gbp/usd

GBP/USD Takniki Tahlil:


GBP/USD jodi mein haal hi mein mustaqil izafa dekha gaya hai, jo traders ke liye aham mauqay ka ishara hai. Jodi ka 1.2730 ke mark tak aur taaqat hasil karne ka iraada hai, jo ek ahem trading zone ka asar hai. Magar, mojooda staron mein girawat ke izhaarat hosakti hain, jisse mojooda darjo se neechay girna mumkin hai. Agar yeh waqia hota hai, to 1.2600 ke range ki dobara tafteesh ka izhaar mumkin hai. Aise test ke baad, aage ki taraf tezi mumkin hai. GBP/USD jodi ke mustaqil raftaar se zahir hai ke traders ke liye forex market mein achi umeed hai. Apni mojooda tezi ke saath, jodi ko 1.2750 ke had tak guzarne ki umeed hai, jo naye trading zone ko qaim kar sakti hai. Is tajziya ke bawajood, bazaar ke dynamics mein girawat ka imkan hai, jisse mojooda darjo se neeche jaane ka imkan hai. Traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur 1.2580 ke range ki taraf girawat ka imkan hai. Magar, aise retirements ko mauqa samjha jata hai, kyunke yeh aage ki raftaar ka aghaz kar sakti hai, jisse traders ko faiday uthane ka mauqa milta hai. GBP/USD jodi ki karwai se zahir hai ke mustaqil bullish jazbat ke zahir hone ki imkan hai, jo traders ko munafa haasil karne ke liye achi umeed deta hai. 1.2770 ke star ko guzarne se, jodi ko naye darje ki sakhti ka aghaz hone ka intezar hai, jisme izafati raftaar aur keemati price ke move ka imkan hai. Magar, sarmaya daron bazaar mein uncertainty ka izhar karne ki zaroorat hai, kyunke girawat aur correction trading dynamics ka lazmi pehlu hain. Is liye, traders ko ahtiyaat aur risk management ke tareeqon ko amal mein lane ki hidayat di jati hai.

مارچ 5 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ کا تعین کیا گیا تھا، اور اس نے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی اہم تکنیکی مزاحمت کو توڑا۔ اس وقت، روزانہ کی موم بتی سفید ہے۔ اگر یہ رنگ بدلتا ہے، اور اقتباس ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے ختم ہوتا ہے، تو یہ جوڑے کے بڑھنے کی صلاحیت کو متاثر کرے گا۔



اگر یہ آج ایک سیاہ موم بتی کے ساتھ بند ہوتا ہے، تو مستقبل قریب میں، قیمت 1.2610 پر سپورٹ کی جانچ کر سکتی ہے۔ اس نشان سے نیچے ایک مضبوطی جوڑی کو 1.2524 تک گرنے پر مجبور کر سکتی ہے۔ لیکن فی الحال، قیمت 1.2610-1.2745 پر موسم سرما کی حد کی بالائی حد تک پہنچنے کی خواہش رکھتی ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت دونوں انڈیکیٹر لائنوں سے اوپر بڑھ رہی ہے، اور مارلن آسک-یلیٹر بڑھنے کی پوزیشن میں ہے۔ اپ ٹرینڈ کا فائدہ ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD H1 TIME FRAME

GBP/USD pair ne Jumeraat ke US session mein tezi ikhtiyar ki aur apni haftawar ki zyada tar nuqsaan ko dobaara hasil kiya. Pair ne Europe ke peer ke subah 1.2650 ke upar chhote daily izafe ko qayam rakha. Federal Reserve ka seth saalana monetary policy report, jo Jumeraat ko jaari kiya gaya, policy ka palat ke timing ke hawale se koi taza rehnumaai nahi di. Naameedah nashar ne dubara darj kiya ke munsheeyan ko 2% ka maqsood ke qareeb chalne ke liye maharat hasil ho jaye tab qurz ke darjat kam karne ka munasib nahi hoga. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Congress ke samne do din ke jawaabat ke doran policy ka update denge aur sawalat ka jawab denge Wednesday aur Thursday ko. Jumeraat ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics February ke liye apni rozgaar report jaari karega. Market participants mukhtalif ehmiyat ke khatre wale waqiat ke samne qareebi reh sakte hain aur GBP/USD ko kisi bhi rukh mein faisla nahi karne denge. Upar ki taraf ke ishare ko jari rakhne ke liye bullain ko 50-day moving average par 1.2671 ke oopar mohim karne ki zaroorat hai, aur phir kharidari ke liye nishana 1.2770 hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.26192 ke neeche gir jata hai aur yeh darja manfi tarah istemal karta hai, toh forokht karne walon ka amal ho sakta hai aur darwaza khulta hai 1.25340 ki taraf. GBP/USD Europe ke trading hours ke doran peer ke 1.2700 ke upar izafe ko qayam rakhta hai. Ek kamzor US dollar ke saath behtareen market ke jazbat ne pair ko dono saahil par bana rakha hai. UK ki maheengei dar G7 countries mein sab se ziada hai, jis ne Bank of England ke munsheeyan ko daraz muddat ke liye qurz ke darjat ko mehdood medaan mein rakhne par majboor kiya hai. Aaj ke European session ka khulne pichle do sessions ke oopar 1/2 ki alaamat 1.26691-1.26843 mein bullish mahol ki alaamat hai, lekin main European session ka ya phir American session ka band honay ka muntazir hoon 1/2 zone 1.26691-1.26843 ke oopar, kharidari ke liye dakhil hone ka point talash karne ke liye. Is waqt yeh pair nahi trade ho raha hai.

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Geetay rang mein guzarta hua haftey mein mein, GBP/USD ka tawanaati tanaza dekha gaya, aam tor par nichla raha, America se ma'ashi data ke bahao ke darmiyan. Is hafte ke trading ki shuruat se, sterling ka qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein buland honay ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin iski fawaid ne 1.2706 ke rukh par pohanchne se pehle naqabil-e-bardasht 1.2675 ke as paas ja kar ruk gayi hai. Aam tor par, US dollar ki qeemat ne hafte ki trading ko kamzor note par shuru kiya, jab ke haal hi mein January mein hue America ke mustaqbil ki umerdaar ashyai ka intezam aik umeed se kam numainda raha.
Ma'ashi calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq, index ne -6.1% darj kiya, jo ke market ki 4.5% ke izafi giravat ki tawaqo se kam hai, aur December mein 0.3% ke baad aaya. Yeh duraust ashyaat ke mustaqbil ki sab se bara mahana giravat thi, jo April 2020 se bhi pehlay se America ke dollar ko neechay bhejti hai. Lekin, Red Sea mein jaari honay wali muddat mein silsila-e-nakhushi se shayad pareshani ka silsila, jis ne market ko ghera, aur safe-haven currency ko sath dene wala, shuruati nuksanat se bahar nikalne mein kamyab raha.

Budhwar ki taraf barhne par, America ke dollar ne 2023 ke chauthe quarter mein US GDP ke thori si nichli tabdiliyon ko pakarne mein mushkil pesh ki. Dosri tajziya ne chauthe quarter ke liye 3.2% darj kiya, 3.3% ki tawaqo se mukhalif. Pichle Jumma, America ke dollar ki qeemat ne naye ta'arrufat ka samna kiya ek mazeed tawanaati tanaza ke darmiyan, aur America ke be-rozgar hone ke ansar mein aik izafa hua, aur core shakhsi istifadaat ki price index mein tezi ki kami ka rukh aaya. Halan ke Fed ka pasandida nizaam-e-mol baqi rahi kamzor, jo January mein 2.9% se 2.8% tak gir gaya, maqool giraawat musalsal ke qeemat ke dabein ko zahir karta hai.

Aam tor par, British pound ki qeemat ne hafte ki trading ko kisi wazeh raah par shuru nahi kiya, jabke pichle hafte ke rilij ke liye moayana shuda mu'assir ma'ashi data ne British pound ko kahin jane ke liye kuch bhi nahi chora. Lekin, Monday ko mua'sharo ne ek naram munh par British Chancellor Jeremy Hunt ko is haftay ke Spring Budget mein nefundi tax cuts ki darkhwast par intebha di, jo ke pound ko aik tang raah par mazboot rakhne mein madad karti hai. Analyston ne Chancellor ko khatra diya hai ke kisi bhi nefundi tax cuts se pound ko aik naqabil-e-bardasht 2022 mini-budget ka dohrana ho sakta hai, jo America ke dollar ke muqablay mein tareekhi kam ke nateeje par rukawat dene wala tha.

GBP/USD jodi ab aik dilchasp halat mein hai, Juma ke Asian session ke doran ahem 1.2650 rukhawat ke just upar latka hua hai. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey aur doosre policymakers ki halqon ne haal mein bazaar mein umeedon ko uthte hue rakha hai, jis se darust hai ke dar kam karne ke imkanat par shak paida hua hai. Ye ghair mutawaqa taraqqi ne pound sterling ko mazboot kiya hai, rozana ke liye nihayat 0.10% ke fawaid ke saath, jodi ab 1.2663 ke muqablay mein US dollar ke sath trading kar rahi hai. Investors tawajjo se is halat ko nigrani mein rakhte hain jabke jodi is ahem rukhawat ko guzar rahi hai, jis ke maamooli asarat hone ke imkanat hain.
Mutasavi tor par, Juma ke early Asian session ke doran, GBP/USD jodi ne apna upar ka sarmaya barqarar rakha, 1.2660 rukhawat se guzarte hue. Ye tezi FOMC minutes ke ikhraaj ke doran se mazid quwwat hasil ki gayi, jo Federal Reserve ki data-driven approach ki pehchanat dikhata hai. Is nateejay mein dovish stance ne US dollar (USD) par asar dala hai, jo GBP/USD jodi ke liye mozu nazar hai, jo ab 1.2663 pe hai, jis mein rozana 0.09% ke izafa ko darust karta hai. Mazeed, Andrew Bailey aur Bank of England (BoE) ke doosre policymakers haal hi mein UK Treasury committee ke saamne gawahi di, jis se darust hai ke dar kam karne mein takheer ke imkanat ke bare mein afwahen paida hui hain. Ye temporary izafa pound sterling (GBP) ki qeemat mein tha. Jabke Bailey ne rate cuts ke maqami tajwezat ke bare mein taeed dene se parhaiz kiya, lekin unho ne bank e markazi ki daromadar ta'ameer ko kam karne ke liye apni wafadari ko zahir kiya, jo bazaar mein tajaweez ki taraf mutawajjah kar raha hai. Investors ko ahem adara aur policymakers ke developments ke liye maahir aur jawabdeh rehne ki takhleeqat par amal karne ka hukm diya jata hai is ghum mein.

GBPUSD jodi ki qeemat ka andaza laga keh, jo ke pichle hafte ki shuruat mein barh rahi thi, 1.2696 par rukawat tak pohanch gai lekin qeemat ek martaba phir se 1.2700 ke darja ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahi rahi. Agar ham tawajjo dein, to shooting star doji candlestick pattern se ulat pan ka signal hai jo ke qeemat ko neechay sahi karne ka sabab bana. Giraawat shayad qareebi sahara par 1.2667 ko azmaaye ga jo ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan hai. Masalan, agar correction phase do moving average lines ko cross karne tak jaari rahe, to qeemat qareeb 1.2628 ke neeche sahara ko azmaaye gi.
Halaanki, pehle se hi bullish trend ke haalaat mein neeche ki taraf correction phase jald khatam ho jayega. Yeh isliye ke Stochastic indicator ka parameter oversold zone tak pohanch jata hai jo ek cross ke liye izazat deta hai taake qeemat apna buland rukh jaari rakhe. Kaha ja sakta hai ke sahara 1.2667 agle GBPUSD jodi ki qeemat ke liye ke muhim dar darja hoga. Aapko Naye York session mein high impact news se bachna chahiye jo ke America ke Dollar currency ke husool par asar daal sakti hai.

Mere liye, mera trading plan pehle se hi bullish trend ke haalaat ko follow karne ke liye behtar hai. Isliye sahara 1.2667 aur do Moving Average lines ko BUY position ke dakhil hone ka point banaye. Aik open position ka tasdeeq Stochastic indicator ke parameter ka maqool cross oversold zone mein ka intizaar hai. Take profit 1.2696 ya level 1.2700 ke aas paas, jabke stop loss ki darkhwast ilaqa e darkhwast 1.2653 - 1.2647 hai.



Technical Reference: Farokht karein jab tak yeh 1.27070 ke neeche hai.
Resistance 1: 1.27000
Resistance 2: 1.27070
Support 1: 1.26580
Support 2: 1.26525

GBPUSD ab bhi Europi session mein ek darust movement mein phans gaya hai, lekin GBPUSD ke liye neeche ki taraf ki koshish ka zyada potential hai, yeh isliye ke yeh do ahem indicators ke saath support kiya gaya hai jo dainik rukawat ilaqa se mana kiya gaya. Moving Average (MA) chalti qeemat ke oopar hai, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke moving average kam hone ka rukh rakhta hai, sath hi stochastic ek bearish signal de raha hai, jo ke GBPUSD ke kam hone ka asar mazboot kar raha hai.

Upar di gayi aik ghante ki chart ki tajziya ke mutabiq, 15 minute ke time frame par bhi, GBPUSD mein girne ka mouqa hai, kyunki yeh zigzag indicator se down signal se support mil raha hai jo ek bearish channel banata hai, iske alawa MACD bhi girne ka mouqa faraham karta hai, agar upar diye gaye manzar ke mutabiq ho to GBPUSD ko 1.26580 ke sahara darja tak pohanchne ka mouqa hai.

Update Analysis of GBP/USD

Time frame H4
Achi trading day guzarain!

Dekhain kis tarah forex market ka rawaya hai, jahan US dollar kamzor hai, sargarmi mein kami hai, aur market ke shirakat daron ko aesa lagta hai ke kuch ahem waqiya ka intezar hai jo tezi se taraqqi ke liye waja ban sakta hai Is liye, main kuch fundamental factors ka jaeza le raha hoon jo jald hi forex market par asar dalenge aur koshish kar raha hoon ke wo factor dhoondho jo ek tezi se breakout ka sabab banega, jo kal shayad Fed chair ka taqreer ho, waisay bhi Market analysts yeh waqia par investors ka tawajjo dene ki koshish kar rahe hain Asia ke rurural qadeem prices ke doraan, GBP/USD gir gaya, kuch points ke liye, kal ke trading ke doran hoslon se confident istarha ki tezi ke baad, jo ke Europe session ke doran utarne ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai




Lekin 4 ghante ke chart par situations dekhtay hue, hum aik u-turn note kar saktay hain, indicators giravat jaari dikhate hain aur is waqt main aik bounce ka intezar kar raha hoon takay 1.2690 ke darjay tak pohanch sakoon, iske baad main dono ko madde nazar rakhta hoon Urooj ki tezi ke saath aik rebound ka mumkinah hona aur 1.2708 ke resistance level ka imtehan, aur giravat ke saath doosra bounce la sakte hain surkhi hui moving average area tak, jo 1.2600 ilaqa mein hai, jise main 1.27722 par note karta hoon, ya resistance level jo main zikar kar raha hoon woh 1.28273 hai Ye resistance levels ke liye do mansoobay ho sakte hain ke situation ka izhar karen Pehla mansooba yeh hai ke prices in darajat ke oopar rehain aur apni manzil ke liye apna rasta jaari rakhein Agar yeh mansooba amal mein laya gaya, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat resistance level tak pohanch jaye gi, jo 1.29956 par hai Is resistance level par, main aik trading system ki tawaqqa rakhta hoon, jo aglay rukh ko pehchanne mein madad karega trading ke liye

GBP/USD

ki keemat ab UK data release ke baad 1.2665 ke resistance zone tak pohanch gayi hai. Magar, GBP/USD ke kharid-darun ko baraayi ka gyaan hona chahiye mukhtalif mazidar manzar-e-aam par. Bunyadi waqeaton ka silsila, jo ke interest rate decisions se lekar GDP releases aur rozgar ke reports tak shamil hote hain, currency prices par gehra asar daal sakte hain. Kharid-darun ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur in waqiyat ke baare mein maaloom rahein, jin ka market dynamics par asar ho sakta hai. Yeh waaqiaat pehle hi economic manzar ko mutasir hone ke daur mein traders ko apni strategies ko adjust karne ki izazat deta hai, jo ke naa-taayun harikat aur bardasht ko taraqqi deta hai anjaane haalaat ke samne.
Meri raaye mein, hamain hoshiyaari se aur tamam zaruratmandiyan ke saath karobar karna chahiye. Mere liye, main aaj kharid ka order pasand karta hoon. Kyunki kharid-darun 1.2665 zone ke aspaas karobar kar rahe hain. Phir hum dekh sakein ge ke GBP/USD ka market kharid ki taraf hai. Umeed hai ke kharid-darun ka manzar baad mein aur mazboot ho jaye ga.

Is ke ilawa, discipline forex trading mein kamyabi ka bunyadi rukh ban jati hai. Kharid-darun ko apne karobar ke tareeqay par mustaqil azam ke saath amal karna chahiye, jinmein lamhaati tabdeeliyon se uraaj ki gai faislay shaamil nahi hote. Is ke ilawa, emoshnal control trading ki duniya mein ahem hai, jahan market ki tawazun aasani se jazbaat ko jaga sakti hai. Aur market ke fluctuations ke darmiyan sambhalte hue kharid-darun ko rational faislay karne aur bay-izaafi impulses ka samna karne se bachne mein madad milti hai jo ke unke maaliyat ko khatrey mein daal sakti hain.

Ummeed hai ke GBP/USD ka market baad mein kharid-darun ke favour mein rahe ga. Magar, US ke khabron ka bhi market ke GBP/USD par akhri kirdaar hota hai. Is liye, trend aur market sentiment ke khilaaf na jaayein.

Allah hafiz aur apna khayal rakhein.

Technical analysis of GBPUSD:
Aaj, GBP/USD market 1.2696 ke qareeb float kar raha hai, jo ke ek resistance area hai. Magar haftay ka calendar aik mukhtalif array of news data se bhara hua hai jo ke US dollar ki performance se mazbooti se juda hua hai. Is data-driven mahol mein, sirf kuch GBP se mutaliq khabron ke ilawa is hafte kuch news events saamne aaye hain, jismein Construction PMI rate ka zikar khaas hai. Halankeh GBP-centric news ki nisbat kam hone ke bawajood, US ADP Non-Farm Employment rate ka qareebi level 1.2658 ko toornay ke liye potential catalyst ka darja rakhta hai. Agley kuch dino mein, GBP/USD market mein tez raftar ki tawaqaat hai, khaaskar Non-Farm Employment aur Unemployment data releases par khaas zor diya gaya hai. Ye lamhaat ahem morche banne ki sambhavna rakhte hain, jo market dynamics ko khas tor par mutasir karenge.

Traders ko maamooli tor par mojooda market sentiment ko tafseel se samajhna mashwara diya jata hai, kyunkeh iska durust pehchaan asar daar strategies tajveez karne aur apne accounts ko hushyarana tor par manane mein bunyadi hai. Isliye, mein kai bunyadi factors ko jaldi hi foreign exchange market par asar dalne wale hain ko dobara dekhta hoon aur breakout ka sabab dhoondne ki koshish karta hoon, jo kal mukhtalif tareeqon se ho sakta hai, for example, Fed chair ka taqreer. Market analysts is waqiyah par investors ka tawajju dainay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Asian countryside prices ke doran, GBP/USD mein giravat kaafi points se gir gaya, jo ke kal ke trading ke doran confident growth ke baad, north ki taraf barhne ki mumkinat ko khatam karta hai, European session ke doran.



Ek rebound ki possibility hai jismein growth dobara shuru ho aur 1.2708 ke resistance level par ek imtehaan ho, aur doosri taraf ek collapse ki possibility hai jismein red moving average area ki ek aur bounce ho, jo ke 1.2600 area mein hai, jise mein 1.27722 par notice karta hoon, yaani resistance level jise mein 1.28273 kehte hain. Ye resistance levels do scenarios ke liye mojood hain jismein situation ka vikas hota hai. Pehla scenario prices ko in levels ke upar rehne aur unka northward movement jaari rakhne se juda hai. Agar yeh plan amal mein laaya jata hai, toh main umeed karta hoon ke price ko resistance level tak barhne ka intezaar karo ga, jo ke 1.29956 par hai.

GBP/USD price overview:
Tuesday ke European session mein, Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.2700 ke ahem resistance level se thori dair ke liye peeche hat gaya. Investors ki risk appetite mein kami aur UK ke spring budget ke agle din Chancellor Jeremy Hunt ke taqreeban dhaik karne se pehle uncertainty ne GBP/USD jodi par dabao dala hai. Jeremy Hunt ko fiscal measures mein ek balance qaim karna hoga kyunki UK ki muntakhib aqsam ki girne wali growth estimates aur mustaqil inflation outlook ki tawaqaat hain. 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), 100-SMA, aur long-term uptrend ka Fibonacci 23.6% retracement, GBP/USD jodi ke liye asliyati support ke kuch ahem points hain. Agar GBP/USD is level se neeche gir jata hai to technical sellers ka amal shuru ho sakta hai aur woh ise resistance ke tor par istemal karna shuru kar sakte hain. Is halat mein, agle support level jo ke 1.2540 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) se pehle hai, 1.2600 (nafsiati level, stable level) ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Nafsiati level 1.2700 abhi bhi 1.2760, yaani static level, ke samne ek mazboot rok hai. RSI ki negativiti GBPUSD jodi ko manfi karobar karwane par majboor kar rahi hai jo ke intraday bullish channel ke support line ko test kar rahi hai. Ek waqt ke liye, EMA50 keemat ko manfi support de rahi hai, jo ke aj ke liye bullish trend ke mansoobe ko barqarar rakhne ke liye zaroori hai, jab hum primarily 1.2760 aur 1.2827 ke darjat ki taraf rukh karne ka intezaar karte hain. Magar humein ye maloom hona chahiye ke agar giravat jaari rahe aur 1.2650 toot jaye, toh mufeed halat khatam ho jayegi aur market correcting negative pressure ke tahat aayegi. Aaj ke karobar ke doran kaafi umeed hai ke support level 1.2620 aur resistance level 1.2770 ke darmiyan ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke Bunyadiyat aur Ek Jaiza: GBP/USD currency pair mein girawat ka samna hai, jis ka level ab 1.2693 ke qareeb hai, aham taur par barhate hue US dollar ki talaash ki wajah se. Is taraqqi mein izafa US dollar ki pasandgi ko darust karta hai, jis se exchange rate par neechay ki dabao peda hoti hai.

Is trend ka aham hissa US Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ka thanda karne wala performance hai February mein, jo 52.6 tak pohanch gaya. Ye shumar market ki tawaqo'at se kam tha, jis ne US khidmatat ke shobay mein ek mumkin slowdown ka ishara diya. Ek kamzor khidmatat sektar aam tor par maeeshat ke mukhtalif pahluon ke bare mein fikron ko buland karta hai, jis se investors ko aise assests ki talaash hoti hai jaise ke US dollar.

Mukhalif tor par, market ke nazriye ko Bank of England (BoE) ke faiz dar ko khatam karne ki tawajju hai, jis ke tawaqo'at ke mutabiq aise cuts August se shuru ho sakte hain. Faiz dar ke cuts ke tawaqo'at aam tor par currency ko kum zyada dilchasp banata hai, kyunke kam faiz daron se investors ko us currency ko rakhne se kam munafa hota hai.

Agay dekhtay hue, traders aur investors anay wale economic indicators jaise UK S&P Global Construction PMI data ko nazdeek se nazar andaaz kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka tazkira Wednesday ko bohot qeemti insights faraham karne ki tawajju hai Federal Reserve ki mustaqbil ki monetary policy stance aur US maeeshat ki kulli sehat ke bare mein. Ye waqeeyat qareebi dor mein currency trading ke faislon ko mold karne mein kirdar ada karenge.

Technical Outlook ke sath Acha Dakhla aur Nikalne:
GBP/USD pair ne daily chart par teen mutfariq safed mombattiyon ka aik pattern dikhaya hai, jo ek bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Magar, is uthaon ke bawajood, pair ko upper limit line ko torne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, jo ek potential resistance barrier ka ishara deta hai. Pichli mombatti ne ek upper wick dikhaya, jo unchaion par kuch farokht dabaav ka ishara deta hai.







Aik musbat pehlu Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai, jo ke 60.00 ke qareeb aik pasandida qeemat par hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke market na to zyada kharida gaya hai aur na hi zyada farokht, jo ke traders mein mawazna shuda nazriyat ko dikhata hai.

Is ke ilawa, asli chart ka tajziyah karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke maal abhi 34-din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke oopar trade kar raha hai. Ye ek bullish momentum ko ishara deta hai, jis mein ke qeemat ke neechay ki downtrend resistance line ko torne ka imkaan hai.

Ghantay ke waqt frame par bad achanak qeemat mein ek izafah upper limit line ki taraf hua, jis ke baad ek jaldi se wapas le jana hua. Halankeh, EMA-34 ab aik support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, qeemat ko mustahkam karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar qeemat EMA ke oopar rehti hai, to ye ek bullish bounce ka ishara ho sakta hai, jis mein pair ko mumkin hai ke local resistance level ko torne ki taaqat milti hai.

Mukhalif tor par, agar qeemat EMA ke neeche gir jati hai, to ye muddat bardasht ke bearish nazriyat ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke market mein aik mumkin dhamaka ko dikhata hai. Traders ko chahiye ke qeemat ke harek harkat ko EMA ke mutabiq qareeb se dekhein taake GBP/USD pair ki short-term raah ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Long-Term GBPUSD Technical Analysis.




Moving average indicator dikhata hai ke trend pair rozana waqt frame par bearish hai. Jo bullish mombatti pichle Thursday ko bani hai, wo sirf aik qeemat ki durusti hai. Aik kamzor 1.2550 aur aik buland 1.2720 dekha gaya hai jo ke qareeb 90 pips ko mazbooti deta hai. 1.2630 par wo nazdeeki resistance hai jo ke MA 24 se oopar hai. Jumeraat ko pohanchi gayi kamzor level us se neeche di jayegi. Agar kamzor level tor diya jata hai, to ye tasdeeq karta hai ke bearish trend jitni der tak rahega. Khaas tor par, wazeh hai keh bawajood ke stochastic indicator 20 ke level par hai aur upar ki taraf murne ke qareeb hai, lekin girawat ke liye lambi mudat ka target 1.2620 ke darja hai, jo ke aik support level ke tor par shumar hota hai. Aise halat ki wajah se, mujhe pata chala ke trend mein ek izafa ke baad neeche ki taraf ki movement hai.
Main GBP/USD pair ka 4 ghanton ka chart ka tajziyah kar raha hoon. Pair range ke upper hadood ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Ye bhi upper range ke darmiyan mein pohanch chuka hai, aur maine ye samjha ke jab mahangi data jari hota hai, to pair range ke darmiyan ke darmiyan ki taraf jaega. Ye is wajah se hai ke ye accelerate karna band kar chuka hai, aur is darmiyan se, maine isay neeche ki range ke darmiyan ki taraf jaate hue dekha. Pair ne neeche ki range ke darmiyan ki taraf girna shuru kiya, lekin phir se palat gaya aur ab peechle uroojon ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Main samajhta hoon ke girawat ka trend abhi tak 1.25715 ke darajon ki taraf hai.






GBPUSD short-term technical analysis


Aik ghanton ke time frame mein moving average indicator mein ab bhi bearish trend zahir hai. Durusti ke natije mein, qeemat 100 MA tak barhi, jo ke 1.2670, resistance level hai. Wo resistance ek neeche ke taraf ek pullback ko trigger kar sakta hai jis ka hadaf Thursday ke kamzor point 1.2635 hai. Agar kamzor point ko tor diya jata hai, to ye bearish trend tasdeeq karta hai. Daily neeche ki taraf ki movement ka intezar hai ke 1.2690 support area ko test kiya jaye ga. Stochastic indicator par ek neeche ki taraf ka trend hai, jo ke market mein neeche ki taraf ki movement ki mumkinahat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Jabke qeemat level 20 ke qareeb hai, to bhi qeemat ki neeche ki taraf ki movement ki mumkinahat hai, halankeh ke level 20 ke qareeb hai. Subha hi se qeemat Thursday ke kamzor point ko test karne ke liye neeche ja sakti hai, agar pehle na jaegi.



Ab tak, hum ne sirf aik upar ki taraf zigzag ko north se south tak ke liye anjam diya hai. Umeed hai ke kal hum neechay ki taraf zigzag ko anjam de sakenge. Magar, main yad dilana chahta hoon ke southward movement ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, hume 1.2670 ke level ko update karna hoga.
Ghanton ke time frame par, northward movement ab bhi qabil-e-qubool hai, jaisa ke aaj dikhaya gaya tha. Magar, aaj 30-minute time frame ne shuru kiya north se potential correction ke nishane dikhana. Main samajhta hoon ke ye pehla ishara hai ke ab north se correction anjam dene ka waqt aya hai.

GBP/USD H4 Timeframe.

GBP/USD ki taraf barhne wala channel ban gaya tha, jo ek ball ki tarah bounce karta raha jab tak, aur kal, neeche se bahar aaya. Ek ascending channel mein doosra channel hai, jo chhota slope rakhta hai, lekin woh bhi barh raha hai. MACD indicator ab bhi upper buy zone mein hai. Jab se ascending channel ka vista toota hai, qeemat major ascending channel ke neeche aayegi. Halankeh correction ne qeemat ko barha diya hai, lekin girawat ke chances zyada kharab nahi hain. Qeemat 1.2670 ke level ko support ke tor par rokta hai aur qeemat tootay hue channel se alvida keh sakti hai. Zaroor, yahan mukhalifat hain. Agar aap dekhen ke kal se qeemat kaise barhi hai, pehle din ke girawat ke baad, to bechare sellers umeed har jayenge. Wahan qeemat ne mazboot horizontal support level 1.2630 se bounce back kiya, jo closing prices par bana hai. Bohat se spikes hain, lekin agar aap unhein hata den, to yeh wapas aata hai. To yeh situation do tarah ki hai. Yeh chaar ghante ka chart ke mutabiq bearish lag raha hai, jab ke daily chart ek hi waqt mein mukhalif hai. To yahan qeemat ko aur ooncha bhi push kiya ja sakta hai, descending resistance line tak jo oopar se guzri hai aur jo saal ke shuru se ban sakta hai. Aaj ka sab se ahem news, jaise hamesha, 16-30 Moscow waqt: initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US aur basic price index of personal consumption expenditures in the US annual aur terms mein. Yeh khabrein yahan cheezon ko badal sakti hain. Jabke dono rukh mein jane ke imkanat lagbhag barabar hain, mukhtalif daur ki technology aapas mein mukhalif hain.

Nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat abhi level 1.26662 par hai, practically jahan aaj ka trading shuru hua tha. Instrument ka hourly chart par indicators ka position bhi be-mayassar hai, jo ke barqarar mushtaba hai. Mujhe yakeen hai ke American session ka aghaz hone tak, hamara currency pair GBP/USD ki quotes khasi move nahi karegi aur qeemat stagnate rahegi. Agli harkatein American traders ke faislon aur USA se arzi shumaraat par mabni hongi.

GBP/USD H4 TIME FRAME

GBPUSD ke H4 time frame chart par, kam az kam yeh to wazeh hai ke yeh joda phir se bullish halat mein wapas aa sakta hai aur kal bhi woh aasaani se aik khareed momentum mombatti bana sakte hain, jo is surat-e-haal se kam az kam aik tasveer hai ke GBPUSD wapas aa sakta hai. Agar yeh izafa ka maqsad khud hai to shayad yeh najdeek tareen hai ke wo ahem resistance area jo ke qareeb 1.2700 ke aas paas hai ko tungh sakta hai, jahan agar yeh ahem area dobara tungh sakta hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke GBPUSD mazeed taqatwar bullishness ke saath jaari rahega jahan agla maqsad ahem area tak pohanchne ka hai 1.2680. Magar, shakhsan ab mere liye GBPUSD mein tawajjo ki bari shayad phir se maujood hai, khaaskar pehle se hi oscillator H4 mein dobara overbought halat mein hai, aur ab woh haqiqatan dobara neeche ki taraf ishara karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Abhi, shayad main phir se kisi aur sell mauqa dhoondhne ki koshish karunga jiska ideal maqsad pehle se hi 1.2670 ke ahem area tak pohanchne ka hai jo main peechle haftay mein tungh nahi kar saka, is dauran SL shayad resistance area se 200 points ooper ho. Nonfarm payroll data ka ikhraj market ki volatility ko barhane ka imkan hai. Moajooda halat ke bawajood, GBP/USD ka intezar hai ke 1.2463 support level ki taraf kami hogi. Jab yeh neeche ki taraf ki harkat shuru hoti hai, to umeed hai ke GBP/USD par dabao kam ho jayega. Magar, 1.2463 level se foran palat jaane ka imkan nahi hai, aur ek darmiani phase ki bjaaye shayad ek muddat ki muddat ki muddat hogi. Is mushkil phase se guzarne ke baad, kisi bhi upri momentum ka umeed hai ke nazriya mein musbat hoga magar mushkil qarar aane waale mustaqbil mein mehdood hai. Agar kaamyabi na mili to, 1.2799 resistance level ko nishana banaya jayega, shayad pattern dohraya jayega. Pehle test kiya gaya 1.2601 level haasil nahi hua qareebi keemaat ke amal ki buniyad par naye support levels ke qayam se.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:


Aaj subah main ne dekha ke GBP/USD pair ki movement kafi tezi se barh gayi, kareeban 20 pips, 1.2570 se 1.2590 tak. Currency pair ki is izafay ki wajah UK mein retail sales ke barhne ki khabar thi, jo ke 0.7% tak barh gayi. Ye izafa ab tak 1.2595 tak pohanch chuka hai. Magar, mojooda GBP/USD ki izafa kafi ahem nahi hai, kyun ke US dollar ab bhi mazeed mazbooti se barh raha hai. Iska sabab ye hai ke America mein berozgari dar 212 hazar logon se ghat kar 219 hazar logon tak pohanch gaya hai aur core CPI bhi 3.1% tak barh gaya hai. Isi wajah se, is dopahar 1.2600 ki keemat tak pohanchne ki keemat kafi mushkil hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, keemat ka rawaiya phir se 1.2540 ki keemat tak girne ka imkaan hai, khaaskar jab US dollar mazeed mazboot ho raha hai.


Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke currency pair ki movement aaj bhi bechne ki taraf hai, 1.2540 tak. Ye is liye ke H1 waqt frame par currency pair ki keemat ka rawaiya bearish engulfing candle bana hai, jo ke behtareen bechnay ka signal hai 1.2540 tak aaj. Iske ilawa, jab maine relative strength index 14 indicator dekha, toh pata chala ke pair ki keemat RSI indicator ke level 70 se guzar nahi sakti ya SBR had ko nahi tor sakti hai, is liye aaj ke rawaiye mein kafi gehra niche ka tajurba honay ka imkaan hai, 10-50 pips ke darmiyan. Mere aaj ke pair ke technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya hai ke GBP/USD ko 1.2540 tak bechna hai.