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  • #3361 Collapse

    Assalam Alaikum!

    Kal, euro 1.12 ke ilaqe me aage badhne aur mazbut hone me kamyab raha. Lehaza, tezi ko jari rakhne ke liye bulls ko yahan mazbuti se settle hone ki zarurat hai.

    Dar asal, mai ab bhi 1.1290 ki taraf izafa dekhne ki tawaqqo karta hun, lekin is se ooper nahin. Halankeh, rujhan ki mukhalif simt me aur kayi muzahmati satahon ke sath taraqqi ek khatarnak koshish hai jo tezi se girawat ke sath khatam ho sakti hai.Iski wajah yah hai keh jaise jaise qimat badhegi, bears zyada se zyada mutaharik ho jayenge. Lehaza, jab tak mandi ki sargarmi kam nahin hoti hai, tab tak ooper ki harkat sust hogi.

    Ek mauqa hai keh ECB ki meeting shuru hone aur rozgar ke aidad o shumar jari hone se pahle qimat mustahkam ho jayegi. Mujhe nahin lagta hai keh quotes qarib mustaqbil me nayi nichli satah test karegi, lekin is scenario ko mustarad nahin kiya ja sakta hai. Lehaza maine chart par ek down arrow lagaya.

    Intraday chart par qarib tarin muzahmat 1.1265 par waqe hai. Mai is hadaf ki taraf maujudah satah se izafa dekhne ki ummid karta hun.

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    • #3362 Collapse

      Re: Eur/usd

      jora apni kam tareen satah par pahonch gaya hai aur hamein istehkaam aur 1. 1300-1. 1280 par wapsi ki tawaqqa karni chahiye. taham abhi tak yeh wazeh nahi hai ke qeemat kaisay barh sakti hai. yeh qadam bah qadam baichnay walon ki pozishnon ko mutharrak kar sakta hai jo ke qeemat mein izafay ke sath hi khilnay ka imkaan hai, jis se istehkaam ko sun-hwa miley gi .

      doosri taraf, jora 1. 1120-30 aur 1. 1185-1. 1205 ke darmiyan hajam jama kar sakta hai, aur 1. 1220-50 par aglay muzahmati ilaqay ki taraf barh sakta hai. is manzar naame ke baad, qeemat 1. 1300 tak pahonch sakti hai .

      is ke bawajood, jori ne 1. 1110-1. 1090 ke qareeb jhulay ko kam paaya hai. pichlle do Amrici sishnon ke douran, qeemat ko neechay nahi ghsita gaya. is ka matlab hai ke jori jald bherne ka imkaan hai. anay wali really ka hadaf 1. 1380-85 aur 1. 1405-20 par waqay hai. taham, jore ko 1. 1280-1. 1300 par wapas anay ki zaroorat hai. lehaza, hamaray paas jore ki taraqqi ki himayat karne walay do mnzrname hain .

      pehlay ke mutabiq, qeemat mojooda satah se batadreej barh sakti hai aur tijarti range tashkeel day kar ahdaaf tak pahonch sakti hai. dosra manzar nama yeh samjhta hai ke jora 1. 1000 area ki taraf ghalat break out kar sakta hai .
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      • #3363 Collapse

        Jahan tak EUR/USD jodi ki bat hai, islah mukammal ho gayi hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh jodi tejarati hadd ke qarib hai jahan short positions kholne par gaur karne ki sifarish ki jati hai. Kal, ummid hai keh EUR/USD 1.1205 tak pahunch jayegi. Halankeh, jodi buland satah par chadh gayi hai. Iske alawa, yah haqiqat farokht ke liye zyada sazgar hai. Ab, kaledi support 1.1301 ke qarib hai. Agar jodi is satah se ooper fiz hota hai to, niche ka rujhan khatam ho jayega.

        Halankeh, maujudah suratehal mukhtalif hai. Lehaza, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh EUR/USD jodi 1.1250-1.1270 ke range me dakhil hogi aur fir farokht par gaur karna mumkin hai. 1.1301 par stop order lagaya gaya hai. Zaruri support hasil karne ke liye, jodi ke 1.1175-1.1160 ki hadd tak jane ki ummid hai. Fir is se niche fix karne ki sifarish ki jati hai. Warna, jodi flat trading karega.

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        • #3364 Collapse

          EUR/USD

          Kal, mai tawaqqo kar raha tha keh jodi 1.1200 ke raqbe ki taraf pullback karegi. Maine is ilaqe se kuch pips ooper pending order lagaya hai. Halankeh, aisa lagta hai keh jodi ke begair kisi pullback ke 1.1300 tak pahunchne ka imkan hai. Peer ke roz, jodi ne nayi nichli satah ka test kiya aur maine koi izafi kharidari nahin ki. Kal jodi kharidna mumkin nahin tha. Waise, agar qimat 1.1300 se ooper chadhti hai aur 1.1350 ko chedti hai to, mai 1.1050 par hadaf ke sath munafa lock karne aur short positions kholne ke liye apni long positons ko band karne par gaur kar sakta hun.

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          • #3365 Collapse

            Assalam Alaikum!

            Dollar kal niche gir gaya tha lekin mujhe yaqin hai keh aaj currency badh sakti hai. Mai kal apne tama trades ko munafe ke sath band nahin kar saka aur aaj mai usi suratehal ki tawaqqo karta hun. Mujhe lagta hai keh dollar ke muqable badi currencies me kami aane wali hai. Lehaza, mai euro, Australian dollar, ya sona nahin kharidta hun. Maine nahin socha tha keh indicators itni tezi se badhenge kiyunkeh yah rally ke liye accha nahin hai.

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            • #3366 Collapse

              Intraday chart par uptrend

              Niche ki taraf zigzag ki tawaqqo

              Assalam Alaikum!

              Intraday chart par, bulls jodi ke control me hain. Filhal niche ke rujhan ke koi signal nahin hai, lehaza yah farokht karne ka waqt nahin hai. Mumkena taur par, ooper ka rujhan jari rahega. 1.1278 ki satah ka dubara test ooper ki harkat ki tasdiq karega. Qimat ya to pahle niche ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai ya faurai taur par ooper ja sakti hai. Aaj ke liye ooper ka hadaf H4 par 1.1319-15 ka raqba hai. Yah woh jagah hai jahan mai farokht karne ja raha hun. Mai jodi ko 1.1252 par pullback par kharid sakta hun lekin is se niche nahin. Intraday chart par ab bhi niche ki taraf koi signal nahin hai. 1.1292 ki darmiyani satah tak pahunchna ek aasan hadaf lagta hai.

              1.11 raqbe me niche ki taraf zigzag pattern Jumah se shuru ho sakta ai. Abhi ke liye, quotes oopri satah ki taraf badh raha hai aur Jumah ko 1.120zone ke qarib zigzag perform karte hue niche ke rujhan ke liye taiyar ho raha hai.

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              • #3367 Collapse

                Re: Eur/usd

                jahan tak eur / usd jore ka talluq hai, islaah mukammal ho chuki thi. mera farz hai ke jora tijarti had ke qareeb hai jahan mukhtasir pozishnin kholnay par ghhor karna mehfooz hai. kal, tawaqqa hai ke eur / usd 1. 1205 tak pahonch jaye ga. jori aik onche satah par charh jati hai. is ke ilawa, yeh haqeeqat farokht ke liye ziyada sazgaar hai. ab, kaleedi support 1. 1301 ke qareeb hai. agar jora is satah se oopar rehta hai, to neechay ka rujhan khatam honay ka imkaan hai. taham mojooda sorat e haal mukhtalif hai. lehaza, mein tawaqqa karta hon ke eur / usd jora 1. 1250-1. 1270 ki had mein daakhil ho jaye ga, aur phir farokht par ghhor karna mumkin hai. stop order 1. 1301 par hai. zaroori support haasil karne ke liye, mein tawaqqa karta hon ke jori 1. 1175-1. 1160 ki had mein chalay gi. phir usay kam karne ki sifarish ki jati hai. doosri soorat mein, jori flat trading kere ga .

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                • #3368 Collapse

                  Assalam Alaikum!

                  EUR/USD jodi farokht ke signal de raha hai. Aaj jodi 1.1281 ki taraf niche ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai. Agar qimat 1.1280-75 se niche girti hai to, yah 1.1202-1 tak fisalne ka imkan hai. Kharidar is satah par euro/dollar ki himayat kar sakte hain.Click image for larger version

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                  Kaledi ilaqa 1.1261-70 par hai. Ek bar qimat ke is satah par pahunchne ke bad yah, 1.1190 tak girna jari rakh sakta hai aur 1.1261-70 ki taraf pullback kar sakta hai.
                     
                  • #3369 Collapse

                    Assalam Alaikum!

                    EUR/USD ki peshangoi. H1 chart par MA ooper ki taraf badh raha hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi ooper ki taraf rujhan dikha raha hai. Rujhan darmiyani line ke ooper waqe hai. H4 chart par, MA niche ki taraf movement dikha raha hai. Rujhan darmiyani line se niche hai. stochastic oscillator niche ki taraf badh raha hai. D1 chart par, MA gir raha hai. Stochastic oscillator badh raha hai. Rujhan darmiyani line ke niche waqe hai. Mujhe ummid hai keh euro 1.1310 ki taraf chadhega. Aaj, aham data jari kiya jana hai. Rujhan mila jula hai.

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                    • #3370 Collapse

                      Aaj ka levels indicator woh nahin hai jiski aap kami se pahle dekhne ki tawaqqo karenge. Red-line scenario ke bad downward movement develop ho sakta hai. Halankeh, indicators is rujhan ki himayat nahin karte hain. Lazmi zone qimat se niche waqe hai aur channel thoda ooper chala gaya hai. Iske alawa, yah haqiqat keh pichle tin dion se yah jodi channel ki oopri hadd par din shuru kar rahi hai, mujhe mashkuk lagta hai. Lehaza mai ab bhi niche ke rujhan ka intezar kar raha hun. Fir bhi, agar qimat tezi se peele rang ki satah se ooper jati hai to, yah chote time frames par wave ko tod degi. Agar aisa hota hai to, bahut imkan hai keh jodi nayi bulandiyon ki taraf badhegi.

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                      Pound ke bhi yahi hal hai. Lazmi zone aur channel ki oopri hadPound ke bhi yahi hal hai. Lazmi zone aur channel ki oopri hadd ek hi tarah se waqe hai, aur peele satah ke taur par nichle time frames par ek catalyst bhi hai. Lehaza, mai pound aur euro dono par apne stop loss order ko is satah par muntaqil kar diya. Mujhe ummid hai keh movement jari rahegi, aur ummid hai keh yah ek downside scenario hoga.d ek hi tarah se waqe hai, aur peele satah ke taur par nichle time frames par ek catalyst bhi hai. Lehaza, mai pound aur euro dono par apne stop loss order ko is satah par muntaqil kar diya. Mujhe ummid hai keh movement jari rahegi, aur ummid hai keh yah ek downside scenario hoga.

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                      • #3371 Collapse

                        Assalam Alaikum!

                        Kabhi-kabhi EUR/USD jodi koi pullback nahin karta hai aur kabhi-kabhi hafte ke dauran zyada ghair mustahkam trading hone par quotes me koi khas tabdili nahin aati hai. Asian session ka is jodi par koi asar padne ka imkan nahin hai kiyunkeh China Lunar New Year mna raha hai. 15.00 Moscow time par Olympics ka bazabtah aaghaz is jodi me kuch tabdiliyan la sakta hai.

                        Bahar hall, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat 1.1490-1.1500 tak pahunch jayegi, 1.1460 ki taraf paltaw karegi aur Peer tak sideways karobar karna shuru kar degi. Is scenario ke bad, yah wazeh nahin hai keh jodi ooper jayegi ya nahin kiyunkeh aaj ham ise sabit karne wale signal dekh sakte hain lekin ooper ka rujhan pure hafte barqarar rahabhai aur pullback ka bahut zyada imkan hai.

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                        Yaumiyah chart par, jodi 1.1490 - 1.1505 tak ucchal sakta hai, 1.1460 tak niche fisal sakta hai, aur sideways karobar shuru kar sakta hai.

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                        Market ko ummid hai keh aham economic data jari kiya jayega.

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                        Imkan nahin hai keh data dollar ko mazbut karega. Halankeh, is ummid se qimat badh sakti hai. Is tarah, yah mumkin hai keh qimat thodi kam ho jaye aur ek sideways channel ke andar karobar kare.
                           
                        • #3372 Collapse

                          Assalam Alaikum!

                          EUR/USD jodi me kal ki rally ke bad kahne ke liye kuch nahin hai kiyunkeh tasweer bilkul wazeh hai. Tradrs pullback ki ummid me short positions khol sakte hain ya 1.1500 ke hadaf ke sath long positions khol sakte hain.

                          Long positions kholne ke mazid imkanat honge aur rujhan ke sath-sath long/short ratio yah zahir karta hai keh trader pullback par bet laga kar jodi farokht kar rahe hain. Iska matlab hai keh in positions ke band hone se pahle niche ki taraf islah multawi kar di jayegi.

                          Waise, is hafte is jodi ke girne ka imkan bahut kam hai. Market ko America se muaashi aidad o shumar ki tawaqqo hai aur in ummidon par qimat ko ooper ki taraf dhakela gaya hai.

                          Aaj, traders 1.1500-1.1550 ke hadaf ke sath jodi kharidne ka iarada kar rahe hain.

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                          • #3373 Collapse

                            Assalam Alaikum!

                            Kal, bears ne dastak di thi kiyunkeh ECB ke meeting ke fauran bad jodi me 200 pips ka izafa hua. ECB ko market me is qadae shadid radde amal zahir kiye hue kafi waqt ho gaya hai, lehaza ham se bahut se log is tarah se twists ko bhul gaye hain. Iske alawa, jodi rujhan ke khilaf aage badh raha tha jisne suratehal ko penchidah bana diya.

                            Lehaza, mai filhal apne farokht ki positions ko khula rakhta hun lekin mai abhi bhi taslim karta hun keh qimat aaj aur bhi zyada badh sakti hai. Pahli muzahmat 1.1480 par waqe hai jabkeh dusri muzahmat 1.1520 ke qarib payi jati hai. Mujhe nahin lagta hai keh qimat in satahon se ooper jayegi, lekin kuch bhi ho sakta hai.

                            Darmiyani muddat me, mandi ka rujhan abh bhi apni jagah par hai. Quotes kabhi bhi 1.2 ke raqbe me wapas aa sakti hai, lekin takniki taur par aisa karne ke liye ise 1.1385 se niche girne ki zarurat hai. Iske bad, jodi ko farokht karna dubara relevant ho jayega. Is dauran, mai kaledi satahon par market me dakhil hone ki koshish kar raha hun jo kafi khatarnak hai.

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                            • #3374 Collapse

                              Assalam Alaikum!

                              Bears jodi ko niche dhakelne ki koshish kar rahe hain kiyunkeh woh Jumah ko koshish kar rahe the.

                              Filhal, euro 1.1430 ki taraf gir raha hai aur mujhe yaqin hai keh bears 1.1400 ka test karna chahte hain.

                              Agar woh is satah ko todne me kamyab ho jate hain, jo kafi mumkin hai kiyunkeh RSI aur stochastic oscillator niche ki taraf badh rahe hain aur RSI mandi ke rujhan ko support karta hai to, qimat 1.1365 tak pahunch sakti hai. Fir imkan hai keh qimat muzahmat 1.1400 par pullback karegi lekin ise chede begair.

                              Iske bad, jodi 1.1310 par support ki taraf mazid gir sakta hai jo keh TMA ka wast bhi hai. Mujhe lagta hai keh jodi 1.1120 ki nichli satah par hadaf ki taraf darmiyani muddati downward wave bana raha hai.

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                              Market samajhti hai keh ECB ki sarbarah Kristine Lagarde ke shadeed ifratzar ke khatrat par tabsere ne euro ko ooper ki taraf dhakel diya hai. ECB ke sarbarah ne is bat ki tasdiq nahin ki keh 2022 me kaledi sherah me izafe ka imkan bahut kam tha, jis se sarmayakaron ko ummid paida hui keh ECB is sal sud ki sherah badhane ke liye taiyar hai. Halankeh, is driver ko pahle hi market me shamil kiya ja chuka hai aur euro ko support karne wale aur koi driver nahin hain, lehaza mujhe lagta hai keh izafa abhi khatam ho gaya hai.
                                 
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                              • #3375 Collapse

                                Assalam Alaikum!

                                Euro ne kami ke sath session shuru kiya aur filhal 1.1430 par karobar kar raha hai. Takniki indicators niche ke rujhan ki tasdiq karte hain, aur market ka maujudah jazbat mandi ka shikar hai. Mujhe ummid hai keh yah jald hi badlega. Hafte ke aakhir me koi aham waqeya pesh nahin aaya aur aaj macroeconomic background taqriban khali hai. Lehaza hamein takniki awamil par inhesar karna chahiye jo filhal niche ki movement ki tasdiq karte hain. Aaj mai jodi ke 1.1400 ki satah ki taraf girne ki tawaqqo karta hun. Agar yah kam ho jata hai to, bears quotes ko 1.1380 aur 1.1360 ke aupport zone me dhakel sakte hain. Oooper ke scenario ka bhi imkan hai. Iske liye euro bulls ko 1.1470--1.1480 ke muzahmati ilaqe se ooper jana padega. Is surat me, un ka agla hadaf 1.1525 aur 1.1550 ki satah hogi. Agar yah sach hai to, mujhe apna positions badalna padega lekin mujhe ummid hai keh aaj aisa nahin hoga.

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