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EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Pichlay haftay Euro ne kuch losses ko recover kiya aur ek upward correction me enter hua. Is ne 1.0763 ka key support level dhoondha, jahan se price recover karte hue signal zone me mazeed expand hui. Expected scenario k mutabiq price ka continuously niche girna expected tha lekin wo realize nahi hua, aur target area ab bhi active hai. Price chart ne super trendy green zone me entry kar li hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers kuch cautious hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis me agar 240-minute chart ko dekha jaye toh 50-day SMA downside ko support kar rahi hai, jabke stochastic apna upward momentum dheere dheere lose kar raha hai. Technical factors downside ko support karte hain, lekin hum prefer karte hain ke 1.0760 support level ka breakout ho. Yeh breakout easy access dega 1.0700 aur 1.0665 tak pohanchne me. Yad rahe ke agar price 1.0850 resistance ko break kar leti hai aur kam az kam hourly candle close hoti hai, toh pair short-term me healthy return kar sakta hai, jiska retest target 1.0880 hoga.



Abhi price weekly highs ke bohot oopar trade ho rahi hai. Main resistance zone significant pressure me hai lekin abhi tak completely break nahi hua. Ek move lower abhi bhi priority hai. Price ko 1.0837 ke neeche recover aur consolidate karna hoga, jo main resistance zone ka border hai. Is area ka ek aur retest aur uske baad ek pullback ek nayi move lower ka mauqa faraham karega, jis ka target 1.0694 aur 1.0627 hoga.

Agar price ne 1.0926 reversal level break kar diya, toh yeh current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD ka ye H4 (4-hour) chart 22 October se 8 November 2024 tak ka price action dikhata hai. Is mein kuch important indicators hain jo hume market ke trend aur sentiment ke bare mein valuable insights dete hain. Yeh post in indicators ko Roman Urdu mein explain kar rahi hai. Har candlestick 4 ghante ka price movement dikhata hai. Yeh chart bearish trend ko indicate kar raha hai, kyunke zyada candles neechay ki taraf move ho rahi hain aur consistently neeche close ho rahi hain. Chart mein yellow aur white lines moving averages hain. White lines short-term moving averages ko represent karti hain, jabke yellow line long-term moving average ko. Price in moving averages ke neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market mein downward trend hai aur selling pressure dominate kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ka bhi signal hai ke buyers filhal control mein nahi hain.

Green dots parabolic SAR indicator ke points hain, jo trend direction ko confirm karte hain. Jab dots candles ke neeche hote hain to market bullish hota hai, lekin is waqt yeh candles ke upar hain jo ke bearish trend ka signal hai. Yeh sellers ka control aur potential price drop ko indicate karte hain. Chart ke neeche yellow line RSI (Relative Strength Index) hai, jo 14-period ka momentum indicator hai. RSI ki current value 36.43 hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market oversold zone ke qareeb hai, magar abhi complete oversold nahi hua. Agar RSI 30 se neeche jata hai to aur selling pressure aa sakta hai. Lekin ab bhi thoda sa support milne ka chance hai. EUR/USD ke H4 chart ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke abhi market bearish trend mein hai, kyunke price moving averages aur parabolic SAR ke neeche trade ho rahi hai. RSI bhi low hai, jo market ke weak momentum ko show karta hai. Overall, agar trend aise hi raha, to aur downward movement ki expectation hai, lekin short-term mein oversold zone se kuch pullback aasakta hai.

Salam sab ko! Aaj mein ne M15 price chart ka tehqiqa ki hai aur dekha hai ke linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo buyers ki mazboot maujoodgi ko zahir karta hai. Yeh buying ka aik acha moqa ho sakta hai,

lekin mein H1 timeframe par confirmation ka intezar karoon ga. Mujhe dekhna hai ke H1 par bhi linear regression channel upar ki taraf move kare pehle ke mein buy ka faisla loon. Mein 1.07599 par buy ka irada rakhta hoon, lekin har waqt selling pressure ko bhi dekh raha hoon jo ke price ko is level se neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar price 1.07599 se neeche gir jaye aur wahan par consolidate ho, tou yeh H1 timeframe par downtrend ke continuity ko zahir kar sakta hai. Aise me, mein koi buying decision tab tak delay karoon ga jab tak ke market mein buyers ki wapas aamad ka signal na mile, jo ke 1.08344 par price ke break se confirm ho sakta hai.
Is waqt mein hourly chart ka tajziya kar raha hoon aur mujhe market mein mazboot bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. Mera plan hai ke price ko channel ke upper boundary par 1.08344 par pohanchne ka intezar karoon. Jab price is level par pohanchay ga, tou mein sell ka moqa dekhoon ga aur mera target 1.06304 tak ho ga. Agar price is target se bhi break kar le tou yeh bearish trend ka continuation signal hoga. Magar, mein samajhta hoon ke ek upward correction bhi ho sakta hai, is liye mein hoshiyar rahoon ga aur kisi bhi bullish reaction ka intezar karoon ga. Agar market conditions change hoti hain aur price 1.08344 se upar break karti hai, tou yeh bullish sentiment ka indicator ho sakta hai. Aise mein, mein apni position ko re-evaluate karoon ga aur shayad sell order cancel karoon ga. Mera goal profit maximize karna hai, is liye mein flexible hoon aur market ke mutabiq apni strategy adjust karoon ga.


EUR/USD H4 Timeframe Technical Analysis:
EUR/USD ke H4 chart par, euro ne apne pehle ke high se correct hote hue 1.0772 se neeche girte hue support level 1.0760 ko chhoya hai, jahan se ek upward move ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Filhal US aur Europe se koi khaas economic data expected nahi hai, is liye zyada price action ki umeed nahi hai, lekin overall bias bullish hai. Yeh euro ke 1.0760 support level se recovery aur RCI aur MACD oscillators ke oversold conditions ki wajah se hai, jo ke ek pullback ke continuation ka ishara de sakta hai aur phir upward momentum mil sakta hai. "Diamond" chart pattern ab bhi play mein hai aur agar yeh complete ho jaye tou mein 1.0827 aur 1.0883 ko initial levels aur 1.0955 ko pattern ke pehle key target ke tor par dekh raha hoon. EMA600 bhi H4 chart par ek important reference hai jo trend changes ko samajhne mein madadgar hoga aur yeh assess karne mein help karega ke yeh pair aik naye ascending channel mein continue karta hai ya nahi. Filhal, focus reversal pattern ke formation par hai aur qareebi targets 1.0827 aur 1.0883 hain.

Thank you Stay Blessed

EUR/USD ka daily timeframe chart humein yeh dikhata hai ke price filhal 1.07167 par trade kar rahi hai, jo recent downtrend ke baad ek support level par hai. Is chart par do key levels highlight kiye gaye hain jo trading strategy banate waqt kaam aa sakte hain. Pehla support level 1.0683 par hai, jo ke short-term mein qeemat ke liye ek ahem support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh aur bearish momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dusra level 1.11965 par hai jo ek resistance ki tarah kaam karega agar price upward move karti hai. MACD indicator humein bearish signals de raha hai. MACD line aur Signal line ne downward cross banaya hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko confirm karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke sellers abhi bhi market par dominant hain aur price ko neeche ki taraf push kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi 38 ke qareeb hai, jo ke oversold zone mein enter karne ka ishara hai. Lekin RSI ka yeh value abhi bhi selling pressure ko support kar raha hai aur price mein mazeed girawat ke asaar hain jab tak RSI lower levels par stabilize nahi hota.




Is chart analysis ke mutabiq, agar price 1.0683 ke neeche close hoti hai, toh mazeed downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai aur next potential target lower support levels ho sakte hain. Lekin agar price 1.0683 par support find karti hai, toh ye level ek bullish reversal ka bhi sabab ban sakta hai. Bullish scenario mein, price wapas 1.0800 aur phir 1.11965 ke resistance level tak pahunch sakti hai, jo ke short-term recovery ka ishara hoga. Trading ke hawale se, abhi buying mein ehtiyat zaroori hai jab tak support levels par koi strong bullish sign nahi milta. Aksar traders ke liye behtar yehi hoga ke woh breakout confirmation ka intezar karain ya phir oversold condition ke stabilize hone ka intezar karain. Aam taur par, EUR/USD ke chart analysis se lagta hai ke short-term mein market bearish hi rahegi jab tak support level 1.0683 intact hai. Lekin agar price neeche se bounce karti hai, toh ek acha buying opportunity bhi ban sakta hai.

EUR/USD


ka H1 (hourly) timeframe ka chart hai jo recent market trend aur kuch key indicators dikhata hai, jin mein Moving Averages, Parabolic SAR, aur RSI shamil hain. Moving Averages (white aur yellow lines) price ke trend ko highlight karte hain. Recent trend main price ne in lines ko neeche cross kiya tha, jo downward trend ka indication tha, lekin ab price kuch stabilize hoti nazar aa rahi hai aur moving averages ke kareeb hai. Chart par ek yellow horizontal line bhi dikhai gayi hai jo 1.09001 par resistance level ko represent kar rahi hai. Yeh level aik important hurdle ban sakta hai jo price ke aage badhne mein rukawat daal sakta hai. Parabolic SAR indicator bhi is chart par green dots ki shakal mein dikhaya gaya hai; jab dots price ke neeche hain toh yeh uptrend ko indicate karte hain aur jab dots upar hote hain toh yeh downtrend ka signal dete hain. Abhi dots ka position kuch recovery ko dikhata hai, lekin abhi tak clear trend reversal ka signal nahi mil raha. Neeche RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator hai jo abhi 51.56 ki value par hai, jo neutral zone main aata hai aur is se ye pata chalta hai ke market na to overbought hai aur na hi oversold. Yeh balance is baat ka indication hai ke price abhi kisi bhi side mein strong momentum mein nahi hai. Is chart ka overall analysis ye suggest karta hai ke abhi price consolidation phase main hai, jisme sideways movement ho rahi hai. Agar price moving averages aur resistance level ko cross kar le, toh ek bullish trend ke chances hain. Wagarna agar price neeche girti hai toh lower support levels ko test kar sakti hai.

Trading decisions lete waqt, risk
management ka khayal rakhna bohot zaroori hai kyun ke forex market bohot volatile ho sakti hai aur kisi bhi waqt trend change ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD traders aaj kaafi complex market ka samna kar rahe hain, jahan mixed signals hain aur adaptable rehne ki zaroorat hai. U.S. Treasury yields ke barhne se dollar mazid taqat mein hai, jis se euro par pressure hai aur bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai. High yields dollar ko investors ke liye aur appealing bana rahe hain, jo stable returns ke liye safe-haven assets dekh rahe hain. Jab tak Federal Reserve apni policy mein pause ka signal nahi deta, yeh pressure euro par bana reh sakta hai.Dusri taraf, Eurozone ke recent data ne weaker-than-expected growth aur persistent inflation ko highlight kiya hai, jo European Central Bank (ECB) ke mazeed tightening space ko limited bana raha hai. Yeh euro ki strength par bhi cap laga sakta hai. Aane wale Eurozone data, jaise industrial production aur CPI report, ko closely dekhna zaroori hai kyunki agar yeh strong aaye to euro ko support milega, lekin agar yeh weak raha to euro ka girna aur tez ho sakta hai.Technical taur par, 1.0700 ek important support level hai EUR/USD ke liye. Agar yeh is se neeche girta hai, to yeh 1.0500 ki taraf ja sakta hai, jab ke koi bhi upward move 1.0800 par resistance face karega. Current moving averages bearish bias ko reflect kar rahe hain, lekin agar resistance break ho gaya, to mood bullish side ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Sentiment abhi cautiously bearish hai lekin yeh Fed ke next move ya U.S. data ke unexpectedly soft honay par badal sakta hai. Short term mein, traders Eurozone updates aur U.S. fiscal policy ko monitor kar rahe hain jo market volatility ko stir kar sakti hai aur naye trading angles ko khol sakti hai.Is setup ke saath, EUR/USD mein technical aur fundamental cues ka fine balance dekhne wale traders ke liye challenges aur potential dono hain.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

EUR/USD Forecast Q4 2024: US Election Drama aur Geopolitical Risks Ne Volatility Ko Drive Kiya

October mein US dollar ki strong performance ne EUR/USD mein significant price correction ko lead kiya, lekin ab yeh pair aik strong support zone ke qareeb pohanch raha hai. Q4 2024 mein USA aur Eurozone ki monetary policies key drivers hain EUR/USD momentum ke liye, aur saath hi mein geopolitics ka bhi bara asar hai. November 2024 mein US election ki wajah se market volatility hone ka imkaan hai, jo investors ke potential policy changes ke response ko impact kar sakta hai.

US dollar ki strong performance ki wajah se EUR/USD ne Q4 mein sharp decline dekha, lekin yeh pair aik strong support zone ke kareeb pohanch raha hai aur rebound ke chances hain. USA aur Eurozone ki monetary policies Q4 mein EUR/USD ke price momentum ko drive karne wale main factors hain. Saath hi, Middle East mein recent geopolitical developments bhi market ko affect kar rahe hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, US election aur geopolitical factors ke wajah se strong volatility dekhi ja sakti hai.

Key Market Trends aur Projections for Q4 2024 US Dollar Performance in 2024: Economic aur Geopolitical Risks

US dollar ne 2024 ke pehle do quarters mein strong performance dikhayi jo ke strong economic data ki wajah se tha, jaise ke strong consumer spending aur resilient labor market conditions. Federal Reserve ne 5.25% aur 5.5% ke high interest rates maintain kiye, jo ke dollar mein global investments ko attract kar rahe hain. Saath hi, Middle East mein geopolitical tensions ne risk aversion ko barhawa diya, jis se safe-haven US dollar ki demand mein izafa hua.

Lekin Q3 2024 mein US dollar mein girawat ayi jab Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ka imkaan barh gaya. 18 September ko interest rates 50 bps se kam kiye gaye. Phir bhi, Federal Reserve ke moderate rate reductions ne Q4 2024 mein US dollar ko boost diya hai.

US dollar ki uncertainties ne EUR/USD performance par asar daala. Euro bhi weaker economic performance ki wajah se pressure mein hai, Eurozone mein manufacturing aur services data ke girne ki wajah se aur ECB ke rate cuts ke imkaan ke wajah se interest rates ka gap barh raha hai. ECB ne rate 0.25% se cut kiya, Deposit Facility Rate ko 3.25% aur Main Refinancing Operations Rate ko 3.4% tak le aya. Europe ka inflation bhi expect kiye gaye se zyada gir kar 1.7% y-o-y September mein aa gaya.

EUR/USD aur US Dollar Index: Rate Cuts aur Technical Analysis

Quarterly chart ke mutabiq EUR/USD 20 SMA ke neeche decline kar raha hai, aur RSI bhi midline ke neeche hai, jo continued bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Agar price 50 SMA ke neeche $1.15766 par rahti hai toh long-term trend downward hi rahega.



Monthly chart par EUR/USD price falling wedge mein hai. Price red trend lines ke andar consolidate ho rahi hai aur sirf $1.1276 - $1.14 zone ke upar break hi move ko higher karne ka signal dega. Is ke ilawa, price red channel mein consolidate ho rahi hai aur direction talash kar rahi hai. Agar $1.0448 ke neeche break hota hai toh strong downward move ka signal milega.

EUR/USD ka Next Short-Term Move?

EUR/USD April 2024 se ascending broadening wedge mein trade kar raha hai. Recent mein, US dollar ki strength ke wajah se price gir kar aik strong support zone $1.0790 par pohanch gaya hai. Yeh level ascending broadening wedge ka key area hai. RSI oversold region mein chala gaya jab EUR/USD ne support ko approach kiya, jo ke consolidation ke baad rebound ke chances ko barhawa de sakta hai. Lekin agar price $1.0760 ke neeche break hota hai toh downward momentum continue hone ka imkaan hai.

Q4 2024 aur Beyond mein EUR/USD ke Key Drivers US Election 2024

November 5, 2024 ka US election financial markets mein uncertainty aur volatility ko barha sakta hai, kyunke investors potential fiscal aur monetary policy changes ke response mein react karenge. Agar election result unclear ya contested hota hai toh market anxiety increase ho sakti hai, aur investors safe-haven assets jaise ke Swiss franc ya gold mein shift ho sakte hain, jo USD ko weaken kar sakta hai.

Monthly chart ke mutabiq US presidencies mein past 40 saalon mein US Dollar Index mein volatility dekhi gayi hai. Joe Biden ke presidency ke dauran US dollar ne rise dikhayi jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate hikes ki wajah se tha.

Recent mein October 2024 mein US dollar ka rebound hua jo ke aggressive rate cuts ke imkaan kam hone ki wajah se hai, aur US election ki uncertainties ne bhi isse support kiya.

Geopolitical Tensions

Doosra bara factor global financial market mein geopolitical crises hain. Middle East mein tensions barhne se US dollar pe asar pad raha hai aur major currency pairs jaise ke EUR/USD, GBP/USD, aur USD/CHF pe bhi asar hoga. Geopolitical uncertainty ke dauran US dollar safe haven ki tarah strengthen hota hai, jo doosri currencies ke muqablay mein ise expensive banata hai.

EUR/USD ke case mein, heightened tensions aur oil prices ke barhne se euro ki weakness ho sakti hai dollar ke against. Eurozone imported energy par heavily depend hai jo inflation ko drive aur economic growth ko slow kar sakti hai. Isi tarah GBP/USD mein bhi British pound par downward pressure aa sakta hai. On the other hand, USD/CHF more stable reh sakta hai kyunke USD aur Swiss franc traditionally safe-haven assets hain.

Federal Reserve Policies

US Federal Reserve ke policy decisions main drivers honge. September FOMC minutes ke baad further monetary easing ka imkaan hai, lekin US economic data mixed rehne ki surat mein rate cuts ka timing aur magnitude crucial hoga. Lekin US labor market aur GDP agar strong reh te hain toh dollar ko support milega.

Moderate rate reduction ke expectations ke bawajood US dollar safe-haven appeal ki wajah se rise kar raha hai. Bullish momentum gold mein bhi US dollar ko influence kar sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko bhi impact karega.

Conclusion & Trading

EUR/USD economic aur geopolitical uncertainties ki wajah se volatile raha hai. Upcoming US election se dollar mein volatility barh rahi hai jo EUR/USD ko impact kar rahi hai. Dollar ki strength safe-haven demand ki wajah se pair par short-term downward pressure dalti hai. Lekin EUR/USD aik strong support zone ke qareeb hai jo potential rebound ke chances ko show karta hai. Agar price $1.0760 ke neeche break hoti hai toh further downward momentum ho sakti hai. Q4 2024 mein agle moves ko US election ke outcome se influence honay ka imkaan hai, lekin overall outlook uncertain hai aur election results par heavily depend karega.



EUR/USD ka girawat 1.1213 se 1.0681 tak pichlay hafta continue raha, lekin us ke baad recover kiya. Initial bias is hafte pehle neutral hai aur kuch aur consolidation dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin jab tak 1.0936 resistance hold karta hai, outlook bearish hi rahega. 1.0681 ke neeche girne par 1.1213 se 1.0760 ka 61.8% projection jo ke 1.0936 se hai, 1.0656 ka target karega, aur phir 100% projection 1.0483 ka hai.

EUR/USD ka ye H4 (4-hour) chart 22 October se 8 November 2024 tak ka price action dikhata hai. Is mein kuch important indicators hain jo hume market ke trend aur sentiment ke bare mein valuable insights dete hain. Yeh post in indicators ko Roman Urdu mein explain kar rahi hai. Har candlestick 4 ghante ka price movement dikhata hai. Yeh chart bearish trend ko indicate kar raha hai, kyunke zyada candles neechay ki taraf move ho rahi hain aur consistently neeche close ho rahi hain. Chart mein yellow aur white lines moving averages hain. White lines short-term moving averages ko represent karti hain, jabke yellow line long-term moving average ko. Price in moving averages ke neeche hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market mein downward trend hai aur selling pressure dominate kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ka bhi signal hai ke buyers filhal control mein nahi hain.


Green dots parabolic SAR indicator ke points hain, jo trend direction ko confirm karte hain. Jab dots candles ke neeche hote hain to market bullish hota hai, lekin is waqt yeh candles ke upar hain jo ke bearish trend ka signal hai. Yeh sellers ka control aur potential price drop ko indicate karte hain. Chart ke neeche yellow line RSI (Relative Strength Index) hai, jo 14-period ka momentum indicator hai. RSI ki current value 36.43 hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market oversold zone ke qareeb hai, magar abhi complete oversold nahi hua. Agar RSI 30 se neeche jata hai to aur selling pressure aa sakta hai. Lekin ab bhi thoda sa support milne ka chance hai. EUR/USD ke H4 chart ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke abhi market bearish trend mein hai, kyunke price moving averages aur parabolic SAR ke neeche trade ho rahi hai. RSI bhi low hai, jo market ke weak momentum ko show karta hai. Overall, agar trend aise hi raha, to aur downward movement ki expectation hai, lekin short-term mein oversold zone se kuch pullback aasakta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!
GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Doosri taraf, agar GBP/USD resistance level ko, jo August 1 ko 1.3040 par tha, todnay mein kamiyab hota hai, tou ye outlook mein aik bara tabdeeli la sakta hai. Is level ka breakout sirf recent downtrend ka end signal nahi karega, balkay nayi upward trajectory bhi establish kar sakta hai. Is scenario se market mein aur ziada buyers attract honge, jo ke currency pair ki value ko barhawa dega kyun ke bullish sentiment barhta hai.

Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur relative strength index (RSI), wo zaroori tools hain jo traders ko currency pair ke aglay move ka andaza laganay mein madad dete hain. Khaaskar RSI traders ko yeh insight de sakta hai ke kisi currency pair ne oversold territory mein enter kiya hai ya nahi, jo potential reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar RSI yeh show karta hai ke GBP/USD oversold levels ke qareeb hai lekin abhi bhi key support ke upar trade ho raha hai, tou ye traders ko potential recovery ke liye position lene par majboor kar sakta hai. GBP/USD currency pair filhaal significant volatility show kar raha hai aur apni recent decline ke lower limit ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Ye decline is currency pair ko aik uncertain position mein rakh raha hai kyun ke ye oversold conditions ke qareeb hai, halan ke officially abhi is status mein nahi pohoncha. Traders aur analysts bohot closely important levels ko monitor kar rahe hain jo ke pair ke aglay movement ka taayun kar sakte hain, khaaskar support aur resistance levels jo ke guzishta kuch mahine mein form hue hain.

Sab se pehlay, current trading range ki lower limit 1.30270 aur 1.30360 ke beech mein hai. Is range se significant break aur ziada selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo ke GBP/USD ko 1.29917 ke critical support level tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 2022 mein form hue trend line ke mutabiq hai. Aisa move na sirf bearish trend ka continuation signal karega balke traders mein pair ke long-term stability ke hawale se concerns bhi barha dega.

EUR/USD ka pair filhaal ek tight trading range mein hai kyunki traders Eurozone aur U.S. ke economic indicators se milne wale mixed signals ka wait kar rahe hain. Euro ko Germany, jo ke Eurozone ki sab se bari economy hai, se aane wale weak data ki wajah se challenges ka samna hai. Germany ke recent export data ne global demand mein decline dikhaya, khaaskar China se, jo European industrial growth ke liye bohat zaroori hai. Yeh trend Eurozone ki resilience par sawalat utha raha hai aur Euro par pressure daal raha hai kyunki economic uncertainties barqarar hain.Wahin, U.S. dollar mazboot hai Federal Reserve ki high-interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ki commitment ki wajah se, jo ke persistent inflation ko control mein rakhna chahti hai. U.S. mein strong employment aur consumer spending ke numbers yeh reflect karte hain ke U.S. economy bohat se doosri economies se outperform kar rahi hai, jo Euro ke muqable mein dollar ko support de rahi hai. Fed ka hawkish stance European Central Bank ke cautious approach se bilkul contrast karta hai, jo ke Euro mein weakness contribute kar raha hai.Technical Overview ke taur par, abhi EUR/USD ke liye key support level 1.0875 par hai, aur ek aur support level 1.0835 par hai jo 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai. Agar yeh supports ke neeche move hota hai toh pair mein further declines ho sakte hain. Resistance levels 1.1038 aur 1.11 par hain. In resistances ke upar break-through possible bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai; lekin aise move ke liye ek fundamental shift zaroori hoga. Investor sentiment Euro ke hawale se abhi cautious hai, aur short positions ki badhti hui taidad yeh reflect karti hai ke Eurozone ke economic trajectory par confidence low hai. Market positioning data yeh suggest karti hai ke traders abhi dollar ko favor kar rahe hain, khaaskar U.S. ke mazboot economic indicators ki resilience ke madde nazar. Recent sessions mein low trading volumes yeh dikhate hain ke traders clearer directional cues ka wait kar rahe hain.Risk Factors aur Potential Triggers mein upcoming economic data dono regions se bohat ahmiyat rakhte hain. Eurozone ke growth reports aur U.S. inflation data critical insights provide karenge. Agar U.S. inflation report expectations se strong aati hai, toh dollar ki strength mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai, jabke Eurozone ke growth data ka Euro par impact us outlook par mabni hoga jo yeh suggest kare.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Euro/dollar ka joda filhal 1.0721 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Jaisa keh mutawaqqe tha, euro/dollar ka joda yaumiyah chart par ek descending channel ke andar niche ki taraf trade kar raha hai. Sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh European currency mumkena taur par islah ke zariye se is channel ke andar chalti rahegi. RSI indicator chart ke wast me accumulation zone me tair raha hai. RSI indicator ke mutabiq, market me dakhil na hone ki sifarish ki jati hai.



1-ghante ke chart par, euro/dollar ki jodi moving average se niche khuli. MA strategy ke mutabiq, jodi se mumkena taur par MA ke qarib pahunch kar nuqsanat me tausie ki tawaqqo hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! 1-ghante ka chart double bottom pattern ke taur par mumkena reversal ke aasar dikha raha hai, lekin darmiyani muddat ke niche ke rujhan ko dekhte hue, is tarah ke signals ko ehtiyat ke sath barta jana chahiye. Double bottom pattern ki tasdiq karne ke liye, qimat ko 1.0810 se ooper badhne aur mustahkam hone ki zarurat hai. Filhal, aaj ke liye sab se zyada imkani scenario yah hai keh euro/dollar ka joda dobara khesare ko shuru karega aur 1.0685 ki pichle kam tarin satah se niche jane ki koshish karega. Iftetahi ghanti ke bad se, currency ka joda 1.0736 ke yaumiyah pivot point se niche trade kar raha hai, jise qarib tarin muzahmati satah ke taur par bhi dekha jata hai. Ooper 1.0747 - 1.0772 par ifqi satah hain, jo keh musalsal tezi ki islah ki surat me muzahmat ke taur par bhi kam kar sakti hain.



US dollar index ke tajziye ke buniyad par, euro/dollar ke jode se 1.0685 ke pichle darmiyani muddat ke nichli satah ka dobara test karne aur wapas ucchal se pahle 1.0650 ke ilaqe me ghotah lagane ki tawaqqo hai. Imkan hai keh European currency 30 August ko shuru hui mukammal darmiyani muddati ki puri lahar se mazbut tezi ki islah me dakhil hogi. 1.0870, 1.0935, aur 1.1000 ki satahon ko jode ki islahi rally ke mumkena hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai.

نومبر 11 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

قیمت نے روزانہ چارٹ پر 1.0724 سپورٹ کی سطح کو بار بار چھید دیا ہے لیکن اس سے نیچے کو مضبوط کرنے میں ناکام رہا ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر کے ساتھ 1.0667 کی ہدف کی سطح تک پہنچنے کی کوششوں میں ایک انحراف پیدا ہو گیا ہے۔



قیمت دوبارہ 1.0777 کی سطح سے اوپر بڑھ سکتی ہے، یہاں تک کہ اگر اوپر کی رفتار پوری طرح سے ترقی نہیں کرتی ہے۔ مجموعی طور پر، رجحان بدستور مندی کا شکار ہے، کیونکہ قیمتوں کی نقل و حرکت اشارے کی لکیروں سے نیچے ہو رہی ہے، اور مارلن ابھی بھی مثبت علاقے کو عبور کرنے کے بارے میں غیر فیصلہ کن ہے۔



چار -گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 1.0724 کے نیچے کامیابی سے مضبوط ہو گئی ہے۔ اب، یہ دیکھنا باقی ہے کہ آیا قیمت اس سطح پر دوبارہ دعوی کرے گی اور 1.0777 کی طرف بڑھنے کی کوشش کرے گی۔ اگر قیمت ایسا کوئی ارادہ نہیں دکھاتی ہے تو، 1.0667 پر ہدف کی حمایت حاصل کرنے کا امکان ہے۔ اگلا ہدف 1.0636، 31 مئی 2023 کی کم ترین سطح ہوگا۔

.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD ke H4 (4-hour) timeframe par price ka trend downward hai, jo ke clear bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average (MA) line jo red color mein dikhai de rahi hai, woh price ke upar hai aur yeh downward trend ko support karti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price MA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke sellers ke liye favorable scenario hai. Jab tak price is MA ke neeche rahegi, bearish trend barqarar rehne ka imkaan zyada hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator bhi niche ki taraf hai aur overbought zone mein nahi hai. Is waqt RSI ka level 31 ke qareeb hai, jo ke selling pressure ka signal deta hai. Yeh overbought (70) aur oversold (30) zones ke kareeb hai, aur agar yeh 30 ke neeche jaye, to yeh aur zyada bearish momentum ka ishara dega. Yeh is baat ko bhi indicate karta hai ke abhi bhi selling saturation nahi hui, aur price aur neeche gir sakti hai.
Momentum aur MFI (Money Flow Index) indicators bhi weak hain, jo selling pressure ka indication dete hain. MFI ka value 33 hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke market mein fresh buying interest kaafi kam hai aur sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Yeh indicators collectively signal dete hain ke market mein strength kamzor hai aur downside ka risk barqarar hai. Agar price 1.0680 ke support level ko break karti hai aur is ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh aur zyada bearish continuation ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh level ek important support zone hai aur iske break hone par price aur neeche ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price MA line ke upar cross kare aur sustain ho, to yeh possible bullish reversal ka pehla indication ho sakta hai, lekin abhi ke liye aisa koi sign nazar nahi aa raha. Is wajah se, abhi ke liye trend follow karte hue selling positions zyada safe hain jab tak price MA ke neeche aur 1.0680 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Price Outlook – Monday ko Gold Ne Aghaz Mein Wapas Downtrend Dekha

Gold market ne is hafte ke aghaz mein kuch pressure mehsoos kiya hai, jab market mein interest rate ke halaat, geopolitical concerns, aur duniya bhar ke central banks ke gold kharidne ke bare mein kaafi sawalat uthaye ja rahe hain.

Gold Markets Technical Analysis

Gold ne Monday ke pehlay ghanton mein plunge kiya aur 50-day EMA tak pohanch gaya, jo ke negativity ka ishara de raha hai. Lekin phir bhi, yeh ab bhi market mein ek kaafi positive trend hai, aur is waqt mujhe yeh lagta hai ke kisi bhi qeemat par gold ko sell karke short karna koi samajhdari ka kaam nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke zyadatar downward pressure sirf un logon ka profit lena hai jo kuch arsa se strong gain enjoy kar rahe hain. Mere khayal mein yeh ek aisa moqa hai jahan aap ‘sasti gold ounces’ purchase kar sakte hain is move ke doran.



50-day EMA kuch support de sakta hai, lekin agar hum is se neeche break karte hain, toh mujhe lagta hai ke aapko $2,600 level par qareebi tawajju deni hogi. Mujhe filhal koi aisi surat-e-haal nazar nahi aa rahi jo gold market ko short karne ke liye mo’afik ho, kyunke halan ke geopolitical aspect Trump ke election ke baad thoda kam ho gaya hai, lekin asal mein gold market bonds, economic concerns, aur spending ke hawalay se bhi move kar rahi hai.

Toh sab kuch mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke akhri mein gold upar jayega, lekin filhal aisa lagta hai ke yeh kuch gains ko digest kar raha hai aur shayad mazeed buyers ko attract karne ki koshish mein hai. Main 50-day EMA ko dekhta rahunga, aur agar hum yahan se bounce karte hain, toh mein wapas buyer banunga, lekin agar nahi, toh phir mein wapas $2,600 level par apni tawajju dein ga.