gbp/usd

GBP/USD pair ke hourly chart par, Budh ko US currency ke favor mein palat gaya aur 38.2% (1.2477) tak correction level ke neeche consolidate hua. Lekin is bandish ne bears ko kuch nahi diya, kyun ke aaj pair ne fir se 1.2477 aur 1.2513 ke darmiyan zone mein laut aaya hai. Agar is zone se ek rebound hota hai, toh bohot zyada chance hai ki quote girawat jari rakhega aur 23.6% (1.2321) tak correction level ki taraf jaayega. Agar is zone ke upar band hota hai, toh traders ko ummeed ho sakti hai ki growth 50.0% (1.2603) Fibonacci level ki taraf badhegi.

Wave scenario ab saral aur saaf ho gaya hai. Waves ab bhi kaafi bade hain, jo trading mein takleef laa sakte hain. Lekin trend abhi "bullish" hai aur isey pura karne ke liye 1.2372 par aakhri kamzori ki breakthrough chahiye hogi. Is case mein, pair "bearish" trend mein transition karne ki signs dikhayega, jo ki ek kaafi majbooth uthaan ke baad adhik logic lagta hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, "bullish" trend bana hua hai aur bears apni positions ko mazbooti se sthapit nahi kar pa rahe hain.

US mein Budh ke raat ko, pichhle FOMC meeting ke minutes jaari kiye gaye. Report mein kaha gaya ki regulator aane wale information par adharit faisley karta rahega. FOMC ke sadasyon ki lagbhag sabhi ne sehmati se saaf kiya ki monetary policy ko sirf unsatisfactory inflation dynamics ke case mein hi tight kiya jaana chahiye. Har policymaker ko yeh bhi bharosa nahi hai ki sufficient restrictive policy se inflation ko 2% tak laaya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi FOMC member ne interest rate mein badhane ya ghatane ke liye vote nahi kiya. Is tarah, Fed ne fir se "darwaza khula chhod diya" lekin future ke faislon ke baare mein koi signal nahi diya. US mein October mein inflation kam hui, jo "hawkish" sentiment ko aur bhi kamzor kar sakta hai.

Technical Outlook

Pound ki khareedari karein jab wo 1.2562 (chart par hari line) tak pahunchega aur take profit 1.2604 (chart par mote hari line) par karein. Growth hogi, lekin European session ke dauraan ki tarah tezi nahi hogi.

Khareedne ke samay, yaad rakhein ki MACD line zero ke upar ho ya zero se oonchi ho. Pound ko 1.2524 ke do consecutive price tests ke baad bhi khareed sakte hain, lekin MACD line oversold area mein honi chahiye, kyunki tabhi market 1.2562 aur 1.2604 par reverse hoga.

Bechne ke liye, pound ko 1.2524 (chart par laal line) tak pahunchne par bechein aur take profit 1.2474 par karein. Dabav badhega ek nakamyab consolidation ke baad jo naye daily high ke upar hoga.

Bechne ke samay, yaad rakhein ki MACD line zero ke neeche ho ya zero se neeche aaye. Pound ko 1.2562 ke do consecutive price tests ke baad bhi bech sakte hain, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye, kyunki tabhi market 1.2524 aur 1.2474 par reverse hoga.

Yahan par GBP/USD ke abhi ke dauran ke maamlay pe baat ho rahi hai. Khaas taur par, GBP/USD ki intraday trend ne 1.2557 ke beech ek noticeable upswing dekha hai. Ye tezi 1.2036 se shuru hokar 1.3141 se 1.2036 tak 61.8% tak pahunch kar, ab 1.2716 ke level ki taraf ja rahi hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke 1.2447 ke neeche minor support ka zahir hona, intraday bias mein tabdeeli la sakti hai, aur ek lambi consolidation ki phase shuru ho sakti hai.

1.3141 se jo price action dekha gaya hai, woh 1.0351 se shuru hui upward movement ki corrective pattern ko zahir karta hai. 1.2075 par 38.2% retracement level se strong bounce-back, 1.2036 se ongoing rally ko second phase darust karta hai. Mumkin hai ke 1.3141 par ceiling ban jaaye, jo third phase ka aaghaz kare. Do mumkin scenarios samne aate hain: ek bullish continuation jo GBP/USD ko 1.2544-1.2620 ke resistance zone se guzarne ke taraf le jaaye, ya fir bear-driven correction jo is range ke andar 250-300 points tak ho. Risks ko tasleem karna zaroori hai, jahan selling risky lag rahi hai, wahan breakout points ya established 1.2311 support level par buying opportunities pasand ki ja sakti hain.




Is analysis ko expand karte hue, technical factors aur market sentiment ke intricate interplay ne dikhaya ke GBP/USD ki future trajectory ko predict karna kitna mushkil hai. Traders aur analysts abhi bhi market ke crucial levels aur potential inflection points ke through navigate kar rahe hain. Financial markets ki nuanced nature vigilance ko kehti hai, evolving patterns aur emerging trends par nazar rakhne ki. Jaise hi discussion hoti hai, market participants apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye taiyaar hote hain GBP/USD ke landscape ke changing dynamics ke jawaab mein.

United States mein holiday hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD mein kal significant buying activity thi. Upar ki momentum ne humein 1.2555 - 1.2558 ke liquidity accumulation zone tak pahunchaya. Lekin is zone ke andar jaana aur wahan sustain karna challenging tha, especially consolidation ke dauran. European trading session mein substantial trading volumes ki wajah se bulls ko disadvantage hua. Designated area par bohot se limit sell orders thay, jo indicate karte hain ke yeh positions execute ho sakti hain, aur aaj aur neeche movements contribute kar sakte hain. Mera prevailing inclination hai towards selling, expecting ke GBP/USD pair jo decline kal shuru hui hai, woh continue karega. Is downward movement ka target nearest support level 1.2488 hai, jahan se main dobara market mein buy position lena chah raha hoon.

Current market dynamics mein sailaab daurne ke doran, evolving conditions ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai, taki trading strategies par koi shifts aane par hamein pata chale.

نومبر24 2023 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

یومیہ چارٹ پر قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کے درمیان فرق ایک پچر میں تبدیل ہو گیا ہے، جوڑی کے بڑھنے کے امکانات بڑھ گئے ہیں۔ اس صورت حال میں، پچر کے اوپر ٹوٹنے کا بہت زیادہ امکان ہے۔



آج، جوڑا 1.2524 کی چیلنجنگ سطح سے اوپر کھلا، جو ترقی کے لیے ایک اچھا نقطہ آغاز فراہم کرتا ہے۔ قریب ترین ہدف 1.2645 ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.2524 کی سطح سے اوپر آ گئی ہے، دونوں اشاری خطوط کے اوپر پیشرفت کے ساتھ۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر صفر لائن کے ارد گرد ایک غیر جانبدار صورتحال میں ہے۔ شاید پاؤنڈ یورو زون اور ریاستہائے متحدہ میں کاروباری سرگرمیوں سے متعلق اہم اعداد و شمار کا انتظار کر رہا ہے۔



ایک متبادل منظر نامہ صرف اسی صورت میں ممکن ہو گا جب قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے، 1.2488 کے نشان سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جائے۔ تاہم، اس صورت میں بھی، مضبوط سپورٹ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے 1.2448 پر موجود ہے – 22 نومبر اور 7 ستمبر کی کم ترین سطح۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD, 2023

Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ke jode ne pichle karobari din ko sideways me badhte hue guzara. Ibtedai karobar me, kharidaron ne qimat badhane ki koshish ki lekin nakam rahe. Filhal, Bartanwi pound 1.2533 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. 1-ghante ke chart par maujud takniki isharon ke mitabiq, market ka jazba buniyadi taur par tezi ka hai. Bahar hal, mujhe shak hai keh jodi aaj shayad hi ooper jayegi. Aakhir kar, Americi market Thanksgiving Day par band rahta hai. Lehaza jab tak European session ke dauran qimaton me tez utar-chadhaw na hi, tejarati sargarmi kam rahne ki tawaqqo hai. Meri nazar me, sab se zyada imkani scenario niche ki taraf dobara shuru hone wali movement ki tajwiz karta hai.

GBP/USD
Kharidari walay kal istiqamat dikhaye aur iski wajah se GBP/USD ka daily range band hua aur bullish candle ban gaya. Is candle ne apni upper shadow ke saath local resistance 1.25591 ko dobara test kiya. Is level par ek bandish hai, aur main do mumkin scenarios par nazar rakhta hoon. Pehla scenario hai ke 1.25591 ke upar price consolidation ho, jo aage ki tezi ko signal karega resistance 1.28000 ki taraf. Main umeed karta hoon ke yeh level ke paas ek potential trading setup hoga jo future trading decisions mein madad karega. Shumari mein, northern trajectory ke darmiyan southern pullbacks ki sambhavna ko maante hue, main nazdeeki support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ka irada rakhta hoon taake aage ki upar ki taraf jaari ravaanaai ka pata chale. Dusra scenario yeh samjhta hai ke 1.25591 ko dobara test karke bearish candle ki formation hogi, jo ek corrective southern movement ko lekar aayegi. Yahaan, main 1.23738 ke nazdeeki support ke paas signs ka khayal rakhunga, jahan se bullish signals ko pehchaan karke ek naya uparward movement ki umeed rakhta hoon. Distant southern targets hote hain, lekin main unhe abhi consider nahi kar raha kyunki immediate prospects ki kami hai. Mukhtasar mein, aaj koi dilchasp mauqa nahi hai, isliye main buyers ke agle koshish ka intezaar kar raha hoon takay trading landscape aur potential northward movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake.




Despite the holiday in the USA, kal GBP/USD pair ke buyers kaafi active thay aur iski wajah se hum pehle liquidity accumulation zone 1.2555 - 1.2558 tak pohanch sakte thay, aur phir isay toor diya, lekin is zone ke upar consolidation ke saath, serious masail aagaye hain, jo ke European trading session ke liye kaafi buland volumes ke bawajood bulls ki kamzori nazar aati hai. Lagta hai ke designate zone mein bechne ke liye bohot se limit orders ka cluster hai, aur aaj humein inn positions ko implement karte hue aur decline ke continuation ko dekhne ka zyada moqa hai. Aam tor par, meri priority bechna hai, isliye aaj main umeed karta hoon ke GBP/USD pair kal shuru ki gayi girawat ko jari rakhe aur nazdeeki support level 1.2488 ki taraf girne ka continuation dekhunga, jahan se fir se khareedari ka khayal karoonga.

Amreeki Services Sector Par Tawajjuh

Investor ki dilchaspi ko juma ko Amreeki services sector mein izafa hone ki umeed hai. Amreeki GDP ka zyada tar 70% services sector se hota hai. Agar services sector mein anjaani izafa ho, toh yeh Fed ki May mein karz ki kam honay ki umeedain kam kar sakta hai. Lekin investors ko sub-components ko bhi madde nazar lena hoga. Agar damand se chalne wali keemat ki dabao kam ho, toh yeh hawkish Fed rate path ki zarurat ko kam kar dega. Amreeki consumer prices mein tanav ka mool karan services sector hai. Umeed hai ke US Services PMI November mein 50.6 se 50.4 tak giray ga, yeh economists ke mutabiq.

Technical Analysis



200-day aur 50-day EMA ab bhi GBP/USD ke oopar hain, jo sakht price indications ko tasdeeq karte hain. Agar GBP/USD $1.25500 se guzar jaye, toh bullon ko $1.26 tak ka mauka milega. $1.26 tak phir pahuchne se $1.28013 resistance level saamne aayega. Market risk aur US services ke tajurbe ke mutabiq GBP/USD ke daam PMI figures par depend kar sakte hain. Lekin agar GBP/USD $1.25 ke handle se neeche gir jaye, toh bearon ko $1.24410 support level mil sakta hai.

EMAs ke saath jo EMA 50 consistent positive support de raha hai, GBPUSD pair humare muntazir target par, yaani 1.2590 tak pohanch gaya aur wahan se thora bearish bias dikha raha hai aur lagbhag 1.2525 level par atka hua hai. Is se lagta hai ke aanay wali sessions mein aur bhi positive trades hone ki ummed hai, aur humein yaad dilaya jata hai ke target ko todna price ko 1.2720 tak le jayega, jo ke agla correctional target hai. Iss tarah, agar 1.2460 aur 1.2430 levels ko todkar aur un par qaim rahkar nahi raha, toh bullish trend ka scenario jaari rahega. Aaj ka trading range 1.2460 support aur 1.2610 resistance levels ke darmiyan jaye ga.

GBP/USD ki fundamental analysis mein, doosre pichle quarter ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data mein jo izafa hua hai, wo shayad pehle se madad karega. Lekin karobar ki tashkeel ke data se economic growth mein behtarii ki umeedon ko saath dena chahiye. GBP/USD ne Jumma ke Asian trading session mein 1.2569 ki do mahine ki unchi pehunchi phir 1.2540 par aa gayi. UK ke November S&P Global/CIPSPMI data ne currency pair ki madad ki, jo ke surprising strong tha. Ab tawajjo United States ke S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data par hogi jo Jumma ko anay wala hai.

Thursday ko UK ke S&P Global/CIPS Composite Purchasing Managers' Index ka preliminary value November mein bina tawajjo barha, jo October ki 48.7 ke mukable mein November mein 50.1 pohanch gaya, jo ke expected 48.7 se behtar tha. Isi tarah, group purchasing managers' index pehle ke 44.8 se 46.7 ho gaya, aur services purchasing managers' index pehle ke 49.5 se 50.5 ho gaya. GBP/USD ko tezi mili jab Bank of England (BOE) ne darj zail faiz ko maamool se ziada waqt tak buland rehne ka ishara kiya.

GBP/USD ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, abhi intraday deviation yani tezi mein hai. 1.2036 se upar ki taraf jane ka naya target 61.8% retracement pe hai, jo ke 1.3141 se 1.2036 tak ka retracement hai, aur agli stage 1.2716 hai. Magar nuqsaan mein, 1.2447 ke neechay minor support pehle intraday trend ko badal sakta hai aur shayad ziada waqt tak consolidation ka buniyadi sabab ban sakta hai.

Aam tor par, 1.3141 se jo movement hai wo supportive trend hai jo 1.0351 (2022 ki kamzor se kam point) se chal raha hai. 38.2% immediate return 1.0351 se 1.2075 tak jo hai, wo 1.3141 par continuous rise ko show karta hai jo 1.2036 se leg two hai. Lekin, mazeed return ke bawajood, izafay ko had tak mehdood hona chahiye, 1.3141 tak pohanchne ke liye taa ke model ki third leg ko approach kiya ja sake.

Sab logon ko hello! Main umeed karta hoon aap sab theek hain aur acha kaam kar rahe hain. Aaj maine gold ki fundamental aur technical analysis chuni hai.

Daily chart Technical Outlook

Daily chart par US dollar kamzor ho raha hai, aur GBP/USD pair bhi alag nahi hai. Volumes mein kuch waqt tak tezi ke baad giravat dekhi gayi hai aur woh abhi bhi relatively high price par hain, jo batata hai ke large consumers ke support ke saath aur entries ho sakti hain. Humne pehle crucial resistance level 1.2587 tak pahuncha, phir usko break kiya, yeh bulls ki surge ki wajah se hua hai. Jis rise ki shuruat pichle trading week mein hui thi, woh shayad jald hi jaari rahegi, khaaskar abhi top ki taraf rasta khula hai. Mera primary target purchase karne ka hai, agle trading week mein, main ummeed karta hoon ke GBP/USD pehle thoda giravat dekhegi aur support ko 1.2587 par retest karegi, phir rebound hokar apni upward trajectory ko jari rakhegi, 1.2690 ki taraf nazdeek hoti hue.

H4-Chart Technical Outlook

GBP/USD exchange rate ne Thursday se pehle hi rise shuru kiya, aur ant mein 1.2365 tak pahunch gaya. Lekin rally tez ho gayi aur Tuesday ki high ko update karke 1.2558 tak pohanchi aur phir 1.2571 tak naye high banayi. Change abhi dinon mein dheere se ho raha hai. Exchange rate ne accumulation zone banaya jab wo narrow range mein tha 1.2543–1.2523 ke beech. Thursday ke liye high 1.2571 ke aas paas hone ki umeed hai. Agar trend south ki taraf ja raha hai, to gap 1.2515 ke aas paas band hoga, aur 1.2471 tak aur losses ho sakte hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke GBP/USD pair phir se apne corrective action se bahar niklega aur 1.2471 tak pahunchega. Resistance phase mein, maine pehle orders place kiye the 1.2550 par, lekin pair ne is resistance level ko cross kar diya tha, aur price ko top trend tak pahunchne ke liye aur bhi tezi se badhna tha.

Daily Timeframe Outlook:

British pound currency abhi bhi nazdeek hai. Pehle toh lag raha tha ki yeh dakshin mein girne ka iraada hai, lekin aisa nahi hua. Pound phir se uttar ki taraf muda. Kai analysts ne lambi samay se intezaar kiya aur yeh bashar ki wajah se ki pound girne wala hai, lekin samajh nahi aaya ki log abhi bhi kyun kharid rahe hain. Lekin ab mujhe lagta hai ki traders gir rahe hain. Mumkin maqsad 1.2320 hai, lekin yeh naye haftay mein ho sakta hai. Kal, pound ki growth, service departments ki bhi growth aur manufacturing ki bhi badhi thi. Kuch had tak, pound ne uttar ki disha ko jeet liya hai, lekin abhi bhi pound ke paas hai. Iske alawa, ek trend hai ki jab har wave pichle wave se chota hota hai, toh yeh trend change ka pehla sign hota hai, isliye main dakshin ki taraf intezaar kar raha hoon.

H1 Timeframe Outlook:

Main bahut der tak long tha, aur pound ne US dollar ko violate kiya. Lekin, price roka aur tezi se 1.2553 tak gir gaya, yeh 1 ghante ke mobile devices ke average level ko toda aur 1.2445 tak pahunch gaya. Main maanta hoon ki mobile devices ki girawat abhi shuru hui hai, aur prices aur girne ki sambhaavna hai. Isliye, maine sirf kuch ghanton mein market se nikal liya, aur 1.2559 ke level ko todkar 150 PIP prapt kiya. Abhi iska transaction 1.2609 se upar hai. Is baat ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue, main agle haftay market mein dobara lambi avadhi ke liye dakhil hone ka vichar kar raha hoon. Lekin, main ummid karta hoon ki woh price ko kam karenge 1.2559 ke level ko test karne ke liye, dekhne ke liye ki woh is level ko upar rakhe sakta hai aur support ke roop mein kaam kare, phir use phir se upar le jayenge. Yeh mujhe yeh lagayega ki main lambi avadhi ke liye is level se kam nuksan uthaunga, lagbhag 15-20 points neeche.

salam, sathiyon .
jumaraat ko mamooli fawaid ke baad jummay ko gbp / usd jora 1. 2550 par mustahkam raha. jore ke liye takneeki passion goi se pata chalta hai ke taizi ka jazba haftay ke aakhir tak jari rahay ga. hosla afzaa uk pmi ke adaad o shumaar, jis ne zahir kya ke November ke awail mein niji shobay ki tosee ke ilaqay mein wapsi hui, ne jumaraat ko strlng ko –apne sathiyon ke khilaaf lachak dar rehne mein madad ki. taham, thanx giving par kharab tijarti halaat ne gbp / usd ko taizi ki raftaar haasil karne se rokkk diya. 4 ghantay ke chart par rishta daar taaqat ka asharih jummay ko 50 se oopar aaraam se rakha gaya, jabkay gbp / usd ne 20 muddat ke saada moving average se 1. 2527 par tijarat jari rakhi, jo ke qareeb ki muddat mein taizi ke taasub ki akkaasi karti hai. dopehar mein, s & p globle Amrici manufacturing aur khidmaat ke liye pmi data jari kere ga. un nambaron mein misbet herat Amrici session mein Amrici dollar ko apni position barqarar rakhnay mein madad day sakti hai. black friday par you s band aur stock marketon ke jald band honay ke sath, Amrici data par rad-e-amal mukhtasir waqt ke liye ho sakta hai. mein mazeed taraqqi ki tawaqqa karta hon aur 1. 2572 se oopar ke istehkaam ke baad, rasta 1. 2600 tak khula hai .



gbp / usd 1. 2550 se oopar trade kar raha hai, black friday ke yoropi session mein dobarah ground haasil kar raha hai. is jore ko kamzor Amrici dollar aur mazboot yoke pi am aayi data ki himayat haasil hai. taham, you s trisri ki pedawar aur market ke wasee tar jazbaat mein bahaali us pmi se pehlay gbp / usd ke liye ulta imkaan ko mehdood kar sakti hai. pichlle aik se oopar aur 1. 2530 ki yomiya pivot level se oopar Europi session ka aaghaz taizi ke mood aur 1 / 2 mukammal margin zone 1. 26417-1. 26569 kharidne ke hadaf ki nishandahi karta hai .

H4 time frame outlook
Acha Ramzan Mubarak ho! Haan, aap bilkul sahi keh rahe hain, nazariye mein sab kuch aise lagta hai, lekin amal mein sab kuch ulta ho sakta hai aur yeh sab asal data aur important data par based hai. Americans ne Thursday aur Friday ko aaram kiya, lekin Friday ko bhi dollar aur UK se important economic data aaya. Thursday ko economic data ne British pound ke favor mein aaya aur overall pound ne dollar ko bhi peecha chhoda. Isliye Monday ko, jab Americans nahi aaye the, to GBP/USD currency pairs bhi uttar ki disha mein badh gaye, aur yeh kuch naya tha, theory mein tabdili ho, aur yeh kuch had tak sach bhi ho sakta hai. Abhi toh British Pound ke liye maahol bharpur hai aur GBP/USD price 1.2700 tak pahunch sakti hai, aur kyun nahi? Toh jo aapke chart par hai woh bhi level 6/8 hai (1.2695). Soil toh meri hawaai jahaz ki hissa hai, jo abhi adhoora hai. Bas mazaak kar raha tha! Haan, lagta hai 1.2700 mark ek strong resistance level hai aur sab dekh rahe hain ki kya stock ussey paar kar sakega. Isliye, gadhe ki dum toot sakte hain. Isliye aane wala hafte GBP/USD lake mein trigger-barriers ke hawale se dilchasp ho sakta hai, khaaskar ki November ka mahina khatam hone wala hai. Agar hum last trading week ko dekhein, toh GBP/USD currency pair 1.2455 ke mukaable 1.2599 tak pahuncha. Musalman ne week ko 1.2446 se shuru kiya aur 1.2614 tak pahunche - 168 points, aur yeh bhi kuch khaas nahi hai. Pichhle bade week mein, kya aapne yeh trading tool use ki thi, GBP/USD? Haan, humne Business Week par try kiya tha aur tag par pata chala ki yeh choti si cheez thi aur bas itna hi tha. Hum nahi jaante ki aane wale hafte market mein pound/dollar kaunsi disha mein jayega, lekin humne socha kyunki yeh trading tool bohot smart hai, kyun ki yeh move kar raha hai. Isliye business marketing ke liye koi khaas function nahi hai.

Yahan kuch indicators hain jo dobara nahi draw hotay, lekin kya yeh aapko ultimately trading mein ziada successful banate hain? Dekhiye, yeh toh dobara nahi draw hua, lekin kya signal ultimately sahi tha ya nahi?) Warna, agar kisi indicator ki statistics ke mutabiq, sahi signals ke muqable mein ghalat signals ziada hain toh, phir yeh kisi kaam ka nahi hai jo koi indicator dobara nahi draw hota ho). Woh indicator jo aap keh rahe hain, kya aapne aisi statistics record ki hai? Profitable aur unprofitable signals ka ratio week ke liye aur maslan ek mahine ke liye? Aur is indicator ke maahir ne kya soch kar banaya hai, kya logic hai uske peeche?

GBPUSD pair D1:




Pound buyers ne kal phir ek taqatwar session dekha, haalaanki US mein weekend tha. Dekhte hain ki jab liquidity wapas aayegi toh kya wo price ko aur ooncha le ja sakte hain aane wale hafte mein. Agar hum bands ke zariye situation dekhein, toh price upper band ke nazdeek ja rahi hai; agar aane wale hafte mein price upper band ko clearly touch karti hai, aur phir dono bands outward open hoti hain, toh yeh humein continued growth ke liye strong signal milega. Agar hum fractals ke zariye situation dekhein, toh price ki growth ke liye target August 30 ka nearest upward fractal hai jo 1.27458 par hai. Price ki girawat ki taraf kuch rely karne ke liye, behtar hai ki humein kareeb ke downward fractal ki appearance dekhni chahiye.

AO Indicator ki Tafseeli Taqreer

AO indicator positive zone mein active taur par grow kar raha hai, ek naya maximum form hua hai, abhi tak yeh saaf nahi hai ki pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh suggest karta hai ki price ki increase aur bhi jaari reh sakti hai.

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Aaj main GBPUSD currency pair ka study karunga; kal yeh pair sirf idhar udhar ya sidha chal raha tha; aaj yeh pair ya toh sidha chalega ya trend karega; is baat par hamain wazeh hojana chahiye. Aap neechay GBPUSD TF H1 chart dekh sakte hain:



Aaj ke market ke opening mein GAP nahi hone ke wajah se, analysis pehle din ke jaisa hi hoga. Abhi toh price ab bhi kafi light tareeqay se move kar raha hai. Kal ke din, price 1.2440-1.2430 ke darmiyan mein move kar raha tha jo support one se lekar resistance one ke range mein hai. Lekin H1 TF chart ke hisaab se, price upar ki taraf lag raha hai kyun ke yeh moving average (MA) ke upar hai. Average period lagbhag 50 din ka hai.

Pichli candle ki history mein, price ko 1.2575 ke support level se reject hone ka andaza hai, aur jab price pivot point level 1.2610 ke upar move karta hai, woh trading option banata hai. Agar price is level se upar jaata hai, toh yeh tezi se 1.2620, doosre resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level paar na ho, toh iske baad bhi price ki ummed hai 1.2630 tak chadhne ki. Aaj ka sab se door ka target hai 1.2655, teesra resistance level.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD pair Asia ki session mein 1.2530 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo Thursday ko paaye gaye 1.2569 ke do mahine ke urooj ke baad ek rukh se palat gaya hai. Pair ki haal ki kami ko GfK Consumer Confidence ke November ke liye mazeed kamzori ne jhatak diya, jo 28.0 se 24.0 par gir gaya. Lekin oversold technical indicators ishara dete hain ke pair mein ab taqat ka aane ki ummeed hai. Stochastic oscillator apne 20-oversold region ke qareeb hai aur relative strength index (RSI) ne apne 30-oversold level ko chhua hai. Ye oversold halat ye ishara deti hain ke haal ki kami mein zyada ho sakta hai. Agar pair girne jaari rakhta hai to pehle wo psychological 1.2000 barrier se guzrega.

Mazeed giravat March ke bottom 1.1800 ki taraf ja sakti hai, ya phir October 2022 ke resistance level 1.1644 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Agar buyers control hasil kar lete hain aur pair ko ooncha le jaate hain, to pehla rukawat May ke low 1.2307 ko paar karna hoga. Is level ke upar nikalne se darwaza khul sakta hai December-January resistance zone at 1.2445 ke liye. Aur mazeed izafa ho sakta hai 1.2547 par, jo August mein support ka kaam kiya tha. Haal hi ki oversold conditions ke bawajood, UK ki overall economic nazar mein kamzor hai, jahan ek mandi ka khatra hai. Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey ke taiz raaye, jinhon ne lambay arsay ke liye buland darjat ki zaroorat ko wazeh kiya, economy par aur bhi bojh dal sakti hain.

Conclusion

GBP/USD pair mein lagta hai ke wo neechay ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin oversold conditions ke zahiri isharaat se lagta hai ke ab taqat ka aane ka imkaan hai. Traders ko nazdeek ki mustaqbil mein reversal ka imkaan maqool samajhna chahiye.

GBP/USD D-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Agar hum 1.2610 ke local high ko paar kar ke uss par stabilize ho jaate hain, toh yeh ek acha mauqa hoga kharidari ka. Kal kharidar ne ooper ki taraf momentum shuru kiya aur 1.2610 ke local high ko paar kiya. Abhi tak humein uss par koi qadam jamane ki mumkinat nahi hai, lekin jab hum karain ge, toh yeh ek mukammal waja hogi kharidari ko jari rakhne ke liye. Shayad hum 1.2610 ke area se bahar nikal kar uss par stabilize ho jaayein US session ke doran Monday ko, phir yeh kharidari ke liye acha option ho ga. Iss neechay ki impulse ke baad, tehreer ki taraf barhtay hain jab hum 1.2570 ke area ki taraf neechay ki impulse shuru karte hain. Jab aap ek chhota sa neechay ki push generate karte hain, toh growth uss ke baad jari rahegi. Shayad hum 1.2615 ke area se bahar nikal kar uss par stable ho jaayein, phir yeh kharidari ke liye acha option ho ga. Agar aap 1.2522 ke local low ko paar kar dete hain, toh iss ke baad giraavat jari rehne ki kafi mumkinat hai. Yahaan, tawajjuh 1.2450 ke area ki taraf ho gi. Chhoti si correct ya giravat ke baad, growth jari rahegi. Agar hum 1.2610 ke area se bahar nikal kar uss par stable ho jaate hain, toh yeh pair ko ooper jaane ka acha waja ho ga. US session ke doran hum doosra ooper ki taraf momentum generate karte hain aur 1.2610 ke area se bahar nikal jaate hain, toh yeh kharidari ke liye acha signal ho ga. Professional trading mode resistance zone 1.2620 ke andar hai. Mumkin hai ke yeh 1.2535 ke neeche stable ho jaaye, jo ke bechnay ka acha waja ho ga, lekin yeh meri top priority nahi hai. 1.2522 ke area ke neeche break hona aur wahan se neechay jaari rehna, yeh continued selling ke liye acha signal hoga. Solid change ke baad, growth jari rehne ki kafi mumkinat hai.