یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

The bearish movement jo ke pichle kuch mahinon mein kaafi ahem tha, 1.0670 ke support level par rukawat ka samna kia aur aakhir mein 1.0870 tak barh gaya, jo ke mazboot buyers ke resistance ka nishan hai. Is wajah se ek rukawat ka level hai jo barhne ko rokta hai. Pichle haftay mein, movement ne musalsal tor par neeche ki taraf tezi se girawat mehsoos ki hai. Sellers ko bechne ke doran zyada rukawat ka samna nahi hua lagta. Halankeh yeh filhal qareeb 1.0780 ke qeemat par trade ho raha hai, aur umeed hai ke keemat kuch waqt tak mazeed barhne ka jari rahega. Agar EURUSD pair apni bullish movement ko behtar tareeqay se jari rakhna chahta hai, toh usko apni resistance level ko torhna hoga. Mid-May se aaj ke beech hui ahem keemat barhaw ke natijay mein, yeh wazeh hai ke buyers aane wale hafton mein keemat ko mazeed barhane ka dabao banaye rakhenge. Yeh dekhne layak hai ke chhote arse mein kya hota hai taki behtar samajh mil sake.
Yeh waqt na sirf bullish jazbat ko mazboot karta hai balke khareedari ke faaliyat ko bhi barhane ka moqa deta hai, 1.1300 ka lafz hawa mein hai. Intehai movin averages wakt ke mutayyan doran mein keemat ke trends ka saaf numayan namoona dete hain, jo ke overall market ki taraf isharaat faraham karte hain. Technical indicators ke zariye, traders behtar tor par tayyar hote hain ke mukhtalif maqamat par apne entry aur exit points ko optimize karen, jazbati currency markets mein. In tajziati tools ka milaap na sirf faisla kuniyat mein darusti ko barhata hai balke ek zyada mazboot trading strategy ke liye bhi madadgar hota hai. Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD currency pair ka 1.1320 tak rasta tafteesh aur istrateji entry points ke liye bohot muddabir tajzia hai. 1.1345 ke range ko torhna, sath hi us par qaim rehna, bullish harekaton ke liye manzil tay karta hai, jabke 1.1350 ke range ko torhne ka imkan mazeed upar ki taraf uthane ka dilchaspi aurta hai. RSI aur moving averages jaise technical indicators ka inteqal forex market ke peshkashon ki pechidaion mein lazim hai, traders ko faislay lene aur unki trading strategies ko optimize karne mein madad faraham karte hain.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

Aaj ki daily chart ki takhleeqi tajziyah se, aam tor par wazeh hai ke simple moving averages qeemat par upar ki taraf dabaav daal rahe hain. Halaanki, ye bullish jazba ko baaqi rehne wale bearish signals ke saath juxtakarta hai. Takniki tasveer saath mein shamil shakl mein darust hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, maujooda intraday trend ek downtrend ki taraf mael karta hai, jahan ek barri manzil 1.0765 par set ki gayi hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke dhiyan dein ke agar yeh level tor diya jata hai to currency pair ke liye nuqsaan ko barha sakta hai, jisey mazeed giravat ki rah mein aur 1.0730 aur aakhir mein 1.0700 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Iske baad, agar niche ki manzil jaari rahe to pair ko mazeed challenges ka samna kar sakte hain, jahan ek mumkin giravat 1.0665 tak ho sakti hai. Ye tajziyah market mein maujood bullish aur bearish taqatoun ke darmiyan nazuk tabeer ko zahir karta hai. Jabke moving averages ko upar ki harkat ke liye daawat dete hain, maujooda bearish jazba tasveer mein hoshiyari ka aghaz karta hai. Karobari logon ko khaas tor par pehchaanay gaye maqamat ko qaabil nigaah rakhte hue tajziyah ke maayene ko samajhne ke liye hamesha qareebi hifazati nikaat aur maqsadon ko mutasir karne wale key levels ka tehqiq karna chahiye.

Is tarah, hushyar khatra nigrani ke tariqay ko hidayat kiya jata hai, jahan karobari log mukhtalif mode ke ya taweil giravaton ke hawale se hoshyaar rehte hain. Market ke hissedarain stop-loss orders istemal karne aur qeemat ki harkat ko qareeb se dekhte hue maujooda ghair yaqeeni mein mukammal tor par guzara kar sakte hain. Aakhri mei, jab takneeki tajziyah aam tor par ek aaghaazati trend ki taraf ishara karta hai, bearish signals ke mojoodgi ek hoshiyari taur par hona zaroori hai. Key levels ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hue aur mazboot khatarnaak nigrani strategies ka istemal karke, traders apne aapko potential opportunities par faiyda uthane ke liye muntaqil kar sakte hain jabke is dakhliyat se hone wale nuqsaan ko kam kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Euro/dollar ka joda din ke aaghaz se hi niche ki taraf trade karraha hai. 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, joda descending channel ke andar aage badhna jari rakhta hai. MACD indicator zyada kharidari ke ilaqe me tair raha hai, koi wazeh signal nahin de raha hai. MA Crossover Arrows indicator qimat me kami ka ishara kar raha hai. Lehaza, munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqa short jana hai. Is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh euro/dollar ka joda 1.0723 ki satah tak gir jayega, ise tod dega aur nuqsanat ko badha dega. Mutabadil taur par, European currency kamzori dobara shuru hone se pahle tezi se islah ke hisse ke taur par 1.0768 ki satah tak badh sakti hai.

اپریل 2 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل ہم نے ہلکی سی ملی جلی لیکن عام طور پر حوصلہ افزا امریکی رپورٹیں دیکھیں۔ ایس اینڈ پی یو ایس مینوفیکچرنگ پی ایم آئی مارچ میں 51.9 تھا، فروری میں 52.2 سے تھوڑا کم، لیکن اسی وقت، آئی ایس ایم مینوفیکچرنگ پی. ایم. آئی. 47.8 سے بڑھ کر 50.3 ہو گیا۔ نئے آرڈرز 49.2 سے بڑھ کر 51.4 ہو گئے، اور ایمپلائمنٹ انڈیکس 47.4 پر تھا، جو پچھلے مہینے 45.9 سے اوپر تھا۔ اس کے علاوہ، اٹلانٹا کے فیڈرل ریزرو بینک نے پہلی سہ ماہی کے لیے اپنی جی ڈی پی کی پیشن گوئی کو 2.3% سے بڑھا کر 2.8% کر دیا۔



اس کے نتیجے میں، ڈالر انڈیکس میں 0.48 فیصد اضافہ ہوا، جبکہ یورو میں 50 پِپس کی کمی واقع ہوئی۔ 1.0724 پر قریب ترین ہدف کی سطح تقریباً 10 پیپس دور ہے۔ اس کے نیچے کنسولیڈیشن قیمت کا اگلا ہدف 1.0632 (مئی 2023 کم) تک پہنچنے کی راہ ہموار کرتا ہے۔ ہم اس سطح سے اصلاح کی توقع کرتے ہیں، کیونکہ مارلن آسکیلیٹر زیادہ فروخت شدہ علاقے تک پہنچ جائے گا۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے گر رہی ہے، جس میں مارلن آسیلیٹر مضبوط بیئرش پوزیشن میں ہے، جس سے اصلاحی تبدیلی کے کوئی آثار نہیں ہیں۔ ہم 1.0724 کی سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے قیمت کے مستحکم ہونے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD




EUR/USD pair ke powerful movements ka waqt aya hai, jahan aham resistance levels 1.0806 aur 1.0865 behad ahem hain. Traders ke liye sabar aur durusti ka istemal zaroori hai taake yeh muhim maqami marhala tay karein. Is stage par li gayi faisla agle trade ke rukh par gehra asar dal sakta hai. Halankeh pair ko is resistance level se guzarne ka potential hai aur 1.9007 ki taraf unchaiein choone ka potential hai, magar yeh nateeja mukhtalif factors par depend karta hai jese market ki halat aur prices ka reaction, khaas taur par north ki mukhtalif maqasid ke hawale se, khas tor par intelligence developments ke context mein. Marketers ko in variables par nazr rakhni chahiye taake woh inform decision lain.

Dosri taraf, agar price 1.0696 ke qareeb support level par hai, toh naya scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh ek consolidation period shuru ho is level ke neeche, pehle se niche utaar chal ko dobara shuru hone se pehle. Yeh pattern price ko moqoof hone mein taqat hasil karne deta hai integration phase mein pehle se tayyar hote hue ki woh dobara neeche utaar chal ke liye jari rakhe. Isi tarah, agar price 1.0657 ke qareeb support level par hai, toh ek aur mumkin scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke yeh ek mukhtalif consolidation period shuru ho is level ke neeche, pehle se niche utaar chal ko dobara shuru hone se pehle. Traders ko chaukanna rahna chahiye aur market developments aur price action ke trends ke jawab mein apne trading strategies ko tabdeel karna chahiye.

Akhri mein, EUR/USD pair ki mojooda movement traders ke liye stable aur dynamic trading environment pesh kar rahi hai. Resistance aur critical support ke level ko tajziya karke, market ki halat ke baray mein maloomat hasil karke, aur apne approach ko adjust karke, traders ko faisle lene ki azadi hai taake woh munasib aur moqaatdar faislay kar sakein signals ke adhaar par.

Budh ke din EUR/USD mein "hairat angez" rawayyat dekhi gayi. Din ke urooj se zameen tak ka fasla sirf 29 pips tha. Magar jaisa ke hum pehle hi aapko taqeed kar chuke the, is haftay mein rawayyat kafi had tak kam honay ka tajwez tha, peechlay haftay mein mazboot bunyadi pechida haalaat ke mukable mein. Aur yeh haqeeqat ban gayi. Hatta ke maamoolan, karobaari reports jo kabhi kabhi traders ke liye ahmiyat rakhti hain, unka koi asar nahi hua kyunke sab data darusti se ahmiyat ke pechay reh gaya tha. Aur kisi surat mein, agar market practically khamosh hai, toh phir farq kya padta hai ke unka koi asar ho ya na ho?

Budh ke din, macroeconomic background aam taur par ghayab tha aur qeemat trend line ke neeche hi rahi, jisse ek mustaqil downtrend darust hota hai. Hum yakin rakhte hain ke euro girawat jaari rakhega, lekin naye traders khud hi is harkat ke haalat ko dekh sakte hain: 3-4 dinon tak kam rawayyat aur kabhi kabhi kheenchawat dar trading moawinat. Ek bechnay ka signal 5-minute time frame par utpann hua. Kisi waqt yooropee session ke doran, qeemat 1.0838 ke level se takra kar, lagbhag 20 pips tak gir saki. Muamla band karne ka koi signal nahi tha, is liye ise sham ke qareeb manmohor kahin bhi bandhaya ja sakta tha. Is se 10-15 pips ka munafa hasil hua. Kuch na hona, kuch to hona.

Aaj ke liye support takreeban 1.0800 par darust hai, main sochta hoon ke agle hafte mein hum is par dobara lautenge, magar abhi ek or izafa hone ki koshish ho sakti hai! Dakshini rukh ke sath aagay ke nishane lagbhag 1.0700 tak, main aala frames ka ghoor kar raha tha, mein dakshin ki baat kar raha hoon! Isliye, main sochta hoon ke agar vridhi hoti hai, to yeh dakshin ki trend mein koi shikast nahi hogi! Iske alawa, main khareedne ke volumes ko dekhta hoon jo bilkul shrink ho chuke hain, lagta hai ke ve aakhri baar uttar mein khatam karenge, aur seedha 1.0700 ke takarib ja kar dakshin ki taraf jayenge! Baad mein, agar 1.0700 ke qareeb bechne ke maamlah mein munafa milta hai, to shayad poori tarah se vridhi ho sake! Lekin abhi main sarasar common dakshin ki jaari rukh ka aage barhna hoon, sirf sawal yeh hai ke kab? Uttr mein izaafa hota hai, jisme rukawaton aur palatwariyon ke mumkinah ta'aqubat hain, lekin abhi main chand waqt ke liye uttar ki taraf rujhan karta hoon.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, euro ka daam 1.0835 tak girne ka silsila jaari raha, shuru mein support mila aur phir se uthne laga. Jab keemat 1.0926 ke darje tak barhi, toh phir se mazboot rukawat ka samna kiya aur age barhne mein naqam raha. Is natije mein, wapas gir gaya aur tezi se gira, 1.0837 ke pivot level ke neeche gir gaya. Isne peechle manzar ko dohraya nahi. Waqtan-fa-waqtan, keemat ka chart super-trending red zone mein hai, jo bechnay ka dabao zahir karta hai.

EUR/USD $1.0837 par kholne ke baad aaj $1.0850 tak 0.11% izafa hua. Pair ne ek intraday uchchamay par $1.0852 tak chhalaang lagaayi. Investors February ke shakhsiyat se mutaliq kharche ke data mein 0.3% ke izafa ka imtehaan lenge aur sab se qawi aur muta'assir central bank data. Federal Reserve interest rates mustaqbil ke trends ke bare mein zyada kahani sunaye ga. Aaj, market US mein durable goods ke orderon ke data ka chapne ka intezar kar raha hai. Yeh amoomi tor par US ki maeeshat ki kul performance ke bare mein aur natije mein EUR/USD currency pair ke dynamics ko mutasir karega.

Pair ab haftawaray ke neeche thodi kam keemat par trade kar raha hai. Mulkay takat ki asal support ilaqa keemat ko apni hadood ke andar rakhne mein nakam rahi aur toot gayi, jo keemat ke pasandida raasta mein tabdeeli ki alaamat hai, upri se neechay ke liye. Ab, is harkat ko tasdiq karne ke liye, hawala keemat ko 1.0837 ke darje ke neeche mazboot hona zaroori hai, jo abhi tak asal resistance zone ke simt hai. Is ilaqay se dobaara test aur baad mein bounce hone se doosre neechay ki manzil ke liye mauqa faraham karega jo 1.0694 aur 1.0627 ke darmiyan hai.

Maujooda situation se mukhalif chalao ek toote par resistance ke oopar se bahar nikalne aur 1.0926 ke u-turn level se bahar nikalne ke taur par ho ga. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

EUR/USD ki daily chart ne market dynamics ka tabadla zahir kiya hai. Haal hi ki keemat ki tafteesh mein taza tareen price action ne qabil-e-qadr tawajju ko bearish continuation ki taraf mudabbir banaya hai. Jabke bahri asrat, jaise ke America ke news events, ne market sentiment mein hissa daala hai, toh zaroori hai ke is nichey hue technical factors ko bhi tasleem kiya jaaye jo is neeche ki rukh ki bunyad rakhne mein madad faraham karte hain. Halat ki haqeeqat ke tajziye se pehle, market trends ko tashkeel denay mein daily cloud chart pattern ka ahem kirdar ko samajhna zaroori hai. Is ahem nishanay ka breach bearish momentum ko mazbooti se izafay ka ehem signal faraham karta hai. Mazeed, key support levels ka breach bearish outlook ko mazeed aehmiyat deta hai, EUR/USD pair mein sust downward movement ka imkan ki highlighted karke. Technical aspects ke paray mein, bunyadi taraqqiyat bhi market sentiment ko shakl denay mein apna kirdar ada karte hain. Jabke America ke news events ka asar note kiya gaya hai, toh ye asraat asal drivers ke bajaye catalysts hain. Balkay, ye technical indicators aur fundamental developments ke ittehad hai jo EUR/USD pair mein bearish continuation ka case ko mazbooti deta hai.

Baray market context ka tajziya karte hue, yeh zahir ho jata hai ke haal hi ki shift bearish sentiment ki taraf ek barray trend ka hissa hai. Market participants ne mustaqbil ke market direction ke insight ke liye ma'ashiyati data releases, central bank policies, aur saiyasi owaqiat ko qareebi nazar mein rakha hai. Is manzar-e-aam ke samne, mojooda focus bearish continuation par ek zyada sahmati ko darust karta hai traders aur investors mein. In developments ke potential asraat ka tajziya karte waqt, mukhtalif scenarios aur unke mutabiq outcomes ko ghor karna zaroori hai. Jabke bearish bias abhi zyadatar qaabu mein hai, market dynamics tabdeel hone ke buniyad par hain mojooda fundamentals aur bahri asraat ke mutabiq. Isliye, traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko changing market conditions ko mazbooti se samajhne ke liye mutabiq karna chahiye. Haal hi ki bearish continuation ki shift EUR/USD pair mein technical indicators aur fundamental developments ke ittehad ke zariye mazbooti hasil ki gayi hai. Jabke bahri factors, jaise ke America ke news events, ne market sentiment mein hissa daala hai, lekin ye factors ke ittehad hi unhe sust downward movement ke liye mazbooti deta hai. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur changing market dynamics ko effectively navigate karne ke liye apni strategies ko mutabiq karna chahiye.

Rozana Timeframe Ki Tafseel:

Hum euro/dollar jodi ke bazari halaat ka jaiza jaari rakhte hain. Hum chart D1 ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, jab chadhne wale keemat channel ko todi gayi, to major tarah tarah ke trading ke baad ek wide descending wedge bana, jisme do chadhte hue waves aur do girenge waves draw kiye gaye. Iske alawa, doosre girenge ke wave ko poori tarah se nahi bana gaya, aur jab hum is tajziyati post ko likh rahe hain, major 1.0742 ke level par trade ho raha hai. Abhi ke level se hum aage ki disha mein ja sakte hain 1.0670 ke level tak ya phir 1.0665 ke level tak, jo matlab hai ke abhi ke levels se hum lagbhag 100 points ka net munafa haasil karne ki umeed mein behtareen dhaanche mein shartein laga sakte hain. Magar is dauran, yeh ek din ka chart hai, jiska matlab hai ke hum abhi ke se aagey ko marammat ke chadhav bhi ja sakte hain, aur is maamle ko samajhne ke liye humein ek kam waqt ke frame ko dekhna hoga.

M30 Minutes Timeframe Ki Tafseel:

Upar, maine din ka chart ka maamla tajziya kiya, aur ab main half-hour chart ko kholna chahta hoon aur dekhna chahta hoon ke half-hour timeframe humein kya signals deta hai. 1.0865 ke level par naye mukhtalif ziada keemat ke banne ke baad, euro/dollar jodi dakshin ki taraf mudi aur phir ek pur-sakht downward price channel bana, jisme euro/dollar jodi lambi samay tak trade hui jab tak aaj pair ne channel ka nichla hadaf 1.0765 ke level par tor diya, uske baad euro/dollar jodi zyada aggressive taur par gira aur 1.0730 par pohanch gayi. Bears ko abhi tak is level ke neeche nahi aane diya gaya hai, lekin pehle maine ek giravat ka tajziya kiya tha taqreeban 1.0700 ke round price level tak aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh becho walon ke liye turki hadaf hoga.

EUR/USD ke liye, halat hal ab aisi hai ke keema ne pullback ka pehla lehar bana liya hai. Sawal yeh hai ke kya doosra aur mazeed leharain aayengi ya nahi. Aaj, EUR/USD ne 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke resistance level tak barhna hai, jo maine decline ko taayen karne ke liye plot kiya tha taake key level aur internal patterns ka location tay kiya ja sake. Pehle ka banne ka shart pehle se mojood hai, yeh hai 23.6% tak pohanchna. 9% tak rollback hone par, yeh ban jayega, lekin sawal yeh hai ke keema ka mukhtalif reh payega ya nahi aur minimum ko toorna padega ya nahi. Yeh option nahi nikalna chahiye, is liye aapko MA200 ka istemal signal ke tor par karna chahiye, jab yeh tor jaye ga tab yeh saaf ho jayega ke EUR/USD aur bhi unchi jayegi. Main 61.8% tak ki izafat ka intezar kar raha hoon, lekin main kharidariyan kholna chahunga sirf moving average ko torne ke baad, lekin aam tor par, halaat ke mutabiq.





Yeh bilkul wahi hoga, aur GBP/USD EUR/USD ke peechay reh jayega girawat mein, kyunke wahan par izaafa ho raha hai. Main ne pehle iske bare mein likha tha, lekin yeh sirf guftagu ke liye tha. Aur EUR/USD ka jaari girawat peshani par hai. Is waqt, mujhe mehsoos ho raha hai ke market correction ne ek neeche ki taraf chalna shuru kiya hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke khilariyon ki taraf se dar hain ke rate neeche jaaye. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, agar hum phir se girawat ko mazboot mehsoos karte hain, to long positions ko ghaflat se band karna parega, jo ke barhne wale nuqsanat ka bais bana sakta hai. Mojooda marketi mahol mein yeh zahir nahi hota ke EUR/USD ki bechne ki arzi muddat ke liye barqarar izafat ko barhawa diya jaaye, aur is scenario mein girawat ke aur gehray hone ke ihtimam ka imkan bohot zyada hai. 1.0605 level shayad short covering ke liye mukhtasar ho ga kyunke is level se strong rukh ka tabadla sab se zyada mumkin hai.

H-1 Timeframe Analysis
EUR/USD ne euro sarkari intervention ka khatra bacha liya, jab ke doosre din 1.0789 ke upar band hui aur 1.0820 tak saalana uchai tak pahunch gayi. Currency pair ne seemit triangle ke upper limit ko tod diya hai, jisse lagta hai ki aage chalkar ki sthayi upar ki movement ki umeed hai, khaaskar jab US mein core PCE price index ke release ka intezar hai. Magar, jaise hi Thursday ko minor candlestick formation hui, ek upward trend ke peak par, saath hi conflicting technical indicators, market mein ek ehtiyaat ki bhawna ka sanket dete hain. Agar positive trend jaari rahega, to pair 1.0804 aur 1.0939 area ki taraf badh sakta hai, jo 2024 ki uchch seema aur vishaal ascending channel ke upper boundary ko jodta hai. Buyers phir 1.0929 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo pichle hafte ek resistance zone tha, aur phir 1.1048 area, jo ek aur bada rukav tha us saal. Yahan niche di gayi chart hai:



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Magar, agar triangle aur 20-day simple moving average 1.0700 par break hota hai, to pair ko 50-day simple moving average 1.0600 par support mil sakta hai. Agar yeh later ko paar karta hai, to aur decline ki raah ban sakti hai 1.0689 area ki taraf. Agar yeh latter downtrend ko rokne mein asafal hota hai, to sell-off 1.0595 par channel ke neeche border tak ja sakta hai. Seedhe shabdon mein, EUR/USD ne apna 2024 ka trend jaari rakha aur is hafte naye nadir tak pahuncha, lekin kharidne ki ruchi momentum kam hone ke saath ghat sakti hai. Magar, upside risks ko sabse zyada rahne ki ummeed hai jab tak ke price 1.0783 ke neeche nahi jaata. Yahan niche di gayi chart hai:

EUR/USD ki Takneeki Tahlil

EUR/USD pair naye darje tak pohanch gaya, 1.0729 ke mark ko par kar gaya, lekin momentum kamzor hai. Takneeki signals mishkook hain. Support 1.0729 par hai.

EUR/USD ne euro sarkari dakhilay ki khatra se bacha, bazar-e-sarafa mein, doosray roz 1.0789 ke upar band hone ke bawajood aur 1.0820 ke saalana bulandi tak pahunchne ke bawajood. Sikka joda seema-e-buland naqsha ko guzargaya lagta hai, jis se umeed hai ke barqarar upar ki harkat mein izafa hoga, khaaskar US mein core PCE price index ka ikhtitam ka intezaar karte hue. Magar, jumeraat ko buland trend ke choutay moom banane wala candlestick formation, sath hi mukhtalif takneeki indicators ke mukhalif honay ki nishandahi, is waqt bazar mein ahtiyaat ka mahol hai. Agar musbat trend jari rahe, to pair 1.0804 aur 1.0939 ilaqa ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo 2024 ke buland boundary aur wasee buland channel ko jorta hai. Khareedne walay phir 1.0929 ilaqa ko target kar sakte hain, jo pichle haftay ek resistance zone tha, aur phir 1.1048 ilaqa tha jo doosra bara rukawat tha us saal. Yahan chart hai:

Tasweer ke liye image par click karen

Magar, agar triangle aur 20-day simple moving average 1.0700 par torr jata hai, to pair 50-day simple moving average 1.0600 par support pa sakta hai. Uper hone par, ye akhri ki taraf mazeed kamiyon ka rasta saaf kar sakta hai. Agar ye akhri kamiyon ko rokne mein kamiyab nahi hota, to girawat shayad channel ke neeche ke border 1.0595 par chali jaye. Mukhtasaran, EUR/USD ne apni 2024 ke trend ko jari rakha aur is hafte naya low tak pohanch gaya, magar khareedne ki dilchaspi ghat sakati hai jab tak momentum kamzor hota hai. Magar, bulandi ke khatray abhi bhi sab se zyada tabaah rehtay hain jab tak keemat 1.0783 ke neeche nahi jaati. Yahan chart hai:

Tasweer ke liye image par click karen

Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) Currency Pair Technical Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe):

Hum tajziyaat aur hali harkat ka gahra mutalia karenge aur instrument ki movement ka tajziya karenge, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD indicators par mabni hai, jo munasib aur munafa bhara technical analysis karne mein madad karte hain. Manzil ko hasil karne ke baad, hum market se behtareen nikalne ka intekhab karenge, FIBO grid ka istemal karke nazdeek ki sudhar darajat par tawajju di jayegi, jo mojooda eham se hain (daily ya weekly) ke mutabiq lamba kiya gaya hai.

Sab se pehla cheez jo foran nazar aata hai wo hai ke mojoda waqt ke chart par pehla darja ka regreshan line (soniye dotted line), jo chuninda time frame (time-frame H4) par mojood sahi trend ki disha aur haalat ko dikhata hai, neeche ki taraf jhukta hua hai, jo ke is doraan instrument ki kam hui direction ki harkat ko darust karta hai aur bechnon ki hukoomat ki taqat ko zor se zahir karta hai. Barabar mein, qanuni channel (golgappey wali lakeerein) jo qareeb ki mustaqbil ki disha ka pesh ghaam karna ke liye istemal hoti hai, uska kafi noticeable neeche ki taraf ki jhukav hai. Ghair qanuni regreshan channel ne golden line ke linear channel ko upar se neeche se guzra hai aur quotes mein kami ko zahir karta hai.

Keemat ne laal resistance line ko paar kiya hai lekin 2-nd LevelResLine ke linear regreshan channel ka zyada say zyada qeemat (HIGH) 1.09806 tak pohanch gaya, jis ke baad is ne apna izaafa rukh kar diya aur baad mein mustaqil tor par girne laga. Instrument ab mojooda waqt mein 1.07895 ke keemat ke darjoo par trading kar raha hai. Sab se upar bayan kiye gaye sab kuchh ke buniyad par, main tawajjo deta hoon ke market price quotes wapas lautkar aur mazeed kami 2-nd LevelResLine (1.07632) channel line ke nichle aur FIRBO level 23.6% par mazid niche ki taraf move karenge, aur phir neeche jayenge golden average line LR ke linear channel 1.06960 par, jo FIBO level 0% ke sath milta hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators overbought area mein hain aur short-sell trade kholne ka acha mauqa dikhate hain.

Eurozone Manufacturing Data:

Euro ne Eurozone manufacturing data ke baad kuch temporary support paya. March ke final PMI reading 46.1 aayi, muntazir 45.7 se thori si zyada. Magar, yeh ab bhi 50 ke ahem level se neeche hai jo growth aur contraction ko alag karta hai. Yeh mukhaalif hai US PMI ke, jo haal hi mein do saalon se pehli baar 50 ke upar chadh gaya hai.

Impact of Easter Holidays and US Data:

Easter chhuttiyon ke baad, EUR/USD US data aur zyada hawkish Federal Reserve ki wajah se kamzor hua. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke tajziyati bayanat ne dollar ko taqat di, June mein interest rate cut ki umeedon ko kam kar diya.

European Central Bank's Stance:

European Central Bank (ECB) Eurozone mein slow growth aur kam inflation ki wajah se zyada dovish stance ki taraf ja rahi hai. Iss haftay mein aaye German inflation data ne March mein 2.2% ki darjaati hawa ko dikhaya, muntazirat se kuch kam aur June mein ECB rate cut ke chances ko mazeed barha diya.

EUR/USD Trend Analysis:

EUR/USD abhi bhi ek short-term downtrend mein qayam hai jo ke March ke shuru mein shuru hua tha. Currency pair abhi aik ahem support level ke qareeb pohanch raha hai jo 1.0694 ke qareeb hai, yeh saal ke ibteda se sab se kamzor maqam hai.

Technical Indicators:

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke mutabiq, Euro ab oversold hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke sellers thakan ke qareeb ho sakte hain aur apni short positions ko wapas le sakte hain. Agar RSI indicator oversold zone se bahar nikalta hai (30 ke upar), to yeh traders ke liye short positions band karne aur mukhtalif long positions kholne ka ishaara hoga.

Potential Price Targets:

February ki kam aur year-to-date ki kam 1.0694 par ahem support faraham karne wale hain, aur yeh mukhtalif level ko torne ki pehli koshish par bounce ho sakta hai. Magar, is level ke neeche ka ek faisla karne wala break doosre wave ki selling ko trigger kar sakta hai, jismein agla target 1.0650 ke neeche hosakta hai.

EUR/USD barhti hui trend ke mutabiq short ja rahi thi, halankeh shuru mein aik long movement ka intezar tha, lekin yahan par bailon ka nakami hui, jo unke liye mozu nahi tha. Magar, maine ek khaas trend ya phir jo ho raha hai ke saath aik correlation ka khayal rakha. Khaaskar, aik aala XAU/USD gold ke uthne se sab trading instruments par mazboot dabaav dala ja raha hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke agar gold dollar ke khilaf barh raha hai, to phir ye EUR/USD, GBP/USD ko mazboot kyun nahi kar raha hai? Lagta hai ke gold khud tamaam currency pairs par bedari daba raha hai, ye woh nateeja hai jo nikala ja sakta hai. Abhi, XAU/USD aik trading range mein dakhil ho raha hai, afzal taur par ye situation kisi na kisi had tak sab currencies ko mazboot karna chahiye. Aur beshak, mantaki, agar keemat gold mein mazeed barhti rahegi, to euro aur doosri currencies girte rahengi.

EUR/USD

[DAILY TIMEFRAME]


Halat yeh the ke keemat 1.07963 daily level ke neeche girne ka samna kar rahi thi, keemat wazeh taur par peechay level ke andar wapas jana chahti thi, magar khareedne wale ke iradon ka samna na hone ke bawajood keemat short hui. Phir isne 1.07580 daily level ke neeche toot gaya.
Is waqt, keemat girne se lambi position mein reversal movement bana rahi hai, keemat wazeh taur par pehle tootay hue level 1.07580 ke upar wapas lagti hai. Magar, aam tor par har reversal candle ko lagta hai ke girne wale candle ke high tak wapas jana chahiye.
Ye bullish candle thori zyada se zyada bearish candle ko cover kar sakti hai, is liye keemat lambi movement jari rakhne ki koshish kar sakti hai.

[4-HOUR TIMEFRAME]


Keemat pehle hi daily level 1.07580 ke upar hai, bas thora sa mushkil mein hai aur lambi raste par jaari rakhna hai. Beshak, agar keemat bearish trend mein hai, to ek neeche ki movement ke baad keemat uttar ki taraf test karna chahegi aur trend channel ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanchegi.
Magar, meri rai hai ke keemat kis taraf move karna chahti hai EUR/USD mein, is ka khaas point yeh nahi hai, abhi keemat lambi movement karna chahti hai, jaise ke tezi se gir gayi, kuch daily levels ko toor kar. Magar EUR/USD ke price movement vector par bunyadi asar kis taraf Gold chal raha hai, yeh hoga. Agar Gold barhte ja raha hai, to EUR/USD ke mozu hone ke bawajood, woh mazeed girne ke liye jari rahega.