یورپی ڈالر بمقابلہ امریکی ڈالر

EUR/USD ne pichle haftay ko ek bullish candle ke saath band kiya, lekin iski band band hone ki darja kam hai jo ke opening level se thoda zyada hai. Is ke alawa, chart par ek bearish pin bar bhi ban gaya hai, jo tez taur par ishara karta hai ke agle haftay mein neeche ki taraf movement hone ka strong izhar hai. Is liye, maine bechne ka manzar zyada ahmiyat di hai. Chhote time frame par bhi sab kuch aur bhi neeche ki taraf ishara karta hai. Hourly chart par, indicators neeche ki taraf point karte hain, aur pair ne band hone par ek aur sell signal activate kiya hai, is liye main Monday ke opening se girawat ka continuation expect karta hoon. Pair ne kai bar neeche se middle Bollinger Band ko test kiya hai aur ab akhir kar ek rebound dikhane laga hai. Is ke alawa, Bollinger Band channel ne haal hi ke bearish candles par expand hone shuru kiya hai, jo neeche ki taraf impulse hone ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai, aur yeh bearish sentiment ko aur bhi confirm karta hai. 4-hour chart par, indicators abhi bhi sell signal banane mein hain, jabki pair Bollinger Band channel ke bearish zone mein bana hua hai. Agar iska bhi confirmation ho, toh hum medium-term mein girawat dekhenge. Bearish pin bar ke confirmation ke madde nazar rakh kar, yeh scenario zyada mumkin lagta hai, khas kar jab pair ke paas abhi tak kuch adhoora kaam hai neeche ki taraf



Kal sellers ne apne liye saal ki akhiri ek aur din reserve kar liya, dekhte hain ki jab liquidity market mein lautegi toh kya woh apna mood banaye rakh sakte hain. Agar hum bands ke hisab se tajaweez karein, toh keemat bands ke markazi ilaaqe tak wapas laut gayi hai, aur agle keemat barhne ke liye naya signal paane ke liye, zaroori hai ke quotes ka naya active approach upper band ki taraf ho, aur choone ke baad, dekhein ke kya bands bahar khulengi ya koi reaction nahi hoga. Agar hum fractals ke nazariye se current situation ki baat karein, toh nazdeek ke up aur down fractals kaafi door hain, aur jaldi se kuch banane ke liye, zaroori hai ke nazdeek ke up aur down fractals ka dekha jaye.

EUR/USD Price Prediction

Tajawuz-e-Qeemat:

EUR/USD jodi ne 2023 ke trading ka aakhri din Asian session ke doran 1.1050 ke qareeb apne hisse ke ghataney shuru kiye. US dollar ne apni kamzori dobara shuru ki, jabke cautious trading ke dauran traders nayi bets se bach rahe thay, major currencies par volatility ki umeed ke chalte. Jab tak volatility ke upper peak pe pohanchte hain, hume 1.1171 ki qeemat milti hai, aur yeh turant long positions ko band karne ka ek priority ban jata hai. Ab mujhe bechne ka koi irada nahi hai, siwaay shayad hi 1.1171 ke upar ya 1.1061 ke neeche trade karne ke ilawa.

Nishanaat aur Halaat:

Phir, buyers ke favour mein ek alternativ target milta hai, 1.0950 ki qeemat. Lekin yeh ek alternative hai, aur abhi hum current scenario ke mutabiq kaam kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ki aik aarhi taizzi ne 1.1139 ki peak tak pohanchayi, jo July 27 se pehle ka highest intraday level tha, phir thori si waapsi hui. Correction normal nazar aati hai, khaas kar jab rally bohat agay barh chuki thi. Asal trend euro ke liye musbat hai, aur agar retreat jaari rahe toh yeh overbought conditions ko kam karne mein madad karega.

Chart Ke Mutabiq Levels:

Main teen levels pe nazar hai, yani core (1.1061), pehle-order ka level (1.1116), aur dusre-order ka level (1.1171). Main samajh raha hoon ke abhi ke price 1.1072 jo ke 1.1061 ke upar trading kar raha hai, iska matlab hai ke long positions ki zaroorat hai. Yeh levels di gayi currency pair ki volatility ratio se liye gaye hain. Is level ke nichay consolidation aur nuksan ka ishara hosakta hai ya kam az kam recent highs se door stability ka period hosakta hai. Is area ke nichay, agla strong support 1.1010 pe hai, uske baad 1.0960 hai. Is level tak giravat buyers ko attract kar sakti hai.

Aage Ki Muhim:

Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.1100 ke upar chadh jata hai, toh woh recent highs ko test kar sakta hai. Lekin main baqi ki khareedari 1.1107 tak rakhoonga, sirf suraksha ke liye. Lekin aaj, kisi bhi guarantee ki zaroorat nahi hai. Is maqsad ke liye MFI ka ek koshish hai ke wo upar ja kar MACD ke qareeb pohnch jaye, jo euro ki barhti hui qeemat ko confirm karega. H4 pe targets thorey alag hain; agar neechay wala target 1.1058 pe rehta hai, toh ooper wala 1.1147 se bhi uncha hosakta hai.

EURUSD: Year-End Analysis and Outlook

Saal Ka Muaqama:

Kuch din pehle, trading saal mukammal hua aur wo jaga se jahan se shuru hua tha, wahan tak bohot zyada farak nahi tha, sirf takreeban 350 points ka, jo ke kafi kam nahi hai. Chalein, hum daily chart period pe nazar daalte hain. Yahan par wave structure apne order ko ooper ki taraf banata hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apne signal line ke ooper hai. Lekin kuch nishanat hain ke naye saal mein girawat ki shuruaat hogi. Pehle toh, paanch waves ka aik structure ooper gaya, jiska tahqiqan growth cycle mukammal ho gaya hai. Paanchwa wave MACD indicator par bearish divergence ke sath khatam hua, aur yeh ek bohot taqatwar neeche ki taraf ka signal hai. Iske alawa, CCI indicator ne upper overheating zone ko chhora hai aur neeche ki taraf mudawamat kar raha hai, jo girawat ke chances ko barha deta hai. Haal hi ke trading days mein, qeemat ne apni uchaiyon se neeche aana shuru kiya hai. Yeh toh technical factors ke chalte hua tha, lekin yeh bhi wajah thi ke December ke financial results ko khatam karna tha, positions jo ke growth mein thi woh band ki gayi aur price waapis chala gaya. Mujhe lagta hai ke girawat shuru hogi initially nearest horizontal support level 1.0995 tak, jo closing prices pe banaya gaya hai. Agar hum average karein aur level ki large scale ki ghalati ko bhi hisaab mein lein, toh yeh exactly 1.1000 hoga, aik pura adad jo level ki ahmiyat ko barha deta hai. Yahan se kuch bounce up hone ke chances hain. Lekin phir bhi, mujhe yakeen hai ke is level ko tora jayega aur price ooper chal ke ascending support line tak pohanchega jo ke neeche se banaya gaya hai aur nearest waves ke lows ke mutabiq; lekin divergence ko hal karna hai aur level tak bohot kam fasla baqi hai.

EUR/USD Keemat Ki Harkat Ka Jaiza

Chaardiwari Chart Par:

Maujooda guftagu EUR/USD currency pairs ki keemat ki rawish ko tajziya kar rahi hai. Char ghantay ke chart par, keemat ne apni bulandi ko 1.1140 tak pohanchaya, uske baad neeche gir kar tezi se utri. Mainay bechne ke signals ko pehchan liya hai, sudhar aur mazeed zawaal ka imkaan samajh raha hoon. OSMA histogram jo ke positive se negative zone mein ja raha hai, sath hi Demark oscillator jo bearish ho raha hai, girawat ke imkaan ko mazbooti deta hai. Girawat ho sakti hai false breakout ya phir bearish candle ka mukammal guzar jana 1.0932 pe. Agar aapka short position profit de raha hai aur price kam az kam target ki taraf adha rasta tay karta hai, toh stop loss ko break-even par shift karna acha idea ho sakta hai. Jab kuch traders drawdowns ko taskeen se bardasht kar sakte hain, mujhe apni psychological wellbeing ke liye lamba drawdown avoid karna pasand hai. Short side pe profit lena asaan lagta hai. EURUSD ab aik bearish wave ki taraf rukh kar raha hai, lekin iske jariye kaunsalari ka shubhram hai. 1084 ke neeche rehna aur 1007 ko toorna mazeed bearish targets ke raaste ko saaf kar dega.



Ek tang honay wala pattern jari negotiations ko darust karta hai, jahan breakout agli rukh ki taraf ishara karta hai. Puranay time frames mein rukh badalne ke nishaan bhi hain, lekin ab waqt ke conditions neeche ke indicators ki taraf hain. Euro ne apne Naye Saal ke holidays shuru kiye 1.1054 ke short-term bearish mark se neeche, jo ke bechne walon ko pasand hai. Agar weekend mein koi anjaani ghatna nahi hoti, toh 1.1002 aur 1.0970 ki taraf ek neeche ki tezi mumkin hai. Pehla target, jise 1.1000 pe volumetric ROS se majoodi mil rahi hai, bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar yeh support tute, toh bullish recovery mushkil ho jayegi. Euro-dollar ke lambi-term ki tawakkal mandi America ke labour market ke foundation aur January ki statistics pe depend karti hai, jo ke aik na-qabil-e-paishanab driver hai.

Monthly, Weekly, aur 4-Hour Charts Ki Tehqeeq:

Monthly Chart:

• EUR/USD currency pair ki monthly chart ki tehqeeq se lag raha hai ke keemat mein upar ki taraf rawish mumkin hai. Yahan par bullish trend nazar aa raha hai.

Weekly Chart:

• Weekly chart dikhata hai ke haal hi mein aik weekly candle ki bandish hui hai, jismein lambi shadow hai, jo ke upar rawish ko thora peecha kar rahi hai. Is se lagta hai ke short-term mein downward pressure ho sakta hai.

4-Hour Chart:

• Char ghantay ke chart mein wazeh hai ke 1.1141 ke ahem resistance se retreat hui hai. Agar market ke opening mein neeche ki taraf dabao ho, to bearish trend ki taraf rawish ho sakti hai, jis se volumes mein izafa hosakta hai jo 1.0918 ke qareeb hai.

Daily Chart Ki Tehqeeq:

Euro aur dollar pair ke daily chart ki tehqeeq se lag raha hai ke woh 1.12449 resistance se ulte chale gaye hain aur support ki taraf ja rahe hain jo 1.10221 hai. Inflation ke kam hone aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy tightening ko khatam hone ki ummeed ke bawajood, currency pair ne girawat jaari rakhi. European Central Bank ne apni monetary policy tightening khatam kiya, jo ke support tak aur nichayi hui jo 1.05239 hai, girawat ko barhaya.

United States ki bayrozgari data ne ek thandi hui labor market ko isha'at di, phir inflation data ne bhi aik bara slowdown dikha. Yeh factors Federal Reserve ke tightening cycle ki mukammal hone ki isharaat thay. Shuru mein yeh ummeed thi ke naye saal se pehle dollar mazboot ho ga, lekin ummeedon ke khilaf, pair mein izafa hua aur Federal Reserve ne apni tightening policy cycle khatam ki. Tabeer yeh hai ke aik dynamic market hai jis pe central bank policies aur economic indicators ka asar hai.

EUR/USD

Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum ke Samne Chhoti-Term Sudhaar

Muaqadma:


EUR/USD currency pair ke H4 chart ki tafseeli tehqeeq mein pata chalta hai ke haal hi mein ek bullish trend ke baad ek nedaiyaar correction hua hai. Pichle trading session mein jab pair ne 1.1140 tak pahuncha, to usne resistance ka saamna kiya aur ek thoda sa pullback mehsoos kiya. Market jo pichle dino mein predominantly bullish tha, September mein aik peechlay bearish haalat se mukhalif ho gaya tha. November aur December mein, upar ki rawish jaari rahi, jahan ke price ne barqarar 60 aur 150 Simple Moving Average indicators ke upar rehna jari rakha.

Maujooda Halaat:

H4 time frame chart par haal hi ki upar ki koshish ne correction ka samna kiya hai, jo temporary setback ki isharaat de rahi hai. Lekin overall bullish trend mazboot hai, jo aane wale hafte mein BUY transactions ke liye achi mauqaat present kar raha hai. Jabke market ki conditions continued uparrawi harkat ke liye munasib nazar aa rahi hain, traders ko moqarrar entry points chunne mein hosla dikhana chahiye.

Tehqeeq aur Strategy:

Chal rahi uparrawi harkat bohat compelling nazar aa rahi hai, jo mazeed faiday ki alamat hai. Moujooda market conditions ke dastoor par, mashhoor BUY transactions ke liye aane wale hafte mein moqaat pesh karne par tawajjuh dena munasib hai, pichle haftay ki trend ka faida uthate hue. Lekin traders ko ehtiyaat bartani chahiye aur waqt aur entry points ke baray mein mutanaffi faislay lena chahiye.

Mustaqbil Ki Tawaqo:

Pichle hafte ke darmiyan EUR/USD pair ki harkat ke pattern ko madde nazar rakhte hue, dobara uparrawi rukh ki kafi imkaanat hai. Price ke haal ke achay results ko paar karne ki mumkin tawaqo hai. Weekly high zone ko paar karne ki ahmiyat hai takay price ko mazeed uparrawi harkat milti rahe. Ek clear bullish market direction ke liye, price ke 1.1065 level ke upar uthne ka intizar munasib hai.

Ikhtitam:


Ikhtitam mein, EUR/USD currency pair haal hi mein chhoti-term correction ke bawajood aik mazboot bullish trend dikha raha.Traders ko BUY opportunities par tawajjuh deni chahiye, khaas tor par 1.1065 level ke breach ke liye jo sath mein sustained bullish momentum ke clear indication ke liye hai. Faislon mein ehtiyaat aur tajarbay ki zarurat hai aur market dynamics ko barqarar rakhna chahiye for optimal trading outcomes.

EUR/USD (Market Analysis)

Market Update aur EUR/USD Tafseelat: Ma'ashiyati Waqiyat aur Sehati Fikar

Aziz dosto aur qadrmand colleagues,


aane wale dinon mein business news ki bohat sari chandni ho rahi hai, jaisa ke ma'ashiyati calendar ke mutabiq, sab US dollars mein pesh ki jayengi. Annual aur Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index aur Initial Jobless Claims par tawajjuh deni chahiye. Jabke initial jobless claims umeedon ko hosla afzai nahi kar sakti, lekin sakht karobar ki fa'aliyat greenback ko mazboot kar sakti hai. Lekin ehtiyaat baratna bhi zaruri hai, kyunke EU mein consumer prices ki kami ka imkaan hai, jo is maaloomat ki tehqeeq ko mushkil bana sakta hai.

Jab hum trading week ke ikhtitam ke qareeb pohanchte hain, to Federal Reserve chair ki aik dilchasp taqreer ka intezar hai, jo mulk ke mehnat ki be naqabil-e-yakeeni se inflation ke khilaf jang ko manayegi. Meri halat-e-sehat ke doran, mein khud ko risk factors ke liye zyada mutasir mehsoos kar raha hoon.

Annual minimum ki update ke saath, hum aik aisa jhatka mahsoos kar rahe hain jese aik laapata kharidar ke sar par dasven manzil se girayi gayi eent. Halaat aise hain jese Tuzki jaise garam water bottle ko kholne ki koshish karna, koi chance nahi, lekin ek mauqa jise explore karna lazmi hai.

D-1 market chart ki taraf apni tawajjuh shift karne par zahir hai ke mushkil halaat ke bawajood EUR/USD ke liye kuch zyada tabdeel nahi hui hai. Uptrend jari hai, naye highs ko chhoo rahi hai aur 1.10 ke oopar pahunch gayi hai. Haan, kuch waqti wapas aara hai, lekin mazeed wapasat ki zarurat hai. Sakht state GDP ke natayej ne dollar ke upar ki harkat ko mutasir kiya hai, lekin mustaqbil ki manzoori aik ahmiyat ka shaoor hai.

Mai shakhsan sidelines par hoon, short-term goals ki kami mein. 1.10 ke oopar ek mawafiqan barhne ki umeed hone ke bawajood, mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena pasand karta hoon. Aik mustaqbil ki bulandiyon ki soch rahe hain, lekin us level par selling opportunities explore karne ki bhi jaye gi.

Ikhtitam mein, ma'ashiyati waqiyat aur sehati fikar mein humein hamesha tawajjuh aur ehtiyaat barqarar rakhna chahiye. Dollar aur EUR/USD ki badalte hui raah par tez nazar rakhni hogi, aur strategic decisions maazi ki maaloomat aur market sentiment ke potential shifts par munhasir honge.

EUR-USD Pair Analysis: Market Insights

1. Recent Market Movements and Volumes

EUR/USD ki pair ki technical analysis ki aur saath saath growth ko bhi consider kya gaya. Is ke liye sirf buying volumes tak qareeb 1.160 tak pahunche; yeh thoda agay chala gaya; ab volume ke hisaab se, sab kuch 1.110 ke position ki taraf decline hone ki nishandahi karta hai, takreeban agar aap wohi volumes maante hain, kyun ke taqatwar bunyadi bunyadi bunyadi ki inteha nazar nahi aati! Hum short time mein bechne ki koshish kar rahe hain! Mumkin hai poori dakhil-e-junoob ko chhorne ki jagah phir se shopping ki jaye, lekin aane wale waqt mein. Dakhil-e-junoob mein target takreeban 1.110 hai!

Lekin woh dakhil-e-junoob nahi dete, lekin yeh southern impulse jo 1.11048 par tha (by the way, yeh wazeh nahi hai ke kis cheez ke liye, jaldi trading ke liye invest ki gayi volume ne aik khaas factor paida kiya) jaldi se kharida gaya, aur EURUSD brace ab phir se 1.11070 par ja raha hai. Jaise maine history mein likha hai, agar woh 1.11040 ko todenge toh woh sirf paanch points ke saath neeche nahi jayenge, balki brace ko age badhaenge aur naye deals pe aage badhein, jo ab aasani se brace mein overbalanced hain. Khabron ke bina, is growth ka bas indolence hai purane motorists ki taraf se, aur Coffers ka yield bhi kam ho raha hai (nahi important), jo ki bone par dabav daal raha hai.

Main bhi 11.070 se jawab ka intezar kar raha hoon, lekin agar sab log uske liye intezar kar rahe hain toh ho sakta hai ke na ho. Aur agar price 1.11070 ko tode, toh agla target EURUSD ke liye 1.125 ke position par hoga. Is tarah, main deals ke liye nahi bolta; signals nahi hain, sirf ek touch hai ek upward trend ka aur yeh ke chances hain ke jawab aayega. Yankees aur 30 points aur growth de sakte hain, isliye main din ke band hone par 1.11 ka test na khatm hone ke chances ko nahi nikaalta.





2. Year 2023 aur Daily Timeframe ka Jaiza

Saal 2023 khatam hone ja raha hai, aur phir se daily timeframe par nazar dalte hain. Yahan par hum dekh sakte hain ke wave structure ek upward pattern bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke oopar hai. Lekin sirf short entries ko consider karne ke liye taqatwar arguments hain. Sab se zaroori factor yahan ek strong bearish signal hai - MACD indicator par bearish divergence ki presence. CCI indicator bhi ek similar picture deta hai, thodi si curve line ke saath, lekin yeh ke overbought zone mein hai aur neeche jaane ke liye tayyar hai, yeh ek decline ke favour mein ek additional argument hai. Maana jata hai ke upward cycle complete ho chuka hai - aisa lagta hai ke paanch waves ke structure ne ant kiya hai. Overall situation lagbhag pound ke saath hai. Sell signal ne pehle se hi partially play out kiya hai, kyunke price tezi se gira tha kal ek tezi se utarne ke baad. Price ka decline main support level 1.1000 ki taraf ki umeed hai. Yeh level aik round number hai, jiski ahmiyat barh jaati hai. Yeh most likely ek bounce upward kar sakta hai, lekin baad mein, main umeed karta hoon ke yeh toota jaayega aur ek decline hoga ascending support line ki taraf, jo waves ke lows par banaya gaya hai. Aaj koi significant news event nahi hai, toh shayad zyada movement na ho. Lekin agar aap sach mein thoda profit lena chahte hain, toh main sirf selling consider karta hoon. Abhi ke liye, H4 timeframe par price ascending support line tak pahunch chuka hai aur thoda bounce kar raha hai. Buying recommend nahi hai due to sell signal, aur selling bhi recommend nahi hai jab tak yeh line toot nahi jaati. Toh abhi humein sirf intezar karna padega. Agar yeh line toot jaati hai, hourly timeframe par bhi, toh shayad worth hoga trying

EUR/USD Pair: Market Analysis

1. EUR/USD Ki Haalat Ka Tajziya

EUR/USD pair ka halat haal hi mein dilchasp raha hai, jo pivotal 1.1100 major threshold ki taraf gradual shift ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Maazi haftay mein is ne koshish ki lekin is critical technical level ko theek se establish karne mein na kaamiyaab raha.

2. Fed Ki Dovish Shift aur Market Confidence se Euro Ki Behtri

Euro (EUR) ne Jumeraat ko gradual lekin consistent izafa dikhaya jab Dollar mazboot raha, apne multi-month lows ke qareeb reh raha tha. Yeh izafa US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki haaliya dovarsh harkat ke natije mein aaya hai, jo investors ko Q1 2024 mein interest rate kam hone ki ummeed dilaa rahi hai, jis se market sentiment ko ujagar kiya gaya aur safe-haven USD par dabao bhi pada.

Euro ki behtar performance ne isay session highs tak le gaya jo 1.1100 ko paar kar gaya, haal hi ke peaks jo 1.1140 tak pahunche thay. Tazeem ke qabil hai ke Eurozone Consumer Prices Index (CPI) report ne bhi Euro mein tezi se ghataavat hone ki tasdeeq ki.

3. EUR/USD 1.1100 Ke Par Par Lagataar Rally Karta Hai

Jumeraat ko hui giravat ke baad, 1.1100 ke major price level ko paar karne ki nakami ke baad, pair ne giravat dikhayi aur 1.1050 tak phir aaya. Lekin is hafte ne dekha gaya hai ke EUR/USD mein ek naye suraj ki tarah chamak aa rahi hai aur apne upar ki taraf tezi se badh raha hai. Isi tarah, pichle haftay ki rally ne pair ko lambay arse tak 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke bullish stance mein le gaya, jisse Euro ne October ke lows jo 1.0454 par thay, se rebound kiya hai.

4. EUR/USD Ki Mazboot Khareedari Trend

EUR/USD ne short term mein mazboot khareedari trend dikhaya hai, pichle haftay ki taqatwar rally ne pair ko 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 1.0900 ke qareeb hai, ke upar le gaya hai. US Dollar ki wide decline Euro ke liye badi fursat hai ke woh bulandiyon ki taraf daur kare.

Yahan dekha ja sakta hai ke wave structure ek upward pattern bana rahi hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator bhi overbought zone mein hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. Lekin, sirf short entries ko madde nazar rakhte hue ke liye mazboot arguments hain. Sabse ahem factor hai ek mazboot bearish signal ka mojood hona - MACD indicator par bearish divergence. CCI indicator bhi ek similar tasveer dikhata hai, thoda sa curve line ke saath, lekin ye ke overbought zone mein hai aur neeche jaane ke liye tayaar hai, isse ek aur argument milta hai decline ke favor mein. Maana jata hai ke upward cycle pura ho gaya hai - paanch waves se mil kar bana structure. Overall, situation lagbhag pound ke saath hi hai. Sell signal pehle se hi thoda sa play out ho chuka hai, kyun ki kal ke tezi se girne ke baad price gir gayi thi. 1.1000 ke main support level ki taraf price ka giravat ki ummeed hai. Ye level ek round number hai, jo uski ahmiyat ko badha deta hai. Isse zyada lagta hai ki ye price ko upar ki taraf bounce karayega, lekin baad mein ise tod diya jayega aur ascending support line ki taraf giravat hogi, jo waves ke lows par base bani hai. Aaj koi significant news events nahi hain, isliye hum shayad zyada movement nahi dekhein ge. Lekin agar aap sach mein chhota profit lena chahte hain, to main sirf selling ko madde nazar rakhta hoon. Abhi H4 timeframe par price ascending support line tak pahunch chuki hai aur thoda sa bounce ho rahi hai. Buying recommend nahi hai sell signal ke wajah se, aur selling bhi recommend nahi hai jab tak ye line tod di jaye. Isliye abhi bas intezaar karna hoga. Agar ye line break hoti hai, hourly timeframe par bhi, to shayad worth ho sakta hai try karna. Overall, market iss hafta achha tha, aur iss waqt ke liye low liquidity ka concept pehle hi gayab ho gaya hai. Price ko manipulate karne wale robots ko aaram ki zarurat nahi hai

eur/usd forecast for today:


h1 time frame

EUR/USD ne pichle haftay ko ek bullish candle ke saath band kiya, jo ke opening level se thoda zyada hai. Is ke alawa, chart par ek bearish pin bar bhi ban gaya hai, jo tez taur par ishara karta hai ke agle haftay mein neeche ki taraf movement hone ka strong izhar hai ke agle haftay mein neeche ki taraf movement hone ka strong izhar hai. Maine bechne ka manzar zyada ahmiyat di hai, is liye. Chhote time frame par bhi sab kuch ki taraf ishara karta hai. Hourly chart ki taraf point karte hain, aur pair ne band hone par ek aur sell signal activate kiya hai, is liye main Monday ke opening se girawat ka continuation expect karta hoon.

Pair neeche se middle Bollinger Band ko test kiya hai aur akhir kar ek rebound dikhane laga hai. Bollinger Band channel ne haal hi ke bearish candles par expand kiya hai, jo neeche ki taraf impulse hone ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai, aur yeh bearish sentiment ko aur bhi confirm karta hai. 4-hour chart par, indicators are indicating a sell signal, and a pair of Bollinger Band channels are indicating a bearish zone. If there is no confirmation, the medium-term plan is to girawat dekhenge. Bearish pin bar ke madde nazar rakh kar, yeh scenario zyada mumkin lagta hai,

khas kar neeche ki taraf ki pair ke paas abhi tak adhoora kaam hai
If sellers have apne liye saal ki akhiri ek aur din reserve kar liya, dekhte hain kya woh apna mood banaye rakh sakte hain. If bands' hisab se tajaweez karein, then keemat bands' ilaaqe tak wapas laut gayi hai.

At the same time, zaroori hai ke quotes ka naya active approach upper band ki taraf ho, aur choone ke baad, dekhein ke kya bands bahar khulengi ya koi reaction nahi hoga. If hum fractals ke nazariye se current situation ki baat karein, then nazdeek ke up aur down fractals kaafi door hain, and zaroori hai ke nazdeek ke up aur down fractals ka dekha jaye.



h4 time frame


Yahan dekha ja sakta hai ke wave structure ek upward pattern bana rahi hai, MACD indicator overbought zone mein hai, apne signal line ke upar hai. MACD indicator is in the overbought zone, and the signal line is up. Sirf short entries ko madde nazar rakhte hue ke liye mazboot arguments hain, lekin. MACD indicator par bearish divergence - Sabse ahem factor hai ek mazboot bearish signal ka mojood hona. CCI indicator dikhata hai, thoda sa curve line ke saath, lekin ye ke overbought zone mein hai aur neeche jaane ke liye tayaar hai, isse ek aur argument milta hai decline ke favor mein. Paanch waves se mil kar bana structure - maana jata hai ke upward cycle pura ho gaya hai. Overall, the situation is lagbhag pound ke saath. Sell signal ke tezi se girne ke baad price gir gayi thi, kyun ki kal ke tezi se girne ke baad price gir gayi thi.

1.1000 ke main support level ki taraf price ki ummeed hai. Level ek round number hai, jo ahmiyat ko badha deta hai. Isse zyada lagta hai ki ye price ko upar ki taraf bounce karayega, jo waves ke lows par base bani hai, aur baad mein ise tod diya jayega aur ascending support line ki taraf giravat hogi. If no significant news events occur, the shayad zyada movement will not occur. If aap sach mein chhota profit lena chahte hain, then selling ko madde nazar rakhta hoon. Price ascending support line on H4 timeframe tak pahunch chuki hai aur thoda sa bounce ho rahi hai. Buying recommendation nahi hai sell signal ke wajah se, whereas selling recommendation nahi hai if ye line tod di jaye. Isliye abhi bas intezaar hoga. If your line breaks every hour, try shayad. Overall, the market is struggling, and the concept of low liquidity isn't helping matters. Price manipulation karne wale robots ko zarurat nahi hai

1.1100 ke major price level ko paar karne ki nakami ke baad, pair ne giravat dikhayi aur 1.1050 tak phir aaya. When it comes to EUR/USD, ek naye suraj ki tarah chamak aa rahi hai aur apne upar ki taraf tezi se badh raha hai. Isi tarah, pichle haftay ki rally ne pair ko lambay arse tak 200-day SMA ke bullish stance mein le gaya, jisse Euro ne October ke lows jo 1.0454 par thay, se rebound kiya hai.
Euro (EUR) ne Jumeraat ko gradual lekin consistent izafa dikhaya, apne multi-month lows ke qareeb reh raha tha. Yes, izafa US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki haaliya dovarsh harkat ke natije mein aaya hai, jo investors ko Q1 2024 mein interest rate kam hone ki ummeed dilaa rahi hai, jis se market sentiment kiya gaya aur safe-haven USD par dabao bhi pada.

Euro ki behtar performance tak le gaya jo 1.1100 ko paar kar gaya, haal hi ke peaks jo 1.1140 tak pahunche thay. Eurozone Consumer Prices Index (CPI) report ne bhi Euro mein tezi se ghataavat hone ki tasdeeq ki.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS AT ONE HOUR TIME FRAME :




AOA Ummidi karts hon Ap Sab Theek Hon gy AJ EUR/USD ko one hour ka time frame par analysis karay to is EUR/USD ka one hour ka time frame par ak long uptrend ban raha ha or jo EUR/USD ha ya is ko is time par price ha ya 181.16 par move kar rahi ha or is time par koi signal ni mil raha traders is ma EUR/USD ki one hour ke candle ka support ya resistance level ka near ma jana ka wait karay ga jo is EUR/USD ka one hour wala time frame ma jo resistance level ha ya higher ke janab 181.57 par ha or jo support level ha 180.58 par ha or agar is EUR/USD ku price high ke jaanbmoge karti joi jati ha or high ma jo resistance level ha 181.58 ka 8s ko hit karti ha ot lower ma hi is EUR/USD ki one hour ke candle hoyi ha to traders is ma sell ke janab ki trade ko enter karay ga or agar is gbp/jpy ke price lower ke janab support level ke traf jati ha to os one hour ke candle is EUR/USD ke support level 180.58 ka level ko jit karti ha to trades is EUR/USD ma buy ke trade ko enter karay ga jab is EUR/kpy ki one hout ke candel support level 180.58 ko hit kar ka high level ho gy



ANALYSIS EUR/USD AT FOUR HOURS TIME FRAME :




Friends jab EUR/USD ko Four hours ka time frame par analysis kiya jay to is EUR/USD ka four hours ka time frame par jo support level ha ya lower ke traf 180.08 par ha or jo is EUR/USD ka four hours ka time frame par resistance level ha ya 182.08 par ha or agar is EUR/USD ki price is ka four hours wala time frame ma lower ke traf support level 180.08 ke janab jati ha or jo four hours ke candel ha is EUR/USD ki ya is support level 180.08 ka level ko hit kar ka high ma close hoti ha to traders is ma buy ke janab ki trade ko enter karay ga or is trade ka jo profit target ho ga is ko higher ke traf 100 points par place karay ga or agar is EUR/USD ki price lower jana ka bajai higher ke traf jati ha or EUR/USD ki jo four hours ke candel ha ya high ma jo resistance level ha 182.08 ka is resistance level ko hit kar ka is EUR/USD ki four hours ke candel lower ma hi close ho jati ha to is ma traders ko EUR/USD ki price ka downward jana ka signal mila ga or traders is EUR/USD ma sell ke trade ko enter say stop loss Say len.

2023 Ka Aakhri Trading Din: Euro Ka Taaza Hissa

Muqadma:


New Year ki khushiyan manate hue 1st January ko major global trading platforms band hain. Is liye hum umeed kar sakte hain ke chhoti si magar dilchasp trading week hogi.


Mangalwar:


"Mangalwar ko shuru hota hai Somwar." Aam taur par, haftay ki pehli kaam ki din koi khaas news ya report nahi hoti, jiska matlab hai ke Mangalwar bhi koi exception nahi hoga. European session mein hum December ke PMI data ka final assessment paenge. Aam experts ke mutabiq, final assessment initial assessment ke mutabiq hogi. Khaas taur par, Germany ke Manufacturing PMI ko 43.1 points par rehne ki umeed hai. Ek taraf yeh indicator 50 points se neeche hai, jisse contraction ka ishara hota hai. Doosri taraf, is index mein fifth consecutive month mein upward trend nazar aaraha hai (jub July mein 38 points par gira tha). Agar data mein koi improvement ya deterioration nahi hoti, to market shayad is release ko ignore kare. U.S. Manufacturing PMI bhi U.S. session mein release hoga, jiska final assessment initial assessment ke mutabiq (48.2) hona chahiye.


Euro Ka Uptrend:


2023 ka aakhri trading day mein euro 25 pips se neeche gir ke 1.1033 par support paya. Khaas profit-taking na hone ki wajah se hum umeed karte hain ke uptrend qaim rahega. 1.1076 ke level se upar jaane se 1.1185 jaisa substantial target khulta hai. Marlin oscillator bhi lower correct hua hai, jo visually ek new upward wave ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Sab price action aur oscillator movements uptrend ke daire mein hain. Yeh baat qabil-e-ghaur hai ke yeh progress medium-term green-colored ascending price channel ke andar ho raha hai. Agar 1.1033 support level break hota hai, to hum jaldi se main scenario ko revise nahi karenge. 4-hour chart par price balance indicator line se support hasil kar raha hai. Marlin oscillator bearish territory mein hai, lekin bullish territory mein wapas aane ke liye koi trigger chahiye. Aaj ke reports aur eurozone aur U.S. industrial PMIs ke final estimates December ke liye catalyst ka kaam kar sakte hain. Forecasts unchange hain (44.2 aur 48.2), lekin kal Manufacturing ISM December ke liye 47.1 par expected hai, November ke 46.7 se upar. Aaj ka final estimate Manufacturing PMI ka sab ko surprise de sakta hai aur expected se behtar sabit ho sakta hai. Yeh, chahe kitni bhi chhoti ho, optimism risk appetite ko maintain kar sakti hai aur stock markets aur counter-dollar currencies ko green zone mein push kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD: H1 Timeframe Analysis

Bearish Trend in H1 Timeframe:


EUR/USD pair ke H1 timeframe ko dekhte hue ek maazi bearish movement saaf nazar aata hai, jahan bechne wale zyada quwat rakhte hain aur kharidne wale se zyada taqatwar hain. Is baat ko 120-period moving average jo price se ooper position mein hai, se tasdeeq kiya ja sakta hai. Zigzag pattern bhi ek descending structure dikhata hai jo kam hoti hui levels ke saath saath aata hai. Main ne aaj ko bechne ke liye nishan lagaya hai, aur main 1.1020 ke price level se selling orders shuru karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Pehla munafa target main ne 1.0980 par rakha hai aur doosra 1.0940 par, ek common stop loss ke saath jo 1.1050 par hai. Agar price level 1.1080 ko breakthrough aur consolidate kare, toh buying scenario ke liye tayyar hoon. Yeh maan kar ke main 1.1120 par purchases fix karna chahta hoon jahan stop losses 1.1050 par honge. M15 chart ke mutabiq, current downward price movement ki wajah se selling instrument preferred strategy hai.

USD Index aur EUR/USD Pair:


Is post likhne ke waqt, D1 chart par USD index ko upside ki taraf corrective move mein dekha ja raha hai jo 101.26 par position mein hai. Is forum par available EUR/USD pair ke Instaforex indicator ke mutabiq, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan equal distribution nazar aati hai, jahan sellers 50.56% hai. Indicator ka doosra segment, 1-week chart par based, ek short-term upward trend ko reflect karta hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Germany aur Eurozone mein Consumer Price Index ke saath saath USA se kai important releases shamil hain. January ke liye is currency pair ki behavior ko dekhte hue, main pehle ek correction ko 1.0925 tak aur phir ek upward shift ko 1.1425 par expect karta hoon.

Conclusion:


2023 ki conclusion EUR/USD pair ke liye sellers ke liye faidemand sabit hui. Yeh decline humein support level 1.1065 par pohancha ke usay paar bhi kiya. Is downtrend ke dauran volumes barh gaye, jo ke high values maintain ki gayi — significant bears ke positions establish karne ki koshish ki alamat hai. Trading week ke end par 1.1065 level ke neeche consolidate hone ka crucial development ek naye wave of sales ko stage set karta hai jo market participants ki taraf se pursue kiya jayega. Is maahol ke mutabiq, mera primary focus sales par rehta hai. Aaj, main umeed karta hoon ke EUR/USD pair apni subah ki decline ko maintain karega aur 1.1016 ke support level ko break karega. 1.0966 ke support level ki taraf aur descent ki umeed hai.

EUR/USD Market Conditions: Fibonacci Analysis

Fibonacci Grid ki Nazar:


Main market ko Fibonacci grid ke movement mein dekhta hoon jo traders ke reference point par hai. Main ne isay kal ki transaction ke din install kiya tha. Is liye, daily high 1.11222 100% fib ke barabar hai aur 0% level daily low 1.10282 ke saath milta hai. Meri technical analysis mein kal ke prices ko identify karna, samajhna, aur mujhe milti hui information ke basis par faisla karna shamil hai. Fibonacci extensions se saaf hai ke market 100% (1.11222) aur 50% (1.10752) zones mein hai. Bears kaafi taqatwar nahi hain ke bullish interest ko break kar sakein, jo ke 50% (1.10752) par hai. Main ne ise khareeda. Workload ko distribute karne ke liye, maine is area mein additional levels use kiye. 50% level (1.10752) ke alawa, maine Fibonacci levels 61.8% (1.10863) aur 76.4% (1.11000) bhi add kiye. 100% (1.11222) level par main ne position band ki, aur 123.6% (1.11444) se 138.2% (1.11581) level par main ne puri position band ki.





Triangle Formation ki Tafseel:


Triangle formation se nikalne wali baat yeh thi ke woh false sabit hui. Aur agar aaj kam az kam current levels ko hold kar sakein, toh bears ke record mein bada plus hoga. New year mein kam az kam ek correction ke continuation par ummeed ki ja sakti hai. European session shuru ho chuka hai, ab mujhe lagta hai woh faisla karenge. Beshak, mujhe American dollar ki growth ki bohot zarurat hai. Main kahin nahi ja raha - main dollar ki mazbooti ke liye dua karta hoon, main umeed karta hoon, mujhe lagta hai ke is pair ki price tag meri mercantile wish ki minimum goal tak kam hogi. Aaj outgoing mushkil saal ka aakhri trading day hai - main kal ke southern trend ka continuation dekhna chahta hoon, lekin koi mujhse nahi poochega, market apni marzi se karega (aisa ke monsters of downwards). Aur iske liye uske paas bahut kam samay hai. Jaise trailer mein aur north ke liye, traders ki zone ki bottom line se neeche ja kar, ya top line se upar. Lekin yeh sirf mera khayal hai aur yeh zaroori nahi hai ke aapka khayal mere se milta ho.