امریکی ڈالر بمقابلہ کینیڈین ڈالر: مارکیٹ کی تازہ ترین معلومات

USD/CAD ki price ne sharp decline experience kiya, aur 1.3673 ke support area ko touch kiya. Is drop ke baad, price ne steady rise dikhaya hai. Aakhri kuch hafton mein, yeh bearish rising wedge pattern bana rahi hai. Yeh pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke 1.3700 level ke neeche breakdown hone ka imkaan hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to yeh ek selling position ke liye mauqa ho sakta hai, jahan profit target 1.3583 ke support area par set kiya ja sakta hai. Traders ko in critical levels par price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. 1.3700 ke neeche break hona bearish rising wedge pattern ko confirm karega aur ek clear selling opportunity offer karega. Iske baraks, agar price is level ke upar rehti hai aur resistance zone ki taraf jaati hai, to yeh bearish pattern ko invalidate kar sakta hai, aur ek mukhtalif trading strategy zaroori ho sakti hai.



USD/CAD pair ek pivotal point par hai, jahan significant price movements kisi bhi direction mein ho sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur bearish rising wedge pattern ke saath saath price ke resistance zone ki taraf move karne ki possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhte hue apni trades plan karni chahiye. Careful analysis aur market signals par tawajju dena is situation ko effectively navigate karne mein crucial hoga
Daily timeframe use karte hue, main USD/CAD market conditions ko analyze karunga. Aakhri teen hafton mein, USD/CAD ne bearish candlestick pattern form kiya hai weekly aur daily timeframes par, jo sellers ke strength ko dominate kar raha hai. June 8, 2024 se, raat tak, market downward move hota raha hai, 1.3600 se 1.3675 tak drop hua, jo ke takreeban 150 pips ka decline hai. Yeh further downward movement ke strong potential ko indicate karta hai, khaaskar agar sellers 1.3645 ke support level ko break karte hain, to USD/CAD ke paas mazeed girne ki jagah hogi
Charts ko dekhte hue, H4 timeframe se agle movement ke potential ko dekha ja sakta hai. Likely hai ke current forceful activity mein mazeed izafa hoga. Chart ke mutabiq, ek 150 SMA line ko pehle surpass karna hoga taake bullish trend ka signal mil sake. Maine 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicators add kiye hain taake pichle teen dinon ka moving average visualize kiya ja sake. 100 SMA line ne downward curve liya hai, jo ke downtrend ko indicate karta hai, aur price ab bhi 150 SMA ke neeche hai, jo ke bhi downward point kar rahi hai. Abhi, yeh increase itna substantial nahi hai ke Buy position consider ki ja sake. Is liye, decision lene se pehle mazeed factors ko consider karna zaroori hai
Market analysis aur technical indicators ka istemal karte hue, current conditions ko assess karna important hai. Yeh ensure karega ke trading decisions informed aur accurate hoon. 1.3700 ke critical level par price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, aur agar breakdown hota hai, to bearish trend ko follow karte hue selling opportunity ko utilize karna chahiye. Magar, agar price resistance zone ki taraf move karti hai, to mukhtalif trading strategy adopt karna zaroori hoga. Trading mein discipline aur vigilance ko maintain karte hue, profitable opportunities ko pehchanna aur effectively manage karna mumkin hai.

Maine market movement ko H4 timeframe chart ke zariye dekhne ki koshish ki, jahan candlestick position September ke aghaz se bullish se bearish trend ko reverse kar paayi hai. Candlesticks jo Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche girne aur move karne mein kaamyab rahi hain. Lekin, kabhi kabhi ek upward correction movement hoti hai jo candlestick ko kabhi kabhi Simple Moving Average 150 indicator jo ke red hai, ke qareeb le aati hai. Chart mein dekha ja sakta hai ke kal ki decline ne pichle kuch hafton ka sabse lowest level reach kar liya hai.

MACD indicator par dotted yellow line phir se zero level ke neeche gir gayi hai, histogram bar ke peechay jo ab tak elongated nahi hui hai, jabke RSI indicator (14) 50 level ke neeche move kar raha hai jo market trend ko bearish zone mein hone ka indication deta hai. Mere khayal mein, ye condition dikhati hai ke seller army ki dominance abhi bhi wahan hai aur mazeed fundamentals ka intezar kar rahi hai jo ek significant movement effect de sakti hai. H4 timeframe use karte hue chart ko observe karne ke natijay mein, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke market conditions ke paas bearish trend ko continue karne ka bohot zyada potential hai.

NATIJAH:

USDCAD currency pair par technical data ka analysis karne ke baad aur kayi indicators ko use karte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke lagbhag tamam indicators ab tak candlesticks ko bearish trend ke direction mein movement ko survive karte dikhate hain. Agli market condition ke liye, meri estimation ke mutabiq, further downward movement dekhi ja sakti hai agar price phir se girne mein kaamyab hoti hai aur 1.3610 level ko reach karti hai. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, to bearish target ke liye ideal area price level 1.3560 ke aas paas dikhayi deta hai jo seller troops ka target level hai. Stoploss level ko transaction level se 35 pips door rakha ja sakta ha

Main filhal USD/CAD currency pair ke price action ka analysis kar raha hoon. Do scenarios hain: ya to yeh significant tareeqay se upar jaayega ya phir deeply bearish direction mein girayega, takreeban 750-800 points hamari current position se. Magar, main buying ke side ko zyada preference de raha hoon, aur mujhe deep bearish move par shak hai. Agar downward scenario unfold hota bhi hai, to main 1.3615 ke support level ke neeche confirmation ka intezar karoonga pehle ke selling consider karoon. Abhi sirf bearish outlook par focus karna premature hai, magar main is possibility ko mukammal tor par nazarandaz bhi nahi kar raha. Aaj ki market analysis yeh suggest karti hai ke 1.37754 ka resistance pivotal ho sakta hai. Agar wahan reversal candle form hoti hai aur price decline karti hai, to main 1.36901 ya 1.36473 ke aas paas support watch karoonga, jahan main buying opportunities dhoondhoonga anticipating ke rebound hoga aur upward movement aayega. Filhal, main current opportunities par concentrate kar raha hoon na ke distant targets par.



USD/CAD forex market ne recent trading sessions mein notable signs of substantial growth dikhaye hain. Peechle kuch trading sessions ke dauran, price trajectory consistently upward rahi hai, jo traders aur investors ke liye significant attention ka sabab bani hai. Is bullish momentum ne USD/CAD pair ko kayi key resistance levels cross karne par majboor kiya hai, jo ek robust upward trend ko highlight karta hai jise kai market participants closely monitor kar rahe hain. Ek critical milestone is upward journey mein daily resistance marker 1.3682 ka breach tha. Yeh level pehle ek formidable barrier tha, jahan price ne kayi occasions par move karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya tha. Is resistance level ka eventual breakthrough ek significant event tha, jo market dynamics mein potential shift ka signal tha aur further gains ke liye rasta kholta hai. Yeh breach strong bullish sentiment ko suggest karta hai market mein, driven by various underlying economic aur technical factors
Last Friday, price briefly upper boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud indicator ko surpass kiya magar hold karne mein nakam rahi, aur close par Cloud ke andar return ki, jo currency pair ke liye ek neutral stance ko indicate karta hai. Notably, buy signal ab bhi intact hai, aur bullish takeover ab tak bears ne nahi toda. Iske ilawa, bears ki koshish ke 26th figure ke neeche push karne ke attempts bhi unsuccessful rahi hain, jo ek accumulation phase ka imkaan hai jo likely upward surge mein result karegi. Since uptrend 31st figure se originate hui hai, yeh potential move towards 39th figure ko indicate karta hai. Nevertheless, Monday ko 1.2614 par downward adjustment possible hai, followed by ek rebound aur growth towards upper limit of the flat range at 1.3781
CCI indicator on D1 for USDCAD, sales area se out hote hue, phir se negative turn kar gaya hai, jo ek potential pullback ko support karta hai, as previously mentioned, allowing for a retest of the support level at 1.3614. Is situation mein, price ka movement closely monitor karna aur market signals par tawajju dena crucial hoga taake effectively trading decisions le jaa sake.

USD/CAD H-1 TIME FRAME CHART.

#USDCAD (US dollar / Canadian dollar). Ek zabardast trading plan iss instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par banaya ja sakta hai, kyunke iss waqt market mein ek profitable deal banane ka behtareen moka hai, jiski forecast ko successfully fulfill karne ke imkaanat kaafi zyada hain. Apne kaam mein, hum teen indicators par focus karte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Level_Color. Optimal entry point ko choose karne ka algorithm kuch stages par mushtamil hai. Sabse pehle, senior H4 timeframe par, hum trend ka taayun karte hain. Ek moving average with 21 (Hama) humein ismein madad dega. Abhi quotes moving average ke neeche hain, to global trend downward hai aur hum sirf sale mein enter ho sakte hain. Phir, working chart par, hum 1 ghanta intezar karte hain Hama aur RSI indicators ke red hone ka. Jab ye do conditions ek saath hoti hain, hum ek quick deal open karte hain. Hum position se Magnetic levels par exit karte hain. Aaj, forecast ko fulfill karne ke liye sabse probable levels 1.35604 hain. Agar quotes desired magnetic level tak pohanch jati hain, hum instrument ka behavior dekhte hain - agar price desired direction mein move karti rehti hai; hum trailing add karte hain aur profit barhne ka intezar karte hain. Agar price slow down aur stabilize hoti hai, to hum magnetic level par bina kisi jhijhak ke exit karte hain.

USD/CAD D1 TIME FRAME CHART.

Hello. Aur yahaan bhi, yeh is baat par depend karta hai ke aap isse kaise dekhte hain, kyunke kal ka low update ho gaya hai, aur southern direction mein pressure barkarar hai, aur girawat ke liye abhi bhi jagah hai, lekin main koi specific targets nahi bataunga. Aur humare paas abhi bhi ek choti si initiative hai, magar ab tak hum 36th figure ke neeche merge nahi ho sakte. Aur volatility kam hai, halan ke dollar aaj gir raha hai, kam az kam ab tak. Magar yeh abhi bhi important hai ke hum Americans par kaise trade karenge, kyunke humein labor market ka data States aur Canada dono mein mil raha hai. Aur is tarah main abhi bhi short-term initiatives se guide ho raha hoon. Aur is tarah, agar hum wapas aayein aur kam az kam 1.3730 area tak chadhein, main wahan bhi sell karunga.

USD-CAD Pair Forecast

FOMC aam taur par kuch naya nahi laata. Kyunki yeh sirf high-ranking Federal Reserve officials ki meeting hoti hai. Jab tak latest interest rate ka scheduled announcement nahi hota, tab tak kuch naya nahi hota. Aur agar Fed governor ka scheduled speech nahi hai, tab bhi kuch naya nahi hoga. Lekin market ne kuch naya dekha hai US economy mein FOMC hone se pehle, jab United States ne apne ISM Services data release kiya jo ke significantly gir gaya below 50 points. Isi wajah se USDCAD afternoon se leke evening tak kaafi bearish raha. Main bhi disappointed tha, kyunki din ke dauran jab USDCAD pair mein hedging position thi BUY aur SELL positions ke saath simultaneously, maine SELL position exit karne ka faisla kiya. Natija yeh hua ke mujhe loss bear karna pada jab price kaafi deep bearish tha. Khush kismati se, BUY position sirf choti lot mein thi, isliye accumulated floating loss bhi relatively chota raha.

Aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCAD pair ka price movement sluggish rahega kyunki US financial market reported hai ke closed hai. Lekin maine economic calendar Friday ko dekha, jisme important economic data releases show hui from Canada aur United States. Forecast ke mutabiq Canadian economic data kharab hone ki umeed hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke aaj se choti lot ke saath BUY position aim karna galat nahi hoga, umeed karte hue ke price Friday ko dobara bullish ho jaaye, halanki Bollinger Band indicator H4 time frame mein dikhata hai ke price lower band area mein hai.

Private sector jobs pichle paanch mahino mein apni expectations se kam aaye hain, jo ke speculation ko barha rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) 2024 mein potential interest rate cuts kar sakti hai. Yeh scenario April 2020 ke baad se sabse significant rate reduction hoga. Dusri taraf, Canada's economic picture ek mixed bag present kar raha hai. Canadian Purchase Manager Index (PMI) private sector production mein contraction suggest karta hai, lekin cost pressures mein bhi decline ki hint de raha hai. Yeh Bank of Canada (BOC) ko borrowing costs kam karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo CAD ko weaken karega aur USD/CAD pair ko kuch support de sakta hai. Market ka focus aaj Canada ke net employment change data par hai jo ke June ke liye release hoga. Forecasts predict karte hain ke decrease 26,700 se 22,500 tak ho sakta hai, sath hi unemployment rate 6.3% se 6.2% tak barh sakta hai.

Technically, USD/CAD pair ne is hafte resistance ke samne selling pressure ka samna kiya hai jo ke 1.3750 ke qareeb tha, jo iski recent trading range ka upper limit hai. Yeh level 200-day Simple Moving Average (EMA) ke sath bhi coincide karta hai, jo ke long-term trends ka aik key indicator hai. Bearish sentiment ko aur barhane ke liye, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators dono suggest karte hain ke downtrend continue ho sakta hai. RSI is waqt 50 se niche hai aur mazeed decline kar raha hai, jab ke MACD zero line ke niche positioned hai, jo weakening momentum ko indicate karta hai. Agar selling pressure barh gaya aur pair immediate support level 1.3590 ke qareeb break kar gaya, to decline intensify ho kar 1.3475 region tak ja sakta hai, jo ke early April mein support act kar raha tha. Yeh scenario USD/CAD dynamic mein aik significant shift ko highlight karega.

USD/CAD Market Forecast

Greetings and Good Morning to Everyone! Canadian Ivey PMI, Unemployment, aur Employment rates aaj USD/CAD market sentiment ko badalenge. Kal, US dollar ke liye koi khaas news events nahi the, isliye traders ne Wednesday ke data par focus kiya, jo sellers ke favor mein tha aur 1.3636 zone ko successfully breach karne mein madadgar raha. Yeh movement yeh suggest karta hai ke market abhi bearish pressure mein hai. Lekin, aaj ke Canadian economic indicators yeh sentiment badal sakte hain. Canadian Ivey PMI, Unemployment, aur Employment rates ke release ke sath, traders Canadian economy ki health ke baare mein crucial insights gain karenge. Agar Ivey PMI stronger-than-expected hota hai aur favorable employment data ke sath milta hai, to CAD strengthen ho sakta hai, jo USD/CAD ko aur neeche push karega. Agar data disappoint karta hai, to USD kuch ground regain kar sakta hai. In dynamics ko dekhte hue, USD/CAD market jaldi ya der mein 1.3600 range cross kar sakta hai, isliye carefully trade karna aur nayi market sentiment ke sath line mein rehna zaroori hai. Short-term trading ke liye, main USD/CAD mein buy order prefer karta hoon, anticipating ke Canadian data releases ke initial impact ke baad USD recover kar sakta hai. Lekin, Canadian aur US Unemployment rates aur US Non-Farm Employment data ke release ke dauran trading activities ko carefully manage karna zaroori hai. Yeh releases significant volatility aur rapid market shifts cause kar sakte hain. In indicators ko closely monitor karne se informed trading decisions lene aur risks ko mitigate karne mein madad milegi. Umeed hai ke aaj humein ek better trading scenario dekhne ko milega, jismein profit opportunities hongi regardless of market direction. Economic data se informed aur responsive rehkar, traders USD/CAD market ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain. Key yeh hai ke adaptable aur potential market swings ke liye prepared rahna, ensuring ke trading strategies latest data aur market sentiment ke sath align karein. Stay Blessed and Keep Calm.

New York session ke Thursday mein, USD/CAD pair ne 1.3700 ke ahem resistance level ke qareeb pohancha. Yeh harkat US Dollar ki dobara taaqat hasil karne ke dauran hui, jabke US Dollar Index (DXY) 105.15 par pohanch gaya, Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cuts ke aas paas uncertainty ke bawajood.

USD/CAD ke Bunyadiyat:

Canadian Dollar ki taqat, jo aksar Loonie ke naam se jani jati hai, Canada ki April mein thanda hone wale inflation rate ke natayaj mein Bank of Canada (BoC) ke overnight rate mein 4.75% tak 25 basis points ki khatarnaak kami ki ummeedon se mutasir hui hai. CIBC Capital Markets ke maqam par, BoC ke multiple rate cuts ke amal se pehle Federal Reserve ke qadam uthane ki ummeed hai. BoC aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy mein yeh farq Canadian Dollar par neechay ki taraf dabao daal sakta hai, jis se USD/CAD pair ko faida ho sakta hai.

BoC Governor Tiff Macklem ne economic data ke mutabiq rate cut ki mumkinat par ishara kiya hai, jo Canadian monetary policy ke ehtyatmand tareeqe ko nazar andaz karta hai maujooda economic halaat ke doraan.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Haal hi mein trading sessions mein, USD/CAD ne mazeed kamzor hawale se 1.3610 ke neechay se 0.77% izafa kiya hai. Lekin, pair ko asoodgi se mutasir trading shara'at ne mazbut tezi ke liye rok di hai, jo 1.3744 ke resistance level se oopar barhne ki tawaqo ko rok rahi hai.

Technically, daily candlestick charts indicate that USD/CAD has rebounded from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) situated at 1.3674. Despite this bounce, the long-term bullish trends for USD/CAD appear muted, especially considering its decline from yearly highs around 1.3851.

1.3612 ka level ek significant horizontal support zone hai. Is zone ne pehle bhi kai baar support provide kiya hai, aur is dafa bhi daam ne yahan thodi der ke liye rukawat mehsoos ki. Is recent price action ka peeche ka reason alag-alag factors hain. Ek factor toh US aur Canada ke beech ke interest rate differentials hain. US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Canada ki monetary policies aur unke interest rate decisions ka bhi market pe seedha asar hota hai. Pichle kuch hafton mein, Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke bawajood, kuch economic indicators ne US dollar ki strength ko thoda kum kar diya. Doosri taraf, Bank of Canada bhi inflation ko control karne ke liye apni policies ko tight karne par zor de raha hai, jiski wajah se Canadian dollar ko support mil raha hai. Geopolitical factors ka bhi asar hota hai. Oil prices jo Canada ki economy ke liye kaafi ahmiyat rakhte hain, unmein bhi recent movements ne CAD ko influence kiya hai. Agar oil prices mein stability ya increase hoti hai, toh Canadian dollar ko aur strength mil sakti hai. Iske alawa, global risk sentiment aur trade dynamics bhi USD/CAD ke daam ko influence karte hain. Technically dekha jaye, 1.3612 ka level ek strong support zone hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh agla support level 1.3500 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. On the upside, resistance levels ko monitor karna bhi zaroori hai. Immediate resistance 1.3700 ke aas-paas dekha ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh level cross hota hai, toh 1.3800-1.3850 ka zone ek significant resistance point ban sakta hai. Indicators jaise Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD bhi price action ki strength aur trend ke baare mein insight dete hain. Agar RSI oversold conditions dikhata hai, toh price mein reversal ka possibility badh jati hai. Fundamentally, kuch upcoming economic data releases aur central bank meetings ka bhi USD/CAD pair pe significant impact ho sakta hai. Economic indicators jaise GDP growth rate, employment data, inflation reports, aur retail sales figures dono deshon ke liye closely monitor kiya jate hain. Overall, USD/CAD ke daam 1.3612 ke horizontal support zone pe rukawat mehsoos karte hue dikh rahe hain. Yahan se market participants ke actions, upcoming economic events, aur global market dynamics pe depend karega ki price is support ko hold kar pata hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level sustain hota hai, toh ek potential bounce back ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh break hota hai, toh price further downside explore kar sakta. USD/CAD ko bohat ehtiyat ke saath trade karna mashhoor hai, jab tak ke price 1.3575 CAD ke neeche acchi tarah se na rahay, long positions (khareedne ke waqt) ko pasand kiya ja sakta hai. Aglay bullish maqsad ke liye kharidar 1.3598 CAD par set kiya gaya hai.
Agar yeh resistance bullish break ho jaye, to bullish momentum ko boost mil sakta hai. Kharidar phir 1.3614 CAD par resistance ko target kar sakte hain. Agar koi crossing hoti hai, to agla maqsad 1.3637 CAD par mojood resistance ho sakta hai. PS: Agar 1.3575 CAD par mojood support mein bearish break hota hai, to hum

USD/CAD pair ne negative note pe 1.3605 ke qareeb trade kiya early Asian session mein Friday ko. Pair ka downward tick weak US dollar bond ki wajah se support ho raha hai. Friday ko US aur Canadian employment reports release hongi. USD/CAD ne apni losing streak ko chaar seedha sessions tak barqaraar rakha, aur Friday ko early European hours mein 1.3610 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Ye decline weak US dollar ki wajah se hai, jo ke is speculation se fuel hua ke United States interest rates ko Federal Reserve (Fed) 2024 mein cut kar sakta hai. Wednesday ko, US ISM services PMI sharp decline ke sath 48.8 pe aa gaya June mein, jo ke April 2020 se sab se bara decline tha. ADP employment report ne dikhaya ke US private businesses ne 150,000 workers ko apni payrolls mein add kiya June mein, jo ke pichle paanch mahine ka slowest increase tha. Ye number expectations of 160,000 se neeche tha aur May mein downwardly revised 157,000 se bhi neeche tha. Traders ab Friday ke US jobs report ka intezar kar rahe hain, jisme June mein job growth slow hone ki umeed hai. US nonfarm payrolls expected hain ke 190,000 naye jobs add karenge, jo ke pichle reading of 272,000 se neeche hai. U.S. average hourly earnings ki expectations hain ke thodi si moderate hongi, year-over-year 3.9% pe aayengi, jo ke previous reading of 4.1% se thoda kam hai.



CAD front pe, crude oil prices ka modest drop commodity-linked Canadian dollar ke upside ko limit kar sakta hai, kyunke Canada US ka major crude oil exporter hai. West Texas Intermediate oil prices $83.50 per barrel ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain writing ke time pe. Iske ilawa, latest Canadian Composite PMI of 47.5 ne private sector output mein contraction aur cost pressures ke easing ko signal kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke Bank of Canada borrowing costs ko reduce kar sakta hai. Ye Canadian dollar pe pressure dal sakta hai aur USD/CAD pair ko support kar sakta hai. Friday ko traders Canada ke net change in employment ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo expected hai ke 22.5K pe aa jaaye June mein, pichle reading of 26.7K se neeche. Iske darmiyan, Canada ki unemployment rate expected hai ke 6.3 percent tak barh jaaye, jo ke 6.2 percent se zyada hai.

USD/CAD Analysis




Main chart mein H4 timeframe dekh kar market movement ko samajhne ki koshish ki, jahan September ke shuru se candlestick position trend ko bullish se bearish karne mein kaamiyab rahi. Candlesticks ne gir kar Simple Moving Average indicator ke niche move kiya. Lekin, kabhi kabar ek upward correction movement bhi hoti hai jo candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 150 indicator jo ke laal hai, ke qareeb le aati hai. Upar wale chart mein dikhai deta hai ke kal ka girawat apne chand hafton ke lowest level tak pohonch gaya hai.

MACD indicator par yellow dotted line dobara zero level ke niche gir gayi hai aur histogram bar ka shape abhi bhi zyadah lambay nahi hai. RSI indicator (14) 50 level ke niche move kar raha hai jo ke market trend ke bearish zone mein valid rehne ka indication hai. Mere khayal se yeh condition dikhati hai ke seller army ka dominance abhi bhi hai aur lagta hai ke agay anay wale fundamentals ka intezar ho raha hai jo ke ek significant movement effect de sakta hai. Chart ko H4 timeframe par dekhne se pata chalta hai ke market conditions abhi bhi bearish trend ko continue karne ka bara potential rakhti hain.

Conclusion:

USDCAD currency pair ke technical data ko analyze karne ke baad, lagta hai ke lagbhag tamam indicators abhi bhi candlesticks ko bearish trend ki direction mein move karte dikhate hain. Agli market condition ke liye, mere andaze ke mutabiq, further downward movement dekhi ja sakti hai agar price phir se gir kar 1.3610 level ko pohonch jati hai. Agar candlestick analysis ke mutabiq move karti hai, to bearish target ko place karne ke liye ideal area mujhe 1.3560 price level ke around dikhai deta hai jo ke seller troops ka target level hai. Stoploss level ko transaction level se takreeban 35 pips door rakhna chahiye.

USD-CAD Pair Review

Is moka par maine market ka tajziya karne ki koshish ki hai taake USDCAD currency pair ka potential direction samajh sakoon. Umeed hai yeh kuch roshni daal sakega.



Is tajziye mein, maine in indicators ka istemal kiya:
- Simple Moving Average period 100
- Simple Moving Average period 20
- MACD indicator (12,26,9)
- Relative Strength Index Indicator 14

USDCAD currency pair chart par daily time frame ke sath candlestick movement dekhi ja sakti hai. Pichle kuch dino mein candlestick ne wide range ke sath bearish condition ka samna kiya hai. Is hafte ke trading session ke liye, candlestick ne wide range ke sath bearish movement dikhaayi. Market ka safar Monday ko level 1.3754 se bearish movement ke sath shuru hua jo level 1.3616 tak gir gaya. Phir Wednesday raat ke market session tak level 1.3685 tak ek correction hui. Lekin, aaj tak, market phir se seller's troops ke dabao mein aagaya aur price wapas lowest weekly level tak gir gayi. Seller's troops jo market par dominate kar rahe hain, chahte hain ke weekly candlestick bearish rahe aur downward trend jari rahe.

Simple Moving Average 60 indicator jo yellow hai uske monitoring ke results se maloom hota hai ke candlestick iske neeche gir gayi hai. Yeh condition tab tak jari reh sakti hai jab tak seller consistently market par apna qaboo banaaye rakhta hai, especially agar price level 1.3700 se neeche rahe. MACD indicator ke instructions dekh kar maloom hota hai ke histogram bar ka position zero se neeche medium size mein hai, aur yellow dotted MACD signal line niche ki taraf bend ho rahi hai jo market mein bearish trend ko describe karti hai. RSI indicator (14) par Lime line ab bhi consistently level 50 se neeche khel rahi hai. Yeh tino support indicators ke monitoring ke results se dekha ja sakta hai ke trend ab bhi bearish direction mein move kar raha hai.

Thursday ke New York session mein, USD/CAD ne critical resistance level 1.3700 ko approach kiya. Yeh movement us waqt ayi jab US Dollar dobara strong ho gaya, aur US Dollar Index (DXY) 105.15 tak barh gaya, Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts ke hawale se uncertainty ke bawajood.

USD/CAD ke Fundamentals:

Canadian Dollar ki strength, jo Loonie bhi kehlata hai, Bank of Canada (BoC) ke overnight rate mein 25 basis points cut ki expectations se influence hui hai, jo ke 4.75% scheduled hai. Yeh decision Canada mein April mein dekhi gayi cooling inflation rate ke baad aaya hai. CIBC Capital Markets ke economists yeh speculate karte hain ke BoC multiple times rates ko lower kar sakta hai, Fed ke similar measures initiate karne se pehle. BoC aur Fed ke monetary policy divergence se Canadian Dollar par downward pressure ho sakta hai, jo ke USD/CAD pair ke liye favorable hoga.

BoC Governor Tiff Macklem ne bhi rate cut ki possibility par hint kiya hai, future economic data ke hawale se, jo ke Canadian monetary policy ke cautious approach ko highlight karta hai evolving economic conditions mein.




Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Recent trading sessions mein, USD/CAD ne significant downward movement dikhayi, apne recent low 1.3610 se 0.77% increase mark kiya. Lekin, pair ne volatile trading conditions face ki hain, jo ke resistance level 1.3744 se upar sustained upward momentum ko hinder kar rahi hain.

Technically, daily candlestick charts indicate karte hain ke 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3674 se rebound hua hai. Phir bhi, long-term bullish trends USD/CAD ke liye subdued hain, khas tor par iski decline yearly highs 1.3851 ke qareeb se.

USD-CAD Currency Pair Analysis
Assalam-o-Alaikum! Aur kya khayal hai aapka—kya bas baithe rehna ek currency trading ka plan hai? Aur kya teen din se fence par baithna normal hai? Mujhe abhi tak is instrument ke liye koi aur option nazar nahi aata. Yahan USDCAD par, hum ek kaafi flat sideways trend dekh rahe hain jo develop ho raha hai. Ye trend hamare liye, jo screenshot ke zariye neeche judge kiya ja sakta hai, pehle se develop kiye gaye sideways trend se bahar nikla hai.

Pehla trend teen mahine tak chala, January se March tak, aur yeh jo ab chal raha hai, yeh bhi chaar mahine se chal raha hai, April se shuru hokar ab July anay wala hai. Kya yeh iska matlab hai ke hum jald hi is sideways trend se bahar niklenge? Mujhe nahi pata; yahan kuch bhi mumkin hai. Jo humare paas abhi is daily chart ke liye specific hai:
MA100 ek modest bullish angle ke saath kaam kar raha hai, lagbhag paanch degree ke. Kyunki saare humare candles iss moving average ke upar kaam karte ja rahe hain, hum yeh conclude kar sakte hain ke is instrument par sentiment predominantly bearish hai.

MA18 bhi abhi kaam kar raha hai floor ke saath parallel; yeh ek plus point hai ke humein abhi tak ek flat hai aur is se bahar nikalne ka koi exit nahi hai.

Ichimoku cloud abhi current mein bohat shrink aur ek saath chipka hua nazar aa raha hai. Forecast ke perspective se, yeh bears ki taraf ja raha hai. Aur aakhir mein, yeh bas zero ho jaata hai.

Is instrument par trading channel ke boundaries 1.3700–1.3650 hain. Main in guidelines ke bahar exit ka wait kar raha hoon.

USD/CAD ki Technical Analysis
Pichle trading haftay, Canadian dollar ne phir se koshish ki ke 1.3616 ke neeche wale range se breakout kare lekin wo nakam raha. Price foran recover hui, ek key support mil gaya aur upper border of the corridor 1.3735 ki taraf move karne lagi, aur lagbhag poora signal zone cross kar liya. Is tarah, jo expected fall thi pair ki, wo nahi hui. Sath hi, price chart green supertrend zone mein chali gayi, jo buyers ki activity ko indicate karta hai.

Technically, agar 4-H chart dekhein, toh humein chart par bearish technical structure nazar aata hai aur negative pressure simple moving average par bhi hai, jahan 14-day momentum indicator pe clear negative signals hain. Is tarah, hum negative rahte hain lekin cautious hain kyunke day trading resistance 1.3970 ke neeche stabilize ho gayi hai. Yeh jante huye ke agar 1.3995 ke neeche break hota hai toh pehla target 1.3995 tak pahunchne ke liye kaam mukammal ho jayega. Hum yaad dilate hain ke hourly candle ka 1.3970 ke minimum se upar close hona proposed scenario ki activation ko invalidate kar dega, aur hum 1.3830 tak rebound ki koshish dekh sakte hain.




Is waqt prices weekly highs se moderately rise kar rahi hain. Sath hi, key resistance area strong pressure mein hai aur break hone ke qareeb hai, jo downward se upward vector change hone ki zaroorat ko indicate karta hai. Yeh tab confirm hoga jab price 1.3664 level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamyab hogi, jo abhi main support zone ko border karta hai. Repeated testing aur subsequent rebound naye upward movement ka mauqa faraham karega, jiska target 1.3793 aur 1.3862 ke area mein hoga.

Agar support break hota hai aur price reversal level 1.3616 ke neeche girti hai, toh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milega.