gbp/usd

Jab trading ka din Jumma ko shuru hua, to Pound Sterling ek martaba phir apne aap ko US Dollar ke khilaf ek downtrend mein phans gaya. Ye raah is wakt ki manzar-e-aam mein sama gayi hai jab Greenback apni qawwati ko apne aalmi hamrahon par istemal kar raha hai. Jab Cable nuqsaan darj kar raha tha, to wo aik mustaqil manzil banaye rakha, bohat intezar ke baad Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy decision ke qareeb.

Maujooda doran, GBP/USD pair 1.2701 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.51% ki kami darust karta hai.

Federal Reserve ke shura nay Thomas Barkin ke taqreeb se mael ki jane wale maloomat ne market dynamics ko mazeed gehraai di. Barkin ne mushtariyon ko yaqeen dilaya ke maujooda interest rates ne mahangai ko khatam karne mein kisi kami ko nahi anay diya, aur federal reserve ko aik mustaqil job market par dhiyan dene ki salahiyat bhi di. Aisi raayein amrika federal reserve ke andar ehtiyati umeed ko saabit karti hain, jise rate adjustment ke pehle mazeed data ki zaroorat hai.

Haal hi mein Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki faisla mandana tijarat ko dhamaka deta hai. Khaaskar, ye faisla US inflation data ke ijaad ki wajah se aya, jo ke umeedon se behtar tha. Ye ghair mutawaqqa inflation figures ne afosat ko fatah kar diya ke foran rate kaatne ka faisla na kiya jaye. Is natije mein, maali manzar ko aik nihayat tasneef hone mein madad mili, jahan market projections ne saal bhar ke liye mutawaqqa rate kaatne ki tadfeen ko dubara dekha.

Technical Outlook aur Key Levels:

Pivotal levels ko halat e bazar ke flux ke doran shamil kiya jata hai. Agar pair ne manshoor nafsani divar ko 1.2700 par paar kar liya, to dhaare ke 200-day moving average (DMA) par tawajjo 1.2714 par milti hai. Agar ye juncture paar ho gaya, to ye ek potential upar ki taraf ka rukh tayar karta hai, jahan May 6 ki unchi 1.2941 tak pohonch sakti hai. Magar, sab se ahem baat ye hai ke May 3 ko dekhi gayi latest cycle ki unchi 1.2633 ko yaad rakhna hai.



Maujooda rujhan GBP/USD pair ke liye ek neeche ki taraf ka rukh ko ishara karta hai. Jabke din ka low 1.2643 ke aas paas istiqamat dikhata hai, to support trendline ko paar na karne ka naqsha e nazar ne hifazati parcham buland kar diya hai. Agar neeche ki dabaav barh jaye, to pair ka agla support May 9 ki kam 1.2444 tak mojood hai, phir 1.2400 ki nafsiyati hadood. Agar ye darwaza paar ho gaya, to aik ahem support zone nazar ata hai, jis ka base year-to-date (YTD) low 1.2298 par hai.

Pound/Dollar ka Tajziya

Pound/Dollar DXY ke sath aik aham kirdar ada karta hai. Hal hi mein, GBP/USD ne Jumeraat ke subah session mein 1.2690 ke ahem support level se upar surge kar ke tawajjo hasil ki hai. Magar, is upar ki raftar ke bawajood, anumani halat Pound ke rukh par asar daal rahe hain, khaaskar Bank of England (BoE) ke muntaqbil interest rate faisla ke madde nazar.

Fed Ke Raaye Aur Market Ka Jazbaat

Jab market players BoE ke agle faisle ka intezar kar rahe hain, Federal Reserve ke officials ke raaye ne GBP/USD ke dynamics mein mazeed pechiadgi shamil kar di hai. Pichlay haftay, muhim shakhsiyat jese ke Boston Fed President Susan Collins, New York Fed President John Williams, aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne apne nazriyat share kiye hain jo ke mojooda sood darjat ko dair tak barqarar rakhne ki rujhanat ko zahir karte hain. Ye hawkish rawayya US Dollar ko support de raha hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke rukh par asar daal raha hai.

Technical Tajziya Aur Momentum Indicators

GBP/USD aik pechiada technical manzar pesh karta hai. Hal hi ke izafaat pair ke liye ek mumkin uptrend ka ishara dete hain, magar pair ab bhi neutral territory mein hai jahan ek subtle neechay ka jazbaat hai. Ye is baat ka saboot hai ke ye 200-day moving average (DMA) ko qateel tor par paar karne mein nakam hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish tilt ka ishara karta hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke sellers short-term mein faida uthana chahtay hain. Magar, exchange rate ka 1.2700 level ke aas paas zid se qaim rehna kisi bhi mumkin girawat mein rukawat daal raha hai.



Ek mohtaat umeedwari ka manzar apni neutral stance ke darmiyan numoodar hota hai. RSI, halankeh bullish tendencies ko zahir karta hai, magar 50-midline ke qareeb rehta hai, jo ke aik naazuk balance ko zahir karta hai. Ye mukhtalif rang ki susceptibility ko numoodar karta hai jo ke qeemat ke utar chadhav ko dono taraf la sakti hai, is tarah se GBP/USD dynamics mein mojood pechiadgiyon ko roshan karte hue.

Currency Pair Trading Mein Naye Rujhanat

Currency pair trading ke hamesha badalne wale manzar mein, recent prices ke izafay se market dynamics mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ka ishara milta hai. Is haftay ke trading patterns ko dekhte hue, hum do mukhtalif channels ka nishan lagate hain jo price movements aur market sentiment par qeemati insights faraham karte hain.

Pehle, hum bearish channel ko dekhte hain jo surkh rang mein wazeh ki gayi hai, jo pichle haftay ki downward trajectory ko dikhati hai. Magar, current week ke shuru hone par, upward surge dekha gaya jo ke barriers ko todta hua nazar aaya, jinmein formidable weekly pivot point aur surkh bearish channel ki confines shamil hain. Ye upward momentum ek probable correction ka ishara karta hai, jo ke 1.2594 ke level tak wapas aa sakta hai pehle ke nayi charhai shuru kare. Lekin, agar price apni position 1.2668 ke upar barqarar rakhti hai, to anticipated correction ka koi asar nahi rahega aur ek uninterrupted safar ki rah kholay gi jo ke 1.2742 ke qareeb ek naye bulandi tak pohanchay gi.

Doosri taraf, neela sideways channel, jo ke guzishta do hafton ke price movements ko zahir karta hai, ek consolidation phase ko dikhata hai. Ye equilibrium ka period, jahan buyers aur sellers temporary harmony mein hote hain, aksar price action mein significant shifts ko announce karta hai. Is liye, lateral stagnation se breakout bohot ahem hota hai, jo ke ek naye trend ke aghaz ka ishara deta hai aur consolidation ke daur ko khatam karta hai.

Is manzar ke peechay, strategic entry points ko dekhte hue traders keenly 1.2594 tak ek retracement ko monitor karte hain, isay broader upward trajectory mein ek mohtat move samajhte hue. Aise retracements market mein jaan dalte hain, jo ke naye peaks ko fath karne se pehle momentum ikattha karte hain. Lekin, is naazuk balance ka markaz critical threshold 1.2668 hai. Is juncture ke upar sustained presence correction ke notions ko mita deti hai, mazboot bullish sentiment ko zahir karte hue aur prices ko agle formidable resistance 1.2742 tak le jati hai.



Asal mein, in channels ka intricate interplay market sentiment ke ever-shifting narrative ko samjhata hai. Jab traders is terrain ko navigate karte hain, nuanced understanding of price dynamics se lehs, wo unfolding saga of bullish resurgence ko capitalize karne ke liye tayar rehte hain.

GBP/USD H1 Chart Analysis

Yeh tajziya GBP/USD pair ki hourly (H1) chart par ikhtalafi jhaankne ka moka faraham karta hai taake recent movements aur potential trading opportunities ko samjha ja sake. GBP/USD pair ka recent behavior traders ki tawajjo ka markaz bana, khaaskar jab se significant developments H4 (four-hour) chart par dekhi gayi. H4 timeframe ke tor par, H4 chart par ek wazeh bearish momentum barqarar hai. Ascending price channel ke lower border ke niche 1.25790 ka breach H4 chart par ek notable shift ko indicate karta hai jo ab hourly analysis mein bhi nazar aa raha hai.

H4 chart ko ghor se dekhne par ye wazeh hota hai ke bearish momentum zor pakar raha hai. Yeh downward trend kayi factors ki wajah se hai jo recent trading sessions mein saamne aaye hain. 1.25790 level ke niche break, jo ke H4 chart par ascending price channel ke andar ek critical support point tha, further selling pressure ka sabab bana. Yeh level pehle kai dafa test kiya gaya tha, aur yeh ek strong support line sabit hui thi jo pair ko upward trajectory mein rakhta tha. Lekin, is level ke upar hold na kar paana market sentiment ko decisively downside ki taraf le gaya hai.



H4 chart par bearish trend ka aur bhi support lower highs aur lower lows ki formation se hota hai, jo ke downtrend ke classic indicators hain. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, H1 chart par 50-period aur 100-period moving averages downwards slope kar rahe hain, jo sustained selling pressure ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, H4 chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30 level ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair oversold conditions ke qareeb hai. Jab ke yeh short-term bounce ka potential indicate kar sakta hai, overall trend bearish hi rehta hai jab tak koi significant reversal signal na aaye.

GBP/USD H4 Analysis

GBP/USD pair ka naya price peak downward correction ka sabab ban sakta hai pehle ke woh dobara upar ki taraf jaye. Iss hafte, price ne do channels ke andar trading shuru ki, jisme se ek red bearish channel hai jo ke pichle hafte ke price movement ko represent karta hai. Blue channel sideways direction mein hai aur yeh pichle do hafton ke price movement ko represent karta hai. Hafte ke aghaz se hi, price upward direction mein move kar raha hai, jese ke weekly pivot point, red channel, aur phir blue channel ko break kiya gaya.

Ab price 1.2594 level tak correct kar sakta hai aur phir dobara upar ja sakta hai. Jab price 1.2668 level ke upar trade karega, to correction cancel ho jayega aur price seedha ek naye peak level 1.2742 ke qareeb pohonch sakta hai.

Economic side par, US dollar ke price mein girawat ke darmiyan, GBP/USD price Thursday subah resistance level 1.2700 par barh gayi. Yeh currency pair ke liye ek mah se ziada ka sab se bara high tha. Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, currency pair ke gains US dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se aaye jab Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne yeh tasalli di ke US interest rates mein koi iminent hike nahi hogi, April mein US producer prices mein achanak izafa ke baad.

Iske ilawa, US consumer prices ki girawat ne bhi US interest rates ko barhane ke hawale se expectations ko kamzor kar diya. Official data ne dikhaya ke US CPI inflation April mein mahana buniyad par 0.3% barha, jo March (0.4%) aur expectations (0.4%) se kam tha. Teeno mahine ke hot aur uncomfortable upward surprises ke baad, weaker-than-expected reading umeed ko dobara janam degi ke inflation ka izafa pichle teeno mahino mein ek counter-trend point tha.



Money market pricing se pata chalta hai ke investors ab 50 basis points ke US monetary easing ko value karte hain iss saal (do 25 basis point cuts), jo ke ek week pehle ke sirf ek cut ke muqable mein hai. Yeh market ko US Federal Reserve ki apni expectations ke saath align karta hai jo is saal do martaba interest rates cut karne ki umeed rakhte hain. Analysts ke mutabiq, "Financial markets ab September mein interest rates cut ko puri tarah se price kar rahe hain, jo data release hone se pehle 75% probability thi."

GBP/USD H1

GBP/USD ne DXY ke khilaf ek safar ka samna kiya, jisme woh apne halqi teziyon ko barqarar rakhta raha jabke halqi doran se apne haal ke teen hafton ke uchhayi se wapas hichkar gaya. Ye tabdeeli naram data se shuru hui jo ke amooman ummeed se kam tha. Halanki GBP/USD ne 1.2588 par aalaai tak pahuncha, lekin usne 1.2600 ke upar apni jagah barqarar rakhne mein koshish ki, jo ke 200-day moving average (DMA) ka imtehaan karne ka rasta ban sakta hai. Hal haal mein, GBP/USD 1.2536 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 0.09% ke izafi hisse ka signal hai.

Chaaron ghante ke GBP/USD timeframe ke tajziye mein, hum umeed karte hain ke ek mufeed movement pattern dekhne ko milega. Currency pair ab haftay ke waqt mein ek neeche ki taraf sudhar par hai. Iske neeche ek support cluster hai, jise keemat ho sakti hai jab price ek andaruni pattern banayega. Is pattern ko trigger karne ke liye, price ko 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak chadhna chahiye. Uske baad, yeh sudhar ke mode mein laut kar cluster of levels ko 61.8% aur 23.6% ki taraf target karna chahiye. Yahan se, hum ek qabil-e-zikar 220 points ke lagbhag baarhvi target level ki taraf ek ahem taizi ke movement ki umeed karte hain. Amooman, humara umeed GBP/USD ke liye ek upri sudhar ka hai jo ek maqami girawat ke zariye izafa karta hai.



Briton ko yeh aisa laga jaise usne har cheez ko band kar diya kyunki usne circus aur uski girawat dekhna tang aa gaya tha. Ab woh phir se badh gaya hai aur achhay nichayon ke liye isko 1.2503 ke neeche girna zaroori hai. Is ko karne mein yeh nihayat mushkil hoga; zyadatar mawqay ko 1.2567 tak lunch se pehle kuchalna chahiye, aur baad mein 15-30 minute ke baad hum 1.27 ke ilaqay ki taraf tezi se ja sakte hain. Yeh aaj ke liye sab dollar ke crosses ke liye mukhya bunyadi bunyadi hai jo bas bikri ke intezar mein hain. Main yahan tezi se izafa ka intezar kar raha hoon aur mujhe bechnay ki hidayat nahi hai.

Bara exchange market ne Jumma ke doran early Asian trade mein GBP/USD pair aur US Dollar Index (DXY) mein rukh ki harkat dekhi. GBP/USD pair kareeb 1.2670 tak pahuncha, jabke DXY ne peechle session mein 104.00 ke qareeb multi-week lows tak apni kuch nuksanat kam kar liye. Ye currency movement Federal Reserve (Fed) ki ehtiyati stance ke natije mein hosakti hai jo ke 2024 mein inflation aur interest rates ko kam karne ki mumkinat par amal kar rahi hai. Investors Fed ke afraad Kashkari, Waller, aur Daly ke maqarrarat se mazeed signals ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke aaj ke doran hone hain. Halqi mudda ki hawale se mukhtalif Fed ke afraad ki haal hi ki bayaniat ne satah ko dekha hai ke kamzor signals se pehle unhein zyada mudda ko sambhalne ki zarurat hai. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank ke president Rafael Bostic ne jumma ko interest rates par sabar ki zarurat ki wazahat ki, jo ke satah par zyada keemat ki dabaoon ka wajood hai. Isi tarah, Cleveland Fed ke president Loretta Mester ne izhar kiya ke inflation ke track par aitmaad hasil karne mein expected se zyada waqt lag sakta hai. Unho ne markazi bank ko is khaas policy ko lamba arsa tak barqarar rakhne ki tehqeeq ki. Federal Reserve ke policymakers ki yeh mehfooz bemar raiyen ek had tak American dollar ko madad di aur GBP/USD jese bare currency pairs par niche ke dabao ko barhaya.



Ab hum nazar ko pound par shift karte hain, Bank of England (BOE) ne pichle haftay ishara diya ke unhe inflation ko madmoom rehne ki tasdiq ke liye zyada saboot ki zarurat hai. Halanki, BOE ka khayal hai ke inflation sahi raste par hai aur unho ne June mein interest rates ka khatra bardasht karne ka imkan ghayab nahi kiya. Megan Green, ek BOE policymaker, ne bayan kiya ke Bank of England ko policy shift shuru karne se pehle easing price pressures par zyada data ki zarurat hai. Umeed hai ke BOE Fed se pehle interest rates ko kat sakti hai jo ke qareebi dor mein pound ko kamzor kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD ke upri potential ko mehdood kar sakti hai. Technical hawale se, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator abhi bhi trigger line ke upar weak momentum ka tajziya kar raha hai aur zero level ke neeche. Isi doran, Stochastic indicator apni upar ki taraf rukh ko barha raha hai. Agar market ne diagonal line ko paar kar liya, toh yeh foran 1.2630 barrier par resistance ka samna kar sakti hai phir 1.2708 level ko challenge karne ki koshish karegi. Magar, agar 1.2892 ki 6 mahinay ki unchi ko tor diya jaye, toh bara manzar ek zyada neutral nazriya ki taraf mud jaega, jahan bias ko bullish mein tabdeel kiya jaega.

GBP/USD outlook analysis:
Tajziya karte hue haal ki market movements ke, kuch hafton mein, wazeh hai ke ek urooj ke raste ke liye kafi potential mojood hai. Khaas tor par, GBPUSD currency pair ne is hafte ke trading sessions mein khaas gatividhi dikhayi hai. Haftay ke trading session ki ibteda se, market mein barqarar bullish momentum hai. Mustaqbil ke trading sessions ki taraf dekhte hue, mera outlook pur umeed hai, jabke main mojooda areas ko BUY trading orders shuru karne ke liye pehchanne ka silsila jaari rakhta hoon, jo ke bazar mein izafi uthaon ke liye kafi potential rakhta hai. Yeh aqeeda primarily is baat par mabni hai ke kharidaron ne qeemat ko 1.2510 ke critical level se door le jane mein kis tarah kaamyaabi dikhayi hai. Mazeed, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par barhne wali Lime Line jo ke 70 mark ke qareeb hai, bayan karta hai ke kharidaron ka mazboot qabza market par.



GBPUSD currency pair ke technical evaluation mein mazeed ghor karte hue, zahir hai ke qeemat mein izafi uthaao ka kafi azeem imkaan mojood hai, jisse BUY option buland attractively banata hai. Yeh sirf ek durust setup ki tasdeeq ka intezar ka mamla hai taake market entry shuru ki ja sake, jahan target qeemat ko qareeban level 1.2635 tak pohanchne ki tawaqo ki jaati hai. Agar kharidaron ko is haftay mein ek baar phir qeemat ko upar diye gaye maqam se guzarna mumkin ho gaya, toh yeh agle market trend ke mutaliq saaf shaoor faraham karega, jo ke mazeed ek urooj ke raste ki taraf muntaqil hone ki tawaqo ki jati hai.

Sabko aaj ek shandar din aur bade munafe ki shubhkamnayein! Chaliye 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hain aur GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hain. Qeemat haftay ke pivot level 1.26405 ke upar hai. TDI indicator ne ek neeche ki taraf ki trend dikhaya hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat haftay ke pivot level area - 1.26405 tak gir jayegi. Beshak, ek vikalp hai - GBP/USD ke rates ko PIVOT R 38 level - 1.27177 tak barhne ki. Mera aaj ka faisla hai ke jodi ko maujooda qeemat par bechna hai. Mai bechne ke lie jyada bechna chahunga jab qeemat 1.27150 area tak correct hoti hai. Aap 20 pips par Take Profit set karenge; Jab qeemat manzil ki taraf jaegi, to mai rasta chalunga. Aur beshak, stop loss ko bhi bhool na jaye. Yeh PIVOT R 38 level - 1.27177 ke peechhe chhupa hona chahiye, aur main sirf isse sehmat ho sakta hoon, kyun ki mujhe pehle ke jaise bada pullback dekhna hai. Haalanki Jumeraat ko 1.2640 ke neeche jaane ka koi mumkin nahi tha, kyun ki hamare paas abhi bhi ek local area hai. Lekin pound mein abhi kuch bhi badal nahi gaya, kyun ki hum abhi bhi badhne aur uttar ki taraf jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Magar dollar ke trade hone ka tajurba hai, kyun ki ab tak dollar ne thoda kam aktiviti dikhaya hai. Yahaan, mere liye kuch bhi nahi badla, kyun ki mai ab bhi un qeematon par transaction ko nahi samajhta, aur kharidari to door ki baat hai. Lekin mai ab bhi lagta hai ke hum 1.2640 ke neeche gir sakte hain. Agar koi jhoota breakout hota hai, to mai sirf khareedne ko manzoor karunga. Mangalwar shaam ko, Bank of England ke chairperson ki taqreer hai, unki taqreer bazaar par asar daal sakti hai. Budhwar ko pound ke liye mazboot khabrein hain, aur yahaan par hum acche taur par neeche ja sakte hain ya, ulat, hum acche taur par upar ja sakte hain. Yeh sab England ke statistics par nirbhar karta hai. Mai umeed karta hoon ke aap aur main Budhwar tak trading se bahar aa jaayenge, kyun ki khabrein bazaar par asar daal sakti hain aur yeh gurantee nahi hai ke sterling ko kamzor kar degi.

H4 chart. Haftay ka shuruaat taizzi ke sath guzri, lekin meri raay mein, sellers ke liye saaf tor par faida hai aur is ke liye ye arguments hain: Wave structure girne ki taraf banayi gayi hai, CCI indicator ne upper overheated zone chhodi hai, neeche ki taraf mud gayi hai aur is par bearish divergence hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart par khud mein ek girte hue wedge nazar aata hai. Ye downward trend ki taraf hai, yeh ek behtareen signal hai. Ye bahut achha hai, for example, agar ek upward trend hota aur yeh figure wahan ban raha hota, jahan market pehle se hi downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut divergence hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart par khud mein ek girte hue wedge nazar aata hai. Ye downward trend ki taraf hai, yeh ek behtareen signal hai. Ye bahut achha hai, for example, agar ek upward trend hota aur yeh figure wahan ban raha hota, jahan market pehle se hi downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut aasan hota hai. Thoda ooncha ek descending resistance line hai, jis par kal humne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki. Aap teen consecutive peaks bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ek dusre ke qareeb hain, pichle haftay ke end par do peaks the aur is teesre, yaani teen ****, ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut aasan hota hai. Thoda ooncha ek descending resistance line hai, jis par kal humne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki. Aap teen consecutive peaks bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ek dusre ke qareeb hain, pichle haftay ke end par do peaks the aur is teesre, yaani teen ****, ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. Magar sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh horizontal resistance level 1.2530 hai, jiske qareeb price ghoom rahi hai. Lagta hai kal isay tooti hai, lekin meri raay mein yeh ek false breakout hai kyun ke yeh level haftay ke chart par closing prices se banaya ja sakta hai aur ab sirf ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. Magar sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh horizontal resistance level 1.2530 hai, jiske qareeb price ghoom rahi hai. Lagta hai kal isay tooti hai, lekin meri raay mein yeh ek false breakout hai kyun ke yeh level haftay ke chart par closing prices se banaya ja sakta hai aur ab sirf resistance zone ka ek test hai, shuruaat ka zone 1.2530 se lekar takreeban 1.2580 tak. Toh agar aap level ko zyada bhaari nazr se dekhain toh yahan koi breakout nahi hai. Magar agar woh upar ki taraf resistance zone ko torne lagte hain, toh mujhe lagta hai ke woh isay sirf tab kar sakenge jab price neechay lautmein yeh ek false breakout hai kyun ke yeh level haftay ke chart par closing prices se banaya ja sakta hai aur ab sirf resistance zone ka ek test hai, shuruaat ka zone 1.2530 se lekar takreeban 1.2580 tak. Toh agar aap level ko zyada bhaari nazr se dekhain toh yahan koi breakout nahi hai. Magar agar woh upar ki taraf resistance zone ko torne lagte hain, toh mujhe lagta hai ke woh isay sirf tab kar sakenge jab price neechay laut kar aaye gi aur signals process ho jaayenge. Thoda neeche level 1.2460 ke neeche, jahan ek spike hai, wahan se hum bahar niklenge, phir shayad tezi se growth ho, agar wahan ke liye

GBP/USD Technical Forecast for Aaj

British Pound (GBP) abhi filhaal early trading session (Asian session) mein apni sans le raha hai aaj ke liye. GBP/USD currency pair ek tight range mein sideways trade kar raha hai, with minimal price fluctuations. Yeh thandi dimaag ki wajah se ho sakta hai ke investors kisi bada move par na gayen jab tak UK se ek important data dump nahi aata. Sab ka intezar hai UK mein aane wale consumer price index (CPI) ka jo aaj aane wala hai. CPI inflation ko measure karta hai, jo goods aur services ke prices ki rate batata hai ki kis speed se badh rahe hain. Strong CPI reading, jo higher inflation indicate karti hai, Pound ke liye positive ho sakti hai. Isi liye ke higher inflation often central banks ko interest rates badhane par majboor karta hai. Higher interest rates foreign investors ko attract karte hain jo better returns chahte hote hain, jo currency ko strong kar sakta hai.

However, weak CPI reading, jo lower inflation suggest karta hai, Pound par downward pressure daal sakti hai. Investors ke beech chinta ho sakti hai ke Bank of England (BOE), UK ki central bank, interest rates jaldi badhane ke less likely ho sakti hai. Yeh kuch investors ko attract kar sakta hai ke woh apne Pounds ko bech kar currencies ko prefer karein jinke interest rates attractive hote hain. Headline CPI figure ke ilawa, UK ke kai aur economic indicators bhi aaj release honge, lekin they are considered to be of lesser importance compared to the CPI. Aage aake later trading session (American session) mein focus pond ke doosri taraf hoga United States ki. Yahan, greatest interest wale data release secondary housing market se related hai. Secondary housing market existing homes ki buying and selling se related hota hai. Strong data from this sector US economy ke liye positive sign ho sakta hai, potentially giving US Dollar (USD) ko ek boost.

American session ka main event, halaanki, Federal Reserve, US ki central bank, ke sab se recent meeting ki minutes ka release hoga. Yeh minutes Fed ki thoughts provide karegi current state of US economy aur monetary policy, including interest rates, ke baare mein. Analyst ne identify kiya hai key level 1.2665. Agar GBP/USD price is level ke nichhe jaati hai aur consolidate hoti hai, to yeh ek potential decline indicate kar sakta hai. Is scenario mein, analyst expect karta hai buying opportunities around 1.2635 and 1.2615, aiming to capitalize on a potential reversal. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2665 ke upar hold karta hai, to analyst GBP/USD ko buy karne ki umeed karta hai with a target price range between 1.2765 and 1.2815. Yeh scenario most likely positive data from UK ko require kar sakta hai, potentially leading to increased investor confidence in the Pound.

H4 Timeframe Outlook:

Gbpusd bharti market movements mein hain jis ka intizam hafte kay teesray din hota hai. Pichle hafte ki movement mein qimat ne resistance line ko tornay mein mushkilat ka samna kia tha. Lekin is baray mein aik high-impact maeeshat data ke release ki kami ne isay sideway banaya rakha. Sideway jo waqi hote hain woh 1.2700 ke resistance area mein hoti hain. Aglay movement ki tawaqo agar ham qimat dekhte hain jo pichli movement mein resistance line ko tornay mein kamiyab hui hai aur trend ab bhi bullish bias mein hai to gbpusd ke aglay movement ke liye ab bhi bullish hone ka potential hai. Lekin qimat abhi bhi resistance area mein sideway hai, is liye agar qimat phir gir jati hai aur 1.2700 ke resistance area ko toarti hai, to gbpusd ke aglay movement mein bearrish hone ka potential hai. Lekin agar bearrish hona hota hai, agar ham is bare mein dekhte hain ke qimat abhi bhi SMA 50 line se bohat door hai, to bearrish hone wale qimat sirf aik price correction hogi aur phir qimat phir se barh jayegi. Gbpusd apni bearrish dependence ko jari rakhega agar qimat gir kar SMA 50 line ko toarti hai.

Upar di gayi tajziyo ke mutabiq, aaj ka gbpusd ka movement ab bhi bullish hone ka potential rakhta hai aur hum phir se gbpusd par trade karne ke liye kharidne ki mojoodgi talash kar sakte hain. Resistance line 1.2700 par aik bullish continuation pattern banane ka intezar aik kharid darwaza banane ka behtareen mauqa hai jis par aaj gbpusd par trade karne ke liye. Profit target ko 1.2797 ke resistance line par rakh sakte hain. Wahi, aglay kharidne ke mauqe ke liye, ham qimat ko shidat se girte hote aur price rejection ko dekh sakte hain jo line 1.2644 aur SMA 50 line par hai jo ke 1.2549 par hai. Ham profit targets ko 1.2700 aur 1.2797 ke resistance lines par rakh sakte hain.

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ke jode ne 1.2708 ki kaledi satah ko tod diya hai, jis se taqriban 200 pips ka izafa ho sakta hai. Halankeh, qimat me abhi tak koi badhotri nahin hui hai. Agar qimat ek bar fir 1.2756 (61.8% Fibonacci level) se ooper mustahkam hone me nakam rahti hai to, Bartanwi currency ke 50% Fibonacci level ka dobara test karne ke liye 1.2296 ke nishan par wapas aane ki ummid hai. Iska breakout 1.1853 ilaqe me mazid nuqsanat ki rah hamwar karega, jo 38.2% Fibonacci level ke sath mawafiq hai.
Abhi ke liye, sab se zyada imkani scenario niche ki taraf movement ki tajwiz karta hai. Lehaza, munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqah 1.2209 ke hadaf ki satah tak slide par aitemad karte hue short positions kholna hai. Sirf ek chiz jo mujhe uljhan me dalti hai wo 1.2708 ke nishan ka breakout hai.
Mahana chart ke mutabiq, pound/dollar ka joda 61.8% aur 50% Fibonacci levels ke darmiyan sideways me karobar kar raha hai, yani 1.2756 aur 1.2296 ki satahon tak madhud range me hai. Yah dekhte hue keh sterling filhal sideways range ki oopri hadd ke pas drift kar rahi hai, short positions kholna zyada relevant lagta hai.

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Is mukhya currency pair GBPUSD ke liye sab kuch pehle jaisa hai, chaar ghanton ka chart dekhte hue aap dekh sakte hain ki hum teesre din se top ke kareeb sawaar rahe hain. Magar aaj yeh sab khatam ho jayega, kyunki aaj din mein mahatvapurn khabaron bhara hua hai. Wave structure abhi bhi apne order ko upar banane mein laga hua hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein hai. Halaanki, yeh indicators upar kaam karne ka karan nahi hain kyunki giraavat ke adhik mahatvapurn factors hain. Jaisa aap dekh sakte hain, GBP ne pichhle saare hafton mein US dollar ke khilaf majbooti dikhayi hai; halaanki, tasveer dusre mukhya pairs ke liye bhi milte julti hai, haalaanki pound sabse majboot raha hai. Accha, halaanki, main maanta hoon ki vridhi chakra mukammal ho chukaa hai. Aap teen waves ka itna bada banaav dekh sakte hain, pehla aur teesra lagbhag barabar hai, aankh se dekhne ke liye koi vishesh mahatv nahi hai, yeh sirf pata hai ki chakra teen waves se bana hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ki teesri wave kahan hai, yeh last April ka adhikatam aur ek sath hi majboot horizontal resistance level 1.2707 hai, jo daily chart par behtar dikhta hai. Aage badhe agar aap teesri wave dekhte hain, toh bina marking ke bhi dekh sakte hain ki yeh paanch waves se bana hai, teesra sabse bada jo biti hafte ko Wednesday ko tha jab tej gati se vridhi hui thi, phir Thursday ko fourth tak vapis giri aur Friday ko upar jaakar paanchvi wave banaayi. Accha, is hafta hum maximum pe atke hain. Is tarah, teen bade wave mein paanch chote waves ka pura vridhi chakra bana. Aur vridhi ko MACD aur CCI indicators ki istemal ki gai bearish divergence ke saath khatm hue hain. Iske alawa, yahan note kar sakte hain ki price abhi ascending channel ke andar gati kar rahi hai ab uske top ke paas. Kal pura din hum spot mein sawari guzari, main sochta hoon yahaan giravat ke liye khareedo ka saamaan jama ho raha hai. Agar aap daily period ke CCI indicator par dhyaan dete hain, toh aap dekh sakte hain ki wah yahaan se neeche ki taraf jaane ke liye taiyaar hai upper overheating zone se, yeh ek mahatvapurn aurptk haavi taqat hai giravat ke paksh mein. Is tarah ka readings ka set dikhata hai ki 1.2587 aur 1.2566 ke beech giravat hogi aur beshak ascending channel ke neeche, jahan saara cheez pass me sthit hai.

Update Analysis of #GBP/USD
Time frame H4-


Time frame H4- Yeh British pound ka current upward movement hai, aur yeh bilkul "kuch bhi" hai. Subah bakhair aur main aapko achhi munafa wali trading din ki mubarakbaad deta hoon!

GBP/USD ke prices apni upward movement jari rakhti hain lekin dheere dheere aur correction mein nahi jaana chahti. Is stage par, koi reversal ke signs nahi hain, aur pair ka upward slope barkarar hai, aur agar bulls 1.2709 ke resistance level ke upar move kar saktein hain, toh main upward movement ko 1.2709 ke resistance level tak pohonchte hue barqarar rakhne ko nahi nazar andaz karunga. Mojooda local level hai. Maximum level 1.2821 hai. Beshak, mere bechnay se main aise ek move ko bilkul chahta nahi, lekin aap market ke khilaf nahi bol sakte. Fundamentally, US dollar ke liye ab bhi achhi ummeiden hain ke wo upar uthay. Federal Reserve System ke numaindon apne taqreer mein qaim monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne aur refinancing rate ko mojooda levels par rakhne ke baare mein baat karte rehte hain jab tak inflations mein slowdown ke zyada significant signs naa aajayein, jab ke wo United States mein latest consumer price statistics ko zyada ahmiyat nahi dete.

Agar positions 1.2709 ke neeche rehti hain, toh main ek southern correction ko madde nazar rakhta hoon. Is scenario mein, prices neele moving average ke neeche wapas laut jaate hain, jo ek downtrend ko resume karne ka signal samjha ja sakta hai, jismein ek support level identify karne ka mauka hota hai. 1.2621 se. Pair ne 1.2691 level tak girawat dekhi jismein pair ne ek reversal dekha aur price upar ki taraf move hui. Mujhe yakeen tha ke ab pair upar jaayega aur pair upar ki taraf move karega is channel ke upper border tak. Lekin pair mein growth ka vikas nahi ho paya, isliye price mud gayi aur neeche ki taraf move karne lagi, ascending channel ko neeche chhod kar.