gbp/usd

Daily time frame mein GBPUSD pair ka analysis.
GBPUSD pair jo pichlay Jumay ko trade hui thi, ab bhi kharidaaron ya purchasers ke control mein thi. Pehle price ko sellers ne bearish direction mein neeche le aaya tha, magar phir bhi yeh support area 1.2705-1.2700 par buyers ne rok liya, jo buyers ko pair GBPUSD ka price control karne ki ijazat diya aur phir zyadah buying pressure lagaya jis se price bullish direction mein reverse ho gayi.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ko use karte hue monitor kiya gaya hai ke price dobara Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar hai, jo buyers ke liye profitable position banata hai jab GBPUSD pair trade ho rahi ho. Iske ilawa, bullish Doji candle ka zahir hona bhi yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure ab bhi bearish pressure se zyadah hai. Buyers apni koshish jari rakhein ge ke GBPUSD pair ka price aur bhi ooper le jaayein, agla target Upper Bollinger bands area 1.2585-1.2580 tak pohanchne aur test karne ka hai, jahan ek strong supply resistance area sellers ke liye mojood hai.

Aaj subha Monday ke trading mein, dekha gaya hai ke buyers ne sellers par apni dominance barqarar rakhi hai aur bara market enter karke price ko bullish direction mein move karne diya hai. Sab se qareebi target seller resistance area 1.2763-1.2760 ko breakout karne ka hai, jo ab bhi strong hai. Agar yeh validly penetrate ho jata hai, to higher bullishness ka mouqa khul jaye ga, agla target next seller's supply resistance area 1.2795-1.2800 ko point karna hai.



Natija:

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price jo pehle level 60 area mein thi, ab level 63 area ki taraf move kar chuki hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buying pressure jo buyers ne kiya hai, ab bhi market se support le raha hai, jo chahte hain ke prices aaj ke trading mein RSI level 75 area ki taraf rise karti rahein.

Sell entries tab ki ja sakti hain agar sellers support area 1.2705-1.2700 ko penetrate kar lein, TP area price 1.2660-1.2650 par ho.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer resistance area ko break kar le, aur pending buy stop order price 1.2760-1.2765 par place karein, TP target 1.2795-1.2800 par ho.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis - Roman Urdu


Hello dosto, kaise hain aap sab? GBP/USD European session mein Wednesday ko 1.2750 ke aas-paas ek narrow channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar ne risk mode mein negative shift ke perception ka faida uthaya hai aur pair ko traction gain karne nahi diya. Aaj Fed apna seed book release karega. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 ke neeche break karta hai (jo ke latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement aur ascending regression channel ka midpoint hai) aur is area ko resistance ke tor par use karna shuru karta hai, toh ye apni slide ko 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ka lower limit) tak extend kar sakta hai.

Agar price upside ki taraf jata hai, toh resistances 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ka upper limit) pe hain. Wednesday ko 4-hour chart pe Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 50 ke taraf lower edge kiya, jo ke bullish momentum ki kami ko highlight karta hai. Tuesday ko European trading hours ke dauran GBP/USD ne higher continue kiya aur 1.2800 ke upar climb kiya, pehli dafa do mahine mein. Magar, pair ne apne daily gains erase kar diye, jab US session mein US dollar upbeat data se benefit hua.

Wednesday ki early morning mein, GBP/USD 1.2750 ke just above ek bohot narrow channel mein sideways move kar raha tha. Conference Board ka consumer confidence index May mein 102.00 pe improve hua April ke 97.5 se, jab expectations index 74.6 pe barh gaya 68.8 se. "Strong labor market ne consumers ki overall assessment ko bolster kiya hai current situation ke," kaha Dana M. Patterson, chief economist Conference Board ka, US Consumer Sentiment Survey ke results ko assess karte hue. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields lagbhag 2 percent badh gaye report ke baad aur USD index ne marginally higher close kiya day ke end pe.

US economic calendar mein koi high-impact data releases feature nahi karega aaj. Later session mein, Federal Reserve apna seed book release karega. Investors risk perception pe closely nazar rakhenge during US trading hours. Press time pe, US stock index futures lagbhag 0.5% down the day pe. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes red mein open hote hain aur rebound mein struggle karte hain, toh USD safe-haven flows ka advantage le sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko lower correct karne pe majboor kar sakta hai.

Jaise ki aapne kaha, GBP/USD currency instrument lagbhag 1.2717 ke aas-paas hai, aur investors UK ki inflation report aur US Federal Reserve ke FOMC meeting ke minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain. In dono factors ke milne se market mein volatility badh sakti hai, kyunki dono hi economic indicators key monetary policies aur future market trends ko darust karne mein madad karte hain. UK ki inflation report, jo typically Office for National Statistics (ONS) dwara har mahine jaari ki jati hai, market ke liye ek mukhya indicator hai. Is report mein consumer price index (CPI) aur retail price index (RPI) jaise key measures shamil hote hain, jo ki desh ki current price levels aur inflation ko darust karti hain. Agar inflation rate market ke expectations se zyada ya kam hota hai, toh yeh currency market mein volatility utpann kar sakta hai, khaaskar agar Bank of England (BoE) ko policy decisions lene ke liye influence karta hai. Dusri taraf, US Federal Reserve ke FOMC meeting ke minutes bhi market ke liye mahatvapurn hai. Yeh meeting central bank ke policymakers ke beech hoti hai, jahan unhe current economic conditions aur monetary policy ke baare mein discuss kiya jata hai. Meeting ke minutes market ke liye ek insight provide karte hain ki policymakers ki soch aur future monetary policy ke baare mein kya expectations hain. Agar meeting ke minutes mein koi unexpected information aati hai, jaise ki interest rates ya asset purchase programs ke changes ki sambhavna, toh yeh market mein tezi se gati la sakti hai. Is samay, GBP/USD pair ke aas-paas ki trading range mein rahne ki sambhavna hai jab tak ki market mein koi unexpected news ya event na ho. Investors hoshiyar rahenge aur UK ki inflation report aur US Federal Reserve ke FOMC meeting ke minutes ke aane se pehle cautious trading approach apnayenge. Volatility expected hai, lekin is samay ki uncertainty ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders risk management aur hedging strategies ka istemal karenge. Overall, GBP/USD currency instrument ki movement upcoming economic indicators aur events par nirbhar karti rahegi. Market participants keenly UK ki inflation report aur US Federal Reserve ke FOMC meeting ke minutes ka wait kar rahe hain, aur is period mein currency markets mein increased activity aur volatility ki sambhavna hai.

GBP USD Ki Nigahdar Technical Tahlil:
Maliyati bazaaron ke zamane mein, bazaar ke halaat ka hamwar rehna, jin traders ki talash hai ke hamesha tabdeeli mein qabil-e-qabool landscape mein chalne ke liye, intehai ahem hai. Mahtat rehne se, tafseeli tahlil karne se, aur buland daira-e-tabdiliyat ki hifazat se, traders apne aap ko ek chaalbaazi ke andaz mein mukhtalif moqaat ka faida uthane ke liye strategic taur par qaim kar sakte hain aur bazaar ke tabdeel hone wale lehrun mein khatron ko kam kar sakte hain.

Kamyabi ki ek bunyadi bunyad bazaar ke halaat ke bare mein maloomat rakna hai. Is mein mukhtalif maqamat par mojooda market conditions ka tawajju dena shamil hai, jisme mukhtalif maqamat par mojooda market shiraaat, khabron ke toor par tazkiraat aur jughrafiayati waqeaton ko shamil karna hai jo maal ki keemat ko mutasir kar sakti hain. In factors ke mutabiq tawajju rakhne se, traders bazaar ke jazbat mein ahem maloomat hasil kar sakte hain aur mogheya market harekaton ka andaza laga sakte hain.


Tafseeli tahlil ka aik aur konha trading ka kamyabi ka bunyadi rukh hai. Technical analysis, jo ke keemat ke charts ka mutala aur patterns aur trends ka pehchan karna shamil hai, traders ko mogheya dhalve aur nikli points ke bare mein qeemti maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Wahi, bunyadi tahlil, jo ke companies aur economies ke bunyadi maali sehat aur karwai ko tajziya karne ke shamil hai, traders ko maal ki asli qeemat ke bare mein zyada maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Bazaaron ke halaat jaldi badal sakte hain, aur traders ko apne strategies ko mutabiq taur par tarteeb dena chahiye. Ye naye maloomat ke jawab mein trading plans ko modify karne, market ki tabdeel hone wali bharkhurdgiyon ko hisaab se le kar risk management strategies ko adjust karne, ya phir mogheya market shiraaat ke mutabiq mukhtalif trading approaches mein switching karna shamil ho sakta hai. Ghair yaqeeni ke muqable mein chokas rehna zaroori hai. Aane wale khabron ke data par tawajju dena, tafseeli tahlil karna, aur mojooda halaat ke mutabiq taamul karne ke liye mukhtasir kafi tariqay hain. Ek doosri taraf, technical aur bunyadi tahlil ke darmiyan aik tanazul approach ka istemal karna, sath hi buland darja taamul aur adaptability ko qaim rakhna, traders ko market ke be yaqeeni hawao mein bemaar sakkei ke liye ahem strategies faraham karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke maamlaat ka izhaar aam tor par sahib tajziya karte hain, jo ke is rawayye ke nazaafat aur tehqeeqati mozuat ke ilm mein mabni hota hai. Is mozu par guftugu karte waqt, aham tajziyat aur hawalay ki talash mein, mukhtalif asbaab ko madde nazar rakha ja sakta hai jo is rawayye ki qeemat ko mutassir kar sakte hain.
1. Siyaasi Muwaqif: Siyaasi iqdaar, hukoomat ki policies aur mulk ke maamlaat currency pairs par seedhi taur par asar andaaz hote hain. Siyasatdanon ke iqdaar aur mulk ki maqami halaat, maslan Brexit jese baraay-e-mehar amoor, GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat par seedha asar andaaz hotay hain.

2. Mehangai: Ek mulk ki mehangai dar mein izafa ya kami bhi currency pairs par asar daal sakta hai. Mehangai ka barhna ya ghata, mulk ki arziyat aur sahafat ki halat ko darust karti hai, jo ke currency pairs ke qeemat ko mutassir kar sakti hai.

3. Mali Iqtisadiyat: Mulk ki mali iqtisadiyat, GDP, rozgar ki shiraa’at, aur tijarat ke nataij bhi currency pairs par asar andaz hoti hain. Agar ek mulk ki iqtisadiyat mein behtar hoti hai, to uska currency pair bhi mazboot hota hai.

4. Rozmarra Ki Siaq-o-Sabaq: Currency pairs ke mozu par rozmarra ke maamlaat bhi asar andaaz ho sakte hain. Chhotay ya baraay maamlaat, maslan koi mukhtalif faiz dar ki tawajjuh ya mukhtalif arzoo ke saath, currency pairs ke qeemat par asar andaaz ho sakte hain.

5.Hedging aur Trading Strategies: Forex market mein tijarat karne wale logon ke istikhraj aur trading strategies bhi currency pairs ke qeemat ko mutassir kar sakte hain. Jab bade institutions ya hedge funds apni positions ko badalte hain, to iska asar currency pairs ke qeemat par hota hai. In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, agar GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat 1.26406 ke qareeb maqil rahi hai, to iska asal sabab kisi khaas maqasid ya tajziyat se mutasir ho sakta hai. Raqam ki apne aap mein koi maqool tajziyat nahi hoti, balke iske peechay mukhtalif asbaab hote hain jo is qisam ke rawayye ko numaya karte hain.

Kal, shimal mein chand lamhoon ki wapas hatnay kay baad, qeemat ulat gayi, jabardast neechey ki taraf harqat kay sath akhbarati sooratehal kay doran. Yeh mukammal bearish candle bananay ka sabab bana, jo 0.90989 kay support level ko tor kar neechey mazbooti se qaim hui. Mojooda soorat-e-haal ko dekhte huey, mujhe agla target 0.90112 ka support level lagta hai. Is support level kay qareeb, do sooratein payda ho sakti hain. Pehli soorat mein reversal candle formation ho sakta hai, jo qeemat mein mumkinah upar ki taraf harqat ko zahir karega. Agar aisa hua, to mein 0.91572 kay resistance level par wapas anay ka intizar karunga. Agar yeh resistance level tor dia gaya, to mazeed upar ki taraf harqat ka ishara milega jo 0.92244 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level par, mein ainda trade ka rukh tay karne kay liye ek trading setup ka intizar karunga. Jabke ek door ka target 0.94096 bhi mumkin hai, mein safar kay doran mumkinah neechey ki taraf wapas hatnay se hushyar rahunga. Agar qeemat 0.90112 kay support level kay neechey majmooi tor par qayam ho gayi, to mein mazeed neechey ki taraf harqat ki tawakku karunga jo 0.88396 ya 0.87426 kay support levels tak ja sakti hai. Har soorat mein, mein in support levels kay qareeb bullish signals ki talash karunga,

aur global bullish trend formation kay doran qeemat mein upar ki taraf dubara harqat ki umeed rakhta hoon. Mazeed barin, dosray asraat jaise ke geo-siyasi waqeaat bhi currency ki up-and-down ko badhawa de sakti hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend kay sath is rukh ko barqarar rakhne ka irada hai, kyunki d1 timeframe MA ko bohot neechey 1.2694 par rakhta hai, main yahan harqat ko nazar andaz nahi kar sakta. Iske sath hi, rozana buniyad par ek mazboot resistance mark ka drift hai, aur yeh is baat ki nishandahi kar sakta hai ke kharidaaron ka rukh ab bhi awla hai. Isliye, mein ab tak bullish plan par qayam hoon, aur agar yeh developed hota hai, to 1.2888 ko torna zaroori hai. Lagta hai ke lambi muddat mein, GBP/USD par bears ki shikast aur harqat ka silsila jaari rahega, taake bulls 1.2994 tak torne ki salahiyat ko barqarar rakh sakein.

**GBP/USD Buniyadi aur Technical Tehqeek:**

GBP/USD currency instrument 1.2710 ke qareeb qaim hai jabke sarmaya daar UK ke inflation report aur US Federal Reserve (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes ka intizar kar rahe hain. Market ke shirakaat ko naye ishare chahiye hain jabke Federal Reserve ke officials se mukhtalif paighamaat mil rahe hain. Governor Christopher Waller, jo aam tor par ziada rates ka himayati hota hai, ne kaha ke abhi aur ziada interest rate barhane ki zarurat nahi hai. Magar unhone kaha ke woh mazboot data chahenge pehle ke woh Federal Reserve ki workforce ko kam karne par raazi hon. Dosri taraf, Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic ne aggressive rate hikes ke khilaf chetavni di. Woh dheere approach ko pasand karte hain taake inflation dobara na barh jaye.

UK mein, Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne mumkinah mustaqbil mein rate cut ka ishara diya. Unhone umeed ki ke April ke data mein inflation ghatay gi, jo ke Wednesday ko release hogi. Peshgoi hai ke April ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) 2.1% barh jayega, jo pichle report ke 3.2% se kam hai. Salana inflation rate April mein 3.6% tak ghatne ki umeed hai, jo March mein 4.2% thi. Higher inflation data se BOE ka rate cut delay ho sakta hai. Iske baraks, lower report se is saal ke akhir mein borrowing costs kam ho sakti hain. Aanewala data tay karega ke rate cut kab ho sakti hai.

Technically, GBP/USD pair ne apni two-hundred-day simple moving average (SMA) ko cross kiya hai, jo ke hosla afza hai. Magar abhi bhi ek short-term bearish trend line ko obstacle ke tor par samna hai. 50-day SMA 1.2590 ke qareeb hai, jo mazeed support de raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator kamzor momentum dikhata hai. Yeh breakout line ke upar hai magar abhi bhi zero ke neeche hai. Stochastic oscillator ek bullish crossover ke baad barh raha hai, jo pair ke value mein mumkinah izafa ka ishara hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2746 ke qareeb diagonal resistance ko tor de, to yeh 1.2791 ke qareeb mazeed resistance ka samna karega. Is level ko cross karne se outlook neutral ho jayega. Neeche ki taraf, agar yeh 1.2590 se neeche gir jaye to selling ka silsila shuru ho jayega.

Chalo, GBPUSD pair mein jo ho raha hai usko detail mein dekhte hain. Guzishta Jumay ko, buyers ne scene pe dominate kiya, jab ke sellers ne pehle price ko bearish tarikay se niche dhakela tha. Lekin buyers ne apni ground ko support area 1.2705-1.2700 ke aas paas sambhal ke rakha, jis se unhein pair ki price pe control mil gaya aur buying pressure badh gaya, jo ke phir direction ko bullish bana diya.
Agar hum Daily timeframe pe Bollinger Bands indicator dekhen, to hum dekh sakte hain ke price dobara Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar reh rahi hai, jo ke buyers ki position ko GBPUSD pair trading mein ziada profitable banata hai. Aur ek bullish Doji candle ka zahir hona bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke buying pressure abhi bhi bearish pressure se ziada hai. Buyers koshish karenge ke GBPUSD pair ki price ko aur bhi upar dhakel dein, unka agla target hai Upper Bollinger Bands area 1.2585-1.2580 ko reach aur test karna, jo ke sellers ke liye ek strong supply resistance area hai.

Ab, is Monday subah, buyers ne apni dominance ko barkarar rakha sellers par, aur market mein ziada enter hoke price ko bullish tareeke se upar drive kar rahe hain. Unka qareebi target hai ke sellers ke resistance area 1.2763-1.2760 ko todne ki koshish karna, jo abhi bhi strong hai. Agar woh is level ko successfully penetrate kar lete hain, to aur ziada bullishness ke liye wide open mauka hoga, agla target hoga agla sellers ka supply resistance area 1.2795-1.2800.

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price, jo pehle 60 area mein thi, ab 63 area ki taraf move ho gayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ka buying pressure abhi bhi market se support le raha hai, jo prices ko RSI level 75 area ki taraf barhawa dena chahta hai aaj ke trading mein.

Ab agar sellers support area 1.2705-1.2700 ko successfully penetrate kar lete hain, to ek sell entry ban sakti hai, TP area 1.2660-1.2650 pe. Doosri taraf, agar buyers resistance area ko todne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to ek buy entry ban sakti hai pending buy stop order 1.2760-1.2765 pe place karke, TP target 1.2795-1.2800 pe.

indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price, jo pehle 60 area mein thi, ab 63 area ki taraf move ho gayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ka buying pressure abhi bhi market se support le raha hai, jo prices ko RSI level 75 area ki taraf barhawa dena chahta hai aaj ke trading mein.

Ab agar sellers support area 1.2705-1.2700 ko successfully penetrate kar lete hain, to ek sell entry ban sakti hai, TP area 1.2660-1.2650 pe. Doosri taraf, agar buyers resistance

GBP/USD pair hourly chart per, jumma ko support zone 1.2690–1.2705 se utha. Bear phir se attack k liye taqat nahi laaye. Aaj, pair ke quotes shayad phir se is zone tak wapas jaaye, lekin shayad bear phir se isay consolidate karne mein na kaamyaab hon. Is tarah, jab tak pair is zone k neeche band nahi hota, pound kabhi bhi apni izafat ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai 1.2788–1.2801 k resistance zone ki taraf. Wave situation be tabdeel nahi hui. Aakhri neeche ki taraf ka wave May 9 ko khatam hua bina peechle wave k low ko todiye, jabke aakhri upar ka wave May 3 k peak ko todiye. Is tarah, GBP/USD pair ka trend bulish hai. Bulish trend k khatam hone ka pehla nishaan tab aaye ga jab naya neeche ka wave peechle wave k May 9 k low ko tode. Magar peechle maheenon mein waves bohot bade rahe hain, aur mein ye mumkin hai samajhta hoon k pound euro k peechay chalay jaye, jo shayad pehle hi bearish trend ka aghaaz kar chuki hai. Is ke liye british pound ki girawat k liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Lekin pehle, bear ko kam az kam 1.2690–1.2705 zone ko paar karna hoga.

Pound traders ki support jari hai. Jumma k background ka taqreeban saaf hona zaroori hai. America k consumers ki shakhsiyat ke aamdani aur kharche k data traders ko dilchaspi nahi laaya, jabke shakhsiyat ke istemal kiye gaye shayari ke qeemat index ne dollar mein choti muddat ki girawat ka sabab banaya. Lekin is martaba dollar itni door nahi gira. Sab kuch 1.2690–1.2705 zone k ird gird ghom raha hai, jis se na to bull na bear kisi taraf nahi ja sakte. Magar ye halat zyada lamba nahi chalay ga. Is haftay mein ahem reports (aam tor par US se) ki bohot sari reports hongi, jo ya to bull ya bear ko taqat denge. Aaj, UK aur US se manufacturing PMI indices jaari hongi. Meri raye mein, taqreebati neeche ki taraf ka wave adhoora hai, aur bear is koshish ko jari rakh sakte hain k support zone k neeche consolidate karein. Magar bina aise consolidation k, pound ki mazeed girawat nahi hogi. Koi bhi naya divergences k indicators mein nahi nazar aata.

### Economic Indicators
Economic indicators qeemat lagaane mein ahem kirdaar ada karte hain. GBP/USD pair ke liye, UK aur US se aane wale key indicators iski direction ko asar daal sakte hain. UK mein, recent data inflation, GDP growth, aur employment figures ke bare mein mila jula hai. Persistant inflationary pressures Bank of England (BoE) ko zyada aggressive monetary policy stance apnane par majboor kar sakti hain, jo pound ko support de sakti hai. Iske bar'aks, GDP growth ya employment figures ki disappointing results bearish trend ko barha sakti hain.

US mein, economic data jaise non-farm payrolls, inflation reports, aur retail sales closely monitored hoti hain. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rates par faisle, jo in economic indicators se driven hote hain, USD par kaafi asar daal sakte hain. Agar Fed slowing economic growth ki wajah se rate hikes mein pause signal karta hai, to ye USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye upward momentum provide kar sakta hai.

### Geopolitical Developments

Geopolitical events bhi ek aur critical factor hain jo currency pairs mein sharp movements cause kar sakte hain. GBP/USD ke liye, Brexit-related developments aur US trade policies khaas tor par pertinent hain. Brexit formally khatam hone ke bawajood, iske economic ramifications ab bhi unfold ho rahe hain. Trade agreements, regulatory changes, aur political stability UK mein investor sentiment ko pound ke taraf influence kar sakti hain.

US ki side par, geopolitical tensions, khaaskar major trade partners ke saath, dollar par asar daal sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, escalating trade disputes ya sanctions uncertainty create kar sakti hain, jo investors ko safe-haven currencies jaise USD ki taraf push kar sakti hain. Lekin, agar tensions ease hoti hain ya trade agreements reach hote hain, resultant positive market sentiment dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai jab investors riskier assets ki taraf move karte hain.

### Central Bank Policies

BoE aur Fed ki policies GBP/USD exchange rate ko shape dene mein pivotal hain. BoE high inflation se grapple kar rahi hai, aur future interest rate hikes ke signals pound ko bolster kar sakte hain. Market participants closely BoE's Monetary Policy Committee meetings ko watch karte hain kisi bhi policy shifts ke indications ke liye. Ek hawkish stance, jo higher future rates ko indicate karta hai, foreign investment attract kar sakta hai, demand for the pound increase kar sakta hai.

Fed ke policy decisions bhi equally influential hain. Fed ek monetary tightening path par hai, lekin recent indications ek possible pause ya even ek reversal suggest kar rahe hain agar economic conditions deteriorate hoti hain. Ek dovish shift by the Fed, jo lower future rates ko suggest karta hai, USD ko weaken kar sakta hai jab investors higher yields elsewhere dekhte hain.

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke perspective se, GBP/USD ek critical juncture par hai. Current bearish trend yeh suggest karta hai ke traders pound ke prospects ke bare mein cautious hain. Lekin, key support levels around 1.2700 ek floor ka kaam kar sakti hain, jo ek potential rebound ke liye base provide kar sakti hain. Agar pair significant resistance levels, jaise 1.2800, ko break through kar sakta hai, to yeh ek bullish trend ki taraf shift ko signal kar sakta hai.

Indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) additional insights provide kar sakte hain. Ek RSI jo oversold territory ke qareeb hai yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke pound ek rebound ke liye due hai. Isi tarah, MACD mein ek bullish crossover ek momentum shift indicate kar sakta hai.

### Conclusion

Jab ke GBP/USD abhi bearish trend mein hai, kai factors significant movements ko trigger kar sakte hain near future mein. Economic indicators UK aur US se, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies critical components hain jo pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Technical analysis bhi yeh suggest karta hai ke key support aur resistance levels next phase of the trend ko determine karne mein crucial role play karenge. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, in factors ko closely watch karte huye.

Pair ney jumay ko US Dollar k muqablay mein 0.31% girawat dekhi, jo UK aur US chuttiyon ke sabab patli liquidity conditions se mutasir thi. Is waqt pair 1.2698 par trade ho raha hai, aur is ne din ka neechay ka point 1.2693 ko chua.

BoE Ki Soodi Sharh Ki Tasurat

Sarmayakaron ki nazar Bank of England (BoE) par hai soodi sharh ke hawalay se, khaaskar ke June ke ijlaas se shuru hone wale rate cuts ki umeed kar rahe hain. Yeh umeed is buniyad par thi ke UK ka salana headline inflation April mein 2% ke target ke mutabiq ho jaye ga. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne 16 April ko Washington mein International Monetary Fund (IMF) ke zair-e-ehtejaz event mein kaha ke UK ka inflation 2% target ke qareeb girne ka imkaan hai, jo ke BoE ki February ki paishgoi ke mutabiq hai.

Mehangai Ke Masail Barqarar

Magar underlying inflation ke girne ki raftaar kaafi nahi hui ke price pressures ko 2% target tak le aya jaye. Inflation 2.3% tak narmi aayi, lekin is girawat ki susti aur khidmat mein barqarar rehtay huay inflation ne 2% target hasil karna mushkil bana diya hai.

Technical Analysis aur Market Sentiment

Pazartay ko, GBP/USD ne Asian trading session ke doran 1.2690 ke qareeb halki girawat dikhayi. USD Index aur US yields ke modeste recovery, ke saath Fed ke September mein rate cut ki kam hoti umeedon ke beech, pair par bojh daal rahe hain. Market participants bhi Fed ka Beige Book aur Fed ke John Williams ke is haftay ke akhir mein hone wale khitaab par nazar rakhe huay hain.
Mukhtasir muddat mein, GBP/USD pair ne apne latest cycle peak ko 1.2799 par tor diya hai, jo naye resistance levels ko expose karta hai. Magar ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai kyun ke momentum yeh suggest karta hai ke buying pressure kam ho raha hai, Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ke overbought territory mein jaanay se zahir hai. Agar CCI 70 ke neechay girta hai,

GBP/USD Market Analysis 03 June 2024 GbpUsd market pair jo pichle Jumma ko trade ki gayi thi woh ab bhi khareedaron ke zair-e-qabza reh gayi thi baad mein qeemat ko ghata kar bearish traders ne par pehle se behtar buyers ke zor par daba diya gaya magar 1.2705-1.2700 ke support area mein khareedaron ne price ko daba diya jo ke GbpUsd pair ki keemat ko control karne ke liye ban gaya aur phir zyada khareedne wale dabaav dene ke sath keemat ko palatne ka moqa diya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ko dekhte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat dobara Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar qayam hai, jo ke GbpUsd market pair mein trading karne wale ke liye khareedne ki position zyada munafa bakhsh bana deta hai. Iske alawa, bullish Doji candle ka ubhar bhi darust dabaav ko darusti deta hai ke khareedne wale dabaav abhi bhi bearish dabaav se zyada dominant hai. Khareedne wale khud price ko mazeed ooncha le jane ki koshish karenge GbpUsd pair ke price ko agle target tak pohnchane ki koshish karenge aur Upper Bollinger bands area ko test karenge jo ke 1.2585-1.2580 ke qeemat par hai aur wahan ke sellers ke liye mazboot supply resistance area bhi hai.

Aaj subah trading karne par ye dekha gaya ke buyers ne sellers ke zor ko barqarar rakhne mein kamyabi hasil ki hai bari market mein dakhil hone se taa ke woh price ko mazeed bullish tareeqe se barhayein jismein sab se qareebi target hai seller resistance area ko torne ki koshish karna jo ke 1.2763-1.2760 ke qeemat par hai aur ye abhi tak mazboot hai. Agar sahih tor par dakhil kiya jata hai, to buland tareeke se mazeed bullish hone ka mauqa khul jaega aur agla target agle seller supply resistance area ki taraf jaega jo ke 1.2795-1.2800 ke qeemat par hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke price jo pehle 60 ke level mein thi, woh ab 63 ke level ki taraf ja rahi hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers ke dabaav ko market se support mil raha hai jo ke aaj ke trading mein price ko RSI level 75 ke taraf barhne ki taraf le jana chahta hai.

Nateeja:
Sell dakhilay tab kiye ja sakte hain agar seller ko 1.2705-1.2700 ke support area ko torne mein kamiyabi milti hai jahan tak TP area 1.2660-1.2650 ke qeemat par hai.

Ek buy dakhilay kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer ko resistance area ko torne mein kamiyabi milti hai jahan tak ek pending buy stop order ko 1.2760-1.2765 ke qeemat par lagakar TP target 1.2795-1.2800 par rakha ja sakta hai.

Mery analysis GB/USD currency pair ki rah chal ki hai. Chalo British pound ki technical analysis shuru karte hain market sentiment dekh kar. Kharidari aur farokht ka percentage dekh kar hum ne note kiya ke 67 percent sellers aur 33 percent buyers hain. Lekin is ke bawajood, aik ahem khilari kehtay hain ke bullish rehna chahte hain, jo keemat ko buland karna chahte hain aur bear-stop losses ko trigger karna chahte hain. Sunday ki hourly chart ki technical analysis mein, keemat ne apne peak se pichay hat kar ascending channel mein aik ahem laal zone mein dakhil kiya. Hamain kuch dar asal moving average (MA) support ka imtehan lena chahiye, jo kareeb 1.2674 hai, aur potential break neeche ke janib le jaye ga jo ke black line ke qareeb 1.2585 pe ek test ko le jayega. Oscillator overbought conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jahan histogram positive zone mein ek downtrend continuation ki alaamat hai. Jab hum ne naye haftay ke opening ka intezar kiya, ek upar ki taraf harkat ke baad keemat Bollinger band ka upper hissa test kar sakti hai pehle se neeche mutawajjah hoti hai.
Aksar, ek neeche ki taraf harkat ke bawajood keemat MA aur Bollinger band pair tak la sakti hai, kareeb 1.2635/50 ilaqa, jahan mazeed rah chal ki taraf janib milti hai. Keemat ka giravat yahan tak ponch sakti hai ke neeche Bollinger band 1.2437 pe target ho jata hai. Medi-term trading range ko haftay ki chart se diagonal lines se dekha gaya hai. Haal hi mein 1.2810 ka aik ahem imtehan liya gaya, hum ne aik ahem giravat dekhi, jo ke scalping enthusiasts ke liye maujooda hai. Agar aglay paanch dinon mein yeh ahem level tod diya jaye, to yeh aik zyada numaya trend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Mazeed, economic calendar events ka nigrani karna ahem hai, khas tor par UK aur USA chahte hain. Sunday ki hourly chart ki technical analysis mein, keemat ne apne peak se pichay hat kar ascending channel mein aik ahem laal zone mein dakhil kiya. Hamain kuch dar asal moving average (MA) support ka imtehan lena chahiye, jo kareeb 1.2674 hai, aur potential break neeche ke janib le jaye ga jo ke black line ke qareeb 1.2585 pe ek test ko le jayega. Oscillator overbought conditions ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jahan histogram positive zone teen-star updates, jo ke qeemti wazahat faraham kar sakte hain.

Aakhirkaar, GBPUSD jodi ke saath kya ho raha hai, usko hum torh-dorh kar dekhte hain. Pichle Jumma ko, khareedari karne walay ya purchasers ne manzar par kabza kar liya, halaanki pehle bechnay walay ne qeemat ko ek mandi ke tareeqay se neeche daba diya tha. Magar khareedari walon ne apna muqabla 1.2705-1.2700 ke support area ke aas paas qayam rakha, jo unhein jodi ki keemat par qaboo paane aur mazeed khareedari dabao dalne ki ijaazat di, jo ke phir se raasta palat kar bullish ek ki taraf rukh ko badal diya.

Agar hum Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ki taraf dekhein toh dekh sakte hain ke keemat ek martaba phir se Middle Bollinger Bands area ke oopar qaim hai, jo ke jab GBPUSD jodi ko trade kiya jata hai to khareedari walon ka muqam zyada munafa-dih banata hai. Aur is par ek bullish Doji candle ka zahir hona bhi yeh ishaara deta hai ke khareedari dabao abhi bhi bearish dabao se zyada qaawi hai. Khareedari walay jari rahenge GBPUSD jodi ki keemat ko mazeed buland karne ki koshish karte hue, unka agla maqsad Upper Bollinger Bands area ko pohanch kar isay test karna hai, jo ke 1.2585-1.2580 ke qareeb hai, jo ke sellers ke liye ek mazboot supply resistance area bhi hai.

Ab, is Peer ke subah, khareedari walon ne badi market mein dakhil ho kar bechnay walon par apna dabao jari rakha hai, jo ke unhein bull ke tareeqay se keemat ko mazeed buland karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Unka qareebi maqsad hai ke bechnay walon ke resistance area ko 1.2763-1.2760 ke qareeb todna, jo ke abhi tak mazbooti se qaim hai. Agar unhein is level ko kamiyab tor par guzar jaana hai, to mazeed buland bullishness ke liye moqa khol jayega, unka agla maqsad ho ga agle bechnay walon ke supply resistance area ko 1.2795-1.2800 ke qareeb todna.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke keemat, jo pehle 60 area mein thi, ab 63 area ki taraf ja rahi hai, jisse yeh darust hota hai ke khareedari dabao jo khareedari walon ne kiya hai wo ab bhi market ke taabir ko support mil raha hai, jo ke aaj ke trading mein keemat ko 75 area tak mazeed buland dekhna chahti hai.

Ab agar bechnay walon ko kamiyab tor par 1.2705-1.2700 ke support area ko torhna ho, to ek sell entry ki ja sakti hai, jiska TP area 1.2660-1.2650 ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar khareedari walon ko resistance area ko torhna ho, to ek buy entry ki ja sakti hai, jismein ek pending buy stop order 1.2760-1.2765 par rakha ja sakta hai, jiska TP maqsad 1.2795-1.2800 ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichlay haftay, pound ne thodi dair k liye ek local high ko touch kiya phir correction register hui. Price 1.2788 level say thori upar gayi magar growth ko barqarar nahi rakh saki aur 1.2667 level par girna shuru hui jahan support mila aur kuch losses ko wapas hasil kiya. Ye movement target area ki taraf nahi ja rahi jo abhi bhi kaam mein hai. Issi doran, price chart ne red supertrend area mein move kiya, jo seller activity ke khatam hone ko indicate karta hai.

Aaj ke technical perspective se, humari trades bearish hain lekin ehtiyat ke sath, clear negative crossover signals par rely karte hue jo simple moving averages se downward pressure daal rahi hain jabke stochastic Speed indicator bhi top par hai. Iss tarah, bearish trend aane wale ghanton mein possible aur valid hai, jahan pehla target 1.2665 aur doosra official target 1.2630 hoga.

Yaad rahe ke agar price 1.2700 se upar chali jati hai aur kam az kam ek hourly candle close hoti hai, to bearish trend foran ruk jayega aur pair bullish ho jayega jahan targets 1.2745 se start hote hain aur 1.2800 tak extend karte hain, trend ko khatam karte hue. Niche chart dekhein:



Iss waqt, pair mukhtalif direction mein trade kar raha hai aur week ke aghaz se thoda niche hai. Key support areas abhi tak test nahi huye aur intact hain, jo preferred growth vector ko maintain kar rahe hain. Price ko current price area mein consolidate hone ki zarurat hai jo 1.2667 ke qarib limited hai, jahan main support area border karta hai. Iss area ka retest aur bounce aik aur upward move ka mauka dega, target karte hue 1.2914 aur 1.2994 ke darmiyan.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.2524 pivot level se niche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.