usd/cad

The USD/CAD currency pair on the H4 timeframe. Aasan hona bura nahi hai agar aap tajziyan se trading karein. Iske liye, mujhe sirf do exponential moving averages ki zarurat hai jin ki dairayein 9 aur 22 hain. Hum apne indicators ke signals par trading karte hain. Main market mein dakhil hone ka ek point dhoondhna shuru karta hoon jab exponential moving averages ka takrao hota hai. Ek takrao hai price level par: 1.35234 Main trading volume ko do positions mein taqseem karta hoon. Pehli half abhi ke prices se door chali jati hai. Dusri half ek chhotay time frame par pullback ke baad aati hai, jahan hum market ko khareedte hain. Risk aik shareef cheez hai, lekin sirf tab jab woh munasib ho. 1.3490 se 1.3455 tak mein khareedna acha hoga. Museebaton ke khilaaf bima humesha kaam aata hai. Aur stock exchange mein museebatein hafton ki tarah aam hain. Is liye, chalen hum boiyon ke peechay nahi, aur apne stops ko 1.3450 mark par rakhte hain. 1.3540 mark par, graphics - machine ko rok do! Main apne stop se paanch guna faida utha lunga. Achha, aaj securities market mein hawaen tez chal rahi hain. Aur ye meri saari planning ko mere aankhon ke saamne ura deti hain. Shayad, meri planning aaj puri nahi hogi. Main kisi trade ko raat bhar open nahi chhodna chahta. Chart ke liye waqt niche ki taraf test lene ka. Hum 1.3561 par khareedna karenge. Niche khareedne ke liye behtareen price ka guess karna asaan nahi hai! Magar main apni kismat par bharosa karta hoon. Main jannat mein jaana chahta hoon, main jannat mein jaana chahta hoon. Phir cheezein theek ho jayengi! Ab tak meri saari planning sach ho rahi hai. Graph oopar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Magar uska mood kafi badal jaata hai. Main 1.3558 par ek stop rakhta hoon. Agar kisi chamatkar se market mujhe stop de deti hai, to aaj main bilkul trading nahi karunga.

USDCAD

US dollar (USD) Canadian dollar (CAD) ke muqablay mein Thursday ke Asian trading session mein izafa karke 1.3705 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa Federal Reserve (FED) ke dovish signals aur Canada ki retail sales data se kamzi thi. Canadian retail sales kamzi se kam aaye, jis se kuch logon ne tajwez diya ke Bank of Canada (BOC) angle meeting mein June mein interest rates ko kam karne ka faisla kar sakta hai. Yeh kamzor ma'ashiyati data US ma'ashiyat ke mutaliq musbat narrative ke khilaf hai, jahan investors pehle doosre quarter ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) mein 2.5% ki growth aur September 2024 tak Federal Funds Rate mein ek potential cut ka intezar kar rahe hain. FED ka rukh hal kuch arsa qabl hui hui tajwezat ke khilaaf lag raha hai, jahan policymakers ne ye kaha ke mojooda interest rates munasib hain aur kisi bhi tadbeer ke liye saal ke akhir tak intezaar zaroori ho sakta hai.

FED aur market ki expectations ke darmiyan tafawat ke ye USD ke CAD ke khilaf izafa mein hissa ban rahi hai. CAD ke masail mein lower crude oil prices bhi shamil hain, jo ke Canada ko United States ke liye aik bari oil export karne wala mulk hai aur is liye Canadian dollar par neechai dabaav dalte hain. Technical indicators jese ke RSI aur Stochastic bhi CAD ke liye neechai ke mumkinah dakhiliyat ko ishara karte hain, lekin RSI abhi bhi neutral ke oopar hai aur MACD musbat hai. Agar bears qeemat ko 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level 1.3743 tak nicha le jate hain, to ek mazeed girawat 1.3690 ilaqe ki taraf, jo ke tootne wale ascending channel ke ooper ke darjaat ko dikhata hai, mumkin hai. Yeh girawat mazeed nichle ja sakti hai, mojooda 20-day SMA ya phir 1.3600 support zone tak pohanch sakti hai. Warna, bechawaaloon ki bechawaali ka jari rehna CAD ko 50-day SMA tak nicha sakti hai jo ke mojooda 1.3565 par hai. Bunyadi tor par, USD CAD ke muqablay mein mazboot hota ja raha hai ek mazeed girawat ke silsile mein, jismein Canada ki kamzor ma'ashiyati data, Bank of Canada ke dovish signals aur US ki ma'ashiyati surat-e-haal ke liye ek musbat tajziya shamil hai. Kam crude oil prices aur technical indicators bhi CAD ki kamzori mein hissa dal rahe hain. Qareebi mor ki manzil currency pair par mukhtalif mashghooliyat ka sabab banegi, ya to bechawaalay control mein reh kar qeemat ko nicho ke ahem satah tak le ja sakte hain ya phir bulls ko kuch ta'ayun dobara hasil karne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Currency market mein, USD/CAD jodi nayi FOMC baithak ke qareebi dour mein 1.3665 ke qareeb qayam rakh rahi hai, jisay maujooda hawaaon ke sath jhulsa rahe hai jis se wo Wednesday ke agle FOMC meeting mein apni darusti ka faisla sunaegi. Market ke nazar andaaz aur hissedaron ne FOMC ke hone wale elaan ko kareeb se dekha hai, maujooda maqami mojooda arzi halat ke darmiyan darusti ki umeed hai. Rukh ko sthayi honay ki umeed ne halhi me USD ko CAD ke sath mukhsoos USD/CAD jodi ke liye momentum ko badha diya hai. USD/CAD do jodi mein ek namwar asar andaz hone wale haalat ko ghoomta hai. Jaise hi oil ke prices kamzor hote hain, CAD ko aur dabaw mehsoos hota hai kyun ke yeh mawad ke qeemat ke sath gehri taluqat rakhti hai. Oil ke prices mein kami se Canadian dollar par nichle dabav ko bhadakta hai, jo mulk ke mustaqil energy sector se gehra talluq rakhta hai. Oil ke prices mein kami ne Loonie ke girawat ko barhaya hai, is tarah USD/CAD jodi ko 1.3665 ke qareeb barhne ki talaash mein madad milti hai. Sarmayakaron aur karobariyon ne oil market ke dynamics ko tezi se dekha hai FOMC ikhata ke natijon ke sath, taake USD/CAD jodi ki potential future rukh ko samajh saken.
Technical analysis.

Is trading ke asset ke liye maujooda market sentiment bearish hai, jismein USD/CAD jodi ne ek downtrend ka samna kiya hai. Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trading bearish momentum ko darusti dikhata hai. Iske alawa, niche ki taraf ishara karne wala stochastic bechnay ka moqa darust karta hai. Haal hi mein trading session mein, jodi ne haftay ka pivot level test kiya aur apna bearish movement jari rakha, jo reversal level ke neeche adhar sthapit kiya gaya. Jab trading week shuru hui, bears ne apna girawat jari rakha, jis ka maujooda price 1.3658 hai. Intraday targets girawat ke liye classic Pivot support levels ke sath mel khaate hain. Main maujooda star par se aur girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, jahan initial support level 1.3616 ke breach hone ke sath naye wave ka shuru hota hai, jo 1.3563 ke aas paas support line ke neeche phail jaega. Agar market participants kharidari ko mazboot karne ke liye lautte, to unka focus maujooda chart segment par 1.3737 ke resistance level par hoga.

USD/CAD jodi halhi me ek sudhar phase se guzar rahi hai, lekin ye sahara talash rahi hai ke ek rebound shuru kar sake, khaaskar jab ye 61.8% Fibonacci level ke qareeb chalte hain. Iske sath hi, asset ne kuch nichle patterns banaye hain, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke yeh level bullish sentiments ke liye ahem sahara faraham kar raha hai. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke dhyan diya jaye ke 34-day exponential moving average (EMA) band abhi bhi bulls par manfi dabao dal raha hai. Ek potential bullish manzar ke liye yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke bulls kya EMA-34 ke oopar majbooti se muqabla kar sakte hain. Agar bulls EMA-34 ke oopar majbooti se qadam uthate hain to USD/CAD jodi ke potential upside movement mein itmenan daal sakegi, jis me 1.3846 ke peak price ko test karna hai.

USD/CAD BULLISH THEMES.
Mudra policy ke dynamics agle saal ke shuruaati daur mein Dollar ki taqat ko favor karna chahiye
Mehngaai ke mamooli asar ka nazar andaaz jo Dollar ki taraf se safe-haven flow ko barhaega
Kai factors Dollar ki taqat ko support karte hain
Mehangai aur vruddhi mein dhimi giraavat bahut der tak rahegi
Jab dhool baith jaye, Federal Reserve darj karda tax ko jari rakhega
Amreeka mein hamesha se zyada uchch dar hoti hai
Mehangai aur uska FED par jeet barqarar rahegi
Dollar lambay waqt ke liye uchit hoga, sath hi FED ka bayaan
Stagflation USD ko aur bhi ooncha le jayega
Garam CPI ka matlab hai ki FED ka rukh dooor tak hai

USD/CAD BEARISH THEMES.
Mehsoos hone wali Amreeki arzi arthvyavastha ki giraavat
Iss maheene dar ko badhane ka rukh zyada hai, jisse naye Amreeki Dollar ka giravat lagaye jana hai
Dollar ki kamzori 2024 mein tezi se barhegi jab bazaar ki tawajjo FED dar ke cuts ki taraf mudam hoti hai
FED kam ho rahi mehangai se zyada raahat mehsoos karta hai
Amreeki Dollar ka mukhya global reserve mudra ke roop ko challenge kiya ja raha hai
America petrodollar ke haq ko kho dene ke kareeb hai
Doosre kshetra mehangai ke liye apni jang jaari rakh sakte hain, karz suraksha vinyas ke yield ko kam karte huye
Kam FED dar ki ummeed aur behtar risk bhavna ka mishran mool roop se nakara hai
Koi aur FED hikes nahi, sambhavtah khatarnak Amreeki Dollar ke liye
Amreeki arthvyavastha mandi mein ja sakti hai, FED badlav dar ko peer sansthano se tezi se kam karega
Sticky mehangai? Sticky toh giravat ki disha hai
FED videshi mool ke mukable mein jaldi se dar ko kam karne lag jayega
Amreeki disinflation prakriya aur kam US dar ko sath dete hue.

USD/CAD

USDCAD jodi abhi tak resistance 1.3682 aur support 1.3642 ke darmiyan hai. Keematain aksar 50 EMA ke aas paas jamti hain baghair kisi taraqqi ke 200 SMA tak pohanchne ya support se neeche chalne ke. Masalan, agar keemat 50 EMA ke oopar hai aur resistance ko test kar rahi hai aur woh wahan se inkaar ka samna karti hai, toh zyada tar support ko guzar jayegi. Dusri taraf, jo keematein resistance tak pohanchti hain, unka 200 SMA tak pohanchne aur 1.3722 ke qareeb buland resistance ko bhi test karne ka potensial hota hai.

Keemat ka andaaz jo ke abhi bhi barh raha hai, woh Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator se poori tarah se sahara nahi mil raha hai. Kyunki histogram volume level 0 ke oopar bahut zyada wide nahi hai aur kabhi bhi manfi area mein laut sakta hai. Ahem level resistance 1.3682 hai kyunki yeh aik darmiyan ki keemat hai aur agle keemat ka rukh tay kar sakta hai. Jaise hum dekh sakte hain, 200 SMA ne 50 EMA ko cross karne ke baad tak bilkul bhi chuwa nahi hai. Yeh ishaara ho sakta hai ke chal rahi bearish trend sach mein kaafi mazboot hai.
Stochastic indicator ka nazariya basically ek urooj ke movement ke liye sahara faraham karta hai. Parameters jo level 50 ko guzar chuke hain, woh overbought zone mein dakhil ho sakte hain taake keemat ka barhne ka imkaan abhi tak kafi kushadah hai. Sirf tab jab parameter overbought zone mein cross karte hain aur keemat resistance 1.3682 ki taraf inkaar ka samna karti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ki taraf kaam ke aage badhne ki nishaani hogi. Aaj ki trading mein Canadian GDP m/m data report ko rozana mukablay mein laaya jaa raha hai, Employment Cost Index q/q aur US CB Consumer Confidence ke sath. Tawaqqu'ati natije kaafi zyada trading ko New York session mein dominate karne ke imkaanat rakhte hain.

USD/CAD currency pair haal hi ke trading sessions mein nihayat mustahkam raha hai, jahan qeemat ne 1.3620-1.3650 supply zone se oopar rawani ka saath diya. Takneeki taraqqi mein izafa, sath hi musbat buniyadiyat ke saath, jorh ka dhamaka pair ko November 15 se pehle ki bulandiyon tak pohancha diya aur Teesday ko impressionable paanch mazed dinon tak musbat momentum ko barqarar rakha. Keematien lagbhag 1.3825 tak chali gayi hain, jo ek bohot ahem nafsiyati level hai jo abhi US dollar ke liye tareeqa e moar par bullish ehsaas ko dikhata hai.

US Dollar Index, jo sab se badi currencies ke sath hari pati ki karkardagi ka andaza lagata hai, ek uptrend par hai, jisne paanch mahine se zyada ke buland muaqam tak pohancha. Munfarid factors ka majmooa, jo ki mehsoos shuda daromadar ke bais eftatah aur intehai shohrat ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, index ke liye izafay ko mazboot kiya. Yeh aam tor par US dollar ko dusri currencies ke saath kamzor karne ka nuqsan uthane mein madadfar sabit hoga. Haal hi mein mustaqbil ke liye Federal Reserve ke interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ke bais inflations ke barhne wale ishaaron ne in izafay ko mad e nazar rakha. Jis tarah ki monetary policy faisla darust karta hai, yeh aam tor par US dollar ko dusri currencies ke saath kamzor karne ka nuqsan uthane mein madadgar hoga. Haal hi mein mustaqbil ke liye Federal Reserve ke interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ke bais inflations ke barhne wale ishaaron ne in izafay ko mad e nazar rakha. Jis tarah ki monetary policy faisla darust karta hai, yeh aam tor par US dollar ko dusri currencies ke saath kamzor karne ka nuqsan uthane mein madadgar hoga

Mazboot consumer spending figures economy ki achi surat haal ki taraf ishara karte hain aur shayad shayad inflations pehle se zyada khatarnaak nahi hongi. Yeh Federal Reserve ko interest rates ko zyada dair tak be tabdeel rakhne ke liye umeed dilata hai, jo aakhir mein US dollar ko madadgar hoga. Dusray janib, bond yields ke neechay dabaav dalne wala market outlook investors ke confidence aur risk appetite ka ek nishana hai. Zyada bond yields, in turn, investors ko dusri currencies ke muqable mein behtar inaam ke liye currency chase karne par majboor karte hain, aur yeh upar diye gaye factor USD/CAD pair ke liye musbat momentum ko izafay mein madad kar raha hai.

the H4 timeframe. Aasan hona bura nahi hai agar aap tajziyan se trading karein. Iske liye, mujhe sirf do exponential moving averages ki zarurat hai jin ki dairayein 9 aur 22 hain. Hum apne indicators ke signals par trading karte hain. Main market mein dakhil hone ka ek point dhoondhna shuru karta hoon jab exponential moving averages ka takrao hota hai. Ek takrao hai price level par: 1.35234 Main trading volume ko do positions mein taqseem karta hoon. Pehli half abhi ke prices se door chali jati hai. Dusri half ek chhotay time frame par pullback ke baad aati hai, jahan hum market ko khareedte hain. Risk aik shareef cheez hai, lekin sirf tab jab woh munasib ho. 1.3490 se 1.3455 tak mein khareedna acha hoga. Museebaton ke khilaaf bima humesha kaam aata hai. Aur stock exchange mein museebatein hafton ki tarah aam hain. Is liye, chalen hum boiyon ke peechay nahi, aur apne stops ko 1.3450 mark par rakhte hain. 1.3540 mark par, graphics - machine ko rok do! Main apne stop se paanch guna faida utha lunga. Achha, aaj securities market mein hawaen tez chal rahi hain. Aur ye meri saari planning ko mere aankhon ke saamne ura deti hain. Shayad, meri planning aaj puri nahi hogi. Main kisi trade ko raat bhar open nahi chhodna chahta. Chart ke liye waqt niche ki taraf test lene ka. Hum 1.3561 par khareedna karenge. Niche khareedne ke liye behtareen price ka guess karna asaan nahi hai! Magar main apni kismat par bharosa karta hoon. Main jannat mein jaana chahta hoon, main jannat mein jaana chahta hoon. Phir cheezein theek ho jayengi! Ab tak meri saari planning sach ho rahi hai. Graph oopar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Magar uska mood kafi badal jaata hai. Main 1.3558 par ek stop rakhta hoon. Agar kisi chamatkar se market mujhe stop de deti hai, to aaj main bilkul trading nahi karunga.

ko darusti dikhata hai. Iske alawa, niche ki taraf ishara karne wala stochastic bechnay ka moqa darust karta hai. Haal hi mein trading session mein, jodi ne haftay ka pivot level test kiya aur apna bearish movement jari rakha, jo reversal level ke neeche adhar sthapit kiya gaya. Jab trading week shuru hui, bears ne apna girawat jari rakha, jis ka maujooda price 1.3658 hai. Intraday targets girawat ke liye classic Pivot support levels ke sath mel khaate hain. Main maujooda star par se aur girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, jahan initial support level 1.3616 ke breach hone ke sath naye wave ka shuru hota hai, jo 1.3563 ke aas paas support line ke neeche phail jaega. Agar market participants kharidari ko mazboot karne ke liye lautte, to unka focus maujooda chart segment par 1.3737 ke resistance level par hoga.

USD/CAD jodi halhi me ek sudhar phase se guzar rahi hai, lekin ye sahara talash rahi hai ke ek rebound shuru kar sake, khaaskar jab ye 61.8% Fibonacci level ke qareeb chalte hain. Iske sath hi, asset ne kuch nichle patterns banaye hain, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke yeh level bullish sentiments ke liye ahem sahara faraham kar raha hai. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke dhyan diya jaye ke 34-day exponential moving average (EMA) band abhi bhi bulls par manfi dabao dal raha hai. Ek potential bullish manzar ke liye yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke bulls kya EMA-34 ke oopar majbooti se muqabla kar sakte hain. Agar bulls EMA-34 ke oopar majbooti se qadam uthate hain to USD/CAD jodi ke potential upside movement mein itmenan daal sakegi, jis me 1.3846 ke peak price ko test karna hai.

USD/CAD BULLISH THEMES.
Mudra policy ke dynamics agle saal ke shuruaati daur mein Dollar ki taqat ko favor karna chahiye
Mehngaai ke mamooli asar ka nazar andaaz jo Dollar ki taraf se safe-haven flow ko barhaega
Kai factors Dollar ki taqat ko support karte hain
Mehangai aur vruddhi mein dhimi giraavat bahut der tak rahegi
Jab dhool baith jaye, Federal Reserve darj karda tax ko jari rakhega
Amreeka mein hamesha se zyada uchch dar hoti hai
Mehangai aur uska FED par jeet barqarar rahegi
Dollar lambay waqt ke liye uchit hoga, sath hi FED ka bayaan
Stagflation USD ko aur bhi ooncha le jayega
Garam CPI ka matlab hai ki FED ka rukh dooor tak hai

USD/CAD BEARISH THEMES.
Mehsoos hone wali Amreeki arzi arthvyavastha ki giraavat
Iss maheene dar ko badhane ka rukh zyada hai, jisse naye Amreeki Dollar ka giravat lagaye jana hai
Dollar ki kamzori 2024 mein tezi se barhegi jab bazaar ki tawajjo FED dar ke cuts ki taraf mudam hoti hai
FED kam ho rahi mehangai se zyada raahat mehsoos karta hai
Amreeki Dollar ka mukhya global reserve mudra ke roop ko challenge kiya ja raha hai
America petrodollar ke haq ko kho dene ke kareeb hai
Doosre kshetra mehangai ke liye apni jang jaari rakh sakte hain, karz suraksha vinyas ke yield ko kam karte huye
Kam FED dar ki ummeed aur behtar risk bhavna ka mishran mool roop se nakara hai
Koi aur FED hikes nahi, sambhavtah khatarnak Amreeki Dollar ke liye
Amreeki arthvyavastha mandi mein ja sakti hai, FED badlav dar ko peer sansthano se tezi se kam karega
Sticky mehangai? Sticky toh giravat ki disha hai
FED videshi mool ke mukable mein jaldi se dar ko kam karne lag jayega
Amreeki disinflation prakriya aur

Early Asian mein Thursday ko USD/CAD pair 1.3520 ke qareeb kam kar raha hai. Loonie, jo commodities ke sath correlated hai, crude oil ke prices jo ke October se highest hain ke tezi se barhne ke sath izafa karti hai. USD/CAD pair ko bhi negatively impact hota hai US ISM Services PMI data se jo ke March ke liye kamzor tha aur greenback par bojh dalta hai. US Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) March mein 51.4 se gir kar 52.6 se gir gaya, jo ke February mein tha, institute for Supply Management (ISM) ke data ke mutabiq, jo ke Wednesday ko release hua. Ye number market ki 52.7 ki tajweez se kam tha. Is manfi shumar ke jawab mein, kuch bechnay wale ko amrici dollar (USD) ki taraf khenchta hai. Middle East ka geopolitical unrest oil supply mein rukawaton ke lehaz se fikron ko barhata hai aur Canadian dollar (CAD) ko mazboot karta hai.

Eham baat ye hai ke Canada ki paanch top commodities mein se ek hai crude oil, aur barhte hue oil ke prices mulk ki maeeshat ko behtar bana sakte hain aur CAD ko mazboot kar sakte hain. Pichle sessions mein USD/CAD ke price par dabao tha ke support line ko test kiya gaya jo ke sideways range mein tha jo ke 1.3505$ hai. Jab tak price pehle se zahir ki gayi support ko tor nahi deta ya phir 1.3606 dollar ki rukawat ko tor nahi deta, tab tak sideways track intraday transactions ko dominate karta rahega. Agar downtrend jari rahe aur zahir ki gayi support tor di jati hai, toh price seedha upar jaega 38.2% Fibonacci correction level tak, jo ke 1.3440$ ke qareeb hai. Asal bullish track ko dobara shuru karne aur naye faiday jo ke 1.3700$ tak pohnchte hain ke liye barhne ki cheez, rukawat ko tor dena hai. Aaj ke trading range ki umeed 1.3460$ support aur 1.3600$ resistance ke darmiyan hai.

USD/CAD Ka Technical Analysis
H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, Canadian dollar apni correction ki tezi ko jari rakhne ki koshish ki aur 1.3664 level ke neeche break karne ki koshish ki magar yahan ek mazboot rukawat mili aur yeh wahan se guzar nahi saka. 1.3664 level ke neeche break karne ki nakam koshish ke baad, keemat phir se key area mein uthna shuru hui. Is tarah, is manzarnama mein muntazam uthar chadhav jo ke is scenario mein ummed thi, woh nahi hua. Halankay, price chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo ke sellers ki mukammal control ko darust karti hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, aaj, H-4 time frame par bearish technical pattern negative rehne ke sath rehta hai, jo ke daily bearish price curve ko support karta hai. Is tarah, aaj ka intraday downtrend zyadatar sab se pehle target ke sath 1.3660 par hai, official watchdog 1.3610 par hai, aur baad mein 1.3580 par possible target hai. Hum aapko yaad dilate hain ke 1.3730 ke stable reverse trade ke upar bearish scenario ko rok sakta hai aur pair ki recovery ko leke chal sakta hai jiska pehla target lagbhag 1.3740 hai, jis ke baad mazeed uthar chadhav tak 1.3800 tak ka possible continuation hai.



Mojooda waqt mein, keemat mixed hai aur zyadatar har haftay neutral hai. Isi waqt, mool support area ko toota gaya hai aur iski integriti ko khatra hai, magar mojooda price reversal highs se upar izazat deta hai ke hum growth ko priority de sakte hain. Is ke liye, pair ko 1.3664 level ke upar consolidate hona chahiye aur phir mool level 1.3735 ke upar wapas aana chahiye apne upward movement ko jari rakhne ke liye. Is level ko dobara test karna aur uske baad ulte rukh mein phir se rebound hone se ek aur upward move provoke karega jiska target 1.3862 aur 1.3947 ke darmiyan area mein hoga.

Agar ek possible breakdown hota hai, toh mojooda scenario ko rad karne ka signal milega, aur price reversal level 1.3664 ke neeche gir jayega.

USD/CAD Daam Ka Amal Haqiqi Waqt Ka Jaiza

Main abhi USD/CAD market ke akhri trends ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Kal, bear log 1.3635 ke support level ke neeche jhukne mein nakam rahe; halankeh is level ka toot phir bhi hua, lekin daam is ke neeche mazboot nahi hua. Aur shuruaat ko ghaayab kar diya gaya tha bullon ne, jo aaj bhi pair ko oopar le jane ke liye jari raha, aur agar cheezein isi raaste mein chalti rahin to jald he daam 1.3721 ke resistance level tak pohnchega. Aur agar toot hota hai, to hum umeed kar sakte hain ke level ke oopar isteqraar hoga aur kharidne ke liye dakhilay ka ek markaz banega. Ye bhi ghor karna wajib hai ke bear log agar shuruaat ko ghaayab kar sakte hain, aur daam ko neeche murne ke liye level ke neeche hai, lekin is se pehle, ek bechnay ke dakhilay ka markaz bana hoga. Is liye, hum keh sakte hain ke jab daam ek mukhtasir range mein chalta rahe, jiski hudood pehle se tay ki gayi hain, USD/CAD pair par, bechne wale 1.3659 ke southern border ko tor nahi sake, jo ke Fibo grid ke 38.2% ke mawafiq hai, aur kal ke Doji pattern ke baad, D1 timeframe par, daam uttar ki taraf muraqabat kar diya gaya. Agar hum H4 ki bulandiyon se halaat ko dekhte hain, to maine ek martaba 1.3740 ke level ko resistance ke taur par dikhaya tha. Phir ek martaba, ye samajhne ko aata hai ke main use pasand karta hoon aur abhi yahan aur abhi kholne ke liye tayyar nahi hoon. Agar hum tawazun se tufeeq hone wale giravat cycle 1.3844–1.3631 ko buniyad banate hain, to phir hum sirf 50 ka pullback zone hasil karte hain.


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Ab, khabron ke ghair maujoodgi mein, siwaye aaj ke St. Consumer Index ke nasharay ke, mujhe yakeen hai ke yeh saz-o-saman horizontal trading channel ki hadood ke andar hoga, jo oopar se 1.3730, yaani 23.60% Fib tak mehdood hai. Kisi na kisi tareeqe se, market US Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke baray mein kal ki nasharay ke intezar mein hai sath hi FMS ki press conference. Sochta hoon ke USD/CAD chart abhi tak seel mein hai, main bhi sochta hoon ke shayad hum yahan aur ek bearish lehar mil sakti hai, halankeh ye itna tezi se nahi ho sakta jitna ke hum sab ka khayal hai. Yeh trading instrument ek jama flat ban chuka hai, aur jab tak taqreeban tijarat ke naye positions ka majmooa apni logic mukammal nahi hota, hum kuch arsa is daam range mein phas sakte hain. Is chart par, maine apni taraf se ek manzar ke ek ofiyat draw ki hai, jo ke aasani se is pair par amal mein laaya ja sakta hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, asal key mein, hum 1.3659 ke ikhate ki jaga tak neeche chal sakte hain, jahan se, is haalat mein, hum 1.3722 ke level tak barh sakte hain. Agar yehi haal hua aur USD/CAD pair 1.3725 ke level se barhte hue volumes ke sath gira, to is haalat mein aur is manzar ke mutabiq, 1.3730 ke level se barhte hue paimane ke sath, hum wahan paise ke majmooa volumes ke 1.3583 ke area tak jungli tor par chal sakte hain.

Thursday ke Asian trading session ke doran, US dollar Canadian dollar ke khilaf izafay kiya aur 1.3705 ke daam tak pohncha. Ye izafa Federal Reserve ke dovish signals aur tasalsul se kam az kam Pakistani retail sales data ke bawajood hua. Nakami retail sales figures ne shak paida kiya hai ke Bank of Canada apni agle meeting jo June mein hogi mein interest rates ko kum kardega. Canada mein yeh ma'ashi dukhparasti US ki ma'ashi tajweez ke khilaf hai, jahan investors pehle 2024 ke pehle quarter mein Gross Domestic Product mein 2.5% ki izafat aur September 2024 tak Federal Funds Rate ka khatra hua. Federal Reserve ki position halat ki hawala se nazar ata hai jo akhir mein policymakers ke halaf ke qarar se mukhalif hai, jo ke mojooda interest rates ko munasib qarar diya aur tabdeelat shayad is saal ke ikhtitam tak zaroori nahi hongi. Federal Reserve aur market ki umeedon ke darmiyan is farq ka hissa US dollar ke Canadian dollar ke khilaf izafay mein madadgar hai. Mazeed Canadian dollar ko nichle crude oil prices ke dabao ka samna hai, kyunke Canada United States ke liye bara oil nikhari hai.







RSI ke neutral se upar rehne aur MACD ke mustahkam rehne ke bawajood abhi bhi ek bullish comeback ki umeed hai. Agar bear daam ko 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level tak, yaani 1.3743 tak ghata sakte hain, to 1.3690 ilaqe ki taraf mazeed girao ka imkan hai. Ye ilaqa tootay hue ascending channel ke ooperi satahain hain. Girao taqreeban mazeed nichle satah tak barh sakta hai, 20-day SMA ya 1.3600 support zone tak pohanch sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar farokht jari rahe, to CAD ko 50-day SMA tak nichaheen le jaya ja sakta hai, jo mojooda mein 1.3565 par hai. Ikhtisar mein, USD CAD ke khilaf CAD ke kamzor ma'ashi dastawiz, Bank of Canada ke dovish signals, aur US ki ma'ashi tajweezon ki ek jazba angaiz tasawwur ki wajah se mazboot ho rahi hai. Kam az kam oil ke daam aur takneeke indicators bhi CAD ki kamzori mein hissa daal rahe hain. Qareebi muddat mein currency pair ka rukh mukhtalif amoor par mabni hoga, jaise ke agar bear qabu banaye rakh sakte hain aur daam ko ahem support satah tak nicha sakte hain, ya agar bullon ko thori raftar wapas mil sakti hai.

USD/CAD 4 Hour Time-Frame:
USD/CAD currency pair kee 4 ghantay ki time-frame mein: USD/CAD
currency pair haal hi ke trading sessions mein nihayat raha hai, jahan qeemat ne 1.3620-1.3650 supply zone se oopar rawani ka saath diya. Takneeki taraqqi mein izafa, sath hi musbat buniyadiyat ke saath, jorh ka dhamaka pair ko November 15 se pehle ki bulandiyaon tak pohancha diya aur Teesday ko impressionable paanch mazed dinon tak musbat momentum ko barqarar rakha. Keematien lagbhag 1.3825 tak chali gayi hain, jo ek bohot ahem nafsiyati level hai jo abhi US dollar ke liye tareeqa e moar par bullish ehsaas ko dikhata hai.

US Dollar Index, jo sab se badi currencies ke sath hari pati ki karkardagi ka andaza lagata hai, ek uptrend par hai, jisne paanch mahine se zyada ke buland muaqam tak pohancha. Munfarid factors ka majmooa, jo ki mehsoos shuda tirazaar ke bais eftatah aur intehai shohrat ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, index ke liye izafay ko mazboot kiya. Yeh aam tor par US dollar ko dusri currencies ke saath kamzor karne ka nuqsan uthane mein madadfar sabit hoga. Haal hi mein mustaqbil ke liye Federal Reserve ke interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ke bais inflations ke barhne wale ishaaron ne in izafay ko mad e nazar rakha. Jis tarah ki monetary policy faisla darust karta hai, yeh aam tor par US dollar ko dusri currencies ke saath kamzor karne ka nuqsan uthane mein madadgar hoga. Haal hi mein mustaqbil ke liye Federal Reserve ke interest rate kaatne ki umeedon ke bais inflations ke barhne wale ishaaron ne in izafay ko mad e nazar rakha. Jis tarah ki monetary policy faisla darust karta hai, yeh aam tor par US dollar ko dusri currencies ke saath kamzor karne ka nuqsan uthane mein madadgar hoga.

Mazboot consumer spending figures economy ki achi surat haal ki taraf ishara karte hain aur shayad shayad inflations pehle se zyada khatarnaak nahi hongi. Yeh Federal Reserve ko interest rates ko zyada dair tak be tabdeel rakhne ke liye umeed dilata hai, jo aakhir mein US dollar ko madadgar hoga. Dusray janib, bond yields ke neechay dabaav dalne wala market outlook investors ke confidence aur risk appetite ka ek nishana hai. Zyada bond yields, in turn, investors ko dusri currencies ke muqable mein behtar inaam ke liye currency chase karne par majboor karte hain, aur yeh upar diye gaye factor USD/CAD pair ke liye musbat momentum ko izafay mein madad kar raha hai.

USD/CAD

Hamari mojooda tajziya mein hum USD/CAD currency pair ki keemat ki harkat ka jaaiza laga rahe hain. Asset ab overbought hai, jis se mujhe ek sale trade shuru karne ka irada hai. Mojudah keemat 1.3716 par hai, aur main ek short position kholne ka irada rakhta hoon. Magar, main ek limit sell order thodi upar lagaunga suraksha ke liye. Ye yeh ensure karta hai ke agar foran trade 1.3716 par na ho sake aur limit activate ho jaaye, to hume 1.3716 se ooper ek average price hasil hoti hai, jo faidaymand hai. Jamaa rakam ka size aur hoshiyar risk management practices ka istemal karna zaroori hai. Bollinger indicator ke mutabiq, lower support level ke taraf behtar sales ko ziada barhawa dena munasib hai, jo ke 1.3671 ke aas paas hai. Smoother trading ke liye, main kuch positions ko darmiyan mein band karna chahta hoon, taqreeban 1.3687 par, taake kharidar faaliyat ke douran market ki raah ko ulta karne ki koshish karte hue bhi faidaymand trades ko mehfooz rakh sakein.

Muttahida States/CAD currency pair ke hawale se, aaj ke long trading opportunity ke liye do maqboli dakhil hone ke points hain. Pehla, 1.3656 ya thodi kam se kam, ziada behtar ho sakta hai.

Tareef shuda option 1.3630 par lowest support level par mabni hai, nafa 1.3737 ki taraf tareefi shandar, aur rokavat ke level 1.3627 par, dakhil hone ke points ko mutabiq lot size ko adjust karne ke liye tabdeel karna hai. Aik mufeed paisa intizam ki strategy zaroori hai. Stop loss qayam karna aaj ke liye is currency pair par trading ko mukammal karta hai, agle session tak aram karte hue. Europei session mein, USD/CAD pair mein kam tabdeeli nazar aayi, juzwi tor par kal ke band se thodi izafa qaim rakhte hue. Canadian dollar technical correction ke bais se thoda kamzor hua hai. Sarmayedaar Canada ke GDP data ke imtiazat ke aas paas ghoom rahe hain, jo ke pair ki harkat par asar daal sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, US Federal Reserve ke interest rate faisla kal hone ki sambhavna hai. Jabke ek urooj ka durust hai, aik downtrend bears ke control mein hai. Aik mumkinah pivot point 1.3739 par hai, target levels 1.3618 aur 1.3568 ke neeche bechna. Ya agar pair 1.3739 se ooper guzar jata hai aur mazid hone lagta hai, to ye 1.3763 aur 1.3788 ki taraf chadhega.

USD/CAD

USDCAD pair sellers ki shadeed dabao ke natayej mein kamzor ho raha hai. Aik mauqa hai ke agle haftay, keemat ke andar ki taraf wapis jaane ki koshish karegi jaise ke peechle haftay keemat ke andar ki taraf rahi, jaise ke is haftay maine dekha. Kal, sellers ne candlestick ko itna neeche le gaya ke ye 1.3825 zone ko sab se ooncha chhod gaya.

Baray time frame mein bearish trend jaari hone ka ishara hai kyun ke keemat 1.3693 area ke oopar hai, aur candlestick ka position ab bhi 200-period simple moving average line ke neeche hai. Sellers agle haftay keemat ko 200 period simple moving average zone ke neeche le jana chahte hain, isliye keemat ke girne ka intezaar karein taake aik bechna signal mil sake.

USDCAD pair ki keemat ke andar ki taraf ki price movement ka chautha ghantay ka time frame kaafi hai. Market trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Is haftay ka trend gir raha hai, lekin keemat baad mein phir se gir sakti hai, isliye bearish mauqe paida ho sakte hain.

Isliye, agle haftay mein aik position kholne ke liye area ka intekhab karne ke liye trend ki taraf daikh sakte hain. Market abhi tak seller ke control mein hai agar main keemat ki taraf ki taraf dekhta hoon, jo ke bearish nazar aata hai. Isliye, hisaab aur technical soch par, keemat ka movement neeche ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai agar wo phir se 1.3800 price zone ko test kare.

1.3800 aur 1.3640 ke darmiyan, USD/CAD tight range mein trade ho raha hai. Jab ke pair ne haal hi mein 1.3845 tak sab se oonchi uthai, ab ye apne 200-day moving average (EMA) jo ke 1.3690 hai, se 1.2% neeche hai. USD/CAD ka steady giravat jaari hai, jab ke ye apne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche gir gaya hai aur pehle ke faide ko mita diya hai. Bigger picture mein CAD ke liye kuch achhi khabrein hain. Charts par, currency ne short-term dip ke bawajood higher highs aur higher lows record kiye hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral territory ke qareeb hai jo ke 50 hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) positive hai. Aik ahem support level 200-day moving average jo ke 1.3690 hai, aur iske neeche 100-day moving average jo ke 1.3585 hai. Agar ye level neeche gir gaya to CAD ko aik nihayat barhta hua shift mehsoos ho sakta hai.

USD/CAD
USDCAD pair sellers ki shadeed dabao ke natayej mein kamzor ho raha hai. Aik mauqa hai ke agle haftay, keemat ke andar ki taraf wapis jaane ki koshish karegi jaise ke peechle haftay keemat ke andar ki taraf rahi, jaise ke is haftay maine dekha. Kal, sellers ne candlestick ko itna neeche le gaya ke ye 1.3825 zone ko sab se ooncha chhod gaya.

Baray time frame mein bearish trend jaari hone ka ishara hai kyun ke keemat 1.3693 area ke oopar hai, aur candlestick ka position ab bhi 200-period simple moving average line ke neeche hai. Sellers agle haftay keemat ko 200 period simple moving average zone ke neeche le jana chahte hain, isliye keemat ke girne ka intezaar karein taake aik bechna signal mil sake.

USDCAD pair ki keemat ke andar ki taraf ki price movement ka chautha ghantay ka time frame kaafi hai. Market trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Is haftay ka trend gir raha hai, lekin keemat baad mein phir se gir sakti hai, isliye bearish mauqe paida ho sakte hain.

Isliye, agle haftay mein aik position kholne ke liye area ka intekhab karne ke liye trend ki taraf daikh sakte hain. Market abhi tak seller ke control mein hai agar main keemat ki taraf ki taraf dekhta hoon, jo ke bearish nazar aata hai. Isliye, hisaab aur technical soch par, keemat ka movement neeche ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai agar wo phir se 1.3800 price zone ko test kare.

1.3800 aur 1.3640 ke darmiyan, USD/CAD tight range mein trade ho raha hai. Jab ke pair ne haal hi mein 1.3845 tak sab se oonchi uthai, ab ye apne 200-day moving average (EMA) jo ke 1.3690 hai, se 1.2% neeche hai. USD/CAD ka steady giravat jaari hai, jab ke ye apne 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche gir gaya hai aur pehle ke faide ko mita diya hai. Bigger picture mein CAD ke liye kuch achhi khabrein hain. Charts par, currency ne short-term dip ke bawajood higher highs aur higher lows record kiye hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral territory ke qareeb hai jo ke 50 hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) positive hai. Aik ahem support level 200-day moving average jo ke 1.3690 hai, aur iske neeche 100-day moving average jo ke 1.3585 hai. Agar ye level neeche gir gaya to CAD ko aik nihayat barhta hua shift mehsoos ho sakta hai.