gaye hain, ab bhi qayam mein hain. Jaisa ke pehle kaha gaya tha, keemaat ko apnay mustaqbil rukh ko wazeh karnay aur humari be-takhalusiyat ko barqarar rakhnay ke liye, isay in levels mein se kisi ek ko torrna zaroori hai. Agar support level 1.2700$ ko torr diya jata hai to keemat dabao mein ajayegi; agla bara maqsad 1.2580$ hai. Jab ke resistance 1.2730$ ko torr diya jaye, to naye bullish lehar ka aghaz hoga, jis ke maqsadgeer 1.2800$ aur 1.2890
GBP/USD ke liye uncharacteristic hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers weak hain ya phir buyers ke liye subsequent upward move setup ho raha hai. Agar bullish shift hota hai to levels 2551 aur 2501 relevant hain, aur further evaluation ki zarurat hai. Agar sellers momentum gain karte hain, to hum 2411 tak pahunch sakte hain; mera target kareeb 2451 hai within the 24-figure range, magar yeh approximate hai. Aaj ke news, including interesting US GDP data, movements ko influence kar sakti hai. Jab yeh likh raha hoon to ek possible sell-off shuru ho raha hai. Sales ka cancellation 2681 par hai, lekin 2631 ke upar consolidation growth signal kar sakta hai 2681 tak, jo crucial banata hai ke sellers 2631 ke niche rahein

Aaj, is hafta ke aakhri trading din pe, hum GBPUSD currency pair ka H4 chart dekhein ge. Budh ke trading doran, is currency pair ke price ne ek strong upward movement ka aghaz kiya, aur technical picture bhi develop ho rahi thi. Din ke doran jo news release hui, usne pound ke growth ko aur bhi fuel kiya, sab US ke indicators kal ke forecasts se worse thay, jis se market me price growth ka rate barh gaya, jo ke din ke doran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke against nahi, balki poore market spectrum me weaken hua. Wave structure ne upward order banana shuru kar diya, MACD indicator upper purchase zone me grow kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Kal ke rapid growth ke baad, unho ne nearest support level 1.2732 tak ek small correctional rollback down kar liya. Aur dheere dheere price ne kal aur aaj ke rollback ko pura cover kar liya. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid pehle wave pe apply karein, to aap dekh sakte hain ke price ne growth ke doran minimum target 161.8 level pe achieve kiya. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke growth 200 level tak develop ho, halan ke ye doubtful hai ke hum thodi der ke liye top ke thoda bahar nikal ke phir decline karein. Daily period pe CCI indicator upper zone se turn ho raha hai, jo correction ke development ka hint de raha hai. Level 1.2700 tak descent normal lag raha hai, aur phir hum ye soch sakte hain ke buying karein ya nahi. Aaj 15-30 Moscow time pe main news package release ho raha hai: Average hourly earnings in the US, US non-agricultural sector me employed logon ki tadaad ka change, US me economically active population ka share, US private non-agricultural sector me employed logon ki tadaad ka change, US me unemployment rate. 18-00 pe - US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report.

USD pair mojooda waqt par H4 chart par 1.2778 par trade ho raha hai. Tajziya karte hue aakhri market conditions ko dekhte huye, hum ummeed karte hain ke kal ke FOMC ki khabron ke baad koi khaas tezi nahi hogi. Prices ne haal hi mein kuch ahem fluctuations dikhaye hain. Shuru mein, price ne 1.2812 ke strong buy level ko toorna shuru kiya, jo ek potential upward move ko darust karta hai. Magar, price ne level ko barqarar nahi rakha aur rukh badal diya, wahi level toorna, jo ke ek bearish movement ko darust karta hai. Iss haalaat ke zahir hone ke baad, lagta hai ke price ab neday support level 1.2686 ko test karega. Yeh potential 1.2686 support level ka test traders ke liye bohot ahem hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchta hai aur isay barqarar rakhta hai, toh ye un logon ke liye buying provide kar sakta hai jo market mein kam price par dakhil hona chahte hain. Magar, agar price is support level ke neeche toot jata hai, toh ye aur neeche ki taraf ki movement ko darust kar sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ka jaari rahna darust karta hai. H4 chart par, MACD indicator ab normal buy signal dikha raha hai. Yeh darust karta hai ke market mein kharidari ke interest hai, lekin yeh qareebi muddat mein prices ko zyada buland karne ke liye kafi mazboot nahi hai. Traders ko MACD indicator ko kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye dekhna chahiye, kyunke ek mazboot buy signal par tabdeeli bearish trend ko ulta karne ki ishaara kar sakta hai. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, main charts ko kareebi tor par nazarandaz karunga ke dekhu agar price 1.2686 support level ko test karta hai. Yeh level bohot ahem hai kyunke yeh GBP/USD pair ke potential agle rukh ko tay karega. Agar price is support ke upar barqarar rehta hai, toh ye acha buying opportunity dene ka imkan deta hai. Magar, agar yeh toot jata hai, toh hum GBP/USD ke price mein aur neeche girne ki tajwez dekh sakte hain. Aakhri mein, GBP/USD ke liye mojooda market sentiment cautious hai, traders kisi bhi bada rukh ko karne se pehle zyada wazeh signals ka intezaar kar rahe hain.
Technical Reference: Jab tak ye 1.28000 ke neeche hai, sell karen
Resistance 1: 1.28000
Resistance 2: 1.28160
Support 1: 1.27280
Support 2: 1.27130

GBP/USD currency pair ab bullish pressure ke tehat hai jo mazeed mazboot ho raha hai. Pichle kuch trading sessions mein, pair ne taizi dikhayi hai, jaise ke 1.27553 ke level par high break hone ki tasdeeq se saboot milta hai. Yeh bullish momentum ne phir keemat ko 1.27827 ke aas paas naye urooj tak pohanchaya hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke market sentiment ab bhi GBP ko USD ke khilaf mazbooti se support kar raha hai, jo ke mumkin hai UK ki mazboot economic data ya phir USD ki kamzor hone ki wajah se. Lekin, chahe ke bullish trend abhi bhi dominion mein hai, humein potential correction ke signs par tawajjo deni chahiye. Market hamesha ek hee direction mein nahi chalta, aur ek significant rally ke baad, aksar retracement ya correction healthy market dynamics ka hissa hota hai. Abhi ke moqay par, keemat ko correction hone ki nishan dikhayi de rahi hai. Is nishanat mein kisi khas candlestick pattern, RSI jaise technical indicators se overbought signals, ya phir ek mazboot resistance level shamil ho sakta hai.
Foreign exchange market, jo apni dynamic nature aur rapid pace ke liye jaana jata hai, abhi ek lull mein hai. Yeh lack of activity traders ke liye ek unique challenge present karti hai. Aam tor par, market kai opportunities offer karta hai positions enter aur exit karne ke liye, small fluctuations ko capture karne ke aim se. Lekin present conditions mein, dozen points ka modest gain secure karna bhi arduous task ban gaya hai. Market ki movement itni restrained hai ke yeh almost inert dikhai deti hai, viable entry points ko identify karna ya short-term trades se profit lena mushkil bana deti hai.
Aaj, unfortunately, is pattern se deviation expected nahi hai. Economic calendar, jo traders closely monitor karte hain potential market-moving events ke liye, barren hai. Jab calendar mein significant events na ho, to market aimlessly drift karta hai, bina kisi decisive direction mein move karne ki impetus ke. Even wo data points jo aam tor par impactful samjhe jate hain, jaise ke home sales figures from the United States, bhi yeh necessary jolt provide karne ki ummed nahi hai jo dormant market ko jagaye.
Technical landscape, particularly jab chart ke lens se dekha jaye, yeh uncertainty reflect karta rehta hai. Quotes stubbornly current trading range ke median boundary par adhered rehti hain. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market ek state of equilibrium mein hai, jahan na bulls aur na bears koi decisive advantage hasil kar pate hain. Level 1.2686 ya uske aas paas focal point ban gaya hai, jahan prices oscillate karte hain bina kisi significant strides ke either direction mein

GBP/USD ke price movements par aur analysis karte hue, humein support aur resistance levels ko bhi dekhna chahiye. Current price ka lower Bollinger Band ko touch karna yeh indicate karta hai ke price ek important support level par hai. Agar yeh support level hold karti hai, to price wapas upar ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, to yeh downward trend ko continue kar sakti hai. Technical indicators ke ilawa, humein fundamental factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhna chahiye jo GBP/USD ke movements ko affect karte hain. UK aur US ki economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events GBP/USD par significant impact daal sakte hain. Aane wale dinon mein koi bhi major economic announcements ya data releases GBP/USD ke price movements ko further influence kar sakte hain.
Is waqt, GBP/USD daily chart pe dekhne se nazar aata hai ke price lower Bollinger Band par support dhoond rahi hai. Agar yeh support hold karti hai, to hum short-term mein price rebound dekh sakte hain. Iss situation mein, traders ko cautious approach rakhni chahiye aur price action aur other technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye.
Yeh bhi important hai ke risk management strategies ko follow kiya jaye. Position sizing aur stop-loss orders use karke, traders apne capital ko potential losses se protect kar sakte hain. Current market conditions ko dekhte hue, itni volatility mein prudent trading decisions lena zaroori hai.
In conclusion, GBP/USD ne kal lower Bollinger Band ko touch kiya, jo ke oversold condition aur potential support level ko indicate karta hai. Fundamental aur technical analysis ko milate hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur market movements ko closely monitor karte hue apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Trading mein risk management ko madde

GBP/USD Analysis

Aaj subah US Dollar ko global currencies ke khilaf pressure ka samna hai kyunki price quote daily pivot ke neeche hai. Price action ke perspective se ek interesting pair GBP/USD hai jismein 160 pips ka bullish movement dekha gaya hai, isliye abhi bhi 1.2858 resistance ko penetrate karne ka mauka hai, jab weekly range 240 pips tak complete ho jaye. Is journal mein main technical aspects aur aaj ke trading ke liye optimal trading setup ko discuss karunga jo multi-timeframes ke basis par analysis ke liye use hota hai.

Asian market ke khulne se hi price weekly highest area 1.2776 mein hai, yeh level potential sell area ban sakta hai agar price buyers ke open positions close karne par fail ho jaye. Lekin, daily timeframe par candle ab tak upper BB ko touch nahi kiya hai aur abhi bhi 1.2800 tak upar jane ki kaafi gunjaish hai. Iske ilawa, 1.2858 tak upar jane ka potential bhi kaafi open hai, kyunki aaj raat NFP data release hoga jo forex market mein kaafi volatility la sakta hai. Agar price market close par hold karne mein fail ho jata hai, to yeh daily reject candle bana sakta hai jo agle trade mein decline trigger kar sakta hai. Is condition se humein yeh samajh mein aata hai ke price fake out hone ka potential rakhta hai.



4-hour timeframe par movement dikhata hai ke buyers ne orange downtrend line ko successfully breakout kar diya hai aur uptrend start kiya hai, lekin price position blue rectangle supply zone 1.2757 - 1.2766 mein stuck hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Agar price fail hota hai to yeh decline trigger karega yellow rectangle demand zone 1.2691 - 1.2678 tak, jo weekly re-entry buy ka zone hai. Agar buyers breakout mein successful hote hain to price movement green rectangle resistance area 1.2843 - 1.2856 ki taraf move karegi. Agar aap RSI 14 aur Stochastic oscillator indicators ko observe karein to yeh overbought area mein flat nazar aate hain, jo dikhata hai ke bullish trend abhi bhi dominant hai. ZZL ya Sone Zero Loss signal bhi form ho chuka hai jahan MA5/MA10 High aur Low lines aur middle Bollinger band line ne blue EMA50 trend line ko penetrate kar liya hai. Jab yeh death cross pattern form hota hai, to generally price pull back hoti hai aur ek optimal buy position open karne ka mauka banta hai.

Trading Setup

BUY ON BREAKOUT: Agar supply zone 1.2757 - 1.2766 ka breakout hota hai ek solid bullish candle ke sath, to SL 1.2730 aur TP 1.2843 rakhein.

BUY LIMIT: Yellow rectangle demand area 1.2691 - 1.2678 mein buy limit set karein taake possible pullback ko anticipate kiya ja sake, SL 1.2650 aur TP1 1.2766 - TP2 1.2843 rakhein.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

H4 timeframe par jo movement dekhi ja rahi hai, usse yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke main trend wapas se strong bullish movement mein hai. Kal is pair ne 1.270 ka important area penetrate kar liya tha aur 1.275 ke area ko bhi touch kar liya tha. Lekin wahan se phir se neeche aa gaya, aur subah tak GBP/USD phir se 1.275 ke area ke aas-paas hai. Agar hum H4 par oscillator ko dekhein, to abhi bhi neeche jane ka kaafi mauka hai. Overbought position mein jane ke baad, ab wapas neeche jane ka mauka hai. Yeh movement clear picture deti hai ke GBP/USD ke wapas decline hone ka mauka abhi bhi hai. Filhaal main extreme sell candle ka wait kar raha hoon aur jaldi mein sell nahi karna chahta.



Technical Reference: Buy jab tak 1.27065 ke upar hai
Resistance 1: 1.27750
Resistance 2: 1.27875
Support 1: 1.27210
Support 2: 1.27065

GBP/USD ke liye US trading session mein raat ko (4/7/24) rise ka mauka hai. Yeh potential increase Moving Average (MA) indicator se supported hai jo running price ke upar hai, yeh dikhata hai ke one-hour moving average abhi bhi upar jayega. MACD bhi bullish opportunity show kar raha hai kyunki histogram positive area mein hai, yeh dikhata hai ke price aur upar move kar sakti hai.

15-minute chart par bhi GBP/USD rise ka mauka de raha hai kyunki MACD indicator positive area mein hai, yeh signal hai ke buyers dominate kar rahe hain. Agar upar ke scenario ke mutabiq dekhein, to GBP/USD ke resistance level 1.27875 tak jane ka mauka hai.

GBP/USD Pair Ki Technical Analysis

1-Hour Chart




Aane wale ghanton aur kal ke liye price trend zyada likely upward hai. Aaj ka trading price acchi support area mein shuru hua hai jab ke price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize hui, aur price ascending price channels ke neeche ki lines pe hai.

Aaj ka Trading Advice

Buy Opportunity: Abhi ke level se buy karne pe focus karein aur stop loss level price channels ke neeche rakhein.
Sell Opportunity: Jab price channels ko break karne mein successful ho jaye tab sell ka sochen. Re-test pattern ka intezar bhi kar sakte hain, jab price peak banaye channel lines ke saath break hone ke baad, taki level 1.2691 tak sell entry le sakein.

Economic Side

US dollar ka price decline hua jab weekly survey ne zyada logon ko US unemployment benefits ke liye apply karte hue dikhaya. ISM survey ne unexpected sharp slowdown in activity dikhaya services sector mein. Iss wajah se GBP/USD price jump kar gayi 1.2780 resistance level tak, jo ke is se zyada do hafton mein sabse high level hai, aur Thursday ke trading ke start mein 1.2740 ke aas paas settle hui, American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar mein.

Economic Calendar Results

June mein US headline ISM Services PMI 48.8% pe pohunch gaya, jo activity mein contraction ko dikhata hai, aur May ke 53.8% se neeche hai. Expected 52.5% ke muqable mein ye decline significant tha. Service companies American economy ka sabse bada sector hain. Markets is loss ke size pe react kar rahi hain aur betting kar rahi hain ke Federal Reserve US interest rates ko September mein cut karne ke liye confident feel karega. Iske jawab mein, US bond yields gire, dollar gira, aur stock prices upar gayi.

Jese hi Tuesday ki early session unfold hoti hai, currency pair ne thoda bullish movement dikhaya, jo investors ki attention ko capture kar raha hai. Yeh pair abhi 1.2690 region ke around trade kar raha hai, aur yeh trend significant upcoming financial news ke against set hai for GBP aur USD. Ek major event jo investors ke liye horizon pe hai woh hai Federal Reserve ka interest rate decision. Officials widely expect ki current rates ko seventh consecutive time ke liye maintain kiya jayega. Policymakers ne emphasize kiya hai ki woh rates ko tab tak lower consider nahi karenge jab tak inflation sustainably desired 2% target pe return nahi karti. Investors eagerly await kar rahe hain Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference aur dot plot se insights ke liye, jo future interest rate outlook ke crucial indicators provide karega.

Market speculation regarding potential Fed rate cuts throughout the year narrow ho gayi hai ek anticipated cut pe, jo likely November ya December meetings mein ho sakti hai. Notably, September meeting mein rate cut ki expectation significantly diminish ho gayi hai, jo investors ke cautious approach ko reflect karti hai. Pair ne temporary cushion round-level support of 1.2650 against the US Dollar ke near find kiya hai. Pair ko 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) bhi bolster kar rahi hai, jo abhi 1.2633 ke around trade kar rahi hai. Furthermore, 50-day EMA higher trend kar rahi hai, jo near-term outlook ko optimistic indicate karti hai. Pair 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support pe resilient hai, jo March 8 high of 1.2900 se April 22 low of 1.2300 ke range mein precisely 1.2666 pe hai. However, is support level ke bawajood, 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) lower range of 40.00-60.00 mein drop ho gayi hai, jo momentum mein potential decline ko suggest karti hai.

GBP/USD Market Forecast

Salaam aur Subah Bakhair dosto. UK visitors ke liye Election Day mubarak ho!

Kal US ADP Non-Farm Employment rate 163K se gir kar 150K par aa gayi thi. US Unemployment rate bhi 234K se barh kar 238K ho gayi. Doosri taraf, ISM aur Final Service PMI rate bhi GBP/USD sellers ki madad nahi kar sake. Yeh 1.2765 zone ke aas paas pohonch gaya tha. Aaj UK Parliamentary Elections buyers ki madad kar sakti hain ke yeh 1.2765 zone ko cross kar lein. Trading mein ehtiyaat se kaam lein.

Yeh baat saaf karti hai ke market dynamics ko samajhna aur strategies ko adjust karna kitna zaroori hai taake aap competitive edge banaye rakh sakein. Aaj ke market mein buyers ke liye mauka hai ke wo thrive kar sakein, bas traders ko emerging opportunities ko jaldi se samajhna hoga aur risk management protocols ko mazboot banana hoga.

GBP/USD pe trading ke liye hum different chart patterns jaise ke Bollinger Band use kar sakte hain. Ek aur chart pattern jo mashhoor ho raha hai wo inverse head-and-shoulders pattern hai. Yeh pattern suggest karta hai ke prices short term mein rise kar sakti hain, aur potential target 1.40 ke kareeb ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh pattern abhi confirm nahi hua, aur prices different direction mein bhi break out kar sakti hain.



Indicators se hum market sentiment ko effectively recognize kar sakte hain. Ek notable reading Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke prices increasingly overbought hain. Yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke prices correction ya consolidation ke liye due hain.

Aaj GBP/USD market buyers ke favor mein rahega. Dekhte hain kuch ghanton baad kya hota hai.

Aap sab ko successful trading day mubarak!