Friday subah ke trading session mein USD/CAD currency pair ne aik ajeeb manzar pesh kiya: US dollar dabaav mein tha bawajood iske ke US Dollar Index (DXY) mazboot ho raha tha. Yeh ulta manzar do mukhalif quwwaton ki wajah se tha. Ek taraf, US dollar kuch temporary favor hasil kar raha tha, jo ke rising DXY se zahir hota hai. Yeh investors ki taraf se safe haven talash karne ki wajah se tha, jo Federal Reserve ke 2024 ke liye pehli interest rate cut delay karne ke faisle ka jawab tha. Fed policymakers ne data-dependent approach ko emphasize kiya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke woh mazeed economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain rates adjust karne se pehle. Fed ki yeh ehtiyaati stance potential economic unease ka ishara de sakti hai, jo investors ko US dollar ki traditional safe haven ki taraf kheench sakti hai.
Lekin, is potential USD strength ko aik mazboot Canadian dollar (CAD), jo ke Loonie bhi kehlata hai, balance kar raha tha. CAD ki strength ka key driver crude oil market ka positive performance tha. Canada ki US ko major oil exporter hone ki position ka matlab yeh hai ke strong oil market seedha stronger Canadian dollar mein translate hota hai. Jab oil prices barhti hain, Canadian oil exports zyada valuable ho jati hain, jo zyada US dollars ko Canadian economy mein le kar aati hain aur CAD ki value ko barhati hain.
Aindah ke liye dekhte hue, technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/CAD pair mazeed decline ki taraf ja sakta hai. Recent price movements yeh hint deti hain ke short-term downtrend wapas aa raha hai, jab ke pair ne Thursday ko key moving averages ke neeche close kiya. Agar yeh bearish scenario unfold hota hai, to USD/CAD pehli support 1.3622 ke qareeb mil sakti hai, jo October-December 2023 downtrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, agar downtrend sustain hota hai to pair 1.3500-1.3525 tak gir sakta hai.
Natije ke tor par, USD/CAD currency pair potential US dollar strength ke safe-haven demand aur Canadian dollar ki inherent strength jo rising oil prices ki wajah se hai, ke darmiyan kashmakash mein hai. Jab ke near future mein technical indicators ke mutabiq USD/CAD pair mein decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai, overall currency market dynamics fluid aur data-dependent rahengi, aur Fed ka agla qadam ek key factor hoga jis par nazar rakhnay ki zarurat hai.
Lekin, is potential USD strength ko aik mazboot Canadian dollar (CAD), jo ke Loonie bhi kehlata hai, balance kar raha tha. CAD ki strength ka key driver crude oil market ka positive performance tha. Canada ki US ko major oil exporter hone ki position ka matlab yeh hai ke strong oil market seedha stronger Canadian dollar mein translate hota hai. Jab oil prices barhti hain, Canadian oil exports zyada valuable ho jati hain, jo zyada US dollars ko Canadian economy mein le kar aati hain aur CAD ki value ko barhati hain.
Aindah ke liye dekhte hue, technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/CAD pair mazeed decline ki taraf ja sakta hai. Recent price movements yeh hint deti hain ke short-term downtrend wapas aa raha hai, jab ke pair ne Thursday ko key moving averages ke neeche close kiya. Agar yeh bearish scenario unfold hota hai, to USD/CAD pehli support 1.3622 ke qareeb mil sakti hai, jo October-December 2023 downtrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai. Lekin, agar downtrend sustain hota hai to pair 1.3500-1.3525 tak gir sakta hai.
Natije ke tor par, USD/CAD currency pair potential US dollar strength ke safe-haven demand aur Canadian dollar ki inherent strength jo rising oil prices ki wajah se hai, ke darmiyan kashmakash mein hai. Jab ke near future mein technical indicators ke mutabiq USD/CAD pair mein decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai, overall currency market dynamics fluid aur data-dependent rahengi, aur Fed ka agla qadam ek key factor hoga jis par nazar rakhnay ki zarurat hai.
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