یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD ke price action ko filhaal mai analyze kar raha hoon. Kal meri trading session pound ke sath profitable rahi kyunki uski intraday volatility ne trading ko kaafi enjoyable bana diya. Agar aaj ke movements statistics, khaaskar state data aur individual European country reports se driven rahe, to market ko excite kar sakta hai. EUR/USD chart ek persistent downward trend dikhata hai. Kal ek potential rebound model promising lag raha tha, lekin shaam tak price flatten ho gayi aur sideways chalti rahi. Yeh sideways movement pair ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Upar ki taraf, impulse resistance bullish path ko limit karta hai, jo ke shayad sirf significant statistics se hi breach ho; neeche ki taraf, kal ka minimum ek barrier bana hua hai jo hone ya na hone ka mumkin hai. Is trading week mein, euro ne US dollar ke khilaf decline shuru kiya, aur round support level 1.087 ke qareeb pohnch gaya. Apne reduction targets ko meet karne ke baad, maine zyada extended periods ko review kiya.

Price ek broad ascending channel ke andar move kar rahi hai, jo aur zyada decline ka potential suggest karta hai, lekin yeh lagta nahi ke euro apne lowest limit tak gir jayega. Main sales opportunities par focus karunga, lekin agar 1.088 resistance level ke upar break aur consolidation hota hai to yeh bullish traders ke liye ek strong signal hoga. EUR/USD ke liye short-term trend downward hai, lekin abhi tak clear selling signals nazar nahi aa rahe. EUR/USD upar ki taraf adjust kar raha hai taake 1.0910 ke upper limit ko target kiya ja sake, jo price movement debt ko indicate karta hai. Agar yeh upward wave materialize hota hai, to market is level tak pohnchne ke baad apne bullish movement ko reverse kar sakti hai. Magar, isse 1.0910 par sudden bearish turn ki guarantee nahi milti; instead, hum ek brief pause dekh sakte hain. Jab yeh challenging section paar ho jayega, to hum bearish direction ko kuch waqt ke liye chhod sakte hain.

ADP se aayi preliminary employment data forecast se kam thi aur kaafi negative lag rahi thi - sirf 122 hazaar naye naukriyan, jabke average value 200 hazaar thi. Ye khabar foran dollar par pressure daal rahi hai aur EURUSD pair 1.0840 ke key level ko break karne ke liye ja raha hai. Ab 1.0870 tak jane ka raasta khul raha hai. Agar Powell aaj September aur agle mahine ke liye rate cut ki baat karte hain, to pair 1.09 ko test kar sakta hai. Aur agar 1.0870 break hota hai, to growth 1.0940 tak chal sakti hai. Lekin agar 1.0870 hold karta hai, to niche ki movement barqarar reh sakti hai. Geopolitics bhi yahan interfere kar sakta hai, kyunke Middle East mein naye jhagde ka aghaaz ho sakta hai Israel, Iran, aur Turkey ke beech. Aur kisi bhi jang se dollar ka growth hota hai. Isliye is geopolitical factor ko bhi dhyan mein rakhein.

Aise hi hum jeete hain: agar kuch galat ho jaye, to hum dusri taraf ka raasta nikal sakte hain. Sabse zaroori baat ye hai ke flexible rahna. Hello, Yuri, aapke liye kuch single currency packages hain. Kaayi koshishon ke bawajood, hum EURUSD par 1.0800 ko break nahi kar paaye. Yeh thoda afsos ki baat hai. Aur ab American session shuru ho chuki hai aur woh log somehow eurodollar price ko upar ki taraf push karne lage hain. Lekin mere paas dusra option nahi hai, main ab bhi south ki ummed kar raha hoon. Aaj raat ko, do din ki Fed meeting ke results interest rates par announce honge aur Powell ek press conference bhi karenge. Kal Bank of England ka meeting hai interest rates ke baare mein (halanki yeh single currency se directly related nahi hai, lekin pound ke saath mil kar market mein kuch kar sakte hain). Friday ko - nonks. Aise zaroori events aur news ka mixture market ko kaafi hila sakta hai. Main roulette aur badhi hui helicopter volatility ke liye tayyar hoon. Zaroori baat yeh hai ke yeh pair thoda aur gir jaye. General taur par, mere mercantile desire ka minimum target 1.0720 ke aas paas hai. Dekhte hain.

Kal EUR/USD ki movement pehle upar gayi thi. Woh increase us waqt 1.0834 tak pohonchi. Lekin, jab American session shuru hua, EUR/USD mein kareeb 35 pips ka kaafi gehra girawat aayi. Is se uska qareebi support jo ke 1.0817 par tha, tor gaya. Yahi increase EUR/USD mein sirf ek correction thi kyun ke candle RBS area ko tor nahi sakki, aur EUR/USD currency pair apne bearish trend ko jaari rakha. Aaj, EUR/USD trading 1.0816 ke price par open hui. Abhi ki condition yeh hai ke EUR/USD ne mazid pressure ko face nahi kiya aur thoda stable ho gaya hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to candle ke SBR area ko 1.0831 par tor nahi saknay se, EUR/USD jo ke upar jane lagi thi, dobara niche move hui. Is se uska qareebi support tor gaya. Support tor jane se, humein hoshiyar rehna chahiye kyun ke is se EUR/USD mazid gir sakti hai. Niche wale area mein bullish harami pattern ka zahoor hona yeh lagta hai ke market reversal move karne wali hai. Iske ilawa, candle abhi tak 1.0804 par demand area ko tor nahi sakki. Jab tak demand area tor nahi jata, mujhe lagta hai ke rise hone ka chance abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Upar jane ke liye, candle ko resistance 1.0834 ko torna hoga.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, to candle ka position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke EUR/USD ka trend abhi bhi bearish hai aur girne ka chance mazid ho sakta hai. Lekin, EUR/USD ke shuru hone ke sath, candle ka current position blue line ko touch kar chuka hai, jo ke agar EUR/USD mazid upar jaye to yeh naya intersection bana sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko mazid strong kar sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator se bhi yeh andaza hota hai ke EUR/USD abhi bhi upar ja sakta hai kyun ke line ka direction upward hai. Asal mein, oversold kehna thoda late hai kyun ke line ne apne lowest level ko kal se touch kiya hua hai. EUR/USD currency pair asal mein kal raat se rise kar rahi hai. Shayad agar analysis kiya jaye to abhi ka waqt theek hai kyun ke current condition sach mein saturated selling hai.

To aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD currency pair ke paas upar jane ka chance abhi bhi hai kyun ke candle abhi tak 1.0804 par demand area ko tor nahi sakki. Plus, bullish harami candle pattern ka zahoor bhi ek signal hai ke market jaldi reverse hone wali hai. Is liye, mein recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap target nearest resistance jo ke 1.0868 par hai, wahan rakh sakte hain aur stop loss nearest support jo ke 1.0792 par hai, wahan rakh sakte hain.

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Kal, EUR/USD ka movement pehle ooper gaya. Yeh izafa us waqt 1.0834 tak pohch gaya tha. Magar, American session ke shuru hone ke baad, EUR/USD ne kaafi gehra girawat dekha, lagbhag 35 pips. Iss se kareebi support level 1.0817 par tod diya gaya. Yeh pata chala ke EUR/USD ka izafa sirf ek correction tha kyunki candle RBS area ko tod nahi paya, aur EUR/USD ne apna bearish trend jari rakha. Aaj, EUR/USD trading 1.0816 par open hui. Ab EUR/USD ki halat mazboot ho gayi hai aur dabao mein nahi hai.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle ka SBR area 1.0831 par todne mein naakam hona, EUR/USD jo ke rise karna shuru hui thi, phir se neeche move hone lagi. Iss se kareebi support tod gaya. Support todne se mujhe hoshiyar rehna padega kyunki yeh EUR/USD ko aur bhi gehra gira sakta hai. Neeche ke area mein bullish harami pattern ka izhar market ke reversal ka sign lagta hai. Iske ilawa, candle abhi bhi demand area 1.0804 par tod nahi paya. Jab tak demand area todta nahi, mujhe lagta hai ke ooper jane ka mauqa ab bhi bohat zyada hai. Ooper jane ke liye, candle ko 1.0834 par resistance ko paar karna padega.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke analyze kiya jaye, candle ki position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke EUR/USD trend ab bhi bearish hai aur girne ka mauqa ab bhi hai. Magar, EUR/USD ke rise karne ke saath, candle ki current position ne blue line ko touch kiya hai, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke agar EUR/USD aur zyada rise kar sakti hai, toh naya intersection ho sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko phir se mazboot kar sakta hai.

Stochastic indicator bhi yeh idea de raha hai ke EUR/USD ab bhi rise karegi kyunki line ka direction ooper ki taraf hai. Actually, oversold kehne mein thoda late hai kyunki line ne apna lowest level touch kar liya hai kal se. EUR/USD currency pair kal raat se hi rise kar rahi hai. Shayad agar analysis theek waqt pe kiya jaye toh yeh theek hai kyunki ab condition bilkul saturated selling ki hai.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke EUR/USD currency pair ke paas ab bhi rise karne ka mauqa hai kyunki candle ab bhi demand area 1.0804 par tod nahi paya. Iske ilawa, bullish harami candle pattern ka izhar bhi market ke jaldi reverse hone ka signal hai. Isliye, mein recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhe sirf buy positions open karne par focus karna chahiye. Aap nearest resistance 1.0868 par target rakh sakte hain aur nearest support 1.0792 par stop loss laga sakte hain.

SD par pressure dal raha hai, woh United States se aane wala recent labor market data hai. Higher-than-expected payroll numbers ne softening labor demand ke hawalay se pareshaniyon ko kam kar diya hai, jo ke recent employment indicators se paida hui thi. April ke liye JOLTS Job Openings data aur May ke liye ADP Employment Change dono ne expectations se kum perform kiya, jabke 31 May tak ke week ke Initial Jobless Claims ne estimates ko exceed kar diya, jo ke labor market mein thodi cooling dikhata hai. Is labor data ne investors ko apni expectations reconsider karne par majboor kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein rate cut karega. Iske natije mein US Treasury bond yields elevated rahein. Persistent high yields aur equity markets mein cautious sentiment ne safe-haven US Dollar (USD) ko mazid support diya, jo ke EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal raha hai. EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.
EUR/USD pair ke liye mufeed outlook ko tasdeeq karega aur pair ko agle relevant resistance tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0960-1.0965 area ke qareeb hai. Momentum March peak, ie 1.0880 area ke paar ja sakta hai, jisse spot prices ko pehli baar January se pehle 1.1000 psychological mark tak pohnchne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, European Central Bank (ECB) meeting ke qareeb jaate hue.
Dusra mudda ye hai ke kisi bhi maayne dar dip ke doran zahir ho sakta hai ke neeche ki taraf naye buyers attract ho jayenge, jo ke descending trend-line resistance breakpoint ke qareeb, 1.0870-1.0865 area mein honge. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye downside ko qareeb 1.0800 confluence support

EUR/USD apni qeemat mein kamiyabi ke raste par hain, jis se unka qeemat kal 1.0842 zone tak pohanch gaya tha. Is harkat ki barayi mein mainly US dollar ki taqat thi jo European Euro ke khilaf thi. Is ke ilawa, German aur French Flash data behtar ho sakta tha, jo EUR/USD pair par neechay dabao barhata hai. Is natijay mein market aaj bhi bechne walon ke rukh mein reh sakta hai. Wo aane wali ghanton mein ya iss haftay ke khatam hone se pehle 1.0800 zone ko guzar sakte hain, jo mojooda bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.
Aakhirkaar, mein chhotay arsay ke trading ke liye 1.0875 ke short target ke saath aik khareedari order pasand karta hoon. Ye strategy market mein potential rebounds aur chhote sudharat ka faida uthati hai. Lekin, risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss lagana zaroori hai. Stop loss lagana market ke girne par nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madad deta hai. Is ke ilawa, US trading zone shuru hone se pehle market se nikalne ki mashwara di jati hai, kyunki is daur mein barhta hua volatility anjaan qeemat ke harkaton ko paida kar sakta hai.
Overall, EUR/USD market ke dynamics mukhtalif factors jaise economic data releases aur geopolitical events se mutasir hote hain. Is liye maqami aur tajziati khabron aur trends ke mutabiq trading decisions lene ke liye updated rehna zaroori hai. Market ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhna traders ko conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies adjust karne aur potential fayde hasil karne mein madad deta hai.
Aakhir mein, jabke EUR/USD market abhi bechne walon ke faidemand hai, lekin chhotay arsay ke khareedari orders ke liye 1.0875 zone mein bhi moujood hain. Ahem baat ye hai ke robust risk management strategies jaise stop losses istemal karna aur behtareen timing se market se nikalne ka faisla karna hai. Market ke halat ke jawab mein chust aur mustaqil rehkar traders halat ko samajh sakte hain aur price movements se faida utha sakte hain.
EUR/USD market ke complexities ko tackle karne ke liye aik balance approach zaroori hai, jo cautious optimism aur strategic planning ko jama karke successful trading outcomes hasil karne mein madad deta hai.

EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dal raha hai.
EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.
EUR/USD pair ke liye mufeed outlook ko tasdeeq karega aur pair ko agle relevant resistance tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0960-1.0965 area ke qareeb hai. Momentum March peak, yani 1.0880 area ke paar ja sakta hai, jisse spot prices ko pehli baar January se pehle 1.1000 psychological mark tak pohnchne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, European Central Bank (ECB) meeting ke qareeb jaate hue.
Dusra mudda ye hai ke kisi bhi maayne dar dip ke doran zahir ho sakta hai ke neeche ki taraf naye buyers attract ho jayenge, jo ke descending trend-line resistance breakpoint ke qareeb, 1.0870-1.0865 area mein honge. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye downside ko qareeb 1.0800 confluence support tak seemit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, support 1.0755-1.0750 horizontal zone ke qareeb hai, jise agar toota jaaye to spot prices ko 1.0700 mark se neeche le ja sakta hai, June swing low, yani 1.0665 area ke taraf.
EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time dynamics ka jaiza lena ek complex process hai jo market sentiment, technical indicators, aur fundamental factors ka comprehensive analysis demand karta hai. April ka sales zone ya resistance area traders ke liye aik crucial point hai jahan pe price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Effective trading ke liye analysis ko continuously update karna aur market conditions ke mutabiq strategies ko adjust karna zaroori hai

Main abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko analyse kar raha hoon. Kal pound ke sath ek profitable trading session tha uski intraday volatility ki wajah se, jo trading ko kaafi enjoyable bana deti hai. Agar aaj bhi movements statistics, khaaskar state data aur individual European country reports se driven rahein, toh market mein excitement barh jayegi. EUR/USD chart ek persistent downward trend dikha raha hai. Kal ek potential rebound model promising lag raha tha, lekin shaam tak price flat ho gayi aur sideways chalti rahi. Ye sideways movement pair ko kisi bhi direction mein le ja sakti hai. Upwards, impulse resistance bullish path ko limit karti hai, jo ke sirf significant statistics se breached ho sakti hai; downwards, kal ka minimum ek barrier hai jo ho sakta hai ya nahi bhi.

Is trading week mein, euro ne apna decline against US dollar shuru kiya, aur round support level 1.087 tak pahunch gaya. Apne saare reduction targets meet karne ke baad, maine extended periods ko review kiya. Price ek broad ascending channel ke andar move kar rahi hai, jo further decline ki potential suggest karta hai, lekin lagta nahi ke euro apne lowest limit tak drop karega. Main sales opportunities par focus karunga, halan ke agar 1.088 resistance level ko break aur consolidate kar diya to ye bullish traders ke liye ek strong signal hoga.

Short-term trend EUR/USD ke liye downward hai, lekin mujhe clear selling signals abhi nahi nazar aa rahe. EUR/USD upwards adjust kar raha hai upper limit 1.0910 ko target karte hue, jo ke price movement debt indicate karta hai. Agar ye upward wave materialize hoti hai, to market 1.0910 ko reach karne ke baad apni bullish movement ko reverse kar sakta hai. Halan ke, ye guarantee nahi karta ke 1.0910 par ek sudden bearish turn ho; iske bajaye, hum ek brief pause dekh sakte hain. Jab ye challenging section past ho jaye, toh hum bearish direction ko kuch waqt ke liye abandon kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD price insights ke mutabiq aaj growth ka aakhri moka hai; agar yeh miss hogaya to humein apni strategy ko dobara dekhna padega. Risk yeh hai ke Fed September mein rate ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, jo ke rate cut ke intezar mein baithe logon ko nirash kar dega. Lekin, mujhe aaj reversal ki umeed hai. Agar market dobara niche jata hai, toh do key targets hain: 1.0779 aur 1.0729. Agar yeh levels likely hain, to humein September Fed meeting ke outlook ko reconsider karna padega. Yeh samajh aayega ke Powell ne July ke end mein rate cut ke liye kyu noncommittal response diya. Market unpredictable hai aur Fed ke decisions vary kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD buyers ne 1.0801 ke low se pehla upward impulse create kiya, jo ke likely ho sakta hai agar pair dynamic support ke neeche gira aur 1.0804/1.0809 zone ke last angle of ascending fan ko cross kar gaya. Euro ke liye primary resistance 1.0834 par hai. Agar yeh level potential hai, to primary impulse likely hoga aur EUR/USD apni upward pullback ko pehle impulse zone levels 1.0838 aur 1.0847 tak continue karega. Agar uptrend longer time frames aur resistance 1.0847 par viable hai, to EUR/USD ROS level 1.0854 aur second impulse zone 1.0861 tak rise kar sakta hai. Ab hum European news block aur 1.0834 resistance ke reaction ka intezar kar rahe hain taake apni expectations ko accordingly adjust kar saken. Traders ko price action rules ko follow karna chahiye; is hafte major news events hain jo ke practical technical assessment ko better trading ke liye guide kar sakti hain.

# EUR/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast
#### Weekly Chart Overview

EUR/USD pair ko weekly chart par analyse karne se pichle kuch saalon mein kaafi significant developments nazar aati hain. Yeh pair early 2021 se lekar mid-2024 tak ek resistance line ke neeche trade karta raha. Yeh resistance line ek mazboot rukawat ban gayi thi, jo pair ko upar move karne se rokti thi. Lekin, summer 2024 mein, price ne is resistance ko tod diya, jo market dynamics mein ek potential shift ko indicate karta hai.

#### Current Market Position

Resistance line ke break hone ke baad, EUR/USD pair filhal is critical level ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Ongoing price action mein broken resistance line ko upar se test kiya ja raha hai, jo ab support level ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Yeh test kaafi crucial hai kyunki yeh decide karega ke breakout sustain ho sakta hai ya nahi, jo further bullish momentum ko lead kar sakta hai.

#### Key Levels to Watch

1. **Resistance Turned Support Line**
- Primary focus pehle wale resistance line par hai, jo ab support ke tor par test ki ja rahi hai. Agar price successfully is level ke upar hold karti hai, to yeh breakout ko confirm karega aur bullish outlook ko strengthen karega.

2. **Target Levels for Bulls**
- **1.1000**: Bulls ka immediate target round price mark 1.1000 hai. Is level tak pahunchnay se strong buying interest aur bullish trend ki further validation hogi.
- **1.1270**: 1.1000 ke baad, agla significant target previous local maximum 1.1270 hai. Yeh level ek extended bullish objective ko represent karta hai aur uss level tak wapas aane ka signal hai jo resistance line ke neeche rahne se pehle dekha gaya tha.

#### Potential Scenarios

1. **Successful Retest aur Continuation**
- Agar EUR/USD pair successfully broken resistance line ko retest karta hai aur iske upar consolidate karta hai, to hum strong bullish movement ki expectation kar sakte hain jo 1.1000 level tak le ja sakti hai. Isse long-term upward trend ka confirmation mil sakta hai aur 1.1270 tak further rise ki possibility barh jati hai.

2. **Failed Retest aur Reversal**
- Iske baraks, agar pair support (jo pehle resistance tha) ke upar hold nahi kar pati, to yeh false breakout ka indication ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario bearish reversal ko signify kar sakta hai, jo price ko resistance line ke neeche le ja sakta hai aur recent bullish breakout ko negate kar sakta hai.

#### Conclusion

EUR/USD pair weekly chart par ek critical juncture par hai, jahan price ek long-term resistance line jo ab support ban gayi hai, ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar is level ka successful retest hota hai, to pair 1.1000 aur baad mein 1.1270 tak pahunchnay ki sambhavana hai, jo sustained bullish trend ko confirm karega. Traders ko is key support level ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake EUR/USD pair ke agle significant move ko determine kiya ja sake

Kal ka trading din EUR/USD ke liye unexpectedly stagnant raha, jab ke volatility aur flat state se breakout ki anticipation thi, lekin koi significant movement nahi hui. Price ne 1.0840 resistance ko test kiya aur phir wahan se wapas aaya, lekin maine sell nahi kiya aur sideline pe raha, is opportunity ko miss kar diya.

Kal ki decline ke liye support ki kami samajh se bahar thi. Hourly chart pe, price ne 1.0805 ke area ko cut kiya, lekin neeche jane ka koi irada nahi dikhaya. Yeh behavior potential reversal aur northern breakout ke liye support ki formation suggest karta hai. Is scenario ke base pe, main 1.0810 ke around long position open karne ka plan kar raha hoon.Meri analysis mein thoda discrepancy hai. Price ne ek level ko approach kiya hai jahan se yeh growth resume kar sakta hai, aur lower timeframes pe kuch buy signals form ho rahe hain. Lekin, jab tak channel ka upward breakout nahi hota aur maximum renew nahi hota, priority sales ke liye hi hai. Additionally, neeche wale targets ab tak reach nahi hue hain.Filhaal, main current range se breakout ke direction ko watch karunga. Agar price 1.0750 ke kareeb aati hai, to yeh ek buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Agar channel current levels se upward break karta hai, to main buying consider karunga jab price 1.0850 ke upar fix ho jaye, aur phir 1.0900 ke kareeb selling opportunities dekhunga.

Daily charts dikhate hain ke EUR/USD abhi bhi sab moving averages ke neeche hai, aur 10-day moving average ka 200-day moving average cross karna ek sell signal hai. Technical indicators abhi bhi negative hain lekin oversold ke kareeb hain, relative strength indicator 25 ke aas paas consolidate kar raha hai aur momentum indicator barely rebound kar raha hai new lows se jo kuch hafton pehle dekhi gayi thi. H1 chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD neutral hai, flat 70-moving average ke upar aur stable aur bearish large horizontal moving average ke neeche. Is timeframe mein technical indicators midline ke kareeb hain aur unka direction unclear hai. Mid-November se, EUR/USD ko 1.0972 ko break karna hoga taake exchange rate long-term resistance near 1.0890 tak rebound kar sake. Support 1.0929 pe hai aur phir 1.0915 pe, jo is saal ka low hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh 1.0995 mark ko test karne ka darwaza khol sakti hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Friday ke New York session ke doran ek notable recovery experience ki, recent decline se sharply bounce back karte hue jo isay ek din pehle 1.0870 ke seven-week high ke kareeb le aaya tha. Pair ko support mila jab US Dollar (USD) mein corrections dekhne ko mile, jo upcoming US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data ke liye uncertainty ke dauran hua. Yeh data release June ke inflation trends par roshni dalega, jo future Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decisions ko influence karega.

1. Critical resistance level 106.10 ko breach karne ki koshish mein resistance ka samna karna pada, jo key economic data releases ke pehle market hesitancy ko reflect karta hai. Notably, agar inflation figures expectations se softer hue, toh yeh earlier Fed rate cuts ke expectations ko sway kar sakte hain, jo typically USD par downward pressure exert karta hai.
2. Conversely, agar robust economic indicators aaye, toh yeh Fed stance ko zyada restrained reinforce kar sakta hai.

Market consensus filhal yeh hai ke Fed interest rate reductions September ke as early as commence kar sakti hai, aur further cuts later in the year anticipate kar rahe hain. Yeh cautious optimism broader concerns ko underscore karta hai potential policy divergences ke beech Fed aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke. Aise divergences ko investors closely monitor karte hain, jo major currency pairs jaise EUR/USD ke relative strengths ko impact karte hain.
Pair ko immediate technical challenges ka samna hai. Key resistance levels mein shamil hain 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0855 aur recent range ke upper boundary ke kareeb 1.0870. Agar yeh levels decisively breakout ho jaye, toh further upside ke liye rasta khul sakta hai descending channel ke upper boundary ke aas paas 1.0880, jo potentially psychological barrier at 1.0900 ko target kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD ek descending triangle mein trade kar raha tha pehle ke rising dikhaye, jo ke is chart pattern ke height ke barabar ek rise dikhata hai. Price pichle resistance level par gir gayi, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Fibonacci Extension tool ke mutabiq following upside targets hain, aur pair ne 38.2% stretch ka tajurba kiya second psychological level 1.0750 par. Mazid bullish momentum ise 50% Fibonacci level 1.0762 tak ya 61.8% Fibonacci level tak push kar sakta hai, jo swing high 1.0775 ke saath coincide karta hai. 76.4% level 1.0790 par hai, aur full extension 1.0815 par hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.
Is haftay ke aakhir mein, US non-farm payrolls report release hogi, jo June mein weak employment show karne ki tawakku hai. Agar aisa hota hai, tou dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai jab traders dobara federal government se monetary policy ko ease karne ki demand karte hain. Weak fundamental data, jaise ke labor force participation rate aur average hourly earnings bhi dollar ki direction ko affect kar sakte hain.
EUR/USD pair ke liye mufeed outlook ko tasdeeq karega aur pair ko agle relevant resistance tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0960-1.0965 area ke qareeb hai. Momentum March peak, yani 1.0880 area ke paar ja sakta hai, jisse spot prices ko pehli baar January se pehle 1.1000 psychological mark tak pohnchne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, European Central Bank (ECB) meeting ke qareeb jaate hue.
Dusra mudda ye hai ke kisi bhi maayne dar dip ke doran zahir ho sakta hai ke neeche ki taraf naye buyers attract ho jayenge, jo ke descending trend-line resistance breakpoint ke qareeb, 1.0870-1.0865 area mein honge. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye downside ko qareeb 1.0800 confluence support tak seemit karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Is ke baad, support 1.0755-1.0750 horizontal zone ke qareeb hai, jise agar toota jaaye to spot prices ko 1.0700 mark se neeche le ja sakta hai, June swing low, yani 1.0665 area ke taraf.
EUR/USD, currency pair ab bhi strongly inclined hai towards breaking the important psychological support level of 1.0800, jo ke agar hota hai to bears ko zyada momentum milega strongly downward move karne ke liye, aur aglay sabse important support levels 1.0745 aur 1.0660 honge, respectively. Doosri taraf, isi time period ke doran, aur jaise ke maine pehle mention kiya, general trend mein koi strong aur important shift upside ki taraf nahi hoga bina psychological resistance 1.1000 ko dobara move kiye. Euro dollar ke qeemat aaj European Central Bank Governor Lagarde ke statements aur German IFO reading ke announcement se mutasir hogi, phir important American economic data, led by the announcement of GDP growth reading, weekly unemployed claims ke number, aur durable goods orders.
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EUR/USD currency pair ne is hafte ko chhoti si downside gap ke sath shuru kiya, jo jaldi se fill ho gayi jab price ne upside direction mein move kiya. Initial upward movement ne bulls ko thori si umeed di, aur bullish trend ke continuation ka potential suggest kiya. Lekin, yeh momentum sustain nahi hua, aur price wapas reverse ho gayi, opening level se neeche chali gayi. Yeh reversal indicate karta hai ke upward force itni strong nahi thi ke higher levels ko maintain kar sake, shayad buyer interest ki kami ya strong selling pressure ki wajah se. Abhi, price 1.3047 ke qareeb hover kar rahi hai, jo ke ek significant daily support level 1.3041 ke qareeb hai. Yeh do levels—1.3047 aur 1.3041—aaj ke trading ke liye crucial hain kyunke yeh market ke potential direction ko dictate kar sakte hain. Agar price 1.3041 level ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko indicate karegi aur new downside targets ke liye raasta kholegi jo ke 1.3014, 1.08305, 1.08489, aur 1.0857 hain.
In levels ke ird gird price action traders ko market sentiment aur potential future movements ke bare mein significant insights provide karega. 1.3041 support level ke neeche consolidation suggest karega ke sellers control mein hain, aur price ko mentioned targets ki taraf neeche drive kar sakte hain. Yeh targets key areas ko represent karte hain jahan price ko kuch buying interest mil sakta hai, jo potential bounces ya further declines ko lead karega depending on overall market sentiment. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.3041 level ke upar rehti hai, to ek upside movement ka possibility hai hourly resistance levels 1.0863 se 1.0892 ki taraf. Yeh resistance zone crucial hoga determine karne ke liye ke bullish momentum sustain ho sakta hai ya nahi. In resistance levels ko break karna stronger buyer presence indicate karega aur further upward movements ke liye raasta kholega.

Lekin, current market conditions aur recent price action ko dekhte hue, mujhe aaj ke din ke liye downside movement ka zyada probability lagta hai. Initial upward movement ko sustain na karna aur subsequent reversal suggest karta hai ke bearish sentiment aaj ke trading session ko dominate kar sakta hai. Traders ko in key levels ke ird gird price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein. 1.3041 support level par price ka reaction particularly important hoga. Agar price is level ke neeche break karke consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish outlook ko confirm karega. Iske bar’aks, agar price support find karke upar move karti hai, to yeh resistance levels ko challenge karegi aur shayad sentiment ko bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sake. Overall, aaj ka observation ek cautious approach suggest karta hai, aur EUR/USD currency pair mein bearish activity dominate karne ka zyada likelihood hai. Ham sab ke liye profitable trading day ho!

EUR/USD currency pair is waqt last week ke range 1.0783-1.0836 mein trade kar rahi hai, jo significant movement ya breakout show nahi kar rahi. Yeh stagnant behavior suggest karta hai ke traders ek clear signal ya catalyst ka wait kar rahe hain jo pair ko kisi bhi direction mein push kare. Filhal aisa lagta hai ke pair yeh range aaj ke din tak continue kar sakta hai. Lekin, market dynamics jaldi change ho sakti hain, isliye kisi bhi development ko observe karna zaroori hai jo is pair ki movement ko influence kar sakti hain.
Aage dekhte hue, pair expected hai ke support level 1.0808-1.0783 ke around decline start kare. Agar yeh support level hold karta hai, to yeh potential rebound ya consolidation ko signal kar sakta hai within the current range. Dusri taraf, agar price is support ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further declines ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yeh level crucial hoga monitor karne ke liye kyunke yeh next steps for EUR/USD pair ko dictate kar sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ke ird gird price action ko closely observe karna chahiye taake market sentiment ko gauge karke informed trading decisions le sakein. Jab tak exact outcome uncertain hai, yeh support level ek critical point serve karta hai un traders ke liye jo potential movements ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Bari context mein, US dollar strength show kar raha hai aur apni upward direction continue kar raha hai. Yeh trend contrast karta hai oil market ke sath, jahan oil quotes expected hain decline continue karne ke liye. Ongoing strength of US dollar despite oil prices ke decline ke noteworthy hai. Typically, ek strong US dollar commodities priced in dollars, jaise ke oil, par downward pressure daal sakta hai, jo unhe dusre currencies ke holders ke liye mehenga banata hai aur demand ko potentially reduce karta hai. Lekin, current scenario ek interesting dynamic indicate karta hai jahan oil consumption actually increase kar sakti hai despite higher dollar value. Yeh various factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, including economic policies, global demand shifts, ya market expectations.

Traders aur market participants ke liye, yeh juxtaposition between rising US dollar aur declining oil prices challenges aur opportunities dono present karti hai. Jo log EUR/USD trade kar rahe hain unhe yeh consider karna chahiye ke yeh broader market trends kaise currency pair ko influence kar sakte hain. Additionally, yeh samajhna ke factors driving US dollar ki strength aur oil prices ki weakness kya hain, valuable insights provide kar sakta hai strategic trading decisions lene ke liye. Jaise hamesha, informed rehna aur market conditions ke sath adapt karna successful trading ke liye crucial hai.

Summary yeh hai ke EUR/USD pair last week ke range mein remain kar raha hai, aur ek potential decline anticipate kiya gaya hai support levels 1.0808-1.0783 ke around. Broader market context ek strong US dollar aur declining oil prices show karta hai, jo ek intriguing trading environment create kar raha hai. In dynamics ko closely monitor karke, traders market ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur profitable opportunities aim kar sakte hain. Ham sab ke liye ek profitable day ho!