Usd/jpy

USD/JPY H4 Chart

Yeh USD/JPY ka aaj ka technical analysis hai. Trend lines, indicators, aur resistance aur support levels ko istemal karke, hum aaj H4 timeline par dekhain ge ke market kis direction mein move karegi. Iss waqt market mein ek uptrend hai; resistance 148.60 par break ho chuki hai aur market upar ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iss chart par trend line ko dekh kar lagta hai ke market is trend line ka response de rahi hai bajaye ke resistance ko todne ke. Market ki history ke mutabiq, yeh trend line se upar move karti hai. Yeh trend line ko respect karegi aur future mein bhi upar jaye gi. Market ne system level se breakout kiya, aap se upar neeche gayi, resistance ko support mein tabdeel kiya, aur phir se upar gayi. Iss waqt, 50-day simple moving average market ke 147.50 ke neeche hai, jo ke lagbhag hamara support level hai. Aap dekh sakte hain ke hamara 150-day simple moving average market se neeche hai, aur hamara initial support 146.30 par hai. Hamara Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 aur 75 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke 80 par hai. Humein yeh zaroor maloom hai ke market ki decline ho rahi hai aur hamare paas sahi indicators hain jo isse support karte hain. Jese hi market trend line ko touch karegi, yeh wapas upar jayegi. Prices trend line resistance se upar nahi jayengi; agar yeh trend line resistance ko tod deti hain, toh yeh support line ki taraf move karengi.



USDJPY currency pair ka daily chart se analysis dikhata hai ke current seller pressure ek important demand area, 141.798 level par, phansa hua lagta hai. Yeh area price movements ke liye ek potential turning point nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers may be zyada der tak apni strength ko barkarar nahi rakh paenge, kam az kam interim period mein. Yeh cheez yeh speculation barhati hai ke ek upward correction ho sakti hai, kyun ke prices is area se bounce hoti hui dikh rahi hain aur aakhri kuch sessions mein kaafi significant upward movements dikhayi de rahi hain. Technically, demand area 141.798 se bounce hone ke baad, higher correction ka potential aur bhi strong hota ja raha hai. Yeh correction possibly ek higher area tak ho sakti hai jo ke 152.819 level hai, jisse ek potential supply area mana ja sakta hai. Yeh area woh jagah ho sakti hai jahan sellers dobara market mein entry karke prices ko phir se neeche dhakelne ki koshish karenge. Lekin, jab tak price is area tak nahi pohonchti, short-term trend upar ki taraf rehne ka imkaan hai, given ke corrective impulse is waqt ho raha hai. Is mauke ka faida uthane ke liye, traders daily timeframe par buy momentum ko dhoondh sakte hain, ongoing correction ka faida uthate hue. Yeh bullish momentum ek mauka ban sakta hai long position lene ka price bounce ke retracement se demand area mein. Agar buying pressure barhta hai, toh price kuch minor resistance levels ko tod kar 152.819 ki supply area tak ja sakti hai. Lekin, yeh yad rakhna zaroori hai ke bhale hi yeh upside potential mazboot lagta hai, supply area ek strong resistance area ban sakta hai aur price wahan se wapas neeche aane ka imkaan bhi hai.

USD/JPY ka jo jora hai wo 145.72 tak kamzor ho gaya hai, jo ke do hafton ka sab se kam hai, aur sirf kamzor US dollar ke muqable mein majbooti dekhi gayi hai.

Ye girawat zyada tar US central bank ke amal se mutaliq bazar ki umeedon ki wajah se hai. Fed ke aakhri meeting ke minutes jo recently release huye, unse ye pata chala hai ke monetary policymakers ka ek consensus hai ke interest rate kam honay wale hain.

Kuch members foran amal ka keh rahe hain, jo ke is baat ka izhaar hai ke monetary policy ko foran asaan kiya jayega. Is umeed ki wajah se USD par niche ki taraf dabao hai.

Ek aur focus Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke Friday ko Jackson Hole Symposium mein hone wale taqreer par hai. Financial community unke comments ka intezar kar rahi hai, jo ke Fed ke policy ke raaste ke baare mein saaf ishara de sakte hain saal ke akhir tak.

Japan mein, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ki parliament mein taqreer bhi ek highlight hai, jahan wo recent interest rate hikes ke asraat par guftagu karne wale hain. Iske ilawa, Friday ko Japan ke inflation data bhi ahm hain jo domestic economic environment ka tajziya karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain aur BoJ ke future policy decisions ko bhi asar andaz kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY filhal 146.15 ke aas paas consolidation pattern dikhata hai. Niche ki taraf break out hone ki umeed hai, jiska target 142.88 hai, jo ke ek key correction level hai.




Correction ke baad, bazar ek naye growth phase ki shuruat kar sakta hai jo 150.55 tak pohnchne ki koshish karega, aur agar upar ke limit ko todti hai to ye 156.00 tak bhi ja sakti hai. MACD indicator ek long-term bullish outlook ko support karta hai, signal line zero ke neeche hai lekin upar ki taraf trend dekhne ko mil raha hai.

USD/JPY Price Overlook

Yeh guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki zinda qeemat ko samajhne ke liye hai. USD/JPY pair ek girti hui channel mein trade kar raha hai, jiski wajah se yeh neeche ki taraf trend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Yeh pair EMA 50 se wapas upar aaya hai aur ab 145.35 ke critical support level ko target kar raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi successfully test ho chuka hai, jo ke 143.99 aur 142.14 ke targets ki taraf mazeed girawat ka ishara deta hai. Tajweez yeh hai ke yeh pair bechne par tawajjoh di jaye, aur stop-loss ko 146.59 ki resistance ke upar set kiya jaye.

USD/JPY ne kal ke low ko chhunne ke baad ek correction phase mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Market ab aaj Fed ki ahm khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas tor par minutes ki release aur labor market data ki revision. Yeh akhri naya data zyada asar andaaz ho sakta hai, khas tor par agar data mein koi bara tabdeel aaye. Yeh imkaan hai ke is se September mein Fed ke 50-point rate cut ke hawale se spekulasion barh sake, jiski wajah se dollar kamzor ho sakta hai.

Yen ki qeemat 149.20 ke level ko chhu kar wapas niche gir gayi hai is level ko retest karne ke baad. Is bullish movement ne 139.90 ke support level ko cross karne ka signal diya tha. Japanese yen ne guzishta trading week mein apna upward correction jari rakha aur naye local highs tak pahunchne mein kaamyab raha. Qeemat 149.19 par ruk gayi thi, jahan isne resistance ka saamna kiya, aur phir wapas gir gayi aur signal zone ke neeche height khona shuru kar di. Is tarah, expected downside scenario abhi tak poori tarah se materialize nahi hua hai aur jari hai. Issi dauran, price chart supertrend red zone ki taraf wapas aaya hai, jo ke seller activity mein izafa ki nishandahi karta hai.




USD/JPY pair ne Wall Street par trading ke aaghaz se girawat shuru ki, jo ke US Treasury yields ke sath seedha ta'aluq rakhti hai, jo ke kamzor dollar ki wajah se gir gayi thi. Yeh pair pehle ke din ke 147.53 par close hone ke baad 146.58 tak gir gaya. Din ka high 148.05 tha aur low 145.18. US Treasury yields ne Monday ko girawat dikhai, jo ke dollar ke khilaf nuqsan ko reflect karti hai.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Is currency pair ke senior weekly chart par dekha jaye toh yeh wazeh hai ke pichle kuch hafton mein price ne tez girawat dikhai hai. Yeh girawat ziada tar technical indicators ki wajah se hai, khaas tor par bearish divergence jo ke MACD indicator par dekha gaya. CCI indicator ne bhi bearish divergence ka signal diya, lekin chhoti scale par. Iss ke saath saath, kuch bunyadi factors bhi hain jo is girawat mein contribute karte hain. Bank of Japan, jo apni currency ki mustaqil kamzori se pareshan tha, ne dekha ke market mein billion dollars inject karne se kuch khas asar nahi hua, isliye majbooran usne interest rates mein izafa kiya. Is qadam ne ek badi girawat ke aaghaz ko trigger kiya. Is downturn ke dauran, 151.91 level ko muntaqil kiya gaya, iske baad ascending trend line ka breakdown hua. Qeemat takreeban 140.26 ke support level tak pohanch gayi thi lekin wahan pohanchne se pehle hi ruki gayi. Ek correction hui, aur price ne niche se tootay hue ascending line ko chhua, jo ke mazeed neeche ki taraf movement ka ishara deta hai.




Umeed hai ke aap hamesha khush mizaj rahte hain. Aaj subha maine USD/JPY market mein price movements ka jaiza liya. Abhi tak mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY market mein price movements achi downward trend mein hain. Kal se main theek waqt ka intezar kar raha tha ke sell position mein dakhil hoon, aur kal raat ko USD/JPY ke price mein takreeban 100 pips ka spike aaya bohot tezi ke sath. Is izafay ke baad maine foran sell position kholi kyun ke mujhe lag raha tha ke price apne qareebi resistance area ke kareeb hai, aur khuda ka shukar hai ke aaj subha tak price thori thori kam hoti rahi. Yoon toh ek kafi bari tezi dekhi gayi, lekin overall lagta hai ke USD/JPY market trend abhi bhi downward trend mein hai. Isi liye main tajweez karta hoon ke sell entry ke mauqay talash karte rahein. Daily timeframe se monitor kiya jaye toh lagta hai ke kaafi bearish candlesticks bani hain jin ke kafi lambi bodies hain, jo yeh zahir karti hain ke seller sentiment ne market ko khoob dominate kiya hai, aur yeh mazeed niche ki taraf support level ki taraf girne ja raha hai, jo ke 140.234 ke aas paas hai. Isliye woh dosto ke jo already USD/JPY market mein sell position rakhte hain, main tajweez karta hoon ke usko hold karein taake maximum munafa hasil ho sake.

Overview of Recent Movement

Pichlay budh ke din trading session mein qeemat mein kafi girawat dekhi gayi. Qeemat ki harkaatein choti timeframes par barabar monitor ki ja rahi hain, aur filhal yeh 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) se upar hain, jo thodi si upward correction ko zahir kar raha hai. Aaj, qeemat ke 154.00 - 155.23 ke range ke aas paas consolidate karne ki umeed hai, kyun ke aise halat aam tor par Tuesdays ko hotay hain jab market ki activity mansoobay ki tanazur mein kuch sukoon mein hoti hai.

Market Trend Conditions

H1 timeframe ko dekhain toh yeh wazeh hota hai ke market is waqt ek downward phase mein hai, halaan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss haftay ke liye trend kuch bearish nazar aa raha hai, khaas tor par unke baad jo USD/JPY pair ke upward movement ko dekha gaya jab July 2024 mein trading sessions ka aaghaz hua tha. Agar market is haftay kuch khas levels se upar nahi rehti, toh yeh aglay support levels ki taraf ja sakti hai, jo mumkin tor par 168.00 ya us se bhi niche ho sakte hain.

Support and Resistance Levels

Agar support barqarar rahta hai, toh ek rebound ki tawakku ki ja sakti hai, jo pair ko pehle ke highs, yani 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas, test karne ka moka de sakti hai. Daily (D1) moving average line trend indicator ke tor par kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line se upar rehti hai, toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka ishara hai. Lekin agar moving average ke niche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko zahir kar sakti hai.

Economic Influences on Trading Activity

USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ke aik pecheeda taluq ko zahir karti hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 ke support level ka current test pair ke liye aik ahem mor hai. Traders ko chahiye ke is level ke aas paas pair ke rawaiye par ghor se nazar rakhein, kyun ke yeh aane wali qeemat ki harkaatein ke baare mein mazeed ahm insights de sakta hai.




Conclusion and Strategy

USD/JPY pair ki market dynamics mein navigate karte waqt ehtiyat aur maloomat par mabni approach ikhtiyar karna zaroori hai. Dono technical aur fundamental analysis ko shamil karna ahm hoga taake behtar trading decisions liye ja saken.

USD/JPY Price Insights

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time qeemat ke tajziye par tawajjoh de rahe hain. Mein abhi ke USD/JPY currency pair ki haalat ka tajziya karunga, jo ke is waqt 146.149 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh bechnay ke liye ek achha waqt lag raha hai, bazaar ke mojooda qeemat par. Din ke aaghaz se jo faasla hai, woh yeh zahir karta hai ke buying momentum nazdeek hai, jo ke sellers ke liye munasib surat-e-haal paida kar raha hai. Agar hum 146.149 par market mein dakhil hote hain, toh stop loss takreeban 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal profit target 145.192 ke mazboot support level ke kareeb hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions ko close karna samajhdari hogi, kyun ke iske baad ek corrective rebound ho sakta hai jo ke upar ki taraf hoga. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki niche wali had ko chhoo sakta hai, jis se price apni correction jari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upar ke point ke kareeb zone tak pohanch jaye, jo ke 147.322 hai. Yahan se hum ek downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi tak ghair yaqini hai.




Market mein kafi activity ho rahi hai, is liye maine H4 time frame par shift kar liya hai, jahan maine is range ko ek rectangle se highlight kiya hai. Asian session ke dauran, price thodi dair ke liye 144.91 ke aas paas gir gayi thi, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke trading instrument U.S. Federal Reserve ke minutes release se pehle ek holding pattern mein hai. Yeh event substantial medium-term movement ko trigger kar sakta hai. Filhal, Japan ki taraf se kuch khaas nayi cheez samne nahi aa rahi, khas tor par aise events jo aam tor par market par zyada asar andaz hote hain. Price dobara U.S. dollar ki mukhalifat kar rahi hai. Agar hum Fibonacci retracement levels ka tajziya karein, toh humne 100% level ko tod diya hai aur 138.2% ko chhua hai, lekin 161.7% abhi bhi chhua nahi gaya hai aur standby mode mein hai. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke qeemat ne apni girawat ke dauran projected reversal zone ko pehle hi chhu liya hai, ek baar rebound kiya hai, aur ab doosri baar rebound bana rahi hai.

Analysis of Trades and Tips on USD/JPY

145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator ne zero mark se neeche ki taraf move karna shuru kiya, jiski wajah se selling ke liye scenario No. 1 execute hua. Iske nateeje mein, pair 50 pips se zyada gir gaya. Tawakku ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke minutes ke release ke baad dollar par pressure mein izafa hua, jisne pair ko haftay ke lowest point tak pahunchane mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda kamzor hua weak manufacturing activity ki khabar ke baad, lekin Japan ke services sector ke nisbatan mazboot growth ne isko balance kar diya. Is wajah se composite PMI mein bhi halka sa izafa dekhne ko mila. US dollar ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch kal Jerome Powell ke speech par depend karta hai, is liye mojooda levels par short positions mein ehtiyat karein. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein buy signals par zyada tawajjoh dunga.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1: Aaj mera plan hai ke mein USD/JPY ko tab buy karoon jab yeh entry point 145.56 ke aas paas pohanch jaye, jo chart par hari line se mark hai, aur iska maqsad 146.13 tak ki taraf barhna hai, jo ke chart par mooti hari line se mark hai. 146.13 ke area mein, mein long positions se exit karunga aur uske baraks short positions kholunga, aur tawakku karta hoon ke level se 30-35 pips ke opposite direction mein movement hogi. Hum tawakku kar sakte hain ke pair aaj upward correction ke hisson ke tor par barhega. Ahem baat: Buy karne se pehle yeh yakin kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se barhna shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Mera yeh bhi plan hai ke mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab buy karoon jab 145.06 ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse upturn laayega. Hum 145.56 aur 146.13 ke mukhalif levels tak growth ki tawakku kar sakte hain.

Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1: Mera aaj ka plan hai ke mein USD/JPY ko sirf tab sell karoon jab yeh 145.06 ke level ko test kare, jo chart par surkh line se mark hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ka key target 144.50 ka level hoga, jahan mein short positions se exit karunga aur foran uske baraks long positions kholunga, aur is level se 20-25 pips ke opposite direction mein movement ki tawakku karunga. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunke dollar ke liye bearish market abhi khatam nahi hui. Ahem baat: Sell karne se pehle yeh yakin kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur wahan se girna shuru kar raha hai.




Scenario No. 2: Mera yeh bhi plan hai ke mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karoon jab 145.56 ke do musalsal tests ho jayein aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market mein reverse downturn laayega. Hum 145.06 aur 144.50 ke mukhalif levels tak decline ki tawakku kar sakte hain.

Mein scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada bharosa karunga.

USD/JPY ki Qeemat Par Tajziya

USD/JPY pair is waqt ek descending channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ek downward trend ko zahir karta hai. Yeh currency pair EMA 50 se bounce kar chuki hai aur ab ek critical support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai. Yeh level pehle hi successfully test kiya ja chuka hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke aage girawat ke maqaam 143.99 aur 142.14 ki taraf ho sakti hai. Tawajjoh is pair ko sell karne par honi chahiye, aur suggested stop-loss resistance 146.59 ke upar set karna chahiye. USD/JPY correction phase mein daakhil ho gayi hai jab ke yeh pehle din ke low points tak pohanchi thi. Sarmayakaron ko aaj Federal Reserve se ahem khabron ka intezar hai, khas taur par minutes ke release aur labor market data ki revision ka. Labor market data ki revision zyada asar-andaz ho sakti hai, khas taur par agar data mein khasa tabdeeli ki gayi. Yeh mumkin hai ke is se September mein Fed ke 50-point rate cut ke hawalay se qayaas arayiyan shuru ho jayen, jo ke US dollar ki kamzori ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Niche jane ka momentum ab khatam ho chuka hai, jisse trend ko dobara shuru karna mushkil hota ja raha hai. Is waqt sideways movement hai jo ke upar ki taraf break kar sakti hai, aur growth mumkin hai ke sab se zyada probable scenario ho. Taza khabron se pata chalta hai ke growth ab bhi priority hai aur 147.75 ki taraf barh rahi hai.





US Dollar ke Muqablay mein Japanese Yen ki Surat-e-Haal

US dollar ke Japanese yen ke muqablay mein mazeed barhne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Mera pehla maqsad yeh hai ke yeh 146.33 ke mark ko breach kare, jo ke ek aur baray move ke liye rasta saaf kar sakta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat karna zaroori hai aur ek pullback ka intezar karen, phir pair ko 145.70 ke level ke aas paas khareedne ki sochna chahiye. Jab yeh is point tak pohanchti hai, to upar ki taraf momentum ko barqarar rakhna mushkil sabit ho sakta hai, aur currency pair ko ek choti si upswing ke baad girawat ka saamna karna par sakta hai. Mojooda trading week ke baqi waqt ko dekhte hue, yeh mumkin lagta hai ke yeh silsila waqayii ho.

USD/JPY Price Overlook

Hamara aaj ka mauzu USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ka tajziya karna hai. USD/JPY pair ek descending channel mein trade kar rahi hai, jo ke downward trend ko zahir karta hai. Yeh pair EMA 50 se bounce kar chuki hai aur ab ek ahem support level 145.35 ko target kar rahi hai. Yeh level pehle hi successfully test ho chuka hai, jo mazeed girawat ki taraf ishara karta hai, jiske targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ho sakte hain. Tajziya diya jata hai ke trading par tawajjoh rakhni chahiye, jahan selling par zyada focus ho aur stop-loss 146.59 ki resistance ke upar lagaya jaye. USD/JPY ne correction phase mein dakhil ho gayi hai jab yeh kal ke lows tak pahunchi thi. Market aaj Federal Reserve se ahem khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas taur par minutes ka release aur labor market data ki revision ka. Yeh akhri cheez khaas tor par aham ho sakti hai agar data mein khasa tabdeeli ki jaye. Yeh mumkin hai ke is se September mein Fed ke 50-point rate cut ke hawalay se qayaas arayiyan shuru ho jayein, jo ke dollar ko kamzor karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.



Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing ke real-time tajziye par nazar daal rahe hain. Chart ka tajziya NPI with Distances indicator ke istemal se kiya ja raha hai, jo ke is waqt buying opportunities ko sab se behtar strategy batata hai. Zigzag indicator bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo ke yeh taeed karta hai ke trading ko long positions ki taraf rakhna chahiye. Iske ilawa, oscillators jo ke signals ko mazeed refine karne ke liye istemal karta hoon, abhi ek aisi zone mein hain jo buyers ke liye faidemand hai. Mera irada hai apni position ko barqarar rakhne ka jab tak ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement 152.299 price level par nahi pohanch jati. Pichle chand hafton mein qeemat ki girawat kafi chhoti rahi hai, jo ke ek lambay upward trend ke baad hui hai. Aaj ki khabren mehdood hain, sirf ek aham waqia FOMC meeting minutes ka release hai jo ke aaj shaam ko hoga. Lekin, yeh news khaas taur par critical nahi hai kyun ke minutes mein interest rate decision shamil nahi hoga.




Yen ki qeemat 149.20 ke level par barhi aur is level ko retest karne ke baad wapas gir gayi. Yeh bullish movement ek signal tha ke 139.90 ke support level ko cross kiya jaye. Japanese yen ne pichlay trading week mein upward correction jari rakhi aur naye local highs tak pohanch gayi. Qeemat 149.19 par ruk gayi, jahan resistance ka samna hua, aur phir signal zone ke niche aa gayi. Is tarah se, expected downside scenario abhi tak materialize nahi hua hai aur jari hai. Waqt ke saath, price chart supertrend red zone ki taraf wapas aa gaya hai, jo seller activity mein izafa zahir karta hai. USD/JPY pair Wall Street ki trading ke shuru hone ke baad se gir rahi hai, jo ke US Treasury yields ke saath direct correlation ki wajah se hai, jo ke apne turn mein ek kamzor dollar ki wajah se giri hain. Yeh pair pichlay din ke close 147.53 se gir kar 146.58 par aa gayi. Din ka high 148.05 tha aur low 145.18. US Treasury yields mein Monday ko girawat hui, jo dollar ke muqable mein losses ko zahir karti hai.

Pound Sterling Ki Price Action Par Nazar
Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3150 ke qareeb bounce back kiya jab US Dollar (USD) July ke core PCE inflation data ke intezaar mein thanda trade kar raha hai. Sarmaaya kaaron ko umeed hai ke annual core PCE inflation June ke 2.6% se badh kar 2.7% ho jayegi. Bank of England (BoE) ki policy easing ki raftaar apne bade peers se dheemi hone ki tawaqqo hai.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne 1.3150 ke qareeb support dhunda jab do din ki sell-off ke baad US Dollar ke muqable mein Friday ki London session mein zameen haasil ki. GBP/USD pair mein izafa hua hai kyunke US Dollar United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) ke data ke release hone se pehle sust performance dikhata hai, jo 12:30 GMT par shaaya kiya jayega. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki value ko chhe badi currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, halka sa gir kar 101.30 par aa gaya hai.

Maeeshat daan yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke annual core PCE inflation, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, June ke 2.6% se barh kar 2.7% tak pohanch gayi hai, jabke mahina dar mahina figures mein 0.2% ka mustahkam izafa ho raha hai.

Taareekhi tor par, PCE inflation data ka asar hamesha se zyada raha hai kyunke yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ka pasandeeda inflation gauge hota hai jo ke mafaad ke faisalon mein madad karta hai. Is dafa, asar mehdood rehne ki umeed hai jab tak ke data mein kisi wazeh inhiraf ya pehlay ke mukable mein koi bara farq na ho.

Zyada itminan ke saath ke inflation sustainable tor par Fed ke 2% target tak jaye gi, afsar ab US labor market ki mazoor hoti hui soorat-e-haal ke risk par zyada fikrmand hain. "Humare mandate ke risks ka tawazun badal gaya hai", Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne pichlay haftay Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein apne khitab mein kaha. Kuch aur Fed policymakers ne bhi yeh ishara diya hai ke central bank mein kisi bhi shadeed girawat ke case mein badi jald key borrowing rates ko aggressively kam karne mein hichkichaahat nahi hogi.

Filhaal, maali bazaar ke participants yeh tawaqqo karte hain ke September mein Fed ke interest rates kam karne ka taqreeban yaqini imkaan hai. Lekin, traders iss baat par mutafarriq hain ke Fed policy easing ko shuru karte waqt kitna interest rate kam karega. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein 50-basis-points (bps) ki interest-rate reduction ki sambhaavna 32.5% hai, jabke baaki 25 bps ki cut ko tarjeeh dete hain.

Pound Sterling ne ek mild correction ke baad 1.3150 ke aas-paas se US Dollar ke muqable mein rebound kiya. GBP/USD pair ka near-term appeal abhi bhi mazboot hai kyunke yeh weekly time frame par Rising Channel chart formation ke breakout ko barqarar rakhta hai. Agar bullish momentum barqarar rehti hai, toh Cable se tawaqqo hai ke yeh 1.3500 ke psychological resistance aur 4 February, 2022 ke high 1.3640 ko target karega jab yeh US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.3266 ke fresh do saal se zyada ke high se upar break karta hai.

Upward-sloping 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.3000 ek strong upside trend ki taraf ishara karta hai.

14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.00-80.00 ke bullish range mein oscillate karta hai, jo ek strong upside momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, yeh 70.00 ke aas-paas overbought levels ke qareeb hai, jo corrective pullback ke chances ko barhata hai. Downside par, 1.3000 ka psychological level Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support hoga.

USDJPY ki price dynamics M15 chart par yeh dikhati hain ke buyers ab market mein dominate karna shuru kar rahe hain. RBS area 144.25 se price ne successfully upar ki taraf movement ki hai. Yeh RBS area Blue EMA50 aur Purple EMA100 ke dynamic support se intersect karta hai, jo is support ko kaafi mazboot aur significant banata hai. Abhi upward movement ko Red EMA200 ke dynamic resistance se rokha gaya hai, lekin initial penetration ho chuki hai, bhale hi yeh solid nazar nahi aati. Lekin agar hum momentum buy candle ko dekhein jo kal bani thi, toh mujhe lagta hai ke M15 chart par yeh movement Red EMA200 ko anqareebi future mein cross kar legi, aur yeh price ko 145.31 - 145.47 ke resistance area, jo ke H4 basis par Blue EMA50 hai, le jaayegi. Agar yeh zone significant tareeqe se cross ho gaya, toh yeh correction zyada high hote hue yellow zone 146.24 - 146.19 tak le jaayega jo ke H4 basis par Bollinger Bands ka top hai, aur yeh maximum correction limit bhi ban jaayega. Is point par traders sell option ko target kar sakte hain.

**TRADING SETUP**

H4 chart par clear hai ke ek bearish continuation signal aaya hai, aur abhi upward correction price reentry sell setup bana rahi hai. Yeh upward correction kaafi dynamic hoga, kyun ke H4 basis par yeh aam tor par sirf MA5/MA10 High H4 tak jaata hai, lekin M15 basis par momentum buy candle ke wajah se potential hai ke correction Blue MA50 tak aur top BB tak H4 basis par jaaye. Is se traders ke liye trading plan banane ka mauqa milta hai jisme potential up aur down moves include hain.

- **BUY BREAKOUT**: Agar candle Red EMA200 M15 ke upar break kare aur close ho, toh TP 145.31 - 145.47 blue resistance par ho, aur SL 144.25 ho.
- **SELL LIMIT**: 145.90 - 146.00 ke darmiyan sell karein, SL 146.50 aur TP1 144.00 - TP2 142.39 ho.

Abhi price resistance level 144.732 ke neeche dikhai de rahi hai jab ke is level par kaafi tests ho chuke hain. Agar price yeh resistance level ko strong tareeqe se cross kar leti hai, toh bullish movement ka potential hai jo price ko aur bhi upar le jaa sakti hai. Lekin agar price is level par phir se stuck ho gayi, toh phir se decline ka chance hai jo support level 143.615 tak le jaa sakta hai.



Pichle movement mein hum ne dekha ke price ne 148,000 ke highest level se significant decline face kiya, aur phir naya low support level 143.615 ke paas form kiya. Is ke baad price ne upward retracement ki koshish ki, lekin abhi tak 144.732 ke resistance level ko strongly cross nahi kar saki. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure abhi bhi kaafi strong hai, lekin correction ya consolidation ka potential bhi is resistance level ke aas paas abhi bhi maujood hai.

Roman Urdu mein:

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke exchange rate par hamari tawajjah hai. USD/JPY ne recent high se drop kiya hai, lekin recovery modest raha hai aur upward correction mere nazariye mein substantial nahi hai. Market mere views se hamesha align nahi karta, lekin bearish trend likely hai.

Lekin, upcoming week ya do hafte mein, agar price 150.01 level ko surpass kar sake, to upward trajectory ka continuation possible hai. Broader financial landscape mein, US dollar ki brief strengthening beneficial ho sakti hai.

Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, price increase 156.65 (9%) se pehle decline 132.46 (50%) ka logical expectation hai.

Friday ko currency pair ko selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Monday ko, main technical indicators ka analysis karunga, market ka next move predict karne ke liye, bearish trend ka persistence ya alternative scenario ka unfold hone ka.

Current signals declining market trend ko point karte hain. Japan se Monday ko koi notable announcements ki expectation nahi hai, kyunki yeh public holiday hai. US important information release karne wala hai, lekin outlook neutral hai.

In circumstances mein, currency pair range mein trade karne ka expectation hai. Selling pressure price ko support level 145.46 par la sakti hai, jabki buying interest 147.91 resistance level par le ja sakti hai.

US dollar Japanese yen ke against ground khote ja raha hai, Treasury bond yields ke decline ke saath. Recent market turbulence ke baad, traders settle down ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke statement ne yen par pressure add kiya hai.





USD/JPY pair ko 145.99 aur 146.79 ke range mein support hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 ke neeche drop karta hai, to additional downward momentum mil sakta hai. Risk appetite ke return ke saath, USD/JPY ne apne downward trend ko resume kar diya hai. Buyers ne weekly high 147.88 ko break nahi kiya, jis se pair ko 146.99 ke neeche decline kar diya hai. Momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin RSI oversold territory ke qareeb hai

upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga.
Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai. Iske ilawa, Japan bhi Friday ko aham industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte bearish movement hogi. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko target karein, jab ke potential buys 146.39 resistance level par aim kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte ek predominant bearish trend hoga, jo mere rough trading plan ka buniyadi point hoga

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia karenge. Pair ke chart se ek upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga.
Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai. Iske ilawa, Japan bhi Friday ko aham industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte bearish movement hogi. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko target karein, jab ke potential buys 146.39 resistance level par aim kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte ek predominant bearish trend hoga, jo mere rough trading plan ka buniyadi point hoga.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajzia karenge. Pair ke chart se ek upward price trend ka pata chal raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhaal bulls ka palra bhaari hai bears par. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar rahi hai, jiski wajah se long positions sabse mozoon strategy lagti hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD, aur TNT bhi iss baat ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke yeh sab buyers ke liye favorable positions mein hain. Main apni position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level, yaani 152.299 tak nahi pahunchti. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main abhi bhi sales ko continue karne par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke current levels se seedha girna mumkin nahi lagta. Agar pair upar ki taraf correction karti hai, to main selling opportunity ki talaash karunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur iske baad doosra target 143.49 hoga. Is waqt main buying ke bare mein nahi soch raha hoon. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ki jagah hai, aur shayad 140.19 ko target kar sake, lekin yeh level kuch der tak reh sakta hai. Main ek munasib entry point ka intezar kar raha hoon sell karne ke liye. Khaas taur par, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder set up karunga.
Yeh pair pichle hafte bechi gayi thi, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar rahi hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga aglay hafte ke liye pair ki movement ko forecast karne ke liye. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo aglay hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Aane wali kuch aham khabron ko bhi nazar mein rakhte hain jo pair ko asar andaz dal sakti hai. Ahmreeki khabrein aane ki tawakku hai, jinka forecast negative hai. Yeh aham khabron ka silsila Thursday ko aayega, aur outlook negative hi hai. Iske ilawa, Japan bhi Friday ko aham industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte bearish movement hogi. Sales shayad 141.79 support level ko target karein, jab ke potential buys 146.39 resistance level par aim kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke aglay hafte ek predominant bearish trend hoga, jo mere rough trading plan ka buniyadi point hoga.