Eurusd forum

Assalamualaikum Trading kaise chal rahi hai pichlay dinon mein? Umeed hai sabhi members apne trading targets ke mutabiq achi kamyabi hasil kar rahe honge. Aaj subah bhi mein apna trading journal update kar raha hoon taake forex market ke aglay rujhan ka andaza lagaya ja sake. November se mein Eur/Usd market ki harkat ka mushahida kar raha hoon jo us waqt se bearish chal rahi thi jab tak yeh 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche gir gayi. Jab December ka aghaz hua toh market ka rujhan buyers ke qabzay mein aa gaya aur dheere dheere prices upar ki taraf chalne lagi. Iss hafte ke trading session mein price barh kar 1.0590 tak pohanch gayi hai. Hafte ke start mein halki bearish correction nazar aayi magar upward trend ne phir se apni jagah banayi. Aaj subah tak price uptrend mein hai aur candlestick ki position 100-period moving average ke upar stable hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers bullish side ki taraf jaane ki koshish kar rahe hain.Aaj ka market yeh zahir kar raha hai ke price mahine ke sabse neeche wale level se upar uth chuki hai. Trading ki is subah price restricted range mein hai lekin overall mahine ke start se bullish lagti hai. Buyers ki support ki wajah se price abhi tak upar ja raha hai. Pehle ke price izafay ne candlestick ko mahine ke aghaz wale zone se door le jaane mein madad ki hai. Eur/Usd ne apne safar ka aghaz 1.0575 ke level se kiya, aur 4-hour timeframe dikhata hai ke buyers ka asar barh raha hai jo price ko aur upar le ja raha hai.Hafte ke start se buyers price barhane ki koshish mein hain. Agar bara timeframe dekhein toh rujhan bullish hai aur lagta hai market ab bhi upward momentum ka intezaar kar rahi hai jo ya toh aaj ho sakta hai ya aglay hafte. Candlestick ka 100-period moving average ke upar rehna iss baat ka signal hai ke price bullish side par chal sakti hai, lekin fundamentals jaise ke Non-Farm Payroll news, iss movement ko support karenge.Subah kaafi quiet hai isliye humein dopahar ya sham tak signal ka intezaar karna hoga.

USDX
Assalam Alaikum! Pichle hafte, qimat ne 106.12 ki pahli haftawar support satah ko tod diya. Kal, isne 105.74 ki dusri haftawar support satah ko tod diya. Iska matlab hai keh US dollar index qadar khone se pahle 106.12 tak badhne ka imkan hai. Haqiqat me, jab qimat haftawar support ke darmiyan chalti hai to, yah jitni jaldi ho sake un me se kisi ek ko todne ki koshish karti hai. Aakhir kar, breakout ke bad breakout ki simt me ek mazbut qadam hota hai, jiski speculators tawaqqo karte hain.
Hamare mamle me, niche ki taraf harkat haqiqat me muqarrar hai, lehaza aaj ka sab se zyada imkani scenario mandi ka hai. Growth index manfi ilaqe ke nichli satah par hai, jiska matlab hai keh market participants girawat ka support karte hain.
Agar qimat niche jati hai to, imkan hai keh US dollar index 105.45-105.22 ke ilaqe ko hadaf banayega aur fir 104.87 ke nishan ki taraf badhega.
Agar qimat dobara badhne lagti hai aur channel boundary se ooper toot jati hai to, US dollar index 106.37-106.62 ke ilaqe tak pahunchne ka imkan hai.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
EUR/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Yah wazeh hai keh euro/dollar ki jodi me dobara kamzori shuru hone ka imkan nahin hai, jab tak keh iski haliya rally se islahi wapsi na ho. Sath hi, intraday pullback ke imkanat kafi zyada hain. Aakhir kar, kal euro ne 1.0585 ki pichli bulandi par ek wazeh radde amal zahir kiya, jo keh mazbut muzahmat dikhayi deta hai.
1.0562 par yaumiyah pivot ko pullback ke sath-sath support satah ke liye ek hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar qimat is nishan se niche girti hai to, euro/dollar ke jode se 1.0546 - 1.0520 ilaqe se apni islah ko dobara shuru karne ki ummid hai. Khas taur par, 1.0532 ka haftawar pivot point is range ke wasr me waqe hai.



Jahan tak mazid tezi ki islah ke hadaf ka talluq hai, aham hadaf 1.0614 par mahana pivot hai. Jode ki ooper ki harkat ke bawajud, darmiyani muddat ki tarjih dobara shuru hone wali kami ke liye bani hui hai. Yaumiyah chart par mumkena hadaf ki satah 1.0645 hai, lekin yah sirf us surat me hai jab qimat 1.0614 pivot point se ooper badhti hai.

دسمبر 6 2024 کو یورو/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

جمعرات کو، یورو نے 77 پِپس کا اضافہ کیا، جو چیلنجر کے امریکی اعداد و شمار کے مطابق اکتوبر میں ملازمتوں میں 55,597 سے بڑھ کر نومبر میں 57,727 تک پہنچ گیا۔ مایوسی میں اضافہ کرتے ہوئے، ایک گھنٹے بعد جاری ہونے والے ابتدائی بے روزگاری کے دعوے پچھلے ہفتے 215k سے بڑھ کر 224k ہو گئے۔ یہ بنیادی تکنیکی پیٹرن کیا تجویز کرتا ہے؟ ہو سکتا ہے کہ بڑے کھلاڑی یورو خریدنے کی تیاری کر رہے ہوں، یہاں تک کہ آج جاری ہونے والے غیر جانبدار امریکی لیبر ڈیٹا کے جواب میں۔



آج کی پیشین گوئیاں تشریح کی گنجائش فراہم کرتی ہیں۔ نومبر کے نان فارم پے رولز (NFP) میں 202k کا اضافہ متوقع ہے، لیکن بے روزگاری بھی 4.1% سے 4.2% تک بڑھنے کا امکان ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ معمولی انحراف کو بھی "کمزور" قرار دیا جا سکتا ہے۔

تکنیکی نقطہ نظر سے پتہ چلتا ہے کہ قیمت کا مقصد 1.0598 مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر جانا ہے، جس کی حمایت معروف مارلن آسیلیٹر کی طرف سے کی گئی ہے، جو تیزی کے علاقے میں مضبوطی سے برقرار ہے۔

ترقی کا پہلا ہدف 1.0667 پر مزاحمت ہے، جہاں قیمت بیلنس لائن کا سامنا کرے گی۔ یہاں کامیابی یورو کو 1.0762/77 ٹارگٹ رینج میں اپنی چڑھائی جاری رکھنے کی اجازت دے سکتی ہے، جو کہ 23-29 اکتوبر تک ایک سپورٹ زون ہے۔ (آخری جائزہ کے بعد سے ہدف کی سطحوں کو قدرے ایڈجسٹ کیا گیا ہے)۔

مندی کا منظر نامہ صرف اس صورت میں سامنے آئے گا جب قیمت 1.0461 سے نیچے آجائے، جو تیزی کے منصوبے کی نفی کرتا ہے۔ قیمت بیلنس لائن اور 1.0598 ہدف کی سطح کے درمیان مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں اپنی ترقی کو بڑھا رہا ہے۔ اگلا اقدام زیادہ تر آج کے یو ایس لیبر مارکیٹ کے ڈیٹا پر منحصر ہوگا۔



.تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

EUR/USD Analysis (H4 Timeframe)
EUR/USD ka current price 1.0585 par hai, jo recent price movement ke baad consolidation dikhata hai. Chart ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi neutral phase mein hai, lekin indicators kuch important insights de rahe hain.

1. Price Action:
   Price ne recent weeks mein downward trend follow kiya tha, lekin ab ek slight recovery nazar aa rahi hai. 1.0600 ka resistance level abhi tak intact hai, jo short-term bullish breakout ke liye zaruri hai. Agar price is level ko todh le, toh agla target 1.0680 tak ja sakta hai. Is ke baraks, agar price neeche girta hai, toh 1.0450 ek strong support area ho sakta hai.
2. Volume Analysis:
   Volume abhi moderate hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein ziada strong buyers ya sellers ka presence nahi hai. Agar volume mein izafa hota hai, toh price movement bhi zyada aggressive ho sakti hai.
3. MACD Indicator:
   MACD abhi positive zone mein hai, jo bullish momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin histogram abhi kamzor hai, jo confirm karta hai ke buyers mein ziada strength nahi hai. Agar MACD lines divergence dikhayein, toh market mein trend change ho sakta hai.
4. AC Indicator:
   Accelerator Oscillator upward momentum dikhata hai, lekin signals abhi weak hain. Yeh tabhi confirm karega agar price 1.0600 resistance level todh le.

Trading Recommendations:

• Buy: Agar price 1.0600 resistance todh kar upar close kare, toh bullish continuation ke liye buy karna better hai. Pehla target 1.0680 ho sakta hai.
• Sell: Agar price 1.0570 se neeche close kare, toh short-term decline ho sakta hai jahan 1.0450 ka support test ho sakta hai.
• Conclusion:

Abhi market ek consolidation phase mein hai, aur agla move indicators aur key levels par depend karega. Traders ko zarurat hai ke risk management ka dhyan rakhein aur major levels ke breakout ya rejection ka intezar karein. Hamesha apne stop loss aur take profit levels predefined rakhein.

EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis:
EUR/USD pair abhi daily time frame par recovery phase mein hai, magar abhi bhi major bearish trend ke andar hai. Chart par price ne neeche se bounce kiya hai aur 1.0540 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai. Ichimoku Cloud ke neeche hone ki wajah se overall trend bearish hai, lekin short-term bullish momentum nazar aa raha hai.
Support Aur Resistance Levels:
Chart ke mutabiq, neeche ke liye strong support 1.0490 par maujood hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agli demand zone 1.0439 par ho sakti hai.
Ooper resistance ke liye pehla zone 1.0565 hai. Agar price is level ke ooper sustain karti hai, to agli manzil 1.0600 aur phir 1.0735 tak ja sakti hai.
Indicators Ka Analysis:

• Ichimoku Cloud: Price abhi bhi cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko mazboot banata hai. Lekin Tenkan-Sen aur Kijun-Sen ke upar close hone ki wajah se short-term bullish recovery ka signal milta hai.
• Parabolic SAR: Yeh indicator neeche bullish dots show kar raha hai, jo upward momentum ki confirmation deta hai.
• Moving Averages: Price abhi 50-Period Moving Average ke neeche hai, jo abhi bhi sellers ke control ko dikhata hai.

Trading Opportunities:

1. Buying Scenario: Agar price 1.0565 ka level todti hai aur wahan se ooper sustain karti hai, to short-term target 1.0600 aur phir 1.0735 ho sakta hai. Yeh conservative buy entry hogi.
2. Selling Scenario: Agar price 1.0490 ke neeche girti hai, to bearish momentum barh sakta hai, aur price 1.0439 ya uske neeche ja sakti hai.

Conclusion:
Trend ke against trade karne se guraiz karein aur risk management ka khayal rakhein. Agar price key levels todti hai, to uske mutabiq apni positions adjust karein. Overall, abhi pair recovery kar raha hai, lekin major bearish trend intact hai. High-impact economic data ke doran trade karte hue extra ehtiyaat karein.

EUR/USD H4 Chart Analysis
Chart ko dekhte hue, EUR/USD H4 timeframe mein price ne recent bullish momentum dikhaya hai, lekin ab 200-EMA (yellow line) ke paas resistance face kar raha hai. Ye resistance area **1.0600-1.0610** ke aas-paas hai, jahan se price ne reject hone ke baad neeche ki taraf move kiya. Ab price 50-EMA (white line) ke paas support dhundh raha hai, jo **1.0535-1.0540** ke aas-paas hai.
Trend Ka Tafsilat:
EMA Analysis: 200-EMA ek strong resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, jo long-term bearish trend ko show karta hai. Lekin 50-EMA ke upar price ka hona short-term bullish support ka indication de raha hai. Agar price 50-EMA ke neeche girta hai, to ye bearish continuation ka signal hoga.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Neeche jo oscillator dikh raha hai, wo oversold zone se upar ki taraf move kar raha hai (21-36 range). Iska matlab hai ke short-term bullish recovery ho sakti hai. Lekin agar oscillator overbought zone (80+) ke paas pahunchta hai, to phir wahan se selling pressure aasakta hai.

Key Levels:
1. Resistance:
200-EMA ke paas:
1.0600-1.0610. Agar price isko todta hai, to agla bullish target 1.0650 ho sakta hai.
2. Support:
50-EMA ke paas:
1.0535-1.0540. Agar price is level ko todta hai, to neeche ka agla support 1.0480-1.0500 ho sakta hai.
Trading Strategy:
Buying Opportunity:
Agar price 50-EMA ke upar sustain kare aur bullish confirmation mile, to buy karen aur target 1.0600-1.0610 tak set karein.
Selling Opportunity: Agar price 50-EMA ke neeche girta hai, to short-selling ka plan banayein aur target 1.0480-1.0500 tak rakhein.
Risk Management:
Risk ko manage karna zaruri hai. Stop loss buy positions ke liye 1.0520 aur sell positions ke liye 1.0615 par rakhein. Entry points ke liye hamesha candlestick confirmation ka intezar karein.

EUR/USD ka pair Friday ke din buyers ke control mein raha, jo price ko bullish territory mein le gaye.Lekin sellers ne 1.0604 ke resistance area par mazbooti dikhayi aur price ko neeche bearish direction mein dhakel diya. Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka analysis dikhata hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo 1.0544 ke Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar price ko maintain kar rahe hain. Kal ke din sellers ne price ko neeche bearish push diya tha, jiski wajah se ek Bearish Doji candlestick bani. Agar price 1.0544 ke upar rehne mein kaamyab hoti hai aur buyers 1.0538 ke support area ko defend karte hain, toh kal ka bearish movement sirf ek correction sabit hoga.Agle hafte ke trading sessions mein, agar buyers dominate karte hain, toh price ke aur upar Upper Bollinger Bands area yani 1.0651 ki taraf jaane ke chances hain. Monday ke trading session mein bullish movements ke dominate karne ki umeed hai kyunke market close hone ke qareeb tak buyers ne 1.0538 ke support area ko mazbooti se hold kiya.Buyers ka agla target price ko upar le ja kar 1.0604-1.0605 ke seller resistance area ko test karna hoga. Agar yeh resistance tod diya jata hai, toh price aur zyada upar ja kar 1.0654-1.0655 ke seller supply resistance area tak pohanch sakta hai.Sell entry ka moka tab milega jab sellers 1.0538-1.0537 ke buyer support area ko tod kar neeche price le jate hain, jahan TP target area 1.0508-1.0507 ho sakta hai. Buy entry tab suggest ki jati hai jab buyers 1.0604-1.0605 ke seller resistance area ko todte hain, jahan TP ka target 1.0654-1.0655 hoga.
Investors ka focus Monday ko US ke November labor market data par hoga. Forecast hai ke nonfarm payrolls November mein 200,000 barhenge, jo October ke 12,000 ke comparison mein kaafi zyada hai (jo hurricanes aur strikes ki wajah se limited tha). Agar NFP ka print 150,000 ya isse kam hota hai, toh December mein Fed ke rate cut ke chances barh sakte hain, jo USD par negative asar daal sakta hai. Lekin agar data 200,000 se zyada hota hai, toh December rate cut ki umeed kam ho sakti hai jo EUR/USD ke liye ek bullish signal banega.Agle US session mein kai Fed policymakers ke speeches bhi expected hai jo USD ki value par asar daal sakti hain.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Euro ne Dobara Bullish Movement Pakar leya

Euro European trade mein Friday ko ek week high se neeche gir gaya dollar ke against, profit-taking ki wajah se. Investors abhi bhi French political crisis aur current government ke girne par nazar rakhe hue hain.

Saath hi, crucial US payrolls report ka intezar ho raha hai, jo is mahine ke US monetary policy changes ke hints de sakti hai.

The Price
EUR/USD 0.2% gir ke $1.0566 par aaya, session-high $1.0588 raha.

Thursday ko yeh pair 0.7% upar gaya, jo teesra consecutive profit tha, aur week high $1.0589 par pohancha. Is doran French bonds stabilize hue, jab ke US 10-year treasury yields neeche gire.

France ka Political Crisis
French President Emmanuel Macron ne Thursday ko apne allies aur Parliamentary leaders se mulaqat ki, naye prime minister ko appoint karne ke liye, Barnieh ke resignation ke baad, jo ek no-confidence vote ke baad aaya tha.

Pehle ki government 2025 ke budget par gehri differences ki wajah se collapse kar gayi, jab ke France financial deficit crisis ka samna kar raha hai. Opposition parties ke rolling back spending par protests ne bhi governmental collapse mein contribute kiya.

European Rates
European Central Bank ke President Christine Lagarde ne Brussels mein European Parliament se kaha ke inflation ke khilaf ECB ki ladai apne end ke kareeb hai, lekin abhi tak jeeti nahi gayi.

ECB agle hafte ke meeting mein Europe ki political uncertainty par shayad comment na kare. December mein ECB 0.25% interest rate cut ke chances 90% hain.

US Rates
Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, December mein Federal Reserve ke 0.25% rate cut ke odds 78% hain.

Ab investors US payrolls report ka intezar kar rahe hain jo mazeed clues de sakti hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Euro ne is haftay market mein kaafi back-and-forth movement dekhi hai. Euro ka focus ab 1.05 level par hai, jo ek bara round number hai, aur uske baad 1.0350 level par.

Agar week ke top ke upar break hota hai, to 1.0750 level tak pohancha jaa sakta hai. Lekin yeh yaad rakhein ke US dollar ek aise economy ka representative hai jo European Union ke muqable mein zyada strong hai. General taur par, market mein sideways action dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur yeh agle ek ya do hafton tak jari reh sakta hai.

Aaj hum EUR/USD ki price movement ka tajziya karte hain. Filhal EUR/USD ka rate 1.0567 par hai aur USD index (DXY) 105.97 par trade kar raha hai. Moving average indicators negative signal de rahe hain kyunke EUR/USD 20-day exponential moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur 50-day EMA bhi price ke upar hai, jo bearish trend ko support karta hai. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi negative signal de raha hai, kyunke signal line ya slow line zero line ke neeche hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14 indicator ka reading 50.3597 par hai, jo bhi bearish signal ko mazboot karta hai. Indicators ke mutabiq, agar chart ka ghoor se mutala kiya jaye, toh EUR/USD mein negative trend ka asar nazar aa raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price mazeed neeche ja sakta hai, kyunke moving averages, MACD, aur RSI indicators sab bearish trend ka pata de rahe hain.Technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq, aaj EUR/USD ka pehla resistance level 1.0589 par hai. Doosra target 1.0628 hai aur teesra 1.1300 ka resistance level hai. Is ke baraks, support levels ke mutabiq pehla support 1.0551 par hai, doosra target 1.0513 par aur teesra support level 1.0461 par hai. Yeh tamam support aur resistance levels chart par wazeh kiye gaye hain.Chart ke mutabiq EUR/USD narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo critical 1.0560 support level ke aas paas hai. Chhoti-bodied candlesticks market ki indecision aur consolidation phase ko signal kar rahi hain. Traders ek aise catalyst ka intezar kar rahe hain jo aglay major move ko trigger kare. Agar 1.0560 support level barqarar rahta hai, toh price short-term pullback karte hue 1.0748 resistance level tak ja sakta hai, jo 50-day EMA ke saath coincide karta hai. Lekin, jab tak EUR/USD 1.0748 resistance level ko todta nahi, broader bearish trend intact rahega. Agar 1.0560 support level toot jata hai, toh price mazeed neeche ja sakta hai aur aglay support levels samne aa sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar price 1.0748 resistance ko todta hai, toh temporary reversal ka asar ho sakta hai, lekin US Dollar ki dominance ki wajah se Euro ka koi bhi significant rally short-lived ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Analysis (H4 Timeframe)
EUR/USD is waqt 1.05924 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo ek important resistance level hai. Chart se yeh nazar aa raha hai ke price ne 200-period moving average ko touch kiya hai, lekin wahan se strong rejection hua hai. Is rejection ka matlab hai ke market abhi downward pressure mein hai aur bullish momentum itna strong nahi lagta.
Price ne recent days mein steady recovery dikhayi thi, lekin 1.06380 ke resistance zone ko todhne mein kamyab nahi hua. Agar price is resistance ke neeche rehta hai, toh agla target 1.03521 ke support zone ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jo ek strong buyer area hai.
Indicators ka Analysis:

• RSI indicator abhi 54.75 par hai, jo neutral range ke beech mein hai. Yeh overbought ya oversold nahi lag raha, lekin agar price neeche ki taraf move karta hai aur RSI 30 ke kareeb aata hai, toh oversold zone mein enter karega. Yeh buyer ke liye ek potential entry point ho sakta hai.
• Volume analysis ke mutabiq, price ke resistance ke kareeb pohanchne par high volumes dekhi gayi hain, jo selling pressure ko confirm karti hai.

Key Levels to Watch:

• Resistance: 1.06380 (200-MA ke kareeb). Agar yeh tod diya jaye, toh bullish rally 1.07000 tak jaa sakti hai.
• Support: 1.03521, jo ek strong psychological level hai. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh price aur neeche gir kar 1.02000 tak ja sakta hai.

Market Ka Possible Scenario:
Agar price 1.05924 ke upar sustain karta hai, toh short-term bullish momentum wapas aa sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level todta nahi, toh selling pressure barqarar rahega. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hoga ke woh agle din ke price action aur support/resistance levels ko closely monitor karein.
Yeh waqt careful trading ka hai. Buy karne ke liye confirmation ka intezaar karein, aur sell karne ke liye support break ka wait karein. Wise money management ke saath kaam karein aur risk ko control mein rakhein.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart Analysis

EUR/USD ki price action ek interesting setup dikhati hai. Yahan kuch key observations aur possible trading ideas discuss karte hain:
Moving Averages ka Analysis
Chart par white line 200-EMA (Exponential Moving Average) aur yellow lines 50-EMA ko dikhati hain. Yeh dono moving averages trend ka signal dete hain.
Price filhal 200-EMA ke upar hai, jo ek bullish trend ko support kar raha hai. Lekin 200-EMA ke kareeb consolidation kaafi strong hai, aur yeh area short-term support zone ban sakta hai.
Recent Price Action
Price ne recent high (1.0625 ke kareeb) touch karte hi neeche correction shuru ki, jo ke natural profit-taking phase ho sakta hai.
Ab price wapas se 200-EMA ke kareeb stability dikhata hai, jo ek bounce ki umeed ko mazboot karta hai.
Stochastic Oscillator ka Signal
Neeche stochastic oscillator oversold zone (20 level ke neeche) se reversal dikhata hai. Yeh signal deta hai ke price ab upward momentum shuru kar sakta hai.
Filhal stochastic ki line upward move karti nazar aa rahi hai, jo buyers ki strength ko confirm kar rahi hai.

Trading Idea:
Agar price 200-EMA se bounce kare aur ek strong bullish candle bane, to buy entry ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai.
Entry Point: 1.0560-1.0570
Take Profit: Pehla target 1.0600 aur doosra 1.0625 ho sakta hai.
Stop Loss: 1.0540 ke neeche lagayein.
Lekin agar price 200-EMA tod kar neeche jaaye, to bearish momentum shuru ho sakta hai. Is case mein,
Sell Entry: 1.0540 ke neeche
Take Profit: 1.0525 aur agla target 1.0500 ho sakta hai.
Stop Loss: 1.0560 ke upar.
Risk Management
Risk ko control karna zaruri hai. Hamesha apna position size thoda rakhein aur stop loss zarur lagayein. Chart par indicators aur levels ka dhyan rakhte hue disciplined trading karein.

vBulletin [video]

Euro ne downtrend support se rebound liya hai aur recovery ab ek important resistance pivot ke qareeb hai. EUR/USD ka immediate focus is haftay ke range break par hai, jab US CPI aur ECB ka rate decision samne hai.

Resistance Levels:
1.0670-1.0718 (key), 1.0777, 1.0877
Support Levels:
1.0420, 1.0352 (key), 1.02

Euro is haftay halki si girawat ke saath close hua, magar EUR/USD ne yearly trend support se rebound kiya. Bada outlook ab bhi downside ki taraf hai, lekin December ke dauran focus is recovery par hai, jahan bulls ek critical pivot zone ko target kar rahe hain. Euro weekly technical chart par battle lines draw hain.

Technical Outlook
Pichle mahine ki Euro Technical Forecast mein kaha gaya tha:

"Ek teen-week ki girawat ne EUR/USD ko downtrend support aur ek major pivot zone par la diya hai- downside exhaustion / price inflection ke liye risk hai. Trading ke liye yeh ek acha zone hai Euro short-exposure ko reduce karne ka aur protective stops ko neeche lane ka- rallies ko 1.0670 tak limited rehna chahiye agar price neeche break karne ki taraf hai, jahan 1.0352 ke neeche close karna agle girawat ka raasta banayega."

EUR/USD ne un lows se lagbhag 2.9% ka rally kiya aur focus ab September ke downtrend test par hai.

Weekly Resistance: Ab yeh 1.0670-1.0719 ke beech hai, jo yearly range ke 38.2% retracement aur November ke high-week close (HWC) se define hota hai. Median-line bhi year ke end tak is zone ke saath converge karti hai. Agar price yahan se breach / close kare, to iska matlab ek significant low register hua hai aur ek badi trend reversal underway hai.

Subsequent Resistance: February ke low-week close (LWC) par 1.0777 aur broader bearish invalidation 61.8% retracement par 1.0877 hai.

Initial Weekly Support: Yearly close-low par 1.0420 aur phir 2016 low par 1.0352. Agar price is threshold ke neeche break / weekly close kare, to iska matlab downtrend ka resumption hai jo lower parallel / 61.8% retracement par 1.02-handle tak ja sakta hai. Agar price yahan tak pahucha, to ek bara reaction hone ka intezar karein.

Bottom Line
Downtrend support se ek rebound ab trend resistance ke test ki taraf ja raha hai. Trading ke liye, jab tak price 1.0420 ke upar hai, ek badi rebound ka risk hai. Lekin agar price 1.0670 tak pahucha, to long-exposure ko reduce karen aur protective stops ko raise karen.



Next week US inflation data aur ECB interest rate decision aa rahe hain (25 basis point cut expect hai), isliye trades mein flexibility rakhein. Weekly close ko monitor karen guidance ke liye. Euro ke short-term outlook ke liye mera detailed analysis dekhain.

EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis
EUR/USD ka daily chart abhi tak aik strong bearish trend show kar raha hai, jisme price downward trend line aur resistance level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Is waqt market mein consolidation ka phase hai, lekin bullish breakout ke liye koi strong signal nazar nahi aa raha.
Chart mein yellow downward trend line nazar aa rahi hai, jo price ke liye major resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai. Is line ke neeche price kayi martaba reject ho chuki hai. Iske ilawa, horizontal resistance level 1.0565 ka hai, jo abhi tak bulls ke liye barrier bana hua hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan price pehle bhi resist kar chuki hai, isliye yeh ek critical level hai.
Support levels ki baat karein toh price 1.0400 ke aas-paas strong support zone ke qareeb hai. Agar price neeche girti hai, toh 1.0400 ka dobara test expected hai. Lekin agar price is support se bounce karti hai, toh bullish momentum ka aghaz ho sakta hai.
Moving Averages (white lines) bhi neeche ki taraf hain, jo overall bearish trend ko confirm kar rahi hain. Yeh moving averages price ke liye resistance ka kaam kar sakti hain agar price upper breakout ki koshish kare.
RSI indicator ka level 42 ke qareeb hai, jo neutral zone mein hai lekin slightly bullish momentum ka ishara de raha hai. Agar RSI 50 ke upar chala jaye, toh bullish momentum mazeed strong ho sakta hai.
Key Scenarios:

1. Agar price 1.0565 resistance aur downward trend line ke upar close kare, toh buy karne ka moka ban sakta hai, jahan agla target 1.0700 ho sakta hai.
2. Lekin agar price 1.0565 se reject hoti hai aur neeche girti hai, toh 1.0400 ka test karna aur neeche break karna mumkin hai.

Tajwez:
Buy karne ke liye confirm breakout ka intezar karein. Agar price resistance se reject ho, toh sell karne ka mauqa ban sakta hai, lekin zaroori hai ke proper signal ka intezar karein aur risk management ka khayal rakhein.

EUR/USD pair ne pehle ek descending price channel banaya jo south ki taraf expand ho raha tha lekin 1.0340 ke low se rebound ke baad pair ne growth shuru ki aur corrective northern wave mein trade karte hue weekly level 1.0563 par close kiya. Price trend line ke sath north ki taraf move kar raha hai jahan se bar bar bounce karke neeche jata hai. Friday ko pair ne 1.0625 ke high se rebound karte hue correction mein decline kiya aur mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.0500 ya 1.0510 tak gir sakta hai jahan se ek strong bounce expected hai. Is level par pending buy orders place karna acha ho sakta hai aur resistance line tak move ki umeed hai jo lagbhag 1.0650 ke qareeb hai. Hourly chart par do ascending price channels hain ek wide aur doosra narrow aur pair northern direction mein trade kar raha hai. 1.0540 ke support se rebound ke baad buyers ke liye target 1.0650 ya 1.0700 tak buy karna hai. Upward trend dikh raha hai lekin downward trend ka risk bhi hai jo price ko 1.0333 tak le ja sakta hai lekin agar price 1.0683 par downward trend line tod deta hai toh upward movement confirm ho sakta hai. Four-hour chart par Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq targets hain pehla 1.0675 par doosra 1.0814 par aur teesra 1.1038 par. Yeh support zone 1.0510-55 se bounce karne aur resistance zone 1.0575-95 ya 1.0620-35 todne ki koshish kar sakta hai. False breakout ya full breakout dono hi possibilities hain aur price consolidate karte hue 1.07-1.08 tak barh sakta hai. Hal-filhal trend upward lag raha hai lekin downward risk ka bhi dhyan rakhna hoga.