eur/usd

EURUSD Currency Pair Mein Substantial Decline
EURUSD currency pair mein substantial decline ne crucial support levels ko break kar diya, jo ke current bearish sentiment ko market mein indicate karta hai. 100-SMA aur 20% retracement midline ke cross hone se bears ko control mil gaya hai, jo ke yeh suggest karta hai ke volatility lower convergence range 1.0843 ke aas paas constrained rahegi. 200-day SMA 1.0820 par aur 38.8% Fibonacci retracement crucial support levels honge jo pair ke agle move ko determine karenge.
H4 Chart Analysis
H4 chart par, inverted head and shoulders pattern ne potential reversal ka ishara diya hai agar conditions meet hoti hain. Descending triangle structure 1.0865 par ek crucial level hoga jise dekhna zaroori hai, aur psychological resistance 1.0860 par breakthrough further gains ka raasta khol sakta hai. Buyers jo 1.0855 ka target kar rahe hain, unhe resistance face karna parega, aur monthly swing zone 1.0895 aur 1.0810 ke darmiyan reversal ka risk hoga. Despite different factors, upcoming US index news expected hai ke initially pair ko monthly low tak push karegi, jis se sellers 1.0715 ko target kar sakte hain. Agle hafte unemployment data baqi hurdles ko 1.0684 par overcome kar sakti hai. Forthcoming US index aur unemployment data market dynamics ko bohot ziada influence karegi.
Trading Environment
Trading environment increasingly complex hoti ja rahi hai, aur traders ko vigilant rehna hoga aur potential changes ke liye tayyar rehna hoga. EURUSD pair currently strong bearish momentum exhibit kar raha hai, aur crucial support aur resistance overall outlook ko shape kar rahe hain. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye 100-SMA, 150-day SMA, aur Fibonacci retracement levels valuable insights ke liye. H4 timeframe mein inverted head and shoulders pattern aur descending triangle structure 1.0875 par crucial technical indicators hain jinhe closely dekhna zaroori hai. Upcoming economic data, khaaskar US se, significantly pair ki direction ko influence karegi. Informed reh kar aur flexible approach maintain kar ke, traders effectively current trading landscape ko navigate kar sakte hain, feeling empowered aur in control of their decisions.
Conclusion
EURUSD pair mein bearish sentiment ke bawajood, market dynamics bohot ziada dependent hain upcoming US economic data par. Technical indicators jese ke SMA aur Fibonacci retracement levels ko closely monitor karna bohot zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. H4 chart ke patterns aur structures ko dekh kar potential reversals aur breakouts identify kiye ja sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna hoga aur market ki volatility aur news events ke mutabiq apni strategies adjust karni hongi taake maximum profitability achieve ki ja sake aur potential losses minimize ho sakein

EURUSD currency pair mein ehm support levels ko todne ke baad jo zyadti decline hui hai, yeh market mein bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai. 100-SMA aur 20% retracement midline ke cross hone se yeh ishara milta hai ke bears ab control mein hain, aur volatility ka expected hai ke lower convergence range 1.0843 ke kareeb mehsoor rahega. 200-day SMA at 1.0820 aur 38.8% Fibonacci retracement ehm support levels honge jo pair ke agle move ka faisla karenge. H4 chart par, inverted head and shoulders pattern yeh potential dikha raha hai ke reversal ho sakta hai agar conditions puri hoti hain. 1.0865 par descending triangle structure ehm level hoga jise dekhna zaroori hai, aur 1.0860 par psychological resistance ko todne se mazeed gains ka rasta mil sakta hai. Buyers jo 1.0855 ka aim kar rahe hain unhein resistance ka samna karna parega, monthly swing zone 1.0895 aur 1.0810 ke darmiyan reversal ka risk hai. Sab kuch dekhte hue, aanay wali US index news pehle pair ko monthly low par le jaa sakti hai, jisse sellers 1.0715 ko target kar sakte hain. Agle hafte unemployment data baqi hurdle 1.0684 ko bhi cross kar sakti hai. Aanay wali US index aur unemployment data market dynamics ko influence karne mein ahm kirdar ada karegi.



Trading environment zyada complex ho raha hai, traders ko hoshiyar aur tayar rehne ki zaroorat hai potential changes ko adapt karne ke liye. EURUSD pair is waqt strong bearish momentum dikhate hue crucial support aur resistance levels ko shape kar raha hai. Traders ko 100-SMA, 150-day SMA, aur Fibonacci retracement levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye valuable insights ke liye. H4 timeframe mein inverted head and shoulders pattern aur 1.0875 par descending triangle structure crucial technical indicators hain jin par nazar rakna zaroori hai. Aanay wala economic data, khaaskar US se, pair ki direction ko significantly influence karega.

EUR/USD Analysis July 13, 2024

Jumeraat ko candle ne h1 resistance ko 1.0844 ke price par tor diya tha, aur eur/usd turant hi bohat zyada barh gaya. Us waqt aud/usd bhi 1.0897 ke price par chala gaya. American session mein thodi decline hui, lekin sirf 1.0865 tak. Jumma ko currency pair phir se barh gaya aur 1.0898 resistance ko tor diya. Is resistance ke tor jane se mujhe ehtiyaat karni chahiye kyun ke yeh aur bhi barh sakta hai. Lekin, long term mein mera andaza hai ke eur/usd bohat neeche gir sakta hai kyun ke supply area ko 1.0909 ke price par tor nahi paya. Jab tak supply area tor nahi hota, eur/usd ka mauqa abhi bhi bara hai.
Agar ichimoku indicator se analysis kiya jaye, candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Jab tak yeh position line ke upar hai, iska movement zyada dominant upar hai. Filhaal, indicator ne down signal nahi diya. Stochastic indicator ne neeche jane ke signs show kiye hain kyun ke iski line level 80 ko tor chuki hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap apna target qareebi support 1.0812 par rakh sakte hain.

Lekin, daily timeframe par, price apne highest daily resistance point 1.09100 par pohanch chuka hai. Is liye, bhale hi EUR/USD trend bullish hai, agar aap is timeframe ko dekhein, toh price girne ka potential rakhta hai. Jo traders purchase karne ka plan bana rahe hain, unhein intezar karna chahiye ke correction neeche support prices tak aaye. Purchase karein 1.08640 ya 1.08300 par aur target rakhain 109100 par. EUR/USD market ka increase abhi valid nahi hai, kyun ke MA 50 aur MA 100 indicators abhi cross se door hain, bhale hi MACD trend bullish lag raha hai. Lekin agar price 1.09100 ko clear tor leta hai, toh EUR/USD agle resistance 1.09400 tak barh sakta hai.

Yeh meri post thi. Umeed hai ke yeh madadgar hogi aur trading results satisfactory honge.

EUR/USD currency pair. Guzishta trading saptah mein qeemat kuch neechay ooper ho gai, jese keh ek aam chal rahi ho, bina kahin jaaye. Aur is hafte ne khareedaron ke liye musbat tareeqe se shuru hua, jisne ek qeemat ka farq paida kiya aur agay badha. Yeh maloom hota hai ke France ke chunav is par kuch asar andaz hotay hain. Tezi ke doran qeemat ne peechle aur peechle se pehle ki aala qeemat ko update kiya, lekin wahan qeemat tik nahin saki aur jaldi se neeche utri, ek jhooti tor par tootne ka signal mila - giravat ki taraf. Kyun ke yeh jhooti tor thi, is se aglay barhne ke wave ko nahin samjha jata. Hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke wave structure neechay ki taraf thi aur aisa lagta hai ke MACD indicator ne bhi is giravat ki taraf se pabandi na rakhi, woh upper purchase zone mein hi reh gaya.

Jaise keh maine umeed kiya tha, kal ek horizontal support level 1.0721 par giravat hui, jis se qeemat ne market ke khulne ke waqt ki qeemat ka farq hissa se cover kiya. Is level se shayad thora sa ooper ki taraf chalak aaya, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh ummeed hai ke yeh neechay toot jaye ga. Abhi to hum sirf is level par khare hain, jo zyada khareedne wale ke liye maujood hai jo is level ko dekh rahe hain ke unko pani mein le jaaye. Neeche humare paas koi mazboot concrete support level 1.0666 hai. Teen hafton se qeemat ek hi jagah ko chunte hue nahin ja saki, maine ummeed ki thi ke kam az kam yeh update hoga, khareedne wale ke stops ko knock karne ke liye jo shayad wahan khare hain. Hum ooper gaye, ab hum neeche ja sakte hain, main yeh nahin maanta ke qeemat bas aise hi ooper jaayegi bina is 1.0666 level ko chuye.

Mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat wahan ki taraf tawajjo dikhayegi aur mein abhi sirf neechay kaam karne ka intikhab karta hoon. Aaj ke news mein se kuch cheezein note kar sakte hain: 12-00 Moscow time - Consumer price index (CPI) in the eurozone. 16-30 - Speech by the head of the US Federal Reserve System Jerome Powell. 17-00 - The number of open vacancies in the US labor market.

EUR/USD ne 1.0740 level ko toor diya hai aur ab 1.0750 tak resistance ke qareeb hai. EMA200 ke roop mein aik ahem resistance level 1.0760 par hai. Mujhe samajh nahin aata ke market Powell ke bayan par aisa kyun react kar raha hai, kyunki asal mein unhone kuch naya nahin kaha. Unhone September ke bare mein bhi khamoshi istemal ki aur kaha ke abhi bhi sudhar ki gunjaish hai aur mazdoor market ka haalat kaafi mazboot hai, aur mahangai 2% tak nahin pohanchi hai, walaqin yeh dikha rahi hai ke mahangai kam ho rahi hai. Lagarde bhi kehti hain ke mahangai sahi raaste par hai, lekin abhi kehna jaldi hai ke yeh barh nahin sakti. Powell kehta hai ke Fed apne faislay mein jaldi nahin kare ga aur keh raha hai ke US aur Europe ke mahangai mein farq hai, inko mukhtalif tareeqon se dekha jana chahiye. Unhone abhi bahut kuch kaha hai, lekin market US dollar ko is par bechnay mein jaldi nahin kar raha hai.

### EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis

**Pichle Haftay ki Trading**

Pichle trading haftay mein, EUR/USD ka price ek sideway movement dikhata raha aur kahan bhi nahi gaya. Lekin is haftay ka aaghaz buyers ke liye positive tha, price gap ke saath khula aur aage barh gaya. Shayad France elections ka kuch asar tha. Tezi ke dauran, price ne pichle haftay aur usse pehle haftay ke maximum ko update kiya. Magar price wahan ruk nahi saki aur tezi se niche chali gayi, jisse ek false breakout mila - jo decline ka signal tha. False breakout ke baad, pichle growth wave ka renewal count nahi hota. Hum yeh maan sakte hain ke wave structure ab bhi descending hai, aur MACD indicator downward sentiment ko support nahi karta, kyunki yeh upper purchase zone mein bana hua hai.

**Current Price Action**

Jaise maine expect kiya, kal price horizontal support level 1.0721 tak gir gayi, aur partially price gap cover kiya market ke opening pe. Is level se, kuch rebound upward ho sakta hai, magar phir bhi mujhe lagta hai ke price niche break down karegi. Abhi hum is level par hain, jahan zyada buyers accumulate ho rahe hain jo is level ko dekh rahe hain aur unhe water mein drag karne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Neeche, ek reinforced concrete support level 1.0666 hai. Teen hafton se price wahi place ko test kar rahi hai aur niche nahi ja rahi. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh level kam se kam thoda to update hoga, taake buyers ke stop loss ko knock kiya ja sake jo shayad wahan stand kar rahe hain. Humne upar ki taraf gaya, ab hum niche bottom ki taraf ja sakte hain. Main nahi manta ke price bas upar chalegi bina is level 1.0666 ko pierce kiye.

**News Updates**

Aaj ki news se yeh cheezein note karne layak hain:
- 12:00 Moscow time - Eurozone mein Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- 16:30 - US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ki speech.
- 17:00 - US labor market mein open vacancies ki tadaad.

**Market Reaction**

EUR/USD ne 1.0740 ka level break kiya aur ab resistance 1.0750 ki taraf barh raha hai. Key resistance level EMA200 ke form mein 1.0760 par hai. Main samajh nahi pa raha ke market ne Powell ki baaton par aise react kyun kiya, kyunki unhone waise kuch naya nahi kaha. Unhone September ke bare mein kuch nahi bola aur kaha ke abhi bhi improvement ke liye space hai, labor market abhi bhi kaafi strong hai, aur inflation 2% ke kareeb nahi hai, halanke disinflation ke signs hain. Lagarde bhi keh rahi hain ke inflation sahi direction mein ja rahi hai, magar abhi yeh kehna jaldi hai ke yeh na badhe. Powell keh raha hai ke Fed apne decision mein jaldi nahi karega aur US aur Europe ki inflation ko compare nahi kiya jana chahiye, isliye alag approaches lene chahiye. Woh abhi bohot saari cheezein keh raha hai, magar market US dollar ko bechne ki jaldi mein nahi hai.

Jumma ke trading session ke akhir mein, EUR/USD pair mein mazboot bullish movement nazar aa rahi hai, jis ki maujoodgi ab 1.0890 ke qareeb hai. Traders ne tawajjo se dekha hai ke 1.0916 key resistance level jo ke tareekhi tor par qeemat ke karwaiyon mein reversals ka bais bana hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI 14), jo ke aam taur par momentum oscillator ke tor par istemaal hota hai, ab bullish momentum ki alamat de raha hai, jab ke is ke reading 50 ke ooper hai, jo market mein ummid bhari sentiment ko mazbooti deta hai.

1.0916 level ko paar karne ki ahmiyat ko na sar anjaam diya ja sakta hai. Agar ye mukammal ho jaye to ye na sirf bullish breakout ko dikhata hai balkay ye bhi ishara karta hai ke upward momentum pehle hurdles ko paar karne ke liye mazboot hai. Is manazir mein agle major resistance area jo ke 1.1030 ke qareeb tayyar hai, ke liye rasta ban sakta hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, RSI 14 indicator ke paish-e-nazar hona mukammal hai jo ke price movements ki tezi aur hadaf parne ki miqdaar ko napta hai. Is ke current bullish stance EUR/USD pair ke upward movement ke potential ke sath mutabiq hai. Traders ko salah di jati hai ke price action ko qareeb se nazar andaz karen, khas tor par 1.0916 level ke aas paas ke rawayat par, taake munafa mein istemaal karne ke liye sahi trading decisions le saken.

Aane wale waqt mein, agar market trading day ke ikhtitam tak 1.0916 ko paar kar leta hai, to ye baray interest ke liye kaar-e-jadid ban sakta hai, jo ke bullish trend ke jariye jari rakhne ka mouqa bana sakta hai. Is breakout ko taqatwar khareedne ki alamat samjha jayega, jo ke upward momentum par or bhi zyada market participants ko mashghool kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasar taur par, EUR/USD pair jo ke mazboot bullish indicators dikha raha hai, khaas tor par 1.0916 resistance level ke aas paas aur bullish RSI signals ke sath, traders breakout opportunity ke liye tayyar hain. Tawajjo price movements par mojood hai jab trading session ikhtitam ko qareeb pohanchta hai, aur agle targets ke taraf 1.1030 ke qareeb nazar kar raha hai. Ye analysis traders ko buy positions mein dakhil hone ke liye strategic nazar aur technical tasdeeqon ke sath mukammal outlook faraham karta hai.

EURUSD currency pair. Guzishta trading haftay ke doran, price ne sideways movement ki, kehnay ka matlab hai ke kahin nahi gayi. Aur yeh hafta buyers ke liye positive start hua, price gap ke sath open hui aur aage barhi. Shaid France ke elections ne kuch asar dala. Rapid growth ke doran, price ne pichlay do haftay ke maximum ko update kiya. Magar price wahan qaim nahi reh saki aur jaldi se neechay chali gayi, jo ke ek false breakout tha - decline ka signal. False breakout hone ki wajah se, peechli growth wave ka renewal count nahi hota. Hum yeh maan saktay hain ke wave structure descending thi aur ab bhi waise hi hai, MACD indicator downward sentiment ko support nahi kar raha, yeh upper purchase zone mein hi raha
Jaise ke mujhe umeed thi, kal horizontal support level 1.0721 tak ek descent hua, price ne market ke opening par price gap ko partially cover kiya. Is level se, shaayad kuch upward rebound hua, magar phir bhi main umeed karta hoon ke yeh neechay break hoga. Abhi hum bas iss level par kharay hain, zyada buyers ko accumulate hone de rahe hain jo is level ko dekh kar neeche aayenge. Neeche, humare paas reinforced concrete support level 1.0666 hai. Teen haftay se lagatar, price isi jagah par stick ho rahi hai aur neeche nahi ja pa rahi; main umeed karta tha ke yeh kam az kam update hoga, thoda bahut, taake buyers ke stops knock down ho jayein jo shaayad wahan par hain. Hum upar gaye, ab hum neeche ja saktay hain,
EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ko humari tajziya aur mubahasa ka maqsad banega. Mujhe yakeen hai ke raat ke bullish spike ne tajziya tha, jab euro-dollar ne H-4 chart par abhi bhi girne ka raasta muqarrar kiya. EUR/USD ke liye nazdeek ki bunyadi support 1.0732 par hai. Agar, ek pullback ke baad, quotes is se neeche gir jaayein, to euro-dollar apni girawat ko jari rakh sakta hai bearish start line 1.0663 tak. Abhi bhi mumkin hai ke bear is level tak foran se pohanch jayein, kyun ke short-term mauqe ho sakte hain support 1.0689 par, jahan se ek aur pullback mumkin hai. Euro-dollar ke mustaqbil par asar daalne wale hain anay wale teen dinon ke ameer labor market statistics, is liye EUR/USD par uncertainty jari reh sakta hai jis takke Friday tak. Lekin euro-dollar ne abhi tak apni bearish pullback ko khatam nahi kiya hai.
Bearish daily Pin bar ne technical correction ke khatam hone ka ishara diya hai H-4 time frame tak. Is tarah, agle kuch dinon mein hum euro-dollar pair ke ek aur neeche ki taraf rawish dekh sakte hain, jis se ho sakta hai ke April ke daily resistance zone tak pohanch jayein. Aaj, pair ne mukhtalif directions mein trade kiya. Powell ke taqreer ke shuru hone par dollar kamzor dikhne laga. Yeh temporary lure ho sakta hai ya asal mein bullish move ka sachcha signal ho sakta hai, bearish reversal pattern ko mansookh karne ki mumkinat ki taraf ishara dete hue. Lekin yeh sirf meri raay hai. Jaise ke US market ka reaction hota hai, hum dekh sakte hain ke woh situaion ka tawazun kaise qarar deta hai. Halat ki taraf mod raha hai reverse bullish Pin bar, lekin yeh ghoshit nahi kiya ja sakta ke yeh din ke aakhir tak qaim rahega. Yeh tajziya market ki tauqeerati ravish aur anay walay maali data ke muntazir intezar ki alamaat hai. Traders ko dono directions mein movement ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, lekin mojooda indicators ke mutabiq bearish trend zyada mutasir nazar aata hai.

Certainly! Here's an analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the H4 chart:

As we wrap up the trading week, the EUR/USD pair has shown a continued medium-term trend towards growth. Despite potential surprises on Friday, the overall trend remains unchanged. At the close of Friday's trading, the EUR/USD price finished the week within this medium-term upward trajectory, settling at approximately 1.0905.

During the week's conclusion, the price was still in the midst of an upward momentum, which had not fully reached its projected peak around 1.0920 or slightly higher, given the gradual upward shift of the upper resistance boundary.

Currently, the medium-term outlook for EUR/USD appears as follows:
- The currency pair is demonstrating upward dynamics.
- The level of 1.0895 has been breached, and there are attempts to consolidate above this mark.
- Technical indicators on the four-hour timeframe indicate:
- The price is trading above the Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen signal lines.
- It remains above the cloud in Ichimoku analysis.
- The Chikou-span line is positioned above the price chart.
- A "golden cross" is actively forming.
- Bollinger bands are trending upwards.

This technical setup suggests a bullish sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, supported by Ichimoku cloud analysis, moving averages (Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen), and Bollinger bands pointing northwards. Traders may consider these factors in their decision-making process moving forward.technical setup suggests a bullish sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, supported by Ichimoku cloud analysis, moving averages (Kijun-sen and Tenkan-sen), and Bollinger bands pointing northwards. Traders may consider these factors in their decision-making process moving forward.


Please let me know if you need further clarification or additional information!

EUR/USD Ke Price Activity Ka Roshan
EUR/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka main mawad hoga. Labor market statistics week mein jolt data aksar manipulate kiye jate hain, is liye jaldi conclusions draw karna behtareen nahi hai. Agar statistics course of events ko change nahi karte hain, to EUR/USD ke buyers ke favor mein move hone ke prospects hain. Jabke bearish trend materialize hone ki potential hai, lekin mojooda halat isharat dete hain ke kal ke direction ko badalne ki zaroorat hai. Yeh shift shuru ho chuki hai, is liye main mojooda trend ka izafa expect karta hoon. Hum tayyar hain ek kam rokne wale trading level ki taraf transition karne ke liye, kyun ke mojooda trend ne bohot se signals diye hain, jin mein se kai probable thay. Anay wale statistics ke liye tayyari kuch agle dinon mein emerge hogi, jo ke market ko extended period tak influence kar sakti hai. Maine is currency pair ke price action method ko bohot tafseel se analyze kiya hai, H4 time frame par tawajjo di gayi hai. Yahan par main bearish engulfing candle configuration ki formation ko dikhata hoon. Ek provocative move 1.0769 tak hua, aur price expected algorithm ko follow karne laga. Aaj, humne 59 points ki decrease dekhi hai, jo ke maine ek significant result samjha hai. Kuch minutes mein, US dollar ke statistical data expected hain jo labor market ke open vacancies ke bare mein reveal karenge, jise thoda der baad Federal Reserve ke head ki speech follow karegi. European currency ke liye sirf ek news tha: "German consumer price index," jo koi significant changes nahi dikhaya. EUR/USD pair ke liye potential movement upcoming labor market statistics aur Federal Reserve ke commentary ke influence mein ho sakta hai. Jabke bearish trend mumkin hai, mojooda signals indicate karte hain ke ek kam restricted trading level ki taraf shift ho rahi hai. Traders ko anay wale dino mein key data releases aur market reactions ka nazar rakhna chahiye, jo ke pair ke direction ko shape karne mein madadgar sabit honge.

EURUSD ANALYSIS JULY 13, 2024
Thursday ke baad candle ne 1.0844 ke price par h1 resistance ko penetrate kiya, jis se eurusd mein turant hi tezi aayi. Usi waqt audusd bhi 1.0897 ke price par tezi se badh gaya. American session mein thoda giravat aayi, lekin sirf 1.0865 ke price tak. Jumeraat ko currency pair phir se badha aur 1.0898 ke resistance ko paar kar gaya. Resistance ko paar karte waqt mujhe ihtiyaat bartni chahiye kyun ke yeh izafa aur bhi ooncha kar sakta hai. Magar lambay arsay mein mein yeh peshanahi kar raha hoon ke eurusd buhat gehra giray ga kyun ke analysis ke baad candle ne supply area jo 1.0909 ke price par hai usay nahi paar kar saki hai. Jab tak supply area paar nahi kiya jata, eurusd ke liye mauqa buhat bara hai. Agar ichimoku indicator ka istemal kia jaye to candle ka position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke ooper hai. Is ki position lines ke ooper hone ki wajah se is ka movement zyada tar tezi se raha hai. Abhi tak indicator ne neeche jaane ki koi signal nahi diya hai. Jab ke stochastic indicator ne khud ko neeche jaane ka ishara de diya hai kyun ke uski line ne level 80 ko paar kar liya hai. Is liye main aapko sirf sell positions khulne par tawajjo denay ki salahiyat deta hoon. Aap target ko 1.0812 ke qareebi support par rakh sakte hain.

Here's your text converted into Roman Urdu:

Afsoos ke sath, rozana timeframe par qeemat ne 1.09100 tak buland daily resistance point ko paunch liya hai. Is liye kehne ke bawajood ke EUR/USD trend bullish hai, agar aap is timeframe par dekhein to qeemat girne ki salahiyat rakhti hai. Is liye un traders ke liye jo khareedna chahte hain, intezaar karein jab tak tashkeel support qeematon tak na giray. Khareedari 1.08640 ya 1.08300 par karein, target 1.09100 par rakhein. EUR/USD market ka izafa abhi tak qubool nahi hai, kyun ke MA 50 indicator MA 100 se door hai, halaanki MACD trend bullish nazar aata hai. Magar agar 1.09100 ke price ko saaf taur par paar kiya jaye, to yeh EUR/USD ko agle resistance tak le jayega, jo ke 1.09400 par hai. Yeh mera post hai. Ummeed hai ke yeh mufeed sabit ho aur trading ke natayej khush-hali bakhsh hon.

EUR/USD D1 chart

Kuch purani posts milin jin ka date July 5 tha, aur aaj humaray paas ninth hai. Toh maine socha ke daily chart pe situation ko wave technique se dekha jaye: MA100 parallel to floor space mein kaam kar rahi hai - jo ke week ke dauran flat mood ka signal hai. MA18 ne ek waqt mein bearish mood dikhaya: yeh thirty degrees ke trend angle pe niche ki taraf move kar rahi thi. MA100 ko top se bottom cross kiya, aur ek dead cross banaya - jo ke sell signal hai. Lekin pichle haftay ke bulls ke asar ke neechay, jab woh vertical ascending channel mein north ki taraf move kar rahe thay. Aur yeh light moving average bhi floor ke parallel space mein kaam kar rahi hai. Sab candles moving averages, guiding averages, aur local Nichimoku cloud ke upar space mein ban rahi hain. Yeh iska matlab hai ke humara mood bullish rehta hai. Nichimoku cloud is waqt bullish rangon mein hai. Forecasting ke point of view se, Kumo bears ke favor mein jata hai. Aur - MA100 ke upar position mein stagnate kar raha hai - yeh signal hai ke bears abhi real nahi hain, filhal - sirf correction dikhate hain, aur phir - kaafi mumkin hai - hum dobara upar jayen. Abhi tak mujhe is instrument pe sirf flat dikh raha hai
Atlantic ke par, focus Germany ke inflation data pe shift hota hai Thursday ko, jo ke eurozone ke price pressures pe insights provide karega. Expectation yeh hai ke inflation stubbornly 2.5% ke aas paas rehti hai, jo ke European Central Bank ka 2% target exceed karti hai. Yeh persistent inflation eurozone ki economic recovery pe pressure dalti hai aur ECB ke monetary policy decisions ko challenge karti hai. Euro khud US dollar ke against comeback ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh recently December 2023 se jo downtrend line in place thi uske upar break karne mein kamiyab raha, jo ke potential reversal signal karta hai. Lekin technical indicators resistance levels around 1.0859 aur 1.0998 ko hurdles banate hain euro ke ascent ke liye. Conversely, agar key moving average ke niche fall hoti hai toh yeh further decline trigger kar sakti hai towards 1.0630 level. Aane wale din euro ke liye ek critical test honge, jahan political uncertainty aur economic data ke interplay se iska short-term trajectory determine hoga

EUR/USD

Weekend par euro zyada tar higher raha, important psychological level 1.09 ke kareeb. Yeh position bohot important hai kyun ke bohot se market participants isko closely monitor karte hain. Population density is market mein support aur resistance ke liye ek major barrier hai. Agar euro 1.0920 level ko break kar le, to yeh 1.10 level ka rasta khol sakta hai. Wohi, agar current momentum ke sath downward trend ko continue karta hai, to low 1.08 level significant support ke taur par kaam karega.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaruri hai ke yeh market major catalysts ke darmiyan oscillate karti hai. Isliye yeh hairani ki baat nahi hogi agar euro 1.10 tak pahunch jaye. Lekin, yeh uncertain hai ke yeh higher move ko sustain kar payega ya nahi. Market pichle kuch saalon se neutral raha hai, jisme back and forth movements dekhe gaye hain. Yeh pattern shayad aage bhi barqaraar rahe, jo transient traders ke liye is market ko attractive banata hai. Longer-term perspective se dekha jaye to euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan koi significant changes expected nahi hain. Agar Federal Reserve rate cuts shuru karta hai, to shayad European Central Bank bhi isi tarah actions le, jisse dono currencies ke darmiyan status quo maintain rahega.

Conclusion mein, recent rally ne euro ko 1.09 level par high risk par rakh diya hai. Market ka reaction is waqt bohot important hoga. Agar 1.0920 se upar break ho jaye, to aur gains ho sakte hain 1.10 tak, lekin agar yeh fail ho jaye, to 1.08 par support dekhe ga. Pichle do saalon ke market action se consistent swings fundamentals ke darmiyan dikhayi dete hain, jo short-term trading strategies ke liye fertile ground provide karte hain, lekin longer-term outlook muted rahega kyun ke central banks dono sides of the Atlantic par current unchanged systems maintain karte dikhayi dete hain.

EUR/USD currency pair. Guzishta trading saptah mein qeemat kuch neechay ooper ho gai, jese keh ek aam chal rahi ho, bina kahin jaaye. Aur is hafte ne khareedaron ke liye musbat tareeqe se shuru hua, jisne ek qeemat ka farq paida kiya aur agay badha. Yeh maloom hota hai ke France ke chunav is par kuch asar andaz hotay hain. Tezi ke doran qeemat ne peechle aur peechle se pehle ki aala qeemat ko update kiya, lekin wahan qeemat tik nahin saki aur jaldi se neeche utri, ek jhooti tor par tootne ka signal mila - giravat ki taraf. Kyun ke yeh jhooti tor thi, is se aglay barhne ke wave ko nahin samjha jata. Hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke wave structure neechay ki taraf thi aur aisa lagta hai ke MACD indicator ne bhi is giravat ki taraf se pabandi na rakhi, woh upper purchase zone mein hi reh gaya.
Jaise keh maine umeed kiya tha, kal ek horizontal support level 1.0721 par giravat hui, jis se qeemat ne market ke khulne ke waqt ki qeemat ka farq hissa se cover kiya. Is level se shayad thora sa ooper ki taraf chalak aaya, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh ummeed hai ke yeh neechay toot jaye ga. Abhi to hum sirf is level par khare hain, jo zyada khareedne wale ke liye maujood hai jo is level ko dekh rahe hain ke unko pani mein le jaaye. Neeche humare paas koi mazboot concrete support level 1.0666 hai. Teen hafton se qeemat ek hi jagah ko chunte hue nahin ja saki, maine ummeed ki thi ke kam az kam yeh update hoga, khareedne wale ke stops ko knock karne ke liye jo shayad wahan khare hain. Hum ooper gaye, ab hum neeche ja sakte hain, main yeh nahin maanta ke qeemat bas aise hi ooper jaayegi bina is 1.0666 level ko chuye.

Mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat wahan ki taraf tawajjo dikhayegi aur mein abhi sirf neechay kaam karne ka intikhab karta hoon. Aaj ke news mein se kuch cheezein note kar sakte hain: 12-00 Moscow time - Consumer price index (CPI) in the eurozone. 16-30 - Speech by the head of the US Federal Reserve System Jerome Powell. 17-00 - The number of open vacancies in the US labor market.

EUR/USD ne 1.0740 level ko toor diya hai aur ab 1.0750 tak resistance ke qareeb hai. EMA200 ke roop mein aik ahem resistance level 1.0760 par hai. Mujhe samajh nahin aata ke market Powell ke bayan par aisa kyun react kar raha hai, kyunki asal mein unhone kuch naya nahin kaha. Unhone September ke bare mein bhi khamoshi istemal ki aur kaha ke abhi bhi sudhar ki gunjaish hai aur mazdoor market ka haalat kaafi mazboot hai, aur manghai 2% tak nahin pohanchi hai, walaqin yeh dikha rahi hai ke manghai kam ho rahi hai. Lagarde bhi kehti hain ke manhanghai sahi raaste par hai, lekin abhi kehna jaldi hai ke yeh barh nahin sakti. Powell kehta hai ke Fed apne faislay mein jaldi nahin kare ga aur keh raha hai ke US aur Europe ke manhanghai mein farq hai, inko mukhtalif tareeqon se dekha jana chahiye. Unhone abhi bahut kuch kaha hai, lekin market US dollar ko is par bechnay mein jaldi nahin kar raha hai.

Winning Trades: EUR/USD Prices

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karenge. EUR/USD pair ke H4 chart par, Fibonacci levels tak ek technical correction ideal hoga kyunki peak par buy karna advisable nahi hai. Lagbhag do aur aadha hafton ki EUR/USD growth ke dauran, humein ek bhi H4 technical correction nahi dekhi gayi. Sawal yeh hai ke yeh correction current levels se start hoga ya hum agle daily resistance zone tak push karenge. Theoretically, yeh possible hai, lekin Monday ko Powell ka speech scheduled hai, aur unke comments predict karna challenging hai. Unke speech se pehle, humein market ke reaction ko closely dekhna hoga, aur yeh likely flat market hoga. Yeh mera view hai; yeh 50-50 chance hai. Last week, euro ne buyers ko substantial growth se delight kiya. U.S. data jo release hui thi, expected se worse thi, jo price surge ka reason bana—not just against euro but broadly across the market, with the Canadian dollar being a notable exception.

Wave structure upward momentum indicate karti hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein rise kar raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Growth structure five waves show karti hai, aur ab hum fifth wave mein hain, having updated the week and even surpassed last month, creating a potential sell zone. Five waves cycle complete karti hain, jo MACD indicator par bearish divergence form karti hai. Second CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se descend hone ke liye ready hai, jo ek minor bearish divergence dikhata hai. Target Fibonacci grid ko first wave par apply karne se 161.9 aur 201 ke fulfilled target levels reveal hote hain. Har level par ek downward correction dekha gaya, jo buy positions ka apparent fixation indicate karta hai. Ab price horizontal resistance level 1.0914 tak pohonch chuki hai. Yeh level break karne ki koshish kar sakti hai ya bina break kiye immediately fall ho sakti hai.

Euro weekend par zyadah tar uchla raha, important psychological level 1.09 ke qareeb. Yeh maqam bohot ahem hai, kyun ke isay bohot se market participants ghaur se dekhte hain. Population density ab bhi is market mein support aur resistance ke liyey bara rukawat bani hui hai. Agar euro 1.0920 level ke upar break karnay mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh 1.10 level ke rastey khol sakta hai. Waisa hi agar yeh current momentum ke sath neeche girta rehta hai, to low 1.08 level significant support ka kirdar ada karega.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke yeh market major catalysts ke beech mein oscillate karti rehti hai. To agar euro 1.10 ko choo le, to koi hairat ki baat nahi hogi. Magar yeh ab bhi uncertain hai ke yeh upar ka move sustain kar sakta hai ke nahi. Market ne pichlay kuch saalon se neutral rahi hai, jo back and forth se characterized hoti hai. Yeh pattern ab bhi jari reh sakta hai, jo transient traders ke liyey is market ko attractive banata hai. Lambi miyyad se dekha jaye, to euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan koi significant changes expected nahi hain. Agar Federal Reserve rate cuts start karta hai, to yeh European Central Bank ke actions ko mimic karega, aur yeh dono currencies ke darmiyan status quo ko maintain rakhega.

Aakhir mein, euro ki recent rally ne isay 1.09 level pe high risk mein daal diya hai. Market ka reaction in the meantime bohot kuch batayega. Agar 1.0920 ke upar break karta hai to further gains towards 1.10 ho sakte hain, jab ke agar yeh fail hota hai, to support 1.08 pe milega. Pichlay do saal ki market action yeh suggest karti hai ke fundamentals ke beech consistent swings hote hain, jo short-term trading strategies ke liyey fertile ground faraham karte hain, magar longer-term outlook muted rehta hai, kyun ke dono sides of the Atlantic pe central banks current unchanged systems ko maintain rakhnay ka irada rakhte hain.