USD/CAD currency pair ne Thursday ke Asian trading mein izafa kiya, jab ke mazbooti se tawaqo ki gayi US inflation data ne March ke liye. Ye US dollar ko 105.30 par saal ka naya unchi pohnchaya. Investors aaj ke din aane wale US producer price index (PPI) release se mazeed ishaaron ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Umeed hai ke headline aur core PPI figures mein barhawat 2.2% aur 2.3% year-over-year ke mutabiq hogi. Intehai, Bank of Canada (BoC) ne apni key interest rate ko July se 5% par chhatey meeting tak barqarar rakha. Bank of Canada Governor, Stephen Macklem, ne announcement ke baad ek press conference mein inflation ke samne musbat taraqqi ko tasleem kiya. Lekin, unho ne rate cut ka tajurba karne se pehle independent inflation kam hoti ki mazeed concrete saboot ki zaroorat ko zyada ahmiyat di. Macklem ne June mein rate reduction ki mumkinat ka ishara diya, lekin is khabar ne market ki tawaqo ko Tuesday ko 53% se bas 21% tak girane ka asar kiya, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. March ke US inflation report ne inflation ko kam karne ke challenges ko ahem tor par numaya kiya, jo ke looser monetary policy ki taraf ek harkat ko taal sakti hai. Is nateejay mein, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko saalana naye unchiyon par pahunchne mein madad mili, USD/CAD pair ko saath dene mein madad mili. Technical tor par, USD/CAD pair ne aik halki izafa dikhaya, jab usne apne Simple Moving Average (SMA) par support paaya aur short-term uptrend channel ke andar reh gaya. Jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator abhi apne trigger line ke nazdeek zero par hai aur uski momentum kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, to Relative Strength Index (RSI) thora upar neutral level 50 ke qareeb hai. Agar market apni upar ki rah ko jaari rakhta hai, toh potential upside 1.3610 se 1.3655 ke range ke andar 1.3655 resistance zone se rok sakti hai. Baraks, agar yeh area ko paar karta hai, toh bullish sentiment ko mazbooti milti hai aur pair ko 1.3770 resistance ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke pichle saal November 16 ko nahi dekha gaya. Neeche ki taraf, agar speculative trading hold par hoti hai aur pair 200-day moving average ko paar karta hai, toh ek temporary decline ki rukawat 1.3455 ke aas paas ho sakti hai, jahan tak aur neeche ki taraf 1.3410 tak ka target ho sakta hai . 1.3175 ke paanch mahine ka low ko tasleem karne se pehle aik decisive break bearish bias ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai.
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