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USD/JPY Analysis


USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.

Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par meri nazar hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai.

30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11 hai.

1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.

Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega.

Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai.

Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha.

Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain.


4o mini






USD/JPY Analysis USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.

Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par meri nazar hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai.

30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11 hai.

1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.

Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega.

Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai.

Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha.

Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain.

USD/JPY Analysis


USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.

Meri nazar Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai.

30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11 hai.

1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.

Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega.

Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai.

Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha.

Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain.USD/JPY Analysis USD/JPY ka haal hi ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke price 144.40 tak gir gaya hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh 146.50 se neeche nahi jaayega. US dollar index ki tezi geopolitical tensions ki wajah se hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY is supply zone 145.50 ke paar phir se recover karega.

Meri nazar Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par hai: 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720. Pehle ki bearish trend line ko bulls ne paar kar diya hai, jo buying volume ke barhne ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price 142.901 tak girta hai, to bearish trend ki sambhavna bhi hai.

30-minute chart dikhata hai ke oscillator oversold conditions par hai, aur histogram mein uptrend shuru ho raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price green zone ke through move kar sakta hai aur purani sideways range mein wapas aa sakta hai, jahan support 153.11 hai.

1-hour chart par, aaj ka trading session is baat se shuru hua ke price ne pichle do dinon ke highest level ko tod diya, aur ab do mukhtalif price channels ke andar move kar raha hai. Pehla channel, jo blue rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, pichle do trading dinon ka sideways trend reflect karta hai. Doosra channel, jo red rang mein hai, kal ke trading session ke dauran dekhay gayi upward trend ko represent karta hai.

Filhal, price blue channel ke upar break kar gaya hai aur ab wapas aa kar isko retest kar raha hai. Agar price blue channel line ko touch karta hai, to yeh tawaqqo hai ke yeh dobara upward bounce karega, aur apni rise ko resistance level 1.1211 tak continue karega. Agar bearish scenario dekha jaye, to agar price dobara blue channel ke andar aata hai, to yeh aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, aur weekly pivot level 1.1139 tak pochne ke baad shayad wahan se dobara upar rebound karega.

Economic front par, Eurozone mein recent data ne kuch khatarnaak trends ko highlight kiya hai. Business activity September mein unexpected contraction ki taraf gayi, jo services aur manufacturing sectors mein bigharte hue halat ko dikhata hai. S&P Global ke mutabiq, region ka Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) August ke 51.0 se gir kar 48.9 par aa gaya, jo ke pehli dafa February ke baad contraction dikhata hai.

Is decline ka zyada asar weak demand aur Germany aur France jaise key economies mein economic challenges ki wajah se tha. 50-point mark ke neeche girna economic activity ki slowdown ko dikhata hai, jo future growth ke liye concerns badha raha hai, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ke potential policy easing par speculation ko barhawa de raha hai. Services PMI bhi sharp fall ka shikar hua, jo August ke 52.9 se September mein gir kar 50.5 ho gaya, jabke manufacturing PMI mazeed 44.8 par aa gaya, jo ke pehle 45.8 tha.

Germany, jo ke region ki sabse bari economy hai, khaas challenges face kar raha hai, jahan economy second quarter mein 0.1% se contract hui, aur third quarter mein bhi further decline ke asar hain. Yeh economic trends Eurozone ke liye badhne wali uncertainty ko dikhate hain, jo market movements ko bhi influence kar sakti hain.

EUR/USD Market Ki Situation Aur Analysis


EUR/USD market ki halat par nazar daal kar H4 time frame ke chart ka istemal kiya. Yeh dekhne mein kaafi dilchasp laga kyunke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai, jahan guzishta kuch dinon se market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi. Wo neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe the, lekin chart par yeh dekha gaya ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke tor par istemal ho sakti hai.

Agar sellers is support area ko todne mein nakam rahte hain, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain. Is liye, main ek trading plan tayar karunga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga. H4 time frame ke mutabiq, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support-resistance boundary line ki madad bhi le raha hoon.

H4 time frame ke chart par EUR/USD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Daily timeframe mein dekhte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue nahi kar sake, kyunke sellers ke pressure ki wajah se market correction ke liye neeche chali gayi. Is haftay ki bearish koshish abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya, aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha.

Stochastics ke mazeed analysis se maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EUR/USD ki prices ko barhane ka momentum mil sakta hai. Maujooda market movement abhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyunke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai.

Guzishta mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyunke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai.


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EUR/USD Market Ki Situation Aur Analysis EUR/USD market ki halat par nazar daal kar H4 time frame ke chart ka istemal kiya. Yeh dekhne mein kaafi dilchasp laga kyunke raat ke market trend mein izafa hone ka mauqa nazar aa raha hai. Yeh ek reversal signal hai, jahan guzishta kuch dinon se market mein price movement asal mein sellers ke qabze mein thi. Wo neeche le jane ki koshish kar rahe the, lekin chart par yeh dekha gaya ke bearish koshish abhi bhi 1.1004 level se breakout karne mein nakam rahi hai, jo is haftay support ke tor par istemal ho sakti hai.

Agar sellers is support area ko todne mein nakam rahte hain, toh trend mein izafa hota rehne ke imkaanat hain. Is liye, main ek trading plan tayar karunga taake yeh andaza laga sakuun ke kab price upar ki taraf harakat karna shuru karegi aur agla maqsad kya hoga. H4 time frame ke mutabiq, main stochastic oscillator indicator aur support-resistance boundary line ki madad bhi le raha hoon.

H4 time frame ke chart par EUR/USD ki price movement ne pehle ke bearish correction candlestick ki shape se reversal signal dikhaya hai. Daily timeframe mein dekhte hain ke guzishta hafte ke trading session mein buyers bullish trend ko continue nahi kar sake, kyunke sellers ke pressure ki wajah se market correction ke liye neeche chali gayi. Is haftay ki bearish koshish abhi bhi jari hai, lekin guzishta Thursday ko achi buying interest ne candlestick ki position ko behtar banaya, aur market ke liye bullish rally ka rasta khola, bilkul us trend ki tarah jo August ke aakhir mein tha.

Stochastics ke mazeed analysis se maloom hota hai ke signal line 80 zone tak barh gayi hai, jo market ke phir se izafa hone ke imkaanat ka tasavvur deta hai. Buyers ke paas aaj bhi EUR/USD ki prices ko barhane ka momentum mil sakta hai. Maujooda market movement abhi 1.1078 ke aas paas static hai. Main khud aaj dopahar se mazeed izafa ke signal ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyunke abhi tak market transactions mein koi volatility nahi hui hai.

Guzishta mahine ke benchmark ke mutabiq, wahan par ek mustahkam izafa nazar aa raha hai jo neeche ki taraf corrections ke saath mix hai. Chahe market zyada bullish hi kyon na ho, main intezaar karunga jab tak buyers 1.1096 resistance zone ko breakout kar ke buy signal ko valid na bana le. Aaj ke market movement ka imkaan beech mein hi rahega kyunke is Friday USD par koi high impact news nahi hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
E U R / U S D

Good Morning colleagues, aaj main apne analysis ko update karunga jismein predictions aur trading setup shamil hain EUR/USD ke liye. Toh chaliye aaj ki EUR/USD analysis ka agaz karte hain is time frame chart ki madad se. EUR/USD is waqt 1.0498 par trade kar raha hai. Agar aap is chart ko dekhen, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke market lagataar downtrend bana raha hai, aur yeh sell trade karne ka behtareen waqt hai taake achha profit kamaya ja sake. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka value 49 hai. RSI ka girta hua value market ki value ke girne ka ishara deta hai. Saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ka floating value -0.0075 hai, jo ek strong market trend ko darshata hai. Prices jo pehle hi 50 aur 20 moving averages se neeche hain, yeh prices ke neeche ki taraf move karne ka rujhan dikhata hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
E U R / U S D

EUR/USD ke liye primary resistance level 1.2296 hai. Buyers ka agla price target hai ke wo untested resistance ko penetrate kar saken jo 1.3985 par hai. Phir EUR/USD pair ke paas apne bullish movement ko agle resistance level 1.6003 ki taraf continue karne ki potential hai.

Dusri taraf, primary support zone 1.0498 par hai aur secondary zone 0.9598 par, jahan EUR/USD price decline ke saath breach ho sakta hai. Iske baad pair support level 0.8567 se neeche girne ki koshish karega. Ab dekhte hain is hafte kya hota hai. Aaj main intezar karunga ke price kaise react karegi jab wo weak support area ko penetrate karne ki koshish karegi. Agar price ise theek se penetrate kar leti hai, toh main sell order place karunga.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:

• MACD Indicator:
• RSI Indicator (Period 14):
• 50-day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Orange):
• 20-day Exponential Moving Average (Color: Magenta):

EURUSD pair ki Daily time frame ka tajziya:

Aakhri Jumme ko, sellers phir se mauqa kho baithe ke woh price ko aur neeche le ja sakte, kyunki buyers ki taqat ne support area 1.0828-1.0830 ko sambhal kar rakha aur phir mazid taqat ke saath bullish pressure daala, jisse price kafi taqat se upar gayi.

Moving Average indicator ka jaiza lete hue, yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke price ya candle ab tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo price ko phir se Yellow MA 200 area 1.0872 tak le jaane mein kaamyaab rahe. Bullish candlestick ka formation, buyers ko ek mauqa deta hai ke woh phir se test karein aur Yellow MA 200 area ke upar jaane ki koshish karein. Agar yeh koshish kaamyaab hoti hai aur price Yellow MA 200 ke upar rukti hai, to yeh agle bullish mauqe ka darwaza kholta hai, jiska agla target Blue MA 100 area 1.0934-1.0935 hoga. Lekin agar yeh koshish na ho sake, to price phir se bearish hone ki taraf ja sakti hai, jiska target buyers ke demand support area 1.0789-1.0787 hoga.

Kal, Monday ko, price ke phir se bullish hone ki ummeed hai, jiska sabse nazdeek ka bullish target sellers ke resistance area 1.0897-1.0899 ko test karna hoga. Agar sellers ka resistance area tod diya gaya, to ek higher bullish mauqa khulta hai jiska agla target next seller ke supply resistance area 1.0918-1.0920 hoga. Lekin agar sellers apne nazdeek ke resistance area ko sambhal kar rakhte hain, to price phir se bearish ho sakti hai, jiska agla target buyers ke support area 1.0838-1.0836 hoga.

**Nateejah:**

Agar price sellers ke resistance area ko tod deti hai, to buy ya long trading option ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Aap 1.0897-1.0899 par ek pending buy-stop order aur 1.0918-1.0920 par TP area rakh sakte hain.

Agar price buyers ke support area ko todne mein kaamyab hoti hai, to sell ya short trading option kiya ja sakta hai. Iske liye aap 1.0838-1.0836 par ek pending sell-stop order aur 1.0813-1.0810 par TP area rakh sakte hain.

Yuro ka rukh is saal ke baqaiy mein bazaar ki umeedon se juda hoga jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate faislon ke gird ghoomta hai. Umeed hai ke ECB apni do bachi hui meetingon mein ek interest rate ka kataav karega. Is ke muqabil, America ke consumer confidence ke isharaat kamzor ho gaye hain, jo ke ek talafuq ko darshata hai average American consumer aur stock market ki umeedon ke darmiyan, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ko lekar hai. US mein confidence levels teen saal ke sab se neechay hain, jabke agle 12 mahinon ke liye inflation ki umeedain thodi barh gayi hain. Yeh data US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation ke aane wale updates ki ahmiyat ko darshata hai. Is darmiyan, Yuro ne 1.1200 ke resistance se upar jhampne ke baad bechne ka pressure mehsoos kiya, jabke US Dollar (USD) ne taqat hasil ki. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ki performance ko chhe bade currencies ke muqablay mein napta hai, haal hi mein 103.90 ke kareeb reh raha hai, jo ke Yuro ke liye mushkilat ko barhata hai.

EUR/USD jorh mein tezi se kami aayi hai, jo ke 1.0810 ke aas-paas gir gayi hai, jab ke yeh 1.0800 par mukhya support ko sambhalne mein nakam rahi. Yeh jorh thodi si 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neeche gir gayi hai, jo ke 1.0861 ke kareeb hai, jo ke kareeb mustaqbil mein nafrat ki taraf ek tabdeeli ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin, lambay arse ka rukh bullish hai jab tak yeh Rising Channel pattern se breakout ko sambhalti hai, jahan psychological support 1.0788 ke aas-paas hai. 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) 60.00 se neeche gir gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bullish momentum kam ho raha hai. Kul mila kar, jab ke Euro ko mukhya tor par chhote arse ke liye pressure ka samna hai, iska lamba rukh aane wale maashi data aur central bank ke faislon par depend karega.

### EUR/USD Price Outlook

Jaisay trading week shuru hota hai, EUR/USD pair thoda sa uptick dikhata hai, jo Friday ko Asian session mein 1.0870 ke aas-paas hai. Yeh izafa zyada tar US Dollar (USD) ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo is baat ki umeed se hai ke US Federal Reserve shayad November mein apni policy easing jari rakhe. Market close tak, EUR/USD pair 1.0867 mark par settle hua, jo currency markets mein ongoing volatility ko dikhata hai.

Traders ko key support aur resistance levels par tawajju deni chahiye. Support 1.0841, 1.1030, aur 50 DMA par milta hai, saath hi 2024 ke low se high tak ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement par bhi. Dusri taraf, resistance abhi 1.1215 mark par hai. In levels ke upar ya neeche breakout hone se EUR/USD pair ke agle directional move ka signal mil sakta hai.

### EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Is hafte kuch aham waqiat hone wale hain jo euro ki performance par asar dal sakte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ek conference mein opening remarks dene wale hain jo Dublin mein ho rahi hai, jiska focus Fiscal Policy, Financial Sector Policy, aur Economic Growth par hai. Iske ilawa, ECB ke board member Piero Cipollone "Economics of Payments XIII" conference mein keynote speech dene wale hain, jo Austrian Central Bank ki taraf se host kiya ja raha hai. Yeh discussions ECB ke mustaqbil ki monetary policy aur euro par iske asraat ke bare mein insights de sakti hain.

Federal Reserve ke policymakers ke recent remarks yeh dikhate hain ke labor market conditions ki behtari ke bare mein chinta barh rahi hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke 12 members mein se sirf Fed Governor Michelle Bowman ne gradual rate-cut cycle shuru karne ki salah di hai, jismein September mein 25 basis points ka cut propose kiya gaya hai. Yeh cautious stance Fed ki inflation control aur economic growth ke beech balance banane ki koshish ko dikhata hai, jo USD ki trajectory ko aur complex bana raha hai.

### Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pichle hafte 1.1215 resistance level ko break karne ki kai koshishon ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair abhi tak near-term consolidation phase mein hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) downside potential ko 1.1052 mark ke thoda neeche limit karta hai. Filhal, pair 1.1151 region ke aas-paas oscillate kar raha hai, jahan bulls aur bears dono mein decisive momentum ki kami hai. Technical landscape yeh dikhata hai ke trading environment kaafi complex hai, jab market participants uncertainty ka samna kar rahe hain.

### EUR/USD Daily Momentum Indicators

Daily momentum indicators koi wazeh bias nahi dikhate, kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) downward trend mein hai. Yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye downside risks ki sambhavna ko barhata hai. Khaas taur par, charts par ek double-top pattern bana hai, jo aksar bearish reversal se jura hota hai.

Traders ko support levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo 1.0841 aur 1.1030 par hain, saath hi 50-day moving average bhi critical hai. Yeh levels pair ki short-term direction tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhte hain.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
Euro ne apne modest decline ko pichle haftay continue kiya, 1.0926 tak gir gaya. Lekin iss level par ek serious barrier saamne aya hai jo further declines ko roknay ka sabab bana aur price iss level ke aas paas fluctuate kar rahi hai. Target zone tak pohanchna ab tak possible nahi ho saka, jo ke abhi bhi incomplete hai. Is liye, predicted scenario ka kuch hissa pura hua hai aur ab tak remain karta hai. Super-trend red zone ab tak chart par maujood hai, jo ye signal karta hai ke sellers ka control abhi bhi strong hai.

Aaj ki technical analysis par agar hum 240-minute chart ko dekhein, to humein nazar aata hai ke simple moving average price curve ko support de raha hai further downside movement ke liye. Saath hi, bearish technical double-top pattern bhi dikhayi de raha hai. Negative implications ab tak hamesha maujood hain. Yahan se, day trading 1.0990 resistance ke neeche stabilize hoti hai, jo 50.0% Fibonacci retracement line ko represent karta hai. Agar price 1.0940 se neeche move karti hai, to pair ke losses extend honay ka chance barh jata hai, jahan se target seedha 1.0880 ho sakta hai.

Yaad rahe, agar 1.0990 resistance se upar break hota hai aur kam az kam hourly candle ka close hota hai, to pair short-term mein wapas recovery ki taraf aa sakta hai jahan retesting ka target 1.1040 hoga.



Pair iss waqt apne weekly low se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai. Main resistance zone ab tak test nahi hui, jo ke isay intact rakhti hai aur downside ko relevant banaye rakhti hai. Move ko aagay continue karne ke liye, price ko 1.0926 ke level ke neeche consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo ke key resistance zone ka border hai. Is area ka retest aur phir neeche bounce ka chance milay ga, jo fresh downside move ka moka de ga, jahan target 1.0837 aur 1.0763 areas hain.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 1.1033 pivot level se upar jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Is chart mein, hum EUR/USD pair ka daily timeframe dekh rahay hain. Yeh chart humein recent price action ka achi tarah se tasveer dikha raha hai. Pehle, hum dekhte hain ke price ne aik strong bullish move dikhaya tha jo ke late August tak chala, jahan price ne apna top 1.1220 ke qareeb banaya. Lekin us ke baad, price ne steadily downward correction shuru kar di hai. Abhi ke liye, price 1.0900 ke level ke neeche hai aur humein ek clear bearish trend nazar aa raha hai. White Moving Average (MA) 50 ke neeche girne se selling pressure barh raha hai. Yeh strong bearish signals hain kyun ke market ab long-term averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke weakness ko zyada mazid confirm kar raha hai.





Is waqt price 1.0800 ke qareeb support zone ke paas hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to price mazeed neeche gir sakta hai, aur agla target 1.0670 ho sakta hai, jo ke mazeed mazboot support level hai. Stochastic oscillator bhi overbought zone se nikal kar downward hai, jo ke selling momentum ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh indicator humein dikhata hai ke market main selling pressure mazid dominate kar raha hai aur koi significant bounce abhi dekhne ko nahi mil raha. Summary mein, yeh chart humein batata hai ke bearish momentum dominate kar raha hai. Humein dhehan dena hoga ke agar price 1.0800 ke neeche break hoti hai, to humay aur selling opportunities mil sakti hain. Lekin agar price is zone se bounce kar jati hai, to ek short-term reversal ka chance bhi ho sakta hai.

Mujhe yeh kehna hai ke poora hafta sellers ke liye tha, aur hafta ke aakhir mein correction ka ek koshish kiya gaya. Asal mein, yeh ek chhoti si correction thi, shayad yahi sab kuch hai. Lekin mein 1.0880 tak ka hisaab rakhta hoon, aur phir dekhenge, lekin meri umeed hai ke 1.0880 se rebound milega.
General plan yeh hai: hum 1.0880 ke level ke gird kuch dinon tak ghoomte rahenge. Aur phir hum downward trend ko jari rakhenge, aur elections se pehle hum is southern trend ko poori tarah se kaam mein la sakte hain. Lekin yeh sirf andazay hain, kyunki yeh nahi pata ke kya hoga, elections abhi bhi price ko kuch hafton tak khelne de sakte hain, jaise ek gend.

Ek aur baat yeh hai ke din ke andar kuch unexpected movements ho sakti hain aane wale kuch hafton mein. Yeh Trump aur Khokhotushka par depend karta hai. Khokhotushka dollar ki kamzori hai, aur Trump dollar ki taqat hai. Haan, ab jab elections ke liye do haftay baqi hain, ping-pong shuru ho sakta hai chahe technology kuch bhi keh rahi ho.

EUR/USD pair ke hawale se, mein yeh maanata hoon ke 1.0880 ka area bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki agar wahan se upar ki taraf koshish shuru hoti hai, to 1.0950-1.0960 ke levels zaroori ban jaenge, aur phir hum rebound le sakte hain aur phir se neeche ja sakte hain taake 1.0780 ka ascending trend mehsoos ho sake. Aisa kuch aane wale do hafton mein ho sakta hai agar upar ki taraf kheenchte hain, aur phir president ke election ke baad, chahe koi bhi jeete, dollar kuch waqt ke liye taqat pakar sakta hai.

Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke opening par wo foran upper limits ko nahi tod sakte, balki thoda sa neeche ja kar 1.0845 ke area tak aayenge aur phir upar ki taraf. Agar Asians yeh karein, to is tick se northern prospects ke 1.0880 ko todne ki clarity mil sakti hai. Aur agar 1.0833 ke neeche (Friday ka minimum) move hota hai, to neeche girna theek nahi hoga, kyunki bullish impulse ka roll back shayad khatam ho jaye. Yeh hain meri khwahishen Monday aur Tuesday ke liye. Calendar mein Wednesday tak koi significant news drivers nahi hain. Sirf agar geopolitics kuch serious cheez na la de.

Do haftay pehle, market ko yeh umeed thi ke ECB apne rate ko October mein bilkul nahi badlega aur sab log December mein rate cut ka intezaar kar rahe the. Phir Europe ke liye economic statistics aane shuru hue aur sab ne achanak se October mein rate cut ki umeed karna shuru kar diya, lekin December ka khayal cancel kar diya. Ab yeh hai ke ab December bhi market ki nazar mein hai, ke ECB is mahine dobara rate cut karega. Aur zaroor, Fed rate ke liye aggressive reduction ki expectations mein bhi tabdeeli aayi, jiske natije mein dollar sirf euro ke khilaf nahi, balki doosri major currencies ke khilaf bhi barh gaya.
Weekly chart par, EUR/USD mein abhi girne ki jagah hai, mera matlab hai 1.0760 ka level. Lekin bulls ke liye local reversal ki umeed bhi hai, kyunki price ne week ka khatma 1.0866 par kiya aur thoda sa wedge ke upper border se upar hai. Matlab, price weekly chart par wedge mein wapas nahi aayi aur yeh bulls ke liye north ki taraf probable reversal ka signal hai. Lekin yeh tab hai agar geopolitics beech mein nahi aaye, aur aisa hoga. States mein, Trump polls mein Harris ke saath confidently mukabla kar raha hai aur American analysts ne uski jeet ki asli chances par baat karna shuru kar diya hai. Aur yeh EUR/USD pair ke parity tak girne ka khatra hai.

Yeh market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha gaya tha. Lekin asal mein, August se kuch bhi nahi badla. Na to EU ke liye fundamental statistics, na hi US ke liye. Yeh statistics ek saal se zyada waqt se nahi badle. EU mein GDP growth bohot kam hai, jabke inflation gir raha hai. US mein bhi inflation gir raha hai, lekin GDP growth EU se 7-8 guna zyada hai. Yeh statistics is saal ke shuruat par available the. Aur jo kuch bhi khule sources mein market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha ja raha hai, wo sirf nazriya hai. Asal mein, kuch nahi badla.

Naturally, euro-dollar pair ke girne ki jagah hai. Weekly timeframe, daily timeframe, aur H1 timeframe par bhi.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke chart par jo asal mein information hai wo dekhi jaye. Friday ko, hum daily candle ke opening level se closing level tak price ki barhoti dekhte hain. Is se pehle, 4 din tak daily candle ka closing level opening level se neeche tha. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke zyada sellers hain aur wo price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Friday ko, in sellers ne apne short positions par profit fix kiya, jis se price ki barhoti shuru hui. Monday se inhein dobara same volume ke sath short positions kholni hongi taake wahi trend banya rahe. Lekin yeh karna mushkil hoga, kyunki price ab downward trend ke aane ke marahil par nahi hai, balki iski development ya end par hai.


Isliye buyers aur sellers ki taadaad lagbhag barabar hogi, jo price ko 100-150 points ke range mein fluctuate karne par majboor karega. Naturally, kisi na kisi point par koi advantage hasil karega aur ek naya trend shuru hoga. Lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh trend southern direction mein hoga. Price bina kisi khaas trend ke 15 saal se chal rahi hai, jo logon ne nahi dekha, wo ek mahine ke timeframe par saaf nazar aata hai.

Do haftay pehle, market ko yeh umeed thi ke ECB apne rate ko October mein bilkul nahi badlega aur sab log December mein rate cut ka intezaar kar rahe the. Phir Europe ke liye economic statistics aane shuru hue aur sab ne achanak se October mein rate cut ki umeed karna shuru kar diya, lekin December ka khayal cancel kar diya. Ab yeh hai ke ab December bhi market ki nazar mein hai, ke ECB is mahine dobara rate cut karega. Aur zaroor, Fed rate ke liye aggressive reduction ki expectations mein bhi tabdeeli aayi, jiske natije mein dollar sirf euro ke khilaf nahi, balki doosri major currencies ke khilaf bhi barh gaya. Weekly chart par, EUR/USD mein abhi girne ki jagah hai, mera matlab hai 1.0760 ka level. Lekin bulls ke liye local reversal ki umeed bhi hai, kyunki price ne week ka khatma 1.0866 par kiya aur thoda sa wedge ke upper border se upar hai. Matlab, price weekly chart par wedge mein wapas nahi aayi aur yeh bulls ke liye north ki taraf probable reversal ka signal hai. Lekin yeh tab hai agar geopolitics beech mein nahi aaye, aur aisa hoga. States mein, Trump polls mein Harris ke saath confidently mukabla kar raha hai aur American analysts ne uski jeet ki asli chances par baat karna shuru kar diya hai. Aur yeh EUR/USD pair ke parity tak girne ka khatra hai.

Yeh market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha gaya tha. Lekin asal mein, August se kuch bhi nahi badla. Na to EU ke liye fundamental statistics, na hi US ke liye. Yeh statistics ek saal se zyada waqt se nahi badle. EU mein GDP growth bohot kam hai, jabke inflation gir raha hai. US mein bhi inflation gir raha hai, lekin GDP growth EU se 7-8 guna zyada hai. Yeh statistics is saal ke shuruat par available the. Aur jo kuch bhi khule sources mein market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha ja raha hai, wo sirf nazriya hai. Asal mein, kuch nahi badla.

Naturally, euro-dollar pair ke girne ki jagah hai. Weekly timeframe, daily timeframe, aur H1 timeframe par bhi.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke chart par jo asal mein information hai wo dekhi jaye. Friday ko, hum daily candle ke opening level se closing level tak price ki barhoti dekhte hain. Is se pehle, 4 din tak daily candle ka closing level opening level se neeche tha. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke zyada sellers hain aur wo price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Friday ko, in sellers ne apne short positions par profit fix kiya, jis se price ki barhoti shuru hui. Monday se inhein dobara same volume ke sath short positions kholni hongi taake wahi trend banya rahe. Lekin yeh karna mushkil hoga, kyunki price ab downward trend ke aane ke marahil par nahi hai, balki iski development ya end par hai.

Isliye buyers aur sellers ki taadaad lagbhag barabar hogi, jo price ko 100-150 points ke range mein fluctuate karne par majboor karega. Naturally, kisi na kisi point par koi advantage hasil karega aur ek naya trend shuru hoga. Lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh trend southern direction mein hoga. Price bina kisi khaas trend ke 15 saal se chal rahi hai, jo logon ne nahi dekha, wo ek mahine ke timeframe par saaf nazar aata hai

Do haftay pehle, market ko yeh umeed thi ke ECB apne rate ko October mein bilkul nahi badlega aur sab log December mein rate cut ka intezaar kar rahe the. Phir Europe ke liye economic statistics aane shuru hue aur sab ne achanak se October mein rate cut ki umeed karna shuru kar diya, lekin December ka khayal cancel kar diya. Ab yeh hai ke ab December bhi market ki nazar mein hai, ke ECB is mahine dobara rate cut karega. Aur zaroor, Fed rate ke liye aggressive reduction ki expectations mein bhi tabdeeli aayi, jiske natije mein dollar sirf euro ke khilaf nahi, balki doosri major currencies ke khilaf bhi barh gaya.
Weekly chart par, EUR/USD mein abhi girne ki jagah hai, mera matlab hai 1.0760 ka level. Lekin bulls ke liye local reversal ki umeed bhi hai, kyunki price ne week ka khatma 1.0866 par kiya aur thoda sa wedge ke upper border se upar hai. Matlab, price weekly chart par wedge mein wapas nahi aayi aur yeh bulls ke liye north ki taraf probable reversal ka signal hai. Lekin yeh tab hai agar geopolitics beech mein nahi aaye, aur aisa hoga. States mein, Trump polls mein Harris ke saath confidently mukabla kar raha hai aur American analysts ne uski jeet ki asli chances par baat karna shuru kar diya hai. Aur yeh EUR/USD pair ke parity tak girne ka khatra hai.

Yeh market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha gaya tha. Lekin asal mein, August se kuch bhi nahi badla. Na to EU ke liye fundamental statistics, na hi US ke liye. Yeh statistics ek saal se zyada waqt se nahi badle. EU mein GDP growth bohot kam hai, jabke inflation gir raha hai. US mein bhi inflation gir raha hai, lekin GDP growth EU se 7-8 guna zyada hai. Yeh statistics is saal ke shuruat par available the. Aur jo kuch bhi khule sources mein market ki umeedon ke bare mein likha ja raha hai, wo sirf nazriya hai. Asal mein, kuch nahi badla.

Naturally, euro-dollar pair ke girne ki jagah hai. Weekly timeframe, daily timeframe, aur H1 timeframe par bhi.

Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke chart par jo asal mein information hai wo dekhi jaye. Friday ko, hum daily candle ke opening level se closing level tak price ki barhoti dekhte hain. Is se pehle, 4 din tak daily candle ka closing level opening level se neeche tha. Yeh is baat ka ishara tha ke zyada sellers hain aur wo price ko neeche push kar rahe hain. Friday ko, in sellers ne apne short positions par profit fix kiya, jis se price ki barhoti shuru hui. Monday se inhein dobara same volume ke sath short positions kholni hongi taake wahi trend banya rahe. Lekin yeh karna mushkil hoga, kyunki price ab downward trend ke aane ke marahil par nahi hai, balki iski development ya end par hai.

Isliye buyers aur sellers ki taadaad lagbhag barabar hogi, jo price ko 100-150 points ke range mein fluctuate karne par majboor karega. Naturally, kisi na kisi point par koi advantage hasil karega aur ek naya trend shuru hoga. Lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh trend southern direction mein hoga. Price bina kisi khaas trend ke 15 saal se chal rahi hai, jo logon ne nahi dekha, wo ek mahine ke timeframe par saaf nazar aata hai

EUR/USD ka yeh daily chart market ke current trend aur future movements ka andaza lagane ke liye kaafi madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Chart par kuch key support aur resistance levels highlight kiye gaye hain, jo trading decisions banate waqt hamare liye kaafi ahem sabit ho sakte hain. Is waqt price 1.0901 ke resistance level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jabke neechay ka key support level 1.0663 ke qareeb hai. Yeh wo zones hain jahan se price ne pehle react kiya hai aur agle movement ka pata yahin se lag sakta hai.

Agar price 1.0901 ko cross karti hai, to humein ek bullish trend ka agaz hota nazar aa sakta hai jo aglay resistance levels, 1.1116 aur 1.1135, tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai aur 1.0663 ka support tod deti hai, to hum aur zyada downside pressure expect kar sakte hain jo market ko further neeche le ja sakta hai. Yeh scenario trading ke liye kaafi important hoga. Indicators bhi is trend ke bare mein kaafi insight de rahe hain. Moving averages ka position abhi price ke upar hai, jo downward trend ka signal hai. Agar price moving averages ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh ek reversal signal ho sakta hai. Lekin filhaal market mein bearish pressure dominate kar raha hai.

MACD indicator bhi negative territory mein hai, aur MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, jo confirm karta hai ke market mein selling pressure abhi bhi hai. Is ka matlab hai ke short-term mein downside ka chance zyada hai jab tak koi strong reversal signal nahi milta. RSI indicator ke mutabiq, market oversold conditions mein hai kyunki RSI 31.6 ke qareeb hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke market mein jaldi ek bounce-back ho sakta hai, kyunke oversold levels par price aksar recover karti hai. Conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD ka current trend bearish hai, lekin agar support level strong rehta hai aur indicators bullish signal dete hain, to ek reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Filhal risk management aur live market conditions ko dekh kar trade decisions lena zaroori hoga.

EUR/USD ka yeh daily chart market ke current trend aur future movements ka andaza lagane ke liye kaafi madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Chart par kuch key support aur resistance levels highlight kiye gaye hain, jo trading decisions banate waqt hamare liye kaafi ahem sabit ho sakte hain. Is waqt price 1.0901 ke resistance level ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jabke neechay ka key support level 1.0663 ke qareeb hai. Yeh wo zones hain jahan se price ne pehle react kiya hai aur agle movement ka pata yahin se lag sakta hai.
Agar price 1.0901 ko cross karti hai, to humein ek bullish trend ka agaz hota nazar aa sakta hai jo aglay resistance levels, 1.1116 aur 1.1135, tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche girti hai aur 1.0663 ka support tod deti hai, to hum aur zyada downside pressure expect kar sakte hain jo market ko further neeche le ja sakta hai. Yeh scenario trading ke liye kaafi important hoga. Indicators bhi is trend ke bare mein kaafi insight de rahe hain. Moving averages ka position abhi price ke upar hai, jo downward trend ka signal hai. Agar price moving averages ke upar close hoti hai, to yeh ek reversal signal ho sakta hai. Lekin filhaal market mein bearish pressure dominate kar raha hai.

MACD indicator bhi negative territory mein hai, aur MACD line signal line ke neeche hai, jo confirm karta hai ke market mein selling pressure abhi bhi hai. Is ka matlab hai ke short-term mein downside ka chance zyada hai jab tak koi strong reversal signal nahi milta. RSI indicator ke mutabiq, market oversold conditions mein hai kyunki RSI 31.6 ke qareeb hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke market mein jaldi ek bounce-back ho sakta hai, kyunke oversold levels par price aksar recover karti hai. Conclusion yeh hai ke EUR/USD ka current trend bearish hai, lekin agar support level strong rehta hai aur indicators bullish signal dete hain, to ek reversal bhi ho sakta hai. Filhal risk management aur live market conditions ko dekh kar trade decisions lena zaroori hoga.