جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

USD/CHF
Assalam Alaikum! Trading chart ke mutabiq, dollar/franc joda muzahmati satah ke qarib sideways me karobar jari rakhe hue hai. Ab sawal yah hai keh yah jodi aage kahan jayegi. Jode ki mustaqbil ki naqal o harkat ke liye do mumkena scenario hain. Bears ke mamle me, joda apne nuqsanat ko badha sakta hai, jo maujudah muzahmati satah se 0.89662 ki support satah tak fisal jayega. Tezi ki surat me, jode ke ooper ki taraf palatne aur apne bulandi ki taraf badhne ki ummid hai.

Jumma ko, British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein qarib qarib 1.2640 ke qareeb rehta raha, jis se Amreeki mahangai data par mukhtalif tajziyaat ka izhar hua. Amreeki mahangai, jo Federal Reserve ki pasandeeda shanaakht ka zaria hai - Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), February mein thori si barh kar 2.5% ho gayi January ke 2.4% ke mukablay. Ye izafa tawaqo par munasib tha, lekin core PCE, jo volatile khaane aur energy ke daam ko shamil nahi karta, saalana 2.8% barh gaya, jisse mustaqil inflation ka andaza hota hai. Ye istiqamat Federal Reserve ke (Fed) interest rate faislon par asar daal sakta hai. Qareebi mazidtar Mazidtar US rozgaar data, jise qareebi mustaqbil mein tawaqo kiya jata hai, Fed ko pehle se tawaqo ki gayi interest rate cuts ko taakhir dena sakti hai. Teen cuts ke bajaye, Fed sirf do cuts ko taraqqi de sakta hai is saal, jisse USD ko taqwiyat mil sakti hai.

Daily chart par technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye mukhtalif manzar par mukhtalif manzar paish karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44 ke neeche negative soorat e haal mein hai, jo zyada bechnay ki dabao ki nishandahi karta hai. Magar, laal Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram girte hue neeche ki manzil ko darust karta hai, jo Bulls (GB mein izafa tawaqo karnay wale investors) ke liye umeed ki kirnain hai. Baray manzar mein, GBP/USD ahem 20-day aur 100-day simple moving averages (SMA) ke neeche trade karta hai lekin lambay arsay ke 200-day SMA ke ooper hai. Ye dikhata hai ke haal ki chhoti muddati kamzori ke bawajood mukhtalif bullish taqat hai. GBP/USD ke liye foran support 50-period SMA aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par hai jo 1.2753 hai. Agar is zone ke neeche pohanch jaye to mazeed giravat ki amad hoti hai 20-period SMA aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.2720 ki taraf. Agar is level ko mukammal tor par toot jata hai to GBP/USD ko 1.2666-1.2680 ke ahem support zone ki taraf le jaya ja sakta hai, jahan 200-day SMA aur February ki support trend line milti hai.

GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis:


GBP/USD currency pair ka H4 time frame par technical analysis karte hue, do ahem minor support aur resistance zones ka zikar aata hai, jo mojooda trading ke iradon ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain. Minor support zone khaas tor par 1.2642 ke price level ke as paas waqai hai, jabke iska counterpart, minor resistance zone, 1.2650 mark ke qareeb nazar aata hai. Ye wazeh kiye gaye zones traders ke liye qeemti reference points ke tor par kaam karte hain, aur potential entry mauqay faraham karte hain. Agar price minor resistance zone par 1.2656 ko paar karne ki salahiyat dikhaye, to ek mumkin trading strategy saamne aati hai. Traders buy positions shuru kar sakte hain, jahan pehla target daily resistance area mein paaya jata hai, taqreeban 1.2653 ke price point par. Iske baad, ek continuation target ko price range mein 1.2712 ke darmiyan nakshe par paaya jata hai, jisse further trading maneuvers ke liye ek roadmap milta hai.


Asal mein, price structures aur candlestick patterns ke daleel se hasil insights ka faida uthate hue, traders aqdaran fazool faislon par maanfi asar daal sakte hain, GBP/USD market dynamics ke andar tajziya ke tareeqon se faida utha kar. In delineated support aur resistance areas ka dharust istemal karke, traders forex market ke complexities ko barhaqami ke sath navigte kar sakte hain, jisse apne trading iradon ko behtar natayej ke liye optimize kar sakte hain. Is situation mein price barhne ya ghatne ka signal hasil karne ke liye, aapko ek se zyada bands ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, phir ye dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open honge ya koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar hum fractals ke nazarie se is situation ko dekhte hain, to naye up aur down fractals ban gaye hain.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis


Jumma ko, British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein qarib qarib 1.2640 ke qareeb rehta raha, jis se Amreeki mahangai data par mukhtalif tajziyaat ka izhar hua. Amreeki mahangai, jo Federal Reserve ki pasandeeda shanaakht ka zaria hai - Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), February mein thori si barh kar 2.5% ho gayi January ke 2.4% ke mukablay. Ye izafa tawaqo par munasib tha, lekin core PCE, jo volatile khaane aur energy ke daam ko shamil nahi karta, saalana 2.8% barh gaya, jisse mustaqil inflation ka andaza hota hai. Ye istiqamat Federal Reserve ke (Fed) interest rate faislon par asar daal sakta hai. Qareebi mazidtar Mazidtar US rozgaar data, jise qareebi mustaqbil mein tawaqo kiya jata hai, Fed ko pehle se tawaqo ki gayi interest rate cuts ko taakhir dena sakti hai. Teen cuts ke bajaye, Fed sirf do cuts ko taraqqi de sakta hai is saal, jisse USD ko taqwiyat mil sakti hai.


Daily chart par technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye mukhtalif manzar par mukhtalif manzar paish karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44 ke neeche negative soorat e haal mein hai, jo zyada bechnay ki dabao ki nishandahi karta hai. Magar, laal Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram girte hue neeche ki manzil ko darust karta hai, jo Bulls (GB mein izafa tawaqo karnay wale investors) ke liye umeed ki kirnain hai. Baray manzar mein, GBP/USD ahem 20-day aur 100-day simple moving averages (SMA) ke neeche trade karta hai lekin lambay arsay ke 200-day SMA ke ooper hai. Ye dikhata hai ke haal ki chhoti muddati kamzori ke bawajood mukhtalif bullish taqat hai. GBP/USD ke liye foran support 50-period SMA aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par hai jo 1.2753 hai. Agar is zone ke neeche pohanch jaye to mazeed giravat ki amad hoti hai 20-period SMA aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.2720 ki taraf. Agar is level ko mukammal tor par toot jata hai to GBP/USD ko 1.2666-1.2680 ke ahem support zone ki taraf le jaya ja sakta hai, jahan 200-day SMA aur February ki support trend line milti hai.

GBP/USD


GBP/USD currency pair ki H4 time frame par technical analysis karne mein, do ahem minor support aur resistance zones ka zikar aata hai, jo mojooda trading koshishat ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain. Minor support zone khaas tor par 1.2642 ke price level ke aas paas sthit hai, jabke uska muqabil, minor resistance zone, 1.2650 ke mark ke nazdeek zahir hota hai. Ye muntaqil zones traders ke liye qeemti hawaleh points ke tor par kaam karte hain, joh mukhtalif dakhil hone ki mumkin mumkin tafahum faraham karte hain. Agar price 1.2656 ke minor resistance zone ko paar karne ki salahiyat dikhaye, toh aik kafi mustaqbil trading strategy zahir hoti hai. Traders ko kharidari positions shuru karne ka intikhab karne diya jata hai, jahan pehla target daily resistance area ke andar pehchana jata hai, takreeban 1.2653 ke price point par. Uske baad, aik jari target ko 1.2712 ke price range ke andar ka tajziyah kar sakte hain, jis se mazeed trading manovering ke liye ek rahnuma milta hai.
Asal mein, price structures aur candlestick patterns ke dhang se analysis se hasil hone wali maloomat ka faida uthate hue, traders darust faislay kar sakte hain, GBP/USD ke market dynamics ke andar strategy ke dakhil aur nikalne points ka faida uthate hue. In delineated support aur resistance areas ka istemal karke, traders forex market ke complexities ko ziada gehraai aur karigar taur par samajh sakte hain, apne trading koshishat ko mustaqbil ke liye mustahkam banate hue.

Is surat-e-haal mein, aik price barhao ya ghatao ke liye signal hasil karne ke liye, aapko ek band ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke kya bands bahar ki taraf khulenge ya phir koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar hum fractals ke nazar se is situation ki baat karen, toh naye up aur down fractals tashkeel paa chuke hain.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis H4 Time Frame:
H4 time frame par GBP/USD currency pair ki tafseelati technical analysis karne ke doran wazeh hota hai ke mojooda karobari koshishon ke liye do ahem chhote support aur resistance zones hain. Pehla zone, chhota support zone, numaya tor par qeemat ke darjah 1.2642 ke qareeb hai, jabke is ka hamdard, chhota resistance zone, qeemat ke mark 1.2650 ke nazdeek paish aata hai. Ye tafseelati makhsoos zones tajziyati reference points ke tor par kaam aate hain, karobariyon ko faida uthane ke liye mukhtalif dakhil hune ke moqay faraham karte hain. Chhota support zone, tajziyati tor par 1.2642 par mojood, karobaron ke liye nazdeek se nazar rakhta hai. Tareekhi tor par, yeh zone kharidari dabao ko akarshit karne ki salahiyat ka daramad karta hai, GBP/USD currency pair ke daam mein mazeed neechay ki taraf harkat ko rokne ka aik bandobast bana raha hai. Is liye, karobaron ko is daraje ko ek aham moqay ke tor par tasleem karna chahiye, tareekh ko long positions shuru karne ka, daam ki karwai mein ek bounce ya palat se mutawajjah hone ki umeed hai.
Mukhalif taur par, chhota resistance zone, taqreeban 1.2650 ke mark par waqai aik sakht rukawat hai upri daam ki harkat ke liye. Farokht dabao ke ikhtraak se kheyal aata hai, yeh zone tareekhi tor par ek aham alaqa hai jahan bullish momentum aksar mazboot mukhalfat se milta hai. Is liye, karobaron ko is daraje ke qareeb jaate waqt ehtiyaat baratna chahiye, mumkin short-selling moqayon ka tawazun karna ya ek wazeh breakthrough ka intezar karna, karobari strategy ko adaa karne se pehle.

Forex trading strategy
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda sideways me karobar jari rakhe hue hai. Aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me America se kuch khabrein shamil hain. Mujhe ummid hai keh is khabar se market me hal-chal mach jayega. Agar Bartanwi pound niche jata hai to, mai long positions me izafa karunga. 1.2653 ka nishan qarib tarin muzahmati satah ke taur par kam karta hai, lekin zyada aham satah 1.2667 hai. Iska breakout tezi se reversal ka ishara dega. Mandi ki surat me, sterling 1.2574 ki support satah ki taraf badhega, jiska breakout mandi ke rujhan ki nishandahi karega. Khabron se pahle, pound/dollar ka joda range-bound rahne ka imkan hai.
GBP/USD, H1:

مارچ 29 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل ڈالر کے لیے اچھا دن تھا: چوتھی سہ ماہی کے لیے امریکی جی ڈی پی کا حتمی تخمینہ 3.2% y/y سے بڑھا کر 3.4% y/y کر دیا گیا، جب کہ برطانوی جی. ڈی. پی. میں 0.3% کا معاہدہ ہوا، اور جرمنی میں خوردہ فروخت 1.9 فیصد کمی آئی۔ آج، یوروپ، امریکہ اور کینیڈا میں بازار تعطیل کے لیے بند ہیں، جو قیمتوں میں کمی کے عمل میں معاون ثابت ہوں گے۔ تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سے، یہ قیمت کو یومیہ چارٹ پر 1.0796 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم کرنے کی اجازت دیتا ہے، یہاں تک کہ اگر جوڑی دن کا اختتام فائدہ کے ساتھ کرتی ہے، تو یہ 7 پیپس سے بھی زیادہ نہیں ہوگی۔ درحقیقت، 1.0724 کا ہدف پہلے ہی کھلا ہے۔ دوسرا ہدف 1.0632 ہے۔



اگر قیمت اگلے ہفتے 1.0796 سے اوپر مستحکم ہوتی ہے تو ایک متبادل منظر نامہ سامنے آئے گا۔ اس صورت میں، سطح سے نیچے کی موجودہ قیمت میں کمی کو غلط اقدام سمجھا جائے گا، اور جوڑا 1.0905 تک بڑھنے کے راستے پر ہو گا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ابھی تک ممکنہ اوپر کی طرف الٹ جانے کی تجویز نہیں کرتا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت پہلے ہی 1.0796 کی سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہو چکی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں کم ہو رہا ہے۔ قیمت اب بھی بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن سے اوپر نہیں بڑھ سکی ہے۔ نیچے کا رجحان برقرار ہے۔

چھٹی کے باوجود، فیڈرل ریزرو چیف جیروم پاول سان فرانسسکو میں مانیٹری پالیسی کے بارے میں بات کرنے والے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

"Main GBP/USD currency pair ki musalsal qeemat ka amli jaiza le raha hoon. Agar yeh jori 1.2780 ko paar kare, to hum 1.3125 ki taraf darmiyan muddat ke palat ka imkan samajh sakte hain. Magar, is tajruba ke baad, 1.2820 ya 1.2840 se pullback ho sakta hai, jo jori ko naye H1 support levels: 1.2640 tak le jayega, 1.2820 ya 1.2695 se pullback ke saath. Iske baad, hum 1.2910 aur 1.2970 ki taraf izafa ka tasavvur rakhte hain, jis ka nishana 1.3125 par hai. Hamara rozana aitadal 1.2600 par hai, takreeban 1.2605. Magar, din ki shuruaat mein dugna spread ka tawazun madde nazar rakhte hue, 5 points ka khatta qasoor mashwara diya jata hai. Is liye, 1.2600 par din ka tawazun rakh kar, humara raasta 1.2695 ki taraf le jata hai, H1 resistance ki taraf phir se, phir 1.2420 ki taraf palat jaane ke saath, raste mein D1 support 1.2510 se. Pehla palat 1.2570 se naye rozana aitadal 1.2640 ki taraf anumaanit hai, phir 1.2510 tak giravat, doosra palat 1.2620 par mukarrar H1 resistance ki taraf aur phir 1.2420 ki taraf D1 support ke liye."
Agar 1.2695 par H1 resistance ko guzar diya jaaye, to yeh darmiyan muddat ke palat ka ziada imkan ka ishaara hoga, jo jori ko H4 resistance 1.2780 ki taraf le jaayega agar koi breakdown na ho. Halankeh qeemat ka lagta hai ke waqtan-fa-waqtan level ko chhoo gaya, lekin phir uska peecha hua aur ek kam volatile consolidation bana. Mahina aur haftay ke senior charts ke band hone ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jama' dollar ki peechidgi aur dollar index ke saath mil kar, pound ne neeche ki dabaav banaya. Haftay ke ibteda mein 1.2630 ke neeche qeemat girna zaroori hai takay mazeed neeche ki taraf rawana harkat ko tasdeeq di ja sake. Ek mumtaz "candle" jo Monday ya Tuesday ko ooper se neeche tak chhaya aur ek jism ke qareeb band hua ho, yeh level ki mazbooti ko darust karega, jis se hosakta hai ke 1.2735 aur 1.2700 ke darajat ki sudhar ho.

Pair ka phir se ubharne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke 1.2770 area ko tod kar iske upar stabilize ho. Bhaav ke current level ke bawajood, kharidar ab bhi ise aur upar utha sakte hain. Agar local high 1.2770 tod di jaye, toh humein ek kharidne ka signal milega. Vartaman drishti se, yeh ek aur karan ho sakta hai exchange rate mein izafa karne ke liye agar yeh 1.2760 range ko tod kar uske upar judega. Agar 1.2740 local top area ko tod diya jaye, toh yeh pair ko mazboot karne ka ek achha karan hoga. Hum ek aur correct decline ka samna kar sakte hain, jisse baad mein aur tezi aayegi. 1.28170 local top area ko tod sakta hai, jo ki agle kharidne ke liye ek achha karan hoga. U.S. trading session ke doran, yeh thoda peeche ho sakta hai aur baad mein tezi se badhna jaari rahega. Yeh baat ke yeh abhi bhi 1.2600 ke neeche gir nahi sakta, yeh tezi ke liye achha support hoga. Agar hum 1.2770 range ko tod karr

Pound/dollar market ki situation ab bhi analysis ki ja rahi hai. British currency ke chaar ghante ka chart dekhne par, hum dekh sakte hain ki ek bullish price channel pehle hi bana hua hai jismein British currency trade ho rahi hai. Is natije mein, North Channel apne aap ko ek bearish disha mein sudhar raha hai. Bikriyon ka prayas ab uttar channel ke nichle range ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai, ek teesri bearish wave ke banne ki sambhavna ke saath. Lagbhag 1.2625 uttar aur dakshin channel ka kraman hai. Halaanki, agar pound/dollar pair pratirodh rekha ko todta hai, toh yeh ek mazboot signal banega further buying ke liye.aur 1.2690 ke neeche jaate hain, tezi badhti rahegi. 1.2760 ke upar breakout aur merger hona kharidne ke liye ek acche karan honge. Bazaar mein neeche ki trend ke bawajood, mujhe koi badi tabdili nahi nazar aati.

H4 timeframe ke liye

GBP/USD

Pichle haftay ke ant mein, Pound ke liye, bikriyon ne khud ko kaafi faa'al sabit kiya; aisa lag raha tha ke kal, trading ki shuruaat ke saath, voh ek neeche ki taraf rawana chal jaayenge, lekin kal kharidariyon ne bikriyon ke is chal ko rok diya aur keemat ko wapas upar le gaye. Agar ab kharidari karne waale keemat ko tod kar aur 1.26519 ke darje par mazid pukhta hona sakte hain, to keemat ke barhne ke liye agla maqsad 1.26743 ke darje hoga. Neche ki raftar ke jari hone ki baat karne ke liye, neeche ki u-turn pattern ka intezar karna laayak hai. Agar aap darajat par tawajjo de rahe hain, toh aap ko 1.26328 ke nishaan ko toorna aur mazid pukhta hone ke liye intezar karna chahiye; keemat giravat ke liye pehla maqsad 1.25943 ke darje hoga.

GBPUSD jodi H4:

1 - 4 ghanton ke waqt ke frame par Pound ne bands ke markazi ilaaqe tak wapas chal diya, aur bands khud andar ki taraf murattab ho gaye. Yahan se harkat kisi bhi taraf jaari ki ja sakti hai, aur agar aap ko keemat ke barhne ya giraavat ke liye ek naya signal chahiye, toh aap ko keemat ka bands ke upari ya neechayi band par naye faalatam qareeb jaana karna chahiye, aur sparsh karne ke baad dekhein ke kya bands baahar kholengi ya koi prateekriya na hogi. Agar hum abhi mojooda haalaat ko fractals ke nazarie se tashreef se dekhein, toh ek naya, qareebi urooj fractal ban gaya hai; Iska tootna aur mazid pukhta hone ke baad, keemat ko March 21 ke fractal ke qareebi darje 1.28028 ke dara tak le jaane ki ijaazat hogi. Qareebi giravat ka fractal mojooda keemat ke qeemat se kaafi door hai, aur agar keemat ke giravat ke raaste mein jaldi se kuch par bharosa karna hai, toh ek naya, qareebi giravat ka fractal ka intezar karna laayak hai.

2 - AO indicator musbat ilaaqe mein dabi hui hai, aur iska is par izaafa ke saath jawaab hai. Agar hum zero ke zariye se ek transition aur musbat ilaaqe mein ek faalatam izafat dekhte hain, toh hum keemat ke barhne ke liye ek zyada mazboot signal hasil karenge. Ek naye faalatam izafat giravat ke liye ek signal degi.

Forex trading mein, moving averages ka istemal market trends aur potential reversals ko samajhne ka ek ahem zariya hai. Ek aise misaal ka jikar currency pair ke tajziya mein kiya ja sakta hai, jahan 1.2689 moving average ek mukhya bindu ke roop mein samne aata hai jo ek mumkin reversal ko tasdeeq karta hai. Agar yeh 1.2689 moving average ko paar kar leta hai, toh yeh market sentiment mein ek significant shift ki alaamat ho sakti hai. Yeh breakthrough aur upar ka rasta kholega, jismein mukhtalif levels ki taraf ja sakte hain, shayad 1.2700 level ko expose kare. Is seema ke aage, traders March 21st ki high 1.2809 par apne nigaah rakh sakte hain, jismein ek continued bullish movement ki manzil ko dekh sakte hain.
Mukhalif taur par, 1.2571 critical 200-day moving average ke neeche giravat aane se intehai umeedon ko rok sakta hai. Aise ek giravat bullish outlook par shak dal sakti hai, jisse traders apni strategies ko dobara sochne par majboor ho sakte hain. Yeh essential support level ka toot jaana bearish pressure ka dobara aam hona ko darsha sakta hai, jo pair ko neeche ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Asal mein, moving averages ka tafsir, khaaskar 1.2689 ke pivotal point ka, forex market mein safar kar rahe traders ke liye gehra asar rakhta hai. Ye technical indicators manzilon ki taraf rahnumai karte hain, potential trading opportunities ki taraf ishaara dete hain jabki market ki fluctuations ke inherent risks ko bhi highlight karte hain. Jab traders in ahem levels ko nigaah mein rakhte hain, toh woh apne inform decision-making ki taraf sangeen talaash mein rahte hain, moving averages ki tafsir se hasil insights ka istemal karte hain takmeel aur aitmaad ke saath forex trading ke complexities ko sahih taur par handle karne ke liye.

GBP/USD pair ka trend tab tak consistent rahe ga jab tak 1.2580 ka significant support level na toota. Ye level khaas taur par ahem hai kyun ke ye peechle haftay ke trading sessions mein dekha gaya tha. Traders aise ahem levels ko nazar andaz nahi karte kyun ke ye market sentiment aur direction mein crucial turning points ke tor par kaam karte hain. 1.2580 ka support level ahem hai kyunkay ye darust hota hai ke market kaise react karta hai jab ye level approach karta hai. Agar price is level ke ooper rehti hai to ye yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke buyers support ko defend karne ke liye aa rahe hain, jo mojooda uptrend ka reversal ya continuation darust kar sakta hai. Magar agar 1.2580 ke neeche breach ho jaye to ye support ka breakdown indicate kar sakta hai, aur additional selling pressure ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek downtrend continuation ki taraf ishaara kar sakta hai.
Market participants aksar various technical indicators aur analysis techniques ka istemal karte hain taake support aur resistance levels jaise 1.2580 ke taqat ko assess kar sakein. Ye techniques trendlines, moving averages, aur Fibonacci retracements jaise hote hain. Iske ilawa, trading volume aur market sentiment jaise factors bhi in levels ki validness ka tayyun karte hain. Magar, zaroori hai ke market dynamics ko samajhna jo ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, central bank policies, aur broader market sentiment jaise factors se mutasir hote hain. Isliye, jab technical analysis price movements aur potential reversal points ke bare mein valuable insights deti hai, tab traders ko fundamental developments ka bhi khaas tawajjo dena chahiye jo currency pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain.



GBP/USD ke context mein, Brexit developments, UK aur US se economic data releases, Bank of England aur Federal Reserve se monetary policy decisions, aur broader market trends in risk sentiment jaise factors pair ke trajectory par asar daal sakte hain. Jab traders GBP/USD pair ki movement ko 1.2580 level ki taraf dekhte hain, to wo buying aur selling pressure ki taqat ko assess kar rahe hote hain, saath hi saath market sentiment ko influence karne wale kisi bhi fundamental developments ko bhi dekhte hain. Aakhir mein, price ka ye ke agar ye significant support level ko hold karta hai ya toota, to ye pair ke future direction ke bare mein valuable insights provide karega.

GBP/USD ke mojudah qeemat ka performance ka jaeza lene mein hain. Jesa ke tawwakul tha, pehle kuch ghanton mein koi koshish nahi ki jayegi ke jodi kahin bhi nahi jaye. Qeemat Jumma ko bhi mawaslat mein tehre rahi. Market shirakat daar ko isay ek simat deni hogi takay ek mustaqil harkat ban sake, jismein hum ek mukhtalif level tak qeemat pohnchne ka intezar kar sakte hain. Main isay barhne ki taraf zyada raghib hoon neeche ek support area hone ki wajah se. GBP/USD abhi tak isay tor nahi sakta, jo ke buyers ko mouqa deta hai ke qeemat palat kar barh sake. Wajah yeh hai ke Eurozone ke mahangai aur America ki be-rozgarri dar directly Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ki mustaqbil ki maali policy ko mutasir karte hain. Indicators ka izhaar taqreeban taqatwar harkat ko daawa karta hai. Aur unka taqreeban taqreeban alag alag waqt par shaye hota hai, to tadaruk mukhtalif ho sakta hai. GBP/USD gir sakta hai aur uchal sakta hai. Kaafi arsay se, currency pair seedha raha hai lekin ab woh ek southern trend ki fevour mein hai kyunke qeemat ab bollinger indicator ke darmiyan aur nichlay moving lines ke darmiyan hai, jo instrument ki girawat ko faida deta hai.

Is siyasi trend se nikalne ke baray mein, mere liye ab rujhan ka nishan yeh triangle hai; ke dono trend lines mein se konsa tootega abhi tak wazeh nahi hai, lekin Asia mein GBP/USD barh raha hai. Aur teen ghanton mein hamare paas aise khali session hain jin mein European weekend hai, is liye hum America ka intezar karenge apne tamam iradon ke saath. Price Action ke mutabiq, main sab patterns ka nazar rakhta hoon, aur, bilkul aap ki tarah, main yeh samajhta hoon ke bearish absorption abhi poori tarah kaam nahi kiya. Ek nayi trading hafta shuru hua hai. British currency channel ke andar 1.2574–1.2667 ke darajon par trade kar rahi hai. Mukhtasar tasveer sellers ke fevour mein hai. Pichle haftay, khilariyon ko 1.2700 ke daraja se neeche jaane aur mazboot hona kamyab ho gaya. Agar trend waisa hi rehta hai aur pound ke qeemat US dollar ke nisbat aur bhi girte rahe, to 1.2574 ke daraja ko torne ke baad, agla maqsood daraja 1.2500 ka hoga. Kharidaron ke liye, abhi zaroori kaam yeh hai ke 1.2667 ke resistance daraja ke just upar se bahar aayein. Jaise hi maal ki qeemat 1.2667 se mehngi hoti hai, agla maqsood 1.2800 hoga. Sirf agar quotes in values ke upar mazboot hoti hain to hum yeh keh sakte hain ke southern trend temporary tor diya gaya hai aur khareedari sab se pehle shuru hogi.

GBP/USD technical analysis


GBP/USD naye haftay ke ibtida par 1.2600 ke oopar tang flat mein trade jaari hai. Jaise trading shiru hoti hai, toh pair ka takneeki nazaria kisi bhi raaste ka raaz nahi deta kyunke Easter Monday par trading shiru hone se shartein patli rehti hain. Aaj, U.S. stock index futures ko maqbool hai ke somwar ko musbat soorat mein trade kiya ja raha hai, jis se yeh darjaat khara hai ke Wall Street lambay weekend ke baad buland hosakta hai. Bureau of Economic Analysis ne friday ko report kiya ke core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, Federal Reserve ka pasandida tameer-e-nuqsaan ka nisab, 2.8% ke saalana darjay par February mein gira tha january ke 2.9% se. CMEFedWatch ka aala, jo ke Federal Reserve ke policy rate ko june mein be tabdeel rakhein ge, ki imkan 30% se gir chuki hai pehle se 40% se jab PCE inflation data release hua.





Dosre hisse mein, US economic agenda mein ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index markazi imkan hoga. Agar headline PMI 50 ke oopar dubara se umda ho, to pehli inteha ka reaction dollar ko uske dushwar rivalon ke khilaf qaaim rehne mein madad dega aur isay muskil hoga ke GBP/USD traction haasil karein. Market ke hissedaar bhi survey ke qeemat payments index, jo ke inflations ka juz hai, par nazr rakhenge. Agar yeh index barqarar rahay, to investors isay hamesha zyada inflations ka nishana samajhte hue dekhenge aur june mein rate cut ke imkaan ko dobara tashrih denge. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 50 ke aas paas flat hai, jo ke nafrat ko zahir karta hai. 200-day moving average 1.2590 par ahem support banata hai. Agar yeh darjaat ke nichay band hojaye, to takneeki farokht ko khichne aur raaste ko kholne ka darwaza ban jaye ga 1.2550 (halke uptrend ka ibtedai hissa) aur 1.2500 (statis darja). Upar, 1.2640 (100-day SMA) agla darja-e-ambaar hai, isay 1.2670-1.2680 (latest move ka 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 200-period SMA 4-hour chart par, 50-day SMA) ke peechay andaza lagaya jata hai.