gbp/usd

Aaj GBP/USD ek nazuk balance ko navigate kar raha hai, US dollar ke muqable mein sirf 0.09% girawat ke sath. Yeh halki si girawat market forces ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai. Halanke US Treasury yields barh gayin hain jo currency valuation ko influence kar sakti hain, greenback yeh gains maintain nahi kar saka. GBP/USD abhi 1.2696 par hai, jo intraday low 1.2675 se thoda upar aa gaya hai.

Federal Reserve ka Signal aur Inflation Concerns:

Federal Reserve Board of Governors ki member Michelle Bowman ke recent remarks ne market participants mein discussions ko janam diya hai. Bowman ke comments ne inflation ke trajectory ke hawale se concerns ko highlight kiya, yeh suggest karte hue ke is domain mein progress utni linear nahi ho sakti jitni pehle anticipate ki gayi thi.

Monetary Policy aur Currency Dynamics par Asar:

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se conjecture GBP/USD equation ko mazeed complex bana deti hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September tak 25 basis-point rate cut ki probability marginally barh kar 49.0% ho gayi hai. Central bank ki taraf se potential easing of monetary policy ka speculation US Dollar ki strength ko undermine karne ki potential rakhta hai, jis se GBP/USD pair ko support mil sakta hai.

Possible Scenarios aur Future Outlook:

GBP/USD ki recent movements potential trends ke hawale se insights deti hain. 100-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2625 ke confluence ko breach karne se 1.2690 region tak rally ko catalyst mila. Lekin, 1.2700 ka psychological barrier abhi bhi unconquered hai, jo further upward momentum ke liye pivotal threshold ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Dosri taraf, agar price 1.2680 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh sellers ko mazboot kar sakta hai, aur downward trajectory towards 1.2500 ke liye raasta khol sakta hai.



Agar buyers 1.2700 mark ko reclaim kar lete hain, to attention March 21 high of 1.2804 ko challenge karne ki taraf shift ho jayegi, followed by the year-to-date high at 1.2894. Dosri taraf, selling pressure ke resurgence se pair ko 200-DMA at 1.2538 ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jahan 1.2500 level ek critical support zone ke tor par loom karega.

Jumay ke subha Asian session mein, GBP/USD pair mein halka sa izafa dekha gaya, jo kareeb 1.2690 ke ird gird hover kar raha hai. Sath hi, USD Index (DXY) ne bhi multi-week lows near 105.00 touch karne ke baad modest rebound witness kiya. Federal Reserve ke recent remarks, khas tor par inflation aur potential rate adjustments ke hawale se, ne market sentiment ko influence kiya.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Recent market dynamics ka ek notable aspect yeh hai ke kayi Federal Reserve officials ne ehtiyaat ka stance adopt kiya hai. Sustained borrowing costs ki ahmiyat ko emphasize karte hue, woh clearer signs of inflation easing ka intezar kar rahe hain. Fed Bank of Atlanta ke Raphael Bostic ne interest rates ke sath patience ki zaroorat ko highlight kiya, US economy mein lingering pricing pressures ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Cleveland Fed ki Loretta Mester ne bhi is sentiment ko echo kiya aur yeh suggest kiya ke inflation ke trajectory ko ascertain karne mein anticipated se zyada waqt lag sakta hai, is liye prolonged restrictive stance ko advocate kiya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Jab ke Dollar ko mazboot rebound mount karne mein obstacles ka samna hai, GBP/USD resilience showcase karta hai, Wednesday ke American trading session ke doran nearly two-month peak 1.2760 ke kareeb hover karta hai. Investor sentiment Federal Reserve ke September meeting se interest rate cuts implement karne ke prospect ko mirror karta hai. Noteworthy hai ke 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish territory 60.00-80.00 mein enter hua, jo GBP/USD pair ke favor mein momentum shift ka signal hai.



GBP/USD ne nearly two-month peak 1.2730 tak surge karte hue apni bullish momentum ko maintain karne ke signs show kiye hain, jo short-to-long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke upward trend se buoyed hai. Mazeed analysis se pata chalta hai ke GBP/USD pair ne March ke high around 1.2900 se 61.8% losses ko retrace kiya hai, jo uski sustained upward movement ko highlight karta hai.

GBPUSD ANALYSIS

H4 Timeframe Analysis:

H4 TF reference ke hisab se dekha jaye toh, yeh dikh raha hai ke Bearish Power price ko ek lambay arsay ke bearish correction movement phase mein push karne ke liye zyada ho rahi hai. Yeh bearish condition tab hui jab pichli bullish trend ko jaari rakhne ki koshish abhi bhi overbought area ke limit pe RSI level 70 pe atki hui hai. Ab decline lagta hai ke oversold area tak pohochne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke RSI level 30 ke neeche hai. Nazdeeki Demand Area jo ke 1.2653 ke aas paas hai, agla bearish test target nazar aata hai. 1.2640 ke aas paas support area ke neeche break hone se 1.2587 ke aas paas ma100 (green) movement ke hidden demand area ko test karne ki potential hoti hai. Ek aur, bearish trend ka change hone ki possibility confirm ho sakti hai agar decline ma200 (blue) movement limit ke neeche support area se guzar jaata hai, jo ke 1.2507 ke aas paas hai.



Daily Timeframe Analysis:

TF Daily reference mein dekha jaye toh, prices phir se bearish correction movement ko experience kar rahe hain current bullish trend ke abhi bhi conditions ke baad. Yeh downward condition tab hui jab increase naye higher form karne mein nakam raha, jo ke resistance area ke upar tha 1.2801 ke aas paas. Ab price decline kar chuka hai nazdeeki demand area 1.2680 ke aas paas tak aur further decline ke liye opportunity hai RBS area ko test karne ka Ma 100 (green) movement ke range mein 1.2630 pe. RBS area mein bearish rejection condition seems to be the best area to re-enter buy following the continuation of the next bullish trend. Bullish trend ke continuation mein increase ke possibility khulta hai ek base up rally ke liye jo ke is saal ke highest price limit tak pohochne ki opportunity deti hai 1.2892 ke aas paas. Daily chart pe bearish trend sirf tab initially confirmed hoga jab yeh ma200 movement limit (blue) ke neeche support area se gir jaaye, jo ke 1.2507 ke aas paas hai.

GBP/USD Daily

Adaab, hamdard! Aur ab main apne liye yeh faisla karne ki koshish kar raha hoon ke kya main GBP/USD ke liye is sell signal par bharosa kar sakta hoon ya nahi. Kyunki ab main safar mein mukhtalif majors ko dekh raha tha. Aur kaise ho sakta hai ke growth abhi khatam nahi hui? Australian aur euro/dollar dono ko abhi tak uttar mein kuch baaki kar diya gaya hai; unhe wapas jaana hai aur sab ko band karna hai. Lekin GBP/USD ke liye, tasveer ab alag rangon mein nazar aati hai. Yahan bhi ek farokht signal hai - Semaphore se global. Lekin yeh ek pattern-technical zone mein lagta hai: price upper Bollinger band ke space mein dakhil hui hai, jo ke ek nishaanat bhari lamha lagta hai: bull apne maqasid ke kuch hisse hasil kar chuke hain, wo kaafi tayyar hain ke fael-e-amal ke maidan ko chhod dein, saare reins ko bearon ko de dein. - is waqt girawat thori hai, lekin woh zahir ho gayi hai. Magar teen Bollinger Bands sab ikhtiyarat ko dikhate hain. Wo tees degree ke trend angle mein uttar ki taraf ishara karte hain. Is waqt, upper Bollinger band ne MA100 ko pehle se neeche se upar cross kar diya hai. Baaqi do neeche ke pattiyon par bari hai. - ek halka MASD ek narm nazar aanay wale bullish lehar se kaam kar raha hai. Signal tape hissa baahar nikalne ki taraf jhuk rahi hai, lekin abhi tak humare paas koi farokht signal nahi hai. - ek silsila moving averages ne overbought zone tak pahunch gaya hai. Be-takalluf, lekin phir bhi yeh test ho chuka hai. Aur ab ek mord to dakshin ki taraf ho raha hai. - JSC ne koi farokht signals jaari nahi kiye.. Magar stochastic oversold zone ko test karne ke baad gir gaya hai. Toh, is waqt, lagta hai ke koi khaas bear nahi hain jo halqa se le kar dakshin ki taraf udaan bhar sakein. Zyadatar, aaj hamare liye ek flat intezar hai.

CURRENCY PAIR GBP-USD

GBP/USD ke liye Kal, ek chhote uttar-purab palat ke baad, jo ke sabse nazdeek resistance level par nahi pohancha, jo ke meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 1.27611 par waqai hai, ke bad news background ke khilaf mod par gaya aur bahut bharosemandi ke sath dakshin ki taraf daba diya gaya, jis ki wajah se ek aur bearish mombati bani. Jaise maine pehle note kiya tha, is instrument ke liye ek correction ka waqt aa gaya hai, aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke nazdeeki support levels kaam karne shuru ho sakte hain. Amooman, abhi ke liye main nazar rakhta hoon support level par, jo ke meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 1.26340 par hai, aur support level par, jo ke meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 1.25694 par hai. In support levels ke nazdeek, halat ka vikas do scenarios ke sath ho sakta hai. Pehla scenario ek morni mombati ka banne se jura hai aur price ke upward movement ka dobara shuru hona. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ka wait karunga wapas resistance level par, jo ke 1.27611 par sthit hai, ya resistance level par, jo ke 1.28032 par sthit hai. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to aage ki uttar ki movement ka intezar kiya jayega takreeban resistance level tak, jo ke 1.28938 par sthit hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main trading setup ka banne ka wait karunga, jo trading ke further direction ka faisla karne mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke prices aur bhi uttar ki taraf push kar sakte hain resistance level ke nazdeek, jo ke 1.29956 par sthit hai, lekin yahan par situation ko dekhna hoga, aur agar mukarrar plan kaamyaab hota hai, to jab prices door ke uttar maqasid ki taraf badhein, main poori tarah se dakshin ki palat ki gunjaish ko tasleem karta hoon, jo main nazar andaz karne ka irada karta hoon takreeban support levels ke paas bullish signals ki talash mein, upward price movement ka barqarar honay ka intezar karte hue ek global bullish trend ke hisse ke tor par. Ek doosra rasta, jab support level 1.25694 ke nazdeek price movement par aane ke dauran, price movement ke liye ek plan hone ke sath hai, jab price is level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai aur aur dakshin ki taraf badhti hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ka wait karunga takreeban support level par, jo ke 1.24661 par sthit hai, ya support level par, jo ke 1.24456 par sthit hai. Main in support levels ke nazdeek aage ki upward price movement ka intezar karte hue bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga. Amooman, seedhe aur chhoti taur par, aaj main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke correction ke hisse ke tor par southern movement jari ho sakti hai aur price nazdeeki support levels ko kaam karke ja sakti hai, aur phir main umeed karta hoon ke uttar ki signals ko nazdeek dekhunga, bullish trend ke hisse ke tor par growth ka dobara amal mein aane ke intezar mein.

ke doran 1.2547 ke qareeb buland hua. Yeh bulandiyon ka sabab mukhtalif factors se hosakta hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya market sentiment ke tabdeel hone ki wajah se. Pehle toh, economic indicators ka impact hota hai. Agar kisi mulk ka economic data, jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation rates, behtar ho, toh uska currency usually strengthen hota hai. Isi tarah, agar economic indicators weak hotay hain, toh currency usually weaken hota hai. Investors economic data ko closely monitor karte hain aur iske mutabiq trading decisions lete hain. Dosra factor hai geopolitical events. Jab bhi koi significant event hota hai, jaise ke elections, trade negotiations, ya international conflicts, toh iska currency market par asar hota hai. For example, agar kisi mulk ke elections ka result market expectations ke mutabiq aata hai, toh isse uski currency strong ho sakti hai. Similarly, geopolitical tensions ya conflicts bhi currency ko affect kar sakte hain. Market sentiment bhi ek ahem factor hai. Agar investors optimistic hote hain, toh woh usually riskier assets mein invest karte hain, jaise ke stocks ya higher-yielding currencies. Isse un currencies ka value increase hota hai. Lekin agar market sentiment negative ho, toh investors safe-haven assets jaise ke gold ya stable currencies mein apna paisa lagate hain, jisse unki value increase hoti hai. GBP/USD ke case mein, Jumeraat ke din Asia ke doran 1.2547 ke qareeb buland hona, kisi khaas event ya news ke asar mein ho sakta hai. For example, agar UK ya US se koi significant economic data release hua ho, jo market expectations ke mutabiq ya unse behtar tha, toh isse GBP/USD ka value increase ho sakta hai. Ya phir, koi geopolitical ya geo-economic event ho sakta hai jiska asar market par hua ho. Lekin yaad rahe ke currency markets bahut hi volatile hote hain aur unki movements ke peeche kayi factors hote hain, jo kabhi kabhi samajhna mushkil ho sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko hamesha market ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur apne trading decisions ko carefully weigh karna chahiye.

GBP/USD TAJZIYA.

US Dollar/Swiss Franc currency pair ki rozi marra ke chart ke andar, daraaye hui moseebat ka safar jari hai, aur haalaanki jodi ek janoobi tasveer mein hai, magar yeh harkat mooving average ke upar hai. TMA indicator barh raha hai, jis se uttar ki taraf rehnumai kar raha hai. Rozi marra ke stochastic mein izafa ho raha hai aur yeh abhi tak apne pointer ka darmiyan nahi pohancha hai, is liye bull ke liye madad honi chahiye aur aap USD/CHF ke keemat ko upri rukh ke liye 0.9150 ke muqable mein bharosa bhi kar sakte hain, jo ke maine apni dekha hai screen pe. Iska breakout iska uptrend tezi se barha sakta hai, lekin takneeki soorat haal ke bais, jodi phir se sudhar mein dakhil hogi. Halaat yeh hain ke trade ke aakhir mein, USD/CHF ki keemat 0.9060 par trade ho rahi hai aur 0.9015 ke darja se uth rahi hai, jo ke Crisscross indicator ne naya rozana kam se kam darja darja kiya hai. Doosri currencies ka relative strength indicator abhi tak bull ke liye support nahi karta, lekin yeh "comrade" lehaaz se bohot zyada volatil hai. Aane waale haftay mein, is ka uttar ki taraf rukh dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur phir sab theek ho jaega. Wazeh hai ke bull ka asal maqsad haal ki rozana unchi ke qareeb 0.9220 ke nishan ko taaza kar dena hai, aur phir puri rukhawat ka dabba tod dena hai 0.9220 - 0.9240 ke darjo ke darmiyan.

Is mahine ke keemat ke harkat taiz rahi, agla trend phir se neeche ja sakta hai. Agar aap Simple Moving Average ke 60 aur 150 points ke neeche giren candle ke maqam par tawajjo den, yeh ek bazaar ke trend ke hawale se aik ishaara hai jo zyada taur par abhi bhi negative rukh mein jata hai.
Iske alawa, aap Overall Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ka maqam dekh sakte hain jo ab level 50 ke neeche hai, yeh maane hai ke market ka trend abhi bhi negative marhala mein hai. Main Sell trading exchange karne ka moqa talash karne mein zyada dilchaspi rakhta hoon kyunki neeche ke rukh jaari hai. Jab keemat 0.9045 ke daire mein neeche ki taraf chale, meri raaye mein, yeh acha waqt hota hai Sell trading exchange karne ka.



UK aur US ke darmiyan maliye ki policies ki khaasiyat, Pound Sterling ke US Dollar ke muqable mein keemat mein tarmeem ke jhoot daba rahi hai. Currency markets mein volatility mein izafa ho raha hai jab ke investors aik dosre ke kareeb se iqtisadi dalail aur Central bank ke paigham ko gehri nigaah se dekh rahe hain, taake mumkin maliye policy ke musalsal rukhawat ka andaza lagaya ja sake.
Pound Sterling EMA-50 aur EMA-34 ke darmiyan sakoon dikhata hai US Dollar ke muqable mein, jab ke UK ke inflation data ka imkan muhasra hai. Investors inflation figures ke ihtimaal par bethe hain, jo ke ek wazeh kami ko muntazir hain, jo ke currency dynamics ko mazeed tabdeel kar sakta hai. Ek saath, Central bank ke afrodaana rukh loan daron ko barqarar rakhne ke liye market opinion par asar daal raha hai aur GBP/USD ki swap rate mein rukhawat mein izafa kar raha hai.

GBD/USD Ke Naveed

Adaab aur Subah Bakhair dosto!
Kharidardaan GBP/USD ke bazaar ke momentum ko qadre nahi karte. Uss waqt bhi, US dollar Flash news data ke ikhtitam ke baad bohot mustahkam nahi tha. Kal, hum ne bazaar ko 1.2715 zone ke aas paas dekha tha. Mazeed, aaj ke bazaar ke jazbat ne kharidardaanon ke liye ek moosool mahol faraham kiya hai taake wo faa'ida utha sakein aur apne trading ke nateejay ko behtar bana sakein. Bazaar ko ehtiyaat ke saath samajhna, nayi soch ko apnana, aur tabdeel hone wale trends par tawajjuh rakhna, kharidardaanon ko chhote aur lambi muddat mein kamiyaabi haasil karne ke liye apne aap ko mehfooz karne ke liye mu'ayyan kar sakta hai. GBP/USD bazaar ke manzarname mein, kharidardaanon ka mustahkam hona maloom hota hai. Unki i'timaad un fa'ida-mand keemat dynamics se ata hai, jo jald az jald rukawaton ko paar karne ki raah par hain. Iss umeed bhari nazar se, meri taraf raghibi yeh hoti hai ke is khaas jori par kharid ka hukam diya jaye, chhote maqasid ko aqeedatmandi se set karte hue. Magar, ahtiyaat ikhtiyaar karni chahiye kyunke aaj ka bazaar apni khas tawazun daari ko dikhane wala hai. Iss bepardagi ke darmiyan, kharidardaanon ko hushyar tajweezon ke saath safar karna chahiye, daftar ke barqi a'laaj ka istemaal karte hue. Umeed hai ke GBP/USD ke keemat 1.2756 ke rukh ko jald az jald par kar legi. Mazeed, aane wale US trading session mein umeed hai, jo hushyar kharidardaanon ke liye mazeed mauqaat khushkardah hone ki umeed rakhta hai. Naye trading strategies aur takneeki tajziye ke riwayaat ko apnana, ye mauqaat mahir taur par faida uthane mein ek mukhtalif fawaid ke taur par munsar sabit ho sakta hai. Aam tor par, mojooda bazaar ke jazbat kharidardaanon ko na sirf aaj balki kal ke trading session mein bhi faa'ida pohanchane ki tarjeeh dikhate hain. GBP/USD ke bazaar mein, hum in ke nafaafed ko wazeh taur par barha sakte hain. Haqeeqat mein, aaj kharidardaanon ke liye ek faida-mand manzar pesh hota hai, jo qareebi muddat mein jari rahne ki sambhavnaon ke saath hai. Magar, bazaar ki makhsoos bepardagi ke darmiyan, hushyar khatra nigrani aur manzariyat ki strategic planning zaroori hai. Umeed hai ke GBP/USD ke kharidardaanon ki dabao mein aaj izafa hoga aur wo jald az jald 1.2765 zone ko paar kar sakte hain.

H1 Chat Tahlil:

Yeh GBP/USD chat tahlil H1 time frame par mabni hai, jo ahem support aur resistance levels ko darust karti hai. Pichle maheenay mein, bazaar ke daam kaafi wazeh trend lines ke darmiyan chaal raha tha, jo ek mustaqil downtrend ko numaya kartay thay. Iss mazid halat ki chal, bearish market ke jazbat ko highlight karti hai, jahan keematain mustaqil tor par ghat rahi hain. Ab, bazaar ke daam in trend lines ke darmiyan waqe hain, jo mojooda trend ka jari rehne ka ishara dete hain. Agla ahem resistance level jo dekha jana hai woh 1.2745 hai. Ye level ahem hai kyunki agar H4 time frame par keemat is resistance ke ooper band ho jati hai, toh ye ek moghees ulta pher ya downtrend ka waqtanai rukawat ki ishara ho sakta hai. Traders aur analysts qareebi candles ka rawayya H4 chart par gehri nazar se dekhein ge ke dekhein ge ke ye resistance level kya test hoga aur shayad breake ho. Dosri taraf, agar keemat is resistance level ke ooper band nahi hoti hai, toh mojooda downtrend jari rahe ga. Iss surat mein, keemat nichle hattate hue trend line ko mawafiq kar ke neaye support levels banaye gi. Agar keemat H4 time frame par mojooda support level ko torh le, toh yeh downtrend ka jari rehne ka tasdeeq karay ga, aur bazaar ko zyada niche ke daam par naye support level ki talash hogi.



Age ki taraf dekhte hue, umeed hai ke keemat 1.2790 tak pohanch sakti hai. Ye target level mojooda trend dynamics aur short-term price corrections ke imkanaat par mabni hai. Magar, is level tak pohanchne par kai factors par depend kare ga, jin mein market sentiment, ma'ashi indicators, aur saiyasi waqiaat shamil hain jo GBP/USD jori ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Ikhtisar mein, GBP/USD bazaar ab H1 time frame par bearish trend mein hai, jo pichle maheenay ke liye keemat ka rawayya kar rahi hai. Ahem resistance level jo dekha jata hai wo 1.2745 hai, agar H4 time frame par isse ooper band hoti hai toh trend mein tabdeeli ki ishara ho sakti hai. Ulta, agar keemat is resistance ko torhti hai, toh downtrend jari rahe ga, aur keemat neaye support levels banati rahe gi. Agla intezar karne wala target level keemat ka 1.2790 hai, jo keemat ka rawayya aur anay wale sessions ki market ki halat par mabni hai.

GBPUSD

GBP/USD. Aghazat chart par, qeemat ab bhi ek oopar ki janib barhte hue channel mein hai. Kal zameen par utarna koshish ki gayi. Neche jaane ka mumkin nahi tha, isliye aaj bhi qeemat ke mazeed izafe ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Upar ka maqsood 1.2787 ho sakta hai, jo ke barhte hue channel ka oopari had hai. Ek bar hum upar ke level par pohanchte hain, to yeh mumkin hai ke darmiyan mein palat aaye aur qeemat kam hone ka aghaz ho. Agar pair kam hone ka aghaz karta hai aur phir kam hota hai, to qeemat neche ja sakti hai 1.2728 tak, jo ke barhte hue channel ka neechla had hai.

Salam. Aur bila shubah, mein shak nahi karta ke kami ya saqoot ka izafa mumkin hai, kyun ke bila shubah hamesha izafa ke baghair peechay nahi jaana mumkin hai. Lekin haqeeqat mein hamare liye kuch bhi tabdeel nahi hua hai aur up trend barqarar hai jab tak hum mazeed uncha karne ke liye aur 1.2760 tak pohanchte hain. Magar wapas lenay ke doran adad 27 ke neeche jaana mumkin nahi hai. Jab ke neeche bohot se maqamat hain, ek hai jahan hum ne zameen par utar gaye hain. Lekin dono halat mein, aaj dollar ki kaise farokht hoti hai yeh ahem hai, khaaskar ke PMI hone wala hai. Amooman mamlaat aasaan nahi hain aur mein is amal par bilkul bhi soch nahi raha. Magar agar hum 1.2750 ke upar jaate hain, to main wahan farokht karne ki koshish karunga, khaaskar ke stop chhota hoga.



GBPUSD currency mein Bollinger indicator ka istemal karke, teen ahem levels ko pehchana gaya hai: support 1.27153 par, resistance 1.27301 par aur midpoint 1.27227 par. Halankeh trading ab 1.27335 par hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke shuru mein farokht karne ke liye kuch izafe honge. Diagram wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke kharidari mukammal ho chuki hai. Main ne tajweez ki hai ke mojooda qeemat par 1.27335 ke farokht order ko kholna chahiye aur agle oopar bhi ek farokht order rakha jaaye. Plan ke mutabiq, faiday do categories mein record kiye jaate hain.

GBP/USD
Pound/Dollar

Timeframe H4
Sab ko achi mood! 4 baje ke chart ke mutabiq linear regression channel mashriq ki taraf rukh kar raha hai. Ye dikhata hai ke farokht karne wala aktive action dikhata hai, jo ke darja 1.27073 ko dekhne ke liye koshish kar raha hai. Bearon ko wahan dakhil hona chahiye aur oopar jaakar 4 ghante ke frame par uptrend ko torne ki koshish karni chahiye. Farokht karne wale ke chhote positions channel ke oopari kinaray ke qareeb darja 1.27441 par hain. Ye nishana bulon ke liye dilchasap hai jo ise torne aur H4 ke downtrend ko torne ke liye koshish karenge. Darja 1.27441 se agar rukawat hoti hai, to main farokht karne ka tajweez doonga. Palat information ka intezar karna munasib hai taake bulon ke bearish positions ko lekar tawajjuh mein behak na jayein jo ke intehai beqabu upar ki taraf ka rukh bana sakte hain. H4 par manzar bearish hai, lekin hourly chart par linear regression channel barh raha hai, jo ke ek oopar ka trend darust karta hai. Kya bearon ko bulon ko shikast de sakenge? Ye tab tak maloom hoga ke market farokht karne wale ka maqsood pura karne par kaise react karta hai. Aur maine dinon ko dekha aur sab kuch dekha.



Kal, agle din, humne rozana resistance area ko tor diya aur achi utar ki safar ki. Sirf MHIF protocols ka istemal kar ke hum is oopar ki taraf ka rukh compensate karne ke liye kamyab rahe aur bearish pin bar ke sath din ko band kiya, jo kam az kam hamein H4 par ek bearish technical correction ke bare mein bata raha hai. Zyadatar wapas pehle ke trend par lautne ki gunjaish hai. Kyunkay humne us din GBPUSD ke liye bullish technical correction ko fiber aur technical level ke zariye pura kiya tha. Ye channel ke neeche qareeb hai 1.27073. Kharidari walon ko nazar ana chahiye jab woh in ke qareeb ya in ke paas aate hain. Agar bullish izafa ka reaction nazar aata hai, to ye matlab hai ke mazboot kharidari wale hain jo neeche ki taraf ka rukh rokne aur market ko uthane ki koshish karenge. Uske baad, bulon ka market darja 1.27596 tay karega. Farokht karne wale ke fa'al hone ka ek aur tareeqa hai 1.27073 ke neeche break, isliye kisi bhi kharidari ki koi baat nahi hai. Kami jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai.

Aaj ka din acha hai. Kal musbat UK mahangai ke data ne achanak uthaal puthaal kiya, lekin khareedne walon ka yeh josh dheere ho gaya. Aur ab, izafe ko jari rakhne ke liye, humein kal ke unchi qeemat ko 1.27608 par milane ka intezar hai. Euro gir gaya, aur is natije mein, in pairs ke darmiyan thori si asar giravat ka barqarar rahna. Aaj humein America se bohot sa data mil raha hai. Shayad agar mazboot aur wazeh statistics saamne aayein to rukh mustaqil ho sakta hai.

Main brand Alexandra ko samajh gaya, tafseel ke liye shukriya. Kul mila ke, jab euro pehli baar parity ke neeche gir gaya tha, to yeh euro zone mein buland gas ke prices ke manzar ke sath aur samajh ke tor par tha ke Federal Reserve sood ko barhane ka aghaz karega, jis se euro kamzor ho gaya tha. Lekin ab yeh wazeh nahi hai ke Eurozone ki maashi surat haal ko dubara parity ke neeche girne ke liye kya hona chahiye. Mujhe samajh hai ke leharain siyasat aur maashi par munhasir nahi hoti, lekin phir bhi qoumi currencies ki qeemat ko kisi mool wajah ya kisi ke mufaadat ke baghair nahi gir sakti. Europe mein garmi ke mosam mein football aur Olympic Games chalte rahenge, jo ke seyahat karne wale se paise ki rauh milne ka matlab hai. Is tajziye mein, yeh wazeh nahi hai ke girte hue euro ko gira dekha jayega pehle ke girne se pehle, lekin andaza lagane ka koi faida nahi, har hal mein harkat ki shakal ko dekhna behtar hai.

GBPUSD M5 pair:

1 - 5 minute ke chart par pound oopari band ki taraf breakout banane ki koshish kar raha hai, ek breakout us ke hudood se bahar ban gaya hai, lekin qeemat ke izafe ke bare mein achi khabar milne ke liye, dono taraf ko bahar kholne ka intezar zaroori hai.

2 - AO indicator musbat zone mein kamzor ho gaya; Agar jald hi zero par transition aur musbat zone mein sakhti se izafe ki dekha jaye aur to hum ek mazboot signal receive karenge ke quotes oopar ja sakti hain. Qeemat ka girne ka signal paane ke liye, zaroori hai ke hum naye sakht qeemat ka izafe negative zone mein dekhein.

3 - Khareedne ka dakhli nukta 1.27307 ke level se shumar kiya ja sakta hai; Qeemat ke izafe aur mazbooti ke doran 1.27496 ke level tak pohanchne ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai.



4 - Farokht ke liye dakhli nukta 1.27188 par hosakta hai, niche ke quotes ke liye maqsood 1.27090 hoga.

Hello, kaise hain aap, GBP/USD jodi ne Budh ke early Asian session mein 1.2720 ke qareeb ek izafa kiya. Ye aham jodi ke faiday ko UK CPI maheenavi shiddat se behtar hone wale data ne mazboot kiya, jo Bank of England ke June mein dar ko kam karne ke liye shartain halki kar raha hai. GBP/USD ko mazboot rukawat 1.2760 -1.2775 par milti hai, jahan pichli downtrend ke Fibonacci 78.6% retracement ko ascending regression channel ke upper boundary se milta hai. Is rukawat ke upar, 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) agla transitional resistance ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai phir 1.2850 (static level).



Neche, 4-ghantay ke chart par 1.2705-1.2700 (20-period simple moving average, ascending channel ka midpoint) ne 1.2660 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) aur 1.2640 ke pehle key support ke tor par shakal li hai. GBP/USD ne bullish rukh ikattha kiya aur Budh ke early European session mein 1.2750 ke ooper uth gaya, jo ke uska sab se mazboot level hai March 21 se. Haalaanki, jodi ne apne zyadatar faiday ka bara hissa mita diya, lekin wo aram se 1.2700 ke ooper hai. UK ke Consumer Price Index ke tabdiliyon ke teht daryaft huye maheenavi satah, Britain ke Office for National Statistics ke dawaray ne Budh ko dikhaya. Is bunyad par, yeh 3.2 percent se 2.3 percent tak gira. March ke reading, phir bhi 2.1 percent ke market ki tawaqquon se zyada aayi. Core CPI, jo khuraak aur bijli ke prices ko shamil karta hai, ishi doran 3.9% barh gaya, jisse analysts ke tawaqquon ko peecha chhoda. Reuters ke BOEWATCH tool ke mutabiq, Bank of England ke June mein dar kam karne ki sambhavna 50% se 12% par gir gayi, jab maheenavi data jari hua. Aise na ho, Barclays ne yeh ilan kiya ke wo ab June mein BoE policy ka mujallad hone ka tawaqqa nahi rakhta. Isi tarah, TD Securities ke analaysts ne kaha ke ab wo June ke bajaye August mein BoE ko policy rates ko kam karne ka tawaqo rakhte hain.

GBPUSD

Candle abhi tak 1.2698 ke qeemat par resistance ke ooper hil rahi hai jab h1 timeframe se dekha jata hai. Kitna bhi lamba muamla abhi tak waisa hi hai, wazeh hai ke main tayyar hona chahiye kyunke qeemat baghair kisi wajah ke bina bas asman se girne ke liye badh sakti hai. Lekin, khas tor par aaj main tasavvur karta hoon ke GBP-USD jald hi girne wala hai kyunke candle abhi tak 1.2710 ke qeemat par SBR ilaqa mein dakhil nahi ho sakti. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek behtareen jagah hogi GBP/USD ko wapas neeche lana ke liye. Masla yeh hai, ke GBPUSD ne utharte waqt koi durustiyan nahi ki hain. GBpusd ka maqsad is ke baad 1.2646 ke qeemat par madad ki taraf barhna hai.

Agar ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye to dekha ja sakta hai ke tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines aapas mein milte hain. Yeh haqeeqat mein do dinon mein ho gaya hai. Kyunki market abhi tak sidha ja raha tha, yeh hua hai. Flat market ke harkat mein uski kamzoriyon ke sabab se, is waqt ichimoku indicator ko kisi nuqta e nazar ke tor par istemal nahi kiya ja sakta. Behtar hai ke pehle ishaare ko ghayrat se dekha jaye. Is waqt, stochastic indicator ka maqam abhi tak darmiyani hai. Kyunki market abhi tak zyada dharak nahi hai, stochastic indicator is waqt koi wazahat nahi deta. Yeh wazahat hoti hai ke agar waqt intehai lamba ho. Shayad GBP-USD abhi girne ka irada kar raha hai kyunke mujhe khareedaron se dabaav kamzor hone ki shuruwat nazar aa rahi hai.

To aaj ke tajziye ka khatma yeh hai ke gbpusd ko abhi tak girne ka mauqa mil sakta hai kyunke mombati abhi tak 1.2718 ke qeemat par SBR ilaqa mein dakhil nahi ho sakti. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh ilaqa torne tak abhi tak bohot zyada girne ki jaga hai. Is natije mein, main doston ko sirf chhote muamlaat kholne par tawajjo dena suggest karta hoon. Aap take faida markazi madad par laga sakte hain 1.2640 ke qeemat par aur aap rukavat ko nuqta e nazar par 1.2729 ke qeemat par laga sakte hain.



/USD jodi ne May 2021 mein naqsh o numa par kisi neeche ki taraf ko par kardia tha, jo pehle se baazoo rehne wale bullish energy ko shikast di thi. Ye breakout umeed afzaa aur bullish madad ko barhata hai qareeb hota hai. Ek musbat Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossover bazaar ke upward trend ki madad ko barhata hai. Lekin, hosla afzai ki hifazati tadbeer ki zaroorat hai kyunke General Strength Record (RSI) abhi tak 70 ke overbought hadood ke neeche hai, aur Stochastic Index 80 se zyada dikhata hai. Haal hi mein di gayi seedha charhavah lambi girah ko 1.2795 ke qareeb qayadat milti hai, jo ke qareeb 1.2750 ke ird gird mazeed faiday ko rok sakta hai. Isi liye, saadgi se phir se mukhalifion ki taraf jane ke liye, wo is dairay ko paar karna chahiye. Agar wo kamiyab hote hain, to markazi rukawat ke todne ki taraf dam karta hai jo 1.2985 se pandemic lows ke neeche daraye gaye trendline se wazeh hai.

GBP/USD/H1

Jabki Asian session Budhvar ko samundar hota hai, GBP/USD jodi 1.2730 ke mark par ghoomti hai, haal hi mein jaari UK Bruto Gharelo Utpad (GDP) data se utha hua. British Pound (GBP) ko Q1 mein UK ki arthvyavastha ka majboot 0.6% ka vistar samarthan milta hai, jo ki ummeedon ko par karke desh ki choti si mukhtasar mandi ka anuman lagane ki nishani hai. Ye uthan do saalon se zyada purani sab se mazboot vridhi ko darust karta hai, jo UK ki arthvyavastha ke liye ek umeed afza manzar pesh karta hai.

Agar ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye to dekha ja sakta hai ke tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines aapas mein milte hain. Yeh haqeeqat mein do dinon mein ho gaya hai. Kyunki market abhi tak sidha ja raha tha, yeh hua hai. Halanki, is waqt ichimoku indicator ko kisi nuqta e nazar ke tor par istemal nahi kiya ja sakta kyunke yeh indicator jab market seedha chal raha hota hai to uski kamzoriyan hoti hain. Behtar hai ke pehle ishaare ko ghayrat se dekha jaye.

Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator ka maqam abhi tak darmiyani hai. Halanki, is waqt stochastic indicator koi wazahat nahi deta kyunke market abhi tak zyada dharak nahi hai. Agar waqt intehai lamba ho, to wazeh hai ke shart khatm ho chuki hai. Shayad GBP-USD abhi girne ke liye tayar ho raha hai kyunke mujhe khareedaron se dabaav kamzor hone ki shuruwat nazar aa rahi hai.



To aaj ke tajziye ka khatma yeh hai ke gbpusd ko abhi tak girne ka mauqa mil sakta hai kyunke mombati abhi tak 1.2718 ke qeemat par SBR ilaqa mein dakhil nahi ho sakti. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh ilaqa torne tak abhi tak bohot zyada girne ki jaga hai. Is natije mein, main doston ko sirf chhote muamlaat kholne par tawajjo dena suggest karta hoon. Aap take faida markazi madad par laga sakte hain 1.2640 ke qeemat par aur aap rukavat ko nuqta e nazar par 1.2729 ke qeemat par laga sakte hain.