امریکی ڈالر بمقابلہ کینیڈین ڈالر: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

USD/CAD currency pair nay Jumeraat ki Asian session mein pehli hasilat wapas de di, aur 1.3780 mark ke qareeb ho gaya. Magar, din mein tabdeel hui jab khabrein aayi ke Iran mein aik missile hamla hua, jis se Middle East mein tensions barh gaye. Ye flight to safety ko trigger kiya, jis ne US dollar ko, aik traditional safe-haven asset, buland kiya. Magar, Iran se khabron ke mutabiq aik mukhtalif manzar nazar aaya. Iranian media outlets ne zor daar tor par inkaar kiya ke unke shehron par kisi bhi gair mulki hamlay ka koi asar nahi hua, Isfahan ko shamil kar ke. Jab ke Reuters ne Isfahan ke local rehaishion ko central airport ke qareeb dhamake sunaayi, lekin wajah saaf nahi hai. Intehai dhaai, Canadian dollar (jo ke "loonie" ke naam se mashhoor hai) ko barhne wali oil prices se taqat mili. Canada United States ke liye top oil exporter hai, aur Israeli hamlay ke khabron ne crude prices ko buland kar diya. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil 83.80 dollar ke qareeb trade ho raha tha likhne ke waqt. Loonie ke liye ye mukhtasar izafa aata hai jab USD/CAD pair apne chaubees maheenon ka naya uncha daastaan likh raha hai. Pair mojooda waqt mein aik aham uptrend channel se baahar nikalne ki koshish kar raha hai jo ke early 2024 se mazid hai. Magar, isay 1.3704 ke level par rukawat ka samna hai.

Technical indicators aik mishri tasveer pesh karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aik mazboot bullish signal faraham karta hai, jabke Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) neutral rehta hai, 25 darja se neeche ho kar. Stochastic oscillator aik mumkinah fikar angez kahani bayan karta hai. Jabke ye uncha jata hai, overbought zone ke qareeb pohanch raha hai, lekin ye bhi bearish divergence ko dikhata hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke halan ke price naye unchaaiyon ko pohanch raha hai, lekin uthne ki peechidgi kam hoti ja rahi hai. Agla dekhne ke liye, agar bull control bana sakein, toh woh USD/CAD pair ko 16 December 2022 ke 1.3704 ke unche darje mein rakhna chahenge. Ye mazeed 1.3807-1.3854 zone ki taraf aage barh sakti hai. Agar kamiyab hue, toh woh shayad 2023 ke 1.3898 ke unchaai par bhi challenge kar sakein. Magar, Stochastic par bearish divergence ka ishara hai ke ye upar ki rukhgi mukhtasar hosakti hai.

USD/CAD Price Action Forecast

Aaj, USD/CAD currency pair girne shuru hua aur 1.3535 ke support level ko tor diya. Ye 1.3509 tak gir gaya, ek bechnay ka signal, lekin keemat ne support level ke qareeb rukh badal diya. Baad mein, jodi mud-daar thi, jahan keemat ne ek khaas number ko paar kiya, jis se ek breakout tasdeeq hua. Kharidari ke liye nishana 1.3594 ke resistance level par tha, jise keemat ne lagbhag pohanch liya. Agar keemat in levels ko tor deti hai, to agle nishana kharidari ke liye ek aur number ka resistance ya agar breakout tasdeeq hota hai to bechnay ke liye 1.3506 ke support level ho sakta hai. Keemat aaj triangle se neeche chali gayi, jo ke mazeed kami ki taraf is tarah kaar rahi thi ki neeche ki taraf ka descending channel ka lower border ho. Lekin keemat naumeedi se rukh badal gayi aur descending channel se upar nikal gayi. Triangle mein dakhil hone ke baad, jodi ne apni upar ki manzil par rukh badal diya. Is market mein trend puraana hai.

Triangle ke upper boundary tak 1.3614 pohanchne ka mumkin hai. Is level tak pohanchne par, jodi ya to isay tor degi aur upar jaari rahegi ya phir rukh badal degi. USD/CAD ka intraday trend aik range ke andar neutral hai. 1.3612 ke resistance level ka taez tor growth ko 1.3893 ki taraf barhawa de sakta hai, jabke 1.3416 ke solid breakout ne 1.3176 se rebound ko pura karne ka ailaan kar sakta hai, jise short-term outlook mein bearish kar sakta hai aur support ka nishana 1.3356 ho sakta hai. Overall, keemat ka amal 1.3979 se ek correct pattern ko dikhata hai, jiska umeed hai ke 1.2949 ke resistance level ke upar mazboot support milne ke baad 1.3972 ki taraf mazboot uptrend ki taraf ho.

"USDCAD ke haftay ke chart ko dekhne par ek dilchasp taraqqi saaf aur wazeh nazar aati hai: haal hi mein price consolidation ek waziha range zone mein, jahan price 50 aur 100 exponential moving average (EMA) lines ke darmiyan oscillation kar raha hai. Aisi sideways price actions ne ghaibiati aur amoomi trend ka thaharnay ka irada diya hai. Is ke sath, price 100 EMA ke upar hai, jo ek bullish primary market wave ko mazboot karti hai. Isi liye, bullish buyers ka dabe paon ho jaana, shayad ek mukhtalif mor ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Pichle haftay, USDCAD pair ne ek mazid bullish move dekha, jo ek mazboot aur bohot bada bullish engulfing candle ke sath parinat hua, jo range zone ka resistance level torh diya. Price action jo tezi se ho raha tha, us ke intensiti ne market ke sentiment mein ek nihayat ahem tabdike jawab se ahem potential signals ka intezar hai. Mojooda price action yeh suggest karta hai ke USDCAD ke price mein buland rawaiya ho sakta hai jo mazeed barh sakta hai upper resistance level tak, 1.3990. Lekin, upside ke rukawat jaise challenges ka samna kar sakta hai, jaise ke bullish traders ke probable profit-taking aur ek mumkin bearish reversal. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 60 level par hai, jo market mein bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. RSI, nazdeek overbought conditions mein, bhi USDCAD pair mein move higher ka jari rehne ka ishara kar sakta hai. Lekin yeh bhi yeh zahir karta hai ke market ko ya toot sakta hai ya kam az kam ek minor pullback ho sakta hai, kyunke traders ko pichli chadhao ki taqat dobara tajziyat karne ki aasan hoti hai. Yeh ek baar phir yeh sabit karta hai ke yeh price hai jo aane wale sessions mein higher top ke resistance ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh ek aur baar yeh point wapas ghar laata hai ke RSI par hamesha ek ankhon se dekhna chahiye, kyunke RSI mein ek possible downturn price ke aane wale reversal ke liye aik

Mangal ke liye kafi kuch moaser events tay hain. Yaad rakhein ke Europeen Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ke afraad ki taqreerain aur interviews, jo ke shamil nahi hain events mein. Maslan, kal, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee ne taqreer di, lekin calendar mein koi mutabaadil dakhil nahi tha. Magar doosri taraf, abhi waqt par kisi bhi ahem bayanat ka intezar nahi karna chahiye central banks ke afraad se. Teen central banks ne 2024 mein apni doosri meetings ki hain, is liye sabhi ahem bayanat jo market ko harkat ke rukh ka faisla karne mein madad karti hain woh pehle hi di gayi hain. Naye reports on inflation ya GDP ke mutalabaat ke baad ahem bayanat ka intezar karna chahiye. Mangal ko practically koi macroeconomic ya bunyadi waqiaat nahi hain. Volatility kehtey hain kamzor rehne ka imkaan hai, aur dono pairs ko mazeed buland karte hue jari rakhna chahiye. Magar, jabke downtrend barkarar hai, hume yeh samajh hai ke naye sell signals talash kiye jayein chahiye. Aur jabke pair ek downtrend ko follow kar raha hai, iske pas kisi bhi sudhaarne wale harkat se zyada taqat barhne ka behtareen mauqa hai. Sterling ke liye, hum kal ke bounce ko level 1.2648 se chhote short positions ke liye istemal kar sakte hain. Euro ke liye, humein intezaar kar sakte hain ke ye level 1.0838 ke nichle hisse mein mazboot ho. 4 ghante ka chart dekhne par, USD/CAD ki price movement ke darmiyan chhupi deviation ke appearance ne barah-e-raast equal high level 1,3612 par MACD Histogram indicator ke sath, ye clue diya ke qareeb mustaqbil mein Lonnie ko barhne ki taqat hai, jahan ye 1,3612 ke equal high level ko toorna chah raha hai USD/CAD agar is koshish mein koi kamzori nahi aati jo level 1,3518 ko tor de, to USD/CAD ko 1,3624 ke level tak mazboot honay ka imkaan hai aur agar momentum sath ho raha ho aur volatility ko support mil rahi ho to level 1,3618 agla nishana banega.

USD/CAD Trading Signals

Main ne USD/CAD currency pair ki rawayat ka tajziya kiya hai, aur kuch dilchasp trends ka tawajjo dena zaroori hai. M15 chart ke linear regression channel ka oopri slope yeh darust karta hai ke buyers qaboo mein hain, jo ke 1.3834 tak ki umeed hai. Yeh ek behtareen kharidne ka mauqa hai jo ke mumkin hai jab ke qeemat neechay darust hoti hai. Agar yeh toot jata hai, to mazeed giravat ka imkaan hai, kharidariyon ko mansookh kar dete hue. H1 timeframe par, linear regression channel ka oopar ki taraf janib rawayaat bullish taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai, jo ke kharidne ka ek behtareen waqt banata hai. M15 signal mere kharidne ki rujoo ko mazeed barha deta hai, aur main sahi qeemat dakhil hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, aam taur par 1.3751 ke aas paas niche ke channel border par, target 1.3864. Mojooda market shirai rawayaat dikhata hai, jo ke umeed hai ke jald faida ho sakta hai. Market bullish rawayat ko dikhata hai, jo ke mazeed faiday ke nishan hain. Magar, yeh ahem hai ke mojooda qeemat 1.3834 se taqreeban aam taur par ikhtiyaar mein aati hai, kyun ke market waqt ke sath mawazna karta hai.

Is liye, market par qareebi nigaah rakhna aur taza rukh aur tajziyat par scholarly conclusions ke saath amal karna munasib hai. Magar, agar dakhil mark 1.3757 ke qareeb mumkin hai, to yeh bearish dilchaspi ko zahir kar sakta hai, jis se kharidari ki strategy ka jaaiza lena chahiye. European trading activity mein zyada movement nahi hua, jab ke leval subah ki positions ke mawafiq hain, halki farokht ke faasle ke saath neechay ki taraf rawayaat hai. Fehrist hourly chart ke isharaat par bazari asoolon par bharosa hai, magar mazeed qeemat mein tabdeeli shaam ko hone tak mumkin nahi hai, jab American traders shamil hote hain, jo ke USDCAD pair ke liye bullish rawayat ko dhaka dete hain. Raat ke waqt Fed ke head ka khitab bazaar ki dynamics par asar daal sakta hai, magar bullish trend filhal qaim hai.

USD/CAD taqat hasil karta raha aur resistance line ko support banane mein kamiyab ho gaya, jo 2023 ke uchay darjat se aage nikal gaya tha, aur kal 1.3500 ilaqa mein phir se oopar chala gaya. Bank of Canada ke monetary policy meeting ke agle din hone wale barhte hue chal se tawajjo ko 1.3500 aur 1.3660 ilaqa ki taraf shift kar diya gaya hai, jabke technical indicators mazeed barhne ki sambhavna ko darust karte hain. RSI 50 ke upar se bullish sentiment ko dobara shuru kiya, aur MACD laal signal line ke upar uthne laga hai. Mutasir tor par, stochastic 80 ke qareeb overbought level ke qareeb rehta hai, jo dikhata hai ke khareedne walay jodne ki gatividhi ko barhane mein nakam hain taake pair ko oopar le ja sakein. Iske ilawa, keemat abhi tak 1.3450 par triangle continuation pattern resistance line ke oopar mazboot nahi hui hai, isliye ek waapas chakkar mumkin hai.

Agar jodi 1.3660 ke neeche tezi se barhti hai, to khareedne walay 2022 ke unchaai par 1.3676 ka nishana banayenge. Ek bearish surat mein, agar jodi waapas aati hai, to pehle 1.3370 aur 1.3385 ilaqa mein support pa sakegi, jo 2023 ki had line aur 20-dinon ka simple moving average shamil hai. Is ilaqa ke neeche band ho jaane se mazeed girawat ke mumkin hone ka tassur ho sakta hai 50-dinon ke EMA ki taraf, jabke tajziyat se girawat july se chhoti dora uptrend line ko 1.3535 aur 200-dinon ke EMA tak challenge kar sakti hai. Toh, aakhri mein, USD/CAD jodi ka maamla aage barhne ka maqam rakhta hai, lekin agar neutral triangle pattern ko kamyaabi se guzarna na mumkin ho to khareedne walay kuch mushkilat ka samna kar sakte hain. Yahan neeche chart diya gaya hai.

USD/CAD D1 TIME FRAME TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
Hum dekh sakte hain ke weak dollar index data aik bari bullish farq paida karega aur USD/CAD ke swing high peak area ko 1.3720 par test karega. Agar keemat apni lambi muddat ki uparward raftar ko follow karte hue aur naye resistance area tak pohanchti hai, jo 1.3750 par hai, to buyers is mahine active rahenge, aur breakout trend line bhi 1.3810 par kharcha cover karegi. Jahan tak USD based pairs ka ta'alluq hai, NFP data ke asar par keemat ki karwai ka bohot ahem asar hone ka tawakkul hai. USD/CAD 1.3710 ke aas paas ke ghantiyan control karta hai; resistance line ko torne ke liye ghantiyan torne ki zaroorat hai. Sirf ek breakout ke saath hi 1.2690 ke qareeb swing high ki taraf wapas hone ke imkanat hain. Ye uparward raftar aur keemat ki karwai ko barhane ke liye ek ahem tool hai.



Uparward raftar mein, 1.3795 par swing high resistance ko tor diya gaya, jo bears ke liye aakhri line of defence hai. Traders ko yeh tay karna hoga ke kya ek pair par zyada kharidari ki zaroorat hai, rozana pivot point ka istemal karke pair ke aakhir mein tawajjo deni hogi. Is umeed se hai ke uptrend ke liye pehla resistance level 1.3766 ka physical level banega agar jari rahe. 20-day SMA line ko torne se keemat ko 1.3670 tak barhne ka asar hoga agar supply areas nazar aayen. Dosri taraf, sellers ne 1.3650 ki taraf modna shuru kiya jab 1.3677 ke liye tasdeeq ki gayi.



H4 time frame mein, keemat ki shakal aik triangle aur tez bar ki shakal ikhtyar karti hai jo agle physical level 1.3640 ki taraf tezi se barhne ki umeed hai. Agar be-rozgar data musbat hai aur buyers is haftay 1.3760 ke upar pehla resistance guzar jate hain, to ye 1.3170 par trading jari rakhne ke darwaze ko khol sakte hain. Ek uparward line aur uparward line ke upar band hone ki surat mein 1.3750 par, niche ki khatre wali asar kam ho jayenge, aur mazeed tezi se barhne ka rasta agle ahem resistance level 1.3765 ki taraf hoga.

USDCAD haftawar time frame chart ki tajziya ek mawafiq ke pattern ko zahir karta hai ke keemat ki gatividhi mein ek range zone ke andar qayam hai, jo ke 26 aur 50 EMA lines ko qareeb se mutasil karta hai. Halankeh, ek ahem tabdili darust hui jab ke keemat hafton ke peechle dino mein 50 EMA line ke upar chadhi, jo ke bullish asli trend ka ishara karta hai. Khaas tor par, ek taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka dikhna, jo ke range zone ke resistance level ko tor karne ke saath saath pichle haftay mein mazboot bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai. Ye bullish gatividhi ka izafa keemat ko resistance level ke qareeb le gaya, jis ka natija is haftay mein is resistance level ko choone ka tha. Is ke bawajood, ek Doji candle ka banna ek waqtanah bullish momentum mein ek waqfa ka ishara karta hai, jabke trader gatividhi ke rang ko resistance level ke qareeb aate hue nisbatan neutral nazar aate hain. Magar, kuch factors aage ki bullish trend ka jari rehne ka izhar karte hain. Pehle to, RSI indicator ke zaroorat, jo ke ab 62 ke qeemat par hai, overbought level ko test karne ka barh gaya hai. Ye ishara karta hai ke ek potensially overbought haalat tak pohanchne se pehle uparward movement ka abhi bhi kuch space hai.


Is ke ilawa, bullish jazbat ka qayam, jo ke 50 EMA line ke oopar qayam rehne aur haal he mein resistance ko tor karne ke zariye saabit hua, aage ke uparward momentum ke imkanat ko taayun karta hai. Traders resistance level ke qareeb neutral trader gatividhi ko temporary consolidation phase ki tarah dekh sakte hain balke koi ulta signal nahi. Ye factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, USDCAD ke keemat ke uparward raftar ko mazeed barhne aur top resistance level 1.3981 ko test karne ki ihtimamat ko zyada maqbool samjha jata hai. Ye surat e haal peechle dino mein dekhe gaye bara bullish trend ke saath milta hai aur RSI jese takneeki indicators ke saath behtareen mawafiq hai. Mukhtasir mein, jab ke ek Doji candle ka banna aur resistance level ke qareeb neutral trader gatividhi ek waqtanah bullish momentum mein rukawat ka ishara kar sakte hain, lekin overall manzar bullish hai, jahan indicators mazeed keemat ke uparward raftar ki taraf ishara karte hain.

USDCAD



Hum dekh sakte hain ke kamzor dollar index data aham bullish farq paida karega aur USD/CAD ke swing high peak area par 1.3720 ko test karega. Agar keemat apni lambi mudat ke uptrend ko manti rahi aur naye resistance area par 1.3750 tak pohanchi, to kharidar is mahine bhi active rahenge, aur breakout trend line bhi 1.3810 par kharidar ke imtiazat ko dhakegi. USD-based pairs ke lihaz se, NFP data ke price action par bada asar hone ka imkaan hai. USD/CAD 1.3710 ke aas paas bells ko nigrani rakhta hai; rukawat ki rekha bells ko rokne ke liye toorna zaroori hai. Sirf breakout ke saath 1.2690 ke qareeb swing high ki taraf pullback ke chances khatam ho sakte hain. Ye upward movement aur price action ko tezi se barhane ke liye aik mukhya tool hai.



Upar ki taraf, ye 1.3795 par swing high resistance ko tor kar gaya, jo bears ke liye akhri line of defence thi. Traders pair ke maqami inteha ko dainik pivot point ka istemal karke samajh sakte hain ke agar pair par zyada kharidari hogi ya nahi. Is ka tasawwur hai ke uptrend ke liye pehla resistance level 1.3766 ke physical level par hona chahiye. Agar 20-day SMA line ko toorna jaye to price ko 1.3670 tak uthaya jayega agar supply areas zaahir hon. Dusri taraf, sellers ne 1.3650 ko 1.3677 ke tasdeeq level ke tor par apna rukh kiya.

H4 time frame mein, price formation aik triangle aur tez bar bana rahi hai jo agle physical level par 1.3640 ki taraf tezi se barhegi. Agar be-rozgar data musbat hai aur buyers is haftay pehle 1.3760 ke ooper pehla resistance se guzar jate hain, to ye 1.3170 par trading ko jari rakhne ka darwaza khol sakte hain. Agar ek ascendant line aur 1.3750 par ascending line ke band hone ke case mein, downside risks kam ho jayenge, aur doosri tezi se barhti ho jayegi 1.3765 ke critical resistance level ki taraf.

USD/CAD Price Action Dynamics

Hamari guftagu mein, chalo USD/CAD currency pair ke mojooda qeemat rawayat par tawajjo dein. Pichle ghante, US dollar ne Canadian dollar ke khilaf quwwat dikhayi hai, jo USD/CAD ko 1.3569 ke resistance level ke oopar le gayi hai. Magar, abhi tak yeh level toot nahi gaya hai, aur iske oopar koi naye bullish candles nahi khul rahe hain. Is ke bawajood, mera mashwara hai ke char ghante ka chart dekh kar dekhne se ke growth trend jari rahega, 1.3615 resistance ko nishana banate hue. Filhal, behtar strategy kharidari hai. Ghor karne ke liye do volatility levels hain: 1.3608 aur 1.3673. Main tasalli se keh sakta hoon ke pichle wala chhota faida dene wala hai. 1.3673 ke upar, sirf reverse sales honi chahiye, jinhein durust karne ki taraf tawajjo deni chahiye.

1.3569 ko paar karne ke baad mazboot impulses aur sudhar, aur zyada lamba darwaza khol sakte hain, poora rok 1.3545 par. Daily aur weekly pivots 1.3555 par torne se southern correction mansookh ho jata hai. 1.3592-1.3604 par nishana hasil hona mumkin hai, aur koi aur ishara mojood nahi hai. 1.3555 ke upar se torne se haftay ke andar 1.3647 aur 1.3680 par faiday mil sakte hain, haalaanki aise uttar virodhi khayal ko mansookh karna bhi mumkin hai, jo bazaar ko ghair yaqeeni chhodta hai. Jab ke qeemat ke daaye taraf umeed ke rukawat hain, woh khaas nahi hain. Munafa aaman hai daaye taraf, jo darust ho sakta hai ke thori si taqreeban darusti ki zaroorat hai. Aaj, humne ek izafa dekha, pichli intehaon ko update kiya aur faida faraham kiya. Utar chadhao ke marazi tabhi tasdiq hoti hai jab 1/2 zone ke neeche kadam rakha jata hai, jo ek seedha bazaar ka halat ki taraf ishara karta hai.

USD/CAD Price Action Dynamics

Hamari guftagu mein, chalo USD/CAD currency pair ke mojooda qeemat rawayat par tawajjo dein. Pichle ghante, US dollar ne Canadian dollar ke khilaf quwwat dikhayi hai, jo USD/CAD ko 1.3569 ke resistance level ke oopar le gayi hai. Magar, abhi tak yeh level toot nahi gaya hai, aur iske oopar koi naye bullish candles nahi khul rahe hain. Is ke bawajood, mera mashwara hai ke char ghante ka chart dekh kar dekhne se ke growth trend jari rahega, 1.3615 resistance ko nishana banate hue. Filhal, behtar strategy kharidari hai. Ghor karne ke liye do volatility levels hain: 1.3608 aur 1.3673. Main tasalli se keh sakta hoon ke pichle wala chhota faida dene wala hai. 1.3673 ke upar, sirf reverse sales honi chahiye, jinhein durust karne ki taraf tawajjo deni chahiye.

1.3569 ko paar karne ke baad mazboot impulses aur sudhar, aur zyada lamba darwaza khol sakte hain, poora rok 1.3545 par. Daily aur weekly pivots 1.3555 par torne se southern correction mansookh ho jata hai. 1.3592-1.3604 par nishana hasil hona mumkin hai, aur koi aur ishara mojood nahi hai. 1.3555 ke upar se torne se haftay ke andar 1.3647 aur 1.3680 par faiday mil sakte hain, haalaanki aise uttar virodhi khayal ko mansookh karna bhi mumkin hai, jo bazaar ko ghair yaqeeni chhodta hai. Jab ke qeemat ke daaye taraf umeed ke rukawat hain, woh khaas nahi hain. Munafa aaman hai daaye taraf, jo darust ho sakta hai ke thori si taqreeban darusti ki zaroorat hai. Aaj, humne ek izafa dekha, pichli intehaon ko update kiya aur faida faraham kiya. Utar chadhao ke marazi tabhi tasdiq hoti hai jab 1/2 zone ke neeche kadam rakha jata hai, jo ek seedha bazaar ka halat ki taraf ishara karta hai.

The USD/CAD currency pair on the H4 timeframe. Aasan hona bura nahi hai agar aap tajziyan se trading karein. Iske liye, mujhe sirf do exponential moving averages ki zarurat hai jin ki dairayein 9 aur 22 hain. Hum apne indicators ke signals par trading karte hain. Main market mein dakhil hone ka ek point dhoondhna shuru karta hoon jab exponential moving averages ka takrao hota hai. Ek takrao hai price level par: 1.35234 Main trading volume ko do positions mein taqseem karta hoon. Pehli half abhi ke prices se door chali jati hai. Dusri half ek chhotay time frame par pullback ke baad aati hai, jahan hum market ko khareedte hain. Risk aik shareef cheez hai, lekin sirf tab jab woh munasib ho. 1.3490 se 1.3455 tak mein khareedna acha hoga. Museebaton ke khilaaf bima humesha kaam aata hai. Aur stock exchange mein museebatein hafton ki tarah aam hain. Is liye, chalen hum boiyon ke peechay nahi, aur apne stops ko 1.3450 mark par rakhte hain. 1.3540 mark par, graphics - machine ko rok do! Main apne stop se paanch guna faida utha lunga. Achha, aaj securities market mein hawaen tez chal rahi hain. Aur ye meri saari planning ko mere aankhon ke saamne ura deti hain. Shayad, meri planning aaj puri nahi hogi. Main kisi trade ko raat bhar open nahi chhodna chahta.
Chart ke liye waqt niche ki taraf test lene ka. Hum 1.3561 par khareedna karenge. Niche khareedne ke liye behtareen price ka guess karna asaan nahi hai! Magar main apni kismat par bharosa karta hoon. Main jannat mein jaana chahta hoon, main jannat mein jaana chahta hoon. Phir cheezein theek ho jayengi! Ab tak meri saari planning sach ho rahi hai. Graph oopar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Magar uska mood kafi badal jaata hai. Main 1.3558 par ek stop rakhta hoon. Agar kisi chamatkar se market mujhe stop de deti hai, to aaj main bilkul trading nahi karunga.

USD/CAD

Hum ne USD/CAD currency pair ki keemat ka tajziya kiya hai aur aik ahem resistance zone ko pehchana hai jo 1.3805 se lekar 1.3910 tak hai. Jab tak keemat is level se oopar nahi jaati, neeche ki taraf jaari trend oopar ki taraf ka breakthrough ke mukable zyada mumkin hai. Agar currency pair ka mojooda price 100 points se oopar chala jata hai, toh main isko bechna ka soch raha hoon. Is case mein, main ek stop loss lagaoonga taake potential nuksan ko kam karoon aur 900 points ki giravat ka target set karoonga. Yeh mera trade ko manage karne ka plan hai aur mujhe apne maqsad ke munasib munafa levels tak pohanchne mein madad karega jabke khatra ko kam karega. Halankeh nichle moving averages oonchi 240-period waale ke taraf ja rahe hain, lekin bullish conditions trend line se rebound ki wajah se qaim hain.

Agar keemat 1.3800 ke oopar jam ho jaye, toh 30-point target ke saath kharidna mumkin ho sakta hai. Lekin, trend line aur local low ke neeche giravat hone ki soorat mein, saptah ke opening price ki taraf giravat ka ishaara hota hai jo kisi bhi fori kharidne ke imkan ko negation karta hai. Kuch dino ke oopar ke movement ke baad, pair neeche ki taraf trade kar raha hai, jisse ek possible correction ka ishaara milta hai. Hum mazeed taraqqi ke baray mein nigrani rakheinge taake ye tay karein ke ye correction jaari rahega ya kharidne ki raftar dobara shuru hogi. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, active kharidari mumkin hai, lekin maujooda farokhtain kuch aur hi kehte hain. America se negative khabrein aayi hain, aur mazeed ka intizaar hai, jabke Canada ke foreign investment in securities ke data mein ghair faida mand trend nazar aaya hai. Canada se koi bhi numainda update nahi aai hai, ummeedein oopar ki taraf bullish movement ki taraf hain, jahan kharidne ke imkan 1.3845 tak aur farokht 1.3787 tak ho sakte hain. Is natijay mein, main jald hi kharidari ki sargarmi mein dobara taraqqi ka ummeedwar hoon.

USDCAD Technical Outlook:

Canadian Dollar ne 2024 ko US Dollar ke muqable mein girawat ke sath shuru ki, Forex pair USD/CAD ne late December 2023 mein 1.3180 se 1.3380 tak apni mojooda average keemat tak chadha aur kuch dinon se is level ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Jodi ne US CPI data release ke doran aur haal hi mein oil prices mein uthal-puthal ke doran qaaim raha. Agle hafte, markets Canada ki December 2023 CPI data ka intezar kar rahe hain, pehle median CPI y/y 3.4% tha, aur m/m 0.1% tha. Traders CPI data ko tezi se dekhein ge kyun ke release Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report, Overnight Rate, aur Rate Statement ke agle subah hone wale hain, jo 24 January 2024 ke maqami waqt mein scheduled hain. Halankeh, haal hi mein Middle East ke tajawuzat ke hone ke bawajood ane wale asraat ka khayal rakhna bhi ahem hai, jo oil prices par asar daal sakte hain.

CAD haal hi mein economic reports ke darmiyan qaaim hai jo ke currency ko USD ke sharp izafa ko rokne mein madad ki, lekin CAD ab bhi dabaav ke teht hai jab ke trade war ke shakook ne oil prices ko kam kar diya hai aur US dollar ko bullish momentum ko qayam rakhne mein madad mili hai. Haal hi mein Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz ne kaha ke unhe yakeen hai ke mulk ka housing sector is saal ke aakhri daur mein izafa karega, jab ke Toronto aur Vancouver ke markets qaaim hue aur naye dafaat ka asar shuru hua. Dollar, AUD/USD exchange rate mein idhar-udhar ki movaiyyen ko peda karta hai jab ke investors kisi bhi currency ko khareedne ke liye daur par aate hain. U.S. Canada ke liye behtareen export market hai, jiska 80% taqreeban tamam Canadian exports ko hissa hai, is liye U.S. istihqaq aur iqtisadi sehat se mutaliq data khaas tor par jodi ke liye ahem hai. U.S. mein unrozgar aam hona, misaal ke tor par, yeh darshayega ke qareebi mustaqbil mein istihqaq qisat mein izafa hoga, aur is liye tail ki darkhwast giray gi.

USDCAD OUTLOOK TAFREEH:
USDCAD ka H4 time frame chart dekhtay huay, hum dekhtay hain ke Jumeraat ko USDCAD currency pair ki movement mein kafi zyada izafa hua, 100 pips tak, 1.3550 se 1.3650 tak. USDCAD currency pair ki izafat ka zimmedar US dollar ka exchange rate mazid barhne ki wajah hai jaise ke NFP ke baray mein khabron ke Ijlaas se, jis mein non-agricultural jobs ki 303 hazaar vacancies ka izafa hua aur America mein berozgari dar 3.8% tak gir gai, jo USDCAD ki movement ko 1.3650 ke qeemat par barhaya. USD currency exchange rate ki mazid bulandiyaon ke alawah, ye bhi pata chalta hai ke Canadian dollar ki kamzori hai Canada ki berozgari dar ke Ijlaas se, jo 6.1% tak barh gayi hai aur Canada mein rozgar ke tabadlay mein bhi 22,000 afrad ka manfi nataija raha , jo USDCA ki movement ko 100 pips tak barha diya. Lekin, pichle Jumeraat ke market band hone par, pata chalta hai ke USDCAD phir se 1.3590 ke qeemat par gir gaya ya 60 pips ka izafa hua, kyun ke SP500 stock index ki keemat 5220 tak barh gayi thi, jo ke US dollar ko kafi zyada kamzor kar diya. USDCAD currency pair ke aj ki mohimana analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq. USDCAD ke H1 time frame chart ke mutabiq. USDCAD currency pair ki future mein movement ke mery technical analysis ke mutabiq, mein ab bhi USDCAD ko 1.3540 tak bechnay ka rujhan rakhta hoon. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame par USDCAD currency pair ki movement ne ek bearish engulfing candle banaya hai jo ke USDCAD ko 1.3540 ke qeemat tak bechnay ka ek bohot hi mazboot signal hai. Is ke alawah, relative strength index 14 indicator ki tajziyaati tasveer mein, pata chalta hai ke USDCAD ki keemat 1.3650 par pehlay hi overbought ya bohot zyada kharidaar ho chuki hai, is liye bohot zyada sambhav hai ke Monday ko USDCAD ki keemat 1.3548 par giray gi . USDCAD bechnay ka signal RSI method bhi tasleem karta hai kyun ke jab USDCAD ki keemat 1.3650s mein dakhil hui toh pata chala ke yeh RSI area mein hai, is liye bohot sambhav hai ke agle Monday ko USDCAD 10-50 pips tak kaafi gehra girawat ka samna karega. USDCAD ke future movement ke liye mere technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, maine faisla kiya ke mein 1.3540 tak USDCAD ko bechnay ka rasta jaari rakhoonga.