جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

### GBP/USD Technical Analysis
#### Daily Chart

GBP/USD pair ne is maheene mein significant downward trend ka samna kiya hai, jahan har support level ke price behavior ne iske continuation ko confirm kiya hai. Shuru mein, price ne monthly pivot level 1.2810 par do din support payi, magar phir jaldi hi decline kar gayi, pivot aur ascending red channel dono ko tor diya. Daily chart par pin candle form hone ke bawajood, ab monthly pivot level resistance ka samna karte hue price apni descent continue kiye hue hai.

Monthly support level 1.2760 par do din ke liye brief support mila, lekin phir price ne downward trajectory resume kar di. Abhi, price monthly support level 1.2680 ko test kar rahi hai aur rukne ke koi asaar nahi dikhaye. Trading ne is support ke neeche teen consecutive din tak rehne ke baad high likelihood dikhayi hai ke price agle monthly support level 1.2670 tak aur gir sakti hai.

#### 4-Hour Chart

4-hour chart par, price descending channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai, channel lines ke saath do price peaks form karte hue. Ab price weekly support level 1.2685 ke neeche stabilize ho gayi hai, aur red channel line se resistance ka samna kar rahi hai. Is support level ke neeche sideways movement dikhati hai ke ane wale ghanton mein decline ka continuation likely hai.

### Trading GBP/USD

#### Selling Opportunity:
- **Enter Sell Position**: Current level se sell position enter karein, monthly support level 1.2650 ko target karte hue.
- **Stop Loss**: Stop loss ko 1.2740 level ke upar set karein.
- **Take Profit**: Market analysis ke mutabiq take profit set karein.

Sab ko best of luck!

GBP/USD

Pound ka khareednay ka tasdeeq point aaya jab GBP/USD ke price ne 1.2729 pe test kiya, jo MACD indicator ka zero se oopar jaana se mawafiq tha. Yeh GBP/USD jodi mein 35 pips se zyada ka phailao le aaya. UK ke loaning report ka shukriya Friday subah pair ki raah par koi khaas asar nahi dala, lekin US reports se naye long positions trigger huay, jo upar ka trend mazid taqwiyat diya, jo maine pehle bhi faida uthaya, jo pehle zikar kiye gaye entry point mein.
Aaj, UK Manufacturing PMI figures ke izhar hone ki tawaqo hai. Agar yeh values investors ke expectations ko paar karein, toh yeh pound ke uthao ko jari rakhna ke liye sabit hogi, kyun ke haftay ke ibteda mein short-term bechne ke koi wazay sabab nahi hain. Mera tareeqa hai ke main pound khareedun jab GBP/USD 1.2755 tak pohanch jaye, jo ke chart pe hari line se nishanit hai, 1.2805 ke nishanit hai, jo moti hari line se zahir hai. 1.2805 tak pohanchne ke baad, main long positions band karun ga aur short positions shuru karun ga 30-35 pips ke ulte irtifa ke intezar mein.

Pound ke harkat par aaj ka itminan rozay ke high ka pakka toorna aur musbat UK manufacturing activity figures par mabni hai. Khareednay se pehle, zaroori hai ke tasdeeq karen ke MACD indicator zero ke oopar hai aur abhi shuru ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, agar do musalsal tests hoti hain 1.2723 ke price ka jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai, toh main bhi pound khareednay ka irada rakhta hoon, kyun ke yeh instrument ka neeche ki taraf ki taqat ko rok sakta hai aur mukhtalif auron ka izhar karsakta hai, jo 1.2755 aur 1.2805 ke darmiyan ki harkat ki tawaqo ki jaati hai.

Mukhaalif, 1.2723 ke level ko test karne ke baad (jo chart pe laal line se nishanit hai), jiski wajah se GBP/USD mein tezi se kami aati hai, toh main aaj pound bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Traders ke liye asal nishan 1.2684 hoga, jahan pe main choti positions band karun ga aur long positions shuru karun ga, ulte irtifa ke 20-25 pips ke movement ki tawaqo mein. Pound bechna uchit hai jab jodi rozay ke high ke qareeb mazid koi jama nahi hoti. Bechnay se pehle, zaroori hai ke tasdeeq karen ke MACD indicator zero ke neeche hai aur abhi shuru ho raha hai.

Iske ilawa, agar MACD indicator overbought region mein hai aur 1.2755 ke do musalsal tests hote hain, toh main aaj pound bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ke upar ki taraf ki tawaqo ko mehdood kardega aur mukhtalif auron ka izhar kar sakta hai, jo 1.2723 aur 1.2684 ke darmiyan ki harkat ki tawaqo ki jaati hai.

Bank of England apni August meeting se interest rates mein kami kar sakta hai kyunki annual headline inflation UK mein April mein gir gayi thi. Pound temporarily 1.2710 ke against US dollar par report hua tha, jo 0.04% upar tha, aur kal 1.2805 par close hua. Market yeh umeed kar rahi hai ke Bank of England September mein interest rates mein kami karegi, jab ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko badhane ka plan kar rahi hai.
Bank of England ke interest rates mein kami karne ke chances hain jo apni August meeting se shuru ho sakte hain, kyunki UK ki annual headline inflation April mein kafi gir gayi thi. Magar BoE ke policymakers ab bhi services sector mein deflation ke slowdown se pareshan hain. UK mein koi top-level economic data release nahi hui, is liye is hafte GBP/USD movements ko US dollar ke price dynamics hi influence karenge.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko early Asian trading mein kuch buyers ko 1.2710 ke aas paas attract kiya. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 40 par gir gaya, jo bearish momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. GBP/USD ka pehla support 1.2680-1.2670 par hai, jahan 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) latest uptrend ke Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level se milta hai. Aaj, aap 1.2835-1.2765 range ke lower limit par buy kar sakte hain, 40-point stop loss ke saath breakout par, aur target range ke upper limit par hai.

Disclaimer: Is article mein diye gaye operational suggestions sirf teesri party ke views ko represent karte hain aur is platform se inka koi taluq nahi hai. Investment risky hai aur market mein enter karte waqt aapko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Trading karte waqt apne risks ke zimmedar aap khud hain.

**GBP/USD Analysis**
Is hafte, United States mein bohot saari important information publish hogi. Isliye, dollar ko decline dikhane ka kai mauka milega. Badqismati se, pichle kuch mahinon se U.S. data consistently disappointing hai. Yeh disappointing itna hai ke fundamental background bhi dollar ko further sell-offs se bacha nahi sakti. Yeh worth noting hai ke Federal Reserve pehli monetary policy easing ka waqt lagataar postpone kar rahi hai. Market constantly yeh expect kar rahi hai ke Fed rate-cutting cycle ko bohot jaldi shuru karegi. Isliye, kaha ja sakta hai ke market khud apne judgments aur expectations ke liye zimmedar hai, jo baar baar galat sabit hoti hain.

Lekin, credit dena zaroori hai jahan due ho. Market participants repeatedly mistakes karte hain, isliye unhone simply apne errors ko ignore karne ka faisla kiya hai. Dusre lafzon mein, dollar ko abhi rise karna chahiye tha kyunki March aur June mein Fed rate cuts ka expectation materialize nahi hua. Lekin, market simply apni mistakes ko acknowledge karne se inkaar kar rahi hai aur is fact ke base par dollar ko buy karne se inkaar kar rahi hai. Isliye, aisi situation arise hoti hai jahan dollar bohot waqt se fall ho raha hai kyunki sab rate cut ko March mein expect kar rahe the, aur ab yeh rise nahi ho raha kyunki market is factor ko ignore kar rahi hai.

Isliye, U.S. data is hafte main focus mein hoga. Agar yeh disappointing nikli, jaise ke is hafte ka pehla report hua, toh dollar se aur ek decline expect karna hoga.

Technical perspective se, sab kuch predictable hai, lekin sirf 4-hour timeframe mein. 4-hour chart par upward trend persist karta hai, aur moving average ke neeche closings se kuch khaas farq nahi padta. Trend downward nahi hoti, bhale hi sell signals form ho rahe ho. Isliye, jo traders purely technical trading karte hain wo British pound ko buy karna continue kar sakte hain. GBP/USD ki average volatility last five trading days mein 69 pips hai, jo pair ke liye ek average value consider ki jati hai. Aaj, hum GBP/USD ko 1.2719 aur 1.2857 ke levels ke beech move karte hue dekh sakte hain. Higher linear regression channel downward point kar rahi hai, jo downward trend suggest kar rahi hai. CCI indicator ne May mein teen baar oversold area enter kiya, aur British currency ne ek nayi growth phase start ki. Lekin, yeh correction bohot pehle khatam ho jana chahiye tha. GBP/USD pair trading higher continue kar rahi hai. Pound rise kar leti hai jab ke uske paas koi reason nahi hota. Aur jab hota hai, growth expect se bohot zyada strong hoti hai. Lekin, hum ab bhi downward movement expect karte hain, lekin current paradoxical rise ke saath, humein shayad iske liye bohot der tak wait karna padega. Short positions zyada relevant lagti hain, kyunki zyada factors downwards point karte hain. Isliye, aap pair ko sell karne ka consider kar sakte hain targets ke saath 1.2665 aur 1.2604 par, lekin sirf agar price moving average ke neeche consolidate hoti hai. Aap longs ko moving average line ke upar consider kar sakte hain agar aap solely technical analysis par trade karte hain ya agar is hafte ke U.S. reports weak nikalti hain.

***

Is hafte, United States mein bohot saari important information publish hogi. Isliye, dollar ko decline dikhane ka kai mauka milega. Badqismati se, pichle kuch mahinon se U.S. data consistently disappointing hai. Yeh disappointing itna hai ke fundamental background bhi dollar ko further sell-offs se bacha nahi sakti. Yeh worth noting hai ke Federal Reserve pehli monetary policy easing ka waqt lagataar postpone kar rahi hai. Market constantly yeh expect kar rahi hai ke Fed rate-cutting cycle ko bohot jaldi shuru karegi. Isliye, kaha ja sakta hai ke market khud apne judgments aur expectations ke liye zimmedar hai, jo baar baar galat sabit hoti hain.

Lekin, credit dena zaroori hai jahan due ho. Market participants repeatedly mistakes karte hain, isliye unhone simply apne errors ko ignore karne ka faisla kiya hai. Dusre lafzon mein, dollar ko abhi rise karna chahiye tha kyunki March aur June mein Fed rate cuts ka expectation materialize nahi hua. Lekin, market simply apni mistakes ko acknowledge karne se inkaar kar rahi hai aur is fact ke base par dollar ko buy karne se inkaar kar rahi hai. Isliye, aisi situation arise hoti hai jahan dollar bohot waqt se fall ho raha hai kyunki sab rate cut ko March mein expect kar rahe the, aur ab yeh rise nahi ho raha kyunki market is factor ko ignore kar rahi hai.

Isliye, U.S. data is hafte main focus mein hoga. Agar yeh disappointing nikli, jaise ke is hafte ka pehla report hua, toh dollar se aur ek decline expect karna hoga.

Technical perspective se, sab kuch predictable hai, lekin sirf 4-hour timeframe mein. 4-hour chart par upward trend persist karta hai, aur moving average ke neeche closings se kuch khaas farq nahi padta. Trend downward nahi hoti, bhale hi sell signals form ho rahe ho. Isliye, jo traders purely technical trading karte hain wo British pound ko buy karna continue kar sakte hain. GBP/USD ki average volatility last five trading days mein 69 pips hai, jo pair ke liye ek average value consider ki jati hai. Aaj, hum GBP/USD ko 1.2719 aur 1.2857 ke levels ke beech move karte hue dekh sakte hain. Higher linear regression channel downward point kar rahi hai, jo downward trend suggest kar rahi hai. CCI indicator ne May mein teen baar oversold area enter kiya, aur British currency ne ek nayi growth phase start ki. Lekin, yeh correction bohot pehle khatam ho jana chahiye tha. GBP/USD pair trading higher continue kar rahi hai. Pound rise kar leti hai jab ke uske paas koi reason nahi hota. Aur jab hota hai, growth expect se bohot zyada strong hoti hai. Lekin, hum ab bhi downward movement expect karte hain, lekin current paradoxical rise ke saath, humein shayad iske liye bohot der tak wait karna padega. Short positions zyada relevant lagti hain, kyunki zyada factors downwards point karte hain. Isliye, aap pair ko sell karne ka consider kar sakte hain targets ke saath 1.2665 aur 1.2604 par, lekin sirf agar price moving average ke neeche consolidate hoti hai. Aap longs ko moving average line ke upar consider kar sakte hain agar aap solely technical analysis par trade karte hain ya agar is hafte ke U.S. reports weak nikalti hain.

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, pound/dollar ki jodi 1.26981 ki support satah tak gir gayi, lekin fir wapas ucchal gayi. Filhal, Bartanwi pound 1.28096 ki muzahmati satah ke ird-gird trade kar raha hai. Market ki suratehal kafi ghair yaqini hai. Joda ya to manfi ho sakta hai ya niche ki taraf palatne aur 1.27670 ki support satah ki taraf badhne se pahle mazid zamin hasil kar sakta hai. Fir imkan hai keh qimat wapas ucchalne ya is satah se niche girne aur 1.27244 ki agli support satah tak girne ka imkan hai.

GBP/USD apni corrective movement Wednesday ko jaari rakhi jab ke Murray level "7/8" 1.2787 se bounce back kiya. Jaise ke hum pehle bhi mention kar chuke hain, British pound buhat zyada overbought aur unreasonably mehnga hai. Pichle kuch dinon mein, British currency bina kisi valid reason ke rise kar rahi thi. Unfortunately, yehi cheez humein aksar dekhne ko milti hai. Humein isse accept karna hoga aur jo situation hai usse profit kamane ki koshish karni hogi.
Abhi ke options kya hain? Pehla option yeh hai ke fundamental aur macroeconomic background ko ignore kar diya jaye. Trades sirf sabse important reports aur events par based ki ja sakti hain, jaise ke inflation ya central bank meetings. Kyun? Kyunke market macro data ka logical response nahi dikha raha. Har report ko pound ke haq mein interpret kiya ja raha hai, jo pair ko support kar raha hai. Yehi baat fundamental events par bhi lagu hoti hai. Lagbhag har roz, Federal Reserve ke representatives baat karte hain, wohi baat repeat karte hain: inflation buhat zyada hai, aur near future mein rate cuts ka koi plan nahi hai. Dussri taraf, UK mein inflation target level ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jis se Bank of England June se apni policy ko ease karna shuru kar sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke hum June mein pehla BoE rate cut dekhenge. Hum yeh maante hain ke central bank ehtiyaat se kaam lega aur jaldi nahi karega. UK mein inflation buhat zyada high rahi hai, to ho sakta hai ke agle kuch mahine mein yeh phir se barh jaye. Lekin, yeh baat koi deny nahi kar sakta ke BoE Federal Reserve se zyada qareeb hai easing ke. Halaanke is saal ke shuruat mein market ne iska ulta socha tha.

Lekin, yeh sab data aur information market sentiment ko bilkul bhi affect nahi kar rahi. British pound waise hi trade kar raha hai jaise Bitcoin, jahan asset sirf isliye rise kar rahi hai ke log isse aur rise hone ki umeed mein khareed rahe hain. GBP/USD pair already 61.8% Fibonacci level ke qareeb pahunch chuki hai, jahan yeh pichle saal kaafi waqt guzari thi. Agar yeh movement jo hum dekh rahe hain ek naye uptrend ki shuruaat hai, to humare liye yeh jawab dena mushkil hai ke agle 3-6-9 mahine ya zyada time tak pound ko kya support karega? Aakhir trend ek local movement nahi hota jo sirf technical reasons se drive ho sakta hai. Trend ek prolonged movement hoti hai jo underlying reasons pe based hoti hai. Agar koi reasons nahi hain, to pound ko upside par kya drive karega?

GBPUSD currency pair mein ahem movement dekha gaya, jo MA 100 lines dono ko paar kar gaya. Is shuruati bullish momentum ke bawajood, market ka band hone ke qareeb qeemat ek dafa phir se dabaav mein aayi. Magar, yeh 1.2536 ke qeemat par band hui, jo pichle din ke opening price se oonchi thi. Yeh daleel hai ke market mein mazid bullish jazbaat mojood hain. GBPUSD currency pair ne kal ke trading session mein ahem movement dekha. Market mein MA 100 lines ko paar karne ka tajurba kiya. Shuruati taizi ke bawajood, market ke band hone ke qareeb price phir se dabaav mein aayi. Lekin, yeh aakhri price 1.2536 par band hui, jo pichle din ke opening price se bhi oonchi thi. Yeh dikhata hai ke market mein bullish jazbaat jari hain. Kal ke trading session mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne khaas movement dekha, jab wo MA 100 lines ko paar kar gaya. Iss shuruati bullish momentum ke baad, market ke band hone ke qareeb, price phir se pressure mein aayi. Lekin, yeh 1.2536 ke qeemat par band hui, jo pichle din ke opening price se oonchi thi. Yeh ishara hai ke market mein bullish sentiment jari hai. Kal ke trading session mein, GBPUSD currency pair ne khaas movement dikhaya, jab wo MA 100 lines ko paar kar gaya. Shuruati bullish momentum ke bawajood, market ke band hone ke qareeb price phir se dabaav mein aayi. Lekin, yeh 1.2536 ke qeemat par band hui, jo pichle din ke opening price se oonchi thi. Yeh daleel hai ke market mein bullish sentiment jari hai.Kal ki trading session mein, GBP/USD currency pair ne kaafi dilchasp rukh dikhaya, jo ke traders ke liye kuch naya aur dilchasp tha. Shuru mein, is pair ne buland josh aur taraqqi se guzra, jo ke bohot se traders ko umeed aur excitement ka izhar karne par majboor kiya. Lekin, jab market ke band hone ka waqt nazdeek aaya, tab keemat mein dobara girawat aayi. Yeh ghatnaain darust karti hain ke market mein kuch tezi aur thandak ke ehsaas mojood hain.



GBP/USD currency pair ka mudda uthane ke liye, pehle toh yeh zaroori hai ke iski pehchan karein. GBP/USD, ya phir sterling dollar, ek popular forex currency pair hai jo British pound aur US dollar ke darmiyan ka rate darust karta hai. Is pair ki trading mein traders ko mukhtalif factors ka khayal rakhna padta hai jaise ke geopolitical events, economic data releases, aur monetary policy decisions. Kal ki trading session mein, yeh pair ne kuch aham harkaat dikhayi jo ke traders ke dhiyan ko apni taraf khenchti rahi.Shuru ki bullish momentum ne market ko uchal kar diya, jismein GBP/USD ka rate buland oocha gaya. Yeh achaaraj nahi tha, kyunke pehle hi trading session mein yeh pair kuch sust tha. Lekin, jab yeh tezi nazar aayi, tab traders ko optimism ka ehsaas hua aur woh is opportunity ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar hue. Lekin, jab market ka band hone ka waqt qareeb aaya, tab keemat mein ek baar phir girawat aayi. Market ke band hone ke qareeb, GBP/USD ka rate 1.25492 ke qeemat par band hui, jo ke pichle din ke opening price se ziada thi. Yeh ek dilchasp aur gawahi hai ke market mein taiz bullish jazbat mojood hain. Traders ke beech taqatwar bullish sentiment ka ehsaas tha, jo ke is pair ko oopar uthane mein madadgar sabit hua. Lekin, is girawat ke baawajood, yeh zaroori hai ke traders cautious rahein kyunke market kee harkat hamesha laalach de sakti hai. In tamam maamlaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko chahiye ke market ke mizaj aur trends ko samajhne ka pura dhyaan rakhein. Taiz aur taabir bhari harkatain hamesha dhiyan mein rakhi jaani chahiye, lekin sath hi sath, prudent aur cautious trading approach ko bhi apnaya jaana chahiye. Yahin par, technical aur fundamental analysis ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai taake traders sahi faislon par pahunchein aur market ki rukh ko samajh sakein.

GBP/USD currency pair ke maamlaat ka izhaar aam tor par sahib tajziya karte hain, jo ke is rawayye ke nazaafat aur tehqeeqati mozuat ke ilm mein mabni hota hai. Is mozu par guftugu karte waqt, aham tajziyat aur hawalay ki talash mein, mukhtalif asbaab ko madde nazar rakha ja sakta hai jo is rawayye ki qeemat ko mutassir kar sakte hain.
1. Siyaasi Muwaqif: Siyaasi iqdaar, hukoomat ki policies aur mulk ke maamlaat currency pairs par seedhi taur par asar andaaz hote hain. Siyasatdanon ke iqdaar aur mulk ki maqami halaat, maslan Brexit jese baraay-e-mehar amoor, GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat par seedha asar andaaz hotay hain.

2. Mehangai: Ek mulk ki mehangai dar mein izafa ya kami bhi currency pairs par asar daal sakta hai. Mehangai ka barhna ya ghata, mulk ki arziyat aur sahafat ki halat ko darust karti hai, jo ke currency pairs ke qeemat ko mutassir kar sakti hai.

3. Mali Iqtisadiyat: Mulk ki mali iqtisadiyat, GDP, rozgar ki shiraa’at, aur tijarat ke nataij bhi currency pairs par asar andaz hoti hain. Agar ek mulk ki iqtisadiyat mein behtar hoti hai, to uska currency pair bhi mazboot hota hai.

4. Rozmarra Ki Siaq-o-Sabaq: Currency pairs ke mozu par rozmarra ke maamlaat bhi asar andaaz ho sakte hain. Chhotay ya baraay maamlaat, maslan koi mukhtalif faiz dar ki tawajjuh ya mukhtalif arzoo ke saath, currency pairs ke qeemat par asar andaaz ho sakte hain.

5.Hedging aur Trading Strategies: Forex market mein tijarat karne wale logon ke istikhraj aur trading strategies bhi currency pairs ke qeemat ko mutassir kar sakte hain. Jab bade institutions ya hedge funds apni positions ko badalte hain, to iska asar currency pairs ke qeemat par hota hai. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, agar GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat 1.26406 ke qareeb maqil rahi hai, to iska asal sabab kisi khaas maqasid ya tajziyat se mutasir ho sakta hai. Raqam ki apne aap mein koi maqool tajziyat nahi hoti, balke iske peechay mukhtalif asbaab hote hain jo is qisam ke rawayye ko numaya karte hain.

GBP/USD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS: Aaj GBP/USD currency pair ne apne aap ko kaafi alag se dikhaya. Kal ka close bilkul usi level par hua jo ek din pehle tha, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh achanak se upar ki taraf barh jayega. Khud se, mein guzishta daily candle ka sab se lowest point ka intezar karunga, jo ke 1.2753 hai. Agar choti time frame par head and shoulders ka pattern banta hai, toh mein zarur trade mein enter karunga. Mujhe price 1.2730 ke beyond transactions hold karne ka koi faida nazar nahi aata, isliye mein wahan par apne transactions close kar dunga. Kal ka extremal ke liye daily movement ka aadha hissa mujhe profit lene ka mauqa dega jo 1.2822 hai.

GBP/USD ne aaj apne aap ko kaafi unique tarikay se dikhaya. Kal ka din usi level par band hua jo pichlay din tha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ab upar ki taraf chalay ga. Meri apni strategy yeh hai ke mein guzishta daily candle ka sab se lowest point ka intezar karunga jo 1.2753 hai. Agar choti time frame par head and shoulders pattern banta hai, toh mein zarur trade mein shamil honga. 1.2730 ke beyond transactions ko hold karne ka koi faida nahi hai, isliye mein wahan apne trades close kar dunga. Kal ke extremal ke liye daily movement ka aadha hissa mujhe profit lene ka mauqa dega jo 1.2822 hai.

GBP/USD pair ne aaj kaafi interesting price movement dikhayi. Pichle din ka close usi level par hua jo usse pichle din tha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair achanak se upar ki taraf barhega. Mera plan yeh hai ke mein guzishta daily candle ka lowest point 1.2753 ka intezar karunga. Agar choti time frame par head and shoulders ka pattern nazar aata hai, toh mein zarur trade mein enter karunga. Mera maqsad yeh hai ke 1.2730 ke beyond apne transactions ko hold karne ka koi faida nahi hai, isliye mein wahan par apne trades close kar dunga. Kal ke extremal ke liye daily movement ka aadha hissa mujhe profit

GBP/USD H1 Analysis and Outlook
Recent Market Activity


The GBP/USD pair has shown notable activity recently. After securing profits from a sell position at 1.2713, it was observed that this was a prudent decision as the price movement validated this action. The trading day on Monday concluded with a bullish candle, establishing a new high at 1.2816. However, despite this bullish closure, there were no participation in buy positions, missing out on the subsequent rise.

Current Market Sentiment


The current sentiment indicates an anticipation of a southern correction. Given the recent highs, it is expected that the market might experience a pullback before any further upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch

1. Resistance Levels:
   • Immediate Resistance: 1.2816 (Recent high)
   • Next Major Resistance: 1.2900
2. Support Levels:
   • Immediate Support: 1.2738
   • Deeper Support Zone: 1.2694 - 1.2670

Technical Indicators

• Bollinger Bands: Suggest increased volatility with potential for a pullback towards the middle band.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently not in overbought territory, providing room for further upward movement post-correction.
• 50-day and 200-day EMA: These moving averages will act as dynamic support levels, especially in the deeper correction zone (1.2694 - 1.2670).

Short-Term Outlook


Today, the expectation is for a correction towards the south. The downside potential is estimated to reach 1.2738 initially. A deeper correction could see the pair moving towards the 1.2694 - 1.2670 area. These levels are critical as they could provide a good buying opportunity if a reversal formation is observed.
Trading Strategy

1. Sell Position:
   • Consider taking profits if the price reaches the immediate support at 1.2738.
   • Watch for further movement towards the deeper support zone (1.2694 - 1.2670) for potential buying opportunities.
2. Buy Position:
   • Look for reversal formations around the deeper support zone (1.2694 - 1.2670).
   • Target the previous high at 1.2816 as the first take-profit level.
   • A secondary target can be set at 1.2900 if the upward momentum continues.

Conclusion


The GBP/USD pair's current market behavior suggests a potential southern correction before any further bullish movement. Key support levels at 1.2738 and the deeper support zone at 1.2694 - 1.2670 will be crucial to monitor. Traders should be prepared to take advantage of buying opportunities upon observing reversal patterns at these support levels, aiming for targets at 1.2816 and potentially higher at 1.2900.

جون 4 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، پاؤنڈ نے امریکہ اور یورپ کے مخلوط پی ایم آئی ڈیٹا پر مضبوط فائدہ (60 پیپس سے زیادہ) پوسٹ کیا۔ 1.2300 سے نیچے درمیانی مدت کے زوال میں تبدیل ہونے کے لیے مارکیٹ تکنیکی ڈائیورجن بنانے کے لیے جلدی میں ہے۔



ہو سکتا ہے قیمت 1.2826 کے ہدف کی سطح تک نہ پہنچ سکے، یہ اس نشان کو عبور کر سکتی ہے، لیکن اہم موڑ وقت ہو گا - جمعرات - یورپی مرکزی بینک کا شرح فیصلہ۔ اگر مرکزی منظر نامہ میں خلل پڑتا ہے اور مارکیٹ اوپر جاتی ہے، تو پہلا ہدف 1.2940 کی سطح ہو گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسکیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن نے ڈاون ٹرینڈ ٹیریٹری (نیلے بیضوی) کی حد سے نیچے غلط حرکت کی۔ اب قیمت اور آسکیلیٹر دونوں بڑھ رہے ہیں۔ تاہم، اقتباس پہلے ہی 1.2826 کے ہدف کی سطح کے قریب ہے، اور آج، امریکی فیکٹری آرڈرز پر ایک رپورٹ جاری کرے گا، جس میں 0.6% کی پیشن گوئی کی گئی ہے، اس لیے ترقی کی رفتار کم ہو رہی ہے۔ عام طور پر، ہم جمعرات کو ہونے والی ای سی بی میٹنگ کا انتظار کرتے ہیں، کیونکہ یہ اس سوال کا جواب دے گا کہ آیا ایک الٹ (مرکزی منظر نامے کے مطابق) کی پیروی ہوگی یا قیمت میں اضافہ جاری رہے گا (متبادل)۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBPUSD pair ne bearish bounce experience kiya jab 1.2800$ resistance level test kiya. Yeh movement is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke pair 1.2700$ key support ki taraf decline kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA50) ka influence note karna zaroori hai. Yahan key points hain jo expected analysis ke liye dekhe ja sakte hain:

1. Resistance aur Support Levels
   • Resistance: 1.2800$ level ek significant barrier sabit hua hai, jahan se selling pressure emerge hua.
   • Support: Agla critical support level 1.2700$ par hai. Yeh level buying interest ko attract kar sakta hai aur potential reversal point ban sakta hai.
2. Technical Indicators
   • EMA50: EMA50 ek key indicator hai dekhne ke liye. Agar price EMA50 ke neeche rehti hai, to yeh bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Agar price EMA50 ko reclaim kar leti hai, to yeh bullish reversal ka signal de sakta hai.
3. Price Action
   • Agar price 1.2700$ ki taraf decline continue karti hai, to is support level par potential bullish signals dekhne ka intezar karein (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, increased trading volume).
   • Agar price 1.2700$ ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further downside potential ko indicate karega, aur next support levels 1.2650$ ya 1.2600$ tak target kar sakti hai.
4. Market Sentiment
   • News aur economic data releases ko monitor karein jo GBPUSD ko impact kar sakti hain, jaise UK aur US economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events.

Summary mein, 1.2800$ resistance se bearish bounce is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke 1.2700$ support level ka potential test ho sakta hai. EMA50 next direction determine karne mein crucial role play karega. Traders ko in key levels ke qareeb price action par alert rehna chahiye aur trading decisions lete waqt broader market sentiment ko consider karna chahiye.

Mere khayal mein, tum itna khud-bakhudgar nahi ho sakte. Market mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Magar tum bohot pur sukoon ho, Valery. Tumhein beshtar kehna chahiye. Market unn ko saza de sakta hai jo zyada khud-bakhudgar hote hain. Meri taraf se, mein bhi umeed karta hoon ke GBPUSD ki keemat kam ho. Mein bhi bechne mein chala gaya, magar meri situation thodi zyada mushkil thi. Mein ne 1.2700 par bechne ki shuruwat ki. Asal mein, mein pound ke quotes mein girawat par hisaab lagata hoon, magar mujhe yeh samajh mein nahi aata ke yeh kaise hoga. Haan, mujhe lagta tha ke US dollar mein aur ek izaafa hoga, magar pata chala ke dollar har session mein haara ja raha hai. Ab mein Japanese yen ko mazboot honay par ummeed karta hoon (jaise aaj hua). Yen barhna shuru ho gaya, aur mutabiq yen ke cross gir gaye. Aur euro aur pound ke girne ki wajah se, euro aur pound bhi neeche gaye. Seedha keh kar, meri maal ki choti se umeed ka maqsood karein karib 1.2540 ke aas paas hai, magar mein apne bechne ke liye 26vi figure par take profit set kiya hai. Dekhte hain. Jodi ek triangle ke tareeqon ke mutabiq trade ho rahi hai; yeh triangle W1 ke t/f par wazeh dikhayi deta hai. Ek triangle obtuse angle ke saath, aur yeh nikalta hai ke lambi tang neeche hai. Aise triangles ke tareeqon ke mutabiq, aksar mamla unki lambi tang ki taraf se nikalta hai, jaise humare maamle mein. Ab keem at triangle resistance area mein hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke yahan se bechnay ka acha mauqa hai, magar yeh meri shakhsiyat hai aur yeh ghalat bhi ho sakti hai.

GbpUsd market ki halat pichle hafte thodi bullish rahi ya pehle ke hafte ke trend se jari reh sakti hai jo uptrend mein thi. Waqai, market trend mid-March se bullish rahi, jiski wajah se prices 1.2693 tak pohanch gayi. Magar, iske baad market par selling pressure aya aur pichle hafte ke darmiyan bearish correction dekhi gayi. Aaj dopahar ko price phir se bullish zone mein apna safar jari rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lagta hai ke increase jari reh sakti hai kyunki pichle hafte market big bullish trend se niche correct hui thi. Hafte ke aghaz se upward movement ka hona GbpUsd pair ke liye mazeed upar jane ke moqe aur umeedein khol sakti hai.
Aaj GbpUsd market ne apna bullish safar 1.2802 position se shuru kiya, 4 hour time frame par yeh wazeh hai ke kuch hafto pehle se buyers ka control prices ko barhane mein kamyab raha hai. Agar dekha jaye, kabhi kabar downward corrections hoti hain, magar buyers umeed banaye rakhte hain ke agla upward trend dekha jaye. Agar pichle hafte se trend ko benchmark liya jaye, to lagta hai ke market abhi bhi uptrend ke continuation ka intezar kar rahi hai jo 100 period simple moving average line se door hoti ja rahi hai.

Meri raaye mein, price lagta hai ke candlestick ke zariye upar ki taraf jari rahegi market ke trend ke mutabiq jo pichle kuch hafto se chal rahi hai. Market ki surat-e-haal bullish chal rahi hai aur sellers ke prices ko niche laane ki koshishon ko zyada response nahi mila hai. Agar hum basic analysis aur kuch hafto ke direction ko dekhein, to yeh dikhata hai ke trend bullish taraf ja raha hai. Mera andaza hai ke agla trend mazeed upar ja sakta hai aur bullish rehne ka chance hai, mumkin hai ke price 1.2848 area ko touch kar le.