Early Asian trading mein, US dollar ne Canadian dollar ke khilaf mehsool hasil kiya, jo ke USD ki mukhtalif taraqqi ke saath hosakti hai. USD ki is izafa ko market ki umeedon se jura ja sakta hai ke Federal Reserve buland interest rates ko lambay arsay tak barqarar rakhega. Magar, USD ki taqat ko US treasury bond ke neechay kam yields se mushkilat ka saamna hai, jo ke Thursday ko jaari hue kamzor US bayrozgari data ka jawab hosakta hai. Bureau of Labor Statistics ke data ke mutabiq, May 3rd ko khatam hone wale haftay ke liye initial bayrozgari claims ka intehai umeed se zyada number darust hua. Intehai, Canada mein, Bank of Canada ne Thursday ko apna Financial System Review (FSR) jaari kiya. Governor Tiff Macklem ne awaam ko yaqeen dilaya ke Canadian maali nizaam mazboot hai. Magar, unhon ne mustaqbil ke interest rate hikes ke moasir ummeedat ke mutaliq global markets mein mumkinah izafaat ke baare mein tanbih di. Macklem ne bhi nikaala ke maali idaray ko buland interest rate nizam aur mumkinah maali jhatkon ke samundar mein jhoolne ke liye tayyar hona chahiye, jo ke maali istehkaamat ke liye khatraat paida kar sakti hain.
USD/CAD jodi ke technical indicators ki taraf dekhte hue, keemat abhi 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche trade ho rahi hai aur support zone 1.3630-1.3610 ke qareeb ek barhtey hue trendline ke qareeb ghoom rahi hai. MACD indicator apne signal line ke neeche rehta hai, jo ke kisi bhi musbat momentum ki kami ki nishaani hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral level 50 ke qareeb flatlining hai, jo ke na to overbought na oversold conditions ko darust karta hai. In technical factors ke saath, USD/CAD jodi ke short-term outlook ka tasawwur mushkil hai. Ek downside move jodi ko support level 1.3455 par test kar sakti hai. Ulta, 20-day SMA ke upar ek break uptrend ka continuation signal ho sakta hai, jisme 1.3785 aur pehle ke high 1.3845 ke potential resistance shamil hai. Agar bullish sentiment mazboot hoti hai, to keemat 13-month high 1.3900 ko bhi challenge kar sakti hai. Overall, USD/CAD jodi ke long-term trend positive hai jab tak keemat 200-day SMA ke upar rehti hai. Magar, near-term direction market ke tarteeb-e-soum ki roshni mein evolve hone wale maali data aur central bank policies par mabni hogi.
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