Usd/jpy

USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast



USD/JPY ke jo price movement hai wo abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf girti hui nazar aati hai. Iske ilawa, chalti hui price pattern bhi lower low - lower high condition mein hai. Halankeh price ne do Moving Average crossing lines ke death cross signal ke baad upar correction ki, magar wo hamesha pehle ki high prices tak nahi pohnch paayi. Iske baraks, low prices 145.20 ko successfully cross karne ke baad naye low prices 144.47 banaye gaye, aur phir se cross karke akhirkar 143.46 ke aas-paas low prices ban gaye. Agar price EMA 50 ko cross kar ke upar jati hai, to wo top trendline tak ya minor SBR area 145.46 ke aas-paas ja sakti hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya basically ek uptrend momentum dikhata hai kyunki histogram ab level 0 ya positive area ke upar hai. Lekin histogram volume jo bearish trend condition ke beech mein hai, woh downtrend momentum ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 ko cross kar chuke hain, level 50 ko cross karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Kehna yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair price decline rally jaari rahegi, magar price upar bhi move kar sakti hai jab parameters level 50 ke aas-paas cross karenge.

Setup entry position:

Trading options abhi bhi bearish trend ki direction aur lower low - lower high price pattern ke structure ko refer karti hain. Toh re-entry SELL position tab place karein jab price upar correction kar ke minor SBR area 145.46 ke aas-paas ho ya top trendline ke against rejection ka samna kare. Confirmation is baat ka hoga agar Stochastic indicator parameters dobara cross karen after entering the overbought zone at level 90 - 80. Jab AO indicator histogram level 0 ya negative area ke neeche wapas aaye, tab yeh downtrend momentum ko indicate karega jo bearish trend ke direction ke saath milta hai. Take profit ka target low prices 143.46 aur high prices 146.49 ko stop loss location ke tor par set kiya jaye.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi apne din ke opening level 146.20 ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Yeh position indicate karti hai ke pair positive movement experience kar rahi hai aur market mein bullish sentiment hai. Iske ilawa, price daily Pivot level 145.88 ke upar bhi trade kar rahi hai. Pivot level ek technical analysis tool hai jo trading din ke dauran potential support aur resistance levels identify karne ka benchmark provide karta hai. Is level ke upar trade karna aam taur par market sentiment ke positive hone ka sign hota hai, jo buyers ke control mein hone ko suggest karta hai.
Agar broader context dekha jaye, toh primary technical indicators bullish momentum dikha rahe hain. Bullish momentum tab hota hai jab upward trend prevalent hota hai, aur isse prices barhti hain, strong buying activity hoti hai, aur positive market sentiment rehti hai. Is case mein, indicators ongoing uptrend reflect kar rahe hain, jo suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY pair apni ascent continue rakh sakti hai agar current conditions barqarar rahti hain.




USD/JPY pair 72-period Moving Average (MA) trend line ke upar bhi trade kar rahi hai. Moving averages price data ko smooth out karne aur trend ke direction ko identify karne ke liye use hoti hain. 72-period Moving Average ek longer-term indicator hai jo prices ko ek bade number of periods ke liye average karke overall trend establish karne mein madad karta hai. Jab price is moving average ke upar hoti hai, toh yeh aam taur par indicate karta hai ke pair uptrend mein hai, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Moving Average ek potential support level bhi serve karti hai; agar price decline kare, toh yeh trend line pe support mil sakta hai pehle ke rebound hone se pehle.

Volume distribution bhi ek important factor hai. Aam taur par, significant price movements ke sath trading volume mein bhi changes aati hain. Uptrend ke dauran high volume trend ki strength ko reinforce karta hai aur suggest karta hai ke price movements substantial trading activity ke saath supported hain. Is scenario mein, price ke 72-period Moving Average ke upar hone se volume distribution bhi bullish trend ke saath align ho raha hai yeh imply hota hai.

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair ka din ke opening level aur daily Pivot level ke upar hona, bullish indicators aur 72-period Moving Average ke upar position, collectively strong upward momentum ko point out karti hai. Yeh factors suggest karte hain ke pair positive market phase mein hai, aur agar bullish conditions continue rahti hain, toh upward trend bhi persist kar sakti hai. Traders aur analysts in indicators ko monitor karenge taake current trend aur potential future movements ko assess kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY H4 Chart
Technical analysis ke hawale se, yeh clear hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ke trading plan mein sell option ko consider kiya jaye. Technical analysis ke ilawa, aaj ki economic news ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki technical aur fundamental analysis ko samajhkar aaj ki trading activities ko behtar banaya ja sakta hai. Market mein enter karne se pehle, behtar hai ke price correction ke baad nearest resistance level ko test kiya jaye, taake ideal market entry hasil ho sake. Pin bar candlestick patterns aur bearish engulfing candlestick patterns price ke kam hone ko support karne ke liye use kiye ja sakte hain. Resistance level par 146.50 ke price par selling trades shuru karne ka plan hai, aur stop loss ko hum minimum 1:1 set kar sakte hain, aur profit target 200 points rakh sakte hain execution price se, ya market conditions ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ke market conditions clearly bearish hain, isliye sell trade option acha hai, lekin sabse nazdeek support level par special attention deni chahiye. Aur yaad rahe, jo bhi trading technique use karein, humein apne emotions ko control karna aana chahiye aur trading capital ke mutabiq trade karna chahiye.



Technical perspective se, downtrend pattern mid-week ke market movement ko strongly influence kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator, jo ke overbought ya oversold conditions identify karne ke liye popular tool hai, 20 zone ko touch kar chuka hai, jo signal karta hai ke market ab bearish state mein hai. Price subah se lower ho rahi hai, jo downtrend ko further confirm karta hai. Jab bearish momentum barqarar rahega, sellers lower price areas ko target karenge jahan pair apni descent continue karega. Traders jo is trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, unke liye 145.22 zone ek key area hai short positions open karne ke liye. Yeh level broader market trend ke saath align karta hai aur ongoing bearish movement ke direction mein trade karne ke liye strategic entry point provide karta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke trend ke downward course resume karne se pehle ek brief upward correction ho sakti hai. Aisa correction sellers ke liye ek aur behtar entry point provide kar sakta hai jo bearish side of the market join karna chahte hain.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis
Agar price 144.04 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak bhi ja sakti hai. USD/JPY abhi monthly Pivot level 153.84 (pehle 158.88), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo pair ke liye bearish sentiment indicate karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar chali jati hai, to northern correction ho sakti hai; agar 144.04 ke neeche girti hai, to bearish movement kaafi mumkin hai. Sell-off hone ki umeed kam hai. Market ka resistance level ke aas-paas minor fluctuations continue rahne ki bhi umeed hai, aur shayad naye patterns bhi form ho sakte hain.




Nayi trading week ki shuruaat zaroori hai. Market ke responses ko in critical levels par observe karna traders ko current conditions aur potential future trends ko samajhne mein madad karega. Jab tak in key points par definitive reaction nahi aata, market direction unclear rahegi. Isliye, trading decisions lene se pehle in levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. In key levels ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur market ke dusre factors ko bhi consider karna chahiye. Moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jese indicators market strength aur momentum assess karne mein madad karte hain. In indicators ke sath-sath, overall market sentiment aur news events bhi market movements ko influence karte hain. Agar market 147.200 aur 146.300 ke beech range-bound rahti hai, to traders ko in levels par breakouts aur rebounds par close attention deni chahiye. Yeh analysis entry aur exit points identify karne mein aur potential market movements ko predict karne mein madad karega. Summary ke tor par, Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke daily aur weekly charts par 147.200 aur 146.300 ke key levels market conditions samajhne ke liye critical hain. In levels par market ke reactions ko accurately monitor aur analyze karke traders valuable insights hasil kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Price Opportunities
Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj, pair ne thodi si udaan ki, lekin apne target ko nahi pohncha. Chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne 144.19 ke support level ko test kiya aur ab 144.53 par trade kar rahi hai. RSI range ke beech mein upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jabke AO buy signal de raha hai, aur pair kal ke trading range ke neeche position mein hai. Yeh indicators growth potential ko suggest karte hain. Price resistance level 146.04 ko test karegi. Is analysis ke madde nazar, current levels par ehtiyaat se buying karna aur target 145.99 rakhna behtar hoga. 146.44 tak correction ho sakti hai pehle ke decline continue hone se pehle, jo further strengthening ko bhi lead kar sakti hai pehle ke drop resume hone se. Agar upward correction 145.31 tak pohnchti hai, to decline continue rahega.




USD/JPY pair ke 151.99 tak pahunchne ki mere pichle tajziye ka bhi zikar karna zaroori hai, jahan 50 Fibonacci level initial wave of decline ke sath intersect karta hai, uske baad average day par sell-off ki umeed hai jahan targets 139.99 aur 136.99 set hain. Mera outlook waise ka waisa hi hai, aur pair 151.99 tak pohnch sakta hai. Yeh movement Fed ke actions ke sath align karna faida mand ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, aapki theory ko dekhte hue, sab dollar bech rahe hain, aur Fed bhi shayad isi raaste par chale. Toh yeh move Fed announcement ke baad ho sakta hai jab selling pressure barh jaye. Specific roop se, aaj subah hourly chart par, maine USD/JPY pair mein stop-hunting strategy use karke buy consider karne ki salah di thi. Sellers ke liye initial stop-loss levels 146.49 ke aas-paas ho sakte hain, aur mujhe lagta hai yeh soon trigger honge. Upward momentum already ban chuka hai, aur uske baad decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai. 146.49 resistance maujood hai, aur downward movement wahan se continue ho sakti hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Tuesday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni girawat ko barhaya, pichle trading session ke nuqsan ko extend kiya. Lekin, Yen ki girawat BoJ (Bank of Japan) ki hawkish stance aur BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy outlook ke conflicting signals se limited ho sakti hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments jo further interest rate hikes ki possibility ko suggest karte hain, ne Yen ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh stance Fed ke recent indications ke sath contrast karta hai jo potential interest rate cuts ki taraf ishara karte hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Jackson Hole symposium mein policy adjustments ki zaroorat ko acknowledge kiya, lekin rate cuts ke timing aur magnitude ke specific details nahi diye. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly ke imminent rate cut ka endorsement ne Fed ke policy trajectory ke around uncertainty ko aur barhaya hai. Yeh conflicting messaging ne US Dollar ke liye ek headwind create kiya hai, jo USD/JPY exchange rate par downward pressure daal raha hai.



Technically, USD/JPY pair abhi downtrend line ko test kar raha hai, jo downside bias ke kam hone ka potential suggest karta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI abhi bhi 30 level ke thoda upar hai, jo indicate karta hai ke downtrend abhi bhi active hai. Agar USD/JPY pair downtrend line ko break kar deti hai, to yeh seven-month low 141.69 ke aas-paas support dekh sakta hai. Upside par, immediate resistance ko nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 145.67 ke aas-paas overcome karna return resistance zone ke 154.50 ke paas move ke liye raasta khol sakta hai. Doosri taraf, immediate support 145.15 ke neeche breakdown hone se further declines ho sakti hain, jahan potential targets seven-month low 141.60 aur December 28 low 140.20 ho sakte hain. Conclusion ke tor par, USD/JPY pair central banks ke conflicting signals ki wajah se uncertainty face kar rahi hai. Jab ke Yen ko BoJ ki hawkish stance se support mila hai, Fed rate cuts ka potential aur overall economic outlook pair ke direction ko influence karte hain.

USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ke European session ke shuruati hisson mein halka sa uptrend dikhaya, 143.00 ke aas paas trade karte hue. Lekin, strong bullish conviction ki kami ne suggest kiya ke traders crucial US inflation data ke release se pehle significant positions lene mein hesitant the. Japanese Yen (JPY) Japan ke second-quarter GDP ke downward revisions ke wajah se pressure mein raha, jabke US Dollar (USD) ne modest gains dikhaye. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ke divergence ne investors ko aggressive bullish bets lene se roka, jo USD/JPY ke upside ko limit karta hai.

Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair short-term downtrend mein lagti hai, jaise ke descending channel ke andar iski recent decline se indicated hota hai. Daily chart par deeply negative readings of oscillators is negative outlook ko support karti hain, jo suggest karti hain ke kisi bhi potential gains ko limit kiya ja sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ke upar rise karti hai, to yeh short-covering rally ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo potentially 144.55 area tak move kar sakti hai. Lekin, significant upward momentum tab tak unlikely hai jab tak pair 145.60 resistance level ko break karke 145.00 psychological mark ko reclaim nahi karti.

Niche ki taraf, 143.20 area ko foran support provide karne ki ummeed thi, uske baad 143.00 barrier aur Asian session ke lows jo ke 142.85 ke aas paas hain. Agar USD/JPY in support levels ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further decline ka signal de sakta hai, jo potentially 142.00 round figure aur 7-month lows ke around 141.70-141.65 tak target kar sakta hai.

Overall, USD/JPY pair ek complex economic factors aur technical indicators ke interplay ka samna kar rahi thi. Japanese GDP ke downward revisions ne US dollar ko support diya, lekin monetary policies ke divergence aur technical analysis ne further gains ke liye cautious outlook suggest kiya. Traders ko economic developments aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga taake pair ke potential direction ko assess kiya ja sake.

European Union/Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) Currency Pair Update

EUR/JPY currency pair ne hal hi mein ek rebound dekha hai, jo ke Wednesday ko Asian trading session ke doran teen din ki girawat ke baad hua. Yeh uthaav zyada tar Japanese yen ke kamzor hone ki wajah se hai, jo ke Japan ke naye trade balance data se mutasir hua hai.

Japan ke merchandise trade balance ka July ka data 621.84 billion yen ka deficit dikhata hai, jo ke June mein recorded surplus se ulta hai. Halankeh yeh deficit market ki umeed se kam severe tha, lekin yeh saal ka paanchwa deficit hai. Imports aur exports ke beech ka imbalance, jahan imports zyada hain, yen ke girne ka sabab bana hai.

Yen ki girawat ke bawajood, yeh lagta hai ke yeh girawat ikhtiyaar mein nahin rahegi, kyunke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke ek aur interest rate hike ki umeed barh rahi hai. Recent Reuters poll ke mutabiq, economists ka zyada tar hisaab hai ke saal ke akhir tak rate increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai. BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda Friday ko parliament ke samne rate hike decision ke baare mein guftagu ke liye pesh honge.

Eurozone mein, market participants ECB se interest rates mein dheere dheere kami ki umeed rakhte hain. Lekin, ECB officials specific timeline commit karne mein ehtiyaat barat rahe hain, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Eurozone ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) ka July ka data monthly basis par kisi tabdeeli ke bina tha, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq hai.

Recent EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

The recent downward movement on the daily chart appears to align with the third wave of a broader correction. If this pattern holds true, the decline might not be over yet, suggesting further drops could be on the horizon. However, if this is part of a larger correction, a reversal could be imminent.

Currently, the price is still falling. It may be wise to wait for a pullback before considering additional sales, particularly around the 140.348 level. This forecast will serve as our primary outlook to determine if sellers can establish control.

The current signal is bearish, with the Forex neural network indicating a continued downward move. If the bears push below the local support range, we could see a clearer downward trajectory, reinforcing the sell forecast. However, if the sellers fail to maintain their momentum, the bulls might take over.

It's crucial to stay vigilant for potential false breakouts and be prepared for shifts in market dynamics.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia karenge. Pair ke chart se ek upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga.
Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai. Iske ilawa, Japan bhi Friday ko aham industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte bearish movement hogi. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko target karein, jab ke potential buys 146.39 resistance level par aim kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte ek predominant bearish trend hoga, jo mere rough trading plan ka buniyadi point hoga

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia karenge. Pair ke chart se ek upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga. Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai. Iske ilawa, Japan bhi Friday ko aham industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte bearish movement hogi. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko target karein, jab ke potential buys 146.39 resistance level par aim kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte ek predominant bearish trend hoga, jo mere rough trading plan ka buniyadi point hoga

Good Morning Invest Social Members! Have a Good Day

USD/JPY 142 level ke aas-paas struggle kar raha hai Japan ke kamzor economic data ke baad. GDP aur inflation data ke downward trend se BoJ (Bank of Japan) ke further rate hikes par shak hai. Key US CPI data se pehle, 138 tak potential drop ko dekhen.

Agar aap mahine mein $9 se kam kharch karna chahte hain, InvestingPro ka Fair Value tool aapko madad karta hai yeh jaanne mein ke kaunse stocks ko hold karna hai aur kaunse ko dump karna hai, bas ek button click par. July ke shuru se, USD/JPY currency pair ek broader downtrend mein hai, halankeh ek recent modest rally dekhi gayi hai.

Haal hi mein humne 142 ke key support level ke upar demand zone ke aas-paas slowdown dekha. Yeh shift do key factors se aaya hai: Bank of Japan ki recent interest rate hike aur Federal Reserve ke expected rate cut, jo ke US dollar ko kuch had tak kamzor kar raha hai. Iske bawajood, Japan ke recent GDP data se yeh sawal uthta hai ke Bank of Japan apni tightening policy ko continue karega ya kamzor data ke wajah se rukega, jo ke household spending, inflation aur economic growth par hai.

Economists yeh expect karte hain ke BoJ is saal rate hike karega. Japan ke recent data ne shak uttha diya hai ke Bank of Japan rate ko barhata rahega ya nahi. Halankeh GDP data forecasts se thoda kam aya, economists phir bhi December meeting mein rate hike ki ummeed rakhte hain. 2025 ke liye dekhte hue, key macroeconomic indicators jaise ke inflation aur consumer spending ahm role play karenge. Recent inflation data, GDP data ki tarah, weaker than expected thi, aur broader downward trend ko continue karti hai.

USD-JPY Pair ka Forecast

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj raat USDJPY currency pair ka movement phir se girne ka rujhan rakhta hai aur price 139.59 tak ja sakta hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY pair ne ek bearish candle engulfing banayi hai, jo ke SELL ka bohot strong signal hai aur yeh 139.59 tak jaane ka imkaan hai. Lekin humein yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhna hoga ke is waqt USDJPY mein ek upward correction bhi ho sakta hai, kyun ke meri RSI 14 indicator ki monitoring se yeh lag raha hai ke price overbought zone se nikal raha hai.

Monday ke trading session ke dauran, American session tak koi bara movement nahi dekha gaya, lekin price dheere dheere girta raha. Monday ko price apne daily open 140.81 se neeche gaya aur sabse qareebi support 140.21 tak pohancha. Is area mein ek breakout dekha gaya aur price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki, umeed thi ke price 139.19 tak jayega, lekin 139.59 ka ek push aya jo price ko wapas positive banane laga, aur abhi yeh price 140.21 ke aas paas hai. EMA 200 H1 price movement se kaafi upar hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke trend abhi tak downtrend mein hai, jab ke EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne bhi bearish trend ko confirm kiya hai. Abhi ke liye plan wait and see ka hai, sahi momentum ka intezar hai market mein entry karne ke liye.




USDJPY ka price 139.80 par oversold ho chuka hai, yaani ke is level par bohot zyada selling ho gayi hai, isliye bohot zyada chance hai ke aaj raat USDJPY mein ek upward correction hoga aur price 140.50 tak jayega. BUY USDJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support ho raha hai, kyun ke jab USDJPY ka price 139.80 par tha, to yeh RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) area mein tha. Isliye bohot imkaan hai ke USDJPY 10-60 pips ka correction kare upar ki taraf. Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj raat main USDJPY ko BUY karne ka faisla kiya hai aur mera target price 140.50 hai.

USD-JPY Pair Analysis

USDJPY ka daam aise lagta hai ke upar ki taraf sudharane ki koshish kar raha hai, jo pichle haftay 139.57 ke low price tak gir gaya tha. Agar upward price correction EMA 50 ya FR 38.2 - 140.90 ke upar reh sakti hai, to iska matlab hai ke daam FR 50 - 141.31 ya FR 61.8 - 141.72 tak retracement complete kar sakta hai. Lekin, is waqt ke correction phase ke dauran, daam sirf lower high pattern bana raha hai. Isliye, price movement ka projection abhi bhi neeche ki taraf jari rehne ka zyada mumkin hai. Iske ilawa, bearish trend ka direction strong hai aur high price 143.05 tak pahunchna mushkil hai jo abhi ke daam range 140.71 se door hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka nazariya upar ki trend momentum dikhane mein itna valid nahi lagta. Positive area ya level 0 ke upar histogram volume zyada wide nahi hai. Yeh ek aur possibility de raha hai ke histogram wapas negative area mein chala jaye jo bearish trend ke direction ko adjust kare. Stochastic indicator parameters jo level 50 ko paar kar chuke hain aur oversold zone ke level 20 - 10 ki taraf ja rahe hain, USDJPY pair price ke girne ko support kar rahe hain. Uskay ilawa, aaj ke US Retail Sales m/m ke -0.2% girne ka prediction hai jo US Dollar currency ke outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai.



Entry Position Setup:

Trading option yeh hai ke bearish trend ke direction ko follow kiya jaye jo abhi bhi bohot strong lag raha hai. SELL entry position FR 50 - 141.31 se lekar FR 61.8 - 141.72 ke beech mein rakhein. Confirmation ke liye, jab Stochastic indicator parameters level 50 ke aas paas cross karen aur AO indicator histogram wapas level 0 ya negative area ke neeche chale jaye, tab downtrend momentum ko indicate karega. Profit target low price 139.57 ko rakhna chahiye aur stop loss FR 78.6 - 142.30 ke aas paas rakhein jo abhi SMA 200 ke saath confluent hai.

Tuesday subah trading ke doran, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein halka sa recovery dekha, jahan yeh pair ¥140 ke aspaas barqarar raha. Agar market ¥142 ke barrier ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to isme aage aur bhi faida honay ki potential hai. Lekin, agle din, Wednesday ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke interest rate decision se market mein significant volatility ki umeed hai. Traders is faislay ko bade dhyan se dekh rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve policy ke mustaqbil ke rukh par guidance dene wale news conference ke sath aayega.

Friday ko Bank of Japan ke announcement ne bhi uncertainty mein izafa kiya hai. Iska matlab hai ke aane wale dinon mein market mein zyada volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai jab traders central banks ke actions aur statements ko analyze karenge. Phir bhi, iske bawajood buying opportunities ab bhi mojood hain, khaaskar jab ke pair ek key uptrend line ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar dollar ¥140 ke level ke upar barqarar rehta hai, to yeh zyada buyers ko attract kar sakta hai jo upside breakout ki talash mein hain.

Dusri taraf, agar dollar-yen pair din ke end tak ¥139 ke level ke neeche chala jata hai, to yeh ek bade collapse ki nishani ho sakti hai aur price ko ¥135 ke area tak neeche le ja sakti hai. Is pair ki movement ka zyada tar tajziya global risk appetite aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki policy decisions par depend karega. Jab ke Federal Reserve ke paas rates ko adjust karne ki kuch space hai, Bank of Japan apne massive debt load ki wajah se tightening mein kami ka saamna kar raha hai. Isliye, market ek bade inflection point ke qareeb hai jahan agle kuch din pair ki long-term direction ko determine karne mein crucial honge.

Market ke is volatile environment mein, traders ko chahiye ke wo apne trading plans aur risk management strategies ko barqarar rakhein. Yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke jab central banks major policy changes announce karte hain, tab market ka reaction kaafi unpredictable ho sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ki meeting aur Bank of Japan ke announcements ke asar se, traders ko chahiye ke wo apni positions ko adjust karte rahein aur market ke trend ko dhyan se observe karein. Agar dollar yen ke muqablay mein stability dikhata hai aur ¥140 ke upar barqarar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend ko signal kar sakta hai aur aage ke gains ki umeed ko barha sakta hai.

Lekin agar market global risk sentiment ya kisi bhi central bank ke unexpected actions ke wajah se downward pressure face karta hai, to traders ko ready rehna chahiye ke wo apne positions ko quickly adjust kar saken. Yeh zaroori hai ke traders apne stop-loss levels ko tight rakhein aur market ki volatility se bachne ke liye apne risk management ko behtar banayein.

Aaj ke din market ka mood aur trading ki strategies majorly depend karengi central bank announcements aur global economic factors par. Isliye, aaj aur kal ke trading sessions ke dauran zaroori hai ke aap apne analysis ko update karte rahein aur kisi bhi unexpected market movement ke liye tayar rahain.

In short, US dollar aur Japanese yen ke pair ka future direction majorly central bank policies aur global risk appetite par depend karega. Agar market ke current levels ke upar momentum barqarar rehta hai, to traders ko upside potential ke liye ready rehna chahiye. Lekin agar market ko downward pressure ka samna hota hai, to trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis
USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis
Introduction
USD/JPY ka currency pair foreign exchange market mein kaafi zyada liquidity wala hai. Is pair ki trading dono currencies ki economies par depend karti hai, yani American dollar (USD) aur Japanese yen (JPY). Iss waqt, market mein global economic factors aur central bank policies ka USD/JPY ki movement par bara asar hai. Is analysis mein hum is pair ka short-term aur long-term technical perspective discuss karain gay.

Support aur Resistance Levels
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, support aur resistance levels bohat important hotay hain. Abhi ke liye, USD/JPY ka support level 147.00 par hai. Agar price iss level ke neeche break karti hai, to agla support 146.00 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 148.50 aur 149.00 ke qareeb hai. Agar price yeh resistance cross karti hai, to market 150.00 ko target kar sakti hai.

Moving Averages Analysis
Moving averages ka use karte hue, hum long-term aur short-term trend ka pata laga sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, 50-day simple moving average (SMA) price ke neeche chal raha hai, jo bullish trend ka indication hai. Saath hi, 200-day moving average bhi price ke neeche hai, jo ke long-term bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai. Agar price moving averages se neeche jaati hai, to market mein downside pressure barh sakta hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI ka indicator use karke market ki strength ya weakness ko measure kiya jaata hai. Abhi USD/JPY ka RSI 70 ke aas-paas chal raha hai, jo overbought condition ka signal de raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke market mein shayad short-term mein correction dekhne ko mile, yaani price neeche aasakti hai.

Fibonacci Retracement
Fibonacci retracement levels se hum potential reversal points ka andaza laga sakte hain. Current price action ke mutabiq, 38.2% retracement level 147.50 par hai, jo ek strong support bana sakta hai. Agar price wahan se reverse karti hai, to next upside target 149.00 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.

Conclusion
USD/JPY pair ka overall trend bullish lag raha hai, lekin overbought conditions aur key resistance levels par price thori time ke liye consolidate kar sakti hai. Short-term mein correction ka imkaan hai, lekin long-term mein agar support levels hold karte hain, to market fir se upward momentum mein aa sakti hai. Traders ko economic data aur Bank of Japan ki monetary policy statements ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke inka USD/JPY par bara asar ho sakta hai.