gbp/usd

GBP/USD

Fori ashiyaana market ne Jumma ke din mein GBP/USD jodi aur US Dollar Index (DXY) mein harkat dekhi, jab early Asian trade mein. GBP/USD jodi kareeb 1.2670 tak pahunch gayi, jabki DXY ne apne pichhle session mein multi-week lows ke kareeb 104.00 tak ghatiyan kam kar di. Yeh mudra harkat Federal Reserve (Fed) ke inflation aur 2024 mein interest rates kam karne ke sambandh mein saavdhaani bhare stand ka natija hai. Niveshak aaj baad mein Fed ke adhikariyon Kashkari, Waller, aur Daly ke anumanit bayaano ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Haal hi mein kai Fed sadasyon ke bayan ne dikhaya hai ki majboot soochana aane tak uchit udhaar daron ka rakha jaana chahiye. Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank ke President Rafael Bostic ne Wednesday ko interest rates par dhairya ka awashyakata par dhyan dene ki chetavani di, jor se ke ghatiyan abhi bhi US arthvyavastha ke bhitar hain. Ussi prakar, Cleveland Fed ke President Loretta Mester ne yeh bataya hai ki sthiti ki seema mein vishwas haasil karne mein shayad samay lag sakta hai. Unhone central bank ko adhik samay tak apne pabandi karne ki salah di. In Federal Reserve niti nirmaataon ke dovish bayano ne US dollar ko kuchh had tak majbooti di aur GBP/USD jaise mukhya currency pairs par neeche ki dabav dalte hain.




Trend indicator ke upar ki seema ke nazdiki abhi ke mahatvapurn bindu ko pradarsit karti hai, jo market ke dynamics ke samay ki mahatvapurnata ko darshati hai. Vyapari tej roop se bull aur bearish shaktiyon ke beech ka interplay dekhte hain, price action ka adhyayan karte hain, aur breakout ya reversal sanket ke liye mukhya sthalon ko vishesh roop se jaanchte hain. Takniki suchikaon, moolyankit parakar, aur bazaar ke bhavna ke bich ki taalmel se kahani ko adhik vistrit banaya jata hai, jo GBP/USD currency pair ke uljhanedar dynamics ke khulte hue rupantar ko samjhaane mein madad karta hai. Jab bull apni upasthiti ko darsha rahe hain aur momentum dubara prapt karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, vyapari jagruk rahate hain, aage ki ghatnaiyon aur palataavon ke liye taiyar hain. Kharidne walon aur bikri karne walon ke beech ka ghoomav, arthik data releases se lekar rajneetik dharmon tak ke vibhinnsar vastuon se uthta hua, forex market ka gati se badlte hue swabhav ko darshata hai.

Good morning guys,

GBP/USD pair ne hal hi mein kuch volatility experience ki hai, DXY ke broader movements aur recent US economic data ke asar mein fluctuations ko navigate karte hue. 1.2588 ka peak reach karne ke baad, GBP/USD ne 1.2600 mark ke qareeb resistance face kiya aur tab se slightly retreat kiya hai. Abhi ke liye, yeh 1.2536 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 0.09% ka modest gain mark karta hai.

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Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

Four-Hour Timeframe:

Four-hour chart par, GBP/USD pair ek potential corrective pattern dikhata hai. Yahaan kuch key technical insights hain:

1. Current Trend
   • Pair ek downward correction undergo kar raha hai.
   • Recent pullback ke bawajood, current price level ke neeche ek notable support cluster hai.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
   • Price ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf rise hone ki umeed hai.
   • Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, ek subsequent correction expected hai.
3. Support Cluster and Internal Pattern
   • Correction price ko support cluster ki taraf la sakti hai, jo ke 61.8% aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement levels ke sath align karti hai.
   • Yeh movement ek internal pattern form karegi, jo potential support aur ek base for a further upward move indicate karti hai.
4. Expected Movement
   • 61.8% aur 23.6% retracement ke support levels se, approximately 220 points ka ek upward movement anticipated hai.
   • Yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level ko ek significant resistance aur potential breakout point ke tor par target karegi.

Strategic Implications

Current analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ek corrective phase ke liye set up hota nazar aata hai within a broader upward trend. Key levels to watch include:

• Immediate Resistance Near 1.2600
• Support Levels
  • 1.2500 aur 1.2450 ke darmiyan, aligned with the 61.8% aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement levels
• Target Levels
  • Potential rise towards 1.2750 area, jo ke support levels se 220-point move represent karta hai

Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh critical insights offer karte hain into potential entry aur exit points. Additionally, broader economic indicators aur DXY movements par nazar rakhna further context provide karega for GBP/USD trajectory.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, pound/dollar ka joda manfi ho gaya, ek mazbut muzahmati satah se piche hatt gaya aur apne ek hafte ki bulandtarin satah se dur chala gaya. Is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh Bartanwi pound apni girawat ko jari rakhegi. Sell signals ki badhti hui taidad aalmi mandi ke rujhan ke dobara shuru hone ki taraf ishara karti hai, jiski taeed yaumiyah chart par trendline aur zyadatar takniki ishariyon se hoti hai. Heiken Ashi indicator niche ki taraf jane ka ishara karte hue niche ki taraf mus gaya hai. Market ka jazbah ab mandi ka shikar hai. Pound sterling me girawat ki kafi gunjaish hai. Lehaza, mai kam az kam 1.2545-1.2505 ilaqe tak girawat ki tawaqqo karte hue short positions kholne ki tajwiz karta hun.

GBP/USD currency pair aik aam market manipulation pattern dikhata hai, jo 1.2548 level ko test kar sakta hai. Qeemat ne 1.2583 se bounce back kiya hai aur 1.2573 tak barhna jaari reh sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.2589 se guzar na sake, to yeh 1.2537 tak gir sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.2593 se bounce back karta hai, to yeh khasa barh sakta hai. Bilkul overall neechay ki taraf ka trend ke bawajood, main aaj jodi ko ghante ke indicators par bharosa rakhta hoon. Qeemat 1.34621 resistance level ki taraf qareeb ja rahi hai, aur aik breakout 1.2563 ki taraf mazeed girawat ka rasta dikhata hai. Agar yeh 1.2573 ke neeche gir jata hai aur mazbooti se maxil ho jata hai, to yeh girna jaari reh sakta hai. Tajziya sugo hai ke trend mein tabdeeli ka izhaar hai, jahan aik potential three-leg move ban raha hai. Qeemat din ke doran 1.2553 tak wapas ja sakti hai aur phir barh sakti hai. Yeh acha moqa hai ke yeh 1.2563-1.2592 ko test kare. Bechne ke moqa mojood hote hain jab qeemat low ko update karti hai, aur kharidne ke moqa mojood hote hain jab yeh trend correction ke upar band hoti hai. Aaj GBP/USD ke darjaat barh rahe hain aur shayad 1.2573-1.2553 trading range ko tor denge. 156.29 ke upar ek breakout mazeed izafay ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Ek chhote correction ke baad, darjaat phir se barh rahe hain aur shayad 1.2573 range ko tor denge, jo ek kharidne ki nishaani hai. Doosri taraf, 1.2563 ke upar breakout bhi aik kharidne ka signal ho sakta hai. 1.25833 darja abhi ke liye acha support level hai. Agar darja 155.74 tak correct ho jata hai, to ye acha waqt ho sakta hai kharidne ke liye. Ek jhoota breakout 1.2573 par bhi mazeed izafay ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Correction pehle hi ho chuki hai, aur izaafay jaari ho sakta hai. Agar hum 1.25479 ko tor dete hain aur iske upar isteqamat hasil karte hain, to yeh kharidne ka signal hai. Kisi aur correction se mazeed izafay ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Humne pehle hi aik corrective decline 155.48 tak dekha hai, jo kharidne ke liye acha waqt ho sakta hai. Agar hum 1.25838 ko tor dete hain aur iske upar isteqamat hasil karte hain, to yeh kharidne ka signal hai. Nazdeek mein aik trading mauqa hai, aur iske tor par guzar jana mazeed darjaat mein izafay ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai.

مئی 17 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ میں قدرے کمی ہوئی، جس نے پانچ دنوں میں پہلی بار سیاہ موم بتی کے ساتھ دن بند کیا۔ پچھلے پانچ دنوں میں جو اضافہ ہم نے دیکھا وہ کافی اہم تھا، تقریباً دو اعداد۔ لہذا، تاجر 1.2642 کی سطح پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کو توڑنے کی اصلاحی کوششوں کو دہرا سکتے ہیں، جن میں سے پہلی کل ناکام ہوئی۔



جب تک قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے مستحکم نہیں ہو جاتی، یہ 1.2745 کے ہدف کی سطح کی طرف بڑھنے کی طرف مائل ہے، چاہے یہ اس نشان تک نہ پہنچ جائے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2642 کی سطح سے اوپر رہ رہی ہے، لیکن مارلن آسیلیٹر بیئرش ٹیریٹری کی حد تک پہنچنا جاری رکھے ہوئے ہے، جو روزانہ ٹائم فریم پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر قابو پانے کے بعد کی کوششوں کے امکان کی حمایت کرتا ہے۔

اس کے علاوہ، یہ قابل توجہ ہے کہ چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن جلد ہی 1.2596 اور 1.2642 کی سطحوں کے درمیان ہو سکتی ہے۔ لہٰذا، ہم درمیانی مدت کے ڈاون ٹرینڈ میں قیمت کے الٹ جانے پر غور کر سکتے ہیں جب یہ 1.2596 سے نیچے آجائے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD Keemat Ka Tawun:

Currency pair ke liye aik naya buland keemat mahsoos karne par ek neeche ki taraf correction ho sakti hai phir se apni upar ki manzil ko paane se pehle. Is hafte, keemat ne do mukhtalif channels ke andar trading shuru kiya: ek neeche ki taraf ka channel jo surkhi se nishan di gayi hai, jo pichle haftay ki keemat ke harkat ki taraf ki jaati hai, aur aik side-wise channel jo neela rang mein nishan diya gaya hai, jo pichle do hafton ki keemat ki harkat ko darust karta hai. Is haftay ke shuru mein, keemat upar ki taraf jaane lagi, ahem darjaton ko tor kar, haftay ki pivot point, surkhi se nishan di gayi neeche ki taraf ka channel, aur baad mein neela side-wise channel bhi. Yeh upar ki raftar yeh ishara deta hai ke keemat 1.2594 ke darje tak correction kar sakti hai phir se buland ho sakti hai. Agar keemat 1.2668 ke upar trading ko qaim rakhti hai, to muntazir neeche ki correction bekar ho jaati hai, aur keemat ke naye buland keemat 1.2742 ke qareeb sambhav hai. Pichle haftay, surkhi se nishan di gayi neeche ki taraf ka channel ek wazeh downtrend ki taraf ishaarat karta tha, jo ke mukhtalif market ki jazbat aur keemat ki harkaton ko darust karta tha. Magar, mojooda haftay mein dynamics mein ek tabdeeli dekhi gayi hai, keemat ne pehle se qaim darjaton ko tora hai. Yeh tabdeeli market ki jazbat mein ek mukhtalifati ke bais ki isharaat hai, surkhi ki nishan di gayi critical pivot point ko tor kar, neeche ki taraf ka channel darust kar ke.

Neela side-wise channel, jo pichle do hafton ki keemat ki harkat ko darust karta hai, isharaat karta hai ke market pehle ek consolidation phase mein tha. Yeh phase aksar ahem keemat ki harkaton se pehle hota hai kyun ke yeh aik dor ko darust karta hai jahan kharidar aur farokht karne wale aik waqti mustawazah tak pohanchte hain. Is side-wise channel se nikalne ka mukhtalif khaas tor par isharaat hai kyun ke yeh consolidation period ka ikhtitam darust karta hai aur ek naye trend ka aghaz. Mojudah market shara'at ke mutabiq, agar keemat 1.2594 tak wapas aati hai, to yeh traders ke liye aik strategy ka daakhil point pesh kar sakti hai jo ke mazeed buland harkat ka muntazir hain. Yeh wapas aana buland trend ke andar ek correction ki hesiyat rakhta hai, market ko nayi buland keemat tak pohanchne se pehle momentum ikattha karne ka moqa deta hai. Magar, dekhne ke liye ahem level 1.2668 hai. Is level ke upar qaim trading, muntazir correction ko bekar kar deta hai, mazboot bullish jazbat ko darust karta hai aur zyada aham resistance ke qareeb keemat 1.2742 ke qareeb keemat ko manzil ke tor par tarjih dene ke liye qabil hai. Yah star traders ke liye maqsad ko haasil karne ke liye aik nishan hai jo ke bullish momentum par faida uthane ke liye muntazir hain.

GBP/USD Daily Analysis in Roman Urdu

Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto! Har cheez plan ke mutabiq chal rahi hai: hum EUR/USD me izafa ka intezar kar rahe the, aur hume izafa mil gaya. Ab hum inclined channel ki upper limit ko touch kar chuke hain. Aur ab hum us area me hain jahan hum sales opportunities dekh sakte hain. Ab, chaliye dekhte hain indicators se kya maloom hota hai:

Moving Averages:

- MA100 halka sa five degrees ka angle le kar neeche ja raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke is hafte me ab bhi thodi bearishness hai.
- MA18 north ki taraf forty degrees ke bullish angle se ja raha hai. Yeh ek specific signal hai ke yeh MA100 ko neeche se upar cross karne ke liye tayar hai, jo ke hume ek buy signal dega - golden cross.
- Humare candles MA100 aur MA18 ke darmiyan space me hain, hum do moving averages ke pattern par kaam kar rahe hain - ek tarah ka corridor, jo ke asoolan, complete ho chuka hai.

Support and Resistance Levels:

- Humne lower boundary - MA18 ko work out kiya hai, jo ke ab support de raha hai level 1.0745 par, aur yeh resistance - MA100 tak pull up kar chuka hai, yeh level hai 1.0840.
- Nichimoku cloud current selling colors me colored hai. Forecasted future me, yeh aur bhi zyada bearish ho gaya hai. Ab yahan strong bulls ke liye koi jaga nahi hai.

Stochastic and MASD Indicators:

- Light Stochastic overbought territory me enter ho gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke yeh tayar hai ke yeh turn around kare aur neeche jaye.
- Lightweight MASD zero level ke upar zone me enter ho gaya hai. Isne ek nayi bullish wave form ki hai.
- Strong oscillator kaam kar raha hai, yahan bearish wave hai, lekin halka buy signal bhi hai. Ek group of moving RCAs, jo oversold zone ke kaam karne ke baad, ek buy signal de rahe hain. Ab yeh north move karna chahiye - upper channel band ka test karne ke liye - 1.0840.





Conclusion:

Yeh sab kuch mil kar hume yeh batata hai ke abhi market me thoda bullish sentiment hai, lekin strong bearish indicators bhi hain jo ke suggest karte hain ke market ne neeche move karna hai. Humari strategy yeh honi chahiye ke hum current level se bears ko grab karen aur neeche ki taraf jana shuru karein.

Humari technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar hum 1.0840 ke upper channel band ko test karte hain, to yeh ek zaruri level hoga jahan se market bearish turn le sakti hai. Market ke is analysis ko dekhte hue, yeh waqt hai ke hum cautiously approach karen aur apne sales opportunities ko carefully monitor karein.

Agar market is level se neeche jati hai, to humare pass niche move ke liye clear path hoga. Isliye, yeh zaruri hai ke hum apne indicators ko closely monitor karein aur market ke movements ke mutabiq apne trades plan karein.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
GBP/USD pair, khaaskar lower boundary of the channel ke ird gird, jo ke qareeban 1.2730 par hai. Yeh level ek strategic entry point present karta hai buy positions initiate karne ke liye, jiska target qareeban 1.2780 par set hai potential upward movement ke liye. Agar target 1.2750 achieve hota hai, to yeh pair ki strong upward momentum ka indicator hoga, market me bullish sentiment ko affirm karta hai.

Traders ko is level par price actions ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh upward trend ke continuation ya potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Yeh maan'na zaruri hai ke 1.2800 mark se ek correction ka possibility hai, given the significance of this resistance level. Bullish scenario me, bulls shayad upward movement ko sustain karne ki koshish karen, jabke koi bhi retracement market cycle ka ek natural part samjha jana chahiye.

Agar entry point 1.2820 se neeche breach hota hai, to yeh market sentiment me shift ko towards bearish interests signal karega. Traders ko aise scenarios me ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake.






A correction ka potential hai jab pair 1.2850 tak pohonchta hai, given its significance as a resistance level. Aise scenario me, bullish traders upward movement ko maintain karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, jabke koi bhi pullback ek healthy market cycle ka part samjha jana chahiye. Agar entry point 1.2880 se neeche breach hota hai, to yeh market sentiment me shift towards bearish tendencies indicate karega. Traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye in response to such developments taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake.

Overall, jab ke GBP/USD pair me buying opportunities hain, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market dynamics me changes ke liye adaptable hona chahiye. Key levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain taake potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein aur risks ko effectively manage kar sakein.

GBP/USD ke Sath Trading Opportunities

Main samajhta hoon ke hamara focus is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing movement analysis par hai. H1 aur H4 time frames ke base par, yeh lagta hai ke GBP/USD ke paas is waqt koi clear trend nahi hai aur yeh late April se flat hai. Abhi price daily pivot level 1.2526 ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai. Agar downward movement hoti hai, to hum expect karte hain ke yeh support zone 1.2487 aur 1.2469 ke darmiyan decline karegi. Agar pivot hold karta hai, to upward movement extend hokar flat range ki upper boundary tak ja sakti hai, specifically resistance level 1.2564 ko target karte hue. Maine subah ek sale initiate ki thi aur necessary actions ke liye closely monitor kar raha hoon. Lekin, ek zyada straightforward situation preferable hoti, kyunki immediate objectives abhi tak undefined hain. Market open hone ke bawajood, pound abhi bhi wahi range me hai aur activity minimal hai ab tak. Phir bhi, main expect karta hoon ke potential rise above 1.2572 ho sakta hai, jahan selling opportunities arise ho sakti hain.

Meri attention hamari daily chart par evident signal par hai, jo ke ek horizontal line se visually supported hai. Repeated attempts ke bawajood is level ko breach karne ke, yeh firm hold kiya hua hai, jo ke potential upward movement ko suggest karta hai towards 50-period moving average, jo ke approximately 1.2578 par hai. Monday ka fundamental analysis pound aur dollar dono ke liye kam insight offer karta hai. Indicators GBP/USD chart par ek pending structure activation ko indicate karte hain, jo ke shayad increased volatility ke sath European trading hours me coincide karega. Current price ke profitable selling zone 1/4 aur 1/3 margin levels (1.2527-1.2598) ke darmiyan hone ke nate, selling entry points identify karna advisable hai. Lekin, caution warrant karta hai ke long positions enter na ki jayein due to ongoing upward correction, jahan potential reversals kisi bhi waqt ho sakte hain. Further market developments ko monitor karna prudent hoga, indicators particularly 1.2537 impulse level par decline signal kar rahe hain.






Mujhe umeed hai ke is information se aap ko trading decisions me madad milegi aur aap effectively market movements ko manage kar sakenge. Har waqt market dynamics ko closely monitor karein aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karein taake aap potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein aur risks ko mitigate kar sakein.

Pound/Dollar aik ahem kirdar hai, khaaskar apne dance ke saath DXY ke sath. Hali mein, GBP/USD ne tawajjo hasil ki jab yeh Friday ke early session mein crucial support level 1.2690 se agay barh gaya. Lekin, is upward momentum ke darmiyan, kuch uncertainties bhi hain jo Pound ke trajectory par asar dal rahi hain, khaaskar jab Bank of England (BoE) ka interest rate decision nazdeek hai.
Fed Insights aur Market Sentiment

Jab market players BoE ka upcoming decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, Federal Reserve officials ke insights ne GBP/USD dynamics mein aur complexity daal di hai. Poore week mein, notable figures jaise ke Boston Fed President Susan Collins, New York Fed President John Williams, aur Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne perspectives share kiye jo current interest rate levels ko barqarar rakhne ki taraf maayal hain. Ye remarks, hawkish undertone ke saath, US Dollar ko support di, jo GBP/USD pair ke trajectory ko bhi influence kar rahi hain.

Technical Analysis aur Momentum Indicators

GBP/USD aik complex technical picture pesh karta hai. Jabke recent gains pair ke liye aik possible uptrend suggest karte hain, pair neutral territory mein stuck hai ek subtle downward bias ke saath. Yeh is baat se zahir hota hai ke yeh convincingly key 200-day moving average (DMA) se upar nahi jaa saka, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish tilt indicate kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke short-term mein sellers ke paas upper hand hai. Lekin, exchange rate ka 1.2700 level ke aas paas rehnay ka zikr potential decline mein rukawat daal raha hai.
Aik cautious optimism ka narrative emerge hota hai iske neutral stance ke darmiyan. RSI, jo ke bullish tendencies dikha raha hai, 50-midline ke kareeb hai, jo ek delicate balance indicate karta hai. Yeh juxtaposition price fluctuations ke liye susceptibility ko highlight karta hai, jo momentum ko kisi bhi direction mein tilt kar sakti hain, is tarah se GBP/USD dynamics ki complexities ko roshan karti hain.

GBP/USD: Price analysis

Currency pair trading ke hamesha tabdeel hotay hue manzar mein, recent prices ka izafa market dynamics mein ek potential shift ki taraf ishara karta hai. Iss haftay ke trading patterns ke pechay ke pecheeda raazon ko samajhne ke liye jab hum gehrai mein jatay hain, toh do mukhtalif channels ubharte hain, jo ke price movements aur market sentiment ke hawalay se qeemti insights faraham kartay hain.

Pehle, aao bearish channel ka tajziya karein, jo ke laal rang mein wazeh tor par dikhayi gayi hai, aur jo guzishta haftay ke doran dekhi gayi downward trajectory ko mukammal tor par chhupi hai. Magar, jaise hi naya hafta shuru hua, ek upward surge nazar aayi jo ke multiple barriers, including the formidable weekly pivot point aur laal bearish channel ke confines ko tor gayi. Ye upward momentum ek probable correction ko suggest karta hai, jo ke 1.2594 ke level tak retrace kar sakta hai pehle ke phir se ek aur ascent shuru ho. Lekin, agar price apna stance 1.2668 ke ooper barqarar rakhta hai, toh anticipated correction apni jagah kho deta hai, aur yeh uninterrupted journey ke liye rasta banata hai jo ke 1.2742 ke kareeb ek fresh pinnacle ki taraf ho sakti hai.


Yeh equilibrium ka dor, jahan khareedaar aur bechne wale temporary harmony mein hotay hain, aksar price action mein ahm shifts ka basharat hota hai. Iss tarah, lateral stagnation se breakout bohot ahmiyat ikhtiyar kar leta hai, naye trend ka aaghaz karta hai aur consolidation ke dor ko khuda hafiz keh deta hai.


Iss manzar ke peche, traders jo strategic entry points ko dekh rahe hain, bohot dhyan se 1.2594 tak ke retracement ke imkan ko monitor karte hain, isay broader upward trajectory ke andar aik ehtiyaati move samajhte hue. Aisay retracements market mein vitality dalte hain, isay nayi chotiyaan fateh karne se pehle momentum ikattha karne ke qabil banate hain. Phir bhi, is naazuk balance ka markazi nuqta 1.2668 ka critical threshold hai. Is juncture ke ooper sustained presence koi bhi correction ke khayalat ko mita deta hai, robust bullish sentiment ko highlight karta hai aur prices ko agle formidable resistance 1.2742 ki taraf dhakel deta hai.

Asal mein, in channels ke darmiyan ka pechida interplay market sentiment ki hamesha tabdeel hoti kahani ko encapsulate karta hai. Jab traders is terrain ko navigate karte hain, price dynamics ki nuanced understanding se lehs, to woh bullish resurgence ki unfolding saga se fayda uthane ke liye tayar hotay hain.

GBPUSD currency pair mein ek uth-taao trend hai. Takneeki nazar se, char ghantay ke waqt ke frame par, pair Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke oopar trade kar raha hai, badal ke oopar, Chikou span line qeemat ka chart ke oopar hai, aur "golden cross" faa'al hai. Bollinger Bands oopar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, Relative Strength Index 50 ke oopar hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator ne hari rang mein tabdeel ho gaya hai, jo barhne wale bullish taaqat ko darust karta hai. 1.2627 ke qeemat ka imtehaan tab hua jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se ooper uthne laga tha, jo pound kharidne ka dakhil markaz tasdeeq karta hai. Natije mein, GBP/USD joda maqami level 1.2680 tak pahunch gaya, is tarah traders kareeb 50 pips ka munafa kama sakte hain. UK ke kisi bhi data ka na hona ne pound ko uski leading position banaye rakhne mein madad ki, aur US ke thandak jany wale mahangai ke khabron ne naye lambay positions ko upar ki taraf rukhne ka naya silsila jari rakha. Na-ahli UK aaj koi report nahi jaari karegi, is liye market ke shirakat daaron ko zyada tar GBP/USD ke mazeed izafa par shart lagane ka imkaan hai, naye maheenay ke unchi se unchi taqat ko aur taqat dene ka irada hai aur bullish market par kaam jari rahega. Doraan-e-roz ki strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada bharosa karonga.

Scenario No. 1. Main aaj pound kharidne ka irada karta hoon jab GBP/USD 1.2699 tak pahunchega jo chart par hari line se dikhaya gaya hai, maqsad ko barhne ko 1.2743 tak pahunchana jo chart par moti hari line se dikhaya gaya hai. 1.2743 ke ilaqa mein, main long positions ko band karonga aur ulte rukh mein short positions kholonga (maqsad ek level se 30-35 pips ka ulta rukh hone ka in'tizar karna hai). Aaj pound ke uthne ki trend ke daire mein maheenay ke buland taqat ko taaza karna hai. Kharidne se pehle, yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper hai aur sirf abhi uss se ooper uthna shuru hua hai.Scenario No. 2. Main aaj pound kharidne ka irada karta hoon agar do mawafiq imtehanat ho 1.2670 ke qeemat ka jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye instrument ke niche girne ki potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka ulta rukh uthane ka silsila shuru karega. Hum umeed kar sakte hain ke barhao 1.2699 aur 1.2743 ke mukhtalif levalon tak hoga.

Halat ke mutabiq, kharidari sab se zyada ahmiyat rakhti hai. Uper uthne ki sambhavna ka nazdeeki maqsad resistance level 1.2726 hai. Agar bull is level ko tod paaye, toh hume 1.2817 ke darje tak daam mein izaafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Kharidari tab tak ahmiyat rakhegi jab tak qeemat Kijun-sen line se upar trade kar rahi hai. Is level tak wapis aana kharidari ki ahmiyat ko kam kar dega. Ek doosra tajurba, main ab badal ke neeche qeemat ki muddat ke niche sochta hoon, signal lines ke zariye "dead cross" banane ki shart ke sath.

Global financial markets ki hustle and bustle mein, GBP/USD pair ne traders ki tawajjo ko apni taraf maqooz kar liya hai, jo ke early Asian session mein Thursday ko 1.2670 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Is doran, USD Index (DXY) ne modest recovery dikhayi, 104.40 tak barh gaya, jisse major pair niche ki taraf push ho gaya.

GBP/USD ke fundamentals:

Financial circles mein anticipation barh rahi hai, is baat ka ishara dete hue ke BoE June meeting se interest rate reductions shuru kar sakta hai. Market sentiments mein 53 basis points (bps) of easing ka andaaza lagaya ja raha hai, jo ke saal bhar mein do quarter-point cuts imply karta hai. Yeh pehle ke expectations se mukhtalif hai, jo sirf ek rate cut ko poori tarah price in kar rahi thi. Market perception mein yeh shift Andrew Bailey ke last monetary policy meeting mein remarks ke baad aaya, jo ke speculations ko do ya teen rate cuts ke hawale se reasonable bana raha tha.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.2750 ke qareeb stability dikhate hue, Pound Sterling notable buying momentum reflect kar raha hai, lekin uncertainty ke baadal chhaye hue hain jab yeh 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke niche slip ho gaya hai jo ke takreeban 1.2671 par hai. April 12 ko neckline of the H&S pattern jo December 8 low ke qareeb 1.2500 se trace hui thi, ke breach hone par descent mein momentum aya.

Aaj ka price action aik intriguing development pesh kar raha hai, jo technical analysts 'hammer' pattern kehte hain. Agar buyers 200-DMA par 1.2536 ko successfully breach kar lete hain, toh agla major resistance level May 6 high aur 50-DMA ke confluence par hoga, jo ke takreeban 1.2591 ke aas paas hai. Iske baad, is hurdle ko clear karne se raasta 100-DMA tak challenge karne ke liye hoga jo ke 1.2579 par situated hai.

GBP/USD pair bullish course chart kar raha hai, kareeb 1.2700 pe hover kar raha hai. Yeh surge US Dollar ki resilience ke sath coincides karta hai, jo apni teesri lagatar din ki gains mark kar raha hai aur is wajah se major pair pe pressure apply ho raha hai. Investors cautiously tread kar rahe hain, anticipate karte hue Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate verdict ka, jo widely predict kiya ja raha hai unchanged rahega, market mein ek vigilant stance prompt karta hua.

UK Interest Rates Hold Steady at 5.25%, BoE Speculation Market Sentiment Affect karti hai:

UK central bank likely hai interest rates 5.25% pe maintain karega. Speculation ke mutabiq BoE jaldi interest rates cut karega Federal Reserve (Fed) se, jo market sentiment ko influence kar rahi hai aur Cable pe pressure add kar rahi hai. Pichle mahine, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne indicate kiya ke woh market expectations ke sath comfortable hain for two ya three rate cuts is saal.

June mein rate cut ki likelihood stable hai kareeb 10% pe, jabke September ke cut ke chances decrease hue hain 85% pe, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Traders closely watch karenge preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday, jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke drop hoga from 77.2 in April to 76.0 in May.

H4 Chart Pound Sterling Dips Below 1.2600 Support, Facing Pressure Amid Head and Shoulders Pattern:

Pound Sterling dip hua hai key psychological support level 1.2600 ke neeche. GBP/USD pair significant pressure face kar raha hai strong resistance encounter karne ke baad above the neckline of a Head and Shoulder (H&S) chart pattern, jo daily timeframe pe form ho raha hai. Notably, pair ne sharp sell-off experience kiya April 12 ko, neckline ke neeche break karne ke baad around 1.2500, plotted from the December 8 low.

Investors wary hain near-term outlook ko lekar jab Cable struggle kar raha hai stay karne mein above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo currently trade ho raha hai around 1.2520. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) fluctuate kar raha hai within the 40.00-60.00 range, reflect karte hue indecisiveness among market participants.

GBP/USD ka 4 ghante ka time frame dekhte hain:







GBP/USD pair ke liye kharidari ke interest mein abhi bhi mazbooti nazar aati hai 4 ghante ke time frame par, jahan pichle kuch dinon se price ek uptrend mein stable rahi hai. Main ne oopar di gayi graph par market ki condition dekhi jo pichle hafte shuruat mein 1.2520 ke price se shuru hokar 1.2710 area tak pahunch gayi. Haqeeqat mein, sellers se aaya thoda sa bechne ke dabao jo Thursday ko ek neeche ki correction karne gaye, lekin saari is hafte ke trading douran yeh lagta hai ki market bullish price situation dikhayi de rahi hai. Jab maine apna journal update kiya, to candlestick safar abhi thoda 1.2697 position par rok gaya tha. Market ko control kar rahe buyers ke dwara price upar le ja sakte hain, haftay ki low zone chhod kar.

Stable bullish trend ke indications stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ke zariye dekhe ja sakte hain, jo lagbhag 80 zone ko chhune ki taraf badh gaya hai. Is hafta GbpUsd pair ka price badhne ke sath badhte ja raha hai, kyunki pichle hafte market ne bearish correction kiya tha. Agle hafte ke market ke liye ek illustration ke roop mein, main samajhta hoon ki sambhavna hai ki buyers agli hafte prices ko upar le jane ki koshish karenge. Is hafte ka highest price 1.2710 par hai. Agar agle hafta highest price position ko paar kiya ja sakta hai, to market mein bullish trend agle kuch dinon tak jari rakhne ki sambhavna hai jahan buyers ko price ko agle bullish target ki taraf daba sakte hain.

Uptrend ka predication hai ki market par abhi bhi hai kyunki agar is hafte ke trend ko dekha jaye to nazar aata hai ki market buyers ke control mein hai, halaanki hafte ki shuruat mein koi mazboot kharidari ka interest nahi tha isliye bechne ki correction ka prayas kiya gaya tha hafte ke beech mein. Main prediciton karta hoon ki price abhi bhi upar le jane ki koshish karegi uptrend ko jari rakhne ke liye. Aaj ke candlestick ne apne position ko abhi tak 100 period simple moving average zone ke upar band kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ki market trend ko barhane ka mauka abhi bhi hai. Aur agar buyers candlestick ko 1.2722 price zone se upar le ja sakte hain, to bullish trend agle hafte ke trading session mein market par kabu rakh sakti hai. Buy trading plan ka vichar kiya ja sakta hai ek uchit area tak badhane ke liye.

Transaction Options:

1.2724 area mein kharidari karein, Take Profit: 1.2770, Stop Loss: 2696.