یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD Fundamental & Technical Analysis Tuesday ko, EUR/USD currency pair apne maqbool trading range ke andar raha, jabke traders naye rukh faraham karne wale ahem economic data aur events ka intezar karte rahe. Chhote movements ke bawajood, pair apne mojooda levels ke qareeb raha, jo ke market ki zyada substantial catalysts ke intezar ka numainda hai. Mid-week crucial economic reports ke ek silsile ko lekar ata hai jo market movements par asar daal sakte hain. Traders khaaskar un forthcoming data par tawajjo de rahe hain jo Eurozone aur United States mein economic conditions par roshni daalenge. Ahem metrics jaise ke employment figures, inflation rates, aur manufacturing outputs ki ummeed hai ke market sentiment aur currency values ko shape karne mein kirdar ada karenge jab hafta guzarta hai. Federal Reserve officials ke statements media mein ahem hote rahe hain, jo ke market ki tawajjo ko hasil karte hain. Yeh comments investor sentiment ko shape karne mein ahem rahe hain. Haal hi mein, potential interest rate changes aur economic forecasts ke ird gird guftagu ne investors ke darmiyan ek zyada cautious approach ko lead kiya hai. Ye ongoing commentary, jise aksar "Fedspeak" kehte hain, risk appetite ko kam karta hai, traders ko ek intezar aur dekhne ka approach ikhtiyar karne par majboor karta hai jab tak ke mazeed definitive economic indicators zahir na ho jayein.






Technical & Fundamental Details & Trading Strategy:
EUR/USD pair ke liye zahir hai ke market ko upcoming economic data aur mazeed Federal Reserve commentary se clear signals milne tak taqreeban stable rehna hai. Investors potential volatility ke liye tayar hain jab hafta guzarta hai, jo ke evolving economic situation ko nazdeek se monitor kar rahe hain. Hum ne dekha ke EUR/USD currency pair ne 1.0886 par resistance encounter kiya. Hal hi mein, pair ne both the 50-day aur 34-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ko break kiya. 34-day EMA 50-day EMA ke upar cross hone ka signal deta hai ke ek strong uptrend hai. Jab tak pair in do EMAs ke upar rahe, yeh darust hai ke buyers dominant hain. Magar agar pair in EMAs ke neeche gir jata hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers mazbooti haasil kar sakte hain.

Euro ne Monday ke trading session ke start mein rise dikhayi, lekin tab se yeh retreat kar gaya hai. 1.09 level significant resistance generate kar raha hai, jo close monitoring require karta hai. Is level ko break karna bohot mehnat maang sakta hai.

Short-term pullback mein, 1.08 support level important hai, khaaskar jab 200-day EMA wahan maujood hai aur 50-day EMA uske kareeb aa rahi hai, jo expected Golden Cross banane wali hai. Yeh technical chart usually bullish movement indicate karta hai. Yeh sochna zaruri hai ke European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve dono rates cut karne wale hain, jo market ko affect karega. Iske ilawa, most EU markets ka closure for the day ne overall liquidity ko affect kiya hai.

U.S. ka advantage euro ke performance mein important role play karta hai, kyunki U.S. dollar interest rates mein changes U.S. dollars ko directly affect karti hain. Resultantly, pair ka movement aksar U.S. dollar index ke liye proxy hota hai, aur broader trend of the USD ko insight deta hai. USD ki movement ko accurately forecast karna trading ko inform kar sakta hai.Haal hi ke pricing moves ke bawajood, market ab bhi notorious taur par volatile hai. Pichle kuch trading sessions ke dauran yeh volatility kam hone ki koi indication nahi mili. Isliye, marketers ko cautious rehne aur ongoing changes ke liye prepared rehne ki zarurat hai.

Summary mein, jab Euro 1.09 level pe resistance face kar raha hai, 1.08 level important support provide kar raha hai, jo nearby Golden Cross se reinforced hai. Interest rate decisions aur economic conditions is market ko greatly affect karenge. Jaise hamesha, U.S. dollar ki direction samajhna sound business decisions lene ke liye critical hai.EUR/USD money pair ke evaluating movements ne yeh reveal kiya hai ke Federal Reserve rate hike consider kar raha hai, lekin inflation mein recent marginal decrease ke wajah se yeh primary stance lene mein hesitate kar raha hai. Agar woh abhi rate increase announce karte hain, toh market unki credibility ko doubt kar sakta hai. Consequently, yeh scenario abhi repeat ho raha hai: high inflation, slow decline, aur current rate ko maintain karna. Lekin, unki rhetoric naye inflation data se alter ho sakti hai.

Jo upward trend 1.09 level ki taraf ja raha tha, woh tab ruka jab pair recently 1.0829 ke high pe pohoncha. Agar pair 1.0843 level ko regain karne mein fail hota hai, toh yeh kal 1.08 level ko test kar sakta hai. Mere system analysis ke hisaab se, resistance trend line at 1.0893 break ho chuki hai, aur hum ek significant support level ki taraf ja rahe hain. Pehla support level pichle local low at 1.0816 ke aaspaas hai, aur mujhe lagta hai yeh jaldi breakdown hoga, shayad aaj ya kal.US session mein news temporary bullish pullback lead kar sakti hai, lekin overall trend descending lagta hai. 1.0868 ke upar break uptrend ko extend kar sakta hai, jab ke correction further expansion ka stage set kar sakta hai. 1.0882 ke break karne se continued movement imply hoga, with 1.0895 being a higher resistance level.

EUR/USD Ki Technical Analysis Pichle trading week, euro 1.0837 ke upar ek local high tak pohanch gaya aur mazid mazbooti hasil karne ki koshish jari hai. 1.0763 par support ko torne ke baad, keemat ne ek mustaqil upar ki taraf rukh ikhtiyar kiya lekin ruk gaya aur 1.0837 ke upar barh gaya, jahan woh mustaqil bana raha. Magar, peechle scenarios ke intezar ke khilaaf, ye nishana zone tak nahi pohancha. Intehai muddat mein, keemat ka chart green supertrend zone mein bana rehta hai, jo ke mustaqil kharidari ki faaliyat ko darust karta hai.

Pehle 2024 ke pehle quarter mein European economy ne mazboot behtari ke signs dikhaye, jahan GDP index peechle quarter (2023 ka aakhri quarter) ke muqablay mein 0.3% barh gaya. European Commission ke ne jaari kardah growth forecast ne darsata hai ke EU ki economy 2023 mein expected se kam barhegi, is ka matlab hai ke is saal inflation ko rukawat ka samna karna parega. EU aur eurozone mein economic growth ki umeed hai ke 2024 mein 0.9% aur 0.8% tak pohanch jayegi, jo ke is saal eurozone mein 1.2% se upar hai. Inflation forecast bhi dikhata hai ke EU inflation 2023 mein 6.3% se 2024 mein 3.0% aur phir 2025 mein 2.5% tak gir sakta hai. Pichle saal energy prices ki kami ke sabab se inflation ka girna expected se zyada hua tha. Magar, member countries ke darmiyan energy support measures jald khatam ho jayenge. Mojudah geopolitical tensions, khaaskar Middle East mein, trade barriers ka nateeja ho sakti hain. Dono factors ke zariye keemat ko mazeed buland kar sakte hain. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:






Jodi halat mein waqtan-fa-waqtan highs ke qareeb buland tor par trading kar rahi hai. Ahem support areas ko imtehan mein liya gaya aur barqarar rakha gaya, jiski wajah se rebound hua aur mustaqil faida hasil hua, jo ke preferential upar ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai. Keemat ko halat ke fauran zone mein jama karna chahiye aur khud ko 1.0837 ke darja ke qareeb hadood mein makhfi karna chahiye, jo ke asal support area ka kinarah hai. Agar ek correction hota hai, to humein is area ka dobara imtehan lena chahiye jisme mukhtalif gehrai aur aage ke bounce ka nishana 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke ek aur upar ki lehar faraham karta hai.

Agar support toot jata hai aur palatne ka darja 1.0763 ke neeche gir jata hai, to mojudah scenario mansookh ho jayega.

Technical & Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD pair ne izafa kiya, 1.0894 tak pohanch gaya, jabke investors FOMC minutes aur Eurozone aur US dono se shuru hone wale PMI figures ka intezar karte hain. Euro ki qeemat mein izafa ECB ke rate-cutting cycle ke mazeed jari rakhne ke leye, June ke baad bharh gaya hai. Market participants FOMC minutes ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke Federal Reserve officials ne wapas 2% inflation rate ki target ki taraf lautne ke liye zyada sust inflation data ki zarurat ko dawa ki hai. Inflation trends ke ird gird shaqaiq ne policymakers ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena par majboor kiya hai, jo ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy decisions ke leye ehtiyaat bhari harkat ki taraf le gaya hai. Usi waqt, ECB ke stance ko le kar shak-o-shubaat ubhar rahe hain rate-cut cycle ko jari rakhne ki taraf. June ke baad mazeed rate reductions ke mumkinat ke bare mein tajwezat the, magar haal hi ki tabdiliyon ne is tawaqo ko shak mein dal diya hai. ECB ka ehtiyaat bhara nazriya economic recovery aur lamba samay tak ke mushfiq monetary measures ke asar ki fikar ko darust karta hai.





ECB aur Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif monetary policy approaches currency markets par asar daal rahe hain, jo ke EUR/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations ka sabab bana hai. Traders central bank communications aur economic data releases ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain future policy directions ke hints ke leye, jo ke currency markets mein izafa volatility ka buniad ban raha hai. EUR/USD exchange rate speculation ke daira mein izafa trend dekh raha hai FOMC minutes aur ECB ke monetary policy stance ke ird gird. Magar, mustaqbil ke dono central banks ki policies ke rukh ke bare mein shak-o-shubaat jari hain, jo ke currency markets mein volatility ka sabab ban rahe hain. Investors hoshyar hain, mazeed developments aur economic indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain ta ke currency movements par rehnumai ke leye.

Hamari EURUSD currency pair ki price bohat arsay se flat mn trade kr rahi hai. Main intezar karta raha ke price southern correction de 1.0830-1.0810 tk. Aur jese ke four-hour chart dikhata hai, price jald hi moving average ko test karegi, jo ke is waqt 1.0831 pr hai. Lekin shayad price or south chali jaye buy zone tak jo 1.0798-1.0776 pr hai. Moving average is waqt green hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ka upper hand hai sellers pr. Aur yeh possibility hai ke price moving average se bounce ho aur north chali jaye upper border of the channel tak jo 1.0914 pr hai. Main allow karta hun ke price upper border of the channel ko cross kar ke 1.0950 tk chali jaye.D1 chart pr, jo ke flat dikhata hai aur position 1.0857 pr hai. Ek indicator jo is forum pr company se liya gaya hai, pehle hisse mn buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan barabari dikhata hai, pehle walon ka range 50.17% hai. Dusre hisse mn, Indicator neutral position dikhata hai. Aaj couple kesa behave karegi? European Union se kuch ahem aur interesting news yeh hai: ECB President ka khitaab. Aur USA se: Secondary housing market mn sales, crude oil inventories aur FOMC minutes ka publication. Information itni hot nahi hai, lekin bina machli ke cancer bhi machli hai. To hum do qisam ke analysis ke sath kaam karte hain: fundamental aur technical. Aaj mujhe lagta hai ke pair initially southern correction karegi level 1.0820 tk, aur phir reversal kar ke north chali jaye position 1.0930 tk.

EUR/USD jodi filhal 1.0750 ke qareeb hai. Haal hi mein US index ki mazboot raftaar se 200-day sadharan moving average ko qareeb 1.0760 ke neeche giraya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh satah paar hoti hai, toh aik upward correction bull mohol ko 50% Fibonacci retracement level par challenge kar sakti hai, jo 1.0720 par hai. Magar agar koi negative rad-e-amal hota hai, toh ek aur break neutral base downtrend line ko 1.0765 ke neeche le ja sakta hai. Iss halat mein, farokht dabao lambi muddat tak jari reh sakta hai jo lagbhag 1.0790 ko nishana banata hai.Haal ki neeche ki harkat ne 25- aur 50-day exponential moving averages ke neeche nuqsaan ko barhaya, jismani support level 1.0715 ko paar kar diya. Mazeed neeche ki harkat, jo 1.0710 ke neeche tasdeeq hui, bearish trend ko jari rakh sakti hai, lagbhag 1.0810 ke qareeb ek kamzor mukhtalif. Jab ke qeemat 1.0700 ke oopar qaim rehti hai, momentum indicators naye support ya resistance ke sath sath mumkin mazeed nuqsaan ka zahir karte hain. MACD surkhi trigger trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur janubi neutral satha ke neeche chala gaya hai, jis se agle haftay ke trading ka aik potential mor nazr ata hai. Oscillator Cloud aur Bollinger Band mid lines bhi neeche gir gaye hain, jahan 1.0785 ke qareeb aik numaya bearish rad-e-amal note ki gayi hai, jo qareebi muddat mein aane wale pullback ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders ko 1.0690 par breakout barrier ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye, jise tajarbaat ke doran urooj ka khatra jaiza diya ja sakta hai, jabke mojooda nishana range mumkinah rukawat ko 1.0820 ke qareeb darust karta hai.Chaar ghantay ka time frame par, akhri band candle aik manfi nateeja zahir karta hai, jisme bearish triangle wedge pattern ke ikhtisasat samne aati hain jo aayan wale session mein mazeed neeche dabaao ka zahir kar raha hai. 1.0750 ke neeche ek dum girawat bearish jazbat ko khench sakti hai, jo qareebi muddat mein 1.0780 ke qareeb milti hai. Magar agar dominant kharid-darain qeemat ko 1.0640 par 50-day sadharan moving average ke upar utha sakti hain, toh bear ko mukhalif batain milti hain, jisme potential urooj ke rukh ko 1.0710 par 39.7% Fibonacci retracement level tak aur phir upper-middle band ke 1.07200 ke qareeb ko dekha jata hai.

EUR/USD jodi ne barhawa diya, 1.0894 tak pohanch gaya hai, jabke investors FOMC minutes aur Eurozone aur US ke PMI figures ka intezar kar rahe hain. Euro ki qeemat mein izafa ECB ke rate-cutting cycle ko jari rakhne ke baad June ke baad ho gaya hai. Market participants FOMC minutes par tawajjo se nazar rakh rahe hain, kyun ke Federal Reserve officials ne 2% inflation rate ki target ki taraf lautne ke liye zyada sust inflation data ki zarurat ko dawa ki hai. ECB ke stance ke bare mein shak-o-shubaat hain rate-cut cycle ko jari rakhne ki taraf. ECB aur Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif monetary policy approaches currency markets par asar daal rahe hain, jo EUR/USD exchange rate mein fluctuations ka sabab bana hai. Traders future policyHamari EURUSD currency pair ki price bohat arsay se flat mn trade kr rahi hai. Main intezar karta raha ke price southern correction de 1.0830-1.0810 tk. Aur jese ke four-hour chart dikhata hai, price jald hi moving average ko test karegi, jo ke is waqt 1.0831 pr hai. Lekin shayad price or south chali jaye buy zone tak jo 1.0798-1.0776 pr hai. Moving average is waqt green hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ka upper hand hai sellers pr. Aur yeh possibility hai ke price moving average se bounce ho aur north chali jaye upper border of the channel tak jo 1.0914 pr hai. Main allow karta hun ke price upper border of the channel ko cross kar ke 1.0950 tk chali jaye.D1 chart pr, jo ke flat dikhata hai aur position 1.0857 pr hai. Ek indicator jo is forum pr company se liya gaya hai, pehle hisse mn buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan barabari dikhata hai, pehle walon ka range 50.17% hai. Dusre hisse mn, Indicator neutral position dikhata hai. Aaj couple kesa behave karegi? European Union se kuch ahem aur interesting news yeh hai: ECB President ka khitaab. Aur USA se: Secondary housi directions ke hints ke leye central bank communications aur economic data releases ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, jo currency markets mein volatility ka sabab ban raha hai. EUR/USD exchange rate mein izafa trend FOMC minutes aur ECB ke monetary policy stance ke ird gird dekhne ko mil raha hai. Investors mazeed developments aur economic indicators ka intezar kar rahe hain ta ke currency movements par rehnumai ke leye.

EUR/USD ki Technical Analysis: Pichle trading week mein, euro 1.0837 ke upar ek local high tak pohanch gaya aur mazid mazbooti hasil karne ki koshish jari hai. 1.0763 par support ko torne ke baad, keemat ne ek maqil upar ki taraf rukh ikhtiyar kiya lekin ruk gaya aur 1.0837 ke upar barh gaya, jahan woh maqil bana raha. Magar, peechle scenarios ke intezar ke khilaaf, ye nishana zone tak nahi pohancha. Intehai muddat mein, keemat ka chart green supertrend zone mein bana rehta hai, jo ke maqil kharidari ki faaliyat ko darust karta hai.Pehle 2024 ke pehle quarter mein European economy ne mazboot behtari ke signs dikhaye, jahan GDP index peechle quarter (2023 ka aakhri quarter) ke muqablay mein 0.3% barh gaya. European Commission ke ne jaari kardah growth forecast ne darsata hai ke EU ki economy 2023 mein expected se kam barhegi, is ka matlab hai ke is saal inflation ko rukawat ka samna karna parega. EU aur eurozone mein economic growth ki umeed hai ke 2024 mein 0.9% aur 0.8% tak pohanch jayegi, jo ke is saal eurozone mein 1.2% se upar hai. Inflation forecast bhi dikhata hai ke EU inflation 2023 mein 6.3% se 2024 mein 3.0% aur phir 2025 mein 2.5% tak gir sakta hai. Pichle saal energy prices ki kami ke sabab se inflation ka girna expected se zyada hua tha. Magar, member countries ke darmiyan energy support measures jald khatam ho jayenge. Mojudah geopolitical tensions, especially Middle East mein, trade barriers ka nateeja ho sakti hain. Dono factors ke zariye keemat ko mazeed buland kar sakte hain. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein: Jodi halat mein waqtan-fa-waqtan highs ke qareeb buland tor par trading kar rahi hai. Ahem support areas ko imtehan mein liya gaya aur barqarar rakha gaya, jiski wajah se rebound hua aur maqqil faida hasil hua, jo ke preferential upar ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai. Keemat ko halat ke fauran zone mein jama karna chahiye aur khud ko 1.0837 ke darja ke qareeb hadood mein makhfi karna chahiye, jo ke asal support area ka kinarah hai. Agar ek correction hota hai, to humein is area ka dobara imtehan lena chahiye jisme mukhtalif gehrai aur aage ke bounce ka nishana 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke ek aur upar ki lehar faraham karta hai. Agar support toot jata hai aur palatne ka darja 1.0763 ke neeche gir jata hai, to mojudah scenario mansookh ho jayega.

Iss Wednesday ko Euro Dollar ka muqabla wobbly raha kyunke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne mehengai ke hawalay se ehtiyaat barat rahi hai. Fed ke aakhri meeting ke minutes se maloom hota hai ke unka karaya dovish hai, aur sarmayakaron ko central bank ke rate cut karne ki salahiyat par mehengai ke baqi rahne ki fikar hai. Fed ka maqsad saalana 2% inflation rate hasil karna hai, aur jabke September mein rate cut perfect tor par namumkin nahi, inflation ka 2% target ke qareeb aane ka wazeh saboot abhi tak mojood nahi. Europe ki economy bhi barhi close nazar mein hai kyunke Thursday ko PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) data release hone wala hai. Peeshan goiyan yeh hain ke EU ka manufacturing PMI May mein 46.2 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke pichle mahine 45.7 tha. Services PMI bhi thora barh ke 53.5 tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai, jo ke pehle 53.3 tha. Wahan US PMI data bhi Thursday ko stable rehne ka imkaan hai, jahan manufacturing aur services PMIs 50.0 aur 51.3 ke aas paas rahne ki tawaqqa hai. EUR/USD pair ne key 200-hour exponential moving average (EMA) 1.0834 se neeche slip kar liya. Yeh technical indicator yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trend mumkin hai, aur Euro 1.0820 level par support barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka shikar hai. Hal hi mein 1.0900 se upar break karne mein naakam rehne ne bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazboot kiya hai. Rozana basis par, Euro ahista ahista apne 200-day moving average 1.0802 ke qareeb aaraha hai, jabke aakhri chaar sessions mein se teen mein lower close hua hai. Magar sab kuch negative nahi hai Euro ke liye. Recent pullback ke bawajood, currency ne mid-April ke lows 1.0600 se significant rally ki hai. Ye underline buying pressure ko dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, technical indicators current trend mein pause ki possibility ko hint karte hain. Stochastic oscillator ne bearish crossover flash kiya hai, magar overbought territory mein, jo ke potential bounce ki gunjaish dikhata hai. Isi tarah, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 70 mark ko breach karne mein naakam raha, jo ke decline mein pause ka signal ho sakta hai. Agay chal kar, agar Euro 1.0895 hurdle ko overcome karne ki himmat kare, to 1.0940 level ka retest mumkin hai. Is point se aagay ka decisive break significant resistance zone 1.0980 aur 1.1000 ke darmiyan challenge kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to nayi decline ka trigger ho sakta hai. Ye scenario downtrend line aur important moving averages ka cluster jo ke 1.0785 ke aas paas hai, jismein 200-day aur 50-day simple moving averages shamil hain, ke neeche potential breakout ko lead kar sakta hai.

The EUR/USD pair started the day on a calm note, hovering around 1.0800, as traders await key economic data from the Eurozone and the US. The pair has been under pressure in recent weeks due to a strong US dollar and concerns about slow growth in the Eurozone.
Today's focus in the Eurozone will be on preliminary consumer inflation figures. Headline inflation is expected to decrease from 9.2% to 8.9% since December, while there is a possibility of a slight easing in core inflation from 5.2% to 5.0%. Lower energy prices may contribute to the anticipated decline in inflation, but price pressures remain high. The European Central Bank is closely monitoring inflation data and considering interest rate hikes to combat high prices. The market expects the ECB to potentially hike rates by another 50 basis points in the March meeting.

On the other side of the Atlantic, the US economic calendar is busy with the release of durable goods orders, GDP data, jobless claims, and pending home sales. There is a possibility of a decrease in durable goods orders in December, indicating slowing business investment. The initial estimate for Q4 GDP growth is expected to moderate to 2.8% from 3.2% in Q3. GDP data will provide clues about the health of the US economy amid rate hikes. US jobless claims have been following a lower trend, and there is a possibility of further decline, highlighting the resilience of the labor market.

From a technical perspective, the immediate support for the EUR/USD pair is around the 1.0680 area, which is the 20-day moving average. If this level is broken, the pair may test the January low of 1.0480. On the upside, resistance could be seen at 1.0800, which is the 50-day moving average. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently neutral, suggesting consolidation in the near term. Overall, the path of least resistance seems to be on the downside amid a strong dollar and ECB rate hikes. However, volatility can be expected around key economic releases, which may impact Fed rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD American session mein Wednesday ko 1.0860 par pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa traders ki expectations ko reflect karta hai ke central banks mukhtalif monetary stances le rahe hain, jahan ECB zyada aggressively rates cut karne ka plan bana raha hai compared to the Fed, aur yeh development market movements mein pehle hi price ho chuki hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Financial circles mein forecasts suggest karte hain ke ECB iss saal interest rates ko 70 basis points tak cut kar sakta hai, aur is policy shift ki shuruaat June meeting mein ho sakti hai. Pichle mahine ECB policymakers ne hint diya tha ke June mein rate cuts hone ke chances hain, aur yeh projection thi ke Eurozone mein inflation agle saal tak 2% tak gir jayegi. June ke baad rate trajectory ke specifics abhi tak uncertain hain, magar market consensus yeh hai ke June 6 ko ek imminent cut hone wala hai.

Yeh speculation, ke ECB rate adjustment karega aur US Fed delay kar sakta hai, Euro ki upward momentum ko cap kar sakta hai. Is scenario ke nateejay mein EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate future mein headwinds anticipate kiye ja rahe hain, jo ke currency traders aur investors ke landscape ko shape kar rahe hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.0860 tak chadh kar, EUR/USD pair ne pehle ke losses se recovery ki hai, aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke karib aaya hai jo ke 1.0789 ke aas paas hai. Yeh noteworthy hai ke yeh Symmetrical Triangle pattern ke downward-sloping boundary ke paas hai jo daily timeframe par December 28th ko 1.1140 ke near form hui thi. Yeh pattern market mein volatility ke consolidation ko signify karta hai, jahan upward-sloping border October 3rd ke low 1.0448 se emerge hui, pattern ki range ko encapsulate kar rahi hai.

Symmetrical Triangle ka emergence market participants ke darmiyan indecision ka period signify karta hai, jaisa ke 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Yeh oscillations clear direction ki kami ko denote karti hain, jo ke current market sentiment ke uncertain terrain ko mirror karti hain.

Hamari mojooda guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ki performance ka tajziya karne ke ird gird ghumti hai. Qeemat ne mushkilat se bharh kar 1.0786 ke level ke ooper uthna kaamyaab kiya, jis ke nichle tor par musbat taur par jamak aur m30 timeframe par aik bearish trend ki bunyad qaim ki gayi, jo farokht ke liye behtareen mauqaat faraham karta hai. Main 1.0726 ke support level par qareebi nigaah rakhta hoon, agar isay tor diya gaya to seedha 1.0676 ki taraf tezi se girna mumkin hai, hamare agle qadam ki raah ko asaan karne ke liye. Agar ye support mumkin hai, to yeh humein 1.0604 ko imtehaan denay ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur shayad mazeed 1.0521 tak bhi nichay girne ka imkaan hai. Jumeraat ko, qeemat Ichimoku Cloud indicator mein dakhil hui aur iske andar qaaim rahi, jo mojooda bearish jazbat ko mazboot karti hai aur mumkin hai ke 1.0753 ka imtehaan lena. Is nishan ko paar karne se humare qareeb qareeb 1.0725 ke ahem support tak pohanch sakti hai, jiska tor aik ahem downtrend ko shuru kar sakta hai. Magar, 1.06 ke level par lautna namumkin nazar aata hai, jo EUR/USD mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa downtrend se pehle aik mushtahkam ikhtraaq ki dawat deti hai. Click image for larger version Iske ilawa, RSI indicator ka mojooda bearish rukh mukhtasir bearish signals ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai. Is dauraan, maine EUR/USD ke liye M30 chart par 1.0781-1.0728 ka ek trading range pehchani hai, jismein qeemat iske ooper ki janib hi dabbi hui hai, jisse euro ke maqasid ab 1.0722 ke ird gird hain. Agar 1.0791 ke ooper aik mumkin tor par guzar jaye aur baad mein jamak ho, to yeh aik kharidne ka mauqa darust kar sakta hai. Jab tak hum 1.0772 range ke andar ya iske ooper rahein, ooper ki raftar mumkin hai. Taqreeban 1.0791 ke qareeb aik choti taqseer aur iske baad mazeed izafa hone ka pehle asar ho sakta hai. Maqwiyat ke andar tajawuz karte waqt abadi ki raftar jari reh sakti hai jab tak 1.0800 ke nichle rehne ke bajaye ooper chali jaye, jo 1.0851 ke tor ko torne ki taraf ja sakta hai. US session ke doran aik taqseer mazeed izafa ke pehle aati hai, jo 1.0812 ko torne ka aghaaz karta hai. 1.0782 ko tor kar aur jamak karne ka mazboot kharidne ka signal agle haftay ke liye darust kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD ne apni urooj ke rukh ko Wednesday ko jari rakha, aur ye mazeed bulandaiyon par chal raha tha. Guzishta din ne wazeh haqeeqat sabit ki: market ne euro ke faavor mein kisi bhi waqia, kisi bhi khabar ko tabeer dena shuru kar diya hai. Pehle is haftay, humne kaha tha ke euro mazeed barh raha hai, mazeed tajziyon ke baghair, aur market sirf amreeki currency ke liye tamam musbat khabron ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. Wednesday ko, humne wahi haalaat dekhe. EU ne GDP aur industrial production par kafi neutral reports jaari ki. GDP ka doosra tajziya pehle wale se kuch nahi alag tha, aur industrial output sirf 0.1% se zyada tajziyon par nikla.
Amreeka ne apna April ka mahina ka inflation report jaari kiya, aur is ke value bilkul tajziyon ke mutabiq thi. Is tarah, dollar ko bechnay ke koi wajah nahi thi. Zyada tar zorawarat ka minor rukh se ye yeh nahi kehtay ke Federal Reserve foran interest rates ko kam karna shuru kar de ga. 3.4% ka value ye dikhata hai ke hum abhi tak monetary policy ke pehle aasar se bohot door hain. Phir bhi, market aise react kiya jaise ke Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne is hafte wazahat ki ke central bank qareeb darust mein rate ko kam karne ke liye tayar hai. Jab ke asal mein unho ne is haftay ulta hi kaha...

5-minute timeframe par kuch behtareen signals nazar aaye. Inflation report jaari hone ke baad market bar bar rukh badal gaya. Shuru mein, qeemat 1.0836-1.0856 ke range ko par kar gayi, phir us se rebound hua, aur phir ek aur. Isi liye, naye traders US session ke doran long positions open kar sakte the. Raat ke qareeb, pair pohnch gaya 1.0888 ke qareeb target level tak.

Thursday ke trading tips:
Ghantay ki chart par, EUR/USD pair ke upar ki taraf correct hone ka rukh jari hai, jo ke mazeed barha hua aik azaad trend ki tarah lag raha hai. Hum sochte hain ke dher sara girawat darmiyaney lehaaz se dobara shuru hona chahiye, kyun ke euro mehanga hai, aur aam tor par, global rukh niche ki taraf hai. Bunyadi maadari halaat ab bhi US dollar ko madad deti hain, aur April ka inflation report Fed ki stance ko tabdeel nahi kare ga.

EUR/USD D1
Hamara EURUSD currency pair ka qeemat buhat arsay tak ek flat mein trading kar rahi hai. Main ne qeemat ko 1.0830-1.0810 tak janib southern correction dene ka intezar kiya. Aur jaise ke chaar ghantay ka chart dikhata hai, qeemat jald hi moving average ko test karegi, jo ke ab 1.0831 par hai. Lekin shayad qeemat mazeed janib south jaaye buy zone tak 1.0798-1.0776. Moving average ab sabz hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke kharidne walon ka dabaav farokht karne walon par hai. Aur yeh mumkin hai ke qeemat moving average se takra kar uttar ki taraf jaaye channel ke upper border tak 1.0914. Main qeemat ko channel ke upper border se agay bhi udne ki ijaazat deta hoon 1.0950 tak.

D1 chart par, aik flat dekha ja raha hai aur position 1.0857 par hai. Company ka indicator, jo is forum par mojood hai, pehle hisse mein buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan barabar ka mawazna dikhata hai, jisme buyers 50.17% ke range mein hain. Dusra hissa, Indicator neutral position ko dikhata hai. Aaj couple kis tarah behave karegi? European Union se aham aur dilchasp khabron mein se, maine ECB President ki taqreer ko highlight kiya: aur USA se: secondary housing market ki sale, crude oil inventories, aur FOMC minutes ki nashar. Ye maloomat itni tez nahi hain, lekin baghair machli ke machli nahi hoti. To hum do tarah ke tajziya kar rahe hain: bunyadi aur technical. To aaj. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair pehle janoobi correction karega 1.0820 ke level tak, phir uttar ki taraf palat kar 1.0930 ki position tak.

EUR/USD ne budh ko active American session ke douran 1.0860 tak charhayi ki. Yeh izafa traders ki tawakkuat ko reflect karta hai ke central banks mukhtalif monetary stances adopt karenge, jahan ECB ziada aggressive tor par rates cut karega banisbat Fed ke. Yeh development pehle se hi market movements mein price ki gayi hai.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Financial circles mein forecasts suggest karte hain ke ECB is saal ke dauran interest rates ko 70 basis points tak cut kar sakta hai, aur yeh policy shift ke signals June meeting se hi aane shuru ho sakte hain. Guzishta mah, ECB policymakers ne ishara diya ke June mein rate cuts ka imkaan hai, aur projections dikhate hain ke Eurozone mein inflation agle saal tak dheere dheere 2% tak aa jayegi. Jabke June ke baad ke rate trajectory ke specifics abhi tak unclear hain, market consensus ke mutabiq June 6 ko rate cut ka imkaan hai.

ECB ke rate adjustment ki is barhti hui speculation, jo ke US Fed ke delays ke sath juxtaposed hai, Euro ke upward momentum par asar dal sakti hai. Yeh scenario EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate future mein headwinds create karne ki توقع hai, jo currency traders aur investors ke liye landscape ko shape karega.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.0860 tak pohanchne par, EUR/USD pair pehle ke nuqsanat se recover kar rahi hai, aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb hai jo ke 1.0789 par hai. Yeh noteworthy hai ke yeh pair daily timeframe par Symmetrical Triangle pattern ke downward-sloping boundary ke kareeb hai, jo December 28th ko 1.1140 ke near apne formation se originate hota hai. Yeh pattern market ke volatility ke consolidation ko signify karta hai, jahan upward-sloping border October 3rd low 1.0448 se emerge hota hai, aur pattern ke range ko encapsulate karta hai.

Symmetrical Triangle ka emergence market participants mein indecision ke period ko signify karta hai, jo ke 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillating hone se zahir hota hai. Aisi oscillations clear direction ki kami ko denote karti hain, jo ke current market sentiment ki uncertain terrain ko mirror karti hai.

Yeh technical outlook aur fundamentals ke combination se traders aur investors ko current market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karne ka mauka milta hai, jabke wo ECB aur Fed ke forthcoming decisions par bhi nazar rakhen.