Eurusd forum

### USD-JPY D1 Analysis Chart Ek hafte ke baad, maine USD/JPY ko daily chart par evaluate kiya. Maine ise dekha aur foran 151.88 ka score dekha, jo aapne mention kiya tha. Kyun ke aapka benchmark jis area mein hai, woh ab crucial hai—beshak, yeh dollar-yen ki future priority orientation ka faisla kar raha hai. Hum woh waqt yaad karte hain (bahut recent mein) jab dollar-yen ke do local high the, 151.94 aur 151.91 par. Yeh breach hue aur DY lagbhag 162 tak pahunch gaya. Dusre alfaaz mein, 151.91 ka level ek strong resistance hai jo, agar break ho jaye, toh equally strong support bhi provide kar sakta hai.

Pichle Jumme ko, dollar-yen ne ek local minimum dikhaya aur apni boundaries ka naya test kiya. 151.86 par, ek upward reaction mil chuki hai, jo isay downwards jaate hue ek crucial minimum banata hai. Isliye, neeche ke goals ki taraf aage barhne ke liye, USD/JPY currency pair ko is level ko break karna aur iske neeche consolidate karna zaroori hai. Iss surat mein, price ke neeche girne ke liye zyada space ho sakta hai, jo naya goal ho sakta hai, jo imbalance zone ho sakta hai 149.38 aur 150.72 ke darmiyan.

Mazid analysis ke liye, maine recent movements aur technical indicators ko bhi dekha hai. Aapki trading strategy ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh levels monitor karna aur accordingly action lena zaroori hoga

Currency pair ne Friday ke New York session mein achi recovery dekhi, jo ke recent decline ke baad aayi thi, jo ise 1.0870 ke nazdeek le aayi thi. Yeh pair support mila jab US Dollar (USD) ne correction dekha aur June ke liye US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data ke aas-paas uncertainty ka samna kiya. Yeh data inflation trends ko samajhne mein madad dega aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke future policy decisions ko influence karega. EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Critical resistance level 106.10 ko todne ki koshish ko resistance ka saamna karna pada, jo key economic data releases ke aage market ke hesitant hone ko reflect karta hai. Agar inflation figures expected se kam aati hain, to Fed ke rate cuts ke expectations badh sakti hain, jo aam tor par USD par downward pressure daalti hain. Wahi, agar economic indicators strong rahe, to Fed ke zyada restrained stance ka prospect barh sakta hai.

Market consensus filhal yeh hai ke Fed September mein interest rate cuts shuru kar sakta hai, aur baad mein aur cuts bhi ho sakte hain. Yeh cautious optimism broader concerns ko highlight karta hai jo Fed aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke beech policy divergences ko lekar hain. Investors in divergences ko closely monitor karte hain, jo major currency pairs jaise EUR/USD ki relative strength ko impact karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ko foran technical challenges ka samna karna pad raha hai. Key resistance levels mein 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0855 aur recent range ke upper boundary 1.0870 ke aas-paas hain. Agar in levels ke upar decisive breakout hota hai, to further upside ki raah khul sakti hai jo descending channel ke upper boundary ke 1.0880 ke aas-paas tak pahunch sakti hai, aur shayad psychological barrier 1.0900 tak bhi target kar sakti hai.

Technical tor par, EUR/USD consolidation phase ko navigate kar raha hai, jo daily candlestick patterns mein nazar aata hai. Pair descending channel ke andar oscillate kar raha hai, aur underlying support bearish side ke 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas 1.0816

### EUR/USD Pair Maintains Upward Trend Amid Potential Surprises
EUR/USD karansi pair ne medium-term upward trend ko barqarar rakha hai, jo mazbooti aur musalsal growth dikha raha hai. Yeh trend mazboot hai bawajood iske ke market mein surprises ho sakti hain, khaaskar jab ke traders Friday ko aham events ya announcements ka intizar kar rahe hain. Pair ki is trajectory ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat underlying strength aur euro par market ka confidence dikhati hai.

#### Current Price Action

EUR/USD pair ne notable upward momentum dikhayi hai, jo steady higher trading kar raha hai aur medium-term bullish trend ko reinforce kar raha hai. Recent price action higher highs aur higher lows se marked hai, jo ongoing uptrend ke classic indicators hain. Yeh musalsal growth market confidence ko reflect karti hai euro mein, jo various economic aur geopolitical factors se supported hai.

#### Key Factors Supporting the Uptrend

1. **Economic Indicators**:
- **Eurozone Economic Performance**: Eurozone se aane wale recent economic data, jese ke GDP growth, employment figures, aur manufacturing indices, aam tor par positive rahe hain. Yeh indicators ek robust economic environment suggest karte hain, jo euro ko support karte hain.
- **US Economic Data**: Jab ke US economy mazboot hai, kuch mixed signals, jese ke slower-than-expected job growth ya inflation concerns, market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain. Eurozone data ki comparative strength EUR/USD pair ko additional support provide karti hai.

2. **Central Bank Policies**:
- **European Central Bank (ECB)**: ECB ki cautious magar supportive monetary policy ne euro ko bolster karne mein kirdar ada kiya hai. Interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur economic growth ko support karne ki willingness signal karne se, ECB ne euro par confidence sustain karne mein madad ki hai.
- **Federal Reserve (Fed)**: Fed ke policy decisions aur outlook bhi EUR/USD pair ko impact karte hain. Rate hikes ya monetary policy mein changes ka koi bhi hint fluctuations create kar sakti hain, magar recent dovish tones ne dollar par impact ko kuch hadd tak mitigate kiya hai.

3. **Geopolitical Factors**:
- **Global Trade Relations**: Improved trade relations aur reduced geopolitical tensions investor confidence ko enhance kar sakti hain. Global trade mein koi bhi positive developments, khaaskar major economies ke darmiyan, euro ko support kar sakti hain.
- **Political Stability in Europe**: Key Eurozone countries mein relative political stability euro ki strength ke liye ek stable backdrop provide karti hai.

#### Potential Market Surprises

Current uptrend ke bawajood, potential surprises EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Key events ya announcements on Friday, jese ke significant economic data releases ya unexpected geopolitical developments, volatility introduce kar sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur sudden market shifts ke liye prepared rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD Market Analysis: Bullish Outlook with Short-Term Correction Opportunities
EUR/USD currency pair, jo foreign exchange market mein sab se ziada traded hoti hai, ne haal hi mein bullish trend dikhaya hai. Ye movement kai macroeconomic factors ki wajah se hai, jismein European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke darmiyan diverging monetary policies, aur broader geopolitical aur economic developments shaamil hain.

**Monetary Policy Divergence**

ECB ka relatively dovish stance, jo gradual tightening aur accommodative policies ko maintain karne par focused hai, sharply contrast karta hai Fed ke aggressive rate hikes se jo inflation ko curb karne ke liye hain. ECB ne apni approach mein ehtiyat barat rahe hain, aiming to balance inflation control with economic growth, jabke Fed ne high inflation se nipatne ko prioritize kiya hai, jo ek strong dollar ka nateeja hai. Magar, ECB se recent signals suggest karte hain potential shift toward more aggressive policy tightening, jo euro ko support kar sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein further gains drive kar sakta hai.

**Economic Indicators and Sentiment**

Economic indicators currency movements ko influence karne mein crucial role play karte hain. Eurozone se recent data, jese ke improvements in manufacturing aur service sectors, consumer sentiment ke sath, relatively positive rahe hain. Ye optimism, mixed economic signals se weaker U.S. dollar ke sath, euro ke liye supportive backdrop provide karta hai. Iske ilawa, geopolitical factors, jismein global trade aur energy markets mein tensions shaamil hain, bhi currency pair mein volatility aur movement contribute karte hain.

**Technical Analysis**

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD pair ne kai key resistance levels ko break kiya hai, suggesting continuation of upward trend. 1.10 level ek significant psychological barrier raha hai, aur iski breach ne higher targets ki taraf raasta khola hai. Magar, technical indicators bhi short-term corrections ke possibility ko point karte hain. Overbought conditions, jese ke oscillators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI) se indicated hoti hain, suggest karte hain ke pair temporary pullbacks experience kar sakta hai pehle ke upward trajectory resume ho.

**Opportunities for Traders**

Traders ke liye, current market conditions both opportunities aur risks present karti hain. Bullish outlook suggest karta hai ke buying on dips ek viable strategy ho sakti hai, particularly unke liye jo longer-term perspective rakhte hain. Magar, caution warranted hai due to potential short-term corrections. Key support levels aur economic data releases ko monitor karna crucial hoga risk manage karne aur entry aur exit points optimize karne ke liye.

Summary mein, EUR/USD market outlook bullish rehta hai, supported by a favorable macroeconomic environment aur technical indicators. Magar, traders ko short-term corrections ke liye prepared rehna chahiye aur accordingly apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Jaise ke hamesha, latest economic developments aur market conditions se informed rehna successful trading ke liye essential hai.

### EUR/USD Pair Maintains Upward Trend Amid Potential Surprises
EUR/USD currency pair ne apna medium-term upward trend qaim rakha hai, resilience aur consistent growth dikhate hue. Ye trend us waqt bhi qaim hai jab market surprises ke chances hain, khaaskar jab traders Friday ko aane wale key events ya announcements ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pair ka ye trajectory sustain karna euro ki underlying strength aur market confidence ko zahir karta hai.

#### Current Price Action

EUR/USD pair ne notable upward momentum dikhayi hai, steadily higher trade karte hue aur medium-term bullish trend ko reinforce karte hue. Recent price action ne higher highs aur higher lows dikhayi hain, jo ke ek ongoing uptrend ka classic sign hai. Ye consistent growth market ke euro par confidence ko reflect karta hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic aur geopolitical factors se bolstered hai.

#### Technical Analysis

1. **Support and Resistance Levels**:
- **Support**: Pair ne 1.1000 level ke aas paas strong support paya hai, jo ke kai tests ke bawajood firm raha hai.
- **Resistance**: Agla significant resistance level 1.1200 ke aas paas hai. Is level ke upar break hona further gains ka darwaza khol sakta hai.

2. **Moving Averages**:
- 50-day moving average (MA) upward trend mein hai, jo ke price action ke neeche hai, aur bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.
- 200-day MA bhi uptrend mein hai, jo ke long-term outlook ko positive dikhata hai.

3. **Momentum Indicators**:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish zone mein hover kar raha hai lekin abhi overbought territory tak nahi pohcha, jo ke further upward movement ke liye jagah suggest karta hai.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi positive territory mein hai, jo ke uptrend ke continuation ko support karta hai.

#### Fundamental Factors

1. **Economic Data**:
- **Eurozone**: Recent economic data Eurozone se generally positive rahe hain, stronger-than-expected GDP growth aur improving employment figures ke sath. Inflation rates, jo ke abhi bhi concern hain, European Central Bank (ECB) ne effectively manage kiye hain.
- **United States**: Iske contrast mein, kuch recent US economic indicators ne slowing signs dikhayi hain, khaaskar manufacturing aur consumer spending mein. Ye economic performance mein divergence euro ko dollar ke against support kar raha hai.

2. **Monetary Policy**:
- ECB ne relatively steady monetary policy maintain ki hai, gradual adjustments par focus karte hue taake economic growth aur inflation control ke balance ko maintain rakha ja sake.
- Federal Reserve ne cautious approach adopt ki hai, jisne future interest rate hikes ke bare mein kuch uncertainty create ki hai. Ye cautious stance dollar par weight kar raha hai, jo ke euro ko further support kar raha hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**:
- Ongoing geopolitical tensions, khaaskar jo trade relations aur energy markets ko affect kar rahe hain, ne bhi EUR/USD pair ko influence kiya hai. Euro ne relatively stable political environment ka benefit uthaya hai within the Eurozone, jab ke US politics mein kuch uncertainty hai.

#### Market Sentiment and Potential Surprises

1. **Upcoming Events**:
- Traders keenly anticipate kar rahe hain key events aur announcements ka, khaaskar jo Friday ko scheduled hain. In events mein significant economic data releases, central bank statements, ya geopolitical developments shamil ho sakti hain jo ke EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain.

2. **Risk Management**:
- Surprises ke chances ko dekhte hue, traders ko effective risk management strategies employ karni chahiye. Isme appropriate stop-loss levels set karna, positions diversify karna, aur upcoming events ke bare mein informed rehna shamil ho sakta hai jo ke market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD pair akhri tajziya is kay urooj ka silsila jari rehne ki nishandahi karta hai, halaan keh market ke kai hisedar bearish hain. 60% se zyada tajir apni positions bech rahe hain, jab keh aik ahem market player khareedari kar raha hai. Yeh na-barabari yeh izhar karti hai keh urooj ka silsila achanak palatne ke baghair jari rehne ke imkaanaat hain. Nai trading week ke aghaz mein umeed hai keh EUR/USD apni bullish raftaar barqarar rakhegi aur baqi bearish positions ko khatam kar sakti hai.
Rozana chart ka tajziya karte hue, hum EUR/USD jor mein sideways wedge pattern dekhte hain. 1.0659 ke maqami minimum se neeche ki had se rebound karne ke baad, jor ne ek uroojee harkat shuru ki hai. Magar yeh harkat abhi mukammal nahi hui, kyun keh qeemat wedge ki upper boundary tak nahi pohanchi. Is technical setup ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD jor ko mojooda satah se resistance line tak khareedna, jo 1.0959 ya 1.0969 ke qareeb milti hai, aik acha strategy lagta hai. Yeh umeed ki janay wali bullish trend ke mutabiq hai jab bazaar khulega.

Hafthwaar chart par, aik reversal pattern zahi hai halaan keh aik choti pin bar hai. Yeh pattern yeh izhar karta hai keh EUR/USD jor pehlay wale satah 1.0628 tak barh sakta hai. Magar, naye mehngaai data ke jari hone tak bara harkat mumkin hai ke ruk jaye, jo keh mojooda stagnation phase ke ikhtitaam ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Rozana chart ek peeshangooi karti hai keh qeemat 1.0973 tak barh sakti hai phir support levels 1.0668 tak wapas aane se pehle. Is ke ilawa, chaar ghante ka chart data release hone se pehle aik range-bound movement dekhaata hai. Yeh yeh izhar karta hai keh EUR/USD jor is range ki hadon ko test kar sakta hai. Jor ka grey range mein wapas ana, mukhalif range boundaries ki taraf aane ke imkanaat ko darshata hai, jo keh ahem resistance aur support levels par nazar rakhne ki zaroorat ko zor deta hai.

Khulasah yeh hai keh EUR/USD jor apni urooj ki harkat ko jari rakhegi, mukhtalif ahem resistance levels 1.0959 se 1.0973 aur support levels 1.0668 tak. Aane wale mehngaai data par nazar rakhein taake mojooda trend mein mumkin shift ko samjha ja sake.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Main hourly chart par EUR/USD currency pair ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab 1.09052 ka resistance break hua, mujhe ummed thi ke pair maximum 1.09833 ke resistance tak ja sakta hai. Aam taur par, main is resistance tak barhne ki tawaqo kar raha tha, lekin is se pehle hi seller ne volume ko barhaya aur mujhe laga ke shayad pair pehle hi reverse ho sakta hai. 1.09052 ka support toot gaya, aur is range mein ek range form hui, seller ne phir se volume ko barhaya aur mujhe laga ke pair 1.08216 ke support tak ja sakta hai. Ye support tak pohnch gaya, seller volume ko barhata raha, lekin recently buyer ke volume mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Aapko lagta hai ke resistance 1.09052 tak barhna mumkin hai.

1.0835 ka false breakout hua aur is ke baad growth continue honi chahiye. Ye dekhte hue ke 1.0870 ka range break nahi hua, is se girawat continue hogi. Jab hum 1.0870 ka range break karenge, tab growth aage barhegi. Shayd buyers rate ko mazboot karne mein kamiyab hon aur 1.0870 ko break kar sakein, to uske baad growth continue hogi. Agar hum 1.0870 ka range break karne aur uspe consolidate karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to ye buy signal hoga. Shayd buyers 1.0895 ka range break karne aur uspe rehne mein kamiyab hon, to ye bhi buy signal banega.

Overall, agar 1.0870 ka range break hota hai aur uspe stability aati hai, to isse pair ki growth ko support milega. Lekin agar market is range ko break karne mein na kamiyab rahe, to girawat continue ho sakti hai. Toh, buyers ko dekhna hoga ke kya wo 1.0895 aur 1.09052 ke resistance levels ko break karne mein kamiyab hote hain ya nahi, kyun ke ye factors future growth ke liye key honge

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis kar rahay hain. Euro-dollar pair ne kal ke mutabiq neeche ki taraf move kiya aur abhi tak downward push bana raha hai. Pair abhi locally consolidate kar raha hai aur mujhe umeed hai ke ye movement jaldi hi bearish direction mein continue karegi. Hourly chart par indicators downward point kar rahe hain, lekin pair abhi consolidation phase mein middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai. Aane wala direction is baat par depend karega ke ye level ko break karta hai ya wahin se rebound karta hai. Main lean kar raha hoon towards a breakout aur further decline, lekin main test results ka intezar karoon ga.

Four-hour chart par indicators bhi further decline suggest karte hain, halaan ke kuch basement indicators par bullish divergences hain. Bollinger Band expand ho raha hai jab ke pair decline kar raha hai, jo ke probable continuation of the downward momentum indicate karta hai. Is liye, main sales ko primary option prioritize kar raha hoon.

EURUSD pair technical resistance level 1.0869 ko break nahi kar saka, jo ke typically vital nahi samjha jata. Ye suggest karta hai ke pair shaayad substantial support level 1.0809 tak gir sakta hai, aur ye waisa hi kiya lekin is support ko break nahi kar saka. Ab ye nayi growth impulse form kar raha hai taa ke resistance 1.0869 ko dobara test kare. Agar pair kal ke low ko break nahi karta toh mujhe umeed hai ke support 1.0809 se reversal aayega. Ye indicate karega ke 1.0809 ke neeche ek foothold ban gaya hai, jo ke new decline target 1.0729 set karega. Agar ye medium-term support break hota hai, toh last month ki bullish efforts negate ho jayengi.

Agar support 1.0809 hold karta hai, toh main expect karta hoon ke resistance 1.0869 tak increase hoga. Woh log shayad break through karne ki koshish karein, lekin aaj naya resistance 1.0929 tak pahunchna unlikely hai; ye target kal ke liye more likely hai. Agar 1.0929 ka break hota hai, toh pair weekly targets pursue karega 10th figure mein.

Sham bakhair. Shayad option analysis kuch had tak kaam karta hai, lekin agar hum levels ko dekhein, toh yeh keh sakte hain ke Jummah ko support area 2355 ke qareeb hold kiya, aur buyers is se ek aur wave ke liye current maximum ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin, aise scenario ko seriously consider karne ke liye, buyers ko 2431.90 ka level tor kar consolidate karna hoga, aur is level tak pohanchne ke liye unhe 2403.00 ka level tor kar consolidate karna hoga. Sellers ko fall continue karne ke liye 2369.50 ka level tor kar consolidate karna hoga, aur target hoga 2352.91.

Pair EUR/USD M5:

1 - Euro ne 5-minute chart par lower band ke sath active movement ke baad central area ki taraf wapas ana shuru kiya. Aur humein ek quality signal price fall ke liye milne ke liye, humein lower band ki taraf ek nayi active approach ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir yeh dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open hote hain ya nahi.

2 - AO indicator negative zone mein grow kar raha hai, abhi tak yeh clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price decline continue ho sakta hai. Price growth ka quality signal milne ke liye, humein zero mark ki taraf active attenuation dekhni chahiye.

3 - Sales ke liye entry point 1.08069 pe locate ho sakta hai, price drop ko breakout aur consolidation ke dauran 1.08017 tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.

4 - Purchases 1.08150 pe locate ho sakti hain, price growth 1.08214 tak continue ho sakta hai.

Hello. Euro kal kaafi achha gir gaya, aur yeh bekar nahi tha ke sellers ne Thursday aur Friday ko sales tails draw kiye, buyers ko kahin bhi entry nahi dene di. Unhone apne intentions ko realize kar liya, ab dekhna yeh hai ke kya wo price ko niche move karna continue kar sakte hain ya nahi. Kal ke price decline ke saath, unhone 1.08045 ke level ko break kiya, jo ke ascending structure ka achha break tha aur price fall ke liye ek signal bhi. Teoretically, downward movement ko continue karne ke liye zaroori hai ke round level 1.08 ko break aur consolidate kiya jaye. Agar yeh kar liya jaye, to target ke liye price fall 1.07354 tak ho sakti hai.

Pair EURUSD H4:

1- Euro ne 4-hour chart par lower band ke saath chalne ki koshish ke baad central area ki taraf roll back kiya. Humein price fall ke liye ek naya high-quality signal milne ke liye, lower band ke bahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti. Fractals ki situation ke baare mein, price ne kal ek series of adjacent fractals ko downward break kiya aur July 9 ke fractal tak pohnch gayi. Ab ek naya, closer fractal downward ban gaya hai, iski breakout aur consolidation price ko July 3 ke fractal tak move karne ki ijazat degi, jo ke level 1.07354 hai. Nearest fractal upwards kaafi door hai, aur price growth ke direction mein kuch rely karne ke liye, naye, closer fractal upwards ka intezar karna chahiye.

2- AO indicator ne negative zone mein tezi se acceleration shuru kar diya hai, abhi tak pehle peak ki formation ka pata nahi, aur yeh price fall ke further continuation ka indication hai. Price growth ke liye high-quality signal pane ke liye, zero ke taraf active attenuation dekhna zaroori hai.

Main ne closely monitor kiya live changes in the pricing dynamics of the EUR/USD currency pair. Main ne dekha ke euro-dollar pair ne kal main jo movement anticipate ki thi, woh dekhne ko mili, lekin yeh way up par slow ho gaya. Main abhi bhi yeh samajh raha hoon ke 11:00 AM par bade traders kaise react karte hain, isliye wait karna behtar hai. Generally, do possible outcomes hain. Pehla, chaliye Tuesday ke ranges consider karte hain. Sell zone 1.0829-1.0929 hai, aur buy zone 1.0939-1.1049 hai. Abhi currently, technical price of EUR/USD 1.0821 hai. Agar price turant 1.0829 se upar nahi jati, to yeh niche zigzag downward jayegi, aur shayad 1.0784 par rebound karegi, jahaan main dobara buy kar sakta hoon. Agar yeh jaldi se 1.0829 ko paar kar leti hai, to hum 1.0854-59 tak chadh sakte hain, jahan main anticipate karta hoon ek slowdown aur rebound, jis se mujhe sell karna pad sakta hai. Is point par, humein bulls ke pressure ko dekhna hoga. Humne is range ko pehle test kiya hai aur break through karne mein struggle kiya hai, jo shayad ek aur decline lead kar sakta hai. Aaj ke liye critical range 1.0784-1.0859 hai.
Chaar ghante ke chart par, euro-dollar pair 1.0824 resistance ke thoda neeche trade kar raha hai aur upar move karne mein hesitate kar raha hai. Yeh pair likely current levels par hi rahega jab tak Germany's Q2 GDP ke important news ka intezar ho raha hai. Is data par depend karta hai, euro ki price shayad thoda rise kare, lekin agar Germany ka GDP girta hai, to decline current positions se start hoga. Yeh situation intriguing hai kyun ke hum Germany ke inflation data ka bhi wait kar rahe hain, jo outcome par depend karte hue significant movement drive karega. Baad mein evening mein, US Consumer Confidence Index for July aur June's job vacancies report release hogi, jo is din ko active bana degi. Overall, main anticipate karta hoon ke pehle ek small initial surge ho, bina kisi significant test of mid-8th figure by the bulls. Baad mein, mujhe lagta hai ke bears phir se pressure resume karenge, jo pair ko niche girayega, 8th figure se exit karte hue aur support level of 1.0774 ko reach karega, jaisa ke mere chart par indicated hai.

EUR/USD:
Abhi EUR/USD currency pair 1.0853 aur 1.0839 ke darmiyan horizontal range mein trade kar rahi hai. Yeh range-bound behavior consolidation period ko indicate karta hai, jahan na bulls aur na bears ne poori tarah control hasil kiya hai. Traders ke liye yeh range ek ahem zone ban sakti hai potential breakouts ya breakdowns ke liye.

Jab tak pivot point 1.0783 pe hai, hamari outlook bearish scenario ki taraf jhuki hui hai. Yeh pivot point ek significant support level hai, aur iski position indicate karti hai ke downward pressure zyada dominate karne ke chances hain. Agar price current range ke lower end 1.0839 se niche girti hai aur pivot 1.0783 ko cross karti hai, to hum further declines ki umeed kar sakte hain. Khaaskar, 1.0783 level ke breach hone par pair 1.0793 levels ki taraf ja sakta hai. Iske baad, agar yeh level bhi breakdown hota hai, to ek nayi lower base formation ki signal milti hai, jo indicate karti hai ke bearish trend agle period mein continue rahega.


Doosri taraf, agar EUR/USD pair upper boundary 1.0863 se upar break karta hai, to aik mukhtalif scenario unfold hota hai. Yeh level ek significant resistance point sabit hua hai, jise teen pehle attempts mein penetrate nahi kiya ja saka. Agar yeh resistance breach hota hai, to market dynamics change ho sakti hain. Agar pair 1.0863 se upar jata hai, to yeh 1.0850 levels ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jo potential shift in momentum ko suggest karta hai.

1.0850 level ke breach hone se bullish move aur zyada validate hota hai, aur phir pair 1.0835 levels ka aim kar sakti hai. Yeh upward movement indicate karti hai ke consolidation phase khatam ho sakta hai aur ek nayi upward trend start ho sakti hai. Lekin traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye, kyunki yeh resistance levels pehle challenging sabit ho chuki hain.

Conclusion mein, EUR/USD pair ki movement 1.0853 aur 1.0839 range ke darmiyan critical hai agle direction ko determine karne ke liye. Pivot point 1.0783 ek key indicator hai bearish outlook ka. Agar price 1.0783 se niche break karti hai, to hum further declines aur possibly ek nayi lower base ki establishment ki umeed kar sakte hain. Conversely, 1.0863 ke upar break hone ke baad 1.0850 level ko breach karna potential bullish reversal ko suggest karta hai. In levels ko closely monitor karna traders ke liye essential hoga taake informed decisions le sakein, kyunki pair ka future direction in critical support aur resistance levels par depend karta hai.

EUR/USD Euro - US Dollar
Salaam doston/traders! Main EUR/USD pair ka chart TMA with Distances use kar ke analyze kar raha hoon, aur main is natije par pohanchta hoon ke is waqt sell par focus karna behtar hai. TMA channel indicator downward price movement indicate karta hai, jo ke bears ka advantage show karta hai bulls par. Zigzag line bhi southern direction mein hai, isliye sirf short positions open karna samajh mein aata hai. Auxiliary oscillators Laguerre aur RSI jo mujhe signals filter karne mein madad karte hain, woh buyers ke liye favorable zone mein hain. Mera plan yeh hai ke position ko hold karoon jab tak Fibonacci 78.6% level tak nahi pohanchti, jo ke 1.07259 ke price par located hai.

TMA channel indicator ki downward movement ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo ke market mein bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar raha hai. Is waqt market mein bears ka upper hand hai aur bulls ko niche dikhaya ja raha hai. Yeh analysis mujhe suggest karta hai ke abhi short positions lena zyada profitable ho sakta hai. Zigzag indicator bhi is baat ko confirm kar raha hai, kyunki iska direction bhi south hai, jo ke further price decline ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Laguerre aur RSI oscillators, jo ke meri strategy mein important role play karte hain, abhi buyers ke liye favorable zones mein hain. Yeh mujhe confirmation dete hain ke market mein kuch buying pressure hai, lekin overall trend downward hi lag raha hai. Yeh indicators mujhe signals filter karne mein madad karte hain aur unki current position mujhe support kar rahi hai ke abhi short positions lena theek hai.

Mera trading plan yeh hai ke main apni short positions ko tab tak hold karoon jab tak price 1.07259 tak nahi pohanchti, jo ke Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level par located hai. Yeh level ek significant support level ho sakta hai, aur yahan tak price aane par main apni positions close kar sakta hoon. Yeh strategy mujhe ek clear exit point deti hai aur risk management mein madad karte hain.

Aaj kal ke market conditions ko dekhte hue, yeh approach zyada logical lagti hai. Bears ka pressure zyada hai aur downward trend strong lag raha hai. Isi liye, sell par focus karna aur Fibonacci level tak hold karna ek sensible strategy lagti hai. Trading mein patience aur proper analysis zaroori hote hain, aur isi approach ko follow karte hue, main apni trading decisions leta hoon.

EUR/USD currency pair ka latest analysis yeh indicate karta hai ke iska upward trend continue rehne wala hai, halan ke market ke bohot se participants abhi bhi bearish hain. Is waqt 60% se zyada traders sell positions hold kar rahe hain, jab ke ek key market player, jo ke shayad ek institutional investor ya bara financial entity hai, buy karte ja raha hai. Yeh significant imbalance buying aur selling pressures ke darmiyan yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish trend likely hai ke persist kare bina kisi sudden reversal ke.
Aise scenarios financial markets mein aksar dekhe jate hain, jahan bade players ke actions price movements ko significantly influence karte hain. Is case mein, bade buyer ka EUR/USD positions ko accumulate karna upward momentum provide karta hai, jo ke chote traders ke bearish positions ke cumulative effect ko potentially outweigh karta hai. Market dynamics is situation mein yeh highlight karte hain ke market sentiment aur positioning ko samajhna kitna zaroori hai, aur bade players ka influence kitna important hai.

Jab hum naye trading week mein move kar rahe hain, expectation yeh hai ke EUR/USD apni bullish trajectory ko maintain karega. Yeh outlook technical indicators se support hota hai jo ke upward trend mein strength show karte hain, saath hi fundamental factors bhi Euro ko US Dollar par favor karte hain. In factors mein economic data releases, central bank policies, aur broader geopolitical developments shaamil ho sakte hain jo ke currency markets ko impact karte hain.

Upward trend ki persistence se ek aisi scenario ho sakti hai jahan bearish traders apni positions exit karne par majboor ho jayein, khaaskar agar price critical levels ko reach karta hai jo stop-loss orders ko trigger karte hain. Is process ko short squeeze kehte hain, jo ke price movement ko upward accelerate kar sakta hai jab short positions hold karne wale apne losses cover karne ke liye currency ko wapas buy karte hain.

In conclusion, analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD currency pair near term mein apni ascent ko continue karega. Traders aur investors ko market ke sentiment aur key players ke actions ka dhyan rakhna chahiye, kyunki yeh price movements ko significantly influence karte hain. Hamesha ki tarah, latest market analysis ke saath updated rehna aur potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab major economic events ya policy announcements market dynamics ko jaldi se alter kar sakti hain.

TRADING CHART ON EUR/USD H-4
Aaj ka din shaant raha, aur hum abhi is jagah par qayam hain. Ek baar phir, hum EURUSD currency pair ke H4 chart par nazar dalte hain. Wave structure ne ek neeche ki taraf pattern banana shuru kiya hai, aur MACD indicator bechne ki zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai, apni signal line se nichhe gir gaya hai. Pehle to, do ya teen wave structures ke saath ek ooperi growth cycle qaim ki gayi thi. Is puri cycle ne significant highs ko tor kar ek breakout ko hasil kiya aur MACD indicator ke standard parameters istemal kar ke teesri bearish divergence par pohanch gaya tha. Divergence ne ab apna asar dikhaya hai, aur keemat ne pehle slow tareeqe se girna shuru kiya, baad mein 1.0907 horizontal support level ko tor kar guzarna, jo ke ascending channel ko breach kar gaya tha jis ke andar yeh uth raha tha. Is natijay mein, ek musalsal girawat ke imkanat mein izafa ho gaya hai. Main ek musalsal nichli raftar ka jari rehne ka intezar kar raha hoon, kyun ke market ne kal kuch izafa ke saath khula tha, aur qareeban 1.0907 horizontal resistance level ko test karne wala ban gaya tha, jo ke ooperi movement ke edge par ek mirror level ban gaya hai. Halqi muddaton mein aksar izafa ke qareeb extreme fluctuations nazar aate hain. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke keemat ne 1.0875 support level par qaim ho gayi hai, jo ke ek potential accumulation zone ki nishaani hai. Lekin meri tashkhees ke mutabiq, mazeed nichli raftar ke imkanat ka kafi zyada khatra hai. Rozana chart ki jaanch se pata chalta hai ke bearish engulfing candlestick pattern ban gaya hai, jo ke ek musalsal girawat ke imkanat ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Main is waqt long positions mein dakhil hone ko nahi mashwara dunga, kyun ke kisi bhi mumkin ooperi raftar ko temporary maan kar substantial munafa paida karna mumkin nahi hai. Ziyada sakkei se, level 1.0844 par potential khareedari ke imkanat par gaur karna behtar hoga. Aaj ke liye maeeshati calendar mein ek ahem event shaamil hai jo 17:00 Moscow time par United States ke secondary housing market sales data ke release ka hai.