Eurusd forum

: EUR/USD Pair: Ma’ashi Indicators aur Siyasi Dabawat Ke Darmiyan Safar

EUR/USD pairing ab ek ahem moor par hai, khaaskar ma’ashi indicators aur siyasi dabawat ke halchalat ke darmiyan. Mangal ki subah Asian markets mein EUR/USD ka numaya kami dekha gaya, jo February ke kamzor paimaano ko imtehaan dene ke liye ghira, lekin phir ek mazboot phirao ke saath 1.0800 ke qareeb wapis pohanch gaya.

PMI Figures aur Siyasi Asarat ka Tajziya:
Pan-European Composite PMI mein thori izafa ka ishaara mila, jabkeh Manufacturing mein kami dekhi gayi. Isi tarah, US PMI figures ne ek mukhtalif tasveer paish ki, jo EUR/USD pair ke raaste ke hawale se shaq aur idraak ko barha diya. Iske ilawa, Middle East mein qareeb aane wale siyasi dabawat, sath hi global central banks ke zyada arsay tak buland interest rates ki umeedain, market dynamics mein mazeed complexity ka sabab banti hain.

Takneeki Tajziya aur Ahem Levels Ki Nigah:
Takneeki tajziya qeemat ke maamle mein ahem insight faraham karta hai. Traders 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, jo is level ke oopar barqarar guzarish ko ek bullish momentum ka ishara samjha jata hai. Magar, bina maqool US macro data ke, market siyasi waqeon aur global monetary policy ke tabadlo ke hawale se naram bani rehti hai.

Ikhtitam:
Ikhtitam mein, EUR/USD pair ma’ashi indicators aur siyasi dabawat ke saath bana hua manzar ko tajziya kar raha hai. Jabke traders PMI figures ka tajziya karte hain aur siyasi dabawat ko nigaah mein rakhte hain, market mazeed halchalon ke liye tayar hai. Jabke takneeki tajziya rehnumai faraham karta hai, to market ke siyasi waqeon ke hawale se chaukasi aur dastiyabi ki zaroorat ko aham banata hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

Preparing for trade execution, it is important to carefully utilize the available entry levels. Apart from that, it is also necessary to carefully consider the opportunities that exist in the market. It appears that the market may be preparing for a decline or sell-off, with the focus on the entry level at 1.0832 and the target beyond the bottom for the short term. However, for long-term purposes, the strategy still refers to the 4-hour time frame with the entry level at 1.0791, which is likely to remain relevant in a clearer situation. By considering these positions thoroughly, we can utilize existing signals to support trading decisions over the longer term, while remaining focused on ongoing downtrends and selling. Nevertheless, it is worth remembering that the Stochastic oscillator is showing the potential for further declines after a fairly long period of being in the overbought zone. Therefore, constant vigilance and analysis are key in dealing with ever-changing market dynamics.

It seems that there is now an indication to start a downward movement after the previous two days marked a decline and an attempt to break out of the 13, 18 and 28 EMA zones, with the aim of reaching the lower outer Bollinger band. The potential of this position may be exploited to obtain trend-following trading opportunities, where it may be necessary to wait a day or two in order to take advantage of the entry level at 1.0832 as the start of the journey, with a target at the level 1.0791 in the lower outer Bollinger band. Attention to the currently available support is the key to taking the next step considering the signs of a possible change in the crossing down position in the EMA 13, 18 and 28 zones. Meanwhile, the Stochastic oscillator indicator still provides an opportunity for further declines after holding quite high at strong overbought zone. Thus, strategy and careful observation are crucial in responding to current market dynamics.

EUR-USD Pair Ka Tareekhi Taqseem:
Har kisi ko bazaar se nikaalna mumkin nahi hai, lekin yeh zaroori nahi hai. Zaroori hai ke kam az kam kuch log paisa kamaen, warna sab bazaar se nikal jaayen ge aur phir koi bhi fuel na ho ga. Is liye ab mujhe lagta hai ke woh sellers ko paisa kamane ka mauqa den ge, lekin buyers ko bazaar se nikaal den ge. Ab, 1.0840 ke darmiyani support ko toorna ke baad, thora sa pullback ho gaya hai. Main samajhta hoon ke ab pehle se toot chuke support level 1.0867 ko neeche se oopar test karna mumkin hai.

Isi doran, main yeh bhi nahi keh raha hoon ke aaj woh thora sa oopar tak ja sakte hain jo slope trend line hai, jo ke bhi toot gayi thi. Yani, classic breakout ke sath ek rollback ka peechay chalna. Is liye agar aaj woh pullback 1.0867 ya behtar, thora sa oopar tak de to main sales par nazar jamaoonga jis ka nishana 1.0795 par hoga. Beshak, hum aaj sales ka maqsaad nahi pohanchen ge, lekin kal ke liye yeh kaafi mumkin hai. Magar main doosra ikhtiyaar bhi nahi khatam karta. Raat ko Americans jari raheinge ki janoobi taraf 1.0795 ke support ke qareeb jaein.

Is liye buyers numainda ho jaenge aur EUR-USD pair ko khichenge. Yeh kya taluq hai ke FED tak bhi aik mukammal neeche ki janib dhamaka hone wala hai jis ke saath 1.0795 ka toorna bhi hoga. Har surat mein, behtar hoga ke aik darmiyani mudium-term kharidaron ki talash 12-13 figure mein ki jaye jo aap ke baare mein likh rahe hain, sirf tab jab buyers 1.0795 ke level se guzar jaenge. Unhein bahar nikala jae ga aur aap unhein wahan dekh sakte hain.

EURUSD ka maazi taareekh dikhata hai ke yeh abhi bhi ek downtrend mein hai. Aaj ke trading din ke doran qeemat ghat rahi rahi hai, jo ke ek downtrend ka classic technical indicator hai. Qeemat din ki shuruwat mein 1.087 ke qareeb thi aur din ke ikhtitam tak dhire dhire 1.086 tak gir gayi hai.
Support aur Resistance

Is chart par aik mumkinah support level 1.08600 ke ird gird hai. Yeh is liye hai ke qeemat ne aaj is level ke aas paas do dafa buyers ko paaya hai, jo ki neechay lambay dande ke saath do candles ke zariye dikhaya gaya hai. Support levels wo jagah hoti hain jahan buyers bazaar mein dakhil ho sakte hain, jis se qeemat girna ya mud marh karne ki sambhavna hoti hai.

Magar chand mukhtalif upward harkaatain qeemat ko buland karne ke liye kaafi taqatwar nahi thin. Yeh ek nishaan ho sakta hai ke sellers ab bhi control mein hain.

Is chart par koi wazeh resistance level nahi hai. Resistance un qeemat ke areas hote hain jahan sellers bazaar mein dakhil ho sakte hain, jis se qeemat neeche ja sakti hai.

Indicators

Is chart mein koi technical indicators shamil nahi hain. Magar forex tajziya ke liye istemal hone wale kuch aam indicators mein shaamil hain:
Moving averages, jo ke overall trend aur potential support aur resistance levels ko pehchanna mein madadgar ho sakte hain.
RSI, jo ke ek momentum indicator hai aur jo bata sakta hai ke kya currency pair overbought ya oversold ho sakta hai.

Context

Forex chart ka tajziya karte waqt bara context ko ghor karna ahem hai. Yeh maamlaat shamil ho sakte hain jaise ke:
Maeeshati khabar: Haal hi mein maeeshati khabron ka asar currency ki qeematon par ho sakta hai. Masalan, agar Eurozone ke liye musbat maeeshati data jaari kiya jata hai, toh yeh euro ko US dollar ke muqable mein mazboot kar sakta hai.
Saansani waqiyat: Saansani waqiyat bhi forex markets par asar daal sakte hain. Masalan, agar kisi mulk mein siyasi be sukooni ho, toh is ka currency ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Is chart ke khaas context ke bina, yeh mushkil hai kehna ke qeemat ke amal ko kis factors ne drive kiya hai.

Conclusion

EURUSD abhi bhi March 19, 2024 ke hourly chart par ek downtrend mein hai. 1.08600 ke aas paas aik potential support level hai, lekin bina kisi technical indicators ke ya bara context ke ilm ke, qeemat ke mustaqbil ki manzil ke bare mein koi mazboot tajwez dena mushkil hai.

"Aaj main public ke saath trading planning ke baare mein share karunga, is Eurusd pair ke mutalliq. Eurusd pair ke movement ko le kar aaj subah tak ke halat mein qeemat ki raftar mein izafa dekhne ko milta hai jo ke upar ki taraf sahih hone lagti hai. Is baat ko dekhte hue ke kal ki nayi kam qeemat se qeemat uthne lagi hai. Magar, Eurusd market abhi trend mein neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai, meri raye mein, agle dino mein qeemat girne ka silsila jaari rahega aur aaj trading ke liye thodi si mazeed munafa haasil karne ke liye bechnay ka hukum bohot acha hai." "Technically dekha jaye to, maine upar di gayi tasweer mein shaamil RSI 14 indicator ka istemal kiya hai. Is indicator ke mutabiq, ab value medium value yani 50% se 54% tak break out kar sakti hai, janab aur janabzaadi. Ye ishara deta hai ke lambi arsay tak neeche ki taraf jaane ke baad aik ooper ki taraf sudhaar bhi aaya hai, lekin meri raaye mein, agar value 50% ke ooper reh nahi sakti, toh aaj neeche ki taraf trend jaari rehne ka khatra hai."





"Mera dhyan is qeemat ki harkaton ki taraf jata hai jo is bearish dabao ko darust karti hai. Is dauran, maine dekha ke currency pair ne aik ahem support level ka tootna dekha, jo kareeb 1.0868 tha. Ye tootna mere liye ye tasdeeq karne wala tha ke bearish trend mazid mazboot ho raha hai. Qeemat ne neeche ki taraf chalna jaari rakha jab tak ke woh kareeban 1.0836 tak na pohanch gayi. Ye kami tasdeeq karti hai ke market mein bechnay walon ki dabdabaai ho rahi hai." Lekin, market hamesha ek hi raaste mein seedha nahi chalti. Market mein sudhaar bhi hota hai. Kal, maine qeemat ne apni kam tar dar tak pohanchne ke baad aik upar ki taraf sudhaar ki koshish dekhi. Ye sudhaar mujhe behtar qeemat par bechnay ke mauqay talash karne ka imkan de sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke ye sudhaar mukhtalif wajahon ki wajah se temporary bhi ho sakta hai, khas tor par agar asliyat ke factors ya market ki jazbaat aur mazeed bearish harkat ko support karte hain. Abhi, qeemat aik ilaaqe mein hai jo pehle ek support level tha aur jis par kamiyabi se ghusaft kiya gaya tha. Ye tasawwur aksar "role shifting" ke tor par jaana jaata hai, jahan ek tootay hue support level phir se potenshial resistance ban jaata hai. Is mamle mein, pehle ke support level jo kareeban 1.0868 tha, qeemat ke uchhalne ki koshishon ke liye aik ahem rukh ban sakta hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ab 10.8608 par hai, ek halki dharayil mein ja raha hai, jahan darmiyanay spetrum mein ahem support thresholds aamad ho rahi hain. Traders iski movement ko 1.0681 se lekar 1.0873 tak ke range mein nazdeek se dekh rahe hain, khaas tawajjo 1.0711 par ahem support par di ja rahi hai, jo Fibonacci retracement level ke sath milta hai. Is moqa ko bohot ahmiyat hasil hai jab market observers dekh rahe hain ke pair is zone se kya rebound karta hai jo potential buying interest ka area hai. 1.0711 ka level Fibonacci retracement levels ke sath mil kar ahmiyat rakhta hai aur yeh price dynamics ko influence karne wala pivotal juncture hai. Central bank interest rate decisions ke qareebi mojoodgi market dynamics ko aur bhi mushkil bana deti hai. Is mahol mein, technical analysis ek qadarmand tool ke tor par samne aata hai, jo potential price movements mein insights offer karta hai. Traders mukhtalif indicators aur chart patterns ko scrutiny karte hain taake market sentiment ka andaza lagaya ja sake aur potential trading opportunities ko identify kiya ja sake. EUR/USD ka rawayya pehchanay gaye support levels ke qareeb market participants ke liye ek markazi point hai, jo kisi bhi u-turn ya current trend ka continuation ko keenly observe karte hain.



Is ke ilawa, economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies ke intricate interplay mein, traders market sentiment ko sway karne wale kisi bhi catalysts ke liye nigrani rakhte hain. Global economic recovery, inflationary pressures, aur geopolitical tensions ke uncertainties investors ke darmiyan mojood cautiousness mein izafa karte hain. Key levels jo dekhne ke liye hain wo sirf pehlay zikar kiye gaye support levels nahi, balkay resistance levels bhi hain jo agar pair apni downward trajectory ko reverse karta hai to kam mein aayeinge. 1.0873 par resistance bullish momentum ke liye ek ahem rukawat hai, jabke is level ko paar karna ek potential upward movement ka signal ho sakta hai higher price targets ke taraf. Ikhtisar mein, EUR/USD currency pair ab critical support levels se guzar raha hai, jahan market participants complex macroeconomic factors ke background mein iski behavior ko closely observe kar rahe hain.

Fed ke mutalliq aam tor par aik hi soch hai. Kal aur aaj ki harkat dekhte hue, ye keemat ko neechay le jane ka amal kam kar deta hai, jis se yeh kam mumkin hai ke EURUSD pair Fed par nakaam ho jaye ga, kyun ke mujhe aik shandar neechay ki ulta mutaalam harkat par itna bharosa nahi hai kyunkay yeh kuch naya nahi keh paegi, magar pichle din, halat ke karwi kisi jawabat ke kareeb kuch nahi hue, isliye kal bhi wahi hoga, to phir kyun kisi bara serious cheez ka intezar karein? Beshak, woh ek lazeez neechay ki impulse laga sakte hain, magar sawal ye hai ke kya yeh woh mukhya hoga. Isliye, kal woh sirf pair ko dono raahon mein hilaa sakte hain aur us par ruk jayenge. Ye meri soch hai, khaaskar ab keemat daily



chart ke support ke qareeb hai, jahan se ek rebound aur izaafa ya toot aur girawat ho sakti hai. Amooman, mujhe abhi tak yeh nahi samajh aaya hai ke yeh kahan jaega. Aaj, mein ne sirf mukhya pairs mein ooper ki rebound pakdi, aur phir mein aaj ke kamtar se neeche ki taraf intezar kar raha hoon. Mujhe iski tootne ke baare mein itna yaqeen nahi hai; ye zyada mumkin hai ke na ho. Magar karobar channel ka rukh hai. Agar koi girawat ke liye koi wajah na ho aur chart barhna shuru ho, to hum ek taraqqi shurwat ke moqa par 1.0852 ke level par mukhaatib karne ki umeed karte hain. Is tarah ke dynamics ke saath, market ko mukaabla karne ka mauqa milega, jo ke mutawaqqa kamzori se bull trend mein tabdeeli ka saabit hoga, jo ke aise faaliyat ke saath overall trend mein tabdeeli ka sabab banega.

EUR/USD
Aaj, jodi me qadre izafa hua aur 4-ghante ke chart par utarte hue channel ke andar karobar jari rakhi. MACD indicator sifar se niche mandla raha hai, koi wazeh signal nahin de raha hai. MA niche ke rujhan ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Is silsile me jari bikwali ka silsila jari rah sakta hai. Tashih ke bad euro me kami ka imkan hai. Is pas manzar me, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh jodi 1.0831 tak pahunch jayegi. Kal, qimat is satah se wapas aane me kamyab rahi. Ek bat jab yah hadd toot jati hai to euro mumkena taur par niche gir jayega. Dusri taraf, agar ham jode me ooper ki harkat dekhte hain to, koi bhi 1.0933 se ooper long positions khol sakta hai.

Chart par, jaisa keh mujhe ummid thi, Americi dollar index ne chauthi wave (4) ko mansukh kar diya hai. Qimat (1) me (C) ya wave (3) ki panchwin wave jari rahne ka imkan hai. Halankeh, index bahut zyada badh gaya aur chauthe wave ke pullback me nakam raha. Lehaza, teesre wave ke andar index me ooper ki taraf raftar jari rahne ya wave (C) ke andar islah shuru hone ka imkan hai. (A) wave ki bulandi hasil ki jayegi aur euro mumkena taur par dusri wave ko mukammal kar lega. Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh index (C) ki teesri aur panchwin wave ko nayi bulandiyon par pahunch jayega aur sherah ke faisle ke ailan ke bad ulat jayega.

EUR/USD

Mangal ko, EUR/USD ne ek neeche ki raftar ko barqarar rakha magar buhat kam darusti aur buhat kam neeche ki taraf harkat dikhayi. Hum ne stable aur confident neeche ki raftar ka imkaan zikar kiya tha. Lekin haqeeqat mein, euro rozana average 20 pips ki neeche ki taraf gir raha hai. Agar kam az kam 60 pips ka darusti dikhata, toh aise harkatein khaas tor par dilchasp hoti. Magar haqeeqat mein kya hai? Jodi ne pehle 4 pips giray, phir 30 pips chadha. Agar signal mukhalif pehchane gaye hote, toh munafa kamana mushkil hota. Yaad rakhen ke aik signal ko sirf 5 pips ki sahiyat se pehchan lena na-mumkin hai. Is tarah, 40 pips ki harkat mein se kareeb 20 pips ko trade mein shamil hone aur nikaalne ke liye kam karna hoga, agar signal mukarar kiye gaye hote. Maslan, keemat kabhi bhi ahem levels ya lines ke qareeb nahi aayi theen.

Eu aur US mein macroeconomic background mojood tha, magar reports sab se ahem nahi theen. ZEW Institute ke economic sentiment indices tajwez se behtar nikle, lekin euro ko umeedon ka sahara nahi mila. US ke reports construction aur housing starts par bhi zyada behtar nikle, lekin ye kisi market reaction ko bhi paida nahi kiya. Is liye traders ne macroeconomics par tawajjo nahi di.

Aaj raat, FOMC meeting ke natije US mein announce kiye jayenge, aur shayad isi wajah se market thori pareshan hai. Magar uski pareshani kaafi kamzor harkaton ki wajah se mukhfi lagti hai. 1 ghante ki chart par, EUR/USD lambi intezar kiye gaye neeche ki raftar ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jo keemat ko door tak le ja sakta hai. Keemat ne Senkou Span B line ko tor diya hai, jis ka matlab hai ke hum umeed kar sakte hain ke jodi mazeed giray gi. Neeche ki trendline bhi farokhton ko support karti hai. Kam darusti ke bawajood, jodi ne kal neeche ki raftar dikhayi, jo ke dollar bhi barh sakta tha. Hum umeed karte hain ke Federal Reserve kal dollar ko na-pasandeeda sorprises na de.

20 March ko, hum trading ke liye darusti ki ye levels highlight karte hain: 1.0530, 1.0581, 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0823, 1.0889, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, sath hi Senkou Span B line (1.0888) aur Kijun-sen (1.0899). Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran move ho sakti hain, is liye trading signals pehchanne mein is ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Bhoolna na ke agar keemat mukhlif disha mein 15 pips tak chali gayi hai to breakeven ke liye Stop Loss set kar den. Ye apko potential nuqsanat se bachayega agar signal jhootha nikla.

Budh ko, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde bolen gi, aur FOMC meeting din ka highlight hoga. Fed Chair Jerome Powell bolen ge, aur agle do saalon mein interest rate tabdeel hone ke mutaliq updated forecasts diye jayenge. Ye tamam maloomat ahem hain, is liye hum umeed karte hain ke darusti pehle hafton ki nisbat zyada hogi. Magar phir bhi, hum kisi zyada taqatwar harkat ka intezar nahi karte.

مارچ 20 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

یورو نے فیڈرل ریزرو کے مارچ کے اجلاس میں مندی کی پوزیشن میں رابطہ کیا۔ تاہم، کل خطرے میں بھی دلچسپی تھی: ایس. اینڈ. پی. 500 میں 0.56% اضافہ ہوا، اور تیل کی قیمتوں میں 0.35% اضافہ ہوا۔ لیکن ایک ہی وقت میں، فیڈرل فنڈز کی شرح شرح میں کمی کی رفتار کے لیے فیڈ کے اپنے تخمینوں سے مماثل ہے – مارکیٹ اور فیڈ دونوں ہی شرح میں 3 کٹوتیوں کو فرض کر رہے ہیں۔ یہاں تک کہ صرف دو شرحوں میں کمی کا مشورہ دیا گیا ہے۔ اگر ہم یورو میں اضافے کا اندازہ لگانا چاہتے ہیں، تو اسے روکنے کے لیے کچھ نہیں ہے - تمام ہفتہ وار کمی روزانہ چارٹ پر بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر واقع ہوئی، اور مارلن آسکیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں داخل ہونے میں ناکام رہا۔ اس صورت حال میں، ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے کی نقل و حرکت کو کم بنیاد سے اوپر کی طرف حرکت کی تیاری کے طور پر تعبیر کیا جا سکتا ہے۔



صورتحال غیر جانبدار ہے؛ ایسا لگتا ہے کہ ریچھوں نے وہ سب کچھ کر دیا ہے جو وہ کر سکتے تھے۔ اگر یہ آج کی فیڈ میٹنگ کے لیے نہ ہوتی، تو ممکنہ طور پر قیمت میں مزید 2-3 دن مکمل طور پر تکنیکی پوزیشنوں سے ایک طرف جانے میں صرف ہوتے، جس کے بعد یہ 1.0796 سے نیچے گرتی رہے گی۔ شاید پہیلی وہیں ہے؟ کیونکہ اگر قیمت 1.0905 سے اوپر والے دن بند نہیں ہوتی ہے، تو جمعرات اور جمعہ کو کالی موم بتیاں نظر آ سکتی ہیں۔ اس کے لیے، فیڈ کو اپنے "ڈاٹ پلاٹس" میں موجودہ سال کے لیے صرف 3 شرحوں میں کمی کو برقرار رکھنے اور عام طور پر اعتدال پسند جارحانہ لہجہ برقرار رکھنے کی ضرورت ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے کنورجنس بنایا ہے، جو، اگر قیمت دونوں اسکیلوں پر اشارے کی لکیروں سے نیچے جاتی ہے، تو یہ ایک طرف حرکت کی علامت ہے۔ ہمیں صرف فیڈ میٹنگ کے نتائج کا انتظار کرنا ہے۔ آج کی تجارتی کارروائیوں میں سے کوئی بھی خاص خطرے سے وابستہ ہے۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

"EURUSD market ab tak Wednesday sham tak flat hai, keemat sirf thori si pips hi hil chuki hai aur aaj ki raat ki keemat ab bhi support area mein hai. Aaj dopahar ek bearish movement dekhi gayi lekin woh support line ko 1.0841 par toorna nahi kar saki. Keemat phir se barh gayi hai jab support line ko toorna nakam ho gaya. Lekin bullishness abhi bhi 1.0873 ki resistance line ke neeche qaid hai.

Aglay EURUSD ka movement ka andaza, agar aap sirf keemat dekhte hain jo ab tak flat hai, toh yeh ek aur moqa hai, lekin agar aap market ka dabao dekhte hain jo abhi bhi bearish hai aur sellers movement ko dominate kar rahe hain, toh EURUSD ka agla movement bhi bearish hone ki sambhavna hai.

Keemat jo MA 50 line ke neeche hai aur keemat ne sabse qareebi support ko toorna safal raha hai, yeh bhi Eurusd ka mazeed neeche jane ka saath de raha hai. Lekin kyunke market abhi bhi flat hai, bechne ke dakhilay ke liye, behtar hai agar hum pehle 1.0841 ki support line ko toorna ka intezaar karein aur agle eurusd movement mein keemat ko agar keemat uthata hai aur 1.0873 ki resistance line ko toorta hai toh hum bhi kharidne ke mauqe talash sakte hain."



"Upar di gayi tajweez ke mutabiq, agle EURUSD ke movement ka andaza ab bhi bearish hone ki umeed hai, lekin kyunki market abhi bhi sideways hai, hume pehle price ko sideway area se bahar nikalne ka intezaar karna chahiye ek position enter karne ke liye. Sell entry ke liye price ka support line 1.0841 ko toorna ka intezaar karein aur buy entry ke liye price ka resistance line 1.0873 ko toorna ka intezaar karein.

H4 Timeframe Analysis:

Asalam-o-Alaikum. Pichle haftay, EURUSD ne kisi mazeed dabaav ka samna kiya, jaisa ke rozana ke time frame mein dekha gaya, jis se keemat 1.0771 tak gir gayi. Hafta ek nazar keemati bearish moom banaya, ek daily bearish hammer pattern ke mutabiq. Mojooda band rate EURUSD ke liye 1.0801 hai, jo rozana ke chart par ek maujoda bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Halat ke mutabiq, EURUSD ko ek bearish trend ka samna hai. Agar aane wale haftay mein 1.0890 ke support level ko tor diya jata hai, to mazeed neeche ki harkat mumkin hai, shayad 1.0760 ya phir 1.0660 tak pohanch jaye. Chal rahi dabao ki wajah US dollar ki taqat hai; lekin agar US dollar kamzor hota hai, to EURUSD ko taqat hasil karne aur ooper jana ka mawaid mojood hai.

EURUSD ke liye rukawat ab 1.0860 par note ki gayi hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels aur US dollar ki taqat ke production ke baray mein rozana mareezana faislay ke liye market ke taza halat ka tafteesh karna chahiye.

Rozana ke chart ke mutabiq, EURUSD ka bearish trend aane wale haftay mein mukhtalif rehta hai. Magar, Monday ko aik ahem tajziya jo H4 time frame mein EURUSD ke tajziya ke doran hua. 1.0771 tak girne ke baad, EURUSD ne aik turnaround mehsoos kiya, 1.0855 tak pohanch gaya aur haftay ko aik bullish candle closure ke sath khatam kiya. Yeh darust karta hai ke aane wale haftay mein EURUSD ko bechnay ka ek mumkin mauqa shamil karna hai, mojooda bearish jazbaat ka faida uthate hue. Traders ko tawajjo mein rehna chahiye aur forex market ke tabdeeliyan ka tafteesh karte hue risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye. Support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan ke halat aur baray market factors ke darmiyan ke mabain ka khail karna, EURUSD ke fluctuations mein mareezana faislay karne ke liye ahem hoga.

Technical Analysis of EUR/USD


EUR/USD ke chart par teesra mazed laal mombatti nazar aya, jab ke ye ek naye paanch mahine ka bulandi tak pohanch gaya tha jis ka level 1.1139 tha. Magar, 1.1032-1.1095 area jo ke February 2023 se mazeed breakout attempts ke baad kharidari pressure ko mehdood kar raha tha, phir se ahem kirdaar ada kar raha hai. Pair girne laga jab ke momentum indicator taqatwar bearish signal denay wala tha.

RSI equilibrium level 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, aur average directional movement index peak par tha aur ab gir raha hai, jo halqa uptrend ka ikhtitam tasleem kar sakta hai. Zyada ahmiyat se, stochastic apne moving average ke neechay se guzar gaya hai aur phir se overbought zone ke neechay girne ki sath lag raha hai. Agar ye ho jaye to ye taqatwar bearish signal ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai.

Agar kharidari interest jaari rahay, to kharidars dobara 1.1032-1.1095 area ko toorna ki koshish kar saktay hain. Bearish scenario mein, farokht karne walay pair ko 1.1032-1.1095 range ke neechay mazbooti se daba kar, 1.0825-1.0864 area tak le ja saktay hain, jo ke 50-day aur 200-day simple moving averages aur uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level se boundary hai September 28, 2022, se le kar July 18, 2023 tak. Ye area, 1.0735-1.0754 area jo ke December 15, 2022 ki bulandi aur 100-day simple moving average se chipka hua hai, ab se zyada mazboot hone ka imkaan hai.



Aam taur par, EUR/USD kharidars ek martaba phir se 1.1032-1.1095 congestion zone ko saaf karne mein nakam huay nazar aatay hain, jo ke aik bara correctional move ke liye raaste ko kholta hai, khaaskar agar stochastic indicator taqatwar bearish signal de.

Analysis likhte waqt, EUR/USD pair ki niche ki taraf le ja rahe barqarar kharabi EUR/USD ko 1.0835 support level ke qareeb le ja rahi hai. Halankeh euro ki izafat kamzor hogayi hai, lekin Europe ki behtar hone ki kahani par umeed barhti ja rahi hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, EURUSD ke price psychological 1.0800 support zone ke qareeb hai, jo ke bearish control ko mazboot karega agar Fed aaj ziada price announce karta hai. Agar bunyadi tor par mazid kharab hui, to euro 1.08 EUR/USD ke psychological support ke neeche gir sakta hai. Bears support levels 1.0765 aur 1.0690 tak pohanch saktay hain, jo ke technical indicators ko mazboot oversold levels ki taraf le ja sakte hain.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis

H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Aaj raat FOMC ka intikhab hua aur euro ke daam ne bullish raaste ko apna liya hai. Abhi bhi daam oopar ki taraf badh raha hai aur hum daily timeframe mein ek trend line ke touch ka intezar kar rahe hain. Isse humein bearish taraf se kuch pips mil sakte hain jin se hum faida utha sakte hain. Pichle haftay, euro ne 1.0763 ke support level ko toornay mein kamyabi nahi haasil ki aur ek correction mein chali gayi. Haftay ke shuru se, daam is level se juda hua hai aur barh raha hai, 1.0926 ke reversal level tak pahunch gaya hai, jahan resistance mili. Phir, isne jawab diya, apni asal jagah par laut gaya, aur apni girawat ko jaari rakha, lekin wahi area mein ruk gaya aur aage na badh saka. Is doran, daam ka chart jo pehle green zone mein tha, wapas super-trending red zone mein aa gaya hai, jisse dikh raha hai ke sellers dobara control mein aa rahe hain.




D-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi alag hai, lekin neutral mode mein trade kar raha hai, har hafte thodi si movement ke baad, upar ki taraf palatne ki koshish karne ke baad apni asal jagah par laut raha hai. Yeh key resistance zones ki integrity ko banaye rakhne ki anumati deta hai, gehri testing aur tez dabav ke bawajood. Lekin, mahatvapurn support level 1.0963 abhi bhi humein aur neeche jaane nahi deta, aur 1.1037 ke level tak lautne ki koshish ho sakti hai, jo mukhya resistance zone ka border hai, girawat ke doosre aghaaz ke roop mein. Partially, target hoga 1.0744 aur 1.0627 ke beech ka area.

Maujooda situation ka ulta palatne ka signal resistance level ko tor kar aur 1.1056 ke reversal level ke bahar nikal kar aayega. Chart neeche dekhein: