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EUR/USD Pair ki Downward Trend
Abhi price crucial support level 1.0600 ke aas paas test kar raha hai, jo October 3 ke low 1.0451 se upward-sloping trendline ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh level hold kar gaya, to short-term mein pair ko relief mil sakta hai aur further declines rok sakti hain. Lekin agar 1.0600 ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to deeper support tests ke liye door khul sakta hai. Agle support levels jo dekhne hain wo 1.0560 aur 1.0524 ke aas paas hain. Upar ki taraf, 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur psychological resistance level 1.0890 ke aas paas key hurdles hain. Agar significant move upar jana hai, to market conditions mein kaafi bada change hona zaroori hai.
EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko apne downward trend ko continue kiya, jo Asian trading session ke dauran 1.0600 ke aas paas settle ho gaya. Yeh Euro ke liye choutha consecutive din tha jab usme losses aaye, aur yeh mainly US Dollar ki taqat ki wajah se tha. US Dollar ki taqat ko naye US administration ke economic policies se joda gaya hai, jo investment ko stimulate karne, government spending ko barhane, aur job demand ko increase karne ke liye expected hain. Lekin yeh policies inflationary pressures ko bhi barha sakti hain. Federal Reserve ke officials jaise ke Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari ne temporary inflation ko handle karne mein apni confidence ka izhaar kiya hai, lekin unhone jaldi se victory declare karne ki wajah se caution bhi diya hai. Fed ke future monetary policy decisions naye administration ke policies ke specific details par depend karenge. Market participants US ke October ke inflation data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke expected hai ke overall consumer price index mein 2.6% ki annual increase hogi aur core consumer price index mein 3.3% ka izafa hoga. Yeh data Fed ke potential policy adjustments ke bare mein aur insights dega.
Dusri taraf, Eurozone ka economic outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai. Third quarter ke liye expected GDP data, jo ke 0.4% quarter-over-quarter aur 0.9% year-over-year ki modest growth dikhane ki umeed hai, region mein economic performance ki kami ko darshata hai. Iske alawa, London School of Economics and Political Science ki ek recent study ne estimate kiya hai ke imported goods par 10% tariff EU ke GDP ko 0.1% tak negatively impact kar sakta hai. Yeh potential economic slowdown Euro ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai. Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ne November ke shuruat se clear downtrend bana liya hai, jisme 1.0601 ka level key support level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Strong US Dollar aur Eurozone mein potential economic challenges ke wajah se pair par bearish bias bana hua hai. 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level jo ke 1.0745 par hai, immediate resistance level hai, jabke 1.0800 ka level jo ab strong resistance ban gaya hai, kisi bhi potential upside movement ko limit kar sakta hai.
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