Eurusd forum

n kiya tha. Ab hum 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. Girawat hui, lekin is level par na to koi test hua aur na hi false breakout formation hui. Low volatility ki wajah se koi suitable entry points nahi milay. Phir bhi, doosray half of the day ke liye technical picture ko thora revise kiya EUR/USD mein Long Positions kholne ke liye Germany ka GDP figures economists ki forecasts ke mutabiq aaye, aur halaan ke report disappointing thi, lekin euro par sirf thoda pressure pada, kyun ke pehlay se hi data ne GDP contraction ko indicate kar diya tha second quarter mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew karne aur pair ko mazeed barhane ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main selling ko aglay resistance 1.1237 ke test tak postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions foran rebound par

analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke

EUR/USD Price Patterns

Chaliye EUR/USD currency pair ke price activity ka tajziya karte hain aur dekhtay hain ke humein kya insights milti hain. EUR/USD pair mein girawat ka imkaan ab bhi zyada hai. 4-hour chart par, pair wazeh tor par downtrend mein hai, aur price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo continued bearish momentum ka ishara deta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pichli session ke doran, pair ne bearish movement ko barqarar rakha jab sellers ne apni position pivot level ke neeche mazboot karne ki koshish ki, jo abhi 1.0984 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh sell positions shuru karne ka mauqa dikhata hai.

Intraday sales targets classic Pivot support levels ke sath align hain. Aaj ki din mein in current levels se aur girawat aane ki umeed hai, aur agar 1.0880 support level toota, toh yeh neeche ki taraf aik nayi wave ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo pair ko 1.0786 ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Agar bullish players market mein dobara shamil hote hain, toh unka pehla target is chart segment par resistance level 1.1137 hoga.

**EUR/USD Technical Analysis**

Mere indicators yeh darust karte hain ke zyada significant downward trend abhi tak mukammal nahi hui. Mujhe umeed hai ke aaj 1.0949 ke neeche ek aur break hoga, isliye maine sell positions enter ki hain. Ek alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke 1.1000 level par break ho, agar demand aaj ke baad confirm ho jaye.

Lekin choti time frames ke liye, selling positions abhi bhi valid hain. Aaj subah 5-minute chart par aik signal mila jo broader downward trend aur channel ke andar aage barhne ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo abhi bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Agar yeh rebound banay rakhta hai, toh aik zyada decisive upward move ka mauqa mil sakta hai, jo sloping channel se breakout karega. Yeh breakout agle resistance zone, 1.1034-1.1064, ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo sellers ke liye aik critical area hai. Agar is zone se upar break hota hai, toh euro dobara upward ja sakta hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Chaliye, daily chart par banay hui situation ko dekhte hain. Shyam bakhair, main aapko ek behtareen trading din aur bade munafe ki dua deta hoon! Mere taraf se, main bearish arrow khinchta hoon. Main abhi bhi US dollar ki mazbooti aur neeche ki taraf movement ki umeed rakhta hoon. Margin technique ke mutabiq, aaj trend short hai. Main 1.1030 ke ilaqe mein selling ki talash karunga. Yeh zaroori hai ke yeh psychological round figure 1.1000 se gir sakta hai. Yeh market hai aur yahan kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Daily timeframe par, main abhi bhi umeed karta hoon ke price broken triangle ke upper border par dobara test karne ke liye wapas aaye. Mere trading interest ka lower target abhi bhi 1.0860 ke ilaqe mein hai. Dekhte hain. Yahan, price horizontal channel mein 1.0944 aur 1.0996 levels ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai, jabke bears support level 1.0944 ko identify nahi kar paaye.

EUR/USD Analysis During Asian Session

Ab, Asian session ke doran, bulls ne initiative liya, prices ko 1.0996 level par le jaane ki koshish ki. Is resistance level par kaam karne ke baad, main rebound ki sambhavana ko dekh raha hoon, jismein bears wapas aayenge aur support level 1.0944 par kaam karenge, aur breakout ki sambhavana bhi hai. Agar breakout hota hai, toh main trading karunga. Toh, agar breakout hota hai aur Daily candle 1.0996 ke upar band hoti hai, toh main upar ki taraf play karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur further growth ki umeed karunga, jo 1.1111 ke resistance level par kaam karne ki taraf le jaa sakta hai; main kal is level ke bare mein soch raha tha, jabke humein intermediate resistance level 1.1047 ko nahi bhoolna chahiye.

Situation ka taraqqi zyada tar United States mein inflation data par munhasir hai, jo Thursday ko publish hoga, aur yeh statistics shayad is trading week mein movement ka key driver ban sakti hain. Bears ne EUR/USD pair ki prices ko thoda delay kiya hai, inflation statistics ki publication ka intezar karte hue, taake baad mein khabar ke baad zyada attractive levels par buying ki ja sake.

Aaj ki guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka tajziya karegi. Wazeh indicators U.S. dollar ki bazar mein barhne ki tasdeeq karte hain, jismein barhte hue oil prices ka kafi aham kirdar hai. Jabke U.S. economy ke initiatives dollar ki taqat mein izafa karte hain, khaaskar labour market ki growth ke liye, oil market ab bhi primary driver hai. Aaj, oil prices $78.18 per barrel tak pahunche hain. Agar yeh upar ki taraf ka rujhan jaari raha, toh U.S. dollar bhi iske sath barhega.

EUR/USD currency pair mein halka upar ki taraf ka harkat asal mein oil prices ke fluctuations ke wajah se hai, khaaskar correction ke doran. Oil $75.24 tak gir gaya hai, jiski wajah se dollar thoda halka hua hai, aur euro ko choti si correction ka mauqa mila. Technical standpoint se, euro 1.0999 ka aham level test karne ke liye barh sakta hai, jo ke aksar EUR/USD pair ke liye ek psychological barrier mana jata hai.

Lekin, H4 chart par stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke ek downward reversal qareeb hai. Peer EUR/USD pair ke liye kaafi pur-sukoon raha, jabke volatility bhi kam thi, aur aaj ka din bhi kuch aisa hi hai. Market quotes filhal 1.0989 ke level par consolidate ho rahe hain. Yeh quotes upar ki taraf barh sakte hain, jo ke long-term mein upward trend ko barqarar rakhega, shayad resistance level 1.1047 tak pahunchenge.

Iske bawajood, pair abhi bhi pressure mein hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke girawat ab bhi mumkin hai. Downward trend short- aur medium-term perspectives mein pehle hai, isliye mujhe umeed hai ke support level 1.0948 jald hi dekha jayega. Yeh surat-e-haal market ki fluctuating nature ko ubhar kar rahi hai, jahan external factors, jaise ke oil prices aur technical indicators, U.S. dollar ki taqat aur euro ke sath iski taluqaat ko shape karte hain.

**EUR/USD Market Outlook**

Spot price ne hafte ki shuruaat bearish note par ki, Tuesday ke US session mein 1.0970 ke aas-paas trade karte hue, jab investors apna dhyan aane wale US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policy decision par laga rahe hain. Market mein uncertainty barqarar hai, aur ye speculation ho rahi hai ke kya Fed 25 basis points (bps) ya 50 bps ka rate cut karega. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, pair 1.0979 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai, jo ke cautious market sentiment ko darust karta hai.

Eurozone aur US ki contrasting economic outlooks EUR/USD ki near-term direction ko tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhti hain. Jabke US economy consumer demand mein kamzori ke nishan dikhati hai, Eurozone zyada structural issues ka samna kar raha hai, khaaskar Germany mein. Ye factors traders ke liye ek complex landscape tayar karte hain jab wo pair ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko jaanchne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Market expectations ke liye potential rate cut ka khayal US Producer Price Index (PPI) data ke recent release se kaafi asar daal gaya. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 bps tak rates ko 4.75%-5.00% ke range mein kam karne ki probability September mein 14% se barh kar 43% ho gayi. Ye shift asal mein goods aur services ki factory level par slow price increases se aayi hai, jo weak consumer demand ka signal hai. Itihas mein, aise trends ne Fed ko rate cuts par ghoor karne par majboor kiya hai taake economic activity ko barhaya ja sake.

Is beech, Eurozone apne economic challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jahan European Central Bank (ECB) se expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo borrowing rates ko kam karega. Iska primary driver Eurozone mein price pressures mein sharp decline hai, saath hi Germany ki economic health par barh rahi chinta. Germany, jo Eurozone ki sabse badi economy hai, ne second quarter mein 0.1% contraction dekha. Demand ki kami ke sath, mulk recession ki taraf badhne ka khatra mehsoos kar raha hai, jo ECB par action lene ke liye pressure daal raha hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar pair decisively Bollinger Band ki lower boundary ko 1.0972 par cross karta hai, toh ye ek rally dekh sakta hai. Is level ke upar sustained move pair ko psychological resistance 1.1000 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan se further upside potential 1.1241, jo July 19 ka high hai, tak bhi ja sakta hai.

**EUR/USD Technical Support Levels**

1.0960 ka level pair ke liye ek ahm initial support zone hai. Agar selling pressure barhta hai aur pair is threshold se neeche girta hai, toh agla psychological support 1.0900 mark par hai. Iske ilawa, agar bearish momentum jari rahta hai, toh 1.0888 aur 1.0850 levels bhi downside targets ke taur par samne aa sakte hain. Ye levels traders ke liye important hain, kyunki in par price action se next moves ka pata chal sakta hai.

Euro (EUR) aur US Dollar (USD) Ka Halat


Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek mashhoor pattern ko dobara anjaam diya, jo ke ek established range mein fluctuating tha aur aakhir mein 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, yeh pair upper limit par naye ground ko break karne mein nakam raha.

European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne ehtiyaat barathtay huay kaha ke European Union mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapis barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU mein inflation data ke release honay se pehlay diya gaya, jo ke Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.

Halanki overall inflation ne moderation dikhayi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts ke bare mein hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka ghor se intezaar kar rahi hai, jo ke September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur zyada ho sakte hain.

Bostic ne kaha ke agar non-farm payrolls number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh yeh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho.

Is elan ke baad US dollar barh gaya aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara sochna shuru kar diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke September mein ek sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi.


4o mini

Euro (EUR) aur US Dollar (USD) Ka Halat Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek mashhoor pattern ko dobara anjaam diya, jo ke ek established range mein fluctuating tha aur aakhir mein 1.1100 mark ke upar close kiya. Lekin, yeh pair upper limit par naye ground ko break karne mein nakam raha.

European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ne ehtiyaat barathtay huay kaha ke European Union mein inflation temporarily baseline levels se neeche ja sakta hai, lekin saal ke aakhir tak wapis barh sakta hai. Yeh bayan EU mein inflation data ke release honay se pehlay diya gaya, jo ke Tuesday ko aayega, aur expected hai ke preliminary harmonized index of consumer price inflation (HICP) 1.9% tak gir sakta hai, jabke pehlay yeh 2.2% tha.

Halanki overall inflation ne moderation dikhayi hai, Lagarde ne is baat ka ishara diya ke October mein inflation zyada ho sakta hai, kyunki central bankers market participants ke overly optimistic expectations ko manage kar rahe hain jo interest rate cuts ke bare mein hain.

United States mein, market non-farm payrolls report ka ghor se intezaar kar rahi hai, jo ke September ke liye Friday ko release hogi. Kuch Federal Reserve ke officials bhi Monday ko data release karne wale hain. Atlanta Fed ke President Raphael Bostic ne labor market ki ahmiyat par zor diya aur is baat ka ishara diya ke agar economic data zaroorat ka ishara kare, toh rate cuts aur zyada ho sakte hain.

Bostic ne kaha ke agar non-farm payrolls number 100,000 net new jobs se kam hota hai, toh yeh Fed ko aur zyada aggressive action lene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bostic ke bayanat ke baad, Fed ke Chairman Powell ne wazeh kiya ke investors ko aur zyada aggressive rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye jab tak US economy mein koi significant deterioration na ho.

Is elan ke baad US dollar barh gaya aur interest rate traders ne November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki apni umeedon ko dobara sochna shuru kar diya. Powell ne ishara diya ke September mein ek sharp rate cut ke baad, Fed mazeed do 25 basis point rate cuts implement kar sakti hai, jis se market ke November mein 50 basis point rate cut ki umeedon mein kami aayi.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Halat


EUR/USD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin, pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai.

Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega.

Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega.

US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai.

Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega.

Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega.

Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai.

Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega.

Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.


4o mini






EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Halat EUR/USD currency pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai jab ke yeh apni 50-day moving average ke thoda upar chala gaya hai, pichlay haftay ki momentum ko continue karte hue. Lekin, pair ko naye buyers nahi mil rahe aur yeh 1.1207 ke key resistance level ke neeche hi hai.

Market participants Eurozone ke important data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar inflation figures ka, jo ECB ki aindah policy par asar daal sakta hai. Agar data strong economic growth ya elevated inflation ko zahir karta hai, toh ECB apni monetary policy ko maintain ya tighten kar sakti hai, jo Euro ko support karega.

Dosri taraf, agar data weak aaya toh ECB apni policy ko zyada accommodative karne ka soch sakti hai, jo Euro ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko neeche le jaayega.

US ki taraf se, Federal Reserve ne aggressive rate cuts ki umeedon ko thanda kar diya hai, recent statements ke zariye yeh zahir karte hue ke woh ab cautious approach le rahe hain. Pehle optimism tha ke large-scale rate cuts honge, lekin ab Fed ka tone zyada measured hai, jo US Dollar ko kuch support de raha hai.

Haan, lekin upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is narrative ko badal sakta hai. Agar yeh data labor market mein slow down dikhata hai, toh Fed ko zyada substantial rate cuts karne ke liye majboor kar sakta hai, jo Dollar ko kamzor kar ke EUR/USD ko upar le jaayega.

Is liye market dono key events ka intezar kar raha hai—Eurozone ka data aur NFP report—jo pair ke next move ka rukh tay karega.

Agle haftay, EUR/USD ke liye foundation Monday se banana shuru ho ga, jab Germany ka inflation data release hoga, aur Tuesday ko Eurozone ka overall inflation data. Agar inflation France aur Spain ki tarah gir gaya toh EUR/USD is data par significant girawat dekh sakta hai.

Market expect kar raha hai ke ECB December mein rate cut karega, lekin agar Eurozone ka inflation aglay haftay 2% tak gir gaya, toh ECB ke October mein rate cut karne ki umeedein barh jayengi. Aur, Friday ko Non-Farm Payrolls data bhi aana hai, aur is se pehle Wednesday ko ADP ki taraf se preliminary employment data US ka aayega.

Weekly chart par price consolidation ho rahi hai, jo aglay haftay ya toh 1.1120 ka breakout kar ke pair ko 1.0850 ki taraf le jaayegi, ya phir 1.1230 ka breakout hoga aur EUR/USD 1.15 ki taraf chala jayega.

EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew
EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai

Is hafte ki shuruaat bearish note par hui hai, jahan spot price slip hoke takreeban 1.0970 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai Tuesday ke US session mein. Investors ka dhyan ab is hafte ke aakhri mein hone wale US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision par hai. Market mein abhi bhi uncertainty hai, aur speculation barh raha hai ke Fed 25 basis point (bps) ya 50 bps rate cut karega. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, pair 1.0979 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo ke market mein ehtiyat ko zahir karta hai.Eurozone aur US ke mukhtalif economic outlooks EUR/USD ki near-term direction tay karne mein aham kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Jahan US economy mein consumer demand kamzor nazar aa rahi hai, wahan Eurozone ko zyada structural masail ka samna hai, khaaskar Germany mein. Yeh factors traders ke liye ek pechida surat-e-haal paida kar rahe hain jab ke wo pair ka mustaqbil andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.Market ki expectations ko significant taur par impact kiya recent US Producer Price Index (PPI) data ne. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 bps rate cut ki probability jo pehle 14% thi, September mein 4.75%-5.00% range tak cut hone ka chance ab 43% ho gaya hai. Yeh shift zyada tar slow price increases ki wajah se hai factory level par, jo consumer demand ke kamzori ko zahir karta hai. Tareekhi taur par, aise trends ne Fed ko rate cuts karne par majboor kiya hai taake economic activity ko barhaya ja sake.Wahi Eurozone apne economic challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jahan European Central Bank (ECB) se ye umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo borrowing rates ko cut karega. Iska primary reason Eurozone mein price pressures ka achanak girna hai, saath hi Germany ki economic halat par barhata hua khauf. Germany, jo Eurozone ki sab se bari economy hai, doosre quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui hai. Demand ke slow hone se, mulk recession ka shikar ho sakta hai, jo ECB par pressure barhata hai ke wo kuch action le. Agar pair Bollinger Band ki lower boundary 1.0972 ko decisively break kar leta hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai. Agar selling pressure barh gaya aur pair 1.0960 ke threshold ke neeche gir gaya, to agla psychological support 1.0900 par hoga. Additional downside targets mein 1.0888 aur 1.0850 ke levels shaamil hain, jo ke bearish momentum ke barqarar rehne par play mein aa sakte hain.

confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly

data par mabni hoga, jo ke is hafte kafi ziada release kiya ja raha hai. Magar, Monday aur Tuesday ko market mein koi bara khabar nahi tha. Market ka intezar FOMC Meeting Minutes ka hai, jo ke Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke

aas paas trade kar raha hai Tuesday ke US session mein. Investors ka dhyan ab is hafte ke aakhri mein hone wale US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision par hai. Market mein abhi bhi uncertainty hai, aur speculation barh raha hai ke Fed 25 basis point (bps) ya 50 bps rate cut karega. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, pair 1.0979 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo ke market mein ehtiyat ko zahir karta hai.Eurozone aur US ke mukhtalif economic outlooks EUR/USD ki near-term direction tay karne mein aham kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Jahan US economy mein consumer demand kamzor nazar aa rahi hai, wahan Eurozone ko zyada structural masail ka samna hai, khaaskar Germany mein. Yeh factors traders ke liye ek pechida surat-e-haal paida kar rahe hain jab ke wo pair ka mustaqbil andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.Market ki expectations ko significant taur par impact kiya recent US Producer Price Index (PPI) data ne. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 bps rate cut ki probability jo pehle 14% thi, September mein 4.75%-5.00% range tak cut hone ka chance ab 43% ho gaya hai. Yeh shift zyada tar slow price increases ki wajah se hai factory level par, jo consumer demand ke kamzori ko zahir karta hai. Tareekhi taur par, aise trends ne Fed ko rate cuts karne par majboor kiya hai taake economic activity ko barhaya ja sake.Wahi Eurozone apne economic challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jahan European Central Bank (ECB) se ye umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo borrowing rates ko cut karega. Iska primary reason Eurozone mein price pressures ka achanak girna hai, saath hi Germany ki economic halat par barhata hua khauf. Germany, jo Eurozone ki sab se bari economy hai, doosre quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui hai. Demand ke slow hone se, mulk recession ka shikar ho sakta hai, jo ECB par pressure barhata hai ke wo kuch action le. Agar pair Bollinger Band ki lower boundary 1.0972 ko decisively break kar leta hai, to ek rally ka imkaan hai. Agar selling pressure barh gaya aur pair 1.0960 ke threshold ke neeche gir gaya, to agla psychological support 1.0900 par hoga. Additional downside targets mein 1.0888 aur 1.0850 ke levels

EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly high ko renew EUR/USD tab tak purani halat mein nahi rahe ga jab tak Fed ka faisla nahi aata. Aap shayad European Central Bank (ECB) ke meeting ka bhi zikar kar rahe hain, jo Thursday ko hai, jo is maamle mein ahmiyat rakhti hai. Maine forecast calendar ko dekha aur mujhe dekhar hairani hui ke 0.6 basis points ka rate reduction plan kiya gaya hai, jo rate ko 4.25% se 3.64% tak le aayega. Agar yeh forecast theek raha, toh EUR/USD mein kam zyada girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin, agar ECB sirf 0.5 ya 0.2 points ka reduction karta hai, toh EUR/USD ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai. Aise mein ECB ka rate cut dollar ko mazid majboot karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko kamzor kar sakta hai.
Pichle Jumme ko EUR/USD pair ne khaas taur par behtareen recovery dikhai, jo ke kuch 4 hafton ke baad sab se neechi levels se upar aya. Yeh positive momentum pair ko haftay ke trading range ke upar end tak le gaya, jo lagbhag 1.1090 ke aas-paas tha. Is upar chadhai ko kamzor US dollar ne support diya, jo ke weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report ki wajah se tha. PPI data ne Federal Reserve ke agle haftay zyada aggressive rate cut ki umeed ko mazid barhadiya. Is positive risk sentiment ke sath, US dollar ne girawat dikhai aur is ka natija yeh hua ke EUR/USD pair ki qeemat mein izafa hua. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ka apne current interest rate stance ko barqarar rakhna euro ko support diya, jo currency pair ke liye buying interest ko mazid barhata hai