یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.

1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi balanced range mein kaam kar raha tha aur yeh breakout short term mein sustainable nahi tha. FVG ka fill hona yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious the, kyunke ek true breakout ke liye demand ya supply se stronger impulse ki zaroorat hoti hai.

mein. Doosray half of the day mein ziada activity ki umeed hai, jab ke US consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, aur 20 barae US shehron mein home price index ke data aa rahe hain. Agar consumer confidence mein kami hoti hai, to euro ko support milne ke chances hain, lekin agar yeh indicator barhta hai, jo ke mojooda surat-e-haal mein mumkin hai, to EUR/USD aur neeche ja sakta hai, jisko main fayda uthane ke liye dekh raha hoon. Agar 1.1153 support level par girawat ke baad false breakout hota hai, to yeh long positions kholne ke liye ek acha moka hoga, jisme euro ka rise aur bullish trend ka mazid mazbooti ka aim hoga, aur 1.1199 ka monthly high wapas aayega. Is range ka breakout aur upward retest pair ko barhata hua 1.1237 ka test karne ka moka dega. Aakhri target 1.1274 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein 1.1153 ke aas paas significant activity ke baghair girta hai, to sellers ke paas ek bara correction ka moka hoga. Is surat mein, main sirf 1.1130 ke aglay support level par false breakout ke baad entry karunga. Mazeed, main 1.1107 se rebound par long positions kholne ka plan kar raha hoon, 30-35 points ki upward correction ka target rakhte hue EUR/USD mein Short Positions kholne ke liye Sellers ne bhi wait-and-see approac apnay hai, aur Germany ke data par sirf thoda react kiya hai. Agar euro second half of the day mein barhta hai (aur yaad rahe, hum bullish trend mein hain), to mujhe umeed hai ke sellers sirf 1.1199 ke resistance ke aas paas nazar aayenge, jo aaj tak hum nahi pohanchay hain. Is level par false breakout short positions kholne ka moka dega, jisme pair ko 1.1153 support tak reduce karne ka target hoga, jahan moving averages hain jo bulls ke haq mein hain. Is range ka breakout aur consolidation neeche aur downward retest mazeed selling ka moka dega, jisme movement 1.1130 tak hogi, jahan mujhe bulls se ziada active response ki umeed hai. Aakhri target 1.1107 hoga, jahan main profits le lunga. Agar EUR/USD weak US economic data ke bawajood barhta hai aur 1.1199 par koi bears nahi miltay, jo ke mumkin nahi hai, to buyers wapas initiative le lenge, jisme monthly

EUR/USD ka currency pair is waqt ek critical juncture par hai, jahan key resistance aur support levels iske aane wale movements ko decide kar sakte hain. Market dynamics ka analysis karte waqt, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh levels pair ke trajectory par kaisa asar dal sakte hain aane wale sessions mein.

Resistance Levels

Filhal, EUR/USD initial resistance level 1.1036 par nazar rakh raha hai. Yeh wo point hai jo historically ek ahem barrier ke tor par kaam karta hai, jahan selling pressure tab paya jata hai jab pair iske qareeb aata hai. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh traders ke beech bullish sentiment ka signal ho sakta hai, jo agle resistance levels 1.1124 aur 1.1206 ki taraf ek rally ko chala sakta hai.

1.1124 ka level doosra resistance level hai aur yeh ek critical pivot point ban sakta hai. Agar market momentum itna strong hota hai ke 1.1124 breach ho jata hai, to agla target 1.1206 ho sakta hai. Yeh sirf ek psychological barrier nahi balki ek technical milestone bhi hai, jise traders qareebi taur par dekhte hain. Agar price 1.1206 ke upar sustained movement dikhata hai, to yeh ek bullish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai, jo buying interest aur euro ke against dollar mein confidence ko izafa dikhata hai.

Support Levels

Doosri taraf, EUR/USD ne notable support 1.0953 par paya hai, jo pehla support level hai. Yeh level pair ke immediate outlook ke liye bohot ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Agar price is level par falter karta hai aur kamzori dikhata hai, to ek breakdown ho sakta hai jo agle support levels tak decline le ja sakta hai.

Doosra support level, jo bulls ke liye ek pivotal area hai, traders ki qareebi nazar mein hoga. Agar market ne 1.0953 ko decisively breach kiya, to yeh ek tezi se decline ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Aise movement se sentiment ka shift dikhai dega, jahan sellers control hasil kar lenge aur market mein ziada volatility aasakti hai.

Potential Scenarios

Haalat ko dekhte hue kuch scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Agar EUR/USD apni position 1.0953 ke upar barqarar rakhta hai, to traders bullish reversal ke intezar mein positions accumulate kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar koi positive catalyst ya macroeconomic data euro ke support mein aaye. Yeh 1.1036 tak ka rasta banayega aur momentum 1.1124 aur 1.1206 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar bearish pressure dominate karta hai aur pair 1.0953 ke neeche break karta hai, to sentiment jaldi shift ho sakta hai. Aise breakdown ke asrat significant ho sakte hain, jahan traders apni positions exit karenge aur downward momentum ka faida uthayenge. Is scenario mein, market mein tezi se decline ho sakta hai aur support levels tak ka rasta ban sakta hai, jo trader psychology aur market sentiment mein shift ko reflect karega.

Conclusion

EUR/USD pair filhal apne resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan ek crossroads par hai. In critical thresholds ke ird gird pair ka behavior uski short-term direction ko tay karega. Traders ko in levels ko aur market news ko qareebi taur par monitor karna hoga jo euro aur dollar ke dynamics ko asarandaz kar sakti hai. Yahan rally hogi ya decline hoga, yeh market sentiment, technical indicators, aur macroeconomic developments ke confluence par mabni hoga. Risk management aur market movements ki achi samajh in challenging waters ko navigate karne ke liye bohot zaroori hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Overview:
EUR/USD currency pair is is waqt lagbhag 1.6316 par trade kar raha hai, aur market mein abhi bearish trend hai. Is ka matlab hai ke recent sessions mein euro ka U.S. dollar ke muqable mein lagataar kamzor hona dekhne ko mila hai. Bearish trend aksar is baat ki nishani hoti hai ke market participants aur zyada girawat ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo Europe se kamzor economic data, U.S. dollar ke strong fundamentals, ya global markets mein general risk aversion ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Euro ki kamzori ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke downward pressure kuch waqt tak barkarar rahega.

Market Movements:

Haal hi mein, market mein dheemi movements nazar aayi hain; lekin aane walay dino mein EUR/USD pair mein ek bara price shift dekhne ki umeed barh rahi hai. Kuch ahem economic factors aur events is anticipated volatility mein kirdar ada kar sakte hain. Masalan, inflation, employment, aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions se mutaliq data rapid market movements ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar eurozone economy mein behtari ke asar nazar aayein ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals milain, to yeh pair mein reversal shuru kar sakti hai, jo ek potential upward correction ko janam dega.

Technical Indicators:

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators bhi yeh suggest karte hain ke ek breakout qareeb ho sakta hai. EUR/USD pair is waqt ek consolidation phase mein hai ek specific range ke andar, aur aise consolidations aksar significant price movements se pehle hoti hain. Agar pair key resistance levels ke upar break karne mein kamyab hota hai, to yeh ek bullish reversal ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar support levels ko maintain na kar paya, to bearish trend aur bhi intense ho sakta hai.

Monitoring Trends and Signals:

Akhir mein, jab ke current trend EUR/USD ke liye bearish hai, traders ko upcoming events aur technical signals par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market momentum mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka ishara de sakte hain. Koi significant movement ho sakti hai jo bullish aur bearish dono positions ke liye naye trading opportunities faraham kar sakti hai. Economic releases aur market sentiment mein potential shifts ko closely monitor karna currency pair ki future movements ko navigate karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

Hello everyone! EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh kar mein kuch yeh observe kar raha hoon: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo market mein strong buying pressure ko zahir karta hai. Buyers ki activity ek zabardast buying opportunity ka ishara karti hai, khaaskar jab price lower channel boundary 1.11914 par hoti hai. Agla andaza hai ke market 1.12151 ke level tak rise karega, jiske baad ek correction ki umeed hai. Yeh correction lower boundary ki taraf hoga, jahan se dobara buying opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, toh hum further girawat dekh sakte hain, aur aise mein buying positions cancel kar di jayengi. Market channels ke sath grow karta hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekh raha ho. Sales ki umeed upper channel boundary 1.12151 se hai, jahan entry ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main pullback par entry karun, jitna ho sake lower boundary ke qareeb.
H1 higher timeframe ko analyze karte hue, mujhe dikhai deta hai ke linear regression channel upward slope mein hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyun ke yeh strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. M15 channel se jo signal mila, wo buying ka mashwara deta hai, jo meri buying ki desire ko reinforce karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi level par price ka intizaar karna hai aur wahan se buying opportunity dekhni hai. Jis jagah par mein buying opportunities dekh raha hoon wo current situation mein lower channel boundary 1.10973 par hai. Wahan se, mein dobara buy karne ki koshish karunga taake 1.12036 tak ka target achieve ho. Agar yeh target achieve hota hai, toh yeh strong upward movement ka ishara hoga. 1.12036 se ek correction ki umeed hai, kyun ke bullish movement select ki gayi hai. Bulls dobara apne movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar entry point 1.10973 par breach hoti hai neeche ki taraf, toh yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Aise mein, buying ka trading plan reconsider karna aur market situation ko dobara assess karna zaroori hoga. Eurodollar ka shape ab ek triangle ke jese lagta hai, jisme ek wedge bhi shamil hai. Haan, wahan par jo shandar shadow hai, wo image ko kharab karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin agar price uss direction mein nahi jata, phir bhi upper trend neeche rahega. Main dusri baar 1.1001 level ko test karne ka mauqa dekhoonga. Dollar ki value kam hone ki wajah se pair ko upar jane ki zarurat hai. Ab kyunke main kisi bhi indicators par reliance nahi karta, technically mere liye kuch specify karna mushkil hai. Bas mein sirf figures sketch karta hoon. EUR/USD pair waqai 1.12 ke round mark ko paar kar leta hai aur upar barhta hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS

Hamari analysis filhal EUR/USD currency pair ke current price performance ka tajziya kar rahi hai. Aaj ke daily chart par, EUR/USD pair mein aik significant girawat dekhi gayi hai, jab ke takreeban do hafton tak buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan shiddat se muqabla chalta raha. Magar kal teesray quarter ka ikhtitam tha, jis ne pair ki price ko 24 September ke qareebi peak, yani 1.12012 ke ird gird rakhne mein madad ki. Is waqt zyada counter-liquidity ki zarurat thi, jo is ke lambe arsay ko samjha sakti hai, halankeh buyers aasani se mojood thay. Aaj ki price shift aam harkat se 1.4 dafa zyada hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke agle din, aur shayad Thursday ko U.S. labour market statistics tak, mazeed volatility aa sakti hai. Aik aur girawat subah ke waqt ho sakti hai, magar European session mein recovery ka imkaan hai. Eurozone mein inflation ab 1% se neeche chali gayi hai, jo euro ke liye manfi asar dal sakta hai.



H1 chart par ek solid upward channel nazar aaya hai. Support line 1.1144 ke neeche consolidation hui, jo bullish channel ki lower boundary ke neeche thi. Is ke baad, EUR/USD pair mein tez girawat dekhne ko mili, jo local lows tak pohonch gayi, 1.1059 par. Sellers mazeed push nahi kar sake, aur bounce aaya. Ab is waqt jab yeh likha ja raha hai, pair 1.1060 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Technically, tamam asaar yeh dikhate hain ke fundamental level 1.1209 se bounce karne ke baad, girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Hamari EUR/USD market ka tajziya jari hai. Jo girawat main pehle se forecast kar raha tha, woh aakhirkar nazar aayi. Magar maine khud EUR/USD mein trade nahi kiya kyun ke mera focus oil par tha, aur mera trading account complete tha. Asal mein, euro mein aik khaas girawat dekhi gayi. D1 chart par ascending price channel break ho gaya, jiska lower boundary 1.1101 thi. Corrective drop tab shuru hui jab euro round price 1.1201 ke upar sustain nahi kar saka. Yeh rejection corrective downturn ka aghaz bana, aur aaj ki girawat ne 1.1051 ka fresh daily low banaya.

Spot price mein kamzori dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo 1.0975 ke level ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, jab ke US Dollar (USD) apni girawat ka silsila jari rakhe hue hai. USD Index, jo USD ke qeemat ko chheh badi currencies ke muqablay mein naapta hai, ab 102.50 ke level ki taraf gir chuka hai. Yeh girawat is wajah se hai ke bazaar mein afwahein hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) 50 basis points (bps) ke rate cut ka ilan kar sakta hai, jis ne Greenback ko bechne ka dabao barhaya hai.

Halaanki recent consolidation ke bawajood, EUR/USD aane wale dino mein kaafi risks aur mouqay samnay la sakti hai. ECB ke economic projections ka natija aur Fed ke monetary policy mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka imkaan, yeh tay karein ge ke pair ka agla rujhan kya ho ga. Agar ECB Eurozone economy ke hawalay se optimism zahir karta hai aur Fed rate cuts ka ishara deta hai, to EUR/USD ke current resistance levels ko break karne ka imkaan barh sakta hai.

**EUR/USD ke bunyadi asool:**

Sarmayakaar is waqt European Central Bank (ECB) ke naye economic projections ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Eurozone ke mali mustaqbil ke hawalay se roshni dalain ge. ECB ki President Christine Lagarde ke aglay bayanat se bhi monetary policy ke hawalay se rehnamaai milne ki tawaqqo hai, jo Euro ke trajectory ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Saath hi saath, traders bhi US Producer Price Index (PPI) ke release par focus kar rahe hain, jo North American session ke dauran EUR/USD pair ke liye naye trading mouqay paida kar sakta hai.

Latest US core inflation data ne market mein yeh tawaqqo mazid barhadi hai ke Fed apne key interest rates mein dheray dheray kami karna shuru karega. Halaanki 50-bps rate cut ke imkaan mein kami dekhi gayi hai, jahan CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq probability 40% se gir kar 13% tak aa gayi hai, magar phir bhi bazar Fed ke hifazati approach ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ane walay mahino mein dekhi ja sakti hai. Is gradual easing ki tawaqqo ne USD ko pressure mein rakha hai, jis se Euro ko kuch recovery ka moka mila hai.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Price 1.0950 ke level ke aas-paas ghoom rahi hai, jab ke kuch dair ke liye 1.0900 ke qareeb pohanchne ke baad wapis apni raah mod li hai. Pair ne midweek mein kaafi flat trading ki hai, recent momentum ke upper end par cycle karte hue. Halaanki kuch downward pressure maujood hai, lekin currency pair ko support mil raha hai, jo 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) tak full pullback hone se roke raha hai, jo 1.0976 ke qareeb hai.

EUR/USD

Hamari analysis filhal EUR/USD currency pair ke current price performance ka tajziya kar rahi hai. Aaj ke daily chart par, EUR/USD pair mein aik significant girawat dekhi gayi hai, jab ke takreeban do hafton tak buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan shiddat se muqabla chalta raha. Magar kal teesray quarter ka ikhtitam tha, jis ne pair ki price ko 24 September ke qareebi peak, yani 1.12012 ke ird gird rakhne mein madad ki. Is waqt zyada counter-liquidity ki zarurat thi, jo is ke lambe arsay ko samjha sakti hai, halankeh buyers aasani se mojood thay. Aaj ki price shift aam harkat se 1.4 dafa zyada hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke agle din, aur shayad Thursday ko U.S. labour market statistics tak, mazeed volatility aa sakti hai. Aik aur girawat subah ke waqt ho sakti hai, magar European session mein recovery ka imkaan hai. Eurozone mein inflation ab 1% se neeche chali gayi hai, jo euro ke liye manfi asar dal sakta hai.



H1 chart par ek solid upward channel nazar aaya hai. Support line 1.1144 ke neeche consolidation hui, jo bullish channel ki lower boundary ke neeche thi. Is ke baad, EUR/USD pair mein tez girawat dekhne ko mili, jo local lows tak pohonch gayi, 1.1059 par. Sellers mazeed push nahi kar sake, aur bounce aaya. Ab is waqt jab yeh likha ja raha hai, pair 1.1060 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Technically, tamam asaar yeh dikhate hain ke fundamental level 1.1209 se bounce karne ke baad, girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Hamari EUR/USD market ka tajziya jari hai. Jo girawat main pehle se forecast kar raha tha, woh aakhirkar nazar aayi. Magar maine khud E meUR/USD mein trade nahi kiya kyun ke mera focus oil par tha, aur mera trading account complete tha. Asal mein, euro mein aik khaas girawat dekhi gayi. D1 chart par ascending price channel break ho gaya, jiska lower boundary 1.1101 thi. Corrective drop tab shuru hui jab euro round price 1.1201 ke upar sustain nahi kar saka. Yeh rejection corrective downturn ka aghaz bana, aur aaj ki girawat ne 1.1051 ka fresh daily low banaya.

dikhayi, jabke investors ka dhyaan upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision par tha. ECB ka rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai, jisme 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke ECB ki ongoing policy-easing cycle ka hissa hai. Yeh ECB ka dusra rate cut hoga, June mein cycle ke shuru hone ke baad, jab July mein rates unchanged rakhe gaye the. Haal ke neutral trend ke bawajood, pair ke ird gird ka market sentiment ab bhi cautious hai, kyunki traders ECB ke rate decision ka intezar kar rahe hain. Technical indicators momentum ki kami ka ishara kar rahe hain, isliye investors ke liye central bank ke policy direction ke clear hone tak side-line par rehna zyada behtar lag raha hai. Agar ECB 25 bps cut ke expected scenario se hat kar koi aur stance leta hai, khaaskar agar ECB zyada dovish approach adopt karta hai, toh market mein iske significant asraat hosakte hain.
**Economists ka Eurozone Recovery Par Outlook**

Bank of America (BofA) ke economists ne Eurozone ke economic recovery par ek cautious outlook diya hai. Unka forecast hai ke 2025 aur 2026 mein additional rate cuts dekhne ko mil sakte hain, jisse deposit rate 2025 ke third quarter tak 2% tak aa sakta hai aur 2026 mein 1.5% tak ho sakta hai. BofA ke mutabiq Eurozone ki recovery fragile hai aur various economic aur political pressures ke wajah se shallow rehne ka imkaan hai, jisme China mein slowing growth bhi shaamil hai. Yeh outlook Euro ki performance par uncertainty barhata hai, jab market participants currency par long-term asraat ko assess kar rahe hain.

**ECB Policy Speculation Jaari Hai**

Consensus yeh hai ke ECB September mein ek aur rate cut implement karega. Magar traders ab bhi divided hain ke kya ECB November ya December meetings mein additional cuts implement karega ya nahi, ya shayad dono mein. ECB ka yeh cautious approach complex economic landscape ko reflect karta hai, jisme inflation aur global economic headwinds jese ongoing challenges shaamil hain. Aane wali yeh policy decisions Euro ke short-term direction ko shape karne mein bohot crucial role play karenge.

**EUR/USD Ke Key Technical Levels**

Pair abhi neutral se upward bias mein hai, lekin agar key support level 1.1126 break hota hai, toh downward trend trigger hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh sellers ka agla target psychologically significant 1.1100 level hoga, uske baad 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.1162 par. Agar pair yeh levels breach karta hai, toh yeh 100-DMA confluence ko 1.1155 ke aas paas test kar sakta hai, aur further downside pair ko swing low 1.0777 ki taraf

data par mabni hoga, jo ke is hafte kafi ziada release kiya ja raha hai. Magar, Monday aur Tuesday ko market mein koi bara khabar nahi tha. Market ka intezar FOMC Meeting Minutes ka hai, jo ke Wednesday ko ho gi, aur yeh USD ke movement ke liye is hafte ek ahem factor hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke hafte ke shuru se Wednesday tak market USD ke bullish movement ko support karay, is liye hamein jaldi mein koi position open karne ki zaroorat nahi, balkay ek mazboot signal ka intezar karna chahiye. Digar khabron mein ziada focus inflation data par hai, jabke US aur duniya mein inflation kam ho rahi hai aur zyada control mein hai, is liye mere khayal mein inka market par koi khas asar nahi hoga. Daily basis par dekha jaye to yeh pair Purple EMA100 trend line par ruk gaya hai jo ke 1.0950 ke fresh demand area ke sath match kar raha hai, jo ke blue rang mein mark hai. Pehla reaction buyers ki taraf se hai jisme price ko bounce karne ka potential hai. Magar agar buyers ki taqat ziada nahi hui, to mere khayal mein price Red EMA200 ki taraf giray ga. Is upward correction ka potential ek re-entry sell setup bhi bana sakta hai, kyun ke kal ke closing candle ne thora lower BB ko penetrate kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke sellers ki taqat mazboot hai aur abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain. Buy option ab kiya ja sakta hai, magar limited profit target ke sath, jo ke yellow hidden supply ke ird gird hai jo ke 1.1011 ke price level par hai. Yeh yellow supply area ainday mein ek key level hoga, kyun ke agar isay penetrate kiya gaya to middle BB ki taraf barhawa aa sakta hai. H4 base par price action ka interesting tasveer nazar aa raha hai, jahan ek buy momentum candlestick bana hai, is liye price ke barhne ka potential hai aur yeh MA5/MA10 High H4 area mein re-entry sell setup banayega, jo ke green rectangle range mein hai 1.0982 - 1.1000 ke price par. Magar yeh correction middle BB se ooper tak bhi ja sakta hai agar M15 aur H1 bases mein baad mein buy momentum banay. Agar yeh CSM BUY form hota hai, to yeh green resistance automatically support ya RBS ban jaye ga, aur hum isay buy position ke liye use kar sakte hain agar price is ke upar rhta hai. Magar agar strong rejection aata hai, to price pehlay lower se bhi zyada gir sakta hai, kyun ke daily timeframe ki base par girne ka room abhi bhi khula hai Daily Red EMA200 tak jo ke

EURUSD market ki situation dekhi aur H4 time frame ke chart ko use karke analysis ki koshish ki. Yeh kaafi dilchaspi ka sabab tha kyun ke maine dekha ke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa phir se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai jahan guzishta kuch dino mein market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi jo ke neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe thay, lekin chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakaam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke taur par istemal ho sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar seller support area ko naheen tod pate, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain Isliye, main ek puri trading plan banaonga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga H4 time frame ke mutabiq. Iske ilaawa, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support resistance boundary line ki madad bhi istemal kar raha hoon. H4 time frame ke chart par EURUSD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Hum daily timeframe mein monitor kar sakte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue na kar sake kyun ke sellers ke pressure ke waja se market correction ke liye neeche ki taraf chal gayi Is haftay ki bearish koshish asal mein abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha. Phir stochastics ke saath mazeed analysis se yeh maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanaat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EURUSD ki prices ko barhane ke liye momentum mil sakta hai Maujooda market movement abhi bhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyun ke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai. Guzishta mahine se benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyun ke is Friday USD par k

EUR/USD 1-ghante ke chart par bohot hi technical aur structured price movement nazar aata hai, jo supply aur demand zones, liquidity pools, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ke darmiyan complex interplay dikhata hai. Is waqt price 1.10782 ke aas-paas hai, aur yeh ek retracement mein hai jo 1.11500 ke ilaqe se significant rejection ke baad aayi, jo ek mazboot supply zone ke tor par kaam kar raha tha. Price action yeh darshata hai ke market participants, jo ke mumkin hai institutional traders ya market makers hon, actively liquidity hunt kar rahe the 1.11500 level ke upar, uske baad price ko neeche ki taraf push kiya, jo ke lagta hai ke ek strategic move tha long positions ko clear karne aur market mein balance restore karne ke liye.

1.11500 ke aas-paas ka ilaqa marked liquidity grab se milta hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke bade players ka yeh irada tha ke stop orders ko trigger karen aur distribution liquidity (DLiq) zone ke upar bade trades execute karen. Jab price is zone ke nazdeek pahuncha, to market mein buying pressure ka izafa hua, jab retail traders aur dusre market participants ne potential breakout ka faida uthana chaha. Lekin, yeh high liquidity area sellers ke liye ek acha mauka bana, kyunke stop-loss aur buy orders ki liquidity unke liye market ko neeche push karne ka attractive target bana.

Is rejection se pehle, market 1.11000 aur 1.10500 ke darmiyan ek tight range mein consolidate kar raha tha. Is doran, price demand aur supply zones ke darmiyan bounce ho rahi thi, jo strong directional bias ki kami ko darshata hai. Consolidation phase ne market ko liquidity ikattha karne ka mauka diya, khaaskar lower bound par 1.10500 par, jahan buyers shayad positions ikattha kar rahe the, aur upper bound par 1.11000 par, jahan sellers supply side ko defend kar rahe the. Is range mein price movement supply aur demand forces ke darmiyan equilibrium ko highlight karta hai, jo sirf achanak 1.11500 region tak spike se disrupt hua.

Is setup mein ek critical point fair value gap (FVG) ka formation hai jo 1.11250 ke aas-paas hai. Fair value gaps aksar traders dwara istemal kiye jate hain taake wo market mein inefficiency ke areas ko identify kar saken jahan price gap ko "fill" karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai, jo rebalancing mechanism ke tor par kaam karta hai. 1.11250 ka gap jaldi fill ho gaya jab market ne apne pehle ke range se breakout karne ki koshish ki, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi balanced range mein kaam kar raha tha aur yeh breakout short term mein sustainable nahi tha. FVG ka fill hona yeh bhi suggest karta hai ke market participants cautious the, kyunke ek true breakout ke liye demand ya supply se stronger impulse ki zaroorat hoti hai.


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EUR/USD

Aaiye daily chart par banay hui situation par nazar daalte hain. Shyam bakhair, aap sab ko trading din ki dher saari mubarakbad aur bade profits ki dua! Mere hisaab se, main ek bearish arrow khinch raha hoon. Main ab bhi US dollar ki mazid taqat aur neeche ki taraf movement ki umeed kar raha hoon. Margin technique ke mutabiq, aaj ka trend short hai. Main 1.1030 ke area mein sells talash karunga. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke price psychological round number 1.1000 se gir jaye. Yeh market hai aur yahaan kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Daily timeframe par, main ab bhi umeed kar raha hoon ke price broken triangle ki upper border ko wapas retest karegi. Mere trading interest ka neecha target ab bhi 1.0860 ke area mein hai. Dekhte hain.
Yahan price horizontal channel mein 1.0944 aur 1.0996 levels ke darmiyan trade kar rahi hai, jabke bears support level 1.0944 ko identify karne mein nakam rahe hain.

Ab, Asian session ke doran, bulls ne initiative liya hai aur prices ko 1.0996 ke level tak le jaane ki koshish ki hai. Is resistance level par kaam karne ke baad, main rebound ki sambhavna ko dekhta hoon, jab bears wapas aayenge aur support level 1.0944 par kaam karenge, aur agar breakout hota hai to main trade karunga. Toh, agar breakout hota hai aur Daily candle 1.0996 ke level ke upar close hoti hai, toh main rise par khelne ka plan bana raha hoon, aage ke liye resistance level 1.1111 tak badhne ki umeed hai; main kal is level ke baare mein soch raha tha, jabke humein intermediate resistance level 1.1047 ko nahi bhoolna chahiye.

Halat ki taraqqi zyada tar United States ke inflation data par depend karegi, jo Thursday ko publish hoga, aur yeh statistics shayad is current trading week mein movement ka key driver ban sakti hain. Bears ne EUR/USD pair ki prices ko thoda dheere kar diya hai, US mein inflation statistics publish hone ka intezaar karte hue, taake baad mein kharidari ke liye zyada attractive levels mil sakein.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ka Analysis
Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price performance ka analysis karenge. Yeh currency pair hai jo mai actively observe, analyse, aur trade karta hoon. Mera approach intraday trading par mabni hai, jahan mai Bollinger Bands indicator ko ek aham reference ke tor par istemal karta hoon. Yeh indicator teen crucial levels dikhata hai: upper band 1.09938 par, middle band 1.09836 par, aur lower band 1.09734 par. Ab EUR/USD 1.09920 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke middle level 1.09836 ke upar hai. Yeh ek favourable mauqa dikhata hai potential buying ke liye, jiska target upper band 1.09938 tak pohanchna hai. Lekin agar EUR/USD market shift hota hai aur price 1.09836 ke neeche gir jati hai, toh mai apni strategy ko adjust karunga, selling ki taraf move karte hue lower band 1.09734 tak pahunchne ki koshish karunga. Mai vertical volume changes ko bhi track karta hoon apne decisions ko behtar banane ke liye, jo trading activity mein spikes aur shifts ke zariye insights faraham karte hain.

Recent Market Activity

Haal hi mein, unemployment data release se pehle, pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha jahan buyers aur sellers volume accumulate kar rahe the. Is baat ka andaza lagane mein waqt laga ke pair kis direction mein jayega. Lekin jab unemployment figures aane ke baad, pair ne neeche ki taraf break kiya, 1.10065 support level ko cross karte hue 1.09339 support zone ke paas settle ho gaya. Shuru mein, maine further declines ki umeed ki thi jab pair ne retrace kiya, lekin sellers ne momentum wapas hasil kar liya. Yeh setup continued downward movement ki taraf ishara kar raha tha. Mujhe laga ke decline chalu rahega, khaaskar itne sharp drop ke baad. Lekin price action ne mujhe surprise kiya jab pair ne upward correction ki aur range bana li. Ek baar phir, sellers ne is range mein volume dikhaya, jo mujhe naye drop ki umeed dilata tha, lekin is baar pair ne upar correction ki. Yeh pair shayad 1.10174 ke aas paas upward correct karega, phir apni downward movement resume karega.

Ek ahem indicator jo is bearish sentiment ka darshak tha, woh tha MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). MACD par bearish divergence bana tha, jo yeh signal deta hai ke jabke price higher highs bana raha tha, lekin underlying momentum kamzor hota ja raha tha. Yeh divergence aksar aik mazboot sell signal mana jata hai, kyunki yeh darshata hai ke upward trend apni taqat kho raha hai aur reversal qareeb hai. Jo traders is signal ko pehchanne mein vigilant rahe, unho ne is mauqe ka faida uthaya, sell positions shuru karte hue is significant drop se pehle. Daily chart par price action yeh tasdiq karta hai ke pichlay hafte sellers ne market par mazboot control rakha.

EUR/USD pair lagataar neeche ki taraf chala gaya, key support levels ko todte hue aur bearish trend ko mazid majboot karte hue. Jab price gir raha tha, to yeh wazeh hota gaya ke buyers ki dilchaspi mehdood thi, jis se sellers ko pair ko mazeed negative territory mein push karne ka mauqa mila. Agay dekhte hue, traders ke liye yeh sawal hai ke kya bearish momentum jari rahega ya kya pair kisi potential reversal ke liye tayar hai.

Ek ahem factor jo dekhna hai, wo yeh hoga ke current support levels par kya jawab milta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair in critical support ke upar barqarar rehne mein kaamyab hota hai, to hum consolidation ka ek dor ya phir thodi bahar uthne ki surat dekh sakte hain jab buyers control wapas hasil karne ki koshish karte hain. Lekin agar yeh levels fail ho jate hain, to bearish trend jari reh sakta hai, jo short trades ke liye mazeed mauqe faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone aur U.S. se aane wale economic data aane wale moves ka faisla karne me