USD/CAD ANALYSIS 16 JULY 2024
USDCAD jora early this week mein trade karne ke liye ek dilchaspi rakhne wala instrument hai, kyun ke aaj raat ko Canadian inflation data aur US Retail Sales jaari honge. Dono hi data top tier classify kiye gaye hain, isliye inka is pair ke movement par gehra asar hoga. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke Canadian inflation estimate pichle 5 mahinon ki sab se kam hai, jahan pichle mahine ki 0.3% estimate ke mukablay is mahine ki estimate 0.1% par gir gayi hai. Yeh haalat CAD ke umoomi izafa ke liye kam supportive nazar aati hai, lekin US sales data bhi pichle mahine ke -0.3% se bohat kam estimate ki gayi hai.
Lekin yeh sirf ek estimate hai aur haqeeqi data mukhtalif bhi ho sakta hai aur market players ko hairan bhi kar sakta hai. Agar aap 6 CAD pairs ko umooman dekhein to unka position kamzor nazar aata hai. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke yeh kamzori buying climax ya daily buy momentum area mein hai, isliye qeemat mein neeche pullback ka mauqa hai jo ek correction ban sakta hai reentry buy setup ke liye MA5/MA10 Low Daily ke aas paas. Agar aisa ho, to traders speculative sell strategy ko amal mein laa sakte hain, lekin mazeed tafseeli tajziya ke liye, unko multi-timeframe analysis karna hoga.
USDCAD ke haftey ke timeframe par movement ki nazar daasht kehta hai ke upar ki taraf rawaiya MA5/MA10 Low Weekly area se shuru hota hai, jo haftey ki lowest average area hai, agar aap peechle price history mein teen bearish candlesticks dekhein to unke paas lambi lower wick hoti hai, jo ke iska dainamic support area ke khilaaf mazboot bearish rejection ko darshata hai, jis se qeemat ab tak upar gayi hai. Agar aap qeemat ki position dekhte hain jo abhi bhi middle position mein hai, to upar rawaiya ke liye bari mumkinat hain MA5/MA10 High Weekly area tak jo ke 1.3702 se 1.3724 ke qeemat range mein hai, aur yeh ek moqa bhi hai ke pehle resistance area tak pohanch sake jo ke 1.3753 ke qeemat par hai.
Is haftey ke reentry buy ke potential ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, to H4 timeframe par aik mazboot momentum buy candlestick banna zaroori hai, jo ke dominant buyer ki taqat ko aur zyada buying climax banane ki alamat hai.
Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke H4 timeframe par mojood right side mein pichle haftay ki shuruat se aik buy momentum candlestick ban chuki hai, aur aaj phir se red EMA200 line ko penetrate karne ke liye buying climax create kiya gaya hai, lekin ek supply area green rectangle 1.3678 - 1.3685 mein hai jo ke todna zaroori hai ta ke increase potential ko yakeeni banaya ja sake jo ke yellow rectangle area 1.3738 - 1.3750 tak hai. Jabke pullback ke potential MA5/MA10 Low H4 area tak bhi kafi khula hai jo ke 1.3653 ke qeemat par hai H4 reentry buy cycle ko mukammal karne ke liye.
To trading setup aisay ban sakta hai:
**Trading Setup**
- **BUY LIMIT 1.3653** with **SL 1.3620** and **TP1 1.3685 TP2 1.3738**
- **BUY BREAKOUT** agar candlestick green rectangle area ko tod de to **SL 1.3653** aur **TP 1.3750**
USDCAD jora early this week mein trade karne ke liye ek dilchaspi rakhne wala instrument hai, kyun ke aaj raat ko Canadian inflation data aur US Retail Sales jaari honge. Dono hi data top tier classify kiye gaye hain, isliye inka is pair ke movement par gehra asar hoga. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke Canadian inflation estimate pichle 5 mahinon ki sab se kam hai, jahan pichle mahine ki 0.3% estimate ke mukablay is mahine ki estimate 0.1% par gir gayi hai. Yeh haalat CAD ke umoomi izafa ke liye kam supportive nazar aati hai, lekin US sales data bhi pichle mahine ke -0.3% se bohat kam estimate ki gayi hai.
Lekin yeh sirf ek estimate hai aur haqeeqi data mukhtalif bhi ho sakta hai aur market players ko hairan bhi kar sakta hai. Agar aap 6 CAD pairs ko umooman dekhein to unka position kamzor nazar aata hai. Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke yeh kamzori buying climax ya daily buy momentum area mein hai, isliye qeemat mein neeche pullback ka mauqa hai jo ek correction ban sakta hai reentry buy setup ke liye MA5/MA10 Low Daily ke aas paas. Agar aisa ho, to traders speculative sell strategy ko amal mein laa sakte hain, lekin mazeed tafseeli tajziya ke liye, unko multi-timeframe analysis karna hoga.
USDCAD ke haftey ke timeframe par movement ki nazar daasht kehta hai ke upar ki taraf rawaiya MA5/MA10 Low Weekly area se shuru hota hai, jo haftey ki lowest average area hai, agar aap peechle price history mein teen bearish candlesticks dekhein to unke paas lambi lower wick hoti hai, jo ke iska dainamic support area ke khilaaf mazboot bearish rejection ko darshata hai, jis se qeemat ab tak upar gayi hai. Agar aap qeemat ki position dekhte hain jo abhi bhi middle position mein hai, to upar rawaiya ke liye bari mumkinat hain MA5/MA10 High Weekly area tak jo ke 1.3702 se 1.3724 ke qeemat range mein hai, aur yeh ek moqa bhi hai ke pehle resistance area tak pohanch sake jo ke 1.3753 ke qeemat par hai.
Is haftey ke reentry buy ke potential ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, to H4 timeframe par aik mazboot momentum buy candlestick banna zaroori hai, jo ke dominant buyer ki taqat ko aur zyada buying climax banane ki alamat hai.
Dilchaspi ki baat yeh hai ke H4 timeframe par mojood right side mein pichle haftay ki shuruat se aik buy momentum candlestick ban chuki hai, aur aaj phir se red EMA200 line ko penetrate karne ke liye buying climax create kiya gaya hai, lekin ek supply area green rectangle 1.3678 - 1.3685 mein hai jo ke todna zaroori hai ta ke increase potential ko yakeeni banaya ja sake jo ke yellow rectangle area 1.3738 - 1.3750 tak hai. Jabke pullback ke potential MA5/MA10 Low H4 area tak bhi kafi khula hai jo ke 1.3653 ke qeemat par hai H4 reentry buy cycle ko mukammal karne ke liye.
To trading setup aisay ban sakta hai:
**Trading Setup**
- **BUY LIMIT 1.3653** with **SL 1.3620** and **TP1 1.3685 TP2 1.3738**
- **BUY BREAKOUT** agar candlestick green rectangle area ko tod de to **SL 1.3653** aur **TP 1.3750**
تبصرہ
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